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Gold H1 - Can Gold reject 4167 and fall to 4133 today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is trading inside an intraday consolidation after a strong H1 displacement. The session is now primed for liquidity engineering before the next leg. Key narrative drivers traders must respect today: • Stronger USD expectations continue to shape risk sentiment • Institutional desks frequently exploit sweep zones during consolidation • Range-bound conditions favor fakeouts → displacement → expansion mechanics • Headlines around U.S. monetary tone amplify intraday volatility The current chart highlights balanced liquidity both above and below structure, supporting a two-way SMC playbook. 🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1) Market is holding a rising channel, but internally ranging — a typical liquidity map scenario: • Buy-side liquidity pocket: 4180 → 4182 (premium extreme) • Sell-side liquidity pool: 4110 → 4133 (discount extreme / origin zone) • Internal equilibrium zone: 4150–4170 chop region (no-trade area) We expect this sequence: Sweep → CHoCH/BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🎯 Trade Plans for Today 🔴SELL GOLD 4180–4182 | SL 4190 Thesis: Premium liquidity sweep above local highs before downside displacement. Activation rules: • Price sweeps 4182 liquidity • Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15 • Imbalance retest / FVG entry after structure break Targets: • 4167 (nearest reaction) • 4150 (equilibrium raid) • 4135–4133 (discount retest) 🟢 BUY GOLD 4135–4133 | SL 4125 Thesis: Sell-side liquidity sweep into the origin zone before upside impulse. Activation rules: • Price taps 4133 pool (sweep below structure) • Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15 • FVG fill / bullish rejection wick confirmation Targets: • 4155+ • 4167 (reclaim zone) • 4180+ (premium raid target) ⚠️ Risk Management • Do NOT trade inside 4150–4170 without clear displacement • Wait for CHoCH + BOS before execution • Treat the upper and lower zones as liquidity traps, not trend entries • Reduce size during news spikes unless structure confirms • SL = wave invalidation, no averaging in chop 📝 Summary Gold is in accumulation/redistribution mode. Desks may: • Run buy-side liquidity at 4182, then displace down → retest discount or • Sweep sell-side liquidity at 4133, confirm CHoCH up → expand with impulse Today is a liquidity session, not early trend chasing. Execute only after confirmation. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasingXAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasing Brian – Prioritize short selling at the channel peak, wait to buy back at lower support I. Strategy Summary Gold is trading in an uptrend channel on H1, but the rise around 4.160 shows signs of weakening, increasing short-term correction risk. Preferred Scenario: Short sell at the channel peak 4.162–4.164, targeting support areas 4.145 – 4.130 – 4.115 – 4.100. After the correction, the 4.100–4.080 area may become the foundation for the next rise in the larger trend. Important price areas to watch: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088. II. Macro Context & News 27/11 02:00 – Fed releases Beige Book This document updates the Fed branches' assessment of the US economic situation. Describing slower growth, cooling price pressures will further reinforce expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates → supporting gold. Conversely, if the Beige Book describes the economy as still “resilient,” the market may temporarily slow down pricing in rate cuts → causing a short-term adjustment for gold. 19:30 – ECB releases October meeting minutes If the minutes lean towards the scenario of keeping high interest rates longer, the EUR may be supported, indirectly affecting the USD and gold inflows. However, the impact is usually not as strong as US data, mainly affecting the overall risk-on/risk-off sentiment. General Context: Gold has surpassed 4.160 USD/oz as the market increasingly expects the Fed to cut interest rates as early as December, reducing the appeal of interest-bearing assets and increasing the allure of gold – a non-yielding asset. This creates a support foundation for the medium-term uptrend, but after a hot rise, technical adjustments on H1 are normal. III. Technical Structure – H1 uptrend channel The price is within the H1 uptrend channel, with rising peaks and troughs, but the upper area near 4.160 coincides with: The upper boundary of the price channel. The “Sell POC” area on the chart – where liquidity and sell orders are concentrated. Preferred scenario on the chart: The price may slightly rebound to the POC area 4.162–4.164, then be rejected and slide to the important support area around 4.110 before extending the adjustment down to 4.100–4.080. The lower trendline of the uptrend channel also acts as a short-term buy area if a clear candle reaction appears. Notable price areas on H1: Resistance: 4.162–4.164 (channel peak + POC). Intermediate support: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110. Deep support: 4.088 – 4.080 – 4.100 (area that may form the bottom for the next rise). IV. Trading Plan 1. Preferred Scenario – Short sell at the channel peak Idea: Short sell when the price rebounds to the upper boundary of the H1 uptrend channel and POC 4.162–4.164, expecting a correction to support. Sell: 4.162–4.164 SL: 4.168 TP targets: TP1: 4.145 TP2: 4.130 TP3: 4.115 TP4: 4.100 This is a counter-move order in the uptrend channel, only targeting a short-term correction, not a major trend reversal scenario. 2. Supplementary Scenario – Short buy at support trendline Idea: When the price hits the lower trendline of the H1 uptrend channel and a nice candle reaction appears, consider a short-term buy according to the channel, prioritizing areas: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088 Specific Entry/SL levels will depend on the actual price reaction at the trendline, but the general principle: Buy close to the trendline, SL placed below the immediate support area, TP aimed at the middle of the channel or the nearest resistance. V. Risk Management & Notes Do not open new positions right before or at the time of the Beige Book and ECB minutes release, as volatility may suddenly increase, widening spreads. The sell order at 4.162–4.164 is a short-term counter-trend order in the uptrend channel, requiring moderate volume and strict adherence to SL 4.168. If the price clearly breaks and holds above the 4.170 area, the H1 correction scenario weakens – in that case, stay out, wait for a new structure instead of trying to maintain a sell view.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
