Fresh Highs, Hot Headlines , Is a Pullback Next?Gold broke out of its recent range yesterday and is now trading at new all-time highs, showing strong follow-through momentum. On the weekly pivot chart, price is currently testing Weekly R1, with the next key level being the psychological 3700 resistance.
While the technical structure remains bullish, today’s headlines from major gold newsletter are a reminder that sentiment is running extremely hot. When you start seeing mainstream media comparing gold rally to 1979 and celebrating retail traders wins, it often signals that we’re entering a frothy phase.
With the FOMC decision approaching, the risk of a short-term shakeout or healthy correction is definitely on the table. A close back below the breakout zone could trigger profit-taking, while holding above R1 would keep the path open for 3700 and beyond.
For now, 3625–3650 remains the key support area, and as long as price holds above this zone, the trend stays firmly bullish but we should stay cautious and avoid chasing too aggressively at these levels until we get clarity from the Fed.
Personally I am expecting some cool down after FOMC .
Metals
GOLD DAILY PLAN 15/09: SMC & Wyckoff Logic🔎 Market Overview
Market Structure (SMC): Price is currently moving inside a short-term descending channel but is showing signs of Wyckoff accumulation around the 3620–3635 zone (Liquidity BUY). This is a key support area.
Wyckoff: After a supply test, price is likely to consolidate and then push higher to sweep liquidity above (Liquidity SELL at 3688–3703).
Liquidity Zones
Liquidity BUY: 3595–3592 (major demand area)
Liquidity SELL: 3688–3703 (profit-taking & potential reversal zone)
📌 Key Levels
Resistance: 3668 – 3688 – 3703
Support: 3634 – 3629 – 3622 – 3617
🟢 BUY Plan (Primary Setup)
Entry: 3595–3592
Stop Loss (SL): 3587 (below Liquidity BUY)
Take Profit (TP) targets:
TP1: 3615
TP2: 3625
TP3: 3635
TP4: 3645
Open TP: 3685 (extended Wyckoff target)
🔴 SELL Plan (Counter-trade)
Entry: 3698–3701 (Liquidity SELL zone)
Stop Loss (SL): 3706 (just above breakout trap)
Take Profit (TP) targets:
TP1: 3690
TP2: 3680
TP3: 3670
TP4: 3660
Open TP: 3650
⚡ Scalping Strategy
Enter only on confirmation signals at Order Blocks (OB) or Liquidity Zones.
Prioritise BUY trades at support and SELL trades at resistance.
Apply strict risk management: risk no more than 1–2% per trade.
✅ Conclusion
Main directional bias for the day: BUY from 3595–3592, targeting the 3685–3700 region.
At Liquidity SELL 3688–3703, short-term SELL setups can be considered with targets back to 3660–3650.
Gold 1H – Fed Week: Liquidity Sweeps Before FOMCGold on the 1H timeframe is range-bound around 3,643 after a series of ChoCH/BOS prints. Liquidity is stacked above the intraday buy zone at 3,658–3,656 and higher at 3,676–3,678, while discount liquidity sits near 3,615–3,613. With markets pricing a possible Fed cut this week and the dot-plot in focus, expect engineered spikes into premium followed by mean reversion before any sustained move.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,676 – 3,678 (SL 3,683): Premium resistance for an engineered sweep/rejection targeting 3,665 → 3,655 → 3,645.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,658 – 3,656 (SL 3,651): Intraday demand within prior consolidation targeting 3,665 → 3,670 → 3,675+.
