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India Indices (4H) — MARAL Execution Workflow (WAIT / SKIP) India Indices (4H)—MARAL Execution Workflow (Technical WAIT/SKIP Example) (NIFTY • SENSEX • BANKNIFTY • CNXFINANCE—educational only, no trade call) These snapshots show an important execution concept: Bullish higher-timeframe context can exist, while execution permission remains OFF. MARAL separates bias (Context Board) from permission (Qualification Gate) and regime/risk (Management Desk). When the gate reads SKIP, the correct action is WAIT—even if the bias looks supportive. 1) What the panels are telling us (same core message across all 4) A) Context Board (Bias & conditions) Common structure: Direction / H1 / H4 / Daily: largely Bullish Structure: Bear Struct (bias vs structure is not aligned) Trend strength (ADX): low-to-moderate (~12–17 zone) → expansion is not confirmed Momentum: mostly Neutral (CNXFINANCE shows BULL, but alignment still mixed) Alignment score: ~50–55 → “not clean enough” for execution by design Scores: long/short often sit in no-trade/borderline zones (example: 50–55 region) Technical read: the macro bias is supportive, but structural and regime conditions are not confirming an executable phase. B) Qualification Gate (Permission layer) Across these charts: SETUP: WAIT LIQUIDITY: Neutral / Low (varies by index) ENTRY PERMISSION: SKIP Technical meaning: even with a bullish context, the system does not permit engagement until structure/regime/alignment improves. C) Management Desk (Regime & risk) Common state: Market Phase: RANGE Obstacle Ahead: NO Exit Pressure: LOW Momentum Health: NEUTRAL Active Window: OFF Technical meaning: range regime + neutral momentum tends to produce rotation/whipsaw behavior, so execution is filtered. 2) Index-by-index (what’s unique in each snapshot) ✅ NIFTY (4H) Context: Bullish, but Structure = Bear Structure, Momentum = Neutral Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = OVEREXTENDED, Active Window OFF Read: bullish backdrop, but execution quality is degraded (overextended + range state), so permission stays SKIP. ✅ SENSEX (4H) Context: Bullish, Bear Structure, Momentum Neutral, ADX moderate Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF Read: bias is bullish, but structure/regime still does not justify execution permission. ✅ BANKNIFTY (4H) Context: Bullish, Bear Structure, Momentum Neutral ADX is weaker (more range/rotation tendency) Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity Neutral Management: RANGE, Score Trend = DETERIORATING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF Read: low trend strength + range regime = permission remains SKIP. ✅ CNXFINANCE (4H) Context: Direction Bullish, but H1 = Neutral (mixed alignment) + Bear Structure Liquidity Context = LOW (risk is lower than “high-liquidity” snapshots, but alignment still mixed.) Gate: WAIT → SKIP, Liquidity LOW Management: RANGE, Score Trend = IMPROVING, Risk State = NORMAL, Active Window OFF Read: improving conditions does not automatically mean “permission.” Structure/alignment still needs to mature. 3) What would typically flip SKIP → Permission (general, not a call) Execution permission is more likely when: Structure realigns with the bullish context (conflict resolves) The market phase shifts from RANGE → EXPANSION Momentum health improves (more stable impulse behavior) Alignment score strengthens and Entry Permission upgrades away from SKIP (Intrabar values can change; bar-close confirmation may be preferred.) Educational only. Not a trading signal. Not financial advice. This is a discretionary decision-support workflow; it does not place orders and does not guarantee outcomes. #NIFTY #SENSEX #BANKNIFTY #CNXFINANCE #MarketStructure #RiskManagement #TradingDiscipline #PriceAction #TradingView
NSE:NIFTY
by MARAL_Execution_Workflow
STRONG UPMOVE in NIFTY! is this a Trap!?As we can NIFTY finally managed to close above 26150 but this doesn't confirms the further continuation of upmove , it could be a potential trap as weekly candle is yet to form and its just a first day. We can see a strong g supply zone around 26200 which NIFTY might break above inviting buyers before finally continuing its fall. Hence for now, I will wait for both weekly candles formation as well as closing above 26200. So, plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NSE:NIFTY
by Kaushalfin