Gold H1 – Liquidity Plays as Hassett Leads Fed Chair Race🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (26/11) 📈 Market Context Gold opens the week reacting to fresh political headlines as Kevin Hassett emerges as the frontrunner for Trump’s next Fed Chair. This matters for gold because: • A hawkish-leaning Fed Chair pick typically strengthens USD and weighs on gold. • Markets may price in tighter policy expectations, increasing short-term bearish pressure. • Political volatility ahead of the official announcement often triggers liquidity grabs on both sides. With sentiment shifting toward a stronger USD, gold is positioned for classic SMC-style sweeps around key premium and discount zones. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – Smart Money Structure) • Market Structure Price has tapped into a minor premium zone and is showing early rejection signs. Below, the 4140–4138 area aligns with intraday demand and the origin of recent displacement. • Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply) 4210 – 4212 • Sits above current buy-side liquidity • Clear premium relative to intraday structure • High-probability sweep zone before any downside displacement • SL region: 4220 liquidity pocket • Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand) 4140 – 4138 • Previous CHoCH origin • Aligns with discount retracement • Confluence with unmitigated internal demand block • SL region: 4130 sell-side liquidity • Liquidity Map • Buy-side: 4212 → 4220 • Sell-side: 4138 → 4130 Expect the typical SMC sequence: Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction Entry: 4210 – 4212 Stop-Loss: 4220 Take-Profit: → 4160 (reaction level) → 4145 (mid-range liquidity) → 4140–4138 (discount zone retest) 📌 Only activate after a liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction Entry: 4140 – 4138 Stop-Loss: 4130 Take-Profit: → 4160 (intraday reaction) → 4185 (premium edge) → 4210 (liquidity sweep target) 📌 Valid only after sell-side sweep + bullish CHoCH. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Headlines around the Fed Chair nomination may create sudden USD strength spikes—wait for structure shifts. • Avoid trading inside the chop zone 4150–4180 without clear displacement. • Treat today as a liquidity-driven session, not a directional trend day. 📝 Summary Gold is rotating between premium and discount zones as markets digest news of Kevin Hassett leading the Fed Chair race, a development that could tilt expectations toward firmer policy. Institutional players are likely to hunt liquidity above 4210 or below 4140 before committing to direction. Key Levels Today (26/11) 🔴 Sell Zone: 4210–4212 🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138 Prepare for: Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
U.S. data storm ahead – Gold awaits its next breakout🟡 XAU/USD – Timing Reversal at 4188, FVG Retest Expected 🔍 Market Context Gold is approaching a key timing zone near 4188–4190, which aligns with previous supply and structural rejection. After a strong impulsive leg, liquidity resting above recent highs may be targeted before a deeper pullback into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone. The structure remains bullish in the medium term, but short-term corrective moves are expected before continuation toward the 4212 liquidity objective. 📈 Key Trading Zones 🔻 SELL Setup Entry: 4188 – 4190 Stop Loss: 4192 Target 1: 4090 Target 2: 4020 Expect rejection at timing zone — short-term bearish retracement into FVG. 🟢 BUY Setups BUY GOLD 4090 – 4088 | SL 4085 → Scalp long targeting 4140–4160 if price reacts strongly within FVG. BUY GOLD 4022 – 4020 | SL 4017 → Ideal deeper retracement buy zone aligning with structural liquidity & prior demand. 🧠 Trading Plan Logic Wait for price sweep & rejection at 4188–4190 before confirming short. Monitor FVG zone (~4090) for reaction to flip back long. The higher-timeframe target sits near 4212, aligning with liquidity above prior highs. ⚙️ Bias Short-term: Bearish correction from 4190 toward 4090. Medium-term: Bullish continuation toward 4212 after retracement.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold Awaits PPI & GDP – Buy Dips, Sell Rallies🟡 XAU/USD – PPI & GDP Data to Define Range Expansion 🔍 Market Context Gold remains range-bound between $4000–$4100, consolidating after last week’s liquidity sweep. This week’s key U.S. data — Core PPI, Retail Sales, GDP, and Core PCE — will likely dictate the next major move. Slight improvement in inflation and consumption data could strengthen the USD temporarily, but overall bias remains bullish mid-term as the Fed is expected to maintain a dovish stance into Q1. 📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart) Main Sell Zone (Super OB): 4170–4200 → potential reversal supply zone. Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4130–4160 → short-term reaction zone if price retraces. Sell Zone: 4090–4095 → short opportunity aligned with intraday bearish structure. Buy Zone 1: 4024–4025 → minor demand, expecting internal liquidity sweep. Buy Zone 2 (Main OB): 4003–4001 → strong order block with multiple rejections; key liquidity pool. Structure: H4 BOS (Bullish) intact, suggesting a liquidity sweep before next expansion upward. 🎯 Trade Plan 1️⃣ SELL Setup – Short-term reaction from FVG Entry: 4090–4095 Stop Loss: 4100 Take Profit 1: 4055 Take Profit 2: 4040 Take Profit 3: 4025 ➡️ Reasoning: Price is likely to tap the lower edge of FVG and sweep local liquidity before a downside reaction toward internal range demand. 2️⃣ BUY Setup – First demand zone test Entry: 4024–4025 Stop Loss: 4022 Take Profit 1: 4065 Take Profit 2: 4080 ➡️ Reasoning: Expecting a short-term liquidity grab below the mid-range before bullish continuation. 3️⃣ BUY Setup – Main OB accumulation zone Entry: 4003–4001 Stop Loss: 3998 Take Profit 1: 4045 Take Profit 2: 4075 Take Profit 3: 4090 ➡️ Reasoning: Deep liquidity zone aligning with higher-timeframe OB. If macro data disappoints, this area can trigger the next impulsive leg to retest 4170+. 🧭 Overall Bias → Ranging bias before Core PCE → Buy dips – Sell rallies within 4000–4100 until a clear breakout post-GDP/PCE data. → Watch for false breakouts around FVG and maintain risk control before U.S. session releases.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Strong news chain could push gold to retest 4300🟡 XAU/USD – Weekly Trading Plan (Nov 23–29) SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High-Impact News Week 1. Market Context Gold is sideways in the H4 accumulation structure, forming higher lows along the trendline. Above are 3 important supply layers: OLD FVG 1 OLD FVG 2 Large FVG 4220–4300 the price needs to sweep liquidity & hit the supply zone before creating a new direction. 2. Strong News Schedule for the Week This week has a lot of USD news directly affecting gold: Tuesday (Nov 25) Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → strong volatility. Wednesday (Nov 26) Unemployment Claims Durable Goods → Core Durable Goods GDP q/q – GDP Price Index Core PCE (most important inflation news of the week) ➡️ This is the decisive day for the trend for the rest of the week. Friday (Nov 28) German CPI (affects EUR → USD indirectly) 🎯 News Conclusion: → Gold likely to fake move – sweep liquidity before running correctly. → Thin SL zones will be continuously hunted. 