• 🟢 BUY SUPPORT 3,615 – 3,613 (SL 3,610): Discount demand at the base of structure targeting 3,630 → 3,645 → 3,655+.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Intraday Reclaim (3,658–3,656)
• Entry: 3,658 – 3,656
• Stop Loss: 3,651
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,675+
👉 Look for a sweep into the zone and an H1 close back above 3,656 to confirm order-flow continuation.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deep Discount Sweep (3,615–3,613)
• Entry: 3,615 – 3,613
• Stop Loss: 3,610
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,645
TP3: 3,655+
👉 High R:R if liquidity runs into protected demand before the New York session.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Sweep to Resistance (3,676–3,678)
• Entry: 3,676 – 3,678
• Stop Loss: 3,683
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,665
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,645
👉 Expect a stop-run above recent highs into premium; invalidate on a firm H1 close above 3,683.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
Into Fed week, smart money often runs both sides of the book. Bias today favours: discount buys at 3,658–3,656 and 3,615–3,613, and a premium fade at 3,676–3,678. Use reduced size, wait for structure confirmation, and avoid holding through any unexpected Fed headlines or USD spikes.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 15, 2025: Weekly trend outlook, gold still has enough conditions for the possibility of continued price increases.
Basic news: After surpassing the 3670 USD/ounce mark, the highest level in history, the gold price has entered a correction phase, in the context of the market focusing on monitoring the policy moves of the US Federal Reserve (Fed). According to CME's FedWatch tool, investors are almost certain that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points, bringing the margin to 4 - 4.25%. However, the scenario of the Fed cutting 50 basis points is still considered, because this could cause the USD to plummet and push gold to skyrocket.
Technical analysis: The sideway range of 3600 - 3660 is still holding. Currently, we will wait for trading points at the 2 edges of the sideway range, but the priority is still mainly trading according to the trend.
Important price zones today: 3600 - 3605 and 3660 - 3665. Today's trading trend: Sideway.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3600 - 3602
SL 3597
TP 3605 - 3615 - 3635 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3618 - 3620
SL 3615
TP 3623 - 3630 - 3650 - 3665.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630 (small volume).
Wish you a new week of safe, effective and profitable trading.🥰🥰🥰🥰🥰
Gold Stuck in 3620–3655 Range – All Eyes on Fed DecisionGold is still consolidating between 3620–3625 support and 3650–3655 resistance, respecting this week’s pivot level around 3632. As highlighted in the weekly outlook, this week’s trading action is likely to remain muted until the FOMC rate decision and press conference on Wednesday.
Until then, we can expect price to stay range-bound, with quick scalps working better than trend trades.
Once the Fed outcome is out, we should see a clearer short-term direction.
A higher-timeframe close above 3655 could open the door for a move toward 3675+ and potentially new highs.
On the flip side, a break below 3620 could trigger a deeper pullback, but so far there’s no sign of reversal pressure bulls remain firmly in control on higher timeframes.
Gold Outlook – Short-Term Pullback, Long-Term StrengthGold has shown a strong bullish phase over recent weeks after a long consolidation. The market moved from accumulation into expansion, reflecting renewed participation by larger players. This upward momentum indicates strong capital inflows, supported by macroeconomic uncertainty and shifting investor sentiment.
Technically, price has broken out of a prolonged range and established a clear upward trajectory. Market structure suggests that buyers remain in control, though current price levels are showing signs of potential exhaustion, which could trigger short-term corrective moves before the broader trend resumes.
Fundamentally, global economic pressures continue to boost gold’s role as a safe-haven asset. Concerns over inflation, central bank policy adjustments, and currency volatility are keeping investor demand elevated. With global risk sentiment fluctuating, gold is likely to remain an attractive hedge, sustaining its medium-term bullish outlook despite short-term pullbacks.
Conclusion: Gold is in an expansion cycle, supported by both technical momentum and fundamental demand. Short-term corrections are expected, but the broader trajectory remains upward.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 12, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 12, 2025: Gold rebounded strongly, fully supported by US economic data and trend technical conditions.
Fundamental news: On Thursday (September 11) in the New York trading session, gold prices fluctuated strongly due to the influence of the US CPI index and initial data on unemployment claims. Gold prices recovered strongly in today's Asian session and are currently trading at $3,650/oz.
Technical analysis: Gold prices increased sharply after the CPI news was released. Currently, gold prices have increased sharply but are still fluctuating in the 3,600 - 3,660 range and there are no signs of a breakout. We still prioritize trading according to the main trend and waiting for trading at the confluence of MA and FVG.
