Moving Averages
Pidilite Industries (Daily Timeframe) - Potential BreakOut??Pidilite, though with good earnings in the past quarter has not been able to BreakOut of the support turned resistance zone. Few attempts has been made but none of them were successful. The recent past, the stock has been making Equal Highs and Higher Lows. Volume has been decent though. Short-term EMAs are in Positive Cross-Over state.
On upside, the target may be around 3234 & on downside it may go upto 3027.
Monitor the price action in the coming days.
Greaves Cotton (Daily Timeframe) - Will it BreakOut or Not?Greaves Cotton since it's Double-Top formation has been in a downtrend. A key support level has become a resistance zone, which it's been trying to BreakOut few times. The stock has been forming Higher Lows for a while now. Few attempts to BreakOut has been futile. The recent BreakOut attempts been with huge volume spikes. Short-term EMAs are in positive cross-over state.
If it's able to BreakOut then the possible upside target is around 244. If not, we can expect the stock to go down to 198 levels.
Keep monitoring.
CIPLA (Weekly Timeframe) - Can it breakout ??Cipla has been in an accumulation stage for a while. Few attempts to breakout of the 1600 zone has not been successful. With EMAs in positive cross-over state, the stock looks to breakout of this key resistance zone. The volume is also OK in the past few weeks.
To be monitored on how it goes in the coming weeks.
Hammer Candlestick Reversals - Bullish & Bearish Setups🔹 Intro / Overview
In this idea, we focus on the Hammer candlestick pattern — both Bullish and Bearish variations.
The Hammer is a powerful reversal signal formed with a small body, a long shadow, and defined highs/lows.
When combined with EMA High–Low Band Confirmation and swing structure, it creates rule-based trading opportunities with clear validation and devalidation rules.
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📖 Bullish & Bearish Hammer Intro
🟢 Bullish Hammer → Appears after a downtrend / at swing low . Buyers step in strongly, rejecting lower prices.
- EMA Band should be above the candle.
- Candle High = Validation line.
- Candle Low = Devalidation line.
- Entry → Close above the High.
- Stop-Loss → Candle Low.
- Target → 1x risk, with remaining lots trailed (ATR, Fibonacci, Box Trailing).
🔴 Bearish Hammer → Appears after a uptrend / at swing high . Sellers take control after rejecting higher prices.
- EMA Band should be below the candle.
- Candle Low = Validation line.
- Candle High = Devalidation line.
- Entry → Close below the Low.
- Stop-Loss → Candle High.
- Target → 1x risk, with remaining lots trailed.
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📌 How to Use
🟢 Bullish Hammer Spotted
- Validation → Close above the Hammer’s high.
- Devalidation → Close below the Hammer’s low. (before validation)
- SL → Hammer Low.
- Target → 1x risk, remaining lots trail with ATR/Fibonacci.
🔴 Bearish Hammer Spotted
- Validation → Close below the Hammer’s low.
- Devalidation → Close above the Hammer’s high. (before validation)
- SL → Hammer High.
- Target → 1x risk, remaining lots trail with ATR/Fibonacci.
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🎯 Trading Plan
- Entry → On validation close (Bullish above High, Bearish below Low).
- Stop Loss → Defined by Hammer candle (Low for Bullish, High for Bearish).
- Target → First TP = 1R, Remaining lots trailed for extended moves.
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📊 Chart Explanation
1️⃣ 🟢 Bullish Hammer Spotted
- Candle validated as price closed above the high.
- 🎯 Target 1 achieved, remaining lots managed with trailing methods. Trailing Exit could be at swing top with best trailing
2️⃣ 🛑 Bearish Hammer →
- Candle validated as price closed below the low.
- 🎯 Target 1 achieved, remaining lots managed with trailing methods. Trailing Exit could be at swing bottom with best trailing
3️⃣ 🛑 Bearish Hammer →
- ❌ Devalidated
- Candle devalidated as price closed above the high.
4️⃣ 🛑 Bearish Hammer →
-Candle validated as price closed below the low.
⛔ Stop-Loss hit
- stop loss ensures risk management and discipline in trading.
5️⃣ 🛑Bearish Hammer →
-Candle validated as price closed above the low.
- 🎯 Target 1 achieved, remaining lots managed with trailing methods. Trailing Exit could be at swing bottom with best trailing
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👀 Observation
- Bullish Hammer → Works best after prolonged downtrend at support zones.