3. Key Levels (from the chart you sent) 🔻 SELL Zone (Supply – FVG) 4189 – 4191 (Main Sell) SL: 4195 This is a strong reaction zone for the week. 4132 – 4134 (Sell scalp) SL: 4138 🔵 BUY Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC) 4906 – 4904 (main BUY scalp zone in the chart) SL: 3999 → This is the only zone clearly marked as BUY in the chart. Psychological level: 4000 – 3985 If the price falls → strong reaction to form the weekly low. 4. Weekly Trading Scenarios 🅰️ Scenario 1 – Price retraces to supply zone before dropping (most likely) Price is forecasted to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191 After hitting 4190 ± → potential appearance of: Bearish BOS H1/H4 Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000 🔻 SELL Plan Sell 4132–4134 (scalp) SL 4138 Main Sell 4189–4191 SL 4195 TP targets: TP1: 4090 TP2: 4050 TP3: 4000 🅱️ Scenario 2 – Price dips before news then surges (kill liquidity) If gold is pushed down before PPI/GDP news: Best BUY zone: 4000 – 3985 Form a low → surge back up to test supply. 🔵 BUY Plan BUY 4000–3985 SL: 3975 TP: 4050 4100 4130 🅾️ Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks If 4200 is broken by a large-bodied H4 candle: ➡️ High probability gold will move up to test large FVG 4250–4300 → At that point, only look for BUY pullbacks, no more SELL.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
XAUUSD – H4 Trend Structure Awaiting BreakoutXAUUSD – H4 Trend Structure Awaiting Breakout Brian – Strategy to Buy on Pullback in Uptrend Channel I. Strategy Summary Gold continues its uptrend on H4, supported by the upward trendline from the 3,880–3,900 region. The price is testing the resistance zone of 4,133–4,150, coinciding with the H4 supply and descending trendline, making short-term corrections likely. Main strategy: wait for a pullback to support/FVG to buy with the trend, avoid FOMO buying at resistance. Key levels to note: closing below 4,000 weakens the uptrend structure; below 3,884 risks shifting to a medium-term downtrend. II. Macro Context Unemployment Claims (weekly unemployment benefits): Forecast: 226K Previous: 220K Higher-than-expected figures → indicate a weakening labor market, cooling economy, increasing the likelihood of the Fed easing sooner → real yields decrease, supporting gold. Better-than-expected figures (lower than forecast) → support USD and bond yields, potentially causing short-term pressure on gold. Geopolitical: Trump's statement on easing "deadline" pressure for Russia–Ukraine negotiations ("the deadline will be when the issue is resolved") helps the market worry less about a hard deadline, but conflict risks remain. The demand for gold as a safe haven remains stable, not overly inflated but also unlikely to disappear entirely. III. Fundamental Picture Expectations for a rate cut cycle in 2025 continue to support gold as the market gradually prices in lower real interest rates in the medium to long term. The demand for holding defensive assets persists amid slowing global growth and unresolved geopolitical hotspots. In the short term, USD and US bond yields remain the two leading variables; any USD recovery can pull gold back to technical support areas, creating opportunities for buy-on-dip strategies. IV. Technical Structure – H4 Trend Channel & FVG Zone On H4, the price is moving within an uptrend channel, with the support trendline respected multiple times since the end of last month. Above is the descending trendline connecting the nearest peaks, creating a price compression zone as the market approaches the 4,133–4,150 area. This is a confluence resistance zone: The nearest swing high. H4 supply zone. Intersection with the descending trendline. Notable price zones: Resistance: 4,133–4,150 – a zone that may trigger short-term profit-taking and create a correction. Near support/FVG: 4,078–4,080 – FVG zone combined with support after the previous breakout. Psychological support: 4,000 – if H4 closes below this area, the uptrend structure weakens. Medium-term reversal level: 3,884 – closing below here opens the risk of shifting entirely to a medium-term downtrend. V. Trading Plan Scenario 1 – Buy with the Trend (Priority) Idea: wait for a shallow pullback to near support in the H4 uptrend channel and then buy. Entry: 4,111–4,114 SL: 4,005 TP: 4,133 – 4,150 – 4,172 – 4,190 Scenario 2 – Buy Deep at FVG Zone Idea: if a stronger pullback to FVG 4,078–4,080 occurs, take advantage of the good price zone to buy. Entry: 4,078–4,080 SL: 4,073 TP: 4,100 – 4,115 – 4,142 VI. Risk Management & Notes Limit opening new orders at the time of Unemployment Claims announcement due to potential volatility and spread widening. If H4 closes below 4,000, reassess all current buy positions. If H4/Daily closes below 3,884, consider the medium-term uptrend structure broken; prioritize staying out to observe or wait for a new downtrend scenario instead of continuing to look for buying points.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by BrianLionCapital
A Short Gold Sell Opportunity You Can't MissLooking at the chart, gold continues to move steadily within a clear downtrend channel, with each peak and trough forming progressively lower levels over time. Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel and interacting with the same resistance area where sellers have stepped in multiple times before, forcing the market to reverse. This behavior strongly indicates that the potential for a continued corrective move downward, in line with the main trend, remains intact. With this in mind, I believe a price decline toward the 4,080 level is a reasonable and logical target for the current correction. As long as the price hasn’t clearly broken through the upper boundary of the channel, I will continue to favor the scenario where the bearish trend remains dominant, viewing any upward movement as a mere pullback within the overall structure. This is not financial advice, but simply my personal perspective based on the current price action.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by LauraCharts
