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Cupid: Past Multibagger Forming Rounding Bottom BreakoutFrom ₹10 to ₹150: How CUPID Stock Became a Multibagger Dream and What's Next. Let's analyse and Deep Dive into my Chart of the Week Idea. Price Action Analysis: Long-term Trend Analysis: - Primary Trend: Strongly bullish multi-year uptrend since 2023 - Trend Structure: Classic accumulation-markup-distribution pattern visible - Price Progression: Massive rally from ₹10 levels in 2023 to ₹145+ levels - Current Phase: Potential early stage of renewed markup phase after consolidation Volume Spread Analysis: Volume Profile Assessment: - Accumulation Phases: High volume during the 2023-2024 markup phase - Distribution Evidence: Volume spike during 2024 highs suggesting profit-taking - Current Volume: Recent volume expansion (74.46M) confirming breakout momentum - Volume Trend: Healthy volume participation during the current breakout phase Volume-Price Relationship: - Positive Correlation: Rising prices accompanied by expanding volume - Breakout Validation: Current breakout supported by above-average volume - Distribution Concerns: Previous high volume at peaks indicated selling pressure Key Price Levels: Support Levels: - Immediate Support: ₹95-100 (recent consolidation base) - Critical Support: ₹80-85 (previous resistance turned support) - Major Support: ₹65-70 (rectangle pattern lower boundary) - Ultimate Support: ₹50-55 (long-term trend line support) Resistance Levels: - Key Resistance: ₹145-150 (previous highs) - Major Resistance: ₹150-155 - Target Extension: ₹170-180 (measured move projection) Technical Indicators Assessment: Trend Indicators: - Moving Averages: Price clearly above major moving averages, indicatinga bullish bias - Trend Strength: Strong upward trajectory since the consolidation base - Momentum: Building positive momentum after prolonged consolidation Trade Setup & Strategy: Primary Long Setup: - Entry Strategy: Buy on dips to ₹115-120 support zone - Confirmation: Entry above ₹145 for momentum traders Alternative Strategies: Conservative Approach: - Entry: Wait for pullback to ₹100-105 levels - Timeframe: Medium to long-term holding period (Weekly Charts) - Risk Profile: Lower risk, moderate reward Aggressive Approach: - Entry: Immediate entry at current levels (₹145) - Timeframe: Short to medium-term momentum play (Daily Charts) - Risk Profile: Higher risk, higher reward potential Entry and Exit Levels: Entry Zones: - Zone 1: ₹115-120 (Primary entry for dip buyers) - Zone 2: ₹145-150 (Momentum breakout entry) - Zone 3: ₹100-105 (Deep pullback opportunity) Target Levels: - Target 1: ₹150-155 (Short-term objective) - Target 2: ₹160-165 (Medium-term target based on pattern) - Target 3: ₹180-190 (Long-term extension target) - Ultimate Target: ₹200+ (Bull market extension) Exit Strategy: - Profit Booking: Book 30% at Target 1, 40% at Target 2, and the remaining at Target 3 - Trailing Stop: Implement trailing stop-loss above ₹140 - Time Stop: Review position if targets are not achieved in 8-12 months Stop-Loss Strategy: Stop-Loss Levels: - Aggressive Stop: ₹110 (for entries around ₹120) - Moderate Stop: ₹100 (for swing traders) - Conservative Stop: ₹85 (for long-term investors) Stop-Loss Management: - Initial Risk: Limit to 8-10% of the entry price - Trailing Mechanism: Move stop-loss to breakeven after 15% gains - Pattern Stop: Below ₹95 invalidates the breakout setup - Time-based Stop: Exit if below ₹110 for more than 2 weeks Position Sizing & Risk Management: Position Sizing Guidelines: - Conservative Investors: 2-3% of portfolio - Moderate Risk Takers: 4-5% of portfolio - Aggressive Traders: 6-8% of portfolio (maximum) - Sectoral Exposure: Limit total pharma/healthcare exposure to 15-20% Risk Management Framework: - Maximum Loss: Limit loss to 2% of total portfolio per trade - Diversification: Don't concentrate more than 10% in a single stock - Sector Allocation: Balance