Metals
Will $2,640 Hold Amid Volatility?After a strong rally, gold is facing some downside pressure from its new highs. Specifically, the daily chart shows that gold has hit a key resistance level at $2,678/oz and is currently showing signs of a slight recovery.
Personally, I believe that gold is still in the accumulation phase after a strong rally, and the selling pressure may not be over yet. The next important support level to watch is $2,640, which corresponds to the 0.618 Fibonacci level. This will be the deciding point whether gold continues its downtrend or starts to recover. If gold fails to hold this support level, we could see a deeper decline towards $2,600/oz.
Overall, given the current situation, I advise investors to be cautious and prepare for a scenario where gold could fall further if the next support levels are not held. At the same time, investors should also closely monitor market developments to quickly update and respond promptly to changes in gold price trends.
Gold: Are Buyers Still Motivated?OANDA:XAUUSD extended gains for a third straight day, ignoring a rising US dollar as risk-off sentiment boosted safe-haven assets. The yellow metal has gained more than 3.40% on the week, with buyers eyeing the $2,700 mark.
Technically, gold is in a bullish trend today on most timeframes after buyers accepted the $2,750 level, but buyers must overcome key resistance levels ahead. A break of XAU/USD around $2,658 could see acceptance around $2,700. A break of the latter would expose the November 7 high of $2,710 and the psychological $2,750 figure.
Conversely, sellers would gain the upper hand if the unprofitable metal falls below $2,600. The bearish bias continues to be seen, with the next support level being the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,550. The bears could target the November 14 low of $2,536, followed by a drop to $2,500 for XAU/USD.
Gold Price Increases for 3 Consecutive SessionsWorld gold prices continued to increase for the third consecutive session, currently trading around 2,650 USD/ounce, up a total of 88 USD in the past three days. The main driving force of the uptrend comes from safe-haven demand due to escalating geopolitical tensions between Russia and Ukraine, along with the potential impact of US President-elect Donald Trump's economic policies.
On the 1-hour time frame, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are providing good support for the uptrend, showing the strength of the buyers. The nearest short-term resistance is at 2,670 USD/ounce, if broken, the gold price may continue to increase to 2,680 - 2,690 USD/ounce. The current strong support is around 2,640 USD/ounce, if broken, it may pull the price down to 2,620 USD/ounce.
Personal opinion: The current uptrend is still maintained thanks to the positive sentiment in the gold market. However, the $2,650 - $2,670/ounce area is an important resistance level to watch. If the buyers cannot maintain the pressure, the price may correct slightly to accumulate before continuing the uptrend.
Note that the US interest rate policy in December may create a short-term correction period, but in the long term, gold is still very attractive due to geopolitical and macroeconomic instability. Personal opinion: If the price breaks the resistance, this is a good opportunity to consider continuing to buy orders.
Gold Price Approaches Important Resistance ZoneGold is currently trading around $2,638/ounce, continuing its strong rally after rising $48 in the previous session. The main drivers of the rally are geopolitical tensions and the stability of the USD.
Gold is in a strong recovery phase from its low around $2,580. However, the medium-term downtrend has not been broken yet as the EMA 89 is still acting as resistance.
Resistance and support:
Nearest resistance: The $2,650-2,660 area, which coincides with the EMA 89. This is an important area to confirm a bullish reversal.
Support: The $2,600 area, if broken, gold could retest the old low around $2,580.
Price pattern:
On the 4-hour chart, gold is approaching an important resistance zone. If there is a price rejection signal, the possibility of correction will be very high.
Personal opinion:
Gold price is likely to test the $2,650-2,660 zone in the short term. However, with current technical indicators, selling pressure at the resistance zone will be very high. If the price fails to break through this zone, the possibility of correction back to $2,600 is quite high. On the contrary, if it breaks through, the next target will be $2,700.
Trading strategy:
Sell at the $2,650-2,660 resistance zone, set Stop Loss at $2,670, Take Profit at $2,600.
Buy when the price breaks through $2,660, set Stop Loss at $2,640, Take Profit at $2,700.
BTC | GOLD | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | 20 NOV | HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically...
The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
Gold Rebounds: Focus on 2,546 Support & Russia-Ukraine TensionsGold prices rose on Monday (November 18) after six consecutive losing sessions as the rally in the USD paused and escalating uncertainty over the Russia-Ukraine conflict spurred safe-haven demand.
Currently, gold is recovering after successfully testing strong support at $2,546, where the long-term uptrend intersects with potential buying zones. This positive signal reflects strong buying momentum, pushing prices back towards $2,620, near the EMA 34 and EMA 89, key dynamic resistances.
If prices break above the $2,620 level, the next target could be the resistance zone at $2,791, where significant selling pressure awaits.
With the Russia-Ukraine tensions showing no signs of de-escalating, gold prices could climb even higher in the future. Traders should closely monitor developments in this situation.
Gold : Time for reversal Gold price is under pullback as expected and seems like we are about to enter in continuation in lower side as per wave ABC ....Price currently trading near to High volume area and we can expect a reversal soon (Today or tomorrow ,means I am expecting top of this bullish correction cycle within this week). In higher side we have to watch :
2650-53(Weekly R1 + Near to psychological resistance 2650)
2663-93( Fib Golden zone + High Vol Area).
