XAU/USD: Rally Strengthened by News FlowGold remains in a positive stance after the “dovish” signals from the Fed at Jackson Hole, with expectations of a September rate cut gaining traction. As a result, the US Dollar has weakened, providing additional support to XAU/USD.
On the chart, price has rebounded from the 3,313 support zone and is now eyeing the key resistance around 3,405. A decisive break above this level could extend the rally towards 3,440 – an area that has previously attracted heavy selling pressure. On the other hand, any minor pullback would likely be seen as a “buy-the-dip” opportunity within the current uptrend.
With alignment between fundamentals and technicals, XAU/USD is flashing a clear bullish signal, making it favourable for traders to ride the upward momentum.
M-forex
USD/JPY SD + OTE + PD Array AnalysisStandard Deviation Entry Model on FOREXCOM:USDJPY
1. Inducement on 15min TF
2. Targets + Mini reversal zones marked out
3. 1H PD Array (FVG) Equilibrium tapped
4. Entry Triggered
5. 1st Target HIT
6. Waiting for Standard Deviation ultimate target to hit
I'll like to know more your thoughts on this!
Share your analysis as well!
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 25, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 25, 2025:
The market revolved around the FED and Trump, gold rose at the end of last week and was limited by the 0.236% Fib level.
Fundamental news: Mr. Powell's unexpectedly dovish remarks reinforced the market's hopes for a rate cut in September. As a result, the US Dollar Index fell sharply on Friday, reversing the upward trend of the first 4 trading days of the week. Moreover, the strong increase on Friday also pushed the gold price to skyrocket nearly 36 USD during the week.
Technical analysis: After a strong increase when it had compressed enough force in the bullish pattern and broke the downtrend channel on the H1 frame, the gold price at the beginning of this week's trading session is having a correction phase. The uptrend of gold is still maintained. The liquidity zones combined with FIB support and MA lines will now be our trading area. The gold price is very likely to return to the old ATH zone of 3500 this week.
Important price zones today: 3345 - 3350 and 3330 - 3335.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3345 - 3347
SL 3342
TP 3350 - 3360 - 3370 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3330 - 3332
SL 3327
TP 3335 - 3345 - 3355 - 3390.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading week.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Breakout ReTest Strategy✅ Key Observations
Support Zone (Highlighted in Orange)
Price previously bounced multiple times at this zone.
Eventually, there was a breakout below the zone, but the price quickly reclaimed it (fakeout or liquidity grab).
Breakout & Retest
After reclaiming the zone, the price came back and retested it.
Entry seems to have been taken on this retest.
Entry, SL, TP
Entry: Near the retest of the highlighted zone (around 2.27030).
SL: Below the fakeout low (~2.26740).
TP: Around 2.28200 (2:1 RR).
Result
The trade hit TP with strong bullish momentum.
USDJPYIt looks like price completed its objective just before Friday’s news release, after which USD dropped sharply. From a technical perspective, structure has flipped from bullish to bearish. A clean correction to the upside into the 148.0 supply zone followed by a drop would make perfect sense. I’ll be watching to see if this develops into a swing move.
EURNZDPrice action has been strongly bullish, with an impulsive push to the upside that took out a weekly high. That may have completed the price objective, which is why I’m now expecting a potential drop. A structure shift has already occurred and an entry was available, though I didn’t take it.
For now, I’ll stay on the sidelines and watch price action. If price reaches the demand zone, I’ll look for confirmation to get into longs. There’s also a large inefficiency/price void that could be filled on the way down. Let’s see how this pair develops — just sharing a possible scenario.
AUDJPY SELLSCurrent price action is bearish, with downside momentum confirming bearish order flow. Before considering shorts, I reviewed where price previously pushed higher and identified a key daily demand zone — an unmitigated wick that sparked the last major bullish move. This is important context: even though the 4H structure is bearish, bulls could still step in with enough volume to break supply.
I unfortunately missed the long entry at that demand zone, which would have been an ideal trap for a win–win scenario. For now, I’ve marked the nearest supply zone. Price just missed tapping into it, so I’ll patiently wait for when it taps. And then I’ll look for confirmation to enter shorts if the opportunity sets up.