with other defensive sectors - Time Diversification: Stagger entries over 2-3 weeks Portfolio Integration: - Correlation Check: Monitor correlation with other pharma stocks - Sector Rotation: Consider the pharma sector cycle and rotation - Market Cap Allocation: Balance small-cap exposure with large-caps - Liquidity Consideration: Account for small-cap liquidity constraints Risk Assessment: Technical Risks: - Failed Breakout: Risk of false breakout below ₹115 - Distribution Pattern: High volume at peaks may indicate selling - Overbought Conditions: Rapid rise may lead to consolidation - Support Breakdown: Break below ₹95 would be technically negative Fundamental Risks: - Valuation Concerns: High PE ratio of 96+ indicates premium valuation - Sales Decline: The Recent 7% sales decline raises growth concerns - Sector Competition: Increasing competition in the contraceptive market - Regulatory Changes: Healthcare sector regulatory modifications Market Risks: - Small-Cap Volatility: Higher volatility compared to large-caps - Liquidity Risk: Potential liquidity issues during market stress - Sentiment Risk: Healthcare sector sentiment shifts - Global Economic: Impact of global economic conditions on exports Company Overview & Fundamental Backdrop: Business Profile: - NSE:CUPID is India's premier manufacturer of male and female condoms, personal lubricant, and IVD kits, established in 1993 - The company manufactures and exports contraceptives, including male and female condoms, and medical devices, with a focus on sexual health and reproductive safety, serving both domestic and international markets, supplying high-quality products to governments and NGOs - Market capitalization: ₹3,940 crores as of July 2025, classified as a Small Cap company Financial Performance: - Current valuation metrics: PE ratio of 96.3 and PB ratio of 11.5 - Recent performance: Sales declined by 7.24% to Rs 61 crore in Q4 FY25 versus Rs 66 crore in Q4 FY24; however, net profit rose 2.71% to Rs 41 crore for FY25 - Long-term returns: The stock has delivered 133% returns in the last 3 years Sectoral Growth Outlook: - The Indian contraceptive devices market is expected to grow at a CAGR of 6.2-6.3% from 2025 to 2030 - Market size estimated at USD 264.01 million in 2025, expected to reach USD 377.61 million by 2030, at a CAGR of 7.42% - India's pharmaceutical sector aims to grow from the current US$50 billion to US$450 billion by 2047, with India being the 3rd largest producer of drugs globally Monitoring Parameters: What to Look Closely at Technically? - Weekly Close: Monitor weekly closes above ₹115 for trend continuation - Volume Trends: Watch for volume expansion on up-moves - Relative Strength: Compare performance with the Nifty Healthcare Index What to Look Closely at Fundamentally? - Quarterly Results: Track revenue growth and margin expansion - Order Book: Monitor new contract wins and export orders - Sector Trends: Keep track of contraceptive market growth - Management Commentary: Follow management guidance and outlook Now, when to exit? - Technical Breakdown: Close below ₹95 for two consecutive days - Volume Reversal: High volume selling at resistance levels - Fundamental Deterioration: Significant decline in business metrics - Sector Weakness: Broad-based healthcare sector underperformance So, My Take: NSE:CUPID presents a compelling technical setup with a confirmed breakout from a year-long consolidation pattern. The stock has transformed from a ₹10 stock to a multibagger, and current technical indicators suggest potential for further upside. However, premium valuation and recent sales decline warrant careful risk management. The trade offers an attractive risk-reward profile for investors willing to accept small-cap volatility in exchange for participation in a growing healthcare subsector. Keep in the Watchlist and DOYR. NO RECO. For Buy/Sell. 📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable. 🙏FOLLOW for more 👍BOOST if you found it useful. ✍️COMMENT below with your views. Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas on the right side until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback. Disclaimer: "I am not a SEBI REGISTERED RESEARCH ANALYST AND INVESTMENT ADVISER." This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NSE:CUPIDLong
