Get started

Major

Ascending triangle teases USDCAD bears ahead of BOC inflationUSDCAD portrays a bearish triangle formation after multiple rejections from the 1.3700 threshold. The sellers, however, await a clear downside break of the stated formation’s support, near 1.3590 by the press time, as well as the Bank of Canada inflation data. A clear break of the stated 1.3590 support, backed by upbeat BOC CPI, could quickly drag the quote to the 200-SMA level surrounding 1.3490-85. Following that, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s October-November fall, near 1.3400, could act as an intermediate halt during the south run aiming the theoretical target of 1.3270. In a case where the Loonie pair remains depressed below 1.3270, the previous monthly low, close to 1.3235, will gain the market’s attention. Alternatively, USDCAD needs a successful clearance of the 1.3700 hurdle, as well as softer Canada inflation, to defy the bearish chart formation. In that case, the previous monthly top and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level around 1.3810 will be in the spotlight. Should the Loonie pair remains firmer past 1.3810, the 1.3900 round figure and November’s high near 1.3975 could entertain buyers before highlighting the 1.4000 psychological magnet. Overall, USDCAD bears are ready for entry as traders await the key data from Canada.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY prints bear flag as Bank of Japan gains attentionUSDJPY is likely to end 2022 on a negative note, despite bracing for the biggest yearly run-up since 2013. However, the Yen pair portrays a bearish chart pattern, a bear flag on the four-hour play as traders keep their eyes on the Bank of Japan (BOJ). Given the downbeat oscillators and hawkish expectations from the BOJ, the bearish chart formation amplifies the downside expectations. As a result, bears could wait for a clear downside break of 134.90, to refresh the monthly low of 133.60. In that case, the August 2020 low near 130.40 and the 130.00 psychological magnet will gain major attention during the south run aiming for the theoretical target surrounding 120.00. Meanwhile, the top line of the stated bear channel, close to 138.50, restricts short-term USDJPY recovery moves. A clear upside break of the same will defy the bearish chart pattern and could poke the 200-SMA surrounding 140.80. In a case where the Yen pair buyers manage to cross the last hurdle, namely the 200-SMA, late November swing high near 142.25 and the 145.20 resistance could flash on their radars. Overall, USDJPY is on the bear’s radar after two years of a bullish move.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD lures bears even as 200-SMA probes immediate downsideA clear break of the monthly bullish channel welcomed AUDUSD buyers the last week despite the quote’s hesitance to break the 200-SMA. That said, bearish MACD signals add strength to the downside bias suggesting an imminent fall to the November 08 swing high surrounding 0.6550, given the successful break of the 200-SMA level of 0.6660. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the Aussie pair’s November-December upside, around 0.6410, can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, any recoveries need to defy the channel breakdown by successful trading above the 0.6725-30 support-turned-resistance to recall the AUDUSD buyers. Even so, the 0.6800 hurdle comprising multiple levels marked since mid-November could test the bulls before giving them control. In a case where AUDUSD remains firmer past 0.6800, the December-start peak near 0.6850 could return to the chart. However, a convergence of the stated channel’s upper line and the monthly high, close to 0.6890, closely followed by the 0.6900 round figure, appears a tough nut to crack for the pair buyers afterward. Overall, AUDUSD sellers are in the driver’s seat and await a clear break of the 200-SMA to dominate further.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD bulls run out of steam on BOE-inspired Super ThursdayBe it a one-month-old rising wedge or the overbought RSI conditions, GBPUSD shows it all to suggest that the bull’s reign is near to end. However, a sustained trading below the 1.2330 support, comprising the lower line of the aforementioned rising wedge bearish chart pattern, becomes necessary for the seller’s entry. Even so, the 200-DMA level surrounding 1.2100 could challenge the bears. Following that, a downward trajectory towards the 1.2000 psychological magnet and then to September’s peak surrounding 1.1740 can’t be ruled out. It’s worth noting that the rising wedge confirmation signals a theoretical target of around 1.1000. Meanwhile, the upper line of the stated wedge, close to 1.2550, could act as an immediate upside hurdle to watch during the Cable pair’s further advances. In a case where the GBPUSD bulls defy the bearish chart pattern by crossing the 1.2550 hurdle, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s south-run from late March to September, near 1.2675, could lure the buyers. It’s worth noting that the mid-March low close to the 1.3000 psychological magnet and late March swing high near 1.3300 will be in focus if the quote remains firmer past 1.2675. Overall, GBPUSD is up for further downside as the BOE looms. However, a surprise hawkish outcome could allow the bulls to have a few more happy days.