GBPNZDPrice is currently in an uptrend, with a strong impulse to the upside completed in just 7 bars. The pullback has already taken 15 bars, showing clear weakness from the bears. I’ll be watching for price to reach the demand zone, and will look for confirmation on lower timeframes before considering long entries. In case price pushes higer I am expecting it taking out the high and liquidity on HTF, then possible sell to buy setup can present. Let's see.
EURCAD - CONTINUATION TRADEThe pair is in a clear uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. I’m waiting for a healthy pullback into the demand zone, where I’ll look for confirmation to enter long position. Setup remains solid as long as structure is maintained. If in any case price drop below the demand zone, that will indicate shift in a structure.
XAUUSD: Downtrend Under Pressure from Strong USDCurrently, XAUUSD is trading around 3,328.400, with resistance at 3,369.000 and support at 3,313.000. The price is forming a downtrend within a price channel, and if it breaks the support at 3,313.000, it could push the price lower towards the 3,300.000 target. The EMA indicators show that the downward momentum continues, and if the price fails to break through the resistance at 3,369.000, the downtrend will remain in place.
Market Context:
Recent news has caused XAUUSD to drop, mainly due to the recovery of the USD after positive economic signals. Higher-than-expected unemployment claims data strengthened the USD, putting downward pressure on XAUUSD.
EUR/USD Bearish Trade Idea - Detailed Analysis** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content."
Timeframe: 1 Hour
Entry Price: 1.16177
Stop Loss (SL): 1.16521
Take Profit (TP): 1.15763
Market Overview:
Trend Context: The EUR/USD pair is currently in a clear downtrend as indicated by the price action making lower highs and lower lows.
Chart Setup: The chart shows a descending triangle pattern, which typically signals a continuation of the bearish trend, as the price struggles to break through the resistance at the upper boundary while consistently making lower lows.
Trade Rationale:
Descending Triangle Pattern:
The formation of a descending triangle indicates a strong bearish bias, where the sellers have been consistently defending the resistance level.
The price is making lower highs and has found support at the 1.16177 level, a key point where the downtrend has previously gained momentum.
A breakdown from this triangle often leads to a continuation of the downward movement, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Entry Setup:
The entry point at 1.16177 is set below the support level, confirming that the price is likely to break through and continue downward.
A close below this level would provide confirmation for the short position, as the breakdown indicates further downward potential.
Stop Loss Placement:
The Stop Loss (SL) is set at 1.16521, just above the last significant swing high and the trendline of the triangle. This allows for some room in case of a false breakout while minimizing risk if the price reverses above this level.
Take Profit Target:
The Take Profit (TP) is set at 1.15763, where the previous support has been observed. This level represents a logical exit point, based on the measured move of the triangle pattern and the market's reaction at this support area.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
This setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with a stop loss of approximately 45 pips and a take profit target of approximately 114 pips. This results in an RRR of about 1:2.5, which aligns with a solid risk management strategy for a favorable trade.
Technical Indicators:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA):
The chart indicates the use of EMAs, which are still in a bearish alignment. The price is below both the 9-period and 20-period EMAs, suggesting that the overall trend is downward.
The EMA setup confirms the bearish momentum, reinforcing the rationale for the short position.
Bullish USDJPY (Long Position)Time Frame: 1-Hour
Trade Direction: Bullish
Entry Price: 148.629
Target Price: 149.262
Stop Loss: 148.108
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~2.3:1
1. Chart Analysis:
The price action has been respecting a strong ascending trendline (blue line) indicating a consistent upward momentum over the past several hours.
Price has recently bounced off the trendline and is approaching a resistance zone near 148.6, showing potential for a continuation upward towards 149.262.
Support Level: The price has previously found support at the 148.1 level, confirming a solid demand zone in the market.
2. Indicator Support:
Exponential Moving Averages (EMA): The price is currently trading above both the 9-period and 20-period EMAs, which is a bullish sign indicating upward momentum. The EMAs are also in alignment, further supporting the bullish case.
Volume Trend: There is an increase in volume accompanying the recent bullish price action, confirming strong buying interest and supporting the idea of a potential breakout towards the target.