Strong Recovery After Prolonged DowntrendGold prices have recovered strongly to $2,610/ounce in today's trading session, up $48 in just the past 24 hours. This move shows increased bottom-fishing demand after the precious metal fell a total of more than $120/ounce in the previous five trading sessions.
Technical Analysis
Looking at the gold price chart, the EMA 34 and EMA 89 still show a medium-term downtrend. However, the current strong bullish candle is challenging these dynamic resistance levels. If gold continues to surpass $2,620, the uptrend could extend to the resistance zone near $2,650.
On the contrary, if it fails to stay above $2,600, the possibility of a reversal back to the support zone of $2,560 is quite high.
Fundamentals Support
Geopolitical situation: Escalating tensions in the Ukraine region with the participation of long-range weapons from the US and military moves from Russia and North Korea have boosted safe-haven demand for gold.
Bullish forecast: A report from Goldman Sachs with a forecast of gold prices reaching $3,000/ounce by the end of 2025 is creating positive sentiment for the market.
Bargain hunting demand: After a series of sharp declines, large financial institutions have started to increase purchases, pushing gold prices up rapidly.
Review
Based on the above factors, I expect gold prices to retest the important resistance zone at $2,650 in the short term. However, it is necessary to closely monitor the market's reaction at the $2,620 area. If the breakout fails, selling pressure may reappear.
Gold-> Buyer Back Yet?After suffering significant losses last week, gold has regained its recovery momentum and is trading positively above $2,600 on Monday. The fundamental backdrop supports this recovery. Key resistance levels at $2,518 and $2,628 now divide the market into two distinct zones.
Meanwhile, market participants are awaiting moves from several Fed officials this week to gain further insights into the U.S. interest rate trajectory.
The most likely scenario at the moment is a slight recovery in gold prices following the recent steep sell-off, with expectations for gold to climb higher after several reversals in the USD.
In the medium term, bulls need to reassess U.S. policy planning in December, as the Fed is expected to hold rates steady in January. This has not been fully priced into the market, so any adjustments could pose challenges for gold.
Technically, since the market opened, prices have climbed considerably, increasing the likelihood of resistance capping further upward movement. A false breakout at $2,589 and subsequent consolidation below this zone would strengthen selling pressure. However, there is potential for a retest of $2,618 (Order Block).
Similarly, a failed breakout could trigger selling momentum. But if the fundamentals align strongly in favor of gold, the market may have a chance to shift the local trend from the $2,618 zone.
Gold Trading Strategy for 20th November 2024Gold Trading Signal
Current Price: ₹2632.20
Trading Levels:
Buy Above: ₹2640
Trigger a long position when the price closes above ₹2640 on a 1-hour candle.
Resistance Levels:
₹2665 (Initial Resistance)
₹2693 (Next Resistance)
Sell Below: ₹2620
Trigger a short position when the price closes below ₹2620 on a 1-hour candle.
Support Levels:
₹2598 (Initial Support)
₹2585 (Next Support)
Key Notes:
Monitor price action carefully around the buy and sell levels.
Ensure proper risk management by setting stop-loss orders slightly above or below resistance and support levels, respectively.
Consider additional confirmations such as volume or RSI divergences before entering trades.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Trading in the financial markets involves substantial risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Gold is under pullback : Read my last postAs expected gold is finally under a pullback wave and price opened with a gap , this gap is now going to act as good high volume support area(2560-70).
At the time of writing this post price is facing resistance on weekly pivot(2595) and bulls need to re-claim this level on H4 to see higher levels , First resistance (Target in case of buy) that we have to watch is area at 2630-40(bearish Imbalance) and the final resistance zone as per fib is 2663-93 from where we can re load the sell for target 2530 area again.
As of now I am expecting continuation in pullback (Bullish) and my first target will be 2630 and for sell I will wait confirmation on H4 or daily Time frame.
Gold in Bears' ControlI am watching the recovery in gold, currently trading around $2,586/oz. With the USD rising sharply after President-elect Donald Trump's victory and expectations of higher inflation, the Fed is likely to maintain high interest rates. This is creating significant pressure, making it difficult for gold to continue to break above the 34-EMA and 89-EMA.
In addition, comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell about not being in a hurry to cut interest rates further reinforced the USD's bullish momentum and reduced the appeal of gold. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and between Ukraine and Russia remain a slight support factor for the precious metal's safe-haven status.
Personal view
Key resistance: $2,600–$2,625, which the price needs to break above to generate upside momentum.
Potential support: $2,550, which is an important area I will wait to test.
If the price fails to surpass $2,600, I believe there is a high possibility of a further decline to $2,550, consistent with the current market scenario. I will prioritize a short-term selling strategy in the resistance zone.
BTC | GOLD | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | 18 NOV | HINDI Thanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
Update latest gold price today !Hello everyone!
Gold has been in a steady decline since the start of the week, currently sitting at 2561, with strong indications that this downtrend may persist. The key 2550 level is still fiercely contested, keeping traders on edge.