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD has more upside to track but 1.3700 is the key hurdleUSDCAD grabbed the bull’s attention ever since it crossed a two-month-old descending resistance line, now support around 1.3500. The upside bias also takes clues from the firmer RSI and MACD. However, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s October-November downside, near 1.3695, appears a tough nut to crack for buyers. Also acting as an upside filter is the monthly high of 1.3700, a break of which could quickly propel the quote towards November’s peak surrounding 1.3805. It’s worth noting that the Loonie pair’s run-up beyond 1.3805 could aim for October’s high near 1.3980, as well as the 1.4000 psychological magnet. Meanwhile, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level near 1.3600 restricts the USDCAD pair’s short-term downside ahead of highlighting the 1.3500 support confluence including the resistance-turned-support line from October and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Even if the pair declines below 1.3500, a convergence of 100-SMA and 200-SMA at 1.3485 appears strong support. Overall, USDCAD is likely to rise further but the 1.3700 resistance challenges the bulls.
by MTradingGlobal
200-DMA holds the gate for USDJPY bearsUSDJPY fades bounce off the 200-DMA as it failed to cross the previous support line from late May. However, nearly oversold RSI challenges the sellers and hence a short-term consolidation between the 200-DMA and the support-turned-resistance line, respectively around 135.00 and 138.00, can’t be ruled out. Even if the quote rises past the 138.00 round figure, the 21-DMA could challenge the buyers at around 138.50. It’s worth noting that a seven-week-old descending trend line joins the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the May-October upside, near 139.15-20, to act as the last defense of sellers. In a case where the yen pair remains firmer past 139.20, a quick run-up toward the late November high around 142.25 appears imminent. Meanwhile, a downside break of the 200-DMA support of 135.00 won’t hesitate to refresh the monthly low, currently around 133.60. Following that, the August month low near 130.40 and the 130.00 round figure can be witnessed. Should the quote remains bearish past 130.00, May’s bottom of 126.35 will lure the USDJPY bears. Overall, USDJPY is heading lower as the key week begins. However, it all depends upon the US inflation and Fed meeting.
Short
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD signals further run-up towards 1.3800 ahead of BOCA clear upside break of the 50-DMA and a descending trend line from October’s peak keeps USDCAD bulls hopeful ahead of the Bank of Canada’s (BOC) interest rate hike announcement. That said, the Loonie pair’s upside towards the previous monthly top surrounding 1.3800 appears imminent. However, multiple hurdles near 1.3850 could challenge the quote’s additional north-run, a break of which will direct the buyers towards the yearly high marked in October surrounding 1.3980. Alternatively, USDCAD pullback remains elusive unless the quote remains beyond the 50-DMA level near 1.3565. Also testing the bears is the aforementioned resistance line from October 13, now support near 1.3550. It’s worth noting that the three-week-old ascending support line, close to 1.3430, acts as an additional downside filter for the Loonie pair before directing the bears towards the 1.3230-25 horizontal support comprising July’s high and November’s low. Overall, the USDCAD pair has already flashed a bullish signal before the BOC’s widely anticipated rate hike.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY has more room towards the south as it breaks 200-DMAUSDJPY is under immense pressure as it breaks the 200-DMA support, as well as marks the 3.5-month low. Even though the oversold RSI suggests a mild corrective bounce, the trend appears bearish after it broke an upward-sloping support line from late May. That said, the bears currently aim for the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s May-October upside, around 132.00. If the quote fails to rebound from the key Fibonacci retracement level, the August month’s low near 130.40 and the 130.00 round figure may act as the last defense of the buyers. Alternatively, recovery moves need to provide a daily closing beyond the 200-DMA level of 134.60 to tease intraday buyers. Even so, a corrective bounce needs to cross the 137.40 resistance confluence comprising the previous support line from May and a monthly descending trend line. Should the quote rises past 137.40, another trend line from October 21, close to 140.25, will be crucial before giving control to buyers. Overall, USDJPY is likely to witness further downside towards 132.00 but further downside appears bumpy.
