BANKNIFTY: POSSIBILITY OF RISING WEDGE BREAK DOWN• BN have formed a lower low on higher time timeframe
• There are multiple fundamental good news (GST + Strong global market) hits the market, but the upside is limited
• A clear rising wedge has formed in BN in lower timeframe
• Market is halted near day candle EMA 21.
• Any breakdown of wedge in hour candle could trigger a massive down move.
• T1 : 53500 and T2: 52086
• T1 is tested multiple time hence the support is weak and chance of breakdown of T1 is extremely high.
• Opportunity to short below bottom trendline of the wedge at closer of 1 hour candle below 54656 keeping sl above the candle.
• A possible 1: 9.1 RR.
• Educational purpose only. Enjoy the market.
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
STRONG UPMOVE incoming!!? EXPLAINEDAs we can see NIFTY finally managed to close itself above 25000 level which is a strong SUPPLY ZONE and also a psychological level. Moreover, we can see NIFTY forming a W pattern in bigger time frame which is a strong BULLISH reversal pattern. Hence the more we sustain ourselves above 25000 levels, every dip can be bought for new ATH so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
Yet to break 25000 level for confirmation!!As we can see NIFTY did show some strong move after breaking off from the inverted head and shoulders pattern which was very well expected and analysed in our previous analysis. But despite its strength, It failed to break above 25000 psychological level which also a strong supply zone hence unless we break above 25000 level, we are still unconfirmed about the further up move so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone,
NIFTY getting ready for a strong up move!!??As we can see despite weak opening, it managed to close above our demand zone and also hammer like candle pattern in daily time frame which shows the strength of BULLS. Moreover we can also see more like INVERTED HEAD AND SHOULDERS pattern which shows further signs of bullishness in short term so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NIFTY still strong above 24700!!As we can see NIFTY again got rejected at our trend line resistance as analysed but as it is hitting multiple times, it is getting weaker and despite closing weak, it managed to close above our demand zone showing strength despite showing weakness so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
EXACT REVERSAL from our TRENDLINE! Multiple scenarios explained!As we can see despite opening strong NIFTY fell sharply exactly from our trendline RESISTANCE. Now that despite falling, it managed to close above our demand zone. Hence, as long as we are above 24700, we are still strong. On the other hand we can also see more like an inverted head and shoulders pattern in short term which is showing signs of BULLISHNESS in long run so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
SIGNs of RESPITE!!!?As we can see despite closing weak, NIFTY managed to recover strongly exactly from our demand zone. Now that we have again closed around 24800 levels which is also a DEMAND ZONE turned SUPPLY ZONE. so, unless we close above 24800 and sustain above the same, every dip can be bought keeping SL below the last swing closing basis so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
24350 must be protected!!As we can see NIFTY got rejected exactly from our supply zone as analysed in our previous post which shows weakness of our index but nno confirm bias can be confirmed unless 24350 is protected which can act as an important support so plan your trades accordingly as NIFTY could remain sideways to volatile.
Is the FEAR over!!? EXPLAINED!As we can see NIFTY showed strong pullback after unidirectional fall as analysed in our previous post folllowing the similar structure like in previous swing. Now that it can be seen taking a PULLBACK, we can expect NIFTY to continue its bullishness till its next supply zone and sustaining over that zone can confirm the REVERSAL until then the FEAR stays! So plan your trades accordngly and keep watching everyone.
COMING WEEK's CANDLE is going to be the GAMECHANGER!!as we can see NIFTY formed a strong marabozu candle showing the dominance of bears over bulls. This candle not only gives strength to bears but also weakens the mindset of bulls as making enteries in such falling market would be like catching a falling knife. Hence next WEEKLY candle is going to be very crucial as like previous time, it can take SUPPORT and start REVERSING else it can cause a mayhem in the market so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
NIFTY at MAKE or BREAK level AGAIN!!!
**NIFTY Update**
As expected, NIFTY continued its bearish stride and has now finally parked itself at a key demand zone.
**Why this level matters (24,500):**
- It’s not just a number — it’s a psychological level.
- It’s also a crucial demand zone on both daily and weekly timeframes.
- This zone has been tested multiple times, which makes it weaker with every hit.