Important price zones today: 3635 - 3640, 3600 - 3605 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3635 - 3637
SL 3632
TP 3640 - 3650 - 3660 - 3690.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3600 - 3602
SL 3597
TP 3605 - 3615 - 3635 - 3665 - OPEN.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3665
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3640 - 3630. (small volume).
Wish you a successful, effective and profitable weekend trading day.🌟🌟🌟🌟🌟
Bulls Back in Action Next Stop 3700?Gold finally waking up after a quick nap and it’s breaking out of triangle it was stuck in. Eyes on 3650, the key level to watch. A strong higher-timeframe (H4 or daily) close above this level can open doors for the next leg up, with this week’s high around 3675 as the first target or higher 3700 for main target. Support at 3620–3625 looks solid, giving bulls a strong base to defend. No rejection signals yet, trend still looks healthy and bulls clearly aren’t ready to let go of control just yet.
Gold 1H – Demand Sweep Before Premium ExpansionGold on the 1H chart is currently consolidating near 3,644 after multiple Change of Character (ChoCH) moves, signalling engineered liquidity grabs. Price has formed clear demand footprints around 3,620 and deeper at 3,593, while premium supply is positioned between 3,673–3,680. This suggests a likely retracement into discount demand zones before expansion towards premium liquidity levels.
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📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,620 – 3,618 (SL 3,613): Fresh demand block aligned with bullish order flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,593 – 3,591 (SL 3,596): Deeper liquidity sweep zone, offering strong risk-to-reward.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,673 – 3,671 (SL 3,680): Premium supply pocket, likely to trigger short-term liquidity grabs.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Shallow Demand Reaction
• Entry: 3,620 – 3,618
• Stop Loss: 3,613
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,635
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,665+
👉 Expect a bounce from shallow demand before retesting premium supply.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Liquidity Sweep
• Entry: 3,593 – 3,591
• Stop Loss: 3,596
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,645+
👉 Suitable for swing traders targeting higher R:R after liquidity engineering.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,673 – 3,671
• Stop Loss: 3,680
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,660
TP2: 3,650
TP3: 3,635
👉 Scalp trade opportunity at premium supply; overall bias remains bullish, so risk should be managed tightly.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
The broader bias is bullish, but smart money may drive price into 3,620 or even 3,593 demand zones before expansion. Cleaner setups favour buying dips, while shorts from 3,673 are counter-trend scalps with limited scope.
Gold 1H – CPI Liquidity Play Before ExpansionGold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating near 3,633 after multiple ChoCHs and engineered liquidity grabs. With today’s CPI release, price is expected to sweep both premium and discount liquidity zones. The structure suggests engineered spikes toward 3,688–3,691 or dips into 3,595–3,592 before expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,643 – 3,645 (SL 3,650): Premium supply pocket for short-term rejection.
• 🔴 SELL ZONE 3,688 – 3,691 (SL 3,696): Premium sweep zone targeting 3,680 → 3,670 → 3,660 → 3,650 with extended open target at 3,625.
• 🟢 BUY ZONE 3,595 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Discount demand zone targeting 3,615 → 3,625 → 3,635 → 3,645 with extended open target at 3,685.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection (Intraday)
• Entry: 3,643 – 3,645
• Stop Loss: 3,650
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,630
TP2: 3,620
TP3: 3,600
👉 Scalp opportunity if CPI spikes price into this supply zone.
🔻 Sell Setup – CPI Premium Sweep
• Entry: 3,688 – 3,691
• Stop Loss: 3,696
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,680
TP2: 3,670
TP3: 3,660
TP4: 3,650
Open: 3,625
👉 Expect engineered CPI move into premium liquidity before reversal.
🔺 Buy Setup – CPI Discount Sweep
• Entry: 3,595 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,615
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,635
TP4: 3,645
Open: 3,685
👉 Ideal entry if CPI drives gold into deep discount demand before expansion.
