Vedanta Target Achieved 14May (1May)As mentioned in the 1st May post, Vedanta has moved upto around 440 levels with a clear RSI divergence on daily chart under formation since mid of April. Currently, the risk reward ratio doesn’t seem favourable and RSI needs to cool down as well. It is safer to book profits at these levels and wait for a healthy correction (in the form of Wave 2) for any fresh entry. Any movement above 440 levels may seem exciting but could also be a trap. Let’s be watchful.
Not all stocks in a sector move in tandem. Each has its own journey and timing. This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own due diligence/analysis.
Metals
XAUUSD - Bearish but outlook still bullish!Hi everybody. At the beginning of today's trading session, gold fell after a strong increase late last Friday. Year-to-date, the precious metal is down more than $10, reflecting a 0.48% drop on the day.
Looking ahead, gold is expected to face more short- and medium-term corrections. However, from a long-term perspective, investors and markets are still optimistic that gold will regain the $2,400 level. This belief is reinforced by signs that the US labor market is cooling. With inflation under control and US interest rate cuts expected to increase - currently expected to happen twice - the outlook for gold remains positive, encouraging traders to stay maintain faith in its resilience!
Gold price today: Forecasted to continue to increase sharply?Hello dear friends, let's learn about gold prices in the new week!
Currently, gold is continuing to adjust after a strong price increase over the last two days of last week. This metal is trading around 2,358 USD in the first trading hours of the second day and down 0.11% on the day.
Accordingly, the correction is taking place according to the basic wave structure, so there is nothing too worrying about the metal's ability to continue to recover.
In terms of outlook: Gold targets the 2045 USD range to test the EMA line as well as complete the correction wave around the 0.5-0.618 Fibonacci level followed by a price increase again according to Dow theory.
Regarding forecasts: Of the 17 analysts who participated in the survey, 10 experts, or 59%, expect to see gold prices move higher next week; while only 2 analysts, accounting for 12%, predict prices will decrease. The remaining five experts, or 29% of the total, see gold trending sideways.
GOLD | STRONG PULLBACK WE CAN EXPECT HERE
#GOLD Setup: We will take a BUY position @ 2355 and collect profit at 2360, 2365 & 2370
Many confluence confirmed: Uptrend.
Risk:- 0.50-1%
Tips: Keep trailing your SL after 80+ Pips to lock your profit.
Thanks to all those who have followed me and liked my post.
Special thanks to all those who DM me and commented on my analysis wanting to know more about the trade.
Is Nifty ready for the new upmove ??Nifty is creating a falling wedge, along with a hidden bullish divergence in the daily chart !
A strong move can be seen once nifty give a close above 22135 level its immediate target is 22330-350 level. above that new ranges opens up !
Bullish hidden divergence are rare to find overall which indicates the undercurrent is strong for a up move !
Gold price returns to the race to increase?Global gold prices have continued their upward trend, with gold prices reaching $2,360/ounce.
This is the strongest increase in 5 weeks, as more and more investors expect that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will soon adjust monetary policy towards loosening. This optimism is further reinforced by recent economic data, which shows a slowdown in the US economy, increasing expectations that the Fed will have to loosen monetary policy in the near future. Specifically, after the US monthly employment report did not meet expectations, the latest report on weekly unemployment benefit applications increased higher than expected, which pushed gold prices up more than 1%. , reaching its highest level of the month.
Gold price today: Gaining momentum again!Golden information:
According to the weekly report from the US Department of Labor, the number of first-time applications for unemployment benefits in this country has increased to the highest level since August last year. In the week ending May 4, the number of people applying for unemployment benefits for the first time in the US increased by 20,000 people compared to the previous week, an increase that exceeded expectations, to 231,000 people.
The data raises expectations that the Fed will begin cutting interest rates at some point this year. Gold is a non-interest-bearing asset, so the strength of gold prices is often reinforced when the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates increases.
In addition, gold price this session is also supported by the decrease in USD exchange rate and US Treasury bond yields.
After the US jobs report, the Dollar Index measuring the strength of the USD decreased by about 0.3%, to more than 105.2 points. Gold is priced in USD, so USD depreciation is a beneficial factor for gold prices.
XAUUSD - Shocking price increaseEveryone, let's find out what's new in the gold market today!
Yesterday, gold saw a significant breakthrough, as the metal rose from around $2300 USD to as high as $2350 USD at the moment, completely shedding previous bearish sentiment.
