XAUUSD is skyrocketing after the Adam & Eve pattern!OANDA:XAUUSD is really interesting right now. The price seems likely to rise further after the formation of the Adam & Eve pattern. With such an easy-to-remember name, the Adam & Eve pattern is one of the most memorable. Below, I’ll explain the reasons and how to easily recognize it.
The Adam pattern is characterized by a sharp drop, followed by a quick recovery, forming a "V" on the chart. High, sharp, and aggressive! You could say it's more "masculine."
On the other hand, the Eve pattern develops more slowly. The price becomes more rounded, forming a wider and smoother base before rising again, creating a shape similar to the letter "U." Softer, more curved, and more "feminine."
Combining these two elements gives us the Adam & Eve pattern, which often signals a potential trend reversal. Especially when accompanied by fundamental analysis or other strong technical indicators.
This pattern will stick in your mind when you connect its shapes to the male and female aspects. A pattern that's truly hard to forget.
Metals
XAUUSD - GOLD - Trying to catch TOP is like chasing your crush# Here are the key factors currently supporting gold:
Momentum remains bullish:
#GOLD has gained as markets increasingly price in a potential Federal Reserve interest rate cut.
Gold continues to be regarded as a safe-haven and hedge asset. Amid economic uncertainty, inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and sustained demand from central banks and investors, gold retains its primary drivers.
# Here are the key technical levels to watch over the next month:
According to recent chart data:
The immediate support region is approximately $4,110–$4,010, which serves as a pivot zone. A break below this level could lead to further downside toward $3,817–$3,683.
On the upside, a breakout above $4,282–$4,325 could pave the way for a move toward $4,450–$4,550.
Target-6
If the current bullish momentum persists and supportive fundamental conditions remain in place, gold may target the level marked as 6 on the chart.
#Here are the factors most likely to influence the movement of XAU/USD in the near future:
1. U.S. interest rates and Federal Reserve policy.
2. U.S. economic data and inflation figures.
3. Strength or weakness of the U.S. dollar: Since gold is priced in U.S. dollars, a weaker dollar typically supports higher gold prices.
4. Geopolitical risk and global uncertainty: Global instability, trade tensions, or major macroeconomic concerns often drive investors toward gold as a safe-haven asset.
Conclusion
Gold will remain strong as long as key support levels hold and market sentiment remains favorable. With momentum in its favor, any dips are likely to present buying opportunities, while a clean breakout could initiate the next leg higher.
~ Disclaimer ~
High Risk Investment
Trading or investing in assets like crypto, equity, or commodities carries high risk and may not suit all investors.
Analysis on this channel uses recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources for informational and educational purposes only, not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before investing or trading.
This channel, Render With Me, is not responsible for any financial loss arising directly or indirectly from using or relying on this information.
Gold 4H – Can XAUUSD reject 4245 before diving into 4140?📈 Market Context
Gold rallied as the U.S. dollar closed softer on repriced Fed rate-cut expectations, with market headline flow confirming USD finishes lower and gold rallies on renewed cuts timing debates — a setup that encourages external liquidity raiding before weekly direction is revealed. Forex Factory
4H conditions are classic for liquidity engineering: price trades near balanced mid-range flows, institutions exploit USD weakness into weekly open, and both buyer/seller pools are vulnerable to strategic sweeping before expansion.
Expect volatility spikes around U.S. session opens and PMI headline catalysts.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138
SL: 4130
TP targets: 4175 → 4200 → 4220 → 4250 → 4280+
Rationale:
• Discount zone beneath 4H liquidity shelf
• Demand mitigation + accumulation narrative after sweep
🔴 Sell Zone: 4245–4247
SL: 4255
TP targets: 4220 → 4200 → 4175 → 4150 → 4140
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• 4H imbalance magnet below waiting to be filled
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS confirmation before entries — avoid blind positioning.
• Expect wider spreads and wick manipulation on USD headline releases.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact USD news (PMI, Fed speakers).
• Scale partials at each TP level, let runners work only after confirmation is printed.
Summary
Gold remains in 4H rangebound engineering territory where Smart Money is likely to sweep premium above 4245, deliver a correction to 4140, then seek a validated bullish reaction from discount demand on confirmed USD volatility.
Patience and confirmation first. Liquidity always wins.
🚀 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups
Gold 4H – Liquidity Plays Ahead of Fed Minutes & PMI Data🥇 XAUUSD – Weekly Smart Money Outlook | by Ryan_TitanTrader
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to trade inside a controlled 4H consolidation as markets brace for a highly event-driven week: U.S. PMI releases, updated Fed guidance, and renewed debates over the timing of future rate cuts.
Recent data has shown mixed momentum — softer employment trends but steady business activity — keeping the dollar volatile and gold reactive near mid-range liquidity.
Institutional flows remain cautious, reducing aggressive positioning ahead of major macro catalysts. This environment typically leads to engineered sweeps on both sides of the range as Smart Money hunts liquidity before revealing direction.
Expect short-term volatility spikes, especially around U.S. session opens and PMI releases.
🔎 Technical Analysis (4H / SMC View)
• Price is navigating a minor bearish structure, forming lower highs while protecting deeper liquidity beneath 4020.
• The recent 4H BOS + corrective pullback suggests the market may generate a liquidity grab toward the discount zone before any strong bullish leg develops.
• A Premium Sell Zone at 4225–4227 sits above resting liquidity, making it an ideal region for stop hunts and short-term distribution.
• The Discount Buy Zone at 4010–4008 aligns with structural reaction points, unmitigated demand, and a liquidity shelf — ideal for accumulation.
• Mid-range liquidity around 4060–4080 may be swept before the market chooses a larger weekly direction.
🟢 Buy Zone: 4010–4008
SL: 4000
TP targets: 4085 → 4120 → 4175 → 4220
Rationale:
• Deep discount zone beneath 4H liquidity
• Confluence of demand + structural mitigation
• High probability of engineered sweep before bullish expansion
🔴 Sell Zone: 4225–4227
SL: 4235
TP targets: 4175 → 4120 → 4060 → 4015
Rationale:
• Premium supply above equal-high liquidity
• Favors stop hunt + distribution before correction
• Aligns with previous 4H rejection and imbalance fill
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Wait for M15 ChoCH / BOS inside each zone before entering — avoid blind entries.
• Expect spreads and liquidity manipulation around news: US PMI, Fed speeches, and data surprises.
• Avoid trading 10–20 minutes before high-impact events.
• Scale partial profits at each structural target to secure gains and let runners develop.
✅ Summary
Gold remains trapped in a structured 4H range where Smart Money is likely to sweep one side before delivering a decisive expansion.
