Moving Averages
Nifty 50 Analysis (One Week Outlook)📈 N ifty 50 Analysis (One Week Outlook) 📈
🔍 Observations:
Chinese Economy Woes: The real estate sector in China is under stress, with it constituting 25% of the country's economy. This raises concerns.
US Dollar Strength: There are indications of potential rate hikes which could bolster the USD. If this happens, we might see a capital flight from the Indian market.
📊 Nifty's Current Status:
Nifty closed at a pivotal level of 19,310.15 on the last trading day.
This level coincides with its 50-day moving average. A downward breach might indicate a short-term fall.
📉 Resistance and Potential Drop:
Nifty has descended from a Fibonacci level of 0.25. If it breaks below the 50-day moving average, it might fall towards the 0.382 Fibonacci level, translating to 18,270.
The projected moving average is 18,314, suggesting a potential fall of 7.69%.
Historical trends, from Dec 2022 to 27th March 2023, indicate possibilities of a drop as steep as 10.25%.
🌎 Global Factors:
Global cues, especially the state of the Chinese economy, will play a pivotal role in influencing the Nifty.
Notable events to watch: The Global Symposium and listings like Jio and some other IPOs.
💡 Short-term Prediction:
If Nifty breaches its 50-day moving average, the next target could be set at 18,270.
❌ Stop Loss: We're not setting a stop loss as we are trend following closely.
✅ Conclusion: Keep a keen eye on global events and the state of the Chinese economy. The next week will be crucial for traders and investors alike. Stay vigilant and trade smartly!
📅 Publish Date: 21st August 2023, 6:57 a.m. IST
Banknifty daily analysis for 07/09/23.Banknifty has given a gravestone doji again and closed 123 poinnts lower. It has been trading around the 20 ema.
The market has retested the 50% fibnocci level and retraced back in the last hour of the trading session.
On the hourly charts, traded around the moving averages and gave a break down. During the last hour market recover and took resistance from the 200 ema, closing between both the moving averages.
It created a base around 44250 levels and formed a morning star pattern.
There is a U-shape recovery, on 15 minutes chart, which shows some bullishness in the market. There are chance of a bullish moving averages cross over on the smaller time frame as botht the moving averages are close by.
Now market has closed around 44400 levels which give space for banknifty to move and either give a break out or break down.
Support :- 44350, 44250, 44100
Resistance :- 44550, 44660, 44750
Banknifty on the weekly expiry showed some movement and during the last hour there was a volatile market.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
GMMPfaudler- Big move on the cards?GMMPfaudler was on my watchlist from past couple of months because of its beautiful consolidation after a fall.
Recently, the company has announced good Q1 results due to which a breakout was seen in the stock. It was followed by some profit booking.
On friday, the stock gave a gap down opening due to news(GMM selling stake in the stock) followed by a huge buying momentum.
It seems like the gap down was a SL hunting move for the breakout buyers.
The chart is looking very strong at CMP for minimum target of 1750 and 1970. SL can be below 1400 DCB which is a strong demand zone.
However, since its a news based stock, the risk associated is higher.
Please note that I am sharing this idea only for educational purposes.
One can study and observe the chart as it could be a very beautiful example of how a big move is always preceded by SL hunting.
DOLLER INDUSTRIES# DOLLAR IND #
BUY ABOVE - 442
CBSL - 350
TG - 640 - 650
This is not an investment advice and also please note this is only for education purpose.
So before investing any single rupee, please do your own research according to your risk taking capacity and after that do invest and book profits on right time.
Banknifty ( only for minimum 250-300 points target)Banknifty. (Only for Experienced traders" )
Enter after " Breakout and Retracement ".
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For " long "
entry: 44575 / 45025
target: 45030 - 45250 - 45760
stoploss: 44430
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For " Short"
entry: 44430
target: 44250, 44030
stoploss: 44580
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Enter only if market Breaks
"Yellow box" mentioned.
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Wait for proper reversal and conformation.
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Don't make complicated trade set-up.📈📉
Keep it " Simple, Focus on Consistency "💹.
Refer our old ideas for accuracy rate🧑💻.
Valuable comments are welcomed-✌️
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[ i]Disclaimer:
Our Trading style is not to capture "10-20" points per trade.📊
We take entry only for min "200-300" points without any distractions.💹
So, our ideas may not be preferable for small traders, who just focusing on too much of support and resistance.📈📉📈
So, please consider others ideas.
This is for educational purposes.🧑💻
Head and shoulder pattern break out in M&M.Mahindra & Mahindra is forming a new ATH and has closed above the neckline of the inverted head and shoulder pattern.
The shock on the weekly time frame has given a nice closing near the ATH and on the daily time frame test the 20 ema after taking a retest from the resistance zone then giving a breakout.
Sector and stock both has closed near the ATH. There is a much chance of carrying on with the break out and hitting 1.618 and 2.618 Fibonacci levels.
Auto sector has also move more than 1.5% which also helps in carrying a bullish trade in this stock.
In the second half of the trading session the stock has consolidated on the higher levels and closed just around it.
3 point confirmation.
1. Break out of Inverted H&S pattern.
2. Retested before giving a breakout.
3. Auto sector also forming ATH.
Target:- 1628, 1700
Stop Loss :- Close below 1575 (hourly candle).
Stock can be bought for the targets. Even swing and positional trades can be carried in the september series.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.