Shriram Fin (D): Cautiously Bullish - Breakout with IndecisionTimeframe: Daily | Scale: Linear The stock has attempted a breakout from a multi-week consolidation range, hitting a new All-Time High. However, the formation of a Neutral Candle on high volume signals a fierce battle between buyers and sellers at the top. The breakout needs confirmation. 📈 1. The Chart Structure (Consolidation) > The Range: The stock has been trapped between ₹820 (Support) and ₹870 (Resistance) . > The Breakout Attempt: Today (Dec 18, 2025), the stock pierced the upper band to hit ₹867.90 . > The Candle: The daily candle closed as a Spinning Top (small body, long wicks). This indicates indecision. Despite the record volume, the bulls failed to close near the day's high, showing supply pressure at ₹870. 📊 2. Volume Analysis (The Warning) > The Spike: Volume of 12.48 Million is huge. > Interpretation: When you see Record Volume + Neutral Candle at resistance, it often means Distribution (sellers absorbing the buying pressure). > Action: This invalidates an immediate "buy at market" order. You must wait for the price to clear today's high. 🚀 3. The Fundamental Context (Post-Split Stability) > Valuation: Since the 1:5 Stock Split in Jan 2025, the stock has stabilized in this ₹800s zone. The current consolidation is a healthy digestion of the post-split gains. > Catalyst: Recent reports of a stake sale (20% to MUFG) or strategic partnership are keeping the volume elevated. This news flow is the likely driver of the breakout attempt. 🎯 4. Future Scenarios & Key Levels The "Neutral Candle" dictates a Wait & Watch approach. > 🐂 Bullish Confirmation (The Trigger): - Condition: A decisive Daily Close above ₹870 . - Target 1: ₹920 . - Target 2: ₹970. > 🐻 Bearish Rejection (The Fakeout): - Condition: If the stock slips below today’s low ( ~₹855 ). - Implication: The "Spinning Top" would confirm a short-term top, sending the stock back into the box toward ₹820 . Conclusion Technically, the breakout is NOT confirmed yet. The high volume without a strong close is a red flag. > Strategy: Do not chase here. Wait for a close above ₹870 to confirm that the "churn" has resolved in favor of the bulls.
NSE:SHRIRAMFIN
by Learn_with_Pth0mas
XAUUSD (Gold) – 15M | SMC Trade IdeaPrice has delivered a clean impulsive bullish leg, displacing above prior structure and confirming bullish BOS on the 15M timeframe. The move was followed by a brief pause, forming a premium supply reaction, which is now being used as a mitigation entry. SMC Context Strong bullish displacement confirms institutional intent Entry aligned at discount to premium flip after BOS Stop placed above the protected high to invalidate bullish narrative Targets aligned with liquidity resting below equal lows / demand zone Execution Plan Bias: Short-term sell from premium Entry: At marked mitigation zone SL: Above recent high TP: Liquidity sweep into lower demand zone RR: Favorable, asymmetric structure
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by YCGH_Capital
2
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [12/12/2025: Friday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 12th of December 2025. The day is Friday. (1) Monthly Time Frame: Red piercing candle. Powerful support is at the level 25700. Level 25700 zone is strong as it was the closing level for the month of October 2025 and the opening level for the month of November 2025. In November, the price broke down the level 25700 but again regained its level above it. Similarly, this month's price touched the level of 25700 and showed strong buying interest. Thus, no shorting till level 25700 is decisively broken. On the contrary, this month's price has only been negative. There is a strong resistance at level 26000. Thus, no bullish trade with conviction until the price starts to trade above the level 26000. The view is indecision. (2) Weekly Time Frame: Looking at the price structure since September 2025, the price is in higher highs and lower-lows structure. It means bullishness is intact, and there is no sign of reversal for now. However, the last 2 weeks have been red. A significant behavior is observable where the price got very strong support from level 25700. Thus, for now, no bearish trade till the price is trading above the level 25700. Short sellers are trapped at the level 25700. On the contrary, bulls are betrayed at the levels 26000 and 25900 repeatedly. Another significant aspect is that price is again trading in the previous consolidation