Metals
Bull cross keeps Gold buyers hopeful ahead of Fed InflationThe price of spot Gold (XAUUSD) defends the previous day’s rebound from a weekly low despite lacking momentum around $2,035 early Thursday. In doing so, the yellow metal portrays the market’s anxiety ahead of the US Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, namely the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index. It should be noted that the sluggish MACD signals and steady RSI near 50.00 also depict the trader’s lack of conviction. However, the 50-SMA pierces off the 200-SMA from below and portrays a bullish moving average crossover, namely the Bull Cross, which in turn suggests a short-term upside bias of the market. The same highlights $2,042 as an immediate resistance ahead of an eight-week-old horizontal area surrounding $2,062-66 that holds the key to the bullion’s further advances. In a case where the quote remains firmer past $2,066, the late 2023 peak of around $2,088 and the $2,100 round figure will lure the XAUUSD bulls.
On the flip side, an area comprising the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA, around $2,028-26, restricts short-term declines in the Gold price. Following that, the $2,010 level and the previous monthly low of around $2,001 could test the XAUUSD bears before giving them control. In that case, the monthly bottom surrounding $1,984 and the late 2023 trough near $1,973 will be imperative to watch as the final defenses of the buyers.
Overall, the Gold buyers are in command ahead of the key US data but the upside room appears limited.
Xauusd todayHey everyone, let's delve into the current gold prices!
During the previous trading session, the price of gold remained steady, ranging from $2022 to $2025. Investors are eagerly awaiting fresh economic data from the United States in order to assess the future direction of interest rates as determined by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
At the moment, gold finds itself in a temporary stalemate, torn between expectations regarding interest rates and the demand for a safe haven amidst geopolitical tensions. The latest minutes from the Fed's policy meeting have revealed a general concern among policymakers regarding the risks associated with premature interest rate cuts, which has exerted significant pressure on gold.
In my opinion, there is a possibility that gold prices could rise to a range of $2040 - $2042 before experiencing a correction if it reaches the limit of its downward trend.
Gold price today: Trading is quietHello everyone, gold traded relatively calmly today at a high level after breaking out of the previous downtrend.
Today, the price of gold was supported by the decline in US Treasury bond yields. As a result, the US dollar (USD) weakened as the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks this currency against six other currencies, fell by 0.05%.
From the analysis chart: Gold is trading sideways as XAU/USD has been unable to surpass the psychological resistance level of $2,035 for the past 12 days. However, the upward trend is still intact, and if buyers reclaim the $2,035 level, it could open up an opportunity to challenge the psychological level of $2,050.
Gold price today February 27: Great leap forward?Dear beloved friends, yesterday's gold trading session was relatively calm with no significant fluctuations. At present, the price is still hovering around $2033 and maintaining support at $2025.
In the short and medium term, the upward momentum of gold is still highly regarded. From today's chart, the two main targets for buyers are $2037 and $2041.
Regarding predictions, the market is awaiting the release of the US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report. This crucial inflation data is expected to provide investors with further clues about the future direction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve. The report is scheduled to be released on Thursday, with a projected monthly increase of 0.4%. If the PCE data exceeds expectations, gold prices may decline. However, this precious metal is still expected to remain above $2000 per ounce.
XAUUSDHello dear colleagues, what do you think the closing price of gold will be today?
Last night, the price of gold decreased despite the sharp decline in the US dollar. Normally, a weaker US dollar would support an increase in the price of gold. However, in the last session, it defied market norms with a decline in the USD due to forecasts showing durable goods orders in the US dropping from 0% in the previous month to -4.7% in January, and core durable goods orders falling from 0.6% to 0.2%.
Despite gloomy economic forecasts, the stock market remains surprisingly optimistic. Globally, US and Japanese stocks have been continuously setting new records at the beginning of this year. With a 7% increase since the end of 2023, money is shifting from traditional safe havens like gold to stocks, potentially setting the stage for a recovery in the price of gold.
XAUUSD Levels to wacth 📊Yesterday Price Rejected (took support) from weekly pivot (2025) and today price trading above daily pivot (2031.20: Extreme Narrow, means market can spike in any side with good momentum so watch your stops carefully)
🚀Intraday Buy Scenario :Price above daily+weekly Pivot+ Above trendline support, look for 2040 then 2050 Level.
🔻Intraday Sell Scenario: On breakdown of weekly Pivot or rejection/confirmation from monthly pivot (2040) or rejection from weekly resistance at 2051.Look for next support at 2015,2010.
XAUUSD: price increase but not sure yet!Hello traders, what do you think about GOLD?