by MTradingGlobal
Bearish RSI divergence teases EURUSD sellers on a crucial dayAlthough the EURUSD pair is all set to register the biggest monthly gain since September 2010, a bearish RSI divergence on the Daily chart challenges the quote’s further upside as traders await Eurozone inflation and a speech from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. The price-negative signal could be known when the quote makes higher highs but the oscillator, RSI (14) in this case, prints lower tops. Also raising doubts about the pair’s further upside is its repeated failures to stay successfully beyond the 200-DMA, currently around 1.0380. It’s worth noting, however, that a fresh high of the monthly, close to 1.0500 at the latest, could reject the bearish divergence in case the RSI ticks up beyond the latest peak surrounding 60.40. Even so, the highs marked during late June near 1.0615 will precede the June month’s top of 1.0773 to test the bulls before allowing them to challenge May’s peak of 1.0786. Meanwhile, the previous weekly low close to 1.0220 seems to lure the short-term sellers of the EURUSD pair. Following that, September’s high near 1.0195 could act as the last defense of the buyers before directing the prices towards October’s top of 1.0088. In a case where the quote remains bearish past 1.0088, the parity level will precede the early September swing low around 0.9865 to please the bears. Overall, EURUSD bulls are running out of steam as they brace for the key data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
Bull flag keeps USDCAD buyers hopefulUSDCAD grinds lower inside a bullish chart pattern. That said, the 50-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.3570 guards the Loonie pair’s immediate upside before highlighting the flag’s upper line, around 1.3620. In a case where the quote rises past 1.3620, the odds favoring a run-up toward the monthly high of 1.3976 and then to the 1.4000 psychological magnet can’t be ruled out. Following that, the theoretical run-up challenging the previous peaks marked in 2020 and 2016, near 1.4670, could be expected. Meanwhile, the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of June-October upside, near 1.3250, could restrict short-term USDCAD downside ahead of the tops marked in July and early September, near 1.3220 and 1.3210 in that order. Should the quote drops below 1.3210, the 1.3200 round figure will precede the stated flag’s bottom line, surrounding 1.3115, to challenge the pair’s further downside. It’s worth noting, however, that the bear’s dominance past 1.3115 won’t hesitate to recall August month’s low of 1.2727 to the chart.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD is on the way to refresh monthly highEURUSD stays on the front foot after successfully breaking a one-week-old descending resistance line, now support around 1.0290. The upside momentum also crossed the support-turned-resistance line from November 04, close to 1.0370. That said, firmer RSI and bullish MACD signals keep the buyers hopeful of keeping the reins beynd the 1.0370 hurdle, which in turn could allow the pair to refresh the monthly top, currently around 1.0480. In doing so, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of November 10-21 moves, near 1.0560, will gain the market’s attention ahead of late June’s peak of 1.0615. Meanwhile, a downside break of the resistance-turned-support line of 1.0290 could quickly fetch EURUSD towards the weekly bottom surrounding 1.0226. Following that, a south-run towards a one-month-long horizontal support area between 1.0100 and 1.0085 will be in focus. In a case where the pair sellers dominate past 1.0085, the 200-SMA level near 0.9985 may act as the last defense of the buyers. To sum up, EURUSD remains firmer past short-term key resistances and signals additional upside.