3. Risk Management:
The stop loss is placed just below the recent low at 148.108 to provide a reasonable buffer against any price retracement, keeping the trade within an acceptable risk range.
The target is set at 149.262, just below the key resistance level, ensuring that we capture the full potential of the current trend while minimizing the risk.
4. Trade Setup Logic:
This setup is based on the continuation of the uptrend, with strong support from both the price action and indicators. The price action has successfully bounced from the trendline, confirming a potential continuation move towards higher prices.
The target lies near a resistance zone, making it a logical point for potential profit-taking.
5. Conclusion:
The overall market structure and indicators are aligned in favor of a bullish position, providing a high-probability setup. With a clear risk-reward ratio, this trade offers a favorable risk profile and a solid chance for profit.
GBP/USD Bearish Trade Idea** IF you like my observation, please boost and follow for more content."
Overview:
The chart displays a clear bearish setup on the 1-hour timeframe for the GBP/USD currency pair. The pair has formed a descending triangle pattern, indicating potential downward price action. The price has been respecting the trendline resistance, which adds confidence to the short trade. Here’s a detailed breakdown of the key elements for this trade:
1. Pattern Formation:
Descending Triangle: A continuation pattern that suggests consolidation and potential breakout to the downside. The price is nearing the apex of the triangle, and we anticipate the breakout to occur below the horizontal support at 1.34495.
2. Entry Point:
The entry is set at 1.34475, just below the critical horizontal support level. This level aligns with the trendline resistance from previous price action, ensuring that we are positioning ourselves at a point where price momentum is likely to shift downward.
3. Stop-Loss (SL):
The stop-loss is placed at 1.35060, just above the trendline resistance. This level is chosen to minimize the risk in case the price fails to break the support and reverses back upward. Keeping the SL tight ensures that the risk is controlled.
4. Take-Profit (TP):
The take-profit level is set at 1.33774, based on the price's potential to reach a key support zone. The target is set at a conservative level, providing a strong risk-to-reward ratio while aligning with previous price action lows.
5. Risk to Reward Ratio:
With a SL of 85 pips and a TP of 705 pips, the trade offers a favorable 1:8.3 Risk to Reward Ratio. This ensures that the reward far outweighs the risk, making it a worthy trade setup for those seeking high probability and high return trades.
6. Technical Indicators:
Trend Indicators: The 9 and 20 EMA lines confirm the bearish trend as the price is trading below these EMAs. The cross of the 9 EMA below the 20 EMA further supports the downside momentum.
Volume: A decrease in volume during the consolidation phase suggests a buildup for a breakout, likely to the downside as indicated by the pattern.
7. Conclusion:
This trade setup provides a logical bearish scenario, supported by strong technical analysis. The entry, SL, and TP are placed strategically based on price action and pattern confirmation. A breakout below the support level at 1.34475 would trigger the short position, aiming for the next significant support at 1.33774.
The risk is well-managed with a tight SL, and the reward is significant, offering an excellent risk-to-reward profile.
Make sure to monitor the breakout closely, as this setup depends on the price respecting the triangle formation.
Gold ....Powell Speech to Break the Range?Gold held steady after yesterday’s pullback, but the 3350 zone continues to act as a strong resistance. Despite multiple bullish attempts, price has failed to break through this ceiling, keeping the upside capped. On the lower side, immediate support stands at the previous weekly low (3330), followed by the recent swing low near 3310. These levels are key for buyers to defend.
For now, price action has compressed further into a tight range, and there hasn’t been any major development since the last session. With Powell speech lined up today, the market is likely to stay cautious and range-bound until then. Once the event is out, we could see a clearer short-term direction, either a breakout above 3350 opening room for recovery, or a breakdown below 3310 tilting bias back in favor of sellers.
Gold Strongly Rebounds: Heading Towards New Targets! The gold market is showing signs of a strong recovery, with several factors supporting an upward trend in the near future.
News supporting the rise of XAUUSD:
FOMC Minutes: A dovish stance from the FOMC weakens the USD, creating favorable conditions for gold to continue rising.
Initial Jobless Claims: Data showing higher-than-expected claims indicates a weaker economy, prompting the Fed to maintain its accommodative policy, which supports gold.
