L&T FINANCE LTD ANALYSISFOR LEARNING PURPOSE
L&T FINANCE LTD - The current price of L&T FINANCE LTD is 203.02 rupees
I am going to buy this stock because of the reasons as follows-
1. Its coming out from a good consolidation base
2. It broke a strong resistance zone of 8 years and making ATH
3. It is showing better relative strength as it stood strong in volatile times
4. The risk and reward is favourable
5. The stock belongs to a sector which is quite strong and it can do great in coming days.
6. The stock has done almost nothing in last 8 years and it has acted as a laggard (many stocks have made ATH much back but this stock is doing now)
7. The stock tends have a lot of potential as it comes from a famous group and the company has been profitable.
I will buy it with minimum target of 35-40% and then will trail after that.
My SL is at 182.22 rupees
I will be managing my risk.
Ltfinance
LTF Breaking Out of Consolidation and ascending triangleNSE:LTF : Breaking Out of Consolidation and ascending triangle with heavy volumes today - Is This the Next Big NBFC Move?
Price Action Analysis:
• Base Formation: Clear sideways movement between ₹160-172 levels
• Breakout Confirmation: Recent breach above ₹172 resistance with volume expansion
• Trendline Break: White descending trendline from December highs decisively broken
• Market Structure: Shift from the consolidation phase to the potential trend resumption
• Time Frame: A six-month base provides a strong foundation for sustained movement
Volume Analysis:
• Current Volume: 5.57M against 20-day average of 15.94M
• Volume Pattern: Accumulation visible during the base formation period
• Support Tests: Volume spikes coinciding with successful ₹160-164 support tests
• Breakout Volume: Adequate but not exceptional - requires monitoring for follow-through
• Distribution Signs: No significant selling pressure visible during consolidation
Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Support Levels:
• Immediate Support: ₹172 (new floor post-breakout)
• Secondary Support: ₹168 (previous resistance turned support)
• Major Support: ₹160-164 (primary consolidation base)
• Critical Support: ₹155 (breakdown level)
Resistance Levels:
• Immediate Resistance: ₹190-195 (measured move target)
• Next Resistance: ₹205-210 (psychological and technical zone)
• Long-term Target: ₹220-225 (extension target)
Trade Setup:
Entry Strategy:
• Aggressive Entry: Current levels ₹183-184 for momentum traders
• Conservative Entry: ₹175-177 on pullback to breakout zone
• DCA Approach: Scale in between ₹175-185 levels
Exit Strategy:
• Target 1: ₹192 (measured move from rectangle pattern)
• Target 2: ₹205-210 (next significant resistance)
• Target 3: ₹220+ (extension target for long-term holders)
Stop Loss:
• Closing Basis: Below ₹170
• Intraday Basis: Below ₹168
• Risk Percentage: 7-8% from current levels
Position Sizing & Risk Management:
Position Sizing:
• Conservative: 1% portfolio risk
• Moderate: 1.5% portfolio risk
• Aggressive: 2% portfolio risk (maximum recommended)
Risk Management:
• Stop Loss Discipline: Strict adherence to ₹170 closing stop
• Position Scaling: Reduce position if breaks ₹175 intraday
• Profit Booking: Book 30% at ₹192, 40% at ₹205
• Trailing Stop: Implement above ₹195 levels
Sectoral Backdrop:
NBFC Sector Positives:
• Credit Growth: NBFC credit growth outpacing bank credit
• Market Share: Gaining share in retail and SME segments
• Asset Quality: Improving collection efficiency post-COVID
• Regulatory Support: Favourable policy environment
Sector Trends:
• Digital Lending: Increased adoption of technology platforms
• Rural Focus: Growing emphasis on semi-urban and rural markets
• Partnership Models: Collaborations with fintech companies
Fundamental Backdrop:
Company Strengths:
• Group Support: Strong L&T Group parentage and backing
• Diversified Portfolio: Exposure across infrastructure and retail segments
• Quality Borrowers: Access to L&T Group ecosystem clients
• Management Quality: Experienced leadership team
Recent Developments:
• Asset Quality: Improving NPA ratios
• Profitability: Better margins and ROE metrics
• Growth Strategy: Focus on profitable growth segments
Risk Factors:
Technical Risks:
• False Breakout: Possibility of returning to the consolidation range
• Volume Confirmation: Need for sustained volume support
• Market Correlation: High beta to financial sector performance
Fundamental Risks:
• Interest Rate Risk: Rising rates impacting lending margins
• Credit Quality: Potential stress in the retail lending portfolio
• Economic Slowdown: Impact on borrower repayment capacity
• Regulatory Changes: Policy shifts affecting NBFC operations
Market Risks:
• Sector Rotation: Money moving away from financial stocks
• Liquidity Concerns: Tightening of wholesale funding markets
• Competition: Increased competition from banks and fintech
My Take:
The technical setup suggests accumulation phase completion with potential for a significant move higher. Follow the Strict Trade Plan as Explained Above.