Essential Guide to Support and Resistance 1️⃣ The Importance of Support and Resistance in the Highly Volatile Crypto Market - The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7/365 and shows significantly higher volatility than traditional financial markets. This volatility creates exceptional profit opportunities but also triggers intense fear and greed, placing substantial psychological pressure on traders. - Support and resistance act as critical reference points within this chaos, highlighting areas where price is likely to react. Beyond technical analysis, they reflect the collective psychology of traders. Understanding them is essential for long-term success in crypto trading. 2️⃣ The Nature of Support and Resistance and Their Psychological Foundation Support and resistance form where buying and selling pressures clash strongly enough to slow down or halt price movement. Support: At this level, buyers perceive the asset as “cheap enough” and are willing to enter, forming a psychological and structural barrier against further decline. Traders previously stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, adding layered reactions around these levels. Resistance: At this level, sellers believe the asset is “expensive enough” and reduce exposure, while trapped traders near the top may sell with a “better late than never” mentality, limiting further upward movement. ※ The Meaning of Breakouts and Fakeouts - When support breaks, active buyers may panic and trigger stop-loss selling. Conversely, breaking resistance often invites aggressive buyers, accelerating the trend. - However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, designed to exploit trader psychology. Avoid jumping in too early without confirmation. 3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Models Explained 📈 Trendlines & Accumulation Zones: Market Structure and Trader Expectations - Trendlines visually represent collective expectations of future price direction. - Touching an uptrend line triggers “buy the dip” psychology. - Touching a downtrend line reinforces the belief that price “cannot move higher.” - Accumulation Boxes mark areas where buying and selling pressures stabilize. Traders plan around these zones, driven by the mindset of “waiting for the breakout” to catch meaningful moves. drive.google.com 📈 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market Inefficiency & Smart Money Footprints An FVG forms when price moves too quickly through a zone, leaving an unfilled “price gap.” These gaps often represent sudden activity from Smart Money (institutions, whales). Gap Filling: Markets naturally avoid leaving inefficiencies unresolved. When price returns to an FVG, the entities responsible for the original move may adjust or reopen positions, creating support or resistance. Newer traders can observe FVGs as footprints of Smart Money and plan reactions accordingly. drive.google.com 📈 Moving Averages (MA): Collective Sentiment & Trend Direction MAs reflect the average price the market perceives over time. Because MAs are widely monitored, they naturally form psychological support and resistance. Short-term MA (e.g., 50MA): Tracks short-term sentiment. Price below → worry about trend weakening. Price above → renewed optimism. Long-term MA (e.g., 200MA): Represents long-term sentiment. Price below 200MA → fear of prolonged downtrend. Price above 200MA → hope for sustained bullishness. When acting as support/resistance, MAs reflect strong collective agreement. drive.google.com 📈 POC (Point of Control) – Volume Profile: Market Consensus & Volume Strength POC is the price level with the highest trading volume within a given range — the market’s strongest consensus level. Price below POC: POC becomes strong resistance. Buyers stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, strengthening resistance. Price above POC: POC turns into solid support. Buyers believe price should not fall below this level. POC often reflects the market’s “expected value” and the area where loss-aversion psychology is strongest. drive.google.com 📈 Fibonacci: Natural Order & Human Expectations - Fibonacci retracement applies golden ratio mathematics to charts, reflecting where traders expect reversals and forming support/resistance. - These levels work not by magic but because many traders plan trades around them — collective behavior creates real reactions. - Levels like 0.5 and 0.618 carry psychological significance, often seen as optimal buying or selling opportunities. drive.google.com 📈 CME Gap: Institutional Movement & Mean Reversion Behavior CME gaps occur in Bitcoin futures due to institutional trading hours. When spot price moves over the weekend while futures are closed, gaps form. Gap Filling: These gaps represent time periods without institutional activity, encouraging the market to “normalize” abnormal price areas. Traders commonly expect gaps to be filled eventually, turning them into potential support/resistance zones. drive.google.com 4️⃣ Managing Trading Psychology Through Support and Resistance Even the best tools are useless without psychological discipline. Confirmation Bias & Stop-Loss Discipline - Ignoring losses due to selective perception leads to failure. - When support breaks, accept the invalidation and exit decisively. Overbought/Oversold Psychology & FOMO - Avoid chasing price upward out of fear of missing out. - In crashes, resist panic-selling at the bottom. - Rely on your structured support/resistance rules. Scaling Into Trades - Avoid buying everything at one support level—or selling everything at one resistance level. - Scaling entries across multiple levels increases psychological stability and reduces the impact of misjudgment. 5️⃣ Building a Complete Strategy & Practical Application Tips Confluence Creates Strongest Levels When multiple support/resistance signals overlap (e.g., Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA + POC + FVG), these zones become significantly stronger because they reflect collective trader agreement. Volume Confirms Support/Resistance Strength High volume validates a level's importance. A reliable breakout requires strong volume, showing clear market participation and intent. Develop Your Own Trading Plan Do not follow every model blindly. Choose indicators and methods that fit your style, and create clear trading rules. Discipline with your own system leads to psychological stability and long-term success. Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
FX:XAUUSD
by Matthew_TradeRFX
7
Gold H1 – Pre-NFP Liquidity Hunt as US–China Tone Warms🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (25/11) 📈 Market Context Gold is approaching a key premium zone while markets react to fresh geopolitical headlines. Earlier today, Donald Trump confirmed he had a “very good call” with President Xi of China, highlighting strong bilateral relations and continued cooperation. This matters for gold because: • Warmer US–China relations often reduce geopolitical risk premiums, pressuring gold. • The timing is critical: markets are entering NFP week, a period where institutions frequently engineer liquidity grabs. • Traders may see a USD-supportive environment ahead of NFP, especially if risk sentiment stabilizes. In short, gold is sitting in a zone where liquidity sweeps are highly probable before a larger move develops. