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Moving Averages

Infy remains under pressure, stuck in long-term sideways rangeTopic Statement: Infy has struggled this year with repeated price declines, remaining stuck in a wide sideways zone while trading at heavily oversold levels. Key Points: 1. The price has fallen to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level multiple times, where it continues to receive support 2. It is currently trading below both the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, marking the stock as highly oversold 3. Infy has been range-bound between 1300 and 2000 since 2022, reflecting a prolonged phase of consolidation and indecision
NSE:INFYLong
by yogeshwar
Huhtamaki (D) - Explosive 12% "Gap-and-Go" BreakoutAfter a steep downtrend from its all-time high, Huhtamaki India has signaled a powerful bullish reversal, executing a massive "Gap-and-Go" breakout from a classic accumulation pattern today. The Setup: An Ascending Triangle Following its downtrend, the stock began a bottoming process by forming an Ascending Triangle . This bullish pattern is characterized by a series of Higher Lows pushing up against a flat horizontal resistance, indicating that buying pressure was systematically building under a well-defined supply level. Today's Decisive Breakout Today's session (Thursday, October 16, 2025) was a textbook example of a powerful breakout, leaving little doubt about the buyers' intent: - Gap-Up Breakout: The stock opened with a significant gap up, clearing the horizontal resistance level right from the start. - Massive Price Surge: It continued to rally throughout the day, closing with a gain of +12.58% . - Enormous Volume: The move was validated by a huge volume of 19.27 million shares , confirming strong institutional participation. A Nuanced Look at the Indicators The technical indicators confirm a shift in trend, though they also suggest the new long-term trend is still in its early stages: - Positive Signs: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is now rising across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes, showing a broad-based build-up in momentum. The short-term EMAs on the Daily chart have also flipped to a bullish state. - Confirmation Pending: Importantly, the short-term EMAs on the longer-term Weekly and Monthly charts have not yet registered a bullish crossover . This indicates that while the short-term trend has reversed, the long-term trend is just beginning to turn. Outlook and Key Levels The stock has now cleared a major hurdle, shifting the balance of power to the bulls. - Bullish Target: If this powerful bullish momentum continues, the next logical area of resistance and potential target is the ₹310 level. - Critical Support Zone: The old resistance level, around ₹238 , now becomes the most critical new support. It would be a healthy sign for the stock to re-test this breakout zone and find support there. A failure to hold above this level would be a cause for concern. In conclusion, today's explosive breakout is a major bullish development. The key now is to watch if the price can hold above the crucial ₹238 support level to confirm that a sustainable new uptrend has begun.
NSE:HUHTAMAKILong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
XAUUSD // Liquidity Grab // ATH# Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar - Liquidity Analysis Market Structure Analysis Key Liquidity Zones Identified The chart highlights two critical liquidity zones where significant price action is anticipated: **Upper Liquidity Zone: $4,212 - $4,219** This zone represents an area of accumulated buy-side liquidity, typically formed by stop-losses from short positions and buy-stop orders. The red shaded area indicates where institutional players may target for liquidity capture before potential reversals. **Lower Liquidity Zone: $4,157 - $4,162** This zone marks the sell-side liquidity area, where stop-losses from long positions and sell-stop orders cluster. This level serves as a potential magnet for price action seeking to capture liquidity before any significant directional move. Technical Setup **Channel Pattern** Gold is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the intraday timeframe. The parallel trend lines show: - Consistent higher highs and higher lows - Price currently positioned in the mid-range of the channel - Recent bounce from the lower channel boundary **Demand Zone** A marked demand zone is visible at lower levels, indicating previous buying interest and potential support. Price Action Scenarios Bullish Scenario (Green Path): If price maintains support at current levels or the lower demand zone, we could see: 1. Continuation toward the upper liquidity zone ($4,219) 2. Potential liquidity sweep above this zone 3. Possible rejection after capturing buy-side liquidity Bearish Scenario (Red Path): If price fails to hold current structure: 1. Drop toward the lower liquidity zone ($4,162) 2. Liquidity grab below this level 3. Potential reversal after capturing sell-side liquidity #Liquidity Concept The annotation "Liquidity !!!!!!" emphasizes the importance of these zones. In institutional trading theory, price often moves to areas of high liquidity (where stop-losses cluster) before making significant directional moves. This is commonly referred to as a "liquidity sweep" or "stop hunt." Trading Considerations When price approaches either liquidity zone, traders should watch for: - Rejection wicks suggesting liquidity capture completion - Break and retest patterns for confirmation - Changes in momentum indicators Risk Management Notes - The 5-minute timeframe requires precise execution and tight risk management - Liquidity zones can be quickly swept through in volatile conditions - Always use appropriate position sizing relative to account risk tolerance - Consider wider timeframe context for overall trend direction Disclaimer This analysis is provided for educational purposes only and represents a technical perspective on price structure and liquidity zones. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. Gold trading involves substantial risk of loss. Always conduct your own research, use proper risk management, and consider consulting with a qualified financial advisor before making trading decisions.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by earnwhileulearn