zone. Strong resistance is at level 26000. Strong support is at level 25700. Presently, the view is indecisive. (3) Daily Time Frame: A green candle is formed engulfing bearish candles of the last 2 days. However, the price is in a range-bound consolidation for 3 days. The range is (25950 - 25700). This range is also now a no-trading zone (NTZ). If we combine candles of the last 3 days, then a green dragonfly doji is formed. It might be the sign of both indecision and trend reversal (that is, from bearish to bullish). Strong support is at level 25700. However, strong resistance is at 26000. Presently, the view is indecisive. (4) 30-Minute Time Frame: Technically, the market is broken. There is no sign of a clear trend. Complex correction continues. It is difficult to trade during complex corrections. The head and shoulder (H&S) pattern hypothesis is still on. However, the price showed very strong support at the level of 25700. It is significant that there are no unfilled gaps in the market. The gap in the zone (25750 - 25700) formed before the Bihar election results is filled today. There are no other visible gaps. Considering the price structure since 28 November 2025, the structure of lower lows and lower highs is intact. It means bears are still active. Strong resistance is at level 26000. A bullish signal will emerge when the price starts to form a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000. Presently, the view is indecisive. Bullish Scenario Set-Up: (i) Price sustains above the opening price. (ii) Price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000. Bearish Scenario Set-Up: (i) Price sustains below the opening price. (ii) Price decisively breaks down the level 25700. No Trading Zone (NTZ): (26000 - 25700) Events: No expiries on Friday. Medium impact event - India's November inflation rate is there. Last day of the week. Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insights): (i) Market structure is broken (or cracked). No sign of a clear trend (bullish or bearish). Indecision and complex correction continue. (ii) The view is indecision. This is not the time to indulge in trading. The scenario is best suited for the non-directional traders. (iii) Strong Resistance is at level 26000. Take bullish trades only when the price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the level 26000. (iv) Strong support is at level 25700. Take no bearish trades till price decisively breaks down level 25700. (v) Do not trade in the no trading zone (NTZ) - (26000 - 25700). The market is in a range-bound consolidation. Be cautious. The previous H&S pattern hypothesis is still intact. (vi) It is the last day (Friday) of the week. (vi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources. NOTE: "Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe." Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTY
by deep_bhattacharjee_db
Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis [11/12/2025: Thursday]Top-Down Nifty 50 Price Structure Analysis for 11th December 2025. The day is Thursday. (1) Monthly Time Frame: Red marubozu. Red piercing candle. The green body of the previous month is almost engulfed. It is an inside month so far with a bearish bias. Clear signs of trend reversal. No sign of bullishness. Major resistance is at level 25900. Minor support is at level 25700. The view is indecision to bearish. (2) Weekly Time Frame: Perfect red marubozu after a red hanging man candle. It's a start of a lower lows and lower highs price structure. A clear breakdown of level 25900 confirms a breakdown from 3 weeks of consolidation. Super strong resistance is at level 25900. A minor support is at level 25700. There is no sign of bullishness. There is a high probability of dropping down to the level 25600 and further below. The view is bearish. (3) Daily Time Frame: A clear price structure of lower lows and lower highs is visible. Back-2-back 3 days red candle. Today's candle is an improvisation of red marubozu with a long upper wick. A clear sign of heavy selling pressure. Thus, the market is weak. Super strong resistance is in the zone (25950 - 25900). A minor support is in the zone (25750 - 25700). There is a high probability of the price breaking through the level 25700 to reach the level 25600. There is no sign of bullishness. The view is bearish. (4) 30-Minute Time Frame: A perfect breakdown from a head and shoulder (H&S) pattern. Price structure has also completed