by MTradingGlobal
AUDUSD bulls are at test, 0.6535 is the keyAUDUSD remains pressured after printing the first negative week in five. The bearish bias recently got acceptance from the 50-SMA breakdown. However, a 13-day-old support line near 0.6560 and the 100-SMA level surrounding 0.6535 challenge the bears of late. Should the quote drops below the key moving average, the odds of witnessing a gradual south-run towards a five-week-old ascending support line and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the September-October downturn, near 0.6350, could act as the last defense before directing sellers towards the yearly low near 0.6170. Meanwhile, the 50-SMA and a one-week-old descending trend line guard recovery moves of the AUDUSD pair around 0.6655 and 0.6700 respectively. Even if the Aussie pair buyers manage to cross the immediate hurdles, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and the monthly top, close to 0.6760 and 0.6800 in that order, will act as additional upside filters to challenge the upside momentum. Following that, a run-up towards the top marked in September around 0.6920 and the 0.7000 threshold can’t be ruled out. Overall, AUDUSD bulls ran out of steam in the last week and further downside is on the cards.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD remains on the bull’s radarGBPUSD remains sidelined since the last Wednesday and retreats from its intraday high so far on Monday. Even so, a 13-day-old ascending trend channel defends the pair buyers. More immediately, a convergence of the 50-EMA and an upward-sloping trend line from early October, around 1.1760, restricts the quote’s nearby downside. Following that, the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to 1.1720, will be crucial as a downside break of the same will direct bears towards the monthly low surrounding 1.1140. Alternatively, 1.1960 and the 1.2000 psychological magnet will precede the monthly peak surrounding 1.2030 to challenge the GBPUSD pair buyers during the quote’s fresh upside. Following that, the upper line of the previously mentioned channel, close to 1.2240, could restrict the pair’s further advances. In a case where the Cable pair rises past 1.2240, the August month high near 1.2295 will be in focus. Overall, GBPUSD stays on the bull’s radar despite the recently downbeat performance.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD needs a sustained break of 1.0430 to avoid a pullbackEURUSD refreshed a 4.5-month high by piercing the 200-DMA ahead of the US Retail Sales. Even so, a successful break of the stated key moving average level, around 1.0430 by the press time, appears necessary for the bulls to keep the reins, in addition to the downbeat US data. Following that, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of May-September declines, near 1.0520, could act as an additional upside filter before directing buyers towards the late June high near 1.0615. In a case where the pair remains firmer past 1.0615, the odds of crossing the mid-2022 peak surrounding 1.0785 can’t be ruled out. Meanwhile, EURUSD’s failure to provide a daily closing below 1.0430 could trigger a pullback towards a six-month-old horizontal support area near 1.0370-50. Should the pair breaks the multi-day-old support region, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level and September’s high, respectively near 1.0300 and 1.0195, could test the bears. It’s worth noting that a one-week-old support line and the 100-DMA, close to 1.0065 and 1.0025 in that order, are likely the last defenses for the pair buyers, a break of which will highlight the yearly low. Overall, EURUSD buyers remain in the driver’s seat but the further upside hinges on a 1.0430 breakout, as well as the US data.