Persistent Technical Analysis#Persistent Systems Limited - Technical Analysis Chart Overview **Timeframe:** Weekly (1W) **Current Price:** 5,708.20 Technical Setup Trend Analysis The chart displays a compelling technical setup based on higher highs and higher lows pattern analysis. After a significant correction from previous highs, the stock has formed a strong base and is showing signs of trend reversal. Key Observations RSI Classic Divergence The Relative Strength Index is displaying a classic bullish divergence pattern. While price action formed lower lows during the correction phase, the RSI formed higher lows, indicating weakening bearish momentum and potential trend reversal. This divergence has been confirmed on the weekly timeframe, adding significant weight to the bullish case. Fresh Higher High Confirmation: Following the divergence, price action has broken above the previous swing high on the daily candle, confirming a potential change in trend structure. This break represents a shift from the previous pattern of lower highs and suggests renewed bullish momentum. Price Targets The analysis identifies three potential target zones: - **Target 1:** 5,984.50 (Immediate resistance) - **Target 2:** 6,360.65 (Medium-term target) - **Target 3:** 6,788.90 (Extended target) These targets are derived from previous resistance levels and Fibonacci extension analysis. Moving Averages: The chart shows multiple moving averages (likely 50 SMA and 200 SMA based on the red and orange lines). Price is currently attempting to reclaim these key moving averages, which would further validate the bullish thesis. Risk Considerations While the technical setup appears favorable, traders should consider: - Confirmation on higher timeframes for reduced false signal risk - Volume analysis to validate the breakout - Proper risk management with stop-loss placement below recent swing lows ## Disclaimer This is a technical analysis for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by earnwhileulearn
3
HCLTech shows signs of reversal after global-policy-driven correTopic Statement: HCLTech, like other IT peers, has been dragged down by global economic policies but now shows early signs of recovery from key support levels. Key Points: 1. The stock corrected down to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 1385, where it found strong support 2. Price reversed after touching the lower boundary of its bullish channel, reinforcing the trend structure 3. Currently trading below the 50-day EMA, the stock is oversold in the short term and presents a possible accumulation opportunity
NSE:HCLTECHLong
by yogeshwar
Landmark (D) - 100%+ Rally from Lows Now Faces Key ResistanceLandmark Cars is at a critical juncture after a spectacular recovery from its all-time lows. A powerful surge today has brought the stock right up against a major resistance level, setting the stage for a potentially decisive breakout attempt. The Context: A Dramatic Turnaround After peaking at its All-Time High (ATH) in February 2024, the stock entered a significant downtrend, culminating in an all-time low in April 2025. From that bottom, however, the stock has staged an incredible reversal, surging over 100% to date. This powerful new uptrend has now brought the price to a key resistance trendline that has thwarted all previous rally attempts with "fake breakouts." Today's Powerful Breakout Attempt Today's session (Tuesday, October 14, 2025) demonstrated significant buying interest and a serious challenge to the overhead resistance: - Gap-Up Opening: The stock opened with a gap-up, signaling strong overnight demand. - Strong Price Gain: It surged to close with a gain of +10.62% . - Huge Volume: The move was supported by a massive spike in volume, adding conviction to the rally. This bullish action is underpinned by strong momentum indicators. The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover state, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes. Outlook and Key Levels to Watch The immediate future hinges on whether this breakout attempt will succeed where others have failed. - Bullish Breakout Scenario: A decisive close above the resistance trendline on sustained high volume would confirm a successful breakout. This would signal a continuation of the strong uptrend, with a potential next target of ₹800 . - Potential Rejection Scenario: If the momentum is lost and the stock is once again rejected from this resistance, it could pull back to test its recent support level around ₹575 . In conclusion, today's high-volume surge represents the most serious challenge to this key resistance yet. The price action in the coming days will be crucial in confirming whether the bulls have enough power to finally break through and continue the stock's impressive recovery.
