Metals
XAUUSD June 12, 2024 everyone waiting for the CPI roundLast week we had strong market fluctuations
- Looking from the US economic perspective, we see that with the economic indicators announced last week, we see a number of important issues.
- ISM PMI index, which is an index measuring the development of the industry, is lower than 50 standard units of this index, signaling that the industry is slowing down.
- The unemployment rate and the number of applications for unemployment benefits increased, showing that the economic situation is slowing down
With bad economic signals, the main reason is due to high interest rates, which reduces the cash flow in the US economy, causing a lack of capital for economic development.
However, on Friday when the Nonfarm index was released, we saw a sharp increase in the job change rate, which could be the medicine to help the Fed maintain high interest rates for a while longer.
Curbing inflation to 2% will come at the cost of economic stagnation, so today's CPI will help us have a clearer view of the decision to cut interest rates in the near future. .
From an analytical perspective according to Elliot
- After forming the abc wave structure (black), the price does not decrease according to the previous trend but forms a structure running in a triangle wedge. This brings us to a complex adjustment model abcde
- Looking at the complex correction model, it is difficult to specifically identify each wave. We can only recognize when the model is complete
- This pattern is confirmed when the price breaks out of the lower boundary of the triangle. We will wait for this Breakout to enter a sell order.
- In case the price breaks out to the upper edge, this correction model is no longer correct when measuring, we must confirm the price model at that time.
After wave 4 completes, the price continues to follow the previous downtrend to complete wave 5
- We have wave 5 targets at 2 price zones 2264 and 2229.
- We can find buy points in these areas.
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
XAUUSD: Waiting for a new selling opportunity from FOMCHi everybody,
In today's trading session, gold prices increased slightly. However, the looming threat of a "hot" inflation report from the Federal Reserve's FOMC meeting starting this morning (June 12) could push gold prices down.
While demand from bargain hunters has boosted gold prices, gains have been limited by a strong US dollar.
Recent positive economic news from the US suggests the Fed may continue its current monetary policy for longer. Additionally, with several major central banks having already cut interest rates and possibly further cuts in the coming months, the dollar remains high and could rise further, putting pressure on gold.
Stay tuned to see how the market behaves in the coming days!
Gold→ Cause of decline. Can gold fall even lower? 2265Traders! Gold is making new lows and there are a number of reasons for that. Price after Friday's sell-off is returning to the downtrend boundary, which determines our medium-term outlook.
So why is gold falling? The market is negatively affected by the strengthening of the dollar, due to positive Nonfarm Payrolls for the US market, which usually shapes the medium-term mood for the market. Traders also turned bearish on news regarding China's Central Bank suspending global gold purchases.
Technically, it is very likely that the downtrend on H1 will continue.
Resistance levels: 2300,2315
Support levels: 2291, 2267
I expect local strengthening ahead of the next decline. Traders may attempt to buy back some of the decline (collect liquidity) before further testing support with a view to a breakout.
Gold price today: Costed the price of 2300 USDThe current situation:
On June 11, 2024, gold price is trading around the psychological level of 2300 USD/ounce, increasing significantly compared to the previous closing. This increase takes place in the context of weakds of the dollar and the yield of bonds decreases slightly.
Impact factors:
-Global monetary and economic policy:
Investors are expecting monetary policy decisions from the US Federal Reserve (Fed) this week. It is forecast that the Fed can keep or cut interest rates that weaken the dollar, creating favorable conditions for the increase in gold prices
-Safety and investment bridge:
Gold benefits from the role of safe shelter in the context of economic and financial instability. With concerns about global economic growth and fluctuations in the stock market, investors are looking for gold as a safe investment option.
Forecast in the short term, gold prices are likely to maintain an increase trend if the support factors such as the dollar weakened and the bond yields decreased.
From the technical analysis:
Currently, the latest support threshold of gold is about 2310 - 2315 USD/ounce. Strong resistance threshold is determined at 2,385 USD/ounce. The breaking of this resistance threshold can bring gold to higher levels in the coming time
Update gold prices every day of the weekFundamentally, gold is under dual pressure from both the US and China, which are noted as two very important fundamental impacts on gold prices.
On the one hand, gold prices are under pressure because US macro data boosts market sentiment in favor of the possibility that the Fed will have to keep interest rates high for a longer period of time, which is beneficial for the USD and metals. unattractive quarter.
On the other hand, China stopped buying gold after 18 consecutive months of buying, also making the market worried about profit-taking time. It is also possible that this will help the gold price adjust down so that the Central Bank of China can continue to buy at a better price, because they just stopped and did not sell. However, we (short-term traders) will be affected by this because it creates surprises in the market.