- Bearish Hammer → Stronger after extended uptrends or near resistance zones.
- EMA Band → Confirms market bias and filters false signals.
- Risk Management → Defined SL + structured TP protect capital and maximize reward.
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❗ Why It Matters?
- Clear rules: Validation, Devalidation, Entry, SL, and TP.
- Combines price action (Hammer) with EMA Band confirmation.
- Ensures disciplined trading instead of emotional decisions.
- Allows both conservative and aggressive management via trailing.
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🎯 Conclusion
The Bullish & Bearish Hammer patterns, when combined with EMA High–Low Band confirmation, provide a structured reversal trading strategy.
By following strict entry, SL, and TP rules, traders can filter false setups and capture strong reversals at swing highs and lows.
🔥 Patterns don’t predict. Rules protect. 🚀
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⚠️ Disclaimer
For educational purposes only · Not SEBI registered · Not a buy/sell recommendation · Not financial advice — purely a learning resource.
Bearish Hammer with EMA High-Low Band - Rule Based Entry 🔹 Intro / Overview
The Bearish Hammer candlestick is a signal of potential downside reversal.
It forms when buyers push price higher, but sellers regain control and close the candle near its low.
When combined with EMA High–Low Band confirmation, it creates a disciplined setup to identify short trade opportunities with clear rules.
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📖 How to Use
✅ Validation → A valid signal occurs when the close price is below the low of the Bearish Hammer.
❌ Invalidation → If the close price crosses above the high of the Bearish Hammer, the signal is invalid. (Before validation )
EMA Band Confirmation:
- The Bearish Hammer must be above the EMA High–Low Band.
- The EMA High-Low band should not touch the Bearish Hammer.
- This ensures the setup aligns with bearish conditions.
✅ Bearish Hammar High must be swing high
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🎯 Trading Plan
Entry → Enter short when the close price is below the Hammer’s low (validation line).
Stop-Loss (SL) → The high of the Bearish Hammer candle(Swing High)
Target (TP):
- First Target → 1R (equal to the risk defined by Entry–SL distance).
- Remaining Lots → Trail using ATR, Fibonacci levels, Box Trailing, or structure-based stops.
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📊 Chart Explanation
- The Bearish Hammer shows rejection of higher prices, with a small body near the low and a long upper shadow.
- The EMA High–Low Band sits below the candle, and the Hammer forms above the band (no touch), confirming the setup.
- Validation occurs when the next close is below the Hammer’s low.
- Invalidation occurs if price closes above the Hammer’s high(before Validation)
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👀 Observation
Bearish Hammer Behavior → Most effective after an uptrend or at resistance zones.
EMA Role → Ensures trade alignment with broader market bias.
Risk Management → SL above Hammer high, TP at least 1:1, with trailing options for extended downside moves.
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❗ Why It Matters?
- Shows buyers losing strength.
- Sellers step back in and dominate.
- EMA Band ensures cleaner filtering of weak signals.
- Provides a strict framework for entry, SL, and targets.
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🎯 Conclusion
The Bearish Hammer, combined with EMA High–Low Band confirmation, creates a structured short setup.
Using strict validation, devalidation, and risk management, traders can filter false signals and ride potential bearish moves with confidence.
🔥 Patterns don’t predict. Rules protect.
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⚠️ Disclaimer
For educational purposes only · Not SEBI registered · Not a buy/sell recommendation · Not financial advice — purely a learning resource.
Market’s Current Crowd – Why SD 0.5 Matters with 96WMAEvery candle on the chart is a footprint of the crowd.
Some are footprints of long-term investors, others of restless scalpers, and in between lie the majority — the current active population.
Most traders look at Bollinger Bands with ±1 SD or ±2 SD. But here’s the catch:
±1 SD (68% zone) is too wide, it includes noise that the current crowd may not actually be trading.
±2 SD (95% zone) often shows overreactions — moments that only a small, emotional part of the market touches.
🔹 This is why 0.5 SD is powerful.
It captures the true heartbeat of the current population — the majority of trades happening right now.
Instead of focusing on the extremes, it filters the chatter and shows us where the real action is.
Importance of 96WMA:
Above it, the active crowd is leaning bullish, even if short-term noise distracts.
Below it, the weight shifts bearish.
Together, 0.5 SD + 96WMA forms a map — the pulse of the market (0.5 SD) laid against the backbone of trend (96WMA).