NSE:LANDMARKLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
GM Breweries (W) - An Explosive 22% Breakout Signals New UptrendAfter a corrective downtrend from its September 2024 all-time high, GM Breweries has executed a powerful, high-volume breakout, signaling that its consolidation phase is over and a new uptrend is likely underway. The Bullish Setup Following its reversal from a low in March 2025, the stock began constructing a solid base. It formed a clear pattern of Higher Lows , indicating a gradual absorption of supply and a shift in control from sellers to buyers. This constructive price action set the stage for a potential upward move. This Week's Decisive Breakout The past week's trading session was exceptionally strong, confirming the bullish bias with authority: - Massive Weekly Gain: The stock surged by an impressive +22% . - Exceptional Volume: The move was fueled by a massive volume of 11.88 million shares , signifying strong participation and conviction behind the rally. - Key Resistance Breach: This surge resulted in a decisive breakout and close above a critical horizontal resistance level that had been in place since December 2024. This bullish price action is further supported by momentum indicators. The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover state, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is rising on both the Monthly and Weekly timeframes. Outlook and Key Levels The powerful, volume-backed breakout has cleared a path for potential further upside. - Bullish Target: If this strong momentum is sustained, the next logical resistance and potential target is the ₹1,040 level. - Key Support: In the event of short-term profit-booking or a pullback, the recently broken resistance level around ₹710 is now expected to act as the new floor of support. The key confirmation to watch for in the coming days is whether the price can hold above this crucial **₹859** breakout zone. A successful defense of this level would strongly validate the new uptrend.
NSE:GMBREWLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
India Hotels enters bearish zone under heavy selling pressureTopic Statement: India Hotels has faced persistent selling since the start of the year, breaking its uptrend and entering a bearish phase. Key Points: 1. The stock is now moving within a down-trending channel, making channel-based trading effective 2. Price is trading below both the 50 and 200-day EMAs, marking it as highly oversold in the short to medium term 3. Strong support has been established at the 700 level, which serves as a key accumulation zone for long-term investors
NSE:INDHOTEL
by yogeshwar
IOC (D) - Tussling with a Critical Resistance ZoneIndian Oil Corp (IOC) is showing a strong bullish structure, but it has arrived at a critical juncture where two significant resistance levels are converging. The price action suggests a battle between buyers and sellers is underway, and a decisive move is imminent. The Bullish Foundation After a year-long downtrend that ended in February 2025, the stock has carved out a clear new uptrend , consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. This upward momentum is well-supported by multiple technical indicators: - Golden Crossover: A long-term bullish "Golden Crossover" of the Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) occurred a few months ago. - Indicator Strength: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are in a bullish state across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes. The Resistance Test: A Mixed Signal The primary challenge for IOC is a confluence of two resistance trendlines: a long-term angular resistance and a short-term horizontal resistance . Today's trading session was a clear attempt to breach this zone, which resulted in a mixed signal: - Partial Success: The stock managed to close above the short-term horizontal trendline , a minor positive. - Key Rejection: However, while it did trade above the more critical long-term angular trendline intraday, it failed to hold these gains and closed below it . This failure to close above the long-term resistance, combined with consolidating (non-expanding) volume, suggests that sellers are still active and buyers currently lack the conviction to force a decisive breakout. Outlook and Key Levels The next few trading sessions are crucial and will provide clarity. - Bullish Scenario: A convincing daily close above the long-term angular trendline , especially if accompanied by an increase in volume, would confirm the breakout and signal a move towards the ₹178 level. - Bearish Scenario: Continued rejection from this trendline could lead to a pullback, with the stock likely to find support around the ₹141 level. The current price action warrants close monitoring. A breakout is clearly being attempted, but confirmation is required before a new directional trend can be established.