Discounted buys at 4010–4008 and premium sells at 4225–4227 remain the highest-probability weekly setups.
Stay patient, respect liquidity, and follow confirmation.
🔔 FOLLOW @Ryan_TitanTrader for more weekly SMC setups 🚀
Gold H1 – Will 4212 Hold and Drop to 4160 Today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is currently trading within a rising institutional channel after strong H1 displacement. The market is compressing into a liquidity-rich consolidation phase — a classic Smart Money trap environment before engineered expansion.
What Smart Money desks are targeting today:
• Expectation of USD strength shaping bearish bias
• Liquidity sweeps above internal range highs
• Consolidation fakeouts to induce retail mis-positioning
• CHoCH/BOS confirmation required before real directional move
The chart shows equal liquidity zones positioned at premium (sell opportunity) and discount (re-entry buy region).
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Current state = Accumulation / Redistribution phase
Liquidity map highlighted zones:
• Premium liquidity zone: 4212 – 4214 (target for short trap)
• Discount liquidity origin zone: 4165 – 4163 (higher timeframe demand re-entry)
• Equilibrium / Chop zone: 4180 – 4195 (no trade unless displaced)
• Trendline support: ~4173 region (must break for downside continuation)
Expected sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH/MSS → BOS → Displacement → Retest (FVG/OB) → Expansion
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴 SELL GOLD 4212 – 4214 | SL 4222
Thesis: Liquidity sweep at premium highs before bearish displacement
Entry activation rules (must wait):
• Price taps 4214 liquidity pocket
• Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Entry taken at FVG fill or order block retest after BOS
Targets:
1. 4200 (first reaction)
2. 4187 – 4185 (BOS retest zone)
3. 4170 (channel mid-equilibrium)
4. 4165 – 4163 (H1 demand retest / profit core)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4165 – 4163 | SL 4143
Thesis: Discount origin tap for impulse continuation buy
Entry activation rules (must wait):
• Price sweeps into 4163 pool
• Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• Strong bullish rejection wick + FVG fill confirmation
Targets:
1. 4185 – 4187 reclaim zone
2. 4200+ institutional expansion target
3. 4212+ premium revisit
⚠️ Risk Management
• Avoid trading inside 4180 – 4195 unless displaced
• Do NOT interpret sweeps as trend entries — they are traps
• SL = structure invalidation, no averaging in consolidation
• Reduce size during monetary headlines unless MSS confirms
📝 Summary
Gold is currently in engineered liquidity mode. Expect either:
• Sweep 4214 → MSS/BOS down → drop into 4163 discount retest,
or
• Tap 4163 → bullish MSS/BOS up → expand toward 4200 – 4212+
Today = confirmation-based execution only, not trend chasing.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD – Ascending Channel in Play, Upside Target Towards 4,240
Brian – Focusing on buying the dip, watching for short setups near upper resistance
Market overview & structure
On the H4 chart, gold is moving neatly inside a well-defined ascending channel, with higher highs and higher lows. The current leg is pointing towards the 4,237–4,240 region, which aligns with:
The upper boundary of the channel.
A key resistance zone.
The 1.618 Fibonacci extension and resting liquidity above recent highs.
This keeps the broader bias bullish, but as price approaches 4,240, the probability of profit-taking and short-term selling pressure naturally increases.
Wave & technical context
The current move is an extension of the previous bullish structure after price broke out of the old bearish channel and started to consolidate in a new bullish one.
Liquidity levels around 4,193 and above suggest that the market has been building positions and has room to drive price into higher resistance.
The buy zone highlighted near the lower boundary of the channel, around 4,154–4,157, is where buyers are likely to step back in to defend the trend.
As long as price holds above 4,150–4,154, the scenario of a continuation towards 4,240 remains the higher-probability path.
Key zones & trading plan
Primary scenario – Buy with the trend inside the channel
Buy zone: 4,154–4,157 (channel support + marked buy zone).
Idea: Wait for a pullback towards the lower boundary of the channel, or a brief liquidity sweep into this zone, followed by a clear rejection candle on H1/H4 before entering long.
Targets:
Short-term: 4,190–4,200 (mid-channel / interim liquidity).
Extended: 4,237–4,240 (major resistance + 1.618 Fibonacci extension).
This is a trend-following “buy the dip” setup suitable for swing or short-term positional traders.
Secondary scenario – Short-term sell from 4,237–4,240
Sell zone: 4,237–4,240 – the confluence of strong resistance and the 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
Idea: If price tags this zone and shows clear rejection (long wicks, bearish reversal pattern on H1/M15), it may offer a counter-trend short back towards the mid-channel or 4,190–4,200 support.
This is a short-term, counter-trend idea, so:
Position size should be smaller than the main long setup.
Stop loss should be kept tight above 4,240 and not dragged wider out of emotion.
News & broader context
Liquidity conditions may thin out towards the end of the day due to the ongoing Thanksgiving holiday period in the US, which can lead to sudden spikes and stop hunts, especially around obvious liquidity pools.
On the political side, headlines such as Mr. Trump’s comments about “permanently suspending immigration from third-world countries” add to general policy uncertainty, but the impact on gold is mostly indirect through broader risk sentiment.
Another interesting point: silver has been rallying strongly, supported by solar-energy demand and supply concerns. It is acting like a “silent workhorse”, attracting fresh capital. This does not remove gold’s role, but shows that precious metals as a whole are gaining attention.
Strategy & risk management
For now, my focus remains on buying dips around 4,154–4,157 in line with the ascending channel, and only looking for short, tactical sell setups if price clearly rejects 4,237–4,240.
I prefer to avoid entering fresh trades when US liquidity is very thin or right into major holiday sessions, as spreads can widen and price action can become erratic.
Once price closes decisively below the buy zone and breaks the channel structure, this bullish plan loses validity, and it is better to step aside and reassess rather than forcing trades.
What do you think – does this channel still favour the bulls, or are you expecting a deeper correction from the 4,240 region? Feel free to share your view in the comments.
GOLD XAU/USD – Testing Supply Zone! Possible Pullback SetupGold extended its bullish momentum but is now showing signs of exhaustion as it tests the 4190–4200 supply zone, where price has reacted previously.
I’ll be watching for potential short opportunities near 4185, as long as 4194 remains a protective upside barrier.
If sellers step in, possible downside targets are:
🔽 4178
🔽 4172
🔽 4168
Structure remains valid as long as the 4194 zone holds. A breakout above may invalidate the pullback idea and open the door for further bullish continuation.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is a technical analysis idea for educational purposes only, not financial advice. Always manage risk and follow your own trading plan.