PMI: Weaker PMI data signals a slowdown in production, continuing to weaken the USD and supporting gold's upward trend.
Technical Analysis:
The XAUUSD chart shows gold making a strong recovery from the support at 3,334 USD, with resistance near 3,370 USD. If gold holds above the support level, the likelihood of further gains is very high. The current pattern indicates a sustainable bullish structure with higher highs and lows.
With the alignment of both fundamental and technical factors, XAUUSD is likely to continue rising towards higher targets. The resistance at 3,370 USD is the next level to watch.
Gold breaks downtrend channel, next target lower!Gold is currently trading within a clear downtrend channel, marked by lower highs and lower lows. After multiple rejections at the upper boundary of the channel, gold has begun its downward trend towards key support levels.
From a technical standpoint, the recent pullback and structural breakdown indicate that the market may continue its bearish trend. Last week's PPI data showed a 0.9% increase , exceeding expectations, which has strengthened the USD and added pressure on gold. This news reduces expectations for aggressive Fed rate cuts , further strengthening the dollar and diminishing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset.
Looking at the chart, we can identify key support levels to monitor. The first target is around 3,311.000, with the potential to continue falling to 3,287.800 if price breaks below the near-term support at 3,310.000.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 3,355.700 (Upper boundary of the downtrend channel)
Support: 3,311.000, 3,287.800
Next Target (TP1): 3,311.000
Next Target (TP2): 3,287.800
My Advice:
With the bearish structure on the chart and the pressure from the PPI data, the outlook for gold remains to the downside. I recommend looking for short opportunities near 3,355.700, with stops above resistance and targets at 3,311.000 and 3,287.800.
Effective and Widely Used Trading StrategiesTrend Following Strategy
Definition: Trading according to the market trend, buying when the trend is up and selling when the trend is down.
How to Implement: Use technical analysis tools like Moving Averages (MA), RSI, and MACD to identify the market trend. One simple strategy is to trade long when the price is above the moving average (MA), and trade short when the price is below the MA.
Why it Works: The Forex market often has strong trends, which increases the chances of success.
Reversal Trading Strategy
Definition: Finding trading opportunities when the price shows signs of reversing after a strong trend.
How to Implement: Use indicators like RSI, Stochastic Oscillator, or reversal candlestick patterns (such as Doji, Engulfing) to identify reversal points. When the indicators show overbought or oversold conditions, you can place a sell order (if overbought) or a buy order (if oversold).
Why it Works: The market can reverse sharply after a long trend, offering high-profit opportunities when entering at the right reversal point.
News Trading Strategy
Definition: Trading based on major news events, such as interest rate announcements, GDP reports, or employment data.
How to Implement: You need to monitor economic events such as interest rate announcements, GDP reports, employment data (Non-Farm Payrolls), and inflation indices (CPI) to make trading decisions. Usually, before and after important news, the price will experience significant volatility.
Why it Works: News can cause strong market movements, creating high potential profit opportunities if you predict correctly.
Would you like to learn more about any specific strategy? Please leave a comment below to discuss with us.
BTCUSDT: Holding Support, Waiting for a Breakout to 127,500Bitcoin continues to move within an uptrend structure, with the 112,200 USDT zone acting as a key support, aligning with the ascending trendline. The repeated rebounds from this level indicate that buying pressure remains steady.
On the upside, the 127,500 USDT zone stands as a strong resistance that must be broken to extend the bullish momentum. As the price approaches this area, traders should closely monitor the reaction to determine whether a breakout or a short-term pullback will occur.
Overall, the technical structure still favors the bulls. A sensible strategy is to accumulate during retracements around 112,200 – 114,000, and hold positions for a short-term target at 127,500. If this level is breached, the bullish wave will be further reinforced.
EURUSD: Support About to Break, Bearish Trend Continues!EURUSD is currently trading in a clear downward channel. After failing to break the resistance at 1.17200, the price reversed and is now testing support at 1.16000. If this support is broken, the price may continue to decline towards 1.16297 and 1.15500.
The current market structure shows that selling pressure is dominant. If 1.16000 is broken, the bearish trend will continue. Traders should prepare to enter a sell position if this support level is broken, with targets towards lower support levels.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025:
Gold's range remains narrow, closely monitoring the progress of ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine.