by MTradingGlobal
USDJPY bears brace for 136.00A clear downside break of the 100-DMA, as well as a daily closing below July’s peak, keeps USDJPY sellers hopeful. However, a convergence of the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the May-October upside and an upward-sloping support line from May 24, around 136.00, appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Following that, a slump toward the 200-DMA support of 132.70 can’t be ruled out. However, an area comprising multiple levels marked since late April, around 131.25-50, could challenge the pair’s further downside. Alternatively, recovery moves need to stay beyond the 100-DMA support level surrounding 140.75-80 to trigger short-term corrective buying. Even so, 38.2% and 23.6% Fibonacci retracements, close to 142.20 and 145.90 in that order, could challenge the USDJPY buyers. In a case where the pair remains firmer past the 146.00 round figure, the odds of witnessing a run-up targeting the fresh 24-year high, currently around 152.00, can’t be ruled out. Overall, USDJPY sellers hold control but the downside room appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal
USDCAD bears are far from taking control USDCAD posted the biggest daily slump in six years on Friday and pushed back the bulls. The bears, however, have a long way to cover before taking control as a 15-month-old rising trend line, around 1.3330 by the press time, defends the upside expectations. Even if the quote breaks the said key support, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of August-October upside, near 1.3200, appears the last defense of the buyers before finally welcoming the sellers. Alternatively, recovery moves need successful trading beyond 1.3500 to convince the USDCAD buyers. Even so, the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and the monthly high, respectively around 1.3680 and 1.3810, could challenge the upside momentum. Following that, multiple hurdles near 1.3840-50 will precede the yearly top surrounding 1.3980 to probe the bulls. If the pair rises past 1.3980, the 1.4000 psychological magnet and the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of September-October moves, close to 1.4135, should be in the spotlight. Overall, USDCAD may witness a bit of corrective due to the 50-DMA break but the downtrend is far from here.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD buyers need validation from 1.0100 and FedDespite retreating from the 100-DMA during the last week, EURUSD defends the upside break of the 50-DMA and five-month-old descending trend line as traders await the Fed’s verdict on Wednesday. The major currency pair’s latest rebound also gains support from the firmer oscillators. As a result, bulls are hopeful of overcoming the 100-DMA hurdle surrounding 1.0070. Even so, the previous monthly top surrounding 1.0095 and the 1.0100 hurdle could test the upside momentum before giving control to buyers. In that case, a run-up towards the horizontal resistance area comprising multiple levels marked since May 12, close to 1.0360, appears more likely to follow. Meanwhile, a downside break of the resistance-turned-support and the 50-DMA, surrounding 0.9880, could quickly drag EURUSD towards a five-week-long support line near 0.9780. Should the quote break the nearby trend line support, the 0.9670-60 support region will gain the bear’s attention before targeting the yearly low near 0.9535. Overall, EURUSD is up for reversing the downward trajectory established in June. However, it all depends upon how well the Federal Reserve policymakers can convince markets of their dovish hike.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD braces for further upside but 0.9900 tests bullsEURUSD jostles with a four-month-old resistance line, as well as the 50-DMA, respectively around 0.9870 and 0.9900, as it lures buyers near a fortnight top. Given the firmer RSI and bullish MACD signals, the major currency pair is likely to refresh the monthly top, currently around the parity level. In doing so, September’s peak surrounding 1.0200 will be crucial to confirm the bullish trend. Following that, a run-up towards the five-week-old horizontal resistance area near 1.0360 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, the EURUSD pair’s failure to provide a successful break above 0.9900 could drag it to the monthly support line, close to 0.9720 by the press time. Even so, the bears may want to wait for a clear break of the four-week-long support zone around 0.9660 to retake control. In that case, the yearly low of 0.9535 will gain the market’s attention. In a case where the quote remains weak past 0.9535, the 0.9000 psychological magnet should lure the sellers. Overall, EURUSD is up for regaining the bull’s confidence but a clear break of 0.990 is necessary.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD signals further downside, 0.9670 in focusAfter staying off the bear’s radar during the first two days of the week, EURUSD returned to the red zone as it broke the weekly support line. The trend line breakdown joins downbeat oscillators to keep sellers hopeful of meeting an upward-sloping trend line support from September 28, around 0.9670. The quote’s further downside, however, will be challenged by the monthly low of 0.9631, a break of which could quickly drag prices towards the multi-year low marked in the last month around 0.9535. Alternatively, the support-turned-resistance around 0.9840 guards the immediate recovery moves. However, a convergence of 200-SMA and a five-week-old descending resistance line, close to 0.9855, appears a tough nut to crack for the EURUSD bulls. It should be noted, though, that the pair’s successful break of 0.9855 will open the doors for the run-up toward challenging the monthly peak surrounding the parity mark that seems the last defense of the bears. Overall, EURUSD has already welcomed the bears but the party appears a small one unless breaking 0.9670.
