Metals
XAUUSD (Gold ) Analysis for next week 17 April - 21 AprilWe can see the gold the retesting the yesterday high's again , it may be just a bull trap before dropping to test the HKEX:2000 on the daily bear flag or dropping below that can swing the reversal to supports at TSE:1980 and then $1950. It can form the M here or if it broken can test ath of TSE:2070 which is much less likely as it may go to test TADAWUL:2100 psychological levels . If you see rejection here around TADAWUL:2050 - TSE:2055 , then definitely it may retest at HKEX:2007 or HKEX:2000 today .
Trade accordingly
Gold buyers run out of steam before final dose of US dataGold price seesaws near the highest levels since March 2022 inside a one-month-old bullish channel. The bullion recently makes rounds to the upper line of the stated bullish formation amid overbought RSI (14), which in turn suggests that the buyers are running out of steam and a pullback is in the offing. The same highlights the 61.8% Fibonacci Expansion (FE) level of the metal’s moves between March 22 and April 10, around HKEX:2 ,041, as the immediate support. Following that, the previous weekly top surrounding HKEX:2 ,031 and the HKEX:2 ,000 round figure could lure the XAUUSD bears. It’s worth noting, however, that a convergence of the 100-EMA and the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to HKEX:1 ,980-78, as the key support to watch during the quote’s further downside. Above all, the metal’s bearish trend remains elusive unless it trades beyond the 200-EMA level surrounding HKEX:1 ,947.
On the contrary, a successful upside break of the HKEX:2 ,050 defies the expectations of witnessing a pullback in the Gold price. Even so, the 78.6% FE level of around HKEX:2 ,057 can test the bulls before directing them to the previous yearly high of near HKEX:2 ,070. In a case where the bullion remains firmer past HKEX:2 ,070, the record high of HKEX:2 ,075, marked in 2020, will precede the 100% FE level of HKEX:2 ,078 to act as the final defense of the short-term sellers prior to propelling the quote towards the HKEX:2 ,100 round figure.
Overall, Gold price appears to have had enough of a run-up in the week and may witness a retreat. In doing so, the lower high on RSI and higher high of prices, known as bearish divergence, may play its role, if not the US Dollar.
GDX- Cup & Handle BREAKOUT BUY!Attached: GDX Daily Chart as of 7th April 2023
Price has given a Classic Cup & Handle Breakout Buy Signal on the Charts
What do Technical Indicators say on the Daily Chart?
- RSI is in overbought zone ( > 70) and confirming a Bullish Regime✅
- MACD is trending up and in buy mode, confirming Momentum✅
- DMI is in buy mode and ADX is above 25, confirming a Strong Up Trend✅
Going by Pure Price Action too and especially if you go on the Weekly Chart, you can see last Week put in a Clear Bull Power Candle which is our Breakout Candle
The Green Trend Line serves as the Neckline for the Cup & Handle Pattern
Trade Plan as follows:
Current Market Price= 34.43
Upside Target🎯= 40 to 42 zone
Stop Loss⚠️ can be < 32
This is our Swing/ Positional Trade Call
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Note:
Not only is GDX Bullish for the IMMEDIATE Short Term (Daily Time Frame as I have put out in this Idea), but it is also Bullish on the Higher Time Frames like the Monthly and the Weekly as well, so there is a Multi Time Frame Alignment too✅
Lastly, Refer to my Related Ideas to see my GDX Analysis on the Monthly Time Frame to get my Long Term View for an INVESTMENT CALL👍
GDX- BIG BULL OPPORTUNITY!GDX (VanEck Gold Miners ETF)
INVESTMENT CALL📈
Attached: Monthly Chart as of 7th April 2023
(Technical Analysis self explanatory as annotated✍️ in the Chart)
CMP= ~34
Upside Targets🎯:
T1= 40 +
T2= 60 +
T3= $100...
Stop Loss:
SL is Not Needed but just for the sake of it one can keep it below Last Month's (March) Candle Low so < 26.50
Upside Potential is almost 3x🚀 and that too in an ETF (not an individual stock)
With Risk⚠️ of just 25% at Max
The Risk Reward for this Investment is FABULOUS😮✅
And it is on the same thesis of the Bull Run in Gold & Silver 🥇🥈
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Check out my Related Ideas for the Bullish Call that I had put out for Silver and how it met its Target
SILVER- Inverted Head and Shoulders Breakout BUY!Attached: XAGUSD Daily Chart as of 17th March 2023
Price closed up 4.20% on Friday with a Bullish Marubozu Candle
At the same time also triggering a Bullish Inverted Head & Shoulder Pattern Breakout
Action Plan as follows:
Buy triggered with Friday's Closing✅
Stop Loss⚠️ below 21.25
Upside Target🎯= 25 + (which is also the measured move of the IHNS Pattern)
Silver has to catch up📈 with Gold as the Precious Metals Bull Run unfolds amidst a Banking Crisis, High Inflation and Rising Interest Rates
Gold buyers run out of fuel ahead of US NFPBe it the Doji candlestick just beneath the 10-week-old ascending resistance line or the overbought RSI (14), Gold Price flashes clear signs of bullish exhaustion. The bears, however, need validation from the monthly support line, close to $1,981, as well as the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP). Also acting as the downside filter is February’s high of around $1,960 and the late March swing low of around $1,938. Following that, the metal’s south run towards the 100-DMA and the 200-DMA, respectively near $1,861 and $1,787, can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, Gold price recovery needs a successful break of the aforementioned multi-day-old resistance line, close to $2,035. In a case where the bullion manages to cross the $2,035 hurdle and gains support from downbeat US employment numbers, its run-up towards the previous yearly high surrounding $2,070 can’t be ruled out. Should the quote remains strong past $2,070, the record high marked in 2020 around $2,075 appears the last defense of the bears.