NSE:IOCLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
McLeod Russel (D) - A Decade-Long Downtrend Reversal?After being in a severe downtrend for over ten years since its all-time high in February 2013, McLeod Russel is now showing compelling signs of a major trend reversal. A multi-year consolidation phase appears to have ended with a powerful, momentum-driven breakout. The Breakout: A Shift in Momentum The stock was locked in a sideways consolidation range since August 2020. However, recent price action signals a decisive shift in control from sellers to buyers: - Building Strength: Over the past few weeks, the stock began forming a pattern of Higher Lows , an early indication that selling pressure was diminishing and buyers were stepping in at higher prices. - Resistance Breach: On Friday, October 6th, the stock decisively broke out of a major, multi-year resistance level. - Explosive Follow-Through: The breakout was followed by extremely bullish action this week, with the stock gapping up at the open and immediately hitting the upper circuit limit each day. This indicates intense buying interest with a complete absence of sellers. This powerful move is confirmed by key technical indicators. The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a positive crossover, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is firmly in bullish territory across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes. Outlook and Key Levels The current momentum suggests a significant new uptrend is underway. - Bullish Target: If this strong momentum continues, the next logical resistance and potential target for the stock is the ₹85 level. - Support Level: Should the momentum pause or a pullback occur, the breakout level around ₹35 is expected to act as a strong support zone. Given the rapid, vertical ascent, traders should watch the price action closely in the coming days for signs of either continuation or short-term exhaustion.
NSE:MCLEODRUSSLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Century Extrusions (D) - Breakout or Fakeout?Century Extrusions has shown a significant sign of life after a prolonged period of sideways movement. However, a critical bearish indicator is flashing a warning sign, placing the stock at a crucial crossroads. The Bullish Catalyst: A Powerful Surge After a lackluster uptrend, the stock entered a consolidation phase in December 2023 , trading within a defined range. Today's session broke this monotony with authority: - Massive Price Gain: The stock surged by +17.03% in a single session. - Volume Spike: This price surge was backed by a significant spike in trading volume, indicating strong buyer participation. - Resistance Retest: This move represents a serious attempt to break out of a persistent resistance trendline that has capped previous rallies. Supporting this bullish action, key indicators are aligned positively across Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes, with short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) in a positive crossover and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) showing rising momentum. If the stock can successfully breach and sustain above the immediate resistance, the path could be clear for a move towards the ₹44 level. The Bearish Warning: Waning Momentum Despite the powerful price action, a significant red flag exists. A bearish divergence is clearly visible across the Monthly, Weekly, and Daily timeframes. This occurs when the price charts higher peaks while the RSI indicator forms lower peaks, suggesting that the underlying momentum is fading despite the price surge. This divergence is a potent warning sign that the current breakout attempt may lack the strength to continue. If this signal proves true and the breakout fails, the stock could reverse course and decline towards the support level of ₹23 . Conclusion and Outlook The situation is a classic standoff between price action and momentum. The breakout is visually impressive, but the underlying bearish divergence cannot be ignored. The price action over the next few trading sessions is critical for confirmation. A decisive close above the resistance would validate the bullish breakout, while failure to hold today's gains could confirm the bearish divergence, leading to a potential downturn. Prudent analysis requires waiting for the market to reveal its true direction.
NSE:CENTEXT
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Sammaan Cap (W) - Poised for a Potential BreakoutAfter a prolonged downtrend that began in August 2018, Sammaan Capital transitioned into a sideways consolidation phase starting in March 2020. Recently, the stock has shown significant bullish intent. Last week, it surged by +19.74% , accompanied by an exceptionally high volume spike of 462.74 million shares . This powerful move brought the price to the brink of breaking out from a key short-term resistance trendline. Several technical indicators support a bullish outlook: - Moving Averages: The short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a state of positive crossover on both the monthly and weekly timeframes. - Momentum: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also registered a positive crossover on both timeframes, signaling strong upward momentum. - Volume: A steady increase in average volume suggests growing buyer interest. Future Outlook: The stock's direction hinges on its ability to overcome the immediate resistance. - Bullish Scenario: If the current momentum is sustained and the stock achieves a decisive breakout with strong volume, the next potential target is the 205 level. - Bearish Scenario: Conversely, a failure to breach this resistance could lead to a loss of momentum, potentially pulling the price back towards the 112 support level. The price action in the coming week will be crucial in confirming the stock's next directional move.