by Karanshah137
18
Smartworks: From IPO Buzz to Breakout ZoneNSE:SMARTWORKS 📊 Technical Analysis (Daily & Weekly Chart) Trend: After listing in Aug 2025 around ₹407, the stock corrected to ~₹393 and then staged a strong rally towards ₹480. Currently consolidating near recent highs. Current Price: ₹476.05 Resistance Levels: ₹480–₹490 (immediate supply zone) ₹520–₹550 (next major resistance) Support Levels: ₹460 (short-term support) ₹420 (major support / breakout retest zone) Chart Structure: Stock is forming a short-term bullish structure with higher highs and higher lows since early Aug. A weekly close above ₹490 may trigger continuation rally. View: Sustaining above ₹490 can open upside towards ₹520–₹550; failure to cross may lead to pullback towards ₹460–₹420 support zone. 🏭 Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Smartworks is India’s leading managed office space provider, offering flexible workspaces to corporates. Operates on a “space-as-a-service” model—leasing large commercial spaces, customizing, and sub-leasing to enterprises. Growth Drivers: Rising demand for flexible office spaces post-pandemic. Corporate shift towards asset-light models. Strong tailwinds from India’s IT, startup, and service sector growth. Expansion across Tier-1 & Tier-2 cities. Financials (FY25 & Q1 FY26): (approximate) Revenue FY25: ~₹1,374 Cr (38.9% CAGR over 2 years). EBITDA FY25: ~₹172 Cr (117% CAGR). Net Loss FY25: ~₹63 Cr (loss narrowing). Q1 FY26: Revenue ~₹379 Cr; Net Loss ~₹4 Cr (showing progress toward breakeven). Market Cap: ~₹5,200 Cr. Strengths: Fastest-growing flexible office provider in India. Strong corporate client base (enterprise-focused, not just startups). Expanding in sync with India’s office demand cycle. High revenue growth with improving operating margins. Risks: Still loss-making; breakeven depends on occupancy/utilization. Highly competitive industry (WeWork, Awfis, IndiQube). Lease liability-heavy model exposes risk during demand slowdowns. Valuation expensive (P/B ~9x, negative P/E). 🎯 Conclusion Technical View: Stock near crucial resistance ₹480–₹490. Breakout with volume can take it towards ₹520–₹550. Support at ₹460 / ₹420. Fundamental View: Strong revenue growth and improving margins; leadership in flexible workspace model. IPO proceeds support expansion & debt reduction. Profitability is the key monitorable. 👉 Investor Stance: Investors: Can accumulate gradually for long-term play on India’s office demand & corporate workspace outsourcing trend. Needs patience till profitability. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:SMARTWORKSLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
SHANGVIMOV : Heavy Lifter of India’s Infra GrowthNSE:SANGHVIMOV 📊 Technical Analysis (Weekly Chart) Trend: After a steep fall from ~₹800 (2024 highs) to ~₹200 (2025 lows), the stock has been consolidating and is now attempting to break out of resistance near ₹350–₹360. Current Price: ₹334.25 Resistance Levels: ₹350–₹360 (immediate supply zone, highlighted in your chart) ₹420–₹450 (next major resistance) Support Levels: ₹300 (short-term support) ₹250 (major support, bottom zone) Chart Structure: Formation of a rounding base; breakout above ₹360 on weekly closing can trigger momentum rally. View: If price sustains above ₹360, potential upside towards ₹420–₹450; failure to break may lead to retest of ₹300. 