Your feedback drives our content and keeps everyone trading smarter. Let’s make those pips together! 🚀
Happy Trading,
– The InvestPro Team
XAUUSD Outlook: Recent Gains Have Been Quite Steady!The market outlook for XAUUSD remains clearly optimistic. The latest price movement has shown a steady recovery, pushing towards the upper boundary of the newly forecasted price channel. This presents another excellent opportunity to get involved.
The market may be in the early stages of a strong new bullish leg. We could also see some consolidation or a short-term pullback before continuing towards the upper boundary, but I believe the second scenario is more likely.
My target would be 4,350.
Gold H1 - Can Gold reject 4167 and fall to 4133 today?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (27/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is trading inside an intraday consolidation after a strong H1 displacement. The session is now primed for liquidity engineering before the next leg.
Key narrative drivers traders must respect today:
• Stronger USD expectations continue to shape risk sentiment
• Institutional desks frequently exploit sweep zones during consolidation
• Range-bound conditions favor fakeouts → displacement → expansion mechanics
• Headlines around U.S. monetary tone amplify intraday volatility
The current chart highlights balanced liquidity both above and below structure, supporting a two-way SMC playbook.
🔎 Technical Framework – Smart Money Structure (H1)
Market is holding a rising channel, but internally ranging — a typical liquidity map scenario:
• Buy-side liquidity pocket: 4180 → 4182 (premium extreme)
• Sell-side liquidity pool: 4110 → 4133 (discount extreme / origin zone)
• Internal equilibrium zone: 4150–4170 chop region (no-trade area)
We expect this sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH/BOS → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🎯 Trade Plans for Today
🔴SELL GOLD 4180–4182 | SL 4190
Thesis: Premium liquidity sweep above local highs before downside displacement.
Activation rules:
• Price sweeps 4182 liquidity
• Bearish CHoCH/MSS + BOS down on M5–M15
• Imbalance retest / FVG entry after structure break
Targets:
• 4167 (nearest reaction)
• 4150 (equilibrium raid)
• 4135–4133 (discount retest)
🟢 BUY GOLD 4135–4133 | SL 4125
Thesis: Sell-side liquidity sweep into the origin zone before upside impulse.
Activation rules:
• Price taps 4133 pool (sweep below structure)
• Bullish CHoCH/MSS + BOS up on M5–M15
• FVG fill / bullish rejection wick confirmation
Targets:
• 4155+
• 4167 (reclaim zone)
• 4180+ (premium raid target)
⚠️ Risk Management
• Do NOT trade inside 4150–4170 without clear displacement
• Wait for CHoCH + BOS before execution
• Treat the upper and lower zones as liquidity traps, not trend entries
• Reduce size during news spikes unless structure confirms
• SL = wave invalidation, no averaging in chop
📝 Summary
Gold is in accumulation/redistribution mode. Desks may:
• Run buy-side liquidity at 4182, then displace down → retest discount
or
• Sweep sell-side liquidity at 4133, confirm CHoCH up → expand with impulse
Today is a liquidity session, not early trend chasing. Execute only after confirmation.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasingXAUUSD – H1 uptrend channel, short-term downside risk increasing Brian – Prioritize short selling at the channel peak, wait to buy back at lower support
I. Strategy Summary Gold is trading in an uptrend channel on H1, but the rise around 4.160 shows signs of weakening, increasing short-term correction risk.
Preferred Scenario: Short sell at the channel peak 4.162–4.164, targeting support areas 4.145 – 4.130 – 4.115 – 4.100.
After the correction, the 4.100–4.080 area may become the foundation for the next rise in the larger trend.
Important price areas to watch: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088.
II. Macro Context & News 27/11
02:00 – Fed releases Beige Book This document updates the Fed branches' assessment of the US economic situation.
Describing slower growth, cooling price pressures will further reinforce expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates → supporting gold.
Conversely, if the Beige Book describes the economy as still “resilient,” the market may temporarily slow down pricing in rate cuts → causing a short-term adjustment for gold.
19:30 – ECB releases October meeting minutes
If the minutes lean towards the scenario of keeping high interest rates longer, the EUR may be supported, indirectly affecting the USD and gold inflows.
However, the impact is usually not as strong as US data, mainly affecting the overall risk-on/risk-off sentiment.
General Context: Gold has surpassed 4.160 USD/oz as the market increasingly expects the Fed to cut interest rates as early as December, reducing the appeal of interest-bearing assets and increasing the allure of gold – a non-yielding asset. This creates a support foundation for the medium-term uptrend, but after a hot rise, technical adjustments on H1 are normal.
III. Technical Structure – H1 uptrend channel
The price is within the H1 uptrend channel, with rising peaks and troughs, but the upper area near 4.160 coincides with:
The upper boundary of the price channel. The “Sell POC” area on the chart – where liquidity and sell orders are concentrated.
Preferred scenario on the chart: The price may slightly rebound to the POC area 4.162–4.164, then be rejected and slide to the important support area around 4.110 before extending the adjustment down to 4.100–4.080.
The lower trendline of the uptrend channel also acts as a short-term buy area if a clear candle reaction appears.
Notable price areas on H1: Resistance: 4.162–4.164 (channel peak + POC). Intermediate support: 4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110. Deep support: 4.088 – 4.080 – 4.100 (area that may form the bottom for the next rise).
IV. Trading Plan 1. Preferred Scenario – Short sell at the channel peak Idea: Short sell when the price rebounds to the upper boundary of the H1 uptrend channel and POC 4.162–4.164, expecting a correction to support.
Sell: 4.162–4.164 SL: 4.168 TP targets: TP1: 4.145 TP2: 4.130 TP3: 4.115 TP4: 4.100
This is a counter-move order in the uptrend channel, only targeting a short-term correction, not a major trend reversal scenario.
2. Supplementary Scenario – Short buy at support trendline Idea: When the price hits the lower trendline of the H1 uptrend channel and a nice candle reaction appears, consider a short-term buy according to the channel, prioritizing areas:
4.139 – 4.127 – 4.110 – 4.088
Specific Entry/SL levels will depend on the actual price reaction at the trendline, but the general principle:
Buy close to the trendline,
SL placed below the immediate support area,
TP aimed at the middle of the channel or the nearest resistance.
V. Risk Management & Notes
Do not open new positions right before or at the time of the Beige Book and ECB minutes release, as volatility may suddenly increase, widening spreads.
The sell order at 4.162–4.164 is a short-term counter-trend order in the uptrend channel, requiring moderate volume and strict adherence to SL 4.168.