The fear of risk has driven the demand for US government bonds, contributing to the prolonged weakness of US Treasury bond yields across the yield curve. The slight decrease in US Treasury bond yields helps limit the adjustment of Gold prices.
In the coming days, the momentum of the US Dollar and US Treasury bond yields, along with the risk sentiment, will impact Gold price action as traders consider the US New Home Sales data for trading cues.
Gold is supported and has been growing as it touches the bottom of a descending channel. It is expected to decrease back to the channel bottom after reaching the resistance zone.
Gold (xauusd)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
M1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
S1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everyone,
Welcome to Trading Idea, This is a short term forecast
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love the content than kindly like and share it with your friends. Also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank you
XAUUSD: Breakout on last day of tradingDear friends, what are your thoughts on gold after a challenging week? Let's also strategize for the upcoming week.
Looking back at the recent period, the price of gold has mainly been fluctuating around the range of $2022 to $2028, despite some news affecting gold, but not significantly.
Until last Friday afternoon, gold experienced a significant volatility, with prices dropping straight to $2016 and then rebounding strongly to reach $2041. In the context of some officials from the Federal Reserve stating that they are not in a hurry to lower interest rates due to high inflation, financial investors are expecting a rate cut by the Fed in June 2024. As a result, the US dollar weakened against many other currencies, boosting today's gold prices.
Currently, the precious metal has stabilized at around $2035, making this weakness a corrective wave after breaking through $2033. It is expected that next week, gold will continue to decline further towards the range of $2031 and $2028, as indicated by Fibonacci before the price resumes its upward trend.
What's changed in the gold price this week?Hello everyone, RKarina is delighted to meet you all again. Let's discuss our strategy for the new week for XAUUSD!
Currently, at the opening of the trading session, gold is moving quite steadily at around 2033 USD, with no change in direction compared to the last closing at 2035 USD.
In terms of prospects:
From a technical analysis perspective: the Bollinger Band indicates two notable levels to watch out for in the near future, with a peak at 2055 USD and a support level at 1990 USD.
In terms of market news: The European Central Bank maintaining its stance on interest rate cuts and a significant allocation of the Euro could put pressure on the USD. This will have a positive impact on the price of gold, as the interest rate adjustment period is coming to an end and gold could increase to 2050 USD by the end of the week.
What about you? What do you think will be the movement of gold? Will it continue to rise or fall?
Gold buyers attack 50-SMA with eyes on Fed MinutesGold price remains firmer for the fifth consecutive day while extending the previous week’s rebound from the 100-SMA within a nine-week-old bearish trend channel. In doing so, the XAUUSD buyers prod the 50-SMA upside hurdle while keeping eyes on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Meeting Minutes, up for publishing late Wednesday. Given the quote’s sustained rebound from the key SMA, backed by the upbeat RSI (14) line and the bullish MACD signals, the price is more likely to cross the immediate hurdle surrounding $2,030, which in turn will allow buyers to aim for the aforementioned channel’s top line of near $2,052. However, a clear rejection of the bearish chart pattern, via sustained trading past $2,052, will open doors for the metal’s run-up toward the monthly high of near $2,066 and then the late December peak of around $2,088.
Meanwhile, hawkish Fed Minutes could derail the latest recovery momentum of the Gold price and drag it back toward the $2,000 psychological magnet. Though, the 100-SMA and bottom line of the previously stated channel, respectively near $1,997 and $1,986, would challenge the XAUUSD bears afterward. Should the quote remain bearish past $1,986, the late December swing low of around $1,973 will act as the final defense for the buyers before directing prices toward the November 2023 bottom surrounding $1,931.
Overall, the Gold price is likely to remain firmer but the bearish chart pattern and looming threat to the commodity bulls from the FOMC Minutes challenges the hopes of witnessing more upside.
XAUUSD SHORTFirst up all Thank you to everyone..,
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We done a back test on that almost97% SUCCESS RATE...
Upcoming analysis based on that...
In GOLD we got weekly BUY CHOCH @01dec2023 (in Daily we got buy BOS)
And we got a HEAD AND SHOULDER formation @28dec2023(Daily)
1st buy correction 4H- sell CHOCH @17jan2024
2nd 4H-sell BOS @13feb2024
now the market @ 50% fibo of weekly of that sub-swing
In here we got 2 entry
2029(flip entry)
2031-2035 is the main sell entry
We took this entry bcz of our strategy works here..