**What to watch out for:**
- Ideally, NIFTY should reverse or at least show signs of a reversal from this level.
- But if it fails to hold and sustains below 24,500:
- Panic can trigger quickly.
- A sharp 500+ point slide is highly possible.
- There aren’t any strong supports immediately below this mark.
**Trading takeaway:**
This is a make-or-break zone. Be smart with your positioning and plan trades with precision and discipline.
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WE are heading towards next important SUPPORT!!? OR??As we can see NIFTY fell unidirectionally as soon as it broke 24860 levels exactly as analysed in our previous post. Further, we can see NIFTY has also filled its pending gap. Now that the gap has been filled, any flat to slight weak opening around 24600-24650 levels can show sharp RECOVERY but if it fails to take SUPPORT then we may see another fall towards 24500 levels which is both a psycholoical level and important SUPPORT. SInce this psychological level has not been tested much, so we can expect RECOVERY BUTTTT if it FAILS to take SUPPORT at this level then we may see a MAYHEM or another BLOODBATH below this level so keep watching everyone and plan your trades accordingly.
NIFTY still looks WEAK!!As we can see despite the strong opening, it couldnt sustain itself above the supply zone and fell closing in neutral bias. Based on our previous analysis, we can still expect NIFTY to fall unidirectionally if it couldnt close above psychological level so plan your trades accordingly and keep watching everyone.
BIG GAP needs to be filled!! MORE downside??As we can see NIFTY showed unidirectional downfall exactly from our trendline RESISTANCE exactly as analysed and we analysed it through the previous day closing of the candle. Now we can see a big gap that needs to be filled below 24860, hence we might see a trap before finally filling in the GAP below which is almost 200 point. SO, one can plan their trades if following criteria is met
Happiest Minds: Charting a Course Through Digital TransformationThis is not just another stock; it's an opportunity to invest in the future of technology. Happiest Minds is on the front lines of the digital revolution, turning complex tech into seamless solutions for businesses worldwide.
Technical Analysis
The provided monthly chart shows that the stock is currently in a downward trend. The price has been following a well-defined downward trend line since its peak. However, it is now at a crucial level, having reached and reacted from a key monthly demand zone (support level). A sustained bounce from this level, coupled with a potential breakout above the downward trend line, could signal a reversal in the short-term trend.
Investment Highlights (The Bull Case)
* Pioneering Digital-First Model: The company’s core business is focused on next-gen services like Cloud, IoT, and Cybersecurity, making it a pure-play in the digital transformation space. This model positions it for long-term growth as enterprises continue to increase their digital spending.
* Strategic Focus on AI: Happiest Minds has proactively established a dedicated Generative AI Business Unit. This forward-looking approach positions it to capture a share of the rapidly growing AI services market, which is a key growth driver for the entire IT sector.
* Experienced Management & Clear Vision: Led by a seasoned management team, the company has a well-defined strategic roadmap, including a stated goal of reaching $1 billion in revenue by 2031. This provides a clear, long-term growth narrative for investors.
Key Risks & Concerns (The Bear Case)
* Growth and Margin Headwinds: Recent financial results indicate a sequential slowdown in growth and pressure on profitability. If the company fails to reverse this trend, its high valuation becomes difficult to justify.
* Premium Valuation: Despite the recent stock correction, the company continues to command a premium valuation compared to its peers. Its high P/E ratio implies significant future growth is already priced in, leaving little margin for error.
* Macroeconomic Environment: The broader IT services sector is facing a cautious global spending environment. This can impact new deal wins and client spending, posing a direct risk to Happiest Minds’ ability to secure future growth.
Conclusion
Happiest Minds stands at a pivotal point. While the company's long-term fundamental story remains compelling, a cautious stance is warranted due to near-term business headwinds and a demanding valuation. For those with a higher risk tolerance, the stock’s current position at a critical technical support level presents a potential short-term opportunity for a well-managed swing trade.
Another RESISTANCE coming UP!!?As we can see NIFTY seems to have broken out of psychological level of 25000 but we can see it is heading towards important trendline resistance hence until and unless we see NIFTY sustaining itself above that trendline with weekly candle close, it can result in false breakout and fall sharply. SO, one shoudl keep these in mind and plan their trades accordingly