Target achieved !! Will NIFTY show respite from here!?As we can see NIFTY had been falling unidirectionally and is about to reach the trendline support which previously acted as a resistance. Hence we might see a recover arise 25850-900 levels but will only trade is signs of reversal is witnessed so will plan trade according to the market sentiment. Our targets achieved.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
More weakness coming in!?As we can see NIFTY had been falling unidirectionally from our supply zone as analysed. now we can expect NIFTY to fall even more covering the gaps and testing the trendline and act as a retest to trendline before finally taking support at the trendline and continuing its upmove so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
SIGN of REVERSAL!?As we can see NIFTY did manage to form more like a doji called showing indecision around our demand zone. This shows we are trading at demand zone but yet to test the trendline support hence a great would be when we could see a sign of reversal around the trendline so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone
BUY THE STRONGEST ONE_PFOCUS_LONGTERM TRADEHi traders,
Posting the interesting Topic on PFOCUS with Technical Analysis long-term view.
Currently PFOCUS is trading at INR 241.86 with longer term bullish Veiw.
Entry at current level with stoploss of 12 Months low. Ride the trend until it closes previous yearly low price or Market Structure.
Note:_ Only for Educational purpose Since investments in Securities and market are subjected to market risk
KEI LONG SETUPLogic : KEI is on Uptrend and is trying to break the consolidation on the weekly, entering long on the 125 mind marked demand zone would be a good opportunity. The stock has tried to break the previous high and is retracing too.
The zone also co incides with 50% length of the weekly candle.
Keep strict SL below the zone
NBCC LONG setupLogic: Nbcc has been in Uptrend on Daily and weekly. The demand zone formed is evident on most time frames.
2 scenario can be seen
Scenario 1: if price tries to retrace to the level then entering long is definitely an opportunity
Scenario 2: if price does not retrace and a small inside candle is formed on the daily time frame, then entering long on break of the high of the candle as marked can be a equivalent opportunity, the reason behind, as price may not retrace on strong uptrending stock easily.
WAAREE ENERGIESWAAREE Energies | Daily TF | SMC Setup
Price has entered a strong bullish Order Block (Demand zone) after a corrective move.
Clear bearish BOS earlier, but current candles show order flow shift and buying reaction from the OB.
📌 Trade Plan (Pullback Buy):
Buy Zone: 3000–3050
SL: 2880 (Daily close below OB = invalidation)
🎯 Targets:
T1: 3300–3350
T2: 3600–3650
T3: 3850–3900
📊 Logic:
OB respected with strong rejection
Minor structure shift inside demand
Expect pullback → continuation towards supply zones (T1–T3)
⚠️ Note: This is a counter-trend bounce trade. Manage risk strictly. Book partial at T1 and trail SL.
BAJAJ AUTO LONG SETUPLogic: BAJAJ AUTO is creating an up flag pattern on the weekly, followed by uptrend on the Daily.
The marked demand is strong setup.
Inspite of the fact that a stronger zone exist below that zone, but with understanding that if prices retrace into the below level the strength might be lost for an upmove.
The zone also is near 21 DEMA level.
Hence considering that and keeping strict SL below the marked level of atleast 10%DATR, long opportunities can be seen.
NIFTY back on track! Weakness to continue!!as we can see NIFTY started to get rejected exactly from our given supply zone. Now, we can expect NIFTY to remain weak until and unless it sustains itself above 26200 so every rise can ve shorted keeping sl on closing basis above the supply zone so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
60 million Liquidity Built-up again on top BTC could not break 85k. Instead, it created a bullish divergence on 1 hour, and there is no liquidity on the down; most of the liquidity still exists on top, around 60 million
If this push-up happens again, that will set 4-hour Divergence into bullish, so 95k, I'm still in the picture
1. 90200 - 60% Probability
2. Drop in the US Market 25%
3. Raise the rally before Christmas to 100k 25%
SIGNS OF REJECTION!?As we can see NIFTY did take a halt and has formed more like a doji kinda candle in daily time frame which shows its rejection from 26200 supply zone! Hence we will stay negative until and unless this doji candle is broken above and sustained so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
India Indices (4H) — MARAL Execution Workflow (WAIT / SKIP) India Indices (4H)—MARAL Execution Workflow (Technical WAIT/SKIP Example)
(NIFTY • SENSEX • BANKNIFTY • CNXFINANCE—educational only, no trade call)
These snapshots show an important execution concept:
Bullish higher-timeframe context can exist, while execution permission remains OFF.