The market remains clouded with apprehension, especially with recent developments in the U.S. following Donald Trump's election as president. This lingering uncertainty may continue to weigh heavily on gold.
At the moment, all attention is focused on the upcoming October Producer Price Index (PPI) report in the U.S. Analysts are forecasting a year-over-year increase of 2.3% for October, a notable jump from September's 1.8%. If both the CPI and PPI show further inflationary pressure, the Federal Reserve could be pushed to raise interest rates, which could apply even more pressure on gold prices. A stronger U.S. dollar would make gold trading and holding costs more expensive, potentially intensifying the sell-off.
Technically speaking, the battle at 2550 is far from over, and there’s a strong likelihood of a brief pullback before continuing the downward trend. This could mean a possible retest of the 2600-2580 resistance zone before resuming its decline. Chart patterns suggest that if the correction unfolds as anticipated—possibly in line with an Elliott wave impulse—the target could be around 2485, a drop of over 1000 pips from the resistance level.
Stay tuned for more developments as this situation unfolds!
Gold -> How Long Will the Adjustment Last? Emphasis on $2,600Hello, dear friends!
Gold (XAU/USD) extended its recovery early this week, reaching the critical $2,600 mark and ending a six-day losing streak after a false breakout and a retest of $2,546. This rally has been fueled by escalating geopolitical tensions as the U.S. authorized Ukraine to use long-range weapons to strike Russia.
However, the market remains under significant pressure. The USD and bond yields continue to rise, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish stance. Economic struggles in Europe are weakening the euro, driving demand for the USD and further weighing on gold.
This week, the gold market is expected to remain subdued with limited major economic data releases. Key areas to watch include U.S. housing data, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, and comments from Federal Reserve officials.
Gold is currently testing the critical resistance zone at $2,600–$2,589. A false breakout here could trigger strong selling, reinforcing bearish momentum. Conversely, a modest pullback followed by a decline to $2,546 would solidify a clearer downtrend. Keep a close watch!
Gold : due for a pullback : Unconfirmed Gold price seems to be bouncing on Bullish Imbalance on daily TF (Seems like a hammer on daily) but we need a green follow up day to confirm this as possible pullback (The length of pullback is not clear right now but we can expect it approx. 70-80$ from the recent low).
In higher side we have to watch 2595 (First Fib retracement level on daily) and then 2600-20 area for re sell opportunities on confirmation.
BTC | GOLD | MAJOR PAIRS | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | 16 NOV |HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
BTC | XAUUSD | ANALYSIS | FOREX | CRYPTO | 14 NOV | HINDIThanks for watching today's Forex and crypto market analysis!
In this video, I break down the latest price action movements for major Forex pairs, Bitcoin (BTC), and Gold. I focus purely on price action to help identify key levels and potential trade opportunities. If you enjoyed the content, please like, subscribe, and hit the notification bell for daily updates on the markets.
Gold under Non stop selling pressure Gold is under Non stop selling pressure and now reaching the support area as per daily TF , on H1 gold is forming a falling wedge pattern , and for any pullback price need to breakout the trendline from higher side , On Higher TF there is no good indication of any pullback as of now but I think every DIP is a buying opportunities as at present I am not expecting a bearish reversal for a longer period.
First support area is at 2530-55 area.
Second Support area is at 2500-25 area.
Gold prices fall sharply due to pressure from USD World gold prices are under downward pressure in the context of a stronger USD and rising US bond yields. The US CPI index in October increased by 0.2%, pushing inflation in the year to 2.6% as expected. This, along with the possibility of new taxes from the administration of President-elect Donald Trump, is making investors believe that the FED may pause interest rate cuts, leading to gold prices falling for four consecutive sessions.
On the morning of November 14, the world gold price fell to 2,573 USD/ounce, down 46 USD from the previous session's high of 2,619 USD/ounce.
On the daily chart, the gold price has broken the uptrend channel and is currently continuing to decline. The next support levels are at 2,492 USD and 2,444 USD/ounce. If the price holds above this support level, a short-term recovery may occur. However, if the price continues to break these levels, the downtrend is likely to continue.
Gold Hits 7-Week Low Amid Rising Yields and Dollar PressureGold prices are under pressure as the US dollar strengthens, US Treasury yields rise to 4.5%, and demand for gold from China declines. In the recent trading session, gold prices fluctuated sharply, falling to a 7-week low of $2,599/ounce. Market sentiment is gradually losing confidence in gold, with many investors selling off to preserve capital.
In addition, US stocks also weakened as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 both fell, adding more pressure to gold. If factors such as the US dollar do not decrease and gold demand does not recover, the possibility of gold prices continuing to decline is still very high in the short term.
In the short term, gold prices are likely to continue to be under downward pressure if the US dollar maintains its strength and US bond yields remain high. The nearest important support level could be the $2,580/ounce area. If the price breaks this level, the downtrend could extend to lower levels, towards the $2,550 area. Conversely, if there is significant buying pressure, gold could recover slightly, but the possibility of maintaining a strong upward momentum is low as economic factors remain unfavorable for this precious metal.