a minor pullback structure after breaking the H&S neck by touching the level 25900. Super strong resistance is in the zone (25950 - 25900). Minor support is in the zone (25750 - 25700). There is no sign of bullishness. Thus, there is a high probability of the price breaking down level 25700 to reach level 25600. The view is bearish. Bullish Scenario Set-Up: (i) Price sustains above the opening price. (ii) Price constructs a higher highs and lower lows structure above the zone (25950 - 25900). (iii) There is a very low probability of a bullish scenario. Bearish Scenario Set-Up: (i) Price sustains below the opening price. (ii) Price decisively breaks down level 25700 with a motive of approaching the 25600 level. (iii) There is a very high probability of a bearish scenario. No Trading Zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800) Event: SENSEX weekly expiry plus a high-impact event - FED interest rate decision is on 11/12/2025 (Thursday). Price structure uncertainty is expected. Summary of the Trading Plan (Hypothesis and Insight): (i) The market is clearly bearish. There is no sign of bullishness. Thus, every up move should be doubted. Execute only bearish trades. (ii) SENSEX weekly expiry and the FED interest rate decision might create high price structure uncertainty. The best time to trade is in the second half or the last hour of the day. (iii) A very strong resistance zone is (25950 - 25900). Think of bullish trades only when the price forms a higher highs and lower lows structure above the resistance zone. However, the probability is very low. (iv) Minor support zone is (25750 - 25700). Once price breaks down the level 25700, take bearish trades with the first target to 25600. If the price falls deepens, then the next probable target is 25500. (v) No trading zone (NTZ): (25900 - 25800). (vi) Trade only when either bullish or bearish conditions are fulfilled. Otherwise, don't trade. Protect your resources. NOTE: "Mark your points. Trade your points. Price is God. Anything can happen in the markets. Therefore, trade what you see, not what you believe." Happy Trading!
NSE:NIFTYShort
by deep_bhattacharjee_db
Why Nifty’s Ending Diagonal Turns the Bias BearishAfter my previous bullish take on Nifty (see linked related publications), the view has now flipped. And no — it’s not because the US indices are cracking. And no — it’s not because Bitcoin is collapsing and draining liquidity. Those may add pressure, sure. But the core reason I’m turning bearish is right on the chart — in the structure itself. Daily Chart – Why the Tone Has Changed The key shift came from the overlap at 25,448.95 , which strongly hints that the rally from 24,404.70 unfolded as an ending diagonal , with all five legs subdividing into 3-wave structures (a-b-c). This overlap is what invalidates the impulsive interpretation and turns the structure corrective. That means the entire rise into wave (B) likely finishes a B-wave top , and Nifty may now be moving into wave (C) down. At this point, Nifty could be forming either: An ABC Expanded Flat , or A Running Flat Both are bearish in the short-term and typically resolve with a deeper C-wave. And honestly, there is zero point chasing this market unless we get a decisive close above the ATH — whether on the daily , the weekly , or especially the monthly , which is about to complete and should give a clean directional clue. Until that happens, the risk–reward on fresh longs is questionable. This entire bearish view gets invalidated only if Nifty posts a strong , sustained close above the ATH on higher timeframes. Weekly Chart – Resistance Stack Remains Heavy The weekly structure adds more weight to the bearish bias: Nifty is testing the ATH zone , a major psychological resistance. Price is also hitting the rising trendline , which has already rejected earlier attempts. Both these zones converge right at current levels — not the best place to be aggressive on longs. This is a classic “let the market prove itself” zone. Summary The structure has shifted to corrective due to the ending diagonal overlap. Daily chart suggests an Expanded or Running Flat scenario. Weekly chart shows dual resistance — ATH + rising trendline. No fresh longs unless there’s a clean breakout above ATH on higher timeframes. Monthly candle close will be crucial. Patience > prediction. Let the structure confirm before acting. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by WaveXplorer
2