________________________________________
🔑 Strategy Note
CPI will dictate volatility and smart money may sweep liquidity both sides. Key bias favours:
• Scalp sells at 3,643–3,645
• Deeper swing sells at 3,688–3,691
• High R:R buys at 3,595–3,592
Risk management is essential — expect fake-outs before expansion.
Gold: Cooling inflation, eyeing the 3.70x waveHello everyone,
The macro backdrop is currently favourable for gold, with both China and the US reporting weaker-than-expected inflation data: China’s CPI came in at 0% m/m and -0.4% y/y, with PPI at -2.9% y/y; meanwhile, the US posted PPI at -0.1% m/m, 2.6% y/y, and core PPI at 2.8% y/y. These softer figures have pushed yields and the USD lower, while strengthening expectations that the Fed may cut rates at its next meeting. Adding to this, the PBoC continued to purchase gold in August, reinforcing confidence in long-term reserve demand.
On the H4 chart, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding above the rising Ichimoku cloud, while FVG blocks below act as support. Gold is currently consolidating tightly in the 3.66–3.68 zone, with short-bodied candles suggesting sellers lack the momentum to break the trend. The nearest support levels to watch are 3.63–3.62, then 3.61–3.60, with deeper support at 3.585–3.575 along the cloud edge.
My view leans bullish: I’m looking for a shallow pullback and an H4 close above 3.66–3.68 to open the way towards 3.70–3.715, potentially extending to 3.72 if momentum holds. Only a close below 3.60 on H4 would make me consider a deeper retracement into the 3.585–3.575 cloud zone.
In short, softer inflation and consistent reserve buying are building a strong foundation for gold. What’s needed now is a firm close above 3.68 to confidently target the 3.70x region.
What do you think – will gold break through 3.70x in this move, or does it need another balance around 3.60 first? Share your thoughts!
Bulls Pausing, Bears Hopeless? Gold Awaits CPI TriggerGold is currently taking a breather after its strong bull run, just as highlighted in the last couple of updates. On the daily chart, price action is consolidating within the 3620–3650/55 zone, and with CPI data lined up today, a breakout from this range could set the next decisive move.
Sentiment-wise, bulls remain in full control, while bears look like they’re running out of steam. Still, a healthy reset is overdue after such an extended rally. From a price action perspective, there are no clear signs of reversal on any major timeframe yet. The key support to watch remains 3600 on a daily closing basis. As long as price holds above this level, the bullish structure is safe.
If 3600 gives way, we could see a deeper pullback toward 3589 (Fib 0.236 support) and then into the 3550–55 zone, which stands as the next strong secondary support. Until then, consolidation here should be treated as part of the ongoing bullish cycle rather than a trend reversal.
Trading Analysis for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (15-Minute Chart)Entery = 3649.00
Stock Loss = 3657.00
Take profit 1 = 3643.00
Take profit 2 = 3639.00
Take profit 3 = 3634.00
Take profit 4 = 3628.00
Based on the provided 15-minute chart for Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar (XAU/USD), published by NaviPips on TradingView.com on June 30, 2025, at 17:53 UTC, here’s a suggested trading setup for a buy position:
Current Price and Trend: The current price is 3,241.875, with a slight increase of +0.250 (+0.01%). The chart shows a recent downtrend that appears to be stabilizing near the current level, suggesting a potential reversal point.
Buy Entry: Enter a buy position at 3,312.875 (current price), as it aligns with a support zone where the price has found a base, indicated by the horizontal dashed line and recent consolidation.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 3,295.250, below the recent low, to protect against further downside. This level is approximately 10.625 points below the entry, defining the risk.
Take Profit Levels:
Take Profit 1: 3,317.875, a conservative target about 20.000 points above the entry, aligning with a minor resistance zone.
Take Profit 2: 3,324.750, a mid-range target approximately 31.875 points above the entry.
