DOUBLE Your Capital?Maruti Suzuki is forming a beautiful inverted head and shoulders in the weekly time frame. Once broken at 8500 it will give a short term targets of 10000 and if that is broken a good target of 13000+ levels are possible ( This is the possibility based on the technical approach although the semiconductor issue may be there till the mid of 2022)
This stock deserves to be on the watchlist for the coming months.
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Happy Trading :)
MARUTI
MARUTI looking strong on technical chartsTrend reversal happened and MACD is about to crossover from downside and trend lines holding strong and Strong RSI would favour achieving upside target.Price is at an important level near 200 day and 50 day EMA.
Can happen anything in the chaos.Invest at your own risk.
MARUTI : Probable reversal of two months down-trendMARUTI : a bit risky trade as it is in down-trend since last two months and now a probable reversal may seen above Rs.6950...
Entry above Rs.6960
Stoploss : Rs.6819 & Rs.6739 (as per risk management)
Targets : Rs.7240 (much achievable), Rs.7335, Rs.7450
BANK NIFTY tears apart 37K, Lifts NIFTY past 17600NIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -16-09-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
17539.2 / 17644.6 / 17510.45 / 17629.5
H-L = 134 points
VIX 14.41 / +4.95%
FII DII: +826 Crores
Likely open: Flat to mild positive. All eyes would be on BANK NIFTY - whether it can hold higher levels and attain ATH as the week draws to a close.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS - 15 Minutes Chart
A mild gap-up open was immediately sold in to and the P Close was retested but then, NIFTY never looked back though the upside move was quite choppy when compared to BANK NIFTY.
The daily chart indicates that there was a strong buying that led the rise to the levels above 17600 even though the range was somewhat less when compared to BANK NIFTY.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
RELIANCE 47
ITC 34
ICICI BANK 24
SBI 23
HDFC BANK 15
TOTAL 143
The Draggers
TCS 15
BPCL 12
INFOSYS 09
GRASIM 05
JSW STEEL 05
TOTAL 46
Lifter - Draggers = +97
BPCL turned ex-dividend so the fall. It is best to ignore the same. Once we do that, the strong upmove is explained easily.
POSITIVES
NIFTY closed at a new ATH and also hit a new ATH.
And both are above 17600.
BANK NIFTY tore apart 37000-37200 resistance with fury and was responsible for lifting NIFTY along with RELIANCE.
BANK NIFTY ended on a new ATH and so did SBIN.
FIIs have bought in good numbers so the momentum is likely to continue in the short term.
NEGATIVES
INFOSYS keeps coming down.
HDFC made a lower close than yesterday.
VIX has gone up by almost 5%.
TRADING RANGE FOR 17-09-21
17300-17350 is the new support base. For the resistances, we will have to let a few days go by to see how and where it gets formed.
BANK NIFTY tore apart the barriers in typical style and is now facing resistance at 37800-38000-38200.
INSIGHTS / OBSERVATIONS
And as mentioned yesterday, the Banking giants roared and in style today to tear apart the resistance of 37000-37200 and the short covering may have fueled further upside in the index.
The fury was evident as in the AM session, even when HDFC BANK was in the red, BANK NIFTY kept rising gradually and held on to the opening low.
For the last 2-3 days I have been observing that HDFC BANK is unable to make a significant impact on the indices. I am not sure if the weight has changed or the other members of the indices group have gathered all-around support. This is a good sign as any dependency on one or two scrips is not a good sign from index strength POV.
A few days ago, I made an entry into IDEA at 7.3 and then gradually added few shares with every rise. Today cumulative ROI was seen at 43%! On a scrip that had trouble all over at that time, but my decision was very simple - MA-based.
So the next time when your process tells you to go long/short, just go ahead. Eventually, following the right process will lead you to the right outcome.