MARAL separates bias (Context Board) from permission (Qualification Gate) and regime/risk (Management Desk).
When the gate reads SKIP, the correct action is WAIT—even if the bias looks supportive.
1) What the panels are telling us (same core message across all 4)
A) Context Board (Bias & conditions)
Common structure:
Direction / H1 / H4 / Daily: largely Bullish
Structure: Bear Struct (bias vs structure is not aligned)
Trend strength (ADX): low-to-moderate (~12–17 zone) → expansion is not confirmed
Momentum: mostly Neutral (CNXFINANCE shows BULL, but alignment still mixed)
Alignment score: ~50–55 → “not clean enough” for execution by design
Scores: long/short often sit in no-trade/borderline zones (example: 50–55 region)
Technical read: the macro bias is supportive, but structural and regime conditions are not confirming an executable phase.
B) Qualification Gate (Permission layer)
Across these charts:
SETUP: WAIT
LIQUIDITY: Neutral / Low (varies by index)
ENTRY PERMISSION: SKIP
Technical meaning: even with a bullish context, the system does not permit engagement until structure/regime/alignment improves.
C) Management Desk (Regime & risk)
Common state:
Market Phase: RANGE
Obstacle Ahead: NO
Exit Pressure: LOW
Momentum Health: NEUTRAL
Active Window: OFF
Technical meaning: range regime + neutral momentum tends to produce rotation/whipsaw behavior, so execution is filtered.
2) Index-by-index (what’s unique in each snapshot)
✅ NIFTY (4H)
Context: Bullish, but Structure = Bear Structure, Momentum = Neutral
Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral
Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = OVEREXTENDED, Active Window OFF
Read: bullish backdrop, but execution quality is degraded (overextended + range state), so permission stays SKIP.
✅ SENSEX (4H)
Context: Bullish, Bear Structure, Momentum Neutral, ADX moderate
Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral
Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF
Read: bias is bullish, but structure/regime still does not justify execution permission.
✅ BANKNIFTY (4H)
Context: Bullish, Bear Structure, Momentum Neutral
ADX is weaker (more range/rotation tendency)
Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral
Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF
Read: low trend strength + range regime = permission remains SKIP.
✅ CNXFINANCE (4H)
Context: Direction Bullish, but H1 = Neutral (mixed alignment) + Bear Structure
Liquidity Context = LOW (risk is lower than “high-liquidity” snapshots, but alignment still mixed.)
Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity LOW
Management: RANGE, Score Trend = IMPROVING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF
Read: improving conditions does not automatically mean “permission.” Structure/alignment still needs to mature.
3) What would typically flip SKIP → Permission (general, not a call)
Execution permission is more likely when:
Structure realigns with the bullish context (conflict resolves)
The market phase shifts from RANGE → EXPANSION
Momentum health improves (more stable impulse behavior)
Alignment score strengthens and Entry Permission upgrades away from SKIP
(Intrabar values can change; bar-close confirmation may be preferred.)
Educational only. Not a trading signal. Not financial advice.
This is a discretionary decision-support workflow; it does not place orders and does not guarantee outcomes.
#NIFTY #SENSEX #BANKNIFTY #CNXFINANCE #MarketStructure #RiskManagement #TradingDiscipline #PriceAction #TradingView
STRONG UPMOVE in NIFTY! is this a Trap!?As we can NIFTY finally managed to close above 26150 but this doesn't confirms the further continuation of upmove , it could be a potential trap as weekly candle is yet to form and its just a first day. We can see a strong g supply zone around 26200 which NIFTY might break above inviting buyers before finally continuing its fall. Hence for now, I will wait for both weekly candles formation as well as closing above 26200. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
CHFJPY – Monthly Top Wick Expected This Week.Waiting for 2026CHFJPY is currently in a higher-timeframe bullish structure.