If the price clearly breaks and holds above the 4.170 area, the H1 correction scenario weakens – in that case, stay out, wait for a new structure instead of trying to maintain a sell view.
Gold H1 – Liquidity Plays as Hassett Leads Fed Chair Race🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (26/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold opens the week reacting to fresh political headlines as Kevin Hassett emerges as the frontrunner for Trump’s next Fed Chair.
This matters for gold because:
• A hawkish-leaning Fed Chair pick typically strengthens USD and weighs on gold.
• Markets may price in tighter policy expectations, increasing short-term bearish pressure.
• Political volatility ahead of the official announcement often triggers liquidity grabs on both sides.
With sentiment shifting toward a stronger USD, gold is positioned for classic SMC-style sweeps around key premium and discount zones.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – Smart Money Structure)
• Market Structure
Price has tapped into a minor premium zone and is showing early rejection signs.
Below, the 4140–4138 area aligns with intraday demand and the origin of recent displacement.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4210 – 4212
• Sits above current buy-side liquidity
• Clear premium relative to intraday structure
• High-probability sweep zone before any downside displacement
• SL region: 4220 liquidity pocket
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4140 – 4138
• Previous CHoCH origin
• Aligns with discount retracement
• Confluence with unmitigated internal demand block
• SL region: 4130 sell-side liquidity
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side: 4212 → 4220
• Sell-side: 4138 → 4130
Expect the typical SMC sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction
Entry: 4210 – 4212
Stop-Loss: 4220
Take-Profit:
→ 4160 (reaction level)
→ 4145 (mid-range liquidity)
→ 4140–4138 (discount zone retest)
📌 Only activate after a liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction
Entry: 4140 – 4138
Stop-Loss: 4130
Take-Profit:
→ 4160 (intraday reaction)
→ 4185 (premium edge)
→ 4210 (liquidity sweep target)
📌 Valid only after sell-side sweep + bullish CHoCH.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Headlines around the Fed Chair nomination may create sudden USD strength spikes—wait for structure shifts.
• Avoid trading inside the chop zone 4150–4180 without clear displacement.
• Treat today as a liquidity-driven session, not a directional trend day.
📝 Summary
Gold is rotating between premium and discount zones as markets digest news of Kevin Hassett leading the Fed Chair race, a development that could tilt expectations toward firmer policy.
Institutional players are likely to hunt liquidity above 4210 or below 4140 before committing to direction.
Key Levels Today (26/11)
🔴 Sell Zone: 4210–4212
🟢 Buy Zone: 4140–4138
Prepare for:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
U.S. data storm ahead – Gold awaits its next breakout🟡 XAU/USD – Timing Reversal at 4188, FVG Retest Expected
🔍 Market Context
Gold is approaching a key timing zone near 4188–4190, which aligns with previous supply and structural rejection.
After a strong impulsive leg, liquidity resting above recent highs may be targeted before a deeper pullback into the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone.
The structure remains bullish in the medium term, but short-term corrective moves are expected before continuation toward the 4212 liquidity objective.
📈 Key Trading Zones
🔻 SELL Setup
Entry: 4188 – 4190
Stop Loss: 4192
Target 1: 4090
Target 2: 4020
Expect rejection at timing zone — short-term bearish retracement into FVG.
🟢 BUY Setups
BUY GOLD 4090 – 4088 | SL 4085
→ Scalp long targeting 4140–4160 if price reacts strongly within FVG.
BUY GOLD 4022 – 4020 | SL 4017
→ Ideal deeper retracement buy zone aligning with structural liquidity & prior demand.
🧠 Trading Plan Logic
Wait for price sweep & rejection at 4188–4190 before confirming short.
Monitor FVG zone (~4090) for reaction to flip back long.
The higher-timeframe target sits near 4212, aligning with liquidity above prior highs.
⚙️ Bias
Short-term: Bearish correction from 4190 toward 4090.
Medium-term: Bullish continuation toward 4212 after retracement.
Gold Awaits PPI & GDP – Buy Dips, Sell Rallies🟡 XAU/USD – PPI & GDP Data to Define Range Expansion
🔍 Market Context
Gold remains range-bound between $4000–$4100, consolidating after last week’s liquidity sweep.
This week’s key U.S. data — Core PPI, Retail Sales, GDP, and Core PCE — will likely dictate the next major move.
Slight improvement in inflation and consumption data could strengthen the USD temporarily, but overall bias remains bullish mid-term as the Fed is expected to maintain a dovish stance into Q1.
📊 Technical Outlook (4H Chart)
Main Sell Zone (Super OB): 4170–4200 → potential reversal supply zone.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): 4130–4160 → short-term reaction zone if price retraces.
Sell Zone: 4090–4095 → short opportunity aligned with intraday bearish structure.
Buy Zone 1: 4024–4025 → minor demand, expecting internal liquidity sweep.
Buy Zone 2 (Main OB): 4003–4001 → strong order block with multiple rejections; key liquidity pool.
Structure: H4 BOS (Bullish) intact, suggesting a liquidity sweep before next expansion upward.
🎯 Trade Plan
1️⃣ SELL Setup – Short-term reaction from FVG
Entry: 4090–4095
Stop Loss: 4100
Take Profit 1: 4055
Take Profit 2: 4040
Take Profit 3: 4025
➡️ Reasoning: Price is likely to tap the lower edge of FVG and sweep local liquidity before a downside reaction toward internal range demand.
2️⃣ BUY Setup – First demand zone test
Entry: 4024–4025
Stop Loss: 4022
Take Profit 1: 4065
Take Profit 2: 4080
➡️ Reasoning: Expecting a short-term liquidity grab below the mid-range before bullish continuation.
3️⃣ BUY Setup – Main OB accumulation zone
Entry: 4003–4001
Stop Loss: 3998
Take Profit 1: 4045
Take Profit 2: 4075
Take Profit 3: 4090
➡️ Reasoning: Deep liquidity zone aligning with higher-timeframe OB. If macro data disappoints, this area can trigger the next impulsive leg to retest 4170+.
🧭 Overall Bias
→ Ranging bias before Core PCE
→ Buy dips – Sell rallies within 4000–4100 until a clear breakout post-GDP/PCE data.
→ Watch for false breakouts around FVG and maintain risk control before U.S. session releases.
Strong news chain could push gold to retest 4300🟡 XAU/USD – Weekly Trading Plan (Nov 23–29)
SMC – FVG – Supply/Demand – High-Impact News Week
1. Market Context
Gold is sideways in the H4 accumulation structure, forming higher lows along the trendline.
Above are 3 important supply layers:
OLD FVG 1
OLD FVG 2
Large FVG 4220–4300
the price needs to sweep liquidity & hit the supply zone before creating a new direction.