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – SMC Structure) • Market Structure Price is climbing toward a major liquidity cluster around 4170–4172, aligning with previous equal highs and an unmitigated supply block. Below, the FVG demand zone at 4102–4100 serves as today’s discount reaction zone. • Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply) 4170 – 4172 • Buy-side liquidity sits above prior highs • Clear premium zone relative to current swing structure • Likely target for engineered sweep ahead of NFP volatility • Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand) 4102 – 4100 • FVG imbalance + BOS origin • Confluence with discount retracement levels • Strong RR for bullish reaction after sell-side sweep • Liquidity Map • Buy-side: 4172 → 4180 • Sell-side: 4100 → 4092 Expect the classic SMC sequence: Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion. 🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction Entry: 4170 – 4172 Stop-Loss: 4180 Take-Profit: → 4138 (imbalance fill) → 4115 (mid-range liquidity) → 4102–4100 (discount zone retest) 📌 Must wait for liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction Entry: 4102 – 4100 Stop-Loss: 4092 Take-Profit: → 4135 (intraday reaction) → 4160 (premium edge) → 4170 (buy-side liquidity sweep) 📌 Valid only after sell-side liquidity is taken. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Expect extra volatility as markets price in US–China optimism ahead of NFP. • Liquidity traps are common during Asian/London sessions—wait for confirmation. • Avoid taking positions inside the chop zone 4125–4150 without structure shifts. • Treat both scenarios as liquidity plays, not trend continuation trades. 📝 Summary Gold is approaching a major liquidity pocket as geopolitical sentiment improves following Trump’s positive call with President Xi. With NFP approaching, institutions are likely to sweep liquidity above 4170 or below 4100 before establishing direction. Key Levels Today 🔴 Sell Zone: 4170–4172 🟢 Buy Zone: 4102–4100 Prepare for the typical pre-NFP pattern: Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
Gold H1 – Will Economic Slowdown Trigger a Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (24/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to move inside a tight compression range while markets react to new economic concerns raised by U.S. analysts. According to today’s report, economists are increasingly worried about an unusual slowdown pattern in consumer behavior — spending remains high, but confidence and savings are weakening. This mixed macro picture creates uncertainty: 🔹 Key takeaways from today’s news: • U.S. consumers are still spending but confidence is deteriorating, a red flag for future growth. • Economists warn this divergence could lead to slower economic momentum over the next quarters. • Weakening sentiment → higher recession fears → typically supportive for gold after liquidity sweeps. • However, short-term volatility remains high as markets reassess the sustainability of U.S. demand. With uncertainty rising, institutions are likely engineering both-side liquidity grabs before committing to a directional move. Gold is currently rotating between 4015–4100, respecting a clean SMC range structure. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Market Structure Price is forming a descending compression pattern with repeated CHoCH signals, indicating engineered liquidity on both sides. • Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply) 4100 – 4102 → Overhead resting buy-side liquidity → Aligns with unmitigated internal supply + trendline liquidity • Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand) 4015 – 4013 → Inside the prior sweep zone → Confluence with ascending structure + BOS origin • Liquidity Map • Buy-side liquidity: above 4102 – 4110 • Sell-side liquidity: below 4013 – 4008 A sweep of either pocket is likely before real displacement. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) Entry: 4100 – 4102 Stop-Loss: 4110 Take-Profit Targets: → 4065 (imbalance fill) → 4040 (range midpoint) → 4018–4015 (discount retest) 📌 Execution Rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) Entry: 4015 – 4013 Stop-Loss: 4008 Take-Profit Targets: → 4055 (short-term reaction) → 4080 (premium edge) → 4100 (sweep target) 📌 Valid only if price takes sell-side liquidity first and shows bullish displacement from discount. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • Market may react unpredictably to weakening U.S. consumer sentiment — reduce risk during spikes. • Avoid trading inside the 4040–4070 chop zone unless a clean break or CHoCH forms. • Treat both setups as liquidity–based plays, not trend continuation trades. • Expect engineered manipulation during Asian session before London expansion. 📝 Summary Gold remains trapped in a controlled SMC range as economic signals turn mixed. With economists raising concerns about consumer–confidence divergence, gold may experience pre-breakout liquidity sweeps today. Key Zones: 🔴 Sell Zone: 4100–4102 🟢 Buy Zone: 4015–4013 Expect the classic SMC sequence: Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025 🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data. Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction. Recent Drivers USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support Session Expectations London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1 Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY) Market Structure H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090 Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071 Liquidity Map Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071 Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994 Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders Imbalance Zones Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Clear explanations linked directly to your entries) 4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup. Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply. 4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium. Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session. 4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand A small OB + SSL cluster. Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown. 3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions. A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution) ✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Entry: 4148–4146 Stoploss: 4154 TP1: 4135 TP2: 4120 TP3: 4090 Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection. ✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell Entry: 4068–4071 Stoploss: 4077 TP1: 4055 TP2: 4043 TP3: 4032 Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move. ✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound Entry: 4032–4030 Stoploss: 4024 TP1: 4048 TP2: 4068 Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone. ✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy Entry: 3996–3994 Stoploss: 3988 TP1: 4010 TP2: 4035 TP3: 4068 Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups. 🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES Do not trade inside the mid-range Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation NY session more likely to deliver the real move Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation 🏁 CONCLUSION XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities. Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys. Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alicee_Trader