There is nothing new in the geopolitical situation, so for the time being, we basically need to pay attention to US data and China's gold buying activities to quickly orient to changes without facing many uncertainties. doubt.
Plan to trade on June 10
👨💻 XAUUSD SELL zone 2335 - 2337
🔹SL 2340
🔹TP 2330 - 2320 - 2310
In addition, Buy Scalping bets will be updated continuously, so please follow the group to earn the best profits ❤️❤️
Wishing you Full City
XAUUSD June 11, 2024 waiting for an opportunity to buy up?This week we have important news: CPI news. Last week's Nofarm newsletter provided indicators that allow the Fed to continue maintaining monetary policy as rising employment data gives the Fed confidence that people can still withstand tightening monetary policy.
But with other recent data, the US economy is clearly being adversely affected by the Fed's monetary policy.
On Wednesday, CPI news will be released and will clearly show us the Fed's trend in the near future. When the forecasted indicators are very positive for the Fed's work to control inflation. If the news is announced as expected, it could be a signal for the Fed to loosen its monetary policy.
Looking at H4, we see the recovery after the sharp decline last week, signaling that wave 4 is forming.
- Looking at the corrective wave structure, we see that there have been 3 corrective waves a b c and the current position of wave c has also reached the target area that we predicted the day before.
- It is possible that wave C in the corrective structure or wave 4 as shown on the chart has now formed and we expect wave 5 to continue the downtrend.
- Looking at the momentum of the H4 frame, we see that the H4 momentum has reversed to decrease in the overbought area, this reinforces the upcoming decline.
- We measure the end target of wave 5 ending at 2 price target areas: area 2264 and area 2229.
In the immediate future, we can look for sell down orders
When the price continues to target wave 5, which is 2264 or 2229, we look for buy orders.
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
Gold is bearish below 2315 can touch 2300 2387 2377Good Morning Traders,
Till the time gold is moving below 2315
we can se more low levels 2300 2380 and 2377.
If Gold will break 2315 and sustain above then only
we can see 2330 2342 and 2356
Our preference is sell from high,
Plan accordingly, Happy Trading 😊
Gold Trading Setup For 1hr Time FramHii Dear Traders,
I have analysed the GOLD Trading setup in 1hr time frame.
Reason:
The market is already in big box like sideways if you look but this last support was broken with little gap down, so as per the price action market will be down to take support from the high potential area, please analyse and share the feedback.
AUDUSD SHORT
FOREXCOM:AUDUSD
High chance to big fall.....But wait for the 15M reversal confirmation for entry
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
Gold is bearish below 2310 2315. Next is 2287 2270 Good Morning Traders,
Till the time gold is moving below 2310 and 2315
we can se more low levels 2287 2270 and 2260.
If Gold will break 2310 and sustain above then only
we can see 2340 2345 and 2356
Our preference is sell from high,
Plan accordingly, Happy Trading
XAUUSD week 2 June 2024 where will the decline come?Last week, China announced that it would stop buying Gold in May, making investors worried, leading to a sharp drop last Friday. In addition, the published Nonfarm news also showed that the change in US employment rate increased sharply from 165k to 275k. These are the things that caused Gold to have a sharp decline on Friday
Looking at D1, we see that the sharp drop in price on Friday completely negated the increase last week.
- This also confirms that wave 5 has not yet started when the price breaks below the 2318 zone
- So the wave 4 correction model now becomes a Flat model with the top of wave b equal to the bottom of wave a.
- From the measurement, we can measure the target of wave c in wave abc or wave 4, there will be 2 targets: area 2260 and area 2205.
- This correction process, the abc process in wave 4, is confirmed to be completed when the price breaks through 2452
- This correction is negated (i.e. our current wave counting model is no longer valid) when the price breaks below 2145.
- Looking at the current momentum indicator, it is preparing to reverse and decrease so in the short term, the price will continue to decline, so we should limit bottom fishing at the current price range.
Our trading plan is to observe two target zones, the 2260 zone and the 2205 zone, to find a buy signal.
XAUUSD June 7, 2024 before important Non Farm news
Today we will have information about the Non Farm index published. From Non Farm ADP data
US ADP employment rose 152,000 in May, less than the gain in April. It was below market expectations and hit a three-month low. Additionally, April data has been revised downward.
Employment in the goods-producing sector increased by just 3,000, down significantly from 47,000 the previous month. The services sector increased by 149,000 jobs, of which 55,000 came from trade, logistics and utilities, but the number of jobs in the information industry continued to decrease by 7,000.