The market is not moved by everyone at once, but by the dominant population of the moment.
By tracking SD = 0.5, we see that population more clearly than any other band width.
Combine it with the quiet guide of 96WMA, and we stop guessing the crowd’s mood — we start seeing it.
Adani Ports Maintains Bullish Momentum, Nears Resistance at Key Topic Statement:
Adani Ports is riding strong bullish momentum after rebounding from a key retracement level, now approaching stiff resistance near a distribution zone.
Key Points:
1. The stock retraced up to the 50% Fibonacci level and has since moved up to the 23.6% level, showing renewed strength
2. Price faces stiff resistance at the 1500 mark as it enters a known distribution zone
3. The stock rarely trades below the 200-day EMA, and such dips have historically offered excellent accumulation opportunities
Nifty swing Pullback Failure 15mins Hello,
Nifty again bounce from previous low/support levels of 24350 to high of 24700 and pullback is failed and falled again CMP 24510 ......50SMA support and RSI adjusted from overbought also more than 50% retracement near by 61% reatrce making it good Pullback Reversal Set up for swing+postional
Bearish patterns in Nifty ITOn monthly we see multiple bearish patterns in IT index.
Over long term we can see that this index takes support near 100 SMA on monthly.
Currently this index is in down trend and in worst case can see support nr 29000 levels. Which also coincides with earlier buying zone.
I would avoid IT till I find some good bottoming out pattern.
Expecting a nice move on Nifty weekly expiry 07/08/2025.Nifty for the last three days is forming an inside candle, chances of it moving either side is high.
If the market starts trading below 24510, it may test the pervious support around 24230 and another levels below it.
On the higher side, trade can only be initiated only once 24650 levels are taken out.
In case of a gap down wait for the retest of the support zone that will act as the resistance now. Enter trade only once the setup triggers.
Major resistance levels :- 24660, 24733
Support levels :- 24500 (psycological level), 24228
Hourly Moving averages are above the closing price while the Daily 100 EMA is around the closing leves, which can act as the support else it can come to test the 200 EMA (24200).
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Zinka Logistics Sol Ltd : Daily Chart Breakout from Darvas BoxThis chart shows the daily price action of Zinka Logistics Sol Ltd (NSE) with a focus on recent technical developments:
• Darvas Box Pattern: For several months, the stock price traded sideways within a well-marked “Darvas Box” range, approximately between ₹400 and ₹549.30. This represents a consolidation phase where the stock found both support and resistance within this zone.
• All-Time High Resistance: The yellow dashed line at ₹549.30 marks the previous all-time high (ATH) level, acting as a critical resistance point.
• Breakout and Volume Surge: On the latest trading day, the stock price sharply broke above the ATH resistance, closing at ₹561.25—a gain of 15.66%. This move was supported by a significant spike in trading volume, as shown at the bottom of the chart, which reinforces the breakout’s strength.
• Bullish Signal: Such a breakout from a long consolidation within a Darvas Box, particularly on elevated volume, is typically interpreted by traders as a strong bullish signal, suggesting the start of an upward trend.
• Indicators: The chart also includes a moving average line (light blue) that underscores recent momentum and trend direction.
UltraTech Cement Rides Strong Bullish Channel, Eyes Breakout BeyTopic Statement:
UltraTech Cement continues its bullish run, driven by consistent growth and cement’s critical role in construction-led demand.
Key Points:
1. The stock moves strictly within a well-defined uptrending channel, making it highly suitable for channel-based trading
2. It rarely dips below the 200-day EMA, and prices near this level have historically presented strong investment opportunities
3. The price is currently facing resistance at the 12000 mark, but a weak breakout appears to be underway, signaling potential continuation
Nifty Bullish Confluence Set up ( Swing+ positional)Hello,
Nifty spot 24610 from low of 21780 made high around 25650 april to june in 2 months now Its retrace to 24600 i.e almost more than 50% retracement another is RSI squezze with bullish divergence in lowertimeframe with EMA 200 support and making pattern of falling wedge .
expecting bullish reversal set up for new lifetime high possibilties in next 2 months
Golden EMA Setup – Catch Medium-Term Trends with 50 & 200 EMA!Hello Traders!
One of the simplest yet most powerful ways to identify long-lasting trends is by using moving averages. And among all combinations, there’s one that stands out for swing and positional trades, the Golden EMA Setup .