Take Profit 3: 3,332.500, a deeper target about 45.625 points above the entry, indicating a potential trend reversal.
Price Action: The chart indicates a downtrend with a possible bottoming pattern near the current level. The support zone and upward candlestick suggest a buy opportunity if the price holds.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The distance to the stop loss (10.625 points) compared to the take profit levels (20.000 to 45.625 points) offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, ranging from approximately 1:1.9 to 1:4.3.
Conclusion
Enter a buy at 3,241.875, with a stop loss at 3,295.250 and take profit levels at 3,317.875, 3,324.750, and 3,332.500. Monitor the price action for confirmation of an upward move, and be cautious of a potential continued downtrend if the price breaks below the stop loss level. (Note: I assume "take profot" was a typo for "take profit" and have corrected it accordingly.)
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025: Gold stabilized after falling from yesterday's new high, the market will focus on US inflation data in the final period of the week from today.
Fundamental news: Investors will now turn their attention to US inflation data, scheduled for release on Wednesday and Thursday. Inflation data will be of particular interest following weak employment data ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement next week.
Technical analysis: After gold prices made a new all-time high at $3,675/ounce, prices corrected to the 362x area and increased again as we predicted earlier. The MA lines still maintain support for the price, however, yesterday's correction has reduced the previous strong increase. We continue to trade according to the main trend: waiting for a trading point at the support area combined between MA and FVG. In addition, the next profit-taking phase may occur unexpectedly, to avoid this risk we must ensure to maintain the trading principle.
Important price zones today: 3615 - 3620, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3615 - 3617
SL 3612
TP 3620 - 3630 - 3650 - 3660.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3595 - 3597
SL 3592
TP 3600 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3365
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3630 - 3600. (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.💯💯💯💯💯
Gold 1H – Buy the Dip, Watch 3,687 Premium SupplyOn the 1-hour chart, Gold is trading above 3,650 after a clear break of structure. Price has created demand footprints near 3,636 and deeper at 3,594, while resistance is seen around 3,670 and premium supply is at 3,687–3,689. This indicates a possible engineered retracement into discount demand zones before a move towards liquidity above 3,688.
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,636 – 3,634 (SL 3,630): Fresh demand block in line with bullish flow.
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,594 – 3,592 (SL 3,587): Deeper discount demand, strong base for buyers.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,687 – 3,689 (SL 3,694): Premium supply zone, possible liquidity sweep.
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,636 – 3,634
• Stop Loss: 3,630
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,650
TP2: 3,665
TP3: 3,680+
👉 Expect retracement into discount demand before price continues bullish.
🔺 Buy Setup – Deeper Demand Test
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,592
• Stop Loss: 3,587
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,610
TP2: 3,625
TP3: 3,640+
👉 Best for swing buyers seeking higher risk-reward on a deeper liquidity grab.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,687 – 3,689
• Stop Loss: 3,694
• Take Profits:
TP1: 3,670
TP2: 3,655
TP3: 3,640
👉 Short-term liquidity grab at premium levels, good only for scalping with strict risk.
🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may push price into 3,636 or even 3,594 demand zones before expanding higher. Safer setups are buying dips; short positions at 3,687 should be treated only as quick scalps.
XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025XAUUSD Gold Trading Strategy September 10, 2025: Gold stabilized after falling from yesterday's new high, the market will focus on US inflation data in the final period of the week from today.
Fundamental news: Investors will now turn their attention to US inflation data, scheduled for release on Wednesday and Thursday. Inflation data will be of particular interest following weak employment data ahead of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy announcement next week.
Technical analysis: After gold prices made a new all-time high at $3,675/ounce, prices corrected to the 362x area and increased again as we predicted earlier. The MA lines still maintain support for the price, however, yesterday's correction has reduced the previous strong increase. We continue to trade according to the main trend: waiting for a trading point at the support area combined between MA and FVG. In addition, the next profit-taking phase may occur unexpectedly, to avoid this risk we must ensure to maintain the trading principle.