2. Strong News Schedule for the Week
This week has a lot of USD news directly affecting gold:
Tuesday (Nov 25)
Core PPI – Retail Sales – PPI (4 consecutive red news) → strong volatility.
Wednesday (Nov 26)
Unemployment Claims
Durable Goods → Core Durable Goods
GDP q/q – GDP Price Index
Core PCE (most important inflation news of the week)
➡️ This is the decisive day for the trend for the rest of the week.
Friday (Nov 28)
German CPI (affects EUR → USD indirectly)
🎯 News Conclusion:
→ Gold likely to fake move – sweep liquidity before running correctly.
→ Thin SL zones will be continuously hunted.
3. Key Levels (from the chart you sent)
🔻 SELL Zone (Supply – FVG)
4189 – 4191 (Main Sell)
SL: 4195
This is a strong reaction zone for the week.
4132 – 4134 (Sell scalp)
SL: 4138
🔵 BUY Zone (Demand – Trendline – SMC)
4906 – 4904 (main BUY scalp zone in the chart)
SL: 3999
→ This is the only zone clearly marked as BUY in the chart.
Psychological level: 4000 – 3985
If the price falls → strong reaction to form the weekly low.
4. Weekly Trading Scenarios
🅰️ Scenario 1 – Price retraces to supply zone before dropping (most likely)
Price is forecasted to retest 4132–4134 → 4189–4191
After hitting 4190 ± → potential appearance of:
Bearish BOS H1/H4
Strong reversal to 4050 – 4000
🔻 SELL Plan
Sell 4132–4134 (scalp) SL 4138
Main Sell 4189–4191 SL 4195
TP targets:
TP1: 4090
TP2: 4050
TP3: 4000
🅱️ Scenario 2 – Price dips before news then surges (kill liquidity)
If gold is pushed down before PPI/GDP news:
Best BUY zone: 4000 – 3985
Form a low → surge back up to test supply.
🔵 BUY Plan
BUY 4000–3985
SL: 3975
TP:
4050
4100
4130
🅾️ Scenario 3 – If 4200 breaks
If 4200 is broken by a large-bodied H4 candle:
➡️ High probability gold will move up to test large FVG 4250–4300
→ At that point, only look for BUY pullbacks, no more SELL.
XAUUSD – H4 Trend Structure Awaiting BreakoutXAUUSD – H4 Trend Structure Awaiting Breakout
Brian – Strategy to Buy on Pullback in Uptrend Channel
I. Strategy Summary
Gold continues its uptrend on H4, supported by the upward trendline from the 3,880–3,900 region.
The price is testing the resistance zone of 4,133–4,150, coinciding with the H4 supply and descending trendline, making short-term corrections likely.
Main strategy: wait for a pullback to support/FVG to buy with the trend, avoid FOMO buying at resistance.
Key levels to note: closing below 4,000 weakens the uptrend structure; below 3,884 risks shifting to a medium-term downtrend.
II. Macro Context
Unemployment Claims (weekly unemployment benefits):
Forecast: 226K
Previous: 220K
Higher-than-expected figures → indicate a weakening labor market, cooling economy, increasing the likelihood of the Fed easing sooner → real yields decrease, supporting gold.
Better-than-expected figures (lower than forecast) → support USD and bond yields, potentially causing short-term pressure on gold.
Geopolitical:
Trump's statement on easing "deadline" pressure for Russia–Ukraine negotiations ("the deadline will be when the issue is resolved") helps the market worry less about a hard deadline, but conflict risks remain. The demand for gold as a safe haven remains stable, not overly inflated but also unlikely to disappear entirely.
III. Fundamental Picture
Expectations for a rate cut cycle in 2025 continue to support gold as the market gradually prices in lower real interest rates in the medium to long term.
The demand for holding defensive assets persists amid slowing global growth and unresolved geopolitical hotspots.
In the short term, USD and US bond yields remain the two leading variables; any USD recovery can pull gold back to technical support areas, creating opportunities for buy-on-dip strategies.
IV. Technical Structure – H4 Trend Channel & FVG Zone
On H4, the price is moving within an uptrend channel, with the support trendline respected multiple times since the end of last month.
Above is the descending trendline connecting the nearest peaks, creating a price compression zone as the market approaches the 4,133–4,150 area. This is a confluence resistance zone:
The nearest swing high.
H4 supply zone.
Intersection with the descending trendline.
Notable price zones:
Resistance: 4,133–4,150 – a zone that may trigger short-term profit-taking and create a correction.
Near support/FVG: 4,078–4,080 – FVG zone combined with support after the previous breakout.
Psychological support: 4,000 – if H4 closes below this area, the uptrend structure weakens.
Medium-term reversal level: 3,884 – closing below here opens the risk of shifting entirely to a medium-term downtrend.
V. Trading Plan
Scenario 1 – Buy with the Trend (Priority)
Idea: wait for a shallow pullback to near support in the H4 uptrend channel and then buy.
Entry: 4,111–4,114
SL: 4,005
TP: 4,133 – 4,150 – 4,172 – 4,190
Scenario 2 – Buy Deep at FVG Zone
Idea: if a stronger pullback to FVG 4,078–4,080 occurs, take advantage of the good price zone to buy.
Entry: 4,078–4,080
SL: 4,073
TP: 4,100 – 4,115 – 4,142
VI. Risk Management & Notes
Limit opening new orders at the time of Unemployment Claims announcement due to potential volatility and spread widening.
If H4 closes below 4,000, reassess all current buy positions.
If H4/Daily closes below 3,884, consider the medium-term uptrend structure broken; prioritize staying out to observe or wait for a new downtrend scenario instead of continuing to look for buying points.
A Short Gold Sell Opportunity You Can't MissLooking at the chart, gold continues to move steadily within a clear downtrend channel, with each peak and trough forming progressively lower levels over time. Currently, the price is approaching the upper boundary of the channel and interacting with the same resistance area where sellers have stepped in multiple times before, forcing the market to reverse. This behavior strongly indicates that the potential for a continued corrective move downward, in line with the main trend, remains intact.
With this in mind, I believe a price decline toward the 4,080 level is a reasonable and logical target for the current correction. As long as the price hasn’t clearly broken through the upper boundary of the channel, I will continue to favor the scenario where the bearish trend remains dominant, viewing any upward movement as a mere pullback within the overall structure.
This is not financial advice, but simply my personal perspective based on the current price action.
Essential Guide to Support and Resistance 1️⃣ The Importance of Support and Resistance in the Highly Volatile Crypto Market
- The cryptocurrency market operates 24/7/365 and shows significantly higher volatility than traditional financial markets. This volatility creates exceptional profit opportunities but also triggers intense fear and greed, placing substantial psychological pressure on traders.