This week, price may form a top wick on the monthly candle, indicating short-term pause or consolidation.
From the second week of January, if volume supports the move, bullish continuation to the upside is expected.
This is a higher-timeframe bias and roadmap, not a lower-timeframe entry signal.
Waiting for confirmation before taking any position.
NIFTY isn't bullish unless it sustains itself above 26050!As we can see NIFTY showed strong closing past 2 trading sessions which was well anticipated and discussed in our previous post i.e after continuous weakness, we might expect a short covering move and it happened. Now, standing by our analysis, until and unless NIFTY sustains itself above 26050-26100 level, every rise can be sold. so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Strong downfall coming below 25700!As we can see NIFTY did show some recovery exactly as analysed in our previous post but despite that it couldn't hold itself above and fell showing bearish dominance. Now, we can expect Nifty to show some respite due to US's inflation news but will maintain its bearish rally in longer run so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Shriram Fin (D): Cautiously Bullish - Breakout with IndecisionTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear
The stock has attempted a breakout from a multi-week consolidation range, hitting a new All-Time High. However, the formation of a Neutral Candle on high volume signals a fierce battle between buyers and sellers at the top. The breakout needs confirmation.
📈 1. The Chart Structure (Consolidation)
> The Range: The stock has been trapped between ₹820 (Support) and ₹870 (Resistance) .
> The Breakout Attempt: Today (Dec 18, 2025), the stock pierced the upper band to hit ₹867.90 .
> The Candle: The daily candle closed as a Spinning Top (small body, long wicks). This indicates indecision. Despite the record volume, the bulls failed to close near the day's high, showing supply pressure at ₹870.
📊 2. Volume Analysis (The Warning)
> The Spike: Volume of 12.48 Million is huge.
> Interpretation: When you see Record Volume + Neutral Candle at resistance, it often means Distribution (sellers absorbing the buying pressure).
> Action: This invalidates an immediate "buy at market" order. You must wait for the price to clear today's high.
🚀 3. The Fundamental Context (Post-Split Stability)
> Valuation: Since the 1:5 Stock Split in Jan 2025, the stock has stabilized in this ₹800s zone. The current consolidation is a healthy digestion of the post-split gains.
> Catalyst: Recent reports of a stake sale (20% to MUFG) or strategic partnership are keeping the volume elevated. This news flow is the likely driver of the breakout attempt.
🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels
The "Neutral Candle" dictates a Wait & Watch approach.
> 🐂 Bullish Confirmation (The Trigger):
- Condition: A decisive Daily Close above ₹870 .
- Target 1: ₹920 .
- Target 2: ₹970.
> 🐻 Bearish Rejection (The Fakeout):
- Condition: If the stock slips below today’s low ( ~₹855 ).
- Implication: The "Spinning Top" would confirm a short-term top, sending the stock back into the box toward ₹820 .
Conclusion
Technically, the breakout is NOT confirmed yet. The high volume without a strong close is a red flag.
> Strategy: Do not chase here. Wait for a close above ₹870 to confirm that the "churn" has resolved in favor of the bulls.
NIFTY continues in our direction.As expected NIFTY remained weal throughout the day after getting rejected from 26050 level. Now, we don't see any eminent Support that could lead in strong recovery but we may see small upmoves in daily time frame before finally achieving our target so 25500. so, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
XAUUSD (Gold) – 15M | SMC Trade IdeaPrice has delivered a clean impulsive bullish leg, displacing above prior structure and confirming bullish BOS on the 15M timeframe. The move was followed by a brief pause, forming a premium supply reaction, which is now being used as a mitigation entry.
SMC Context
Strong bullish displacement confirms institutional intent
Entry aligned at discount to premium flip after BOS
Stop placed above the protected high to invalidate bullish narrative
Targets aligned with liquidity resting below equal lows / demand zone
Execution Plan
Bias: Short-term sell from premium
Entry: At marked mitigation zone
SL: Above recent high
TP: Liquidity sweep into lower demand zone
RR: Favorable, asymmetric structure






