Brian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session TodayBrian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session Today Technical analysis – trendline, FVG, and two clear scenarios On H4, gold is still maintaining a medium-term uptrend line drawn from the end of October. The decline in the Asian session this morning was not strong enough to break the structure; the price touched the trendline and then bounced up, indicating that the sellers have not yet "crushed" this support area. Current structure: The price is accumulating around the 4,050–4,080 area in a sideways candle cluster, lying on the uptrend line and above the 4,000 support. Above, the 4,120–4,170 area is an FVG + important supply zone; higher is a larger FVG around 4,280–4,330 – if "filled," it is a potential area for a strong profit-taking move. Below, the 4,000 mark is a key support; losing this mark, the price could quickly slide to the 3,884 area – marked on the chart as the level confirming a medium-term downtrend if breached. Until 4,000 is broken, I consider this an accumulation area with a high possibility of "fake breaks" on both sides – so prioritize trading according to the trendline, not guessing tops and bottoms in the noise area. Key levels Resistance / sell zone: 4,100–4,110: buy confirmation zone, if rejected will become short-term supply 4,170–4,173: FVG / supply, medium-term short zone 4,280–4,330: large FVG above Support: 4,048–4,050: trendline + intraday breakout zone 4,022–4,005: next support if the price slides off 4,040 4,000: psychological and structural support 3,884: final support; breaking down will confirm a medium-term downtrend Trade scenarios (for reference, not investment advice) 1. Sell break intraday – follow the trend if the trendline breaks Entry: sell when the price breaks the short trend at 4,048–4,050 SL: 4,056 TP: 4,040 → 4,022 → 4,005 Idea: if the price breaks below the current accumulation cluster and short trendline, I want to follow the initial selling force, targeting the adjacent support area 4,022–4,005. When the order goes right, SL can be moved to BE around 4,040. 2. Sell “premium” – short at the upper FVG zone Entry: 4,170–4,173 SL: 4,178 TP: 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,122 → 4,100 This is a price zone I consider "beautiful" for medium-term trading if the market gives a deep retracement. FVG + H4 resistance converge; if the price is strongly rejected here, the TPs are successively the lower demand zone and the current range bottom. 3. Buy only after clean breakout – do not rush to catch the bottom I am only interested in buy orders when the market structure truly confirms: Trigger: H1/H2 candle closes clearly above 4,100 Entry: buy right around 4,100 after breakout SL: 4,092 TP: medium-term towards the 4,145 → 4,170 → 4,230+ depending on momentum This scenario considers 4,100 as the "exit door" from the current accumulation area. If this area holds as new support, buyers will have a clearer advantage and the money flow could push the price up to gradually fill the upper FVGs.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips!Hey traders, As we roll into a brand-new week, gold is showing some impressive stability. XAUUSD is hanging right around the 4,050-dollar mark, and despite the quiet price action, there’s a lot happening beneath the surface that’s worth paying attention to. The market right now is in “wait-and-see” mode as everyone watches the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Over the past few days, expectations have started to shift—more traders believe the Fed may slowly pivot toward a softer stance and potentially move closer to cutting rates by the end of the year. Because of that, bond yields have been drifting lower, the dollar is losing some of its strength, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold is starting to rise again. All of these elements together create a strong backdrop for potential upside in the short term. On the technical side, XAUUSD is tightening inside a clean triangle structure, and for those who follow price action closely, you know what that usually means: the market is building pressure. When price consolidates this way, it often sets the stage for a strong breakout. If buyers can push through the upper boundary of this triangle, the next logical target sits up near the 4,500-dollar zone — right in line with the momentum we saw during the last bullish move. How about you? What’s your take on this setup? Are you leaning toward another leg up, or do you think the market is prepping for a pullback first? Wishing you a great week of trading—focused, confident, and full of solid opportunities.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Luiss_Miguel
Gold Stuck Between 4050-4100. Now What?Gold price is currently trading in classic range-bound behavior on the daily timeframe, with price action consolidating between the 4050-4100 area (On closing basis ) as marked by the rectangle on the chart. Based on the current technical setup, I'm anticipating continued consolidation for approximately 6-7 weeks from this point. However, this isn't likely to be a simple sideways move the consolidation is expected to carry a bearish undertone, meaning we may see more pressure toward the lower end of the range during this period. after mid-January, conditions appear favorable for a fresh buying rally to develop. This consolidation phase may simply be the market gathering momentum for the next leg higher, allowing for profit-taking and position adjustments before the next bullish impulse. While range trading can be tempting during consolidation phases,., buying on dips remains the more favorable approach.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by TheGoldenCircle
Gold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum LoadingGold Reaches Exhaustion Zone — Sell Momentum Loading Gold is showing signs of upside exhaustion, with price repeatedly failing to gain momentum as it approaches the mid-range premium zone near the 4,245 area. The recent structure reflects a market transitioning from short-term recovery into renewed weakness, with each bullish attempt losing strength faster than the previous one. Order flow remains dominated by distribution behaviour, and the chart signals a potential liquidity sweep followed by a bearish continuation. The projected rejection zone suggests that buyers are running into an area of heavy supply, where institutional activity has previously triggered aggressive downside extensions. Volume distribution across the range also highlights diminishing demand at higher prices, reinforcing the likelihood of a downward rotation. As the market continues to respect its broader range ceiling, the probability increases for price to revisit deeper value regions. With momentum fading and the current leg showing hesitation, gold is positioned for a potential sell-side move toward lower mean-reversion levels.