NSE:SAMMAANCAPLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Yes Bank (W) - Challenges Key Resistance in Potential Trend RevYes Bank is showing signs of a potential trend reversal after being locked in a multi-year sideways consolidation since June 2020. Last week, the stock gained +4.2% on the back of a massive volume surge , indicating a significant increase in buyer interest. The stock is now positioned directly below a critical horizontal resistance trendline . A decisive breakout above this level is required to confirm a shift from its long-term consolidation phase into a new uptrend. Strong Long-Term Bullish Signals 👍 The potential for a reversal is supported by positive signals on higher timeframes: - Monthly & Weekly Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a bullish crossover state on both the monthly and weekly charts. - Confirmed Strength: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also rising on both the monthly and weekly timeframes, confirming strong underlying momentum. Outlook: A Breakout Awaits The stock is at a crucial make-or-break point. While the long-term indicators are bullish, overcoming the overhead resistance is essential. - Bullish Case 📈: If the current momentum is sustained and the stock achieves a decisive breakout, the next potential target is the ₹27 level. - Bearish Case 📉: If the resistance holds and the momentum fades, the stock could pull back to find support near the ₹18 level.
NSE:YESBANKLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Rategain (W) - Challenges Major Resistance After Parabolic RallyFollowing a powerful trend reversal that began in August 2025, RateGain has surged over 70% and is now confronting a major confluence of resistance. The stock is simultaneously testing a long-term angular resistance trendline and a key horizontal resistance level . This critical test comes after a prolonged downtrend that was in place since February 2024, positioning the stock at a crucial make-or-break point. Strong Bullish Undertone 👍 The rally is supported by a host of positive technical indicators, suggesting strong underlying momentum leading into this resistance zone: - Rising Volume: There has been a consistent increase in trading volume , indicating growing and sustained buyer interest. - Positive Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a bullish crossover state. - Confirmed Strength: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also rising, confirming the bullish momentum. Outlook: A Breakout Awaits Confirmation The stock's ability to overcome this dual resistance will be the key determinant of its future trend. - Bullish Case 📈: A decisive and high-volume breakout above both resistance levels in the coming week could trigger the next leg of the rally, with a potential price target of ₹845 . - Bearish Case 📉: If the resistance holds and momentum fails to carry the stock through, a pullback towards the support level of ₹623 is possible.
NSE:RATEGAINLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Suryoday (W) - Shows Reversal Signs but Halts at Key ResistanceSuryoday Small Finance Bank is showing signs of a potential trend reversal, marked by the recent formation of Higher Lows . Last week, the stock made a significant move, surging +14.38% on massive volume. During this session, it broke through two minor resistances but ultimately closed below a critical long-term resistance level . This price action indicates a powerful attempt by buyers that was met with significant selling pressure at a key technical barrier. Conflicting Technical Signals The current technical landscape presents a mixed picture, highlighting the uncertainty at this juncture: Bullish Signs 👍: - Weekly Momentum: On the weekly timeframe, both the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are in a bullish crossover state. Bearish Signs 📉: - Declining Volume: The overall trading volume has been drying up , which typically signals a lack of conviction from buyers, despite last week's volume spike. Outlook: A Decisive Week Ahead The stock is at a critical inflection point. The powerful surge last week shows bullish intent, but the failure to close above resistance and the low overall volume are causes for caution. The price action in the upcoming week will be crucial in determining whether the stock has the strength to finally break through resistance or if it will be rejected again.
NSE:SURYODAY
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Gallant Isp (W) - Consolidates in Bullish Pattern After New ATHFollowing a powerful and sustained uptrend since May 2023, Gallantt Ispat Ltd. reached a new All-Time High (ATH) in August 2025. For the past few weeks, the stock has entered a healthy sideways consolidation phase . This type of consolidation after a strong rally is often a bullish continuation pattern, suggesting the primary uptrend is likely to resume. Strong Underlying Bullish Indicators 👍 The positive long-term outlook is reinforced by several strong technical signals on higher timeframes: - Sustained Volume: The average trading volume has been increasing , indicating growing and sustained interest in the stock. - Long-Term Momentum: Short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) are in a bullish crossover state on both the monthly and weekly charts. - Confirmed Strength: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also rising on both the monthly and weekly timeframes, confirming strong underlying momentum. Outlook and Key Price Levels The price action in the coming weeks will be crucial to determine the next move out of this consolidation. - Short-Term Range: In the immediate term, the stock could fluctuate between a potential upside target of ₹780 and a downside support level of ₹570 . - Long-Term Potential 📈: If the bullish momentum resumes and the stock breaks out of the current consolidation, a longer-term price target of ₹1,000 could be achievable.
