Get started

Moving Averages

Nifty Reversal Watch: Key Demand Zones & Moving Average in FocusAs a pure technical analyst, I rely solely on what the charts reveal, ignoring the noise of news and fundamentals. Charts tell the story in advance. As a demand and supply zone trader, my primary focus is on identifying key areas where institutional activity is likely to drive price action. Today, we’ll analyze the Nifty 50 through the lens of demand zones and then complement it with traditional technical analysis using moving averages. This analysis aims to provide clarity on potential reversal zones and market behavior. 📊 Demand Zones: The Foundation of Analysis Monthly & Quarterly Demand Zones : On the monthly timeframe, I’ve identified a critical demand zone. When we zoom into the quarterly timeframe, this zone aligns perfectly, creating a high-confluence area. These zones represent institutional footprints (Banks, mutual funds, etc. ), indicating where smart money is likely to step in. These are not just traditional lines or boxes on the chart; they are the footprints of institutions that control the market. Significance of Demand Zones : Demand zones are areas where buyers are expected to dominate, often leading to price reversals. The confluence of monthly and quarterly demand zones increases the probability of a strong support level. Current Price Action : Nifty is currently hovering near these demand zones, suggesting a potential bottom formation. 📊 Traditional Technical Analysis: Moving Averages Now, let’s analyze the market through the lens of traditional technical analysts who rely on moving averages. EMA 20 on Monthly Timeframe : The 20-period EMA on the monthly chart acts as a reliable support level historically. Since 2004, price reversals have consistently occurred near this moving average, marked by green circles on the chart. EMA 20 as a Magnet : The EMA 20 on the monthly timeframe is equivalent to the 400-period EMA on the daily timeframe, representing the average price of almost 400 days. In trending markets, price always reverts to its average, making this a critical level to watch. Historical Exceptions : While there are rare instances (marked by red circles) where Nifty has broken below the monthly EMA 20, the presence of demand zones adds an extra layer of support, reducing the likelihood of a significant breakdown. Current Price Action : Nifty is currently near the monthly EMA 20, which coincides with the monthly and quarterly demand zones. 📊 Combining Both Approaches High-Confluence Area : The alignment of monthly and quarterly demand zones with the monthly EMA 20 creates a high-confluence area. This increases the likelihood of a strong support level and a potential Bottom. Risk Management : While the setup appears promising, it’s crucial to manage risk effectively. Always use strict stop-loss orders and avoid over-leveraging. Even high-probability setups can fail, especially when market sentiment is overwhelmingly negative. 📊 Conclusion The Nifty 50 is at a critical juncture, with multiple technical indicators pointing towards a potential reversal or consolidation. The confluence of demand zones and the monthly EMA 20 provides a high-probability setup. However, always remember that no setup is foolproof, and risk management is crucial, it’s essential to remain cautious as markets can sometimes defy all technical setups. This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as trading or investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. Lastly, thank you for your support. "The market is a master of patience; trade with discipline, not emotion." 🚀📊
NSE:NIFTYLong
by AfnanTAjuddin
3
Trend Reversal setup in BSOFT(Inverted H&S Pattern)!Birlasoft (NSE:BSOFT) – Bullish Reversal on Inverted Head & Shoulders 📌 Technical Pattern: A classic Inverted Head and Shoulders pattern is forming, suggesting a potential reversal from the recent downtrend. ✅ Key Highlights: RSI Divergence at the head hints at waning bearish momentum and potential reversal. Price is testing the neckline zone; a breakout could confirm the bullish setup. 50-period EMA (~₹452) remains overhead, acting as a dynamic resistance. 📈 Target: ~₹516, calculated from the pattern height. 🔻 Stop Loss: Near ₹376, just below the right shoulder structure. 🧠 Strategy Note: A sustained close above the neckline, preferably on volume, can offer a strong risk-reward trade setup. RSI currently at 58 supports bullish momentum continuation. Disclaimer: Consider my analysis for educational purposes only. Before entering any trade: 1️⃣ Educate Yourself – Understand market dynamics and technical patterns. 2️⃣ Do Your Own Research & Analysis – Never rely solely on external opinions. 3️⃣ Define Your Risk-Reward Ratio – Ensure your trade aligns with your risk appetite. 4️⃣ Never Trade with Full Capital – Always manage risk and preserve capital. Trade wisely! ✅📊
NSE:BSOFTLong
by Avinash9087
Trend Reversal setup in HCLTECH(Inverted H&S Pattern)!HCL Technologies (NSE:HCLTECH) – Bullish Reversal Setup 📌 Pattern Identified: A clear Inverted Head and Shoulders formation is visible on the daily chart, indicating a potential bullish reversal. ✅ Key Observations: Price has broken above the neckline and also crossed the 50-period EMA, showing strength. Notable volume buildup at the right shoulder, supporting the bullish move. RSI is above 60, suggesting improving momentum. 📈 Projected Target: ~₹2,074 based on the pattern's height. 🔻 Stop Loss: Placed slightly below the right shoulder near ₹1,537. ⚠️ Watch Levels: ₹1,696: Minor resistance. ₹1,780: Key resistance level before the target zone. 📝 Conclusion: A breakout above the neckline with volume confirms the bullish pattern. As long as the price sustains above the stop loss, the risk-reward appears favorable. Disclaimer: Consider my analysis for educational purposes only. Before entering any trade: 1️⃣ Educate Yourself – Understand market dynamics and technical patterns. 2️⃣ Do Your Own Research & Analysis – Never rely solely on external opinions. 3️⃣ Define Your Risk-Reward Ratio – Ensure your trade aligns with your risk appetite. 4️⃣ Never Trade with Full Capital – Always manage risk and preserve capital. Trade wisely! ✅📊
NSE:HCLTECHLong
by Avinash9087
8
BULLISH**Moving Averages – Daily (50, 100, 200):** I have tested using the daily timeframe with 50, 100, and 200 simple moving averages. Currently, there’s a huge gap between the CMP (3318) and the 50 DMA (3058). **Support and Resistance Levels:** - Resistance: 3500 (All-Time High) - Support: 3245, 3168, 3058, 2957 Interestingly, 3058 is a strong level — it matches both moving average and support levels. **Overall View:** Gold looks bearish, but **don’t short it**. Either: - **Buy now** with high margin protection till 3058, **or** - **Wait for 3058** to take a fresh entry. ---
TVC:GOLDLong
by WECLAN
TCI Swing Trade ( 20% upside)Transport Corporation of India (TCI) has started new up-trend on Weekly and Daily time-frame from strong Institutional buying levels. It is good time to build positions in this stock. Don't go for hard stop loss. Manage position as it can take 1-2 months for the targets to reach and will shake out week buyers in between. If nifty holds above 23900, TCI has 20% upside potential with 1:7 Risk Reward. Follow and connect with me for more such setups.
NSE:TCILong
by gauravxtrades
Poonawala Fincorp - Double Bottom PatternPoonawala Fincorp is a NBFC and is making a double bottom pattern. This stock is heading to ATH again. Other factors: 1. Sign of bullish momentum: - Double Bottom pattern - Breakout of recent high - 20 EMA ready to cross 200EMA 2. 5 year growth plan - Assets worth $17billion - Raising 10000 cr funding - Increasing offices from 100 to 400 - Already expanded to education loan, personal loan and commercial vehicle loans Post rate cut by RBI, NFC sector is ready to roar!! Keep this stock in your radar!! Keep following @Cleaneasycharts as we provide Right Stocks at Right Time at Right Price. Cheers!!
NSE:POONAWALLALong
by Cleaneasycharts
4