IF THIS CROSS 2044
Next strong zone will be 2054(Flip entry)-2064(main entry)
i think it will RED ROSE soon
bcz 2044.5 is the H&S -trendline retracement
so this 2029-2032-2035 entry will be more strong one for sell
Targets based H&S (head top to neckline)
1st target 1986
2nd 38% target 1975
3rd 50% target 1950
4th 100% target 1860
BECARE FUL
DAILY sell CHOCH will be 1973 if cross and close down then only sell trend will be confirm in daily
FOMC: driving force to help Gold prices increase!GOLDEN INFORMATION: In Wednesday's Asian trading session, the price of gold (XAU/USD) experienced a slight decrease and moved away from its two-week high of around $2,048-$2,049 reached the previous day. This decline is attributed to investors adjusting their expectations regarding the pace and extent of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve due to strong economic data from the United States.
As a result, the US Dollar (USD) remains strong, reaching its highest level since December 13 earlier this week, putting pressure on the value of gold. However, the recent decline in US Treasury bond yields may hinder strong betting on the USD by investors. This, along with concerns about geopolitical risks arising from tensions in the Middle East, could continue to support the demand for gold as a safe haven asset.
Investors may also choose to be cautious and wait for the highly anticipated monetary policy meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) before taking any significant actions related to gold, which currently lacks yield.
Personal opinion: The price chart according to technical analysis is supporting the Uptrend, the H1 frame is trading above the stable EMA, economic experts at today's FOMC meeting also support keeping or reducing interest rates and support gold's rise.
Gold / xauusd (Neowave Update)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
L1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
s1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everyone
Welcome to Trading Idea, This is Short Term Forecast
Time Frame- 4hrs
# Gold has completed first cycle and we are in ending of wave 2
# Stoploss level for this or SC3 cycle will be 2059, till than we will have bearish cycles
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love the content than kindly like and share it with your friends . Also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank You
Medium Term Forecast
Long Term Forecast-
Gold breakout and followed history pattern.As we have talked in past post
#DXY is high and after CPI result it has break up side.
same for #USDINR #US10Y
Till it has chance to more fall and here i have added some supports in this post.
you can find your levels and analysis then take trades.
More to indian market has looks fall to come soon as it making pattern like that but all game of news and data which can changed anytime.
Best of luck. Have a great day.
Gold teases sellers above $2,000 as US inflation loomsGold price stays pressured for the fifth consecutive day, licking its wounds around $2,018 early Tuesday, as traders brace for the all-important US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for January, scheduled for release later in the day. In doing so, the XAUUSD justifies the previous day’s downside break of a two-month-old rising support line, now immediate resistance surrounding $2,021. Also keeping the bullion sellers hopeful is the impending bear cross on the MACD. It’s worth noting, however, that the pre-data anxiety joins the nearly oversold RSI to challenge the precious metal bears. That said, January’s low of around $2,000 appears immediate support to watch for the metal sellers during the further downside. However, a downward-sloping trend line from December 15, 2023, forming part of a broad bearish channel, will challenge the bears near $1,990 afterward.
On the flip side, a surprise recovery of the Gold Price needs to stay beyond the support-turned-resistance line of nearly $2,021 to convince the intraday buyers. Even so, the 200-SMA surrounding $2,037 could test the XAUUSD bulls before giving them control. In a case where the precious metal remains firmer past the key SMA hurdle, the top line of an aforementioned channel, close to $2,058 at the latest, will precede a six-week-old horizontal resistance of $2,066 to gain the market’s attention.
Overall, the Gold Price is likely to extend the latest fall but the downside room appears limited. Also, the US inflation numbers need to defend the Fed’s efforts to push back the rate cut bias to keep the XAUUSD bears hopeful.
Gold (Neowave Cycles)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
L1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
s1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everyone,
Welcome to Trading Idea, This is a short term forecast but trade always in direction of bigger cycles.
Any last minute update will be done on our tradingview live links.
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love the content than kindly like and share it with your friends. Also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank You
Short Term view-
Medium Term Forecast
Long Term Forecast
Gold ( Complete Neowave Update)Degree full forms-
L1 stand for Long term wave 1 and so on
L1 stand for Medium term wave 1 and so on
s1 stand for short term wave 1 and so on
Hello Everone,
Welcome to Trading Idea, today we are going to talk about gold in details and with this you will also learn how to trade neowave.
First this as you seen the above one is the medium term forecast or you can see them as map. This should be your trading idea for the next week or 2.
Why should we follow this, because long term forecast is suggesting this. As you can see gold price is still showing some space for correction. See Below
Long Term Forecast-
Apart from this you must be wondering is the below down cycle of S3 is started. so the answer is no. See below short term chart which is suggesting that cycles is still up with the key level of 2009.5
Short Term Forecast-
Also see the intraday cycles of gold-
Note- Explaining video will be updated in an hour.
I hope you are enjoying my forecast, if you love content kindly like and share it and also keep following us for more neowave trading ideas.
Thank you