NSE:GALLANTTLong
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Britannia holds mild bullish trend with steady support zonesTopic Statement: Britannia remains a mildly bullish stock, resilient to broader market corrections and ideal for structured trading. Key Points: 1. The stock recently formed a double top candlestick pattern, indicating possible short-term resistance 2. Price can be accumulated when it falls below the 50-day EMA, a level that has historically provided good entries 3. It moves within an up-trending bullish channel, making it well-suited for disciplined channel-based trading strategies
NSE:BRITANNIA
by yogeshwar
How to trade in the Right Trend - Beginners guide How to Identify a Trend in a Chart? Here's a practical breakdown of trend identification methods: 1. Price Structure Method (Most Fundamental) Uptrend: - Series of Higher Highs (HH) and Higher Lows (HL) - Each peak is higher than the previous peak - Each trough is higher than the previous trough Downtrend: - Series of Lower Highs (LH) and Lower Lows (LL) - Each peak is lower than the previous peak - Each trough is lower than the previous trough Sideways/Range: - Price oscillates between horizontal support and resistance - No clear higher highs/lows or lower highs/lows 2. Moving Averages Simple Rules: - Price consistently above MA = Uptrend - Price consistently below MA = Downtrend - Price crossing back and forth = No clear trend Popular MAs: - 20 EMA (short-term) - 50 SMA (medium-term) - 200 SMA (long-term) Golden Cross/Death Cross: - 50 MA crosses above 200 MA = Bullish trend signal - 50 MA crosses below 200 MA = Bearish trend signal 3. Trendline Method Drawing Trendlines: - Uptrend: Connect at least 2 higher lows with a straight line - Downtrend: Connect at least 2 lower highs with a straight line - The more touches, the stronger the trendline - Price respecting the trendline confirms trend strength 4. Multi-Timeframe Analysis The Complete Picture: - Weekly chart: Overall market direction - Daily chart: Intermediate trend - 4H/1H chart: Entry timing Rule: Always trade in the direction of the higher timeframe trend #5. Indicators for Confirmation ADX (Average Directional Index): - Above 25 = Strong trend - Below 20 = Weak/no trend - Doesn't show direction, only strength MACD: - Histogram above zero = Uptrend - Histogram below zero = Downtrend - Crossovers signal potential trend changes RSI: - Consistently above 50 = Uptrend - Consistently below 50 = Downtrend 6. Volume Confirmation Healthy Trends Show: - Rising volume on moves in trend direction - Declining volume on corrections/pullbacks - Volume spikes at breakout points Quick Checklist for Trend Identification: ✅ Strong Uptrend: - Higher highs and higher lows - Price above rising moving averages - Valid upward trendline intact - ADX above 25 - Increasing volume on rallies ✅ Strong Downtrend: - Lower highs and lower lows - Price below falling moving averages - Valid downward trendline intact - ADX above 25 - Increasing volume on declines ⚠️ No Clear Trend (Stay Out): - Choppy price action - MAs flat or intertwined - ADX below 20 - Price between support/resistance Common Beginner Mistakes: ❌ Looking at only one timeframe ❌ Ignoring the bigger picture ❌ Trading every small wiggle as a "trend" ❌ Not waiting for confirmation ❌ Confusing corrections with reversals Pro Tips: 💡 **The 3-Touch Rule:** A trend becomes more reliable after price respects a trendline at least 3 times 💡 **Trend is Your Timeframe:** What's an uptrend on daily might be a pullback on weekly 💡 **When in Doubt, Zoom Out:** Higher timeframes show the true direction 💡 **Trade WITH the trend, not against it:** Counter-trend trades have lower probability **Remember:** Trend identification isn't about being perfect - it's about being on the right side of the market more often than not. Start with the basics (higher highs/lows), then add confirmation tools as you gain experience. More updates with examples and Explanation on individual topics in a easy way to understand.