We realize that the US labor market is weakening, because ADP is the index used to predict official Nonfarm, so today's index will be very important for the upcoming gold trend.
Many indicators published during this time signaled that the US economy was weakening due to the impact of the FED's tightening monetary policy to reduce inflation. This will be one of the important conditions for the Fed to loosen monetary policy in the coming time.
Looking at H1 we see that a small wave 1 2 3 4 5 is about to complete.
Wave 3 target has been completed and currently the price is completing waves 4 and 5.
- We measure the target of wave 5 at the price range of 2390 and 2413
- After the price completes wave 5, the next wave will be the abc correction
- We will monitor Take Profit with purchased transactions at the price range we have previously given such as area 2317 and area 2354.
- Short-term sell orders can be initiated at this target price range of 2390 or 2413.
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
“Golden Cross” directs Gold buyers toward $2,400 as US NFP loomsGold braces for the first weekly gain in three even as it seesaws at the highest level in a fortnight early Friday. That said, the precious metal’s latest inaction could be linked to the cautious mood ahead of the US monthly employment data including the headline Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Even so, the quote’s capacity to reverse from a month-old rising support line, backed by the bullish MACD signals and upbeat RSI (14) line, keeps the buyers hopeful. Apart from that, the 50-SMA also crosses the 200-SMA from below and portrays a bullish moving average crossover known as the “Golden Cross”, which in turn also suggests the XAUUSD’s upside. With this, the bullion is almost certain to hit an 11-week-old previous support line, now immediate resistance near the $2,400 threshold. However, a horizontal area comprising tops marked since early April, around $2,431-33, quickly followed by the all-time high of $2,450 flashed in May, will challenge the bulls afterward.
On the contrary, a strong US jobs report and a firmer US Dollar could drag the Gold price back toward the aforementioned SMAs, close to $2,346-45 by the press time. Following that, a one-month-old ascending support line near $2,320 and the $2,300 round figure will lure the XAUUSD bears. It’s worth noting that May’s low of nearly $2,277 acts as the final defense of the buyers, a break of which will give control to the bullion sellers targeting late March swing high surrounding $2,222.
Overall, the Gold price is likely to extend the previous run-up but the upside room is limited.
Gold is bullish above 2360 2362 till 2385 2395Good Morning Traders,
Till the time gold is moving above 2360 and 2362
we can se more above levels 2380 2385 and 2390 2395.
If Gold will break 2360 and sustain below then only
we can see 3450 2345 and 2340
Reson for gold bullishness is
Israel’s war on Gaza updates:At least 40 people died
in the strike on the United Nations-run school in Nuseirat, medical workers at the nearby Al-Aqsa Martyrs Hospital said.
Our preference is sell from high and buy from dip
Plan accordingly, Happy Trading 😊
XAUUSD on June 6, 2024, the uptrend officially begins?
Yesterday Israel attacked Hamas, causing gold prices to increase sharply last night despite the ISM PMI index being greater than 50.
Looking at H1, the news of Israel attacking Hamas has caused the price of Gold to rise through tradingrank for more than a week now.
- Price surpasses 2464 and confirms wave 5 has ended at our target area of 2317.
- From the chart we see that wave 5 is an Ending Diagonal Triangle (ED) wave. This wave usually appears at the end of the trend. When this wave ends, a new trend will open
- So we hope the next price target is 2397
- Looking at the H4 momentum indicator, we see that this indicator is in the overbought zone and is about to reverse. Looking at the H1 momentum indicator, we see that this indicator is entering the overbought zone. So in the immediate future, we expect a correction to confirm wave 1 and wave 2.
- We have 2 temporary target areas measured on the H1 chart measured from existing data. We continue to observe to wait for this confirmation adjustment to complete.
In our plan, we pay attention to the 2397 zone. If the price reaches this zone, there may be a big correction that we can take advantage of to sell down.
Adjustment areas 2464 and 2354 may be the price will retest these areas and we can proceed to buy up.
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
XAUUSD June 4, 2024 has the uptrend begun?
Yesterday after the PMI news was announced, we witnessed a price increase to the 2354 area.
- The PMI index is used to measure the degree of expansion of industries. We see that this index is lower than the previous period, which continues to support the fact that the US economy currently continues to show signs of decline.
- In recent weeks, economic indicators have signaled that the US economy is showing signs of decline, combined with inflation cooling down, this is a signal for the FED to cut interest rates in the near future. .