TVC:GOLDShort
by XAU_EMPIRE
Gold Nonfarm: Buy OB 4030, Target Break 4111🔍 Market Context – November 20, 2025 Gold initially dropped nearly 70 pips at the start of the day but quickly rebounded sharply from the 4030–4032 zone, demonstrating strong buying pressure and a refusal to decline further. The market structure on the H1–H2 timeframe is forming a classic, well-defined Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern—a quintessential bullish reversal pattern—signaling a potential upward expansion if the neckline is successfully broken. 📅 Key News Events Today: 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) 📉 US Unemployment Rate 🏛 FOMC Meeting Minutes 🗣 Speeches by Trump, Barkin, Williams 🧾 Initial Jobless Claims ⚠️ These events could trigger sharp volatility and will determine the confirmation or rejection of the reversal pattern. 📊 Technical Analysis 🛒 BUY SETUP – Primary Priority ✅ Entry: 4030 – 4032 🛡 Stop Loss (SL): 4027 🎯 Take Profit (TP): TP1: 4039 TP2: 4047 TP3: 4059 💡 Rationale: Price bounced strongly at the OB + SSS zone. This is a crucial technical support area and the base of the Inverse H&S pattern. The objective is to break the neckline to trigger the uptrend. 🔻 SELL SETUP – Short-Term Strategy 📍 Entry: 4093 – 4095 🛡 SL: 4098 🎯 TP: TP1: 4088 TP2: 4077 TP3: 4060 TP4: 4033 💡 Rationale: This strategy is only applicable if the price forms a false breakout of the BSL zone and reverses. This is an ideal entry point for quick scalping if the market reacts negatively to the news. 🔑 Key Price Zones Buy Zone (OB + SSS): 4030 – 4032 → Strong demand zone, the base of the Inverse Head & Shoulders pattern, confirming the reversal signal if held. Breakout Neckline Zone: 4101 – 4111 → The neckline of the Inverse H&S pattern. Breaking this zone will open up opportunities for a sharp rise. Final Resistance Zone: 4133 – 4140 → The final target if the breakout is successful and the bullish pattern is confirmed. ✅ Strategy Conclusion 🎯 Main Strategy: Priority is to BUY in the OB zone 4030–4032. 🩸 SELL is only for short-term scalping if there is a signal of rejection at the BSL zone. 🕓 Caution: Be careful entering trades near the Nonfarm news release time—wait for price action to confirm the direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Linda_OneShotTrader
Gold is stuck in a wide range, ready for a decisive break.Good evening traders, Brian here with a fresh look at gold on the 2-hour chart. Price is compressing in a broad sideways range, building energy for the next leg – the break from this structure will set the tone for the coming sessions. Fundamental analysis The core driver remains the Fed’s December decision. The market is effectively split on whether we see a cut or a delay: A camp of institutions argues that rising unemployment and softer data could still justify a 25-basis-point cut in December, keeping pressure on the dollar and supporting gold on dips. Others point out that the Fed is short of clean, up-to-date data and may prefer to wait until next year before committing to an easing cycle. As a result, pricing for a December cut is roughly “fifty–fifty” and highly sensitive to the next run of labour-market and activity data. In short: the macro backdrop is undecided, so intraday direction will be driven mainly by levels and liquidity until the next data catalyst hits. Technical analysis On the H2 chart, gold is in a broad consolidation after the recent sell-off: Price is trading inside a descending structure, repeatedly respecting the short-term trendline from the recent high. The Fibonacci retracement of the latest impulse shows the 0.382 level lining up with a prior fair-value gap and horizontal resistance – this forms a key rejection zone overhead. Below price, there is a confluence of support where the rising trendline meets a small bullish FVG around 4027–4029, followed by a more important horizontal support band near 3998. The volume profile highlights a Value Area High (VAH) around 4075–4080, which is likely to act as a reaction zone if price rotates back into it. Until we break convincingly out of this structure, I treat it as a large accumulation range with a slight downside bias: sellers are still defending lower highs, but buyers are stepping in aggressively at trendline support. Key levels Resistance zones: 4080–4085 (VAH / short-term supply) 4135–4145 (Fibonacci 0.382 + FVG + structural resistance) Support zones: 4027–4029 (trendline + FVG confluence buy area) 3995–4000 (important horizontal support) 3940 region (deeper support if the range finally breaks down) Trade scenarios 1. Primary long – buy the trendline/FVG confluence Entry: 4027–4029 Stop: 4023 Targets: 4035 – 4050 – 4068 – 4080 Idea: look for price to react at the rising trendline where it overlaps with the small FVG. A clean rejection candle or shift in intraday order flow from that zone sets up a rotation back towards the VAH and potentially the upper boundary of the range. 2. Break-and-retest short – if the trendline fails Trigger: clear H1/H2 close below the rising trendline and the 4027 area Plan: wait for price to retest the underside of the broken trendline / prior support Entry: on rejection of that retest Initial targets: 4000, then 3940 if momentum accelerates This scenario treats any breakdown as a structural shift, using the retest as a lower-risk point to join the move rather than chasing the first leg. 3. Intraday scalp zones These are discretionary, short-term opportunities for active traders: Reaction sells: around 4085, and higher up if we spike into the 4135–4145 resistance band. Look for exhaustion or rejection patterns back into the range (potential targets 4060 then 4033). Reaction buys: into 3998–4000 if we see a liquidity sweep below the current range, with tight stops and quick profit-taking back towards the mid-range.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BrianLionCapital
Gold at a Crossroads: Up or Down?If we zoom in and carefully observe how the GOLD price is moving, it becomes immediately clear: The market has just shown a very strong upward impulse, but now something interesting is happening. The price is tightening and forming a small, narrow triangle, which indicates that the market is accumulating energy. In these situations, there are usually two possible directions, but given the clearly bullish context, I feel that a breakout to the upside is much more likely. What do you think? Do you agree with me? Leave your thoughts in the comments. And trust me, being part of the TradingView community will help you improve every day as a trader. Of course, this is not financial advice, just my personal view on the chart.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by LauraCharts