Important price zones today: 3615 - 3620, 3595 - 3600 and 3660 - 3665.
Today's trading trend: BUY.
Recommended orders:
Plan 1: BUY XAUUSD zone 3615 - 3617
SL 3612
TP 3620 - 3630 - 3650 - 3660.
Plan 2: BUY XAUUSD zone 3595 - 3597
SL 3592
TP 3600 - 3610 - 3630 - 3660.
Plan 3: SELL XAUUSD zone 3663 - 3365
SL 3668
TP 3660 - 3650 - 3630 - 3600. (small volume).
Wish you a safe, effective and profitable trading day.💯💯💯💯💯
Gold: Eyeing a Break Above 3,600Hello everyone, gold is approaching a critical juncture where both fundamentals and technicals appear aligned in favour of further upside.
Weak US labour data combined with growing expectations of a Fed rate cut in September have weighed on yields and the dollar, creating a supportive backdrop for gold. The next key catalysts lie in US inflation prints (CPI/PPI). As long as easing expectations dominate, the metal enjoys a clear tailwind.
From a technical perspective, the bullish structure remains intact: price is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud with solid demand layers at 3,565–3,555 and 3,545–3,535. The 3,595–3,600 zone is the immediate psychological barrier, yet selling pressure looks insufficient to derail the trend.
My view: gold is likely to push through 3,600 soon, extending towards 3,615–3,630, with potential to reach 3,650 if momentum holds.
Do you think gold will clear 3,600 decisively this week? Share your thoughts below.
Gold Cooling Off After ATH Consolidation or Correction?Gold cooled off a bit after hitting a fresh ATH around 3675, right near the monthly R3 level. This pullback, however, looks more like a healthy breather than any real weakness, since the key 3600 support is still holding strong. Right now, price is taking support around 3620–25, and bulls are doing a good job defending this zone. As long as this area stays intact(H4 close), the higher-high structure remains valid, meaning gold can easily revisit 3650 or even push back toward the highs.
For now, we can say this as a normal pullback within the trend rather than a reversal. To call it a reversal, we need to see a lower high form on the higher timeframes. Until that happens, some sideways consolidation here makes sense, with 3600 being the big level to keep an eye on for any breakdown.
Gold: Positive Momentum with Room Towards 3,700Gold continues to draw strength from supportive fundamentals. Rate cut expectations in the US remain strong, while steady inflows into low-cost ETFs are reinforcing the longer-term bullish case. In Asia, weaker GDP data from Japan and disappointing trade numbers from China have added to safe-haven demand.
On the 2H chart, the uptrend is visible: price trades above the rising Ichimoku cloud, with successive FVG blocks offering a “ladder” of support. The nearest resistance stands around 3,645–3,650. Below, support is layered at 3,628–3,618, 3,605–3,595, and further down at 3,580–3,565.
The likely path is sideways accumulation below 3,650 before another push higher towards 3,670–3,685. If momentum persists, 3,700–3,715 becomes achievable. Weakness would only show if the 2H candle closes under 3,595, and a decisive break of 3,565 would expose 3,540–3,525. CPI and PPI prints from the US, alongside 10Y yield movements, remain the key variables to watch.
Gold Stretched but Strong Waiting for PullbackGold is moving aggressively and relentlessly, day by day, with no signs of exhaustion. The price has once again printed a fresh all-time high and is now trading around 3650, pushing higher without any meaningful rejection on the daily, weekly, or monthly charts. Momentum remains strong, but the rally is clearly stretched, and chasing buys at these levels looks more like FOMO than a high-probability setup. On the Fibonacci extension, the next major resistance is seen at 3681, which also aligns with the monthly R3 level, making it a critical zone to watch. Buying directly into this resistance is risky, and the better approach is to wait for a healthy pullback before looking for new longs. On the downside, 3600 now acts as immediate support, followed by 3550 as the secondary support level. As long as these supports hold, the broader structure remains bullish, but patience will be key for catching the next move.