🏭 Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Sanghvi Movers Ltd is India’s largest crane rental company and among the top 10 globally. Provides heavy-lift, engineered transport & installation services, especially to wind energy, power, steel, cement, refinery, and infrastructure projects. Growth Drivers: Renewable energy push (especially wind and solar projects requiring heavy cranes). Infrastructure growth under government’s capex focus. Demand from steel, cement, oil & gas projects. Financials (Latest FY24/25) (approximate): Revenue: ~₹650–700 Cr. Net Profit: ~₹120–130 Cr (steady growth). Debt levels moderate; improved operating margins due to higher utilization of crane fleet. Strengths: Market leader with strong fleet of high-capacity cranes. Asset-heavy model creates strong entry barriers. Benefits from India’s renewable & infra capex cycle. Risks: Cyclical industry – earnings depend on capex cycles. High capital expenditure (maintenance, fleet expansion). Order inflow variability. 🎯 Conclusion Technical View: Stock is at a crucial resistance zone (₹350–₹360). A breakout with volume could take it to ₹420–₹450. Support at ₹300. Fundamental View: Strong long-term player in crane rental, directly benefiting from infra & renewable boom. Earnings visibility is improving with higher crane utilization. 👉 Investor Stance: Investors: Long-term accumulation is possible; positioned well in the infra/renewable growth cycle, though cyclicality risk exists. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:SANGHVIMOVLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
Olectra Greentech – The Silent EV Multibagger in MakingNSE:OLECTRA 📊 Technical Analysis (Weekly Chart) Trend: The stock had a steep fall from ~₹1,800 (2024 highs) to ~₹1,000 (2025 lows). It has since formed a rounded bottom and is showing signs of reversal. Current Price: ₹1,528.80 Resistance Levels: ₹1,600 (immediate resistance) ₹1,800 (major breakout level) Support Levels: ₹1,400 (nearby support) ₹1,200 (major support, recent bottom area) Indicators: Momentum improving with strong green candles and higher lows. Weekly structure suggests accumulation and potential trend reversal. View: If stock sustains above ₹1,600, it can retest ₹1,800–₹2,000 in medium term. 🏭 Fundamental Analysis Business Model: Olectra Greentech is India’s largest electric bus manufacturer, part of MEIL (Megha Engineering). It also works on tippers, EV trucks, and composite insulators. Growth Drivers: Government’s push for EV adoption in public transport (FAME-II scheme). High demand for electric buses from state transport corporations. Strong backing from parent MEIL ensures execution capacity. Financials (Latest FY24/25) (approximate): Revenue: ~₹1,300–1,400 Cr (growing rapidly with order wins). Profit: Still moderate due to high R&D and capex. Order Book: Over ₹12,000+ Cr, ensuring visibility for next 3–4 years. Strengths: Market leader in EV bus space. Rising government contracts. First-mover advantage. Risks: Execution delays (delivery timelines). Intense competition from Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland. Margin pressure due to high input and battery costs. 🎯 Conclusion Technical View: Bullish reversal forming. Sustaining above ₹1,600 can lead to ₹1,800–₹2,000. Strong support at ₹1,200. Fundamental View: Strong long-term growth story in India’s EV transition, backed by large order book and government support. Near-term volatility possible, but structurally a good EV play. 👉 Investor Stance: Investors: Accumulate gradually for 3–5 years; could be a multibagger if execution sustains. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:OLECTRALong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