- Support and resistance act as critical reference points within this chaos, highlighting areas where price is likely to react. Beyond technical analysis, they reflect the collective psychology of traders. Understanding them is essential for long-term success in crypto trading.
2️⃣ The Nature of Support and Resistance and Their Psychological Foundation
Support and resistance form where buying and selling pressures clash strongly enough to slow down or halt price movement.
Support:
At this level, buyers perceive the asset as “cheap enough” and are willing to enter, forming a psychological and structural barrier against further decline. Traders previously stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, adding layered reactions around these levels.
Resistance:
At this level, sellers believe the asset is “expensive enough” and reduce exposure, while trapped traders near the top may sell with a “better late than never” mentality, limiting further upward movement.
※ The Meaning of Breakouts and Fakeouts
- When support breaks, active buyers may panic and trigger stop-loss selling. Conversely, breaking resistance often invites aggressive buyers, accelerating the trend.
- However, many breakouts turn into fakeouts, designed to exploit trader psychology. Avoid jumping in too early without confirmation.
3️⃣ Key Support and Resistance Models Explained
📈 Trendlines & Accumulation Zones: Market Structure and Trader Expectations
- Trendlines visually represent collective expectations of future price direction.
- Touching an uptrend line triggers “buy the dip” psychology.
- Touching a downtrend line reinforces the belief that price “cannot move higher.”
- Accumulation Boxes mark areas where buying and selling pressures stabilize. Traders plan around these zones, driven by the mindset of “waiting for the breakout” to catch meaningful moves.
drive.google.com
📈 FVG (Fair Value Gap): Market Inefficiency & Smart Money Footprints
An FVG forms when price moves too quickly through a zone, leaving an unfilled “price gap.” These gaps often represent sudden activity from Smart Money (institutions, whales).
Gap Filling:
Markets naturally avoid leaving inefficiencies unresolved. When price returns to an FVG, the entities responsible for the original move may adjust or reopen positions, creating support or resistance.
Newer traders can observe FVGs as footprints of Smart Money and plan reactions accordingly.
drive.google.com
📈 Moving Averages (MA): Collective Sentiment & Trend Direction
MAs reflect the average price the market perceives over time. Because MAs are widely monitored, they naturally form psychological support and resistance.
Short-term MA (e.g., 50MA): Tracks short-term sentiment.
Price below → worry about trend weakening.
Price above → renewed optimism.
Long-term MA (e.g., 200MA): Represents long-term sentiment.
Price below 200MA → fear of prolonged downtrend.
Price above 200MA → hope for sustained bullishness.
When acting as support/resistance, MAs reflect strong collective agreement.
drive.google.com
📈 POC (Point of Control) – Volume Profile: Market Consensus & Volume Strength
POC is the price level with the highest trading volume within a given range — the market’s strongest consensus level.
Price below POC:
POC becomes strong resistance.
Buyers stuck in losing positions may sell at breakeven, strengthening resistance.
Price above POC:
POC turns into solid support.
Buyers believe price should not fall below this level.
POC often reflects the market’s “expected value” and the area where loss-aversion psychology is strongest.
drive.google.com
📈 Fibonacci: Natural Order & Human Expectations
- Fibonacci retracement applies golden ratio mathematics to charts, reflecting where traders expect reversals and forming support/resistance.
- These levels work not by magic but because many traders plan trades around them — collective behavior creates real reactions.
- Levels like 0.5 and 0.618 carry psychological significance, often seen as optimal buying or selling opportunities.
drive.google.com
📈 CME Gap: Institutional Movement & Mean Reversion Behavior
CME gaps occur in Bitcoin futures due to institutional trading hours. When spot price moves over the weekend while futures are closed, gaps form.
Gap Filling:
These gaps represent time periods without institutional activity, encouraging the market to “normalize” abnormal price areas.
Traders commonly expect gaps to be filled eventually, turning them into potential support/resistance zones.
drive.google.com
4️⃣ Managing Trading Psychology Through Support and Resistance
Even the best tools are useless without psychological discipline.
Confirmation Bias & Stop-Loss Discipline
- Ignoring losses due to selective perception leads to failure.
- When support breaks, accept the invalidation and exit decisively.
Overbought/Oversold Psychology & FOMO
- Avoid chasing price upward out of fear of missing out.
- In crashes, resist panic-selling at the bottom.
- Rely on your structured support/resistance rules.
Scaling Into Trades
- Avoid buying everything at one support level—or selling everything at one resistance level.
- Scaling entries across multiple levels increases psychological stability and reduces the impact of misjudgment.
5️⃣ Building a Complete Strategy & Practical Application Tips
Confluence Creates Strongest Levels
When multiple support/resistance signals overlap
(e.g., Fibonacci 0.618 + 200MA + POC + FVG),
these zones become significantly stronger because they reflect collective trader agreement.
Volume Confirms Support/Resistance Strength
High volume validates a level's importance.
A reliable breakout requires strong volume, showing clear market participation and intent.
Develop Your Own Trading Plan
Do not follow every model blindly.
Choose indicators and methods that fit your style, and create clear trading rules.
Discipline with your own system leads to psychological stability and long-term success.
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
Gold H1 – Pre-NFP Liquidity Hunt as US–China Tone Warms🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (25/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold is approaching a key premium zone while markets react to fresh geopolitical headlines. Earlier today, Donald Trump confirmed he had a “very good call” with President Xi of China, highlighting strong bilateral relations and continued cooperation.
This matters for gold because:
• Warmer US–China relations often reduce geopolitical risk premiums, pressuring gold.
• The timing is critical: markets are entering NFP week, a period where institutions frequently engineer liquidity grabs.
• Traders may see a USD-supportive environment ahead of NFP, especially if risk sentiment stabilizes.
In short, gold is sitting in a zone where liquidity sweeps are highly probable before a larger move develops.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H – SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is climbing toward a major liquidity cluster around 4170–4172, aligning with previous equal highs and an unmitigated supply block.
Below, the FVG demand zone at 4102–4100 serves as today’s discount reaction zone.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4170 – 4172
• Buy-side liquidity sits above prior highs
• Clear premium zone relative to current swing structure
• Likely target for engineered sweep ahead of NFP volatility
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4102 – 4100
• FVG imbalance + BOS origin
• Confluence with discount retracement levels
• Strong RR for bullish reaction after sell-side sweep
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side: 4172 → 4180
• Sell-side: 4100 → 4092
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Sweep → CHoCH → Displacement → Retest → Expansion.