The weakening of the USD has strongly supported the upward trend in the price of this precious metal. In addition, gold prices rose even higher "after a number of major central banks decided to cut interest rates or signaled their willingness to cut interest rates further in the future." Lower interest rates reduce the "opportunity cost" of holding gold, a non-yielding asset, making it a more attractive investment.
Looking at the chart analysis: Gold is approaching the resistance area as marked.
On the upside: If it succeeds in maintaining this trend and successfully closes above resistance, XAUUSD will open up a profitable opportunity to quickly move towards $2400 USD. On the other hand, if a pullback to correct the trend occurs, XAUUSD will retest the breakout zone at $2330 USD once again, but the uptrend will still be maintained as the 34 EMA is reversing and signaling positivity for buyers.
Gold price today: Prospect of price increase delayed!Hello dear friends, let's understand today's gold price!
Currently, today's gold price continues to move above 2,300 USD and has not changed much compared to the same trading session yesterday.
Accordingly, Gold remains at familiar levels in the context of rising US Treasury bond interest rates and a strong US dollar. Traders await unemployment claims on Thursday, followed by the University of Michigan's Consumer Sentiment survey on Friday to find new direction for the metal.
Looking at the outlook from the technical chart:
The 4h chart of XAU/USD shows that the upside potential is still limited, the metal continues to be limited below the resistance of 2335 USD and moves below the two EMAs 34, 89 without a clear direction. Bears may have a better chance of a clear break below the $2,300 mark until Gold breaks below that level and trades around $2,260 according to the trendline.
Update the latest gold price today!Hello everyone, today we will learn about the gold market to determine whether this is the right time to buy or sell.
Starting with the current gold price chart, we see that the gold price has increased by more than 6 USD, currently sitting at around 2131 USD. Even so, there haven't been any significant breakthroughs. Gold prices remain stable around 2,305 USD, and the market is waiting for new information to be announced later in the day to have a clearer view.
There are two important events that will affect the USD exchange rate:
Claim unemployment benefits
Auction of 30-year US bonds
Outlook Analysis: On the 1-hour chart, gold appears to be in the process of consolidating and moving sideways. Because the Bollinger Bands index shows no major changes affecting the current trend, we can expect gold prices to not change much until important news is announced.
Careful observation and attention will be the key to determining the right time to trade. Gold is expected to fluctuate between 2328 - 2305 USD until the end of the day.
Gold suddenly turned down!"Gold (XAU/USD) attracted some buyers during Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Safe-haven demand, driven by geopolitical tensions and political uncertainty, as well as central bank buying activity, may contribute to pushing gold prices higher. However, hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials could dampen hopes of interest rate cuts in 2024, despite weaker-than-expected US employment reports in April. This could drag the precious metal lower.
At the end of Wednesday, Philip Jefferson, Susan Collins, and Lisa Cook of the Federal Reserve will speak. Hawkish comments from Fed policymakers may lift the greenback and exert pressure on gold priced in USD. Gold traders will monitor consumer sentiment indices from the University of Michigan on Friday."
XAUUSDHello all dear traders!
Gold price today decreased by 15 USD compared to last night's highest price of 2,325 USD/ounce.
Accordingly, Gold decreased slightly as investors focused more on the prospect of interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, futures traders believe there is about a two-in-three chance that the US Central Bank will cut interest rates in September.
Although prices are pressured by the interest rate outlook. But! The upside for gold, especially related to geopolitical risks and potential tensions in the banking system, is strong enough to support the precious metal.
Gold keeps buyers in game despite recent inaction, $2,338 eyedGold price lacks bullish momentum despite staying positive on a weekly basis, after a two-week downtrend. While bearish MACD signals and a steady RSI (14) line suggest a continuation of the metal’s recent sideways performance, a one-month-old falling wedge bullish chart formation keeps the buyers hopeful. It’s worth noting that the 21-SMA resistance of $2,338 will act as an extra filter toward the north, in addition to the stated wedge’s upper line surrounding $2,322. Following that, the quote’s run-up toward the $2,400 threshold and then to the latest peak of around $2,431 can’t be ruled out. In a case where the XAUUSD remains firmer past $2,431, the bullion buyers can aim for the theoretical target of falling wedge confirmation, close to $2,480 in this case.