SJS Enterprises: The Silent Multi-bagger in the Making ??NSE:SJS 📌 SJS Enterprises Ltd. – Detailed Analysis Report 1. Company Overview Leading decorative aesthetics solutions provider (decals, overlays, 3D appliqués, badges, domes). Serves automotive, consumer appliances, and healthcare sectors. Manufacturing in Bengaluru & Pune with exports to Europe, North America, Latin America, and ASEAN. Strong OEM relationships and quality certifications. 2. Financial Performance Revenue Growth: ₹370 Cr (FY22) → ₹760 Cr (FY25), CAGR ~26%. Net Profit: ₹55 Cr (FY22) → ₹119 Cr (FY25), CAGR ~29%. Margins: Stable ~15–16%. Return Ratios: ROE ~18%, ROCE ~17%. Debt Levels: Virtually debt-free. 3. Valuation Snapshot Current Price: ~₹1,330. P/E ~30x, P/B 5.5x → slightly expensive vs. fair value (₹950–1,000). Analysts remain bullish with targets between ₹1,400–1,700. 4. Technical View The stock recently broke out near ₹1,350 with strong momentum (+43% in last 6 months). Support zone: ₹1,150–1,200. Resistance: ₹1,350–1,400; breakout above could lead to ₹1,500+. 5. SWOT & Growth Prospects Strengths: Diversified portfolio, strong financials, global reach, debt-free balance sheet. Weakness: Expensive valuation, low dividend yield. Opportunities: EV adoption, growth in appliances & healthcare aesthetics, acquisitions boosting scale. Threats: Auto sector cyclicality, raw material cost pressures. 6. 3-Year Price Projection Bull Case: ₹2,500–2,800 (23–27% CAGR) – if high growth and premium valuation sustain. Base Case: ₹1,950–2,100 (13–16% CAGR) – steady growth with fair valuation. Bear Case: ₹1,400–1,500 (1–4% CAGR) – slower growth and valuation compression. 7. Conclusion SJS Enterprises is a high-quality, growth-oriented company with strong fundamentals, global presence, and minimal debt. Valuations are stretched, but long-term demand from EVs, appliances, and healthcare supports growth. Long-term investors: Can hold for potential multibagger returns. New investors: Best to enter on dips near ₹1,200–1,250. Traders: Momentum above ₹1,400 can drive near-term rally toward ₹1,500+. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:SJSLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
JSW-INFRA : Powering India’s Port Revolution – A Deep Dive into NSE:JSWINFRA JSW Infrastructure Ltd. 🧾 Company Overview Role: JSW Infrastructure is India's second-largest commercial port operator (after Adani Ports), and forms a core part of the JSW Group. Operations: The company manages and operates major ports across both the east and west coastlines of India. Revenue Streams: Primarily driven by port operations (handling bulk, breakbulk, containerized cargo), as well as integrated logistics services. 📊 FY24 Financial Snapshot Revenue ₹3,200+Cr EBITDA Margin 55–60% Net Profit ₹750+Cr Debt to Equity ~0.6x ROCE ~15% ROE ~13% Positive aspects: Asset Turnover Strong Double-digit revenue CAGR (>20%) over the past three years. High EBITDA margins consistent with best-in-class infra businesses. Well-diversified cargo and customer profile, with increasing non-JSW business. Stable long-term contracts & beneficiary of India’s logistics and trade reforms. Risks / Weaknesses: ~70% revenue is from group companies, though diversification is underway. Aggressive capex plans elevate financial risk. Susceptible to regulatory, tariff, and environmental compliance changes. 📈 Technical Analysis (July 2025) • Share Price: Trading in the ₹260–₹280 range. IPO was at ₹119 (Sep 2023); strong price appreciation since listing. • Trend: Intact uptrend; recently consolidated between ₹240–₹260. • Support/Resistance: Key support at ₹230–₹235; resistance at ₹285–₹300. • Moving Averages: Stock remains above both its 50-EMA and 200-EMA — a structurally bullish indicator. • Momentum: o RSI: 60–65 (bullish, but approaching overbought) o MACD: Fresh bullish crossover; volume shows accumulation near breakout. • Outlook: Breakout above ₹285 could trigger medium-term upside toward ₹320–₹340. Buy-on-dips is favored, with strong accumulation likely in the ₹230–₹240 zone. 