Keep in the Watchlist.
NO RECO. For Buy/Sell.
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Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER."
This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
L&T Finance Ltd - Breakout OpportunityDate : 23-Sep-2024
LTP : Rs. 184.52
Resistance Levels: (R1) Rs. 194 --> (R2) Rs. 215
Support Levels: (S1) Rs. 163 --> (S2) Rs. 159
Technical View:
• NSE:LTF is in strong primary uptrend and was recently going through it's secondary downtrend within primary uptrend.
• After touching the high of 194.25 on 2-Jul-2024, it has retraced 18% to 159.50 level.
• NSE:LTF has breakout from it's secondary downtrend with higher than average volume. Breakout is also supported by increased volume in last few sessions.
• NSE:LTF is trading above both 20 DMA and 50 DMA since last few sessions. 20 DMA has crossed over 50 DMA on 23-Sep-2024.
• RSI is trading at 65.73. MACD is trading at 2.63. Both MACD and RSI is showing positive momentum.
• Looking good for a new swing from here.
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Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market. My ideas are published for learning purpose only and are available to everyone at no cost/charge.
L&T Finance Holdings Ltd Swing/Positional L&T Finance Holdings Ltd Prediction for Swing/ Posional Trading
You can enter into trade above Entry 1 level (133.5) daily close basis or above Entry 2 level (136) or at CMP.
Entry 1, 132,130,128 levels can be retest.
SLs- Below 128 , 124.5, 123.. Below day closing
Targets- 139,143,147,150,154,158,162,166,170,… (more will be updated later if need )
According to your “STOMACH” book your profit. Always maintain your risk management.
Watch Carefully – The Chart Explains For Itself.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI Registered Analyst. Anything posted here is my own analysis and views. This is created for educational purposes only. Always consult your Financial Advisor before taking any decision or trade.
Happy trading.
About L&T Finance Holdings Ltd. –
L&T Finance Holdings Ltd. is a non-banking financial company, which engages in the provision of financial products and services across retail, corporate, housing, and infrastructure finance sectors. It operates through the following segments: Rural Finance, Housing Finance, Infrastructure Finance, Defocused Business and Others. The Rural Finance segment comprises of farm equipment finance, two wheeler finance, and micro loans. The Housing Finance segment includes home loans, loan against property, and real estate finance. The Infrastructure Finance segment comprises of infrastructure business. The Defocused Business segment consists of structured corporate loans, debt capital market, commercial vehicle finance, construction equipment finance, SME term loans and leases. The Others segment deals in the asset and wealth management. The company was founded on May 1, 2008 and is headquartered in Mumbai, India.
L&T Finance Holding Chart Analysis !!📈 L&T Finance Holding 📉
Today broke out from a Resistance Zone after testing three times and also broke out from a downtrending Trendline Zone which is coming from all time high, It means it has come out from larger bear trend however a major swing yet to crossed on closing basis.
Long time frame chart is attached below at end.
On Buy Side I am looking for Targets of 94, 99, 112
StopLoss should be kept at 75.
It offers 1:2 Risk To Reward.
All Important Supports and Resistances are drawn in chart. All levels are on closing basis.
Please have a look and revert back if you need some more study on it.
Disclaimer : Consult Your Financial Advisor Before Taking Any Decision On This Analysis.
L_TFH - Long Buildup CandidateL_TFH - Long Buildup Candidate
Buy-80-85
Sl-75
Target- 100 110 130+
It is good long candidate for short and mid term traders. The stock has bounced exact from our Half Bat pattern PRZ area.The trendline support is very important as it is holding the stock in the uptrend.
Will L & T Finance Holding Break 110!!On Weekly Chart, the share with a support level at 84 bounce back and today it breaks important resistance near 92 which make it a clear way
For Short term
100 rs target with stop loss 84.
For Long term
120 rs target with no stop loss. Time duration 3 to 6 months,