Gold Breaks New Highs, Momentum Still Favouring BullsHello everyones,
The past week has been quite rewarding for gold as it surged through major resistance levels and printed fresh highs. On the H4 chart, the trend looks very clear: price action is holding firmly above the Ichimoku cloud, with Tenkan sitting comfortably above Kijun, and the cloud slope widening further. Multiple Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) remain unfilled below, showing that buying momentum is powerful and liquidity is being left behind — a signature of a strong rally, not just a short-term move.
In terms of price action, the immediate resistance lies between $3,535–3,560. A clean H4 close above this area may unlock the next natural expansion towards $3,580–3,600. On the downside, layered supports are found at $3,520–3,505, then $3,485–3,470, and deeper at $3,440–3,420, coinciding with the upper edge of the cloud, often tested during medium-term uptrends.
Fundamentally, the environment still favours buyers: safe-haven demand is rising, the Fed is expected to ease policy sooner, and the USD is weakening, all adding fuel to the bullish case. Unless gold closes back into the cloud and loses the $3,440–3,420 zone, the probability of trend continuation remains high.
Do you think gold can stretch further from here? Share your thoughts below!
Gold 1H – Smart Money Plays Below 3,600Gold on the 1H timeframe is consolidating close to 3,600 after sweeping short-term liquidity. Price is currently forming imbalance around intraday highs, while demand is positioned lower at 3,565. This structure suggests engineered moves designed to trap both buyers and sellers before the next expansion.
________________________________________
📌 Key Structure & Liquidity Zones (1H):
• 🔼 Buy Zone 3,565 – 3,563 (SL 3,560): Discount demand block, aligned with bullish order flow.
• 📍 Scalp Sell Zone 3,594 – 3,596 (SL 3,601): Intraday rejection pocket; scalp opportunity.
• 🔽 Sell Zone 3,630 – 3,628 (SL 3,637): Premium supply zone, suitable for liquidity sweep reaction.
________________________________________
📊 Trading Ideas (Scenario-Based):
🔺 Buy Setup – Demand Block Reaction
• Entry: 3,565 – 3,563
• Stop Loss: 3,560
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,585
o TP2: 3,595
o TP3: 3,600+
👉 Expectation is for liquidity sweep into discount demand before resuming bullish trend.
🔻 Sell Scalp Setup – Intraday Reaction
• Entry: 3,594 – 3,596
• Stop Loss: 3,601
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,592
o TP2: 3,590
o TP3: 3,585 → 3,580 → 3,570 → 3,560
👉 Short-term liquidity pocket; scalp trades only with strict risk control.
🔻 Sell Setup – Premium Rejection
• Entry: 3,630 – 3,628
• Stop Loss: 3,637
• Take Profits:
o TP1: 3,610
o TP2: 3,600
o TP3: 3,590
👉 Targeting liquidity lying below intraday lows; best for quick short opportunities.
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🔑 Strategy Note
Overall bias remains bullish, but smart money may engineer a sweep of 3,626–3,630 supply before driving price back into 3,565 demand. Cleaner setup is to buy dips, while sell scalps are short-lived opportunities.
Gold Marks New ATH at 3600 – Bulls Still in ControlGold closed last week on a very strong note, posting its highest daily and weekly close and also printing a new all-time high at 3600, which now stands as an important psychological resistance Level. The overall price action structure continues to favor the bulls, with no major signs of reversal visible on any time frame.
For this week, the weekly pivot at 3541 will be going to act as the first line of support, followed by the previous ATH at 3500 as the secondary and more critical level to hold. While some consolidation or pullback from current levels cannot be ruled out given the stretched rally and overbought conditions (daily,H4) these dips can be viewed as healthy rather than bearish. As long as gold holds above 3500 on a closing basis, the broader trend remains bullish, and any corrective moves are likely to attract buying interest.
In short, unless bears can force a decisive break below 3500 (Daily close or week), gold bullish momentum remains intact, with scope for continuation above 3600 once consolidation is done.