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#HDFC monthly chart deep analysis and assumptions(for reference)Greetings Folks, today I have prepared a setup of HDFC on NSE the analysis is as follows- - this is a monthly timeframe chart so do not use this to trade, use for confirmation bias - the price failed to break out of a series of monthly equal highs - the breakout didn't lasted and then the stock began its down trend - the down trend went on for 4 months , and now the price seems to have found a stable support i.e the 50% of fib retracement - the price is likely to consolidate a bit to add liquidity and momentum - i will say it again, do not use this chart to set your entry and exit points don't play with fire, always use a predefined stoploss
NSE:HDFCBANK
by profitpujari
31 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty Monthly,Weekly,Daily ExpiryBankNifty Monthly Analysis In the Aug month, Banknifty is down an astounding 3.73% ~ 1708pts vs 1.97% of Nifty50. Again telling the tale in advance, Banknfity has proved to be the real leading indicator during trending phases & reversals. On 24th and 30th Banknifty tried to exit the bearish hold but faced rejections. And unlike Nifty, BankNifty does not have a bearish channel - it has to fall a lot more to fit into one. BankNifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today BankNifty has fallen 406pts ~ 0.91%. Most importantly they got the closing right at the support/resistance zone of 44068. BankNifty Daily Analysis Today’s price action gave some boost to the option prices. You might have noticed almost all the OTM strikes had a swing range much higher than the closing price of yesterday. Imagine how a far OTM could have a higher pricing even when the markets are not moving against it. The fall of 505pts ~ 1.14% between the HOD to the LOD made perfect sense, but the last 30mts pull back (encircled in blue) esp. by HDFCBK made no sense at all. The volumes were also amazing and looked like some weight rebalancing. This pull back of close to 180pts ensured banknifty is not technically in a bearish zone but a neutral one. We did highlight the double top pattern formed on the 1hr chart yesterday, but its true impact is yet to be felt. Since BankNifty managed to close right at the support level of 44068, I dont wish to start the day tomorrow on the bearish side. First I need to get validation that the buying seen on HDFCBK was some positional or rebalancing one and not fresh longs. You definitely know by now how even HDFCBK single handedly can influence this index. I wish to go with a neutral view tomorrow and wait for the market to give its next clue.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
5
31 Aug ’23 Post Mortem on Nifty - Monthly, Weekly & Daily ExpiryNifty Monthly Analysis In the Aug monthly series, Nifty is down 387pts ~ 1.97%. This month did not produce a reversal signal even though there were 2 attempts on 24th & 30th respectively. As it stands Nifty is following a bearish trend channel quite efficiently. My next support comes at 18880, so if the fall were to accelerate in September, its good to know the next milestone. Nifty Weekly Analysis Between the last expiry and today, Nifty has fallen only 100pts ~ 0.52%. Not something unusual comparing the monthly fall. Interestingly we made an attempt to reverse the trend yesterday - but that got run by a truck today. Nifty Daily Analysis Today’s price action was a continuation of what we had yesterday. If you look at the chart below, it is tough even to make out the separator between yesterday and today. The reason for the fall today may be attributed to the allegations on Adani by Hindenburg along with the OCCRP, a firm funded by George Soros revealing data about a possible insider trading & manipulation. The data available on the public forum is pretty skewed and I personally dont have an opinion on it right now. But of all the rules set by SEBI, the insider trading case is the biggest manipulation that is possible. Once the investigation gets completed and if the claims still stand - it is going to put a real awkward image about India and Indian companies among the FIIs and HNIs. The fall that happened today was nothing in front of what could happen. On a headline level we just fell 0.48% today well within the average true range. But this fall of 93pts took out the hope of bulls to have a reversal. Not only we breached the support of 19310 today, we even took out the swing low of 25th Aug. From tomorrow if we stay as it is, then the horizontal support line of 19310 will no longer be required. All that stays back will be the bearish channel. I wish to change by stance to bearish for tomorrow unless the 19310 resistance is breached.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
Britannia India is hanging Around under Life Time HighI recorded a short video to talk about the process of looking at a stock. Starting with the fundamentals and then coming to the short term movements. This is more educational in nature and can help avoiding mistakes like Looking at chart patterns and taking trades - only to see the stop loss getting hit Overtrading, getting out of good trades early - getting faked out because of news Why listening to "Nifty Analysis" and CNBC / Bloomberg is actually very harmful to good trading How a good stock analysis process always starts with the "Monthly Chart" - and not the 5 min or the 15 min Why trading doesnt necessarily mean making 2 or 3% on a trade - it should mean making 20-30% on some trades Of course Britannia is the key trade to look at here - where to take a position and how to manage it. But the lessons i have learnt through painful losses are probably as vaulable.
NSE:BRITANNIA
by kunal_finner
4
PostMortem on BankNifty Today & Analysis of 28 JUN 2023Quarterly Analysis of BankNifty — 31 Mar 2023 to 28 Jun 2023 Banknify gained an impressive 4412pts ~ 11.05% in Q1 FY2023–24. During this process it took out 11 crucial resistance points to finish at the ATH. The upmove was quite strong till 15th May after which BN started trading sideways. Status quo changed on 27th when it broke through the final resistance point of 44068 paving way for an ATH record break today. --- Monthly Expiry Analysis Banknifty — 26 May 2023 to 28 Jun 2023 BN gained 1.64% ~ 716pts in the current month. Basically on 29th May it hit the ATH level and from there we had 2 resistance rejections & 2 support rejections. -- Weekly Expiry Analysis Banknifty — 23 Jun 2023 to 28 Jun 2023 BN rallied 1.54% ~ 671pts in the current expiry week. Of this 100% of the gains came between yesterday and today. Prior to that BN was looking weak and was heading to the support area. The sentiment change lifted BN to break through. -- Daily Analysis BankNifty Most of the hard-work was done by the Gap-up opening. Out of the total 0.47% gains, 0.4% gain came via the gapup. BN was just maintaining its cool today and did not try to do anything foolish. N50 was rallying very strongly, BN just utilized that momentum to finish with a new ATH. The chart indicates a steady rising pattern, unlike the usual BN where we have lots of wild swings. Notice the 3 green candles between 14.15 to 14.25 — thats when the ATH was taken out. After that we did see some profit booking plus monthly rebalancing outflow/inflow adjustments by Mutual Fund houses.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
Large time frame analysis significanceWho should use this? Larger time frames are used by swing traders and long-term investors who are interested in the overall trend and direction of the market. Advantages? Broader Perspective: They help traders and investors to see the overall trend and direction of the market over a longer period, which can be useful for identifying larger price patterns and longer trend Reduced Noise: This can help traders to filter out market volatility and noise that may be present in shorter timeframes, and focus on more significant price movements and trends that are relevant to their trading or investment strategy. Higher Reliability: Longer timeframe candlesticks represent a larger sample of price data and are less prone to false signals or market noise. This can result in more reliable and accurate technical analysis, which can be beneficial for making informed trading decisions. Less Frequent Trading: A more relaxed trading approach or having limited time for actively monitoring the markets. Note: it's important to carefully consider your trading or investment strategy, goals, and risk tolerance when choosing a timeframe to use in your analysis. It should suit your personality and characteristics. You should keep a track of global indices and fundamentals before estimating the next move.
NSE:NIFTY1!Education
by OK_Rane