Nifty Media Hits New All-Time Relative LowsPrices on an absolute basis have not made new all-time lows, but on a relative basis, they have. The Nifty Media Index continues to underperform the Nifty 100 as this multi-year trend rages on. We’re not here to catch falling knives or be right about calling a top or bottom, we’re here to make money. And we do that by riding the strongest trends as long as they’re intact, which in this case it most certainly is.
M-oscillator
Nifty Media Index Could Fall Another 25%Nifty Media has failed to gain any meaningful traction over the last month and is now breaking down from its short-term bear flag. If prices are below their recent highs of 1,205 on an absolute basis, then we’d expect a retest of the lows near 971 and an eventual break to new lows that targets 830 over the coming 6-8 weeks. We’re not here to catch falling knives or be right about calling a top or bottom, we’re here to make money. And we do that by riding the strongest trends as long as they’re intact, which in this case it most certainly is.
New Relative Lows In Nifty PSU BanksIn addition to Nifty PSU Banks breaking down to new all-time lows on an absolute basis, we're also seeing new all-time lows relative to the Nifty 100. This trend of underperformance has accelerated and unlikely to continue this steep pace for the long-term, but there's no reason to be looking for a reversal just yet. We’re not here to catch falling knives or be right about calling a top or bottom, we’re here to make money. And we do that by riding the strongest trends as long as they’re intact, which in this case it most certainly is.
Low Risk (0.5%)...High Reward (upto 7%)....TCS...Intraday SetupIntraday Trade Setup (04-May-2020):
Case-1: If it break 1980 level, go for SHORT
Enter: 1980
SL: 1990 (0.5%)
Target-1: 1940 (2%), Target-2: 1910 (3.5%), Target-3: 1850 (7%)
Case-2: If price sustained above 1990, go for LONG
Enter: 1990
SL: 1980 (0.5%)
Target-1: 2050 (psychological, 1.5%), Target-2: 2070 (4%)
Further Downside Ahead For NIFTY PSU BanksHere’s the leader of the weakest stocks, Nifty PSU Banks, breaking down to new all-time lows on an absolute basis. When bullish momentum divergences fail to spark any sort of upside traction, that shows that sellers are remaining aggressive even at lower prices and that the downtrend remains firmly intact. If prices are below their recent lows of 1,220 then we’re looking for further downside towards 1,025. We’re not here to catch falling knives or be right about calling a top or bottom, we’re here to make money. And we do that by riding the strongest trends as long as they’re intact, which in this case it most certainly is.
Natural Gas Breaks OutWe've been highlighting the bottoming process in Natural Gas for months and now we're finally getting a breakout. Prices stabilized above their 2016 lows of 115, momentum stayed out of oversold territory, and prices are confirming a trend reversal by closing back above the August 2019 lows of 145. As long as prices are above that level, we're looking for further upside towards 205...and potentially higher longer-term.
Gold Spot / USD Dollar(Gold Shining Fading in May)?Gold Spot / USD Dollar (Gold Shining Fading in May)
(Gold “The Light Had Faded and Dusk was Advancing)
• Gold Spot The Shining of Gold is Fading now means the Light had Started Fading now and Dusk was Advancing in Gold Slowly in the start of Month of May and Will Continuous will go for entire Current Month
• Three Time Gold Tried for New Break out from the upper Channel but Unable to do the same
• Continuous Rise in the Upper Channel
• Volumes Started Decreasing
• Momentum also Decreased in the last 10 Sessions
• Let See If Equity will Rise Subject to if Slowly Lock downs Will Start Releasing the effect will see on Gold on Negative Side
• If Lock downs Opens Slowly then Economy and Industries will rise which will impact Gold Negatively and His Shine will start fading off
• Let See?
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Money Flowing Bank Into Nifty Financial ServicesIn this chart of the Nifty Financial Services Index vs Nifty 100 ratio, we see a bullish momentum divergence as prices stabilize above a confluence of support. Prices staying above their recent lows signals outperformance is likely from this sector of the market, at least in the near-term while money flows out of areas that have run a lot like Nifty Pharma and Nifty Fast Moving Consumer Goods. Strength in Financial Services will be a tailwind for the Nifty 50 and broader indices given it's the largest sector weighting at ~33%. Our Nifty Pharma and Bank stock ideas related to this thesis are below in the "related ideas" section.
HDFC SHORT NEAR TRENDLINE READY TO BREAK
STOCHASTIC GIVES BEARISH CROSSOVER
ENTRY - BELOW 1626.2
STOP LOSS - 1679
CADILAHC LONG Already in uptrend above 200EMA
STOCHASTIC GIVES BULLISH SIGNAL
There is a strong ENGULFING CANDLESTICK
Entry - above 349.9
Stop loss - 326.6