GOLD Possible Elliott wave countsHere we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of GOLD chart in which weekly, daily, 4 hourly and hourly all these time frames counts are aligned with each others.
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Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Metals
SILVER possible Elliott wave sountsHello Friends,
Here we have shared possible Elliot wave counts of SILVER 4 hourly chart in which we can say possibly we are heading towards north direction as a fresh impulse wave, which can lead towards Bullish bias as now onwards.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Determining trend and consolidation through wave cycles.MCX:GOLD1!
In past, we have discussed how to know the quality of a trend and how to know a chart pattern's extrinsic nature according to the market phase.
If you haven't read that then I want you to read that before to have a better understanding of this idea.
Let's get started!!
How to determine the trend or consolidation through the wave cycles and degrees.
The trend moves in 3 different wave degrees:- For example , think of it like a multi-timeframe analysis.
1. Higher wave cycle (HWC) - This is a 1-month time frame trend.
2. Medium wave cycle (MWC) - This is a 1-day time frame trend.
3. Lower wave cycle (LWC) - This is 30 min time frame trend.
So Without knowing which wave cycle is being traded one can encounter these problems:-
1. Inability to select consistent breakout levels.
2. Inability to select effective stop loss levels.
3. Inability to apply effective stop sizing.
4. Inability to distinguish between trend and consolidation mode.
5. Inability to determine the direction of the predominant trend.
How can we eliminate these complications?
1. Consolidation and Trend Action in Terms of Wave Cycles and Degrees.
A market may be both in trend and consolidation modes at the same time, depending on the wave cycle being observed.
2. We may also define breakouts via the degree of the wave cycles.
Different degrees of waves help in determining whether a breakout will gonna be valid or not as a range formation near the higher wave cycle resistance zone will likely fail.
In the above figure:-
we have breakouts based on waves of lower, medium, and higher degrees. In other words, the breakout level will depend on the wave degree being traded. Being aware of the wave degree being traded will allow the trader to size the stop-loss effectively, according to the average wave amplitude and volatility associated with that particular wave degree.
3. Significance of higher wave degree reversals
When big market trends change direction, it affects smaller trends as well. This is because all the smaller trends are part of the bigger trend. So, when the big trend changes, the smaller trends also change in the same direction. This is important to understand because it means that when you see a change in a big trend, it's a sign that many smaller trends are also changing. However, smaller trends changing doesn't necessarily mean the big trend will change too.
Conclusion:- Always know which wave cycle you are trading and at what point you stand in that wave cycle.
Note: In upcoming Ideas, we will cover how Waves are used in the Elliott Wave concept.
I hope this short idea on trend or consolidation determination has added some knowledge and helped in improving your trading.
please like and comment with your views on this idea.
Keep learning,
Happy trading.
Thank you for reading.
COPPER possible Elliott wave countsHello Friends,
Here we have shared possible Elliott wave counts on 4 hourly chart of COPPER, in which we can say that still selling pressure may continue for some while, because now possibly we are in complex correction phase as wave ((w))-((x))-((y)), in which we had completed ((w))-((x)) and now possibly we are unfolding wave ((y)) in which subdivisions are (a)-(b)-(c) and here also we had completed first two subdivisions as wave (a)-(b) and now we are unfolding wave (c), which can still continue same bearish trend ahead for now some while, where wave (c) would be completed , there wave ((y)) will be done, where wave ((y)) would be done, there wave 2 will be finished and we can say bearishness will be finished with wave 2. wave 2 will not retrace more than 100% of wave 1 so bottom of wave 1 is pegged at $ 3.2410 which should not be crossed as per wave principles, wave (c) can be or may be at equality of wave (a) which level is coming near $ 3.6269, and wave ((y)) can finish near equality with wave ((w)) which level is coming near $ 3.6618.
Well, post wave 2 we can assume fresh impulse ahead as wave 3.
wave (c) can be or may be at equality of wave (a) which level is coming near $ 3.6269
wave ((y)) can finish near equality with wave ((w)) which level is coming near $ 3.6618.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Has Gold (XAUUUSD) Topped out? Gold Price May FallOn Friday, 5 May 2023, Gold price got rejected from the All-time high levels of 2050-2070.
The drop resulted in formation of a DAILY BEARISH ENGULFING CANDLESTICK PATTERN as well as an EVENING STAR CANDLESTICK PATTERN at the ATH resistance levels, which shows sellers are active at this level.
Checking out previous price action, the GOLD Price is trading in a rising channel making HIGHER HIGHS & HIGHER LOWS which signifies the uptrend.
However, checking the RSI indicator which shows the momentum in the uptrend, RSI is making LOWER HIGHS. This results in BEARISH DIVERGENCE!
A Bearish Divergence is a sign of loss of strength in uptrend which means bulls are getting weak and may signal profit booking & trend reversal.
But this does not means to get Bearish on GOLD as of now. We need further confirmations for that.
If Daily candle closes below the rising channel as well as 1968, price may drop till 1940.
Area between 1915-1940 is the must hold level for BULLS. If price closes below 1915 we can then expect beginning of downtrend in GOLD
BUT, since price is still in uptrend and we must follow the trend untill it ends. If daily closes above 1970, price may continue to go high.
CONCLUSION
1. Price is still in uptrend.
2. If daily closes below 1968, price may drop till 1940
3. Area between 1915-1940 is a must hold levels for bullis. If price closes below 1915, a new downtrend may begin.
Let me know in the comments section if you want me to analyse any other financial instrument.