Looking at H1 last night's increase continues to confirm for us that the wave 5 target has been achieved at the price range of 2317.
- So now we may have a new trend forming. We have the 2464 price range used to confirm this trend when the price surpasses this price range.
- Currently, we expect a correction to consolidate this newly formed trend when the price does not surpass the 2315 price range. That is, we measure the target of this correction at the 2335 and 2330 zones.
Planning to buy more when the price reaches these areas, we wait for a reaction to find a reversal signal to execute the buy order
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
XAUUSD June 3, 2024 Gold's target zone?We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone.
As Friday passes, the market eagerly awaits the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index to be announced later. It is expected to show moderate price pressure in April, which would support the case for a rate cut later this year. Anticipation of interest rate cuts is favorable for gold as a non-yielding asset.
Looking at H1, we see that the price dropped sharply last weekend. Currently the price is in the 2330 area
- Looking at RSI, we see the phenomenon of bottom divergence. This signals that the immediate selling force has weakened. Maybe the downward momentum will no longer be strong
- Looking at the current price structure, we can see that the price is currently completing wave 5
- We have wave 5 targets which are 2 price zones: 2317.6 and 2311.5
- Looking at the momentum indicator, we see that the momentum is currently in the overbought zone and could reverse at any time.
- We expect the price to reach the target zone of wave 5 to find conditions for executing buy orders in this zone.
Deekop's analysis is free from any personal bias intended to serve everyone. I can't always be right - no one can. But my analyzes reflect Deekop's meticulous assessment of the market situation in the medium and long term and nothing more to help people have the best trading plan.
XAUUSD May 31, 2024 gold price reaches correction target?Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
The news was announced yesterday
Preliminary GDP news is 1.3%, lower than expected 1.6%
Applications for unemployment benefits were 219k, higher than the previous period's 216k
News that pending home sales are down 7.7%
Yesterday's news indicators are showing that the US economy is facing difficulties due to the Fed's monetary policy control.
Looking back a bit, we see that the CPI (Consumer Price Index) this period has decreased compared to the previous period. Tonight, the PCI (Personal Consumption Index) will be announced. If this index cools down, US inflation should have a good signal. This will contribute to helping the FED loosen its current monetary policy.
The goal of tightening monetary policy is to ensure inflation reaches 2%, and when tightening monetary policy, raising interest rates will cause the economy to stagnate. Therefore, if US inflation has shown signs of cooling down while the economy is showing signs of stagnation, it is necessary for the Fed to consider policies to ensure a balance between economic goals and inflation goals. .
Looking at the H1 chart, we see that the first target of wave 5 was achieved, then the price rebounded.
- After the price bounces back, it is still early to say the correction has ended because the correction is confirmed to end when the price closes above 2450. But at least we will expect a price increase to the target. 2400 next week.
- Currently we have price that has completed wave 1 as shown on the chart and is completing wave 2. We have a very good buying target which is the price range from 2337 to 2332.
Our trading plan is to wait for the price to react in the price range 2337 to 2332 to look for buy signals.
XAUUSD on May 30, 2024, the rally is about to beginWith the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5.
Today will release news on unemployment claims, preliminary GDP, and pending home sales, with forecasts worse than last period, if tonight's actual index reflects correctly. This seems to signal that the US economy is being affected by monetary policy due to maintaining current high interest rates.
Tomorrow is an important day to announce the PCI index (Index of price changes and consumer goods purchased by consumers excluding food and energy). If this index cools down, it could influence the Fed to loosen current monetary policy.
Looking back over recent times, we see that the CPI inflation index has begun to show signs of decreasing, combined with economic pressure that may cause the Fed to decide to loosen its monetary policy, especially tomorrow if PCI index cooled down.
Looking at H1, we see that the price has completed wave 4 and is continuing to complete wave 5.
- We see that the current price has broken below the supply and demand balance zone as shown on the chart
- With the wave 5 targets projected on the chart, we have 2 target zones: zone 1 is 2322.7 and target zone 2 is 2311.5.
- We wait for the price to reach the 2322.7 or 2311.5 areas to find reversal signals to decide to buy.
NASDAQ - IDEA - SETUPFOREXCOM:NAS100
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!
US30 SetupFOREXCOM:US30
Hello traders , here is the full multi time frame analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. wait for more Smart Money to develop before taking any position . I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied...
Keep trading
Hustle hard
Markets can be Unpredictable, research before trading.
Disclaimer: This trade idea is based on Smart money concept and is for informational purposes only. Trading involves risks; seek professional advice before making any financial decisions. Informational only!!!!