On the flip side, the $2,300 round figure and $2,285 restrict the short-term downside of the Gold price ahead of the aforementioned wedge’s bottom line, near $2,275 by the press time. Should the precious metal drop beneath the $2,275 support, it defies the bullish chart formation and can direct the XAUUSD sellers toward the 50-SMA support of $2,251. It’s worth mentioning, however, that the buyers should remain hopeful of witnessing a corrective bounce, even during the gradual fall, unless the quote breaks an ascending trend line support stretched from the mid-February, around $2,219 as we write.
Overall, the Gold price is likely to reverse the previous losses but a sustained upside clearance of $2,338 is a must for bulls to retake control.
How is gold price traded today?Hello everyone, it's RKarina again!
Today, gold prices continued their recovery since Monday, with the metal up more than $25 since the start of the new week.
Although gold has experienced two consecutive weeks of price declines after a 5-week recovery streak, overall investor sentiment is still optimistic about this precious metal.
From chart analysis, we see that gold has broken out of the price range and surpassed the trend line, signaling a new uptrend. Support at $2310 has been established, with a current target of $2350 - $2360 in the near future if gold maintains its bullish momentum in the current economic and market conditions!
XAUUSDWorld gold price is currently trading around 2,320 USD.
“The recent decline in gold prices that we have seen over the past few weeks may be weakening,” one expert noted. US employment data has weakened the USD, creating an opportunity for world gold prices to increase."
According to technical analysis, in the short term, gold's next resistance level is 2,360 USD/ounce and if this threshold is broken, gold could quickly climb to 2,400 USD/ounce.
If gold enters a downtrend, the first support level is 2,280 USD/ounce.
Update the latest gold price today!Hello dear traders
Today let's explore the price of gold together!
Gold recovered slightly after a volatile Friday, trading steady around $2,310 and up 0.34% on the day.
In terms of short-term outlook, gold appears to be moving sideways and is still in an accumulation phase with expected swings between $2325 and $2290. Pay attention to the marked points to find a reasonable entry point.
Looking ahead, this week is expected to be relatively quiet in terms of economic data releases. However, there are some notable events such as the US 10-year bond auction on Wednesday, the Bank of England's monetary policy decision and the Treasury's 30-year bond auction on Thursday. Additionally, a preliminary consumer sentiment report from the University of Michigan will be released on Friday.
We will continually compile and update all of this information. Stay tuned for the latest updates!
Comex Copper = Explosive Nifty to Unfold in 2024 ?Disclaimer:
Trading in financial markets involves substantial risks. Consult your financial advisor before making decisions. This commentary is not a solicitation to buy or sell.
WaveTalks - Market Whispers: Can you hear them?
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Copper Outlook
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1. Setting the Stage for Explosive Moves:
- Copper is recognized as a barometer of economic growth, and its performance can provide insights into broader market movements.
- In January 2023, I predicted copper would see explosive growth in 2023-2024. This was confirmed in November 2023 when the corrective wave 2 completed in a truncated wedge pattern, providing a strong foundation for significant gains.
Comex Copper in Nov 2023 ( Explosive Wave to Unfold Next?)
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2. Rising Demand:
- Copper cathode demand reached 598,000 tonnes (81.2% of the previous year's total) by November 2023.
- Imports of copper cathode, scrap, and wire rods soared by 174%, 56%, and 13% year-on-year, respectively.
- This robust demand hints at double-digit growth in FY24. The Indian government's focus on infrastructure, clean energy, and consumer spending is expected to sustain this growth.
3. Production Challenges and Future Solutions:
- India's smelting capacity was halved due to facility closures, turning the nation from a net exporter to a significant importer.
- The upcoming Adani smelter (5 lakh tonnes capacity) and potential reopening of the Sterlite smelter in 2024 could help India reclaim its status as a net copper exporter.
Nifty / BankNifty Outlook
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1. Explosive Moves Expected:
- The Nifty index started forming a well know rising pattern around the 18,800-19,000 zone in October to November 2023, suggesting a significant move ahead. This famous pattern was rising wedge.
- This pattern was debated on WaveTalks as either an ending or leading diagonal, offering different implications for future market moves.
2. Elliott Wave Analysis Insights:
- Applying Elliott Wave Analysis gave clarity to potential market paths, allowing for strategic decisions at tops and bottoms.
- As patterns unfolded as expected for Copper, the market outlook became increasingly clear for equities as Copper is a barometer of economic growth.
3. Conclusion:
- The Indian equity markets, particularly Nifty and BankNifty, appear set for more explosive moves.
- Time will reveal how far the markets can go, but the whispers of the market suggest significant growth ahead.