NSE:RELIANCEEducation
by earnwhileulearn
EMAMI: Technical Outlook UpdateFollowing a prolonged downtrend that began in September 2024, EMAMI Ltd. has recently exhibited signs of a potential short-term trend reversal on the daily chart. The stock has demonstrated a notable uptick in momentum, marked by several key technical developments. The stock has decisively moved above its 200-day EMA, a level often regarded as a long-term trend indicator. This breakout was accompanied by a significant increase in trading volume—approximately 5 times the average volume of the 50-day moving average, suggesting heightened market participation. The RSI has crossed above the 60 level, indicating strengthening bullish momentum, though it is approaching the overbought zone. A bullish crossover in the MACD was observed, further supporting the case for near-term strength. Around ₹600, where the stock is currently consolidating post-breakout. First resistance near ₹650, Second resistance around ₹690. A technical stop-loss could be considered below ₹548, aligning with recent swing lows and support levels. Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute investment advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Market participants are encouraged to conduct their own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NSE:EMAMILTDLong
by NiftyNotion
JSW Steel powers through bullish channel with momentumTopic Statement: JSW Steel is on a relentless bullish run, steadily climbing within a strong up-trending channel that continues to attract accumulation. Key Points: 1. The stock is moving consistently in a strong bullish channel, making directional trading highly structured and reliable 2. It rarely dips below the 50-day EMA, and when it does, it presents a strong investment or accumulation opportunity 3. The clearly defined channel makes it ideal for disciplined channel-based trading strategies
NSE:JSWSTEEL
by yogeshwar
IFGL (D) - Rejects at Key Resistance Despite Massive VolumeIFGL Refractories is currently at a critical inflection point after a dramatic but ultimately unsuccessful breakout attempt. Yesterday, the stock surged an incredible +18.35% on massive, multi-year high trading volume, piercing a key horizontal resistance trendline . However, the momentum was not sustained. Today, the stock faced selling pressure and closed back below this critical resistance level, signaling that sellers are still active at this price zone. This price action follows a period of uptrend and consolidation that began after the stock's initial downtrend from its All-Time High in December 2023. Overwhelmingly Bullish Underlying Indicators 👍 Despite the failure to hold the breakout, the underlying technical picture remains exceptionally strong: - Universal Bullish Crossover: Both the short-term Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are in a confirmed bullish crossover state across the monthly, weekly, and daily charts . - Volume Thrust: Yesterday's massive volume spike indicates a significant level of interest in the stock, even if it resulted in a short-term rejection. Outlook: Awaiting a Confirmed Breakout The stock is in a classic battle between strong underlying momentum and a stubborn overhead resistance. A decisive and sustained close above the resistance line is now required to confirm the next leg up. - Bullish Case 📈: If buyers can overcome the selling pressure and secure a confirmed breakout, the next potential target is the ₹342 level. - Bearish Case 📉: If the resistance continues to hold and momentum fades, the stock could pull back to find support near the ₹237 level. The price action in the coming days will be crucial.
NSE:IFGLEXPOR
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
Persistent hovers near support after volatile swingsTopic Statement: Persistent has seen a roller coaster price action this year and is now stabilizing near key technical and psychological support zones. Key Points: 1. The stock is taking support at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at 4951, a level it continues to hold 2. This support zone aligns with the barrier of 5000, reducing the likelihood of a breakdown 3. The price is also very close to a long-term trendline, adding structural strength to the current support 4. Currently trading below the 50-day EMA, the stock offers a strong investment opportunity at these levels based on past behavior
NSE:PERSISTENTLong
by yogeshwar
ShalbyLtd - Investment Doubler - High Conviction Trade Setup#Shalby Ltd - #Technical Analysis Report Current Price: 264.50 Key Technical Signals Bullish Confirmation from Multiple Timeframes: - Monthly chart shows a confirmed range breakout with uptrend validation - Previous high broken on monthly chart, establishing higher highs - Powerful RSI Bullish Divergence observed in monthly timeframe Weekly Chart Analysis: - Supply zone has been invalidated by price trading above 246-250 Levels - Stock is now in an active swing trade setup - Expected Immediate 10 to 15% Move Swing Setup. Investment Status: The stock presents a compelling "Investment Double" opportunity, with the previous high broken and a higher high confirmed on the monthly chart. The pattern suggests significant upside potential after a period of consolidation. Price Targets Short-term Swing Trade: Potential move of 15-20% from current levels Medium to Long-term Targets: - ₹306 (Critical breakout level) - ₹339 - ₹356 - ₹381 - ₹427++++ A decisive close above ₹306 will trigger momentum toward higher Fibonacci-based targets. Risk Consideration Expect a consolidation period of approximately one month following Doji or inside bar formations before the next major move materializes. Conclusion Shalby Ltd presents a strong technical setup with multiple timeframe confirmation. The invalidation of the supply zone and monthly breakout suggest the stock is positioned for a sustained upward movement. Traders should monitor the ₹306 level closely for breakout confirmation. Disclaimer: Charts shared only for Educational purpose only. Its not a trade recommendation. Do your own analysis to survive in Trading for a longer run.
NSE:SHALBYLong
by earnwhileulearn