WARNING:-
ALWAYS FOLLOW RISK MANAGEMENT AND POSITION SIZING WHILE TAKING ANY TRADE.
Gold price signals pullback on US NFP dayHaving refreshed a multi-month high on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) dovish rate hike, the Gold buyers appear running out of steam as markets await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data. That said, the quote’s repeated failure to provide a daily closing beyond an upward-sloping resistance line from late January 2023, close to $2,068 by the press time, teases the XAUUSD bears. Adding strength to the hopes of a pullback is the overbought RSI line. However, the metal price needs to provide a daily close below $2,040 to facilitate the profit-booking move. In that case, the $2,000 round figure and 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of around $1,970 could act as immediate targets ahead of February’s top surrounding $1,960. Though, the quote is less likely to drop past $1,960 as 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and 200-EMA, respectively near $1,900 and $1,863 appear tough nuts to crack for bullion sellers.
Meanwhile, the metal’s sustained trading beyond $2,040 can keep grinding its higher and mark another attempt in breaking the multi-day-old resistance line near $2,068. In that case, the highs marked in 2022 and 2020, around $2,070 and $2,075, may act as intermediate halts for the Gold buyers before directing them to the $2,100 round figures.
Overall, Gold price remains bullish but a short-term pullback seems brewing as the key US data looms.
Gold sellers eye consecutive third weekly loss, $1,935 in focusRepeated attempts to mark a downside break of the HKEX:1 ,980-79 support confluence comprising a fortnight-old symmetrical triangle, as well as the 200-SMA, keep Gold bears hopeful of posting a third weekly loss in a row. However, a six-week-long horizontal support zone around HKEX:1 ,935 appears a tough nut to crack for the XAUUSD sellers, especially amid the downbeat RSI (14) line. Should the metal prices remain weak past HKEX:1 ,935, the HKEX:1 ,900 round figure and the mid-March swing low of around HKEX:1 ,885 will be in the spotlight.
Meanwhile, a corrective bounce in the bullion price needs to stay beyond the 100-SMA and top line of the stated triangle, respectively near HKEX:2 ,003 and HKEX:2 ,010, may gold the Gold buyers. It’s worth noting that the quote’s successful trading past HKEX:2 ,010 enables it to challenge the YTD peak of near HKEX:2 ,050 whereas any further advances could aim for the HKEX:2 ,070 key hurdle comprising the previous yearly top and the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) of the metal’s March 15 to April 19 moves.
Overall, Gold stays on the bear’s table after an initial attempt to lure the bulls. However, the next week’s Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy meeting outcome will be crucial to watch for clear directions.
XAUUSD (Gold) Latest Analysis LONG or Short . Find out Gold latest move in 1 hr time frame may breakout from symmetrical triangle and reach to 2005- 2012 📈 range before falling down . But if broken previous week high at 2015 may lead to test resistance at 2020. If not broken symmetrical triangle can lead to 1950-1960 📉 support range and will also broke the daily bear flag which will give the confirmation for further down levels .
Enjoy trading
Be cautious of sudden moves and stop loss hunt.🥇
Silver May Futures #Intraday25-Apr 4:41 PM
Silver May Futures #Intraday
Sell at CMP- 74250
Stop loss - 74760
Target- As par strategy indicates
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#MCX #commodities #commoditytips
TATA METALIKS - Technical analysis Weekly chart Tata Metaliks stock been correcting from last 2 years and is at strong support and looks good for next two years. With risk to reward ratio 1:2, stock looks to hold for next 4 years down the line.
Buy - 750-775
First target - 950-975
Second target - 1260-1320
Stoploss/Average - 460-500
Gold may be about to visit the 2070 levels againSince gold has been moving in an upward trend for a while, in light of the weakness of the dollar, I am trying to seize purchasing deals, and it appears to me through my technical analysis and research that the levels of 2050 seem to be good purchasing areas for me
I will follow it in that area and wait for buying signals to take a deal targeting the 2070 level
Gold needs to break $1,980 support for short-term downsideGold price grinds lower between a three-month-old ascending resistance line and an upward-sloping trend line from late March. That said, the quote recently bounced off a convergence of the 21-day EMA and an upward-sloping support line from March 22, close to HKEX:1 ,980, which in turn suggests the commodity’s further recovery towards the HKEX:2 ,020 immediate hurdle. However, nearly overbought RSI and nearness to the aforementioned multi-month-old resistance line, currently around HKEX:2 ,045, could challenge the XAUUSD bulls.
Meanwhile, a downside break of the HKEX:1 ,980 support confluence could quickly drag the Gold price toward February’s high of around HKEX:1 ,960. Following that, 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of its late November 2022 to early April 2023 upside, near HKEX:1 ,890 and HKEX:1 ,853 in that order, could test the Gold sellers. It’s worth noting that the XAUUSD remains on the buyer’s radar unless it offers a daily closing below the 200-day EMA level of around HKEX:1 ,845.
Overall, the Gold price is likely to grind higher unless breaking the HKEX:1 ,845 level. That said, a downside break of HKEX:1 ,980 can trigger the metal’s short-term fall.
Elliot wave counts of copper looks bullish post dips (if any)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of copper on hourly time frame chart, in which it is showing that after impulse move as a wave 1 we are unfolding now correction waves as a (w) - (x) and (y), in which we had already finished and completed wave (w) and (x) now possibly we are in wave (y) of one bigger degree wave 2, so wave (y) may give some areas of dips too, which can be an opportunity to go Long at good levels, and an invalidation level is also mentioned on chart. My studies are for educational purpose only, Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.