by MTradingGlobal
Rising wedge challenges USDCAD bulls below 1.4000USDCAD retreats from the highest level in 29 months as bulls appear to run out of steam. That being said, the recent moves of oscillators and the rising wedge bearish formation on the top teases sellers at the multi-month top. However, a clear downside break of the stated pattern’s support line, around 1.3930 by the press time, as well as the smashing of the 100-SMA level of 1.3695, becomes necessary for the bears. Following that, a south-run towards the monthly low near 1.3500 seems quick on the way to the theoretical target of 1.3400. Alternatively, the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the USDCAD pair’s moves between September 14 and October 05, around 1.3935, could lure the intraday buyers ahead of the aforementioned wedge’s top, close to the 1.4000 psychological magnet. In a case where the quote stays firmer past 1.4000, the 78.6% FE level near 1.4050 could challenge the upside momentum before directing the bulls towards the May 2020 peak surrounding 1.4175. Overall, USDCAD grinds higher inside a bearish chart formation to appear risky for the fresh long positions.
by MTradingGlobal
EURUSD braces for fresh yearly low ahead of key events/dataEURUSD bears take a rest around the two-week-old horizontal support area while waiting for this week’s key catalysts, namely FOMC Meeting Minutes and US CPI. That said, sluggish RSI and bearish MACD signals join the quote’s sustained trading below the 50-SMA to keep sellers hopeful. However, a clear downside break of the 0.9665-50 region appears necessary for the fresh leg down. Following that, the latest multi-year low, marked in September around 0.9535, will gain the attention ahead of the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of August-October moves, close to 0.9485. In a case where the pair remains weak past 0.9485, the odds of witnessing a slump toward the September 2001 high near 0.9330 can’t be ruled out. Alternatively, recovery moves need to cross the 50-SMA level of 0.9800 for the start. Following that, the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the August-September downside and the monthly high, respectively around 0.9950 and the 1.0000 psychological magnet should lure the EURUSD buyers. If the quote remains firmer past 1.0000, a two-month-old downward sloping resistance line, around 1.0025 by the press time appears the last defense of the bears. To sum up, EURUSD appears bearish ahead of this week’s important data/events.
by MTradingGlobal
GBPUSD faces uphill task to extend the latest reboundGBPUSD remains inside an eight-day-old bullish channel, as well as the 100-SMA, suggesting further upside. However, the 200-SMA and a downward sloping resistance line from August 26, respectively around 1.1430 and 1.1480, appear tough nuts to crack for the pair buyers. Also challenging the north-run is the RSI conditions which gradually approach the overbought territory. Even if the quote crosses the 1.1480 resistance, the aforementioned channel’s resistance line, near 1.1670, could challenge the cable buyers. Alternatively, the stated channel’s support line and the 100-SMA, around 1.1280 and 1.1200 in that order, act as the trigger for GBPUSD’s fresh selling. Following that, tops marked during late September, around 1.0930-15, could lure the bears. In a case where the prices remain weak past 1.0915, the year 1985 low near 1.0520 and the record low marked in the last month around 1.0345, will regain the market’s attention. Overall, GBPUSD fades upside momentum but the bears need to justify their strength to retake control.
by MTradingGlobal
NZDUSD struggles to justify RBNZ’s eighth rate hikeAlthough the RBNZ didn’t disappoint, like the RBA, and announced a widely expected 0.50% rate hike, the NZDUSD pair remains mildly bid after refreshing the weekly top. In doing so, the Kiwi pair stays below a one-week-old horizontal hurdle surrounding 0.5750. With this, the odds of the quote’s pullback towards the latest swing low near 0.5680 can’t be ruled out. However, the 0.5620 and the yearly low around 0.5565 will challenge the bears afterward. Meanwhile, a successful break of the 0.5750 resistance will aim for the 100-SMA hurdle near 0.5830. Following that, a downward sloping trend line from August 12, close to 0.5925 by the press time, will challenge the NZDUSD pair’s further upside. It’s worth noting that the 200-SMA resistance near 0.5980 appears the last defense of the bears, a break of which won’t hesitate to probe the previous monthly top near 0.6160. Overall, NZDUSD remains in a bear trap despite the latest rebound. The downside, however, appears limited.
by MTradingGlobal