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
16-09-21
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
BANK NIFTY rescues NIFTY for a changeNIFTY 50 EOD ANALYSIS -08-09-21
IN SUMMARY
O / H / L / C
17375.75 / 17383.4 / 17254.20 / 17353.5
H-L = 149 points
VIX 14.41 / -3.29%
FII DII: -802 Crores
Likely open: BANK NIFTY holds the key. Based on the numbers looks a flat to a positive open.
CHART BASED CONCLUSIONS
NIFTY played negative today and did not even bother to go past the opening high made and ended the day just below the P Close.
In the process, it has not only done a lower high but also made a lower low by drifting towards 17250 and dangerously close it.
Soon as Europe opened, the sell-off started and lasted for an hour or so, and then, there was the usual jerks-driven relief rally only to end flat.
On the daily charts, it has formed a hammer pattern indicating good bounce from the lower areas.
NIFTY WEIGHT LIFTERS & DRAGGERS
The Weight Lifters
KOTAK BANK 03
HDFC BANK 03
ICICI BANK 02
TITAN 02
HUL 01
TOTAL 11
The Draggers
NESTLE 04
INFOSYS 04
TCS 04
BAJAJ FINANCE 03
RELIANCE 03
TOTAL 18
Lifter - Draggers = -07
The above is what mattered in the end. It looks like the rest of the scrips had no role to play or it was too insignificant by EOD.
POSITIVES
NIFTY ended flat and recovered more than 90 points after the sell-off.
BANK NIFTY changed the corner and was the savior for NIFTY.
Even though the private banks have not contributed significantly, their not being negative helped the indices to maintain their levels.
RELIANCE and HDFC recovered well from their respective lows which came in handy in ensuring that NIFTY closes flat.
NEGATIVES
NIFTY could not go anywhere near 17400.
NIFTY breached the recent swing lows and drifted towards 17250.
INFOSYS and TCS have been showing continued weakness.
MARUTI has been falling yet again after a good recovery a couple of sessions ago.
FIIs DIIs remain net sellers.
TRADING RANGE FOR 08-09-21
17000-17200 is the support base.17400-450-500 may be the resistance area for NIFTY.
BANK NIFTY support stays at 36200-400 and resistance at 37000-37200.
INSIGHT / OBSERVATIONS
The price action in INFOSYS appeared to be managed if one looks at the candles for the last 2 hours. There were spikes and sell-off as if 1700 CE writers had a point or two to prove in ending the day below 1700.
MARUTI fell more than 1.5% but it seems to have made no impact on NIFTY which is indeed surprising as, at one stage, the fall was close to 100 points.
The star of the day was KOTAK BANK as it almost single-handedly changed the tide for NIFTY and therefore BANK NIFTY. The strong up move prompted other banks to also chip in. It now needs to be seen if it can hold on to the momentum possibly created by it being included in the LIC IPO proceedings.
Interesting expiry tomorrow - will the God that rings in Auspicious Beginnings help NIFTY close the week at a new ATH? Or will the IT biggies with RELIANCE like to keep dragging NIFTY?
Wait and Watch!
What do you feel about this?
Thank you, and Happy Money Making!
Umesh
08-09-21
P.S. If you choose to comment on the above, please do so with your analytical view rather than merely passing a comment. Your presentation of the view held by you would help other readers as well.
NOTE --
This write-up is not a prediction mechanism for the movement of Indices in the Indian markets as the markets are unpredictable in nature. I may refer to many data points in the article but I do not base my view on any of these standalone. In fact, I prefer to react to the price moves than predict the price moves. I also do not review Open Interest. Whatever data points I am using, are all stated in the article. The article title, as well as its contents, can at best be stated as --- This Is How I Read Nifty. I hope I have been able to set the expectations right.
Maruti Expected a trend reversal RSI strengthening , EMA crossing DMA , MACD Bullish crossover and Break of 1st resistance can strengthen Maruti price over short term and can lead to good uptrend. It is expected not guaranteed. All balls to be hit to have good gains . This is not a financial advice.