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Longterminvesting

BUY OPPORTUNITY TLT is a fund that reflects the price of bonds with a maturity of 20 years. It reflects the price of the bonds but not the yield which is inversely proportional to the price. When the interest rate increases the price decreases while when the interest rate decreases the price increases in value. It is a highly protective asset that helps diversify portfolio risk. It has a long-term bullish statistical bias and is particularly tempting to place in a portfolio. By statistically analyzing the price history (2003 - today) we can consider ourselves in a position of extreme advantage at this moment. During the entire life cycle of the product we can see how the historical maximum drawdown has never exceeded -28% in 800 days. On average, during each drawdown this asset loses 22% of its value in 650 days (approximately). The recovery period (period during which the market recovers the lost ground) is equal to 0.45. This means that on average it takes half the time to recover its losses compared to the time it takes to depreciate. From March 2020 to today it has been within a maximum distance of -25% from the maximum price, exceeding 500 days in drawdown. Statistically we are in a situation where the chances of further loss of value are very low (in your entire life you have never lost more than 28%). Following the statistical model, it is likely that it will recover its value in less than a year. If we assume that we are close to a minimum level and that the long term is characterized by a strong upward statistical bias, combined with the fact that the world economic situation is still far from an official recovery and that it will have to wait a little longer before to raise rates, positioning on $TLT is an excellent medium / long term opportunity for part of the core structure of my portfolio. Let's analyze the data: - Standard Deviation 10Y = 0.90% - Standard Deviation 5Y = 0.87% - Standard Deviation 3Y = 0.83% The riskiness of the product decreased by about 10% from 2010 to today. - 10Y yield = + 7% - 5Y yield = + 3% - 3Y yield = + 8% - YTD yield = - 10% The returns are positive in the medium / long term and negative in the short term (-10% from the beginning of the year). Correlation: Instrument inversely correlated with the unemployment rate. As the unemployment rate increases, the value of the instrument decreases and vice versa. If we assume that the US is slowly returning to pre-employment at the pre-Covid19 level (thus the unemployment rate is decreasing over time) then we can assume that our tool will appreciate in the medium / long term. - 3Y Expected Return: + 21% - Max loss (with hedging): 5% - Max portfolio loss (in the event that the outcome of this core transaction does not go according to estimates): -0,75% - % of equity to be dedicated to this operation: 15% of the total portfolio + 7.5% for any hedging = 22.5% of the total portfolio - Risk /Return = 1:4 Over time, three different situations can arise: A) Closing the long trade at a loss and closing the hedge in profit, then: - Potential loss% on the portfolio: - 0.75% B) Closing the hedging at a loss and profit of the long operation, then: - Potential gain% on the portfolio: + 2.25% C) There is no need for the hedging strategy and the instrument meets expectations, then: - Potential gain% on the portfolio: + 3% Remember that this is my market vision and should not be interpreted in any way as an investment advice!
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by UnknownUnicorn25541012
SOUTH INDIAN BANK - Good Days Coming?...LONG TERMFrom Last Year Stock is Trading Between this PRICE RANGE of 10.90 ---TO---4.80 good Channel pattern formed on higher time frame 4hr.. Gave breakout with heavy volume ...IT might be False On But i am bullish on this penny stock for Target of 30-50 Ruppes...in 2-3 years... Buy above only gave breakout to level of 11.85--11.90... For ShortTerm Target - 12,15,18,20 SL- 8-9 One can invest for too Long term Like For 15-20 Years For Levels of my view xD..200-250rupees Thank You.. *INVESTONOWNRISK
NSE:SOUTHBANKLong
by Darshaann
LONG TERM IDEA OF THE MONTH // Sunday April 4th 2021 // ARTSON LONG TERM IDEA OF THE MONTH // Sunday April 4th 2021 // BSE:ARTSONEN // This is a Long Term Investment Idea and not a swing trade call nor an intra-day trade. Please do not expect the stock to go up on the same day of posting or within a few weeks. Please follow the notes along with the posting before, during and after entering the trade // CMP / LTP: 40.4 TARGET: 60+ (50% Around) STOP LOSS: 28 (30% Max) Standard Notes: - Please follow the Stop Loss strictly and preferably on a daily closing basis. - Recommended Profit Booking / Exit is on 50% & If you still want to hold the stock, trail the SL once this target is achieved. - Duration:1-2 Years suggested time frame is an indicative period. - If SL / Target are not triggered and you still wish to hold the trade, this can be done as long as SL is followed or trailed. Disclosure: I may or may not have a position in this trade. Disclaimer: All the recommendations are subject to market conditions. Please trade at your own risks.
BSE:ARTSONENLong
by Amit_Padishalwar