🔴 Sell Setup – Premium Reaction
Entry: 4170 – 4172
Stop-Loss: 4180
Take-Profit:
→ 4138 (imbalance fill)
→ 4115 (mid-range liquidity)
→ 4102–4100 (discount zone retest)
📌 Must wait for liquidity sweep + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup – Discount Reaction
Entry: 4102 – 4100
Stop-Loss: 4092
Take-Profit:
→ 4135 (intraday reaction)
→ 4160 (premium edge)
→ 4170 (buy-side liquidity sweep)
📌 Valid only after sell-side liquidity is taken.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Expect extra volatility as markets price in US–China optimism ahead of NFP.
• Liquidity traps are common during Asian/London sessions—wait for confirmation.
• Avoid taking positions inside the chop zone 4125–4150 without structure shifts.
• Treat both scenarios as liquidity plays, not trend continuation trades.
📝 Summary
Gold is approaching a major liquidity pocket as geopolitical sentiment improves following Trump’s positive call with President Xi.
With NFP approaching, institutions are likely to sweep liquidity above 4170 or below 4100 before establishing direction.
Key Levels Today
🔴 Sell Zone: 4170–4172
🟢 Buy Zone: 4102–4100
Prepare for the typical pre-NFP pattern:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for daily Smart Money updates.
Gold H1 – Will Economic Slowdown Trigger a Liquidity Sweep?🟡 XAUUSD – Intraday Smart Money Plan | by Ryan_TitanTrader (24/11)
📈 Market Context
Gold continues to move inside a tight compression range while markets react to new economic concerns raised by U.S. analysts.
According to today’s report, economists are increasingly worried about an unusual slowdown pattern in consumer behavior — spending remains high, but confidence and savings are weakening.
This mixed macro picture creates uncertainty:
🔹 Key takeaways from today’s news:
• U.S. consumers are still spending but confidence is deteriorating, a red flag for future growth.
• Economists warn this divergence could lead to slower economic momentum over the next quarters.
• Weakening sentiment → higher recession fears → typically supportive for gold after liquidity sweeps.
• However, short-term volatility remains high as markets reassess the sustainability of U.S. demand.
With uncertainty rising, institutions are likely engineering both-side liquidity grabs before committing to a directional move.
Gold is currently rotating between 4015–4100, respecting a clean SMC range structure.
🔎 Technical Analysis (1H / SMC Structure)
• Market Structure
Price is forming a descending compression pattern with repeated CHoCH signals, indicating engineered liquidity on both sides.
• Premium Sell Zone (1H Supply)
4100 – 4102
→ Overhead resting buy-side liquidity
→ Aligns with unmitigated internal supply + trendline liquidity
• Discount Buy Zone (1H Demand)
4015 – 4013
→ Inside the prior sweep zone
→ Confluence with ascending structure + BOS origin
• Liquidity Map
• Buy-side liquidity: above 4102 – 4110
• Sell-side liquidity: below 4013 – 4008
A sweep of either pocket is likely before real displacement.
🔴 Sell Setup (Premium Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4100 – 4102
Stop-Loss: 4110
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4065 (imbalance fill)
→ 4040 (range midpoint)
→ 4018–4015 (discount retest)
📌 Execution Rule: Wait for liquidity sweep into the zone + bearish CHoCH on M5–M15.
🟢 Buy Setup (Discount Reaction Zone)
Entry: 4015 – 4013
Stop-Loss: 4008
Take-Profit Targets:
→ 4055 (short-term reaction)
→ 4080 (premium edge)
→ 4100 (sweep target)
📌 Valid only if price takes sell-side liquidity first and shows bullish displacement from discount.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
• Market may react unpredictably to weakening U.S. consumer sentiment — reduce risk during spikes.
• Avoid trading inside the 4040–4070 chop zone unless a clean break or CHoCH forms.
• Treat both setups as liquidity–based plays, not trend continuation trades.
• Expect engineered manipulation during Asian session before London expansion.
📝 Summary
Gold remains trapped in a controlled SMC range as economic signals turn mixed.
With economists raising concerns about consumer–confidence divergence, gold may experience pre-breakout liquidity sweeps today.
Key Zones:
🔴 Sell Zone: 4100–4102
🟢 Buy Zone: 4015–4013
Expect the classic SMC sequence:
Accumulation → Sweep → Displacement → Retest → Target.
📍 Follow @Ryan_TitanTrader for more Smart Money updates.
XAUUSD – Reading the Market’s Secret IntentionsH1 Outlook – 24 November 2025
🌐 MARKET CONTEXT
Gold enters the new week with a controlled, slow-paced volatility environment, as the market continues to balance between inflation expectations, shifting USD flows, and cautious positioning ahead of major U.S. data.
Recently, price has shown repeated rejection from premium zones, forming a mild bearish intraday bias across the H1 structure. The market is still operating inside a liquidity-rich environment where institutions are engineering both upside and downside sweeps before choosing a clear direction.
Recent Drivers
USD holds moderate strength after last week’s hawkish Fed commentary
Market remains in “wait-and-watch” mode ahead of mid-week data
No strong risk-off sentiment → gold lacks solid fundamental support
Session Expectations
London: Early liquidity sweeps above premium levels expected
New York: Higher probability of real trend expansion
Bias: Mild bearish unless deep discount zones trigger CHoCH on H1
Price is currently mid-range → only extreme liquidity areas provide safe, high-probability setups.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (SMC + LIQUIDITY)
Market Structure
H1 structure forming: Lower Highs → Lower Lows
Equilibrium zone: 4070–4090
Strong inducement layers above 4146 and 4071
Liquidity Map
Buy-side Liquidity (BSL): Above 4146, 4071
Sell-side Liquidity (SSL): Below 4030 and 3994
Market forming engineered wicks at both ends → ideal for SMC traders
Imbalance Zones
Bearish FVG: 4146–4148 → prime area for premium sells
Minor Imbalance: 4068–4071 → intraday scalp reversal potential
Discount Imbalances: 4032 and 3996 → clean reaction zones for buys
🔑 KEY PRICE ZONES
(Clear explanations linked directly to your entries)
4148–4146 ▶️ Premium Sell Zone – High Manipulation Area
Unmitigated supply zone + major BSL buildup.
Smart money usually induces breakout buyers here before reversing sharply.
4068–4071 ▶️ Secondary Premium Pool – Scalp Rejection
A mini-liquidity pocket above equilibrium.
Perfect for quick stop-hunt sweeps during London session.
4032–4030 ▶️ Discount Reaction Zone – Strong Scalping Demand
A small OB + SSL cluster.