Signing off from WaveTalks: Market Whispers! Can you hear them?
From WaveTalks
Abhishek
Update the latest gold price today!Hello everyone, let's take a look at the gold price situation today!
Yesterday, the gold market experienced a major fluctuation due to the important event of the Non-Farm report and unemployment rate. Gold went through a period of sharp ups and downs, as the price rose to $2,320 before falling to $2,277, however, gold ultimately remained stable around $2,300.
However, in the near and medium term, gold prices are still in a downward trend. Although US bond yields decreased during the weekend trading session, gold prices did not seem to react much.
Furthermore, jobs news has bolstered confidence that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin easing monetary policy this year, which could support gold prices amid low interest rates. . However, this also creates a greater risk environment, causing investors to turn to other assets. When risks decrease, demand for gold may decrease, leading to the possibility that gold prices will continue to adjust in the near future.
Update the latest XAUUSD todayHello everyone, today let's look at the price of gold together!
Yesterday, gold fell to a low of 2282 USD. However, gold has now recovered and is fluctuating around 2,300 USD, crossing the EMAs 34 and 89 at a price of about 2,318 USD early on Thursday.
The US Federal Reserve (Fed) decided to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged from 5.25% to 5.5%, which still causes gold to go through an adjustment period. In the short term, gold prices may continue to decline due to increased pressure from profit-taking and short selling.
However, over a longer time frame, many factors will support gold prices, including global economic uncertainties, geopolitical tensions and election uncertainty. As long as these tensions persist and economic policies continue to cause instability, gold will remain the foundation for stability.
Trading plan for April 2:
👨💻 Buy XAUUSD around 2310 - 2308
🔹 Set stop loss at 2305
🔹 Profit target at 2315 - 2320 - 2225
Wishing you successful trading and achieving your profit goals!
XAUUSD : Trades around 2300 USDHi everybody! Today, gold prices cooled after initially rising slightly, recovering from key support levels. However, this momentum is limited by lingering expectations of higher interest rates in the US.
The metal jumped to $2,300 an ounce in overnight trading, after the US Federal Reserve announced no immediate interest rate hikes, which weakened the dollar and supported a part for the price of the items.
However, the Fed also showed caution, not rushing to cut interest rates anytime soon, which could limit any significant increase in gold prices.
Gold price today: Waiting for a new breakthrough!Hello everyone, currently the gold price is still fluctuating around 2300 USD and has not changed much compared to previous sessions.
This metal is in the process of accumulation, waiting in a narrowing wedge pattern, preparing for a new trend while the market is eagerly awaiting information from the Non-Farm report. A breakthrough will be an important signal for gold's next move.
Technically, the outlook is somewhat bearish, but we will update more information when there are official results to have a clearer view.
Wishing everyone happy and successful trading!
Gold grinds within the falling wedge ahead of the US NFPGold price brace for the second consecutive weekly loss despite downbeat US Dollar performance. In doing so, the precious metal seesaws between the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA while posting mild intraday losses within a two-week-old falling wedge bullish chart formation. That said, cautious sentiment ahead of the monthly US employment report and sluggish oscillators restrict the XAUUSD’s immediate moves within the bullish chart pattern. It should be noted that a downside break of the 200-SMA level of $2,289 will direct the sellers toward the stated wedge’s bottom line surrounding $2,278, a break of which will defy the bullish chart formation and can drag the commodity prices toward the early April swing high of around $2,265.
On the contrary, a convergence of the 50-SMA and the previously stated falling wedge’s top line, close to $2,319-20, appears a tough nut to crack for Gold buyers. Following that, the late April swing high of around $2,353 and the $2,400 threshold will lure the XAUUSD bulls. In a case where the Gold buyers remain confident past $2,400, the theoretical target of the falling wedge confirmation, near $2,440, will be in the spotlight.
Overall, Gold portrays bullish consolidation ahead of the key US employment data, despite the US Dollar’s downbeat performance.
Vedanta for 100% gainFor investing/trading in metal companies, one needs patience as hard. On weekly charts, the stock seems to be in Wave 3 which is heading towards 800+ that is also the 1.618 fibonacci level as seen in the chart. In the current run up, it may go up another 5-10% (around 440 levels) before hitting a Wave (II) correction towards 350-325 levels.
Please note there are a few assumptions with which these levels are arrived at. In case of deviation in the route to its target, those assumptions are altered. You can avoid all panic if you manage your positions well.