Basic news: Yesterday, August 18, according to Rueter, US President Donald Trump told Ukrainian President Zelenskiy that the United States will support Ukraine's security in any agreement to end Russia's war in Ukraine. Gold reacted quite mildly when no message of real weight was released, and market sentiment was still very hesitant, currently spot gold is trading around $3,335/oz, equivalent to an increase of about $2 on the day.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's bullish pattern of gold is still maintained when gold prices approach our Plan 1 area and increase again. However, the increase is not strong, it is very likely that today the gold price will still maintain a slight fluctuation in the area of 3325 - 3350. When the gold price breaks the pattern, it will fluctuate very strongly, we will continue to wait to buy mainly in the area around 3300.
Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330, 3300 - 3305 and 3345 - 3350.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3328 - 3330
SL 3325
TP 3333 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302
SL 3297
TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3370.
Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322
SL 3325
TP 3317 - 3307 - 3300.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy August 19, 2025:
Gold's range remains narrow, closely monitoring the progress of ceasefire negotiations in Ukraine.
Basic news: Yesterday, August 18, according to Rueter, US President Donald Trump told Ukrainian President Zelenskiy that the United States will support Ukraine's security in any agreement to end Russia's war in Ukraine. Gold reacted quite mildly when no message of real weight was released, and market sentiment was still very hesitant, currently spot gold is trading around $3,335/oz, equivalent to an increase of about $2 on the day.
Technical analysis: Yesterday's bullish pattern of gold is still maintained when gold prices approach our Plan 1 area and increase again. However, the increase is not strong, it is very likely that today the gold price will still maintain a slight fluctuation in the area of 3325 - 3350. When the gold price breaks the pattern, it will fluctuate very strongly, we will continue to wait to buy mainly in the area around 3300.
Important price zones today: 3325 - 3330, 3300 - 3305 and 3345 - 3350.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3328 - 3330
SL 3325
TP 3333 - 3340 - 3360 - 3390.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3300 - 3302
SL 3297
TP 3305 - 3315 - 3335 - 3370.
Plan 3: SELL STOP XAUUSD zone 3320 - 3322
SL 3325
TP 3317 - 3307 - 3300.
Wish you a safe, successful and profitable trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
XAUUSD: Support Broken? Bearish Trend Continues!XAUUSD is currently trading in a clear downward channel on the H4 timeframe . After failing to break the resistance at 3,360 , the price reversed and is now testing the important support level at 3,320 . This support level has been tested multiple times in the past weeks. If this support is broken, the bearish trend could continue, with the next targets at 3,300 and 3,280.
The market structure remains weak, with lower highs and lower lows , confirming that the selling pressure is dominant. If the price fails to hold the 3,320 support level, the likelihood of further declines towards lower support levels is very high. It’s crucial to closely monitor price action at these support levels.
Stay tuned to market developments and prepare your trading strategy accordingly, as everything is shifting towards a stronger bearish move !
Gold Update: Range Trading with Bearish UndertoneAfter last week decline,gold has entered a consolidation phase within a well-defined range. The current support is at around 3330, which coincides with last week's low and also serves as the monthly pivot point, providing a strong foundation for short term. On the upside, resistance is at 3350-3355, which aligns with the current week's pivot level, creating a ceiling that sellers are defending.
The price action within this tight range suggests that market participants are taking a breather after the recent selling pressure, with both bulls and bears showing restraint as they assess the next move. The way gold is trading within these boundaries gives the impression that energy is building up, much like a coiled spring ready to release. This type of consolidation pattern often precedes a significant directional move, as market forces accumulate before choosing their next path.
The technical setup indicates that we're likely approaching a critical range where gold will need to make a decisive break either above or below this range. A breakout above the 3350-3355 resistance zone could signal renewed bullish momentum and attract fresh buying interest, while a breakdown below the 3330 support level might open the door for further downside pressure.Looking at the weekly and daily price action, the bears seem to have the upper hand in the current scenario. The recent decline from higher levels has created a bearish tone, and importantly, we haven't seen any major reversal signals that would suggest a strong buying opportunity at these current range levels






