Gold H1 – Is This Just a Range or a Break Incoming?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (21/11) 📈 Market Context Gold continues to trade inside a compressed intraday range as markets react to the latest discussion on whether the Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates anytime soon. According to new reports, policymakers remain cautious, and early rate-cut expectations are fading as inflation progress slows. This shift pushes USD stronger, increases Treasury yields, and temporarily weakens gold’s bullish momentum. Key takeaways from the news: • Fed officials note that inflation is “still not where it needs to be,” reducing the probability of early rate cuts. • Markets have scaled back expectations for a Q1 cut, keeping USD supported. • Higher yields → tighter financial conditions → gold struggles to break premium levels. • Institutions are likely engineering liquidity grabs on both sides before committing to a new directional move. Price is currently sitting near the 4030–4045 zone, right above discount liquidity, waiting for a catalyst to break out of the short-term compression. 🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure) • Market Structure: Gold has completed a clear CHoCH + short-term bearish sequence and is now compressing into the discount zone around 4030. • Premium Sell Zone (4H Supply): 4128–4130 aligns with unmitigated supply + buy-side liquidity resting above internal highs. • Discount Buy Zone: 4030–4028 sits inside the last clean demand zone where a previous sweep occurred. • Liquidity Map: → Buy-side liquidity: above 4128–4135 → Sell-side liquidity: below 4028–4020 Institutions are likely to sweep one side before delivering direction. 🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4128 – 4130 • Stop-Loss: 4140 • Take-Profit: → 4080 (minor imbalance fill) → 4045 (range EQ) → 4030–4028 (discount demand retest) 📌 Execution rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15 before entering. 🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone) • Entry: 4030 – 4028 • Stop-Loss: 4020 • Take-Profit: → 4060 (short-term reaction level) → 4095 (inefficiency fill) → 4120 (premium retest) 📌 Valid only if price sweeps the 4030–4028 pocket and shows bullish displacement from discount. ⚠️ Risk Management Notes • USD strength may spike unexpectedly as rate-cut bets fade — reduce position size during volatility. • Avoid trading inside the 4045–4085 chop zone unless a clean structure break forms. • Manage trades aggressively once liquidity levels are taken. • Expect engineered manipulation during low-volume Asian hours. 📝 Summary Gold is compressing inside a narrow intraday range as markets reassess the likelihood of Fed rate cuts. SMC structure suggests a two-sided liquidity sweep before a decisive move: • Sell Zone: 4128–4130 (premium supply) • Buy Zone: 4030–4028 (discount demand) Expect classic accumulation → sweep → displacement patterns until macro conditions create a new trend. 📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Ryan_TitanTrader
XAUUSD – Where Smart Money Strikes Today🌐 MARKET CONTEXT Gold enters today’s session after a period of controlled volatility, with price repeatedly reacting around key liquidity pockets but failing to produce a clean breakout. The M30 structure remains bearish, with price rejecting premium levels and forming consistent lower highs. Recent Drivers USD stays firm as markets maintain expectations of a slightly hawkish Federal Reserve Traders await upcoming mid-week data → low conviction, cautious positioning Overall sentiment remains neutral — no strong safe-haven pressures Session Outlook London Session: Likely to engineer early sweeps into premium supply zones New York Session: Higher chance of real directional expansion Bias: Bearish intraday until discount zones trigger a CHoCH (shift of character) Price is currently inside mid-range, so the safest setups remain at extremes where liquidity is concentrated. 📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY) Market Structure M30 Trend: Lower High → Lower Low sequence Equilibrium zone: 4068–4085 Inducement layers resting above 4147 and 4081 Liquidity Levels BSL: Above 4147 & 4081 SSL: Below 4033 & deep liquidity at 3993 Market continues printing engineered wicks, trapping impulsive traders Imbalances Bearish FVG: 4147–4148 → perfect for premium scalp sells Minor imbalance: 4081 Discount inefficiencies near 4033 and 3993 → ideal buy setups 🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES (Strong Logic + Clear Explanation) 4148–4147 ▶️ Premium Liquidity Trap – High-Quality Sell Zone This area holds an unmitigated bearish order block combined with buy-side liquidity. Smart Money typically uses this zone to trap breakout buyers before reversing sharply. 4079–4081 ▶️ Secondary Premium Sweep Zone – Fast Rejection Expected A mini liquidity pool just above equilibrium, designed for early-session stop hunts. Often triggers sharp intraday reversals. 4035–4033 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Clean Scalping Demand This zone holds micro-demand + SSL resting below. Expect low-drawdown reactions ideal for quick intraday buys. 3995–3993 ▶️ Deep Discount Liquidity Pool – High-Probability Reversal Base A rich accumulation of Sell-Side Liquidity combined with HTF discount structure. Strong reversal potential if price reaches this level. ⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (High-Precision SMC Execution) ✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection Sell Entry: 4148–4147 Stoploss: 4126 TP1: 4135 TP2: 4120 TP3: 4085 Logic: BSL sweep + bearish imbalance fill → sharp sell-off expected. ✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Mid-Range Liquidity Sweep Entry: 4079–4081 Stoploss: 4087 TP1: 4065 TP2: 4048 TP3: 4033 Logic: Quick liquidity hunt above equilibrium followed by displacement. ✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Intraday Scalping Rebound Entry: 4035–4033 Stoploss: 4027 TP1: 4048 TP2: 4070 Logic: SSL sweep → micro CHoCH → ideal for fast bullish reaction. ✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Reversal Entry: 3995–3993 Stoploss: 3987 TP1: 4010 TP2: 4040 TP3: 4070 Logic: Major discount zone + liquidity buildup → strong reversal potential. 🧠 NOTES / SESSION PLAN Avoid mid-range trading — only trade at liquidity extremities Expect London fake-outs; real movement likely in NY Always wait for M5/M15 confirmation (CHoCH + BOS) Avoid buying in premium areas; avoid selling in deep discount zones Follow strict risk management — volatility may spike unexpectedly 🏁 CONCLUSION Gold continues to hold a bearish intraday structure, favouring premium sell setups at 4147 and 4081. Discount zones at 4033 and 3993 offer high-probability buy reactions and possible deeper reversals. Trade with patience. Execute only at liquidity extremes. Let Smart Money show its trap — then strike with precision.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Alicee_Trader
Gold XAUUSD – Fresh Resistance Tested Twice, Bears Eye 4057 PullGold gave us a clean reaction today, rejecting the 4107–4110 supply zone not once, but twice. That double tap reinforced a fresh resistance band at 4087–4095, where sellers stepped back in with intention. As long as 4012 holds on the upside, this resistance zone remains my short-term line in the sand. Any push back into 4087–4095 may attract renewed selling pressure, keeping the door open for a move toward 4057, with momentum potentially extending lower if sellers stay in control. I’ll be watching how price behaves on each revisit—structure remains king. Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀 Happy Trading, – The InvestPro Team
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by InvestPro_India
1
The Gold Bullish Setup You Can't Miss!OANDA:XAUUSD The price is clearly approaching a critical support zone, one that has previously triggered positive reactions in the market. This zone also aligns closely with the psychological level of $4,000, which tends to capture the market’s full attention. Given the current momentum, there’s a strong possibility that buyers will step in and push prices higher. A confirmation, such as a solid rejection pattern, a bullish engulfing candle, or a long lower shadow, would significantly increase the likelihood of a rebound. If my analysis proves accurate, and buyers regain control, we could see the price rise to around $4,070. However, if the price breaks below this key support, it would negate the bullish outlook and could lead to further declines. Please note, this is not financial advice!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by LauraCharts