Expect fast, technical bounces with low drawdown.
3996–3994 ▶️ Deep Discount Zone – High-Value Reversal
Highly reactive zone where institutions accumulate long positions.
A strong candidate for structural shifts if tapped.
⚙️ TRADE SETUPS (SMC-Driven Execution)
✔️ SELL SETUP 1 – Premium Rejection
Entry: 4148–4146
Stoploss: 4154
TP1: 4135
TP2: 4120
TP3: 4090
Logic: Sweep of BSL + FVG fill → high confidence bearish rejection.
✔️ SELL SETUP 2 – Intraday Scalp Sell
Entry: 4068–4071
Stoploss: 4077
TP1: 4055
TP2: 4043
TP3: 4032
Logic: Engineered liquidity sweep above mid-range → fast downside move.
✔️ BUY SETUP 1 – Scalping Rebound
Entry: 4032–4030
Stoploss: 4024
TP1: 4048
TP2: 4068
Logic: SSL sweep → immediate bounce expected from discount zone.
✔️ BUY SETUP 2 – Deep Discount Buy
Entry: 3996–3994
Stoploss: 3988
TP1: 4010
TP2: 4035
TP3: 4068
Logic: A strong institutional accumulation area → ideal for reversal setups.
🧠 SESSION PLAN & NOTES
Do not trade inside the mid-range
Stick strictly to liquidity extremes for precision entries
Expect London fake-outs → wait for confirmation
NY session more likely to deliver the real move
Use M5/M15 CHoCH + displacement for entry confirmation
🏁 CONCLUSION
XAUUSD is currently holding a mild bearish structure on H1, with premium zones at 4146 and 4071 offering the best sell opportunities.
Discount areas at 4030 and 3994 remain the highest-probability zones for intraday reversals or continuation buys.
Trade with patience. Let the liquidity traps form—then strike with precision.
Brian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session TodayBrian – Gold Money Flow Map for the US Session Today
Technical analysis – trendline, FVG, and two clear scenarios
On H4, gold is still maintaining a medium-term uptrend line drawn from the end of October. The decline in the Asian session this morning was not strong enough to break the structure; the price touched the trendline and then bounced up, indicating that the sellers have not yet "crushed" this support area.
Current structure: The price is accumulating around the 4,050–4,080 area in a sideways candle cluster, lying on the uptrend line and above the 4,000 support.
Above, the 4,120–4,170 area is an FVG + important supply zone; higher is a larger FVG around 4,280–4,330 – if "filled," it is a potential area for a strong profit-taking move.
Below, the 4,000 mark is a key support; losing this mark, the price could quickly slide to the 3,884 area – marked on the chart as the level confirming a medium-term downtrend if breached.
Until 4,000 is broken, I consider this an accumulation area with a high possibility of "fake breaks" on both sides – so prioritize trading according to the trendline, not guessing tops and bottoms in the noise area.
Key levels
Resistance / sell zone: 4,100–4,110: buy confirmation zone, if rejected will become short-term supply
4,170–4,173: FVG / supply, medium-term short zone
4,280–4,330: large FVG above
Support: 4,048–4,050: trendline + intraday breakout zone
4,022–4,005: next support if the price slides off 4,040
4,000: psychological and structural support
3,884: final support; breaking down will confirm a medium-term downtrend
Trade scenarios (for reference, not investment advice)
1. Sell break intraday – follow the trend if the trendline breaks
Entry: sell when the price breaks the short trend at 4,048–4,050
SL: 4,056
TP: 4,040 → 4,022 → 4,005
Idea: if the price breaks below the current accumulation cluster and short trendline, I want to follow the initial selling force, targeting the adjacent support area 4,022–4,005. When the order goes right, SL can be moved to BE around 4,040.
2. Sell “premium” – short at the upper FVG zone
Entry: 4,170–4,173
SL: 4,178
TP: 4,160 → 4,145 → 4,122 → 4,100
This is a price zone I consider "beautiful" for medium-term trading if the market gives a deep retracement. FVG + H4 resistance converge; if the price is strongly rejected here, the TPs are successively the lower demand zone and the current range bottom.
3. Buy only after clean breakout – do not rush to catch the bottom
I am only interested in buy orders when the market structure truly confirms:
Trigger: H1/H2 candle closes clearly above 4,100
Entry: buy right around 4,100 after breakout
SL: 4,092
TP: medium-term towards the 4,145 → 4,170 → 4,230+ depending on momentum
This scenario considers 4,100 as the "exit door" from the current accumulation area. If this area holds as new support, buyers will have a clearer advantage and the money flow could push the price up to gradually fill the upper FVGs.
Gold Trading Strategy for 500 Pips!Hey traders,
As we roll into a brand-new week, gold is showing some impressive stability. XAUUSD is hanging right around the 4,050-dollar mark, and despite the quiet price action, there’s a lot happening beneath the surface that’s worth paying attention to.
The market right now is in “wait-and-see” mode as everyone watches the Federal Reserve’s next moves. Over the past few days, expectations have started to shift—more traders believe the Fed may slowly pivot toward a softer stance and potentially move closer to cutting rates by the end of the year. Because of that, bond yields have been drifting lower, the dollar is losing some of its strength, and demand for safe-haven assets like gold is starting to rise again. All of these elements together create a strong backdrop for potential upside in the short term.
On the technical side, XAUUSD is tightening inside a clean triangle structure, and for those who follow price action closely, you know what that usually means: the market is building pressure. When price consolidates this way, it often sets the stage for a strong breakout. If buyers can push through the upper boundary of this triangle, the next logical target sits up near the 4,500-dollar zone — right in line with the momentum we saw during the last bullish move.
How about you? What’s your take on this setup? Are you leaning toward another leg up, or do you think the market is prepping for a pullback first?
Wishing you a great week of trading—focused, confident, and full of solid opportunities.
Gold Stuck Between 4050-4100. Now What?Gold price is currently trading in classic range-bound behavior on the daily timeframe, with price action consolidating between the 4050-4100 area (On closing basis ) as marked by the rectangle on the chart.
Based on the current technical setup, I'm anticipating continued consolidation for approximately 6-7 weeks from this point. However, this isn't likely to be a simple sideways move the consolidation is expected to carry a bearish undertone, meaning we may see more pressure toward the lower end of the range during this period.
after mid-January, conditions appear favorable for a fresh buying rally to develop. This consolidation phase may simply be the market gathering momentum for the next leg higher, allowing for profit-taking and position adjustments before the next bullish impulse.
While range trading can be tempting during consolidation phases,., buying on dips remains the more favorable approach.






