It uses just two tools: the 50 EMA and the 200 EMA. When used correctly, this setup helps you ride big trends and avoid choppy zones.
Let’s understand how this works and how you can apply it.
What is the Golden EMA Setup?
It’s a trend-following strategy based on the crossover of two EMAs:
50 EMA (Fast Average): Reacts quicker to price changes
200 EMA (Slow Average): Represents the long-term trend
When 50 EMA crosses above 200 EMA, it’s considered a Golden Crossover , a bullish signal.
When 50 EMA crosses below 200 EMA, it’s a Death Crossover , a bearish signal.
How to Trade This Setup:
Entry:
Buy when 50 EMA crosses above 200 EMA and price is above both.
Stop Loss:
Just below the 200 EMA or recent swing low.
Target:
Trail the stop loss and ride the trend till the crossover reverses or price weakens.
Timeframe:
Works best on daily or 1-hour chart for positional/swing trades.
Rahul Tip:
Golden EMA setup works great during trending phases, but avoid using it in sideways markets — you may get trapped in whipsaws. Always confirm with volume or RSI divergence before entering.
Did you ever used this strategy before, let me know in comment box.
LICI Shows Minimal Gains Since IPO, Moves Weakly Within Broad ChTopic Statement:
Nearly three years after its IPO at 870, LICI trades only slightly higher, reflecting the limited post-listing returns even for a market giant.
Key Points:
1. The stock is moving in a weak uptrending bullish channel, offering modest directional cues
2. It retraced to the 61.8% Fibonacci level where it received support and has since rebounded
3. Price now faces resistance at the 38.2% retracement level near 955, creating a ceiling for upward movement
4. Accumulating the stock below the 50-day EMA presents a more favorable risk-reward entry point
HDFC AMCThis analysis is intended solely for educational purposes and does not constitute financial advice.
The stock of HDFC Asset Management Company (HDFC AMC) is currently demonstrating a gradual upward trajectory following a breakout from a seven-month consolidation phase. This breakout signals renewed bullish momentum in the stock's price action.
Key technical indicators support this trend:
• ✅ Trading above major moving averages: The stock is positioned above the 200-day, 150-day, and 50-day moving averages, which typically indicates strong underlying support and a positive long-term outlook.
• ✅ Holding above a critical support level: This reinforces the bullish sentiment and reduces the likelihood of a sharp downside reversal in the near term.
Given these technical factors, there is a high probability of continued upward movement. However, it is essential to approach trading with caution. 📌
UPL LTD - Daily Chart Analysis with Demand Zone & Key ResistanceDescription:
This chart analyzes UPL LTD (NSE:UPL) on the daily timeframe. Key highlights include:
• Demand Zone: The chart marks a demand zone where buying interest is expected to be strong.
• Fibonacci Levels: Major resistance at the 0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci retracement zones (around 720 and 784).
• Current Price Action: Stock is trading near 703.80, showing a recent pullback after testing higher levels.
• 20EMA Retest: The price recently retested the 20 EMA, a critical support.
• Upside Potential: Watch for an upside move if upcoming earnings turn out positive. Key upside targets: 742, 760, and 784.
• Strategy Note: Monitor the demand zone for support and watch for breakouts above resistance for potential bullish confirmation.
Ideal for traders looking to capitalize on support/resistance and trend-following strategies.
LT Jumps on Strong Q1 FY26 Results, Continues Steady Climb WithiTopic Statement:
LT surged nearly 6% after posting impressive Q1 FY26 earnings, reinforcing its position within a mildly bullish up-trending channel.
Key Points:
1. The stock may experience temporary bullish momentum driven by strong quarterly results
2. It continues to trade within a mildly bullish up-trending channel, making channel-based trading reliable
3. Two trend lines on the chart highlight the ongoing trend strength and underlying support for the stock
4. Since recovering from COVID in 2021, the price has consistently remained above the 200-day EMA, reflecting long-term bullishness
VA Tech Wabag Ltd (Weekly Timeframe) - Potential BreakoutOn weekly timeframe the stock has made-up for all those past 7 weeks of loss with a 9.30% gain with huge volume. The stock also BrokeOut of a longterm weekly angular resistance zone. The coming week if it can BreakOut of the short-term weekly resistance with some good volume, then it may go up to 1,944 in the near future , which is the ATH.
In Daily timeframe, a Golden Cross-over is formed as well, that suggests a bullish sign.
Keep monitoring the coming week's price action.