Overall, Gold losses bullish momentum ahead of the key event, suggesting a notable pullback in prices should the scheduled US employment numbers trigger the US Dollar run-up.
Silver May Futures #Intraday6-Apr 7:47 PM
Silver May Futures #Intraday
Sell at CMP- 74105
Stop loss - 74460
Target- As par strategy indicates
Disclaimer- We are not SEBI registered advisor.
Charts and views are only for educational purpose.
#NSE #stockstowatch #stockstobuy #swingtrading
#MCX #commodities #commoditytips
gold silevr spot or mcx breifly analysis blw yestrday gold made 2024$ now if hold abv 2010$ interday base soon tgt 2040$ in mcx 60700 if hold abv thna expect tgt 61400-500+++ if any dwn side than buy on dipsss with support sl---------- silver eys on 25.15 if stya abv thna nxt up side tgt 25.50 in 75200 if stya abv thna buy on dipss with sl 74810 tgt 75800--76600++++++++++ where come dwn or support 24.50 if hold abv m,kt bull zone readyyyy
SILVER- Relative Strength says Buy!XAGUSD
Another Bullish Signal for Silver🥈
Attached: XAGUSD/ Nifty 50 Weekly Chart as of 31st March 2023
- This Relative Strength Chart indicates that the Outperformance of Silver over Equity (Nifty 50) has started 📈
-It is similar to the Signal on Gold🥇 that I had shared on New Year's Day and you can see how fabulously well that Gold Buy Signal played out for us ‼️
- Expect the same for Silver as I have been saying that Silver has to catch up with Gold
So if Not Already in Silver,
Get In As Soon As Possible or you will miss the Move 🚀!
Note:
In my previous post on Silver, I highlighted an Inverted Head & Shoulder Breakout BUY SIGNAL
Since that post, Silver is up 6.60% and counting....
Silver on weekly resistance Silver on weekly resistance comex chart , looks for retrace on forthcoming weeks
gold in a triangle triangle formation
is a chart pattern formed by drawing trendlines along the highs and lows of price action. This pattern typically indicates a period of consolidation in the market, with decreasing volatility and narrowing price ranges, as the forces of supply and demand become more balanced.
Ascending triangle: This pattern forms when there is a horizontal resistance level and an upward sloping trendline connecting the higher lows. Traders often see this pattern as a bullish continuation pattern, meaning the price is likely to break out above the resistance level.
Descending triangle: This pattern forms when there is a horizontal support level and a downward sloping trendline connecting the lower highs. Traders often see this pattern as a bearish continuation pattern, meaning the price is likely to break down below the support level.
Symmetrical triangle: This pattern forms when there are both a descending trendline and an ascending trendline converging towards each other. This pattern does not indicate a specific directional bias, but rather suggests that a breakout in either direction could occur.
Traders often use triangle patterns to help identify potential trading opportunities, such as buying when the price breaks out above the resistance level of an ascending triangle, or selling when the price breaks down below the support level of a descending triangle. However, it is important to note that triangle patterns are not always reliable indicators, and traders should use other technical analysis tools and risk management strategies to make informed trading decisions.
Gold inks bullish consolidation inside key rising trend channelGold price seesaws around the top line of a five-month-old bullish channel, recently supported by the 10-day EMA. It’s worth noting, however, that the smaller gap towards the north joins descending RSI (14) line and easing bullish bias of the MACD signals to keep XAUUSD sellers hopeful. However, a clear downside break of the 10-day EMA, around $1,955 by the press time, becomes necessary to convince intraday sellers. Even so, the $1,900 round figure and a horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early February, near $1,860, could restrict the metal’s further downside. In a case where the commodity remains bearish past $1,860, the stated channel’s lower line and the 200-day EMA, respectively near $1,841 and $1,825, act as the last defense of the buyers.
On the contrary, the $2,000 psychological magnet keeps restricting the short-term upside of the Gold price, a break of which could push XAUUSD bulls towards the 61.8% Fibonacci Extension of the metal’s moves between November 2022 and late February 2023, close to $2,017. Should the precious metal remains firmer past $2,017, the aforementioned channel’s resistance line, close to $2,021, may become the only hurdle between the bulls and the previous yearly top surrounding $2,070.
Overall, the Gold price stays inside a bullish chart formation despite having limited room towards the north.
Gold has smoother road towards the northGold teased bears earlier in the week by defying the bullish channel but the follow-on bounce off the $1,934-36 zone renewed buying interest in the yellow metal. However, a clear upside break of $2,000 becomes necessary for the XAUUSD buyers for conviction. Also acting as an upside filter is the aforementioned channel’s lower line, close to $2,011 at the latest. Following that, a run-up toward the previous yearly high of around $2,070 can’t be ruled out.
Meanwhile, a one-week-old horizontal support zone near $1,934-36 puts a floor under the Gold price, a break of which could quickly recall the $1,900 threshold on the chart. However, a convergence of the 200-EMA and six-week-old horizontal region surrounding $1,890-85 appears a tough nut to crack for the bears. Should the bears keep the reins past $1,895, the early-month swing high of near $1,854 can flash on their radars.
Overall, the Gold price may keep grinding higher as promising oscillators join the metal’s hesitance in declining.
XAGUSDXAGUSD HEAD and Shoulder pattern observed . Expecting breakout from the current level and test the resistance level at 24 and 26. Need some news or event to go higher with good volume till we don't receive the news or any event occur till the time we are gonna consolidate at the current level .
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