🚀 Growth Prospects & Strategic Moves • Capacity Expansion: Plans to nearly double port capacity by FY30 (from ~160 MTPA to ~300 MTPA). • Cargo Diversification: Targeting major reduction of group dependency (from ~70% to ~50%) by growing third-party cargo traffic. • New Projects: Investment pipeline includes both greenfield and brownfield projects in Odisha, Maharashtra, and other states. • Integrated Logistics: Deeper backward integration into rail connectivity and warehousing to capture higher value from logistics value chain. • Macro Tailwinds o Major government initiatives (e.g., Sagarmala) catalyzing sector growth. o India’s trade/exports rising; strong outlook for cargo and container volumes. o Shifts in supply chains to coastal shipping and blended logistics. o Demand uptrend in containerization and warehousing services. ⚠️ Key Risks & Limitations • High Capex Cycle: Expansion could elevate debt and financial leverage. • Macro Sensitivity: Lower industrial/output growth would hit cargo volumes. • Regulatory Overhang: Tariff and ESG regulations present chronic uncertainty. • Group Concentration: Third-party cargo growth remains an execution challenge. • Rivalry: Competitive intensity from Adani, DP World, and others is ramping up. 📌 Conclusion & Investment Verdict Parameter Verdict Fundamentals Strong, superior margins, efficient operations Valuation Fair to premium (due to uptrend and growth) Technical Trend Bullish, ready for potential breakout Growth Outlook High (supported by sector tailwinds) Risk Profile Moderate (driven by capex & regulatory factors) For long-term investors: JSW Infra presents a compelling case for portfolio inclusion, offering robust growth visibility, sectoral leadership, and operating excellence. Accumulation is best near ₹230–₹240 on dips. Short-term view: Stocks in strong uptrends may see minor corrections but are well-placed for fresh breakouts above ₹285, targeting ₹320–₹340. The stock is ideal for investors seeking infrastructure-sector exposure with high growth potential, but one must remain mindful of execution and regulatory risks. ============================== ============================== ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ======================== Update idea Add note Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik Also on: Disclaimer The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use. English ‎(India)‎ Select market data provided by ICE Data services. Select reference data provided by FactSet. Copyright © 2025 FactSet Research Systems Inc. © 2025 TradingView, Inc. More than a product Supercharts Screeners Stocks ETFs Bonds Crypto coins CEX pairs DEX pairs Pine Heatmaps Stocks ETFs Crypto Calendars Economic Earnings Dividends More products Yield Curves Options News Flow Pine Script® Apps Mobile Desktop Tools & subscriptions Features Pricing Market data Trading Overview Brokers Special offers CME Group futures Eurex futures US stocks bundle About company Who we are Athletes Blog Careers Media kit Merch TradingView store Tarot cards for traders The C63 TradeTime Policies & security Terms of Use Disclaimer Privacy Policy Cookies Policy Accessibility Statement Security tips Bug Bounty program Status page Community Social network Wall of Love Refer a friend House Rules Moderators Ideas Trading Education Editors' picks Pine Script Indicators & strategies Wizards Freelancers Business solutions Widgets Charting libraries Lightweight Charts™ Advanced Charts Trading Platform Growth opportunities Advertising Brokerage integration Partner program Education program Look First HDFC BANK LTD NSE•Real-time•Market closed Edit Idea Minimize Close JSW INFRA : Powering India’s Port Revolution – A Deep Dive into NSE:JSWINFRA JSW Infrastructure Ltd. 🧾 Company Overview Role: JSW Infrastructure is India's second-largest commercial port operator (after Adani Ports), and forms a core part of the JSW Group. Operations: The company manages and operates major ports across both the east and west coastlines of India. Revenue Streams: Primarily driven by port operations (handling bulk, breakbulk, containerized cargo), as well as integrated logistics services. 📊 FY24 Financial Snapshot Revenue ₹3,200+Cr EBITDA Margin 55–60% Net Profit ₹750+Cr Debt to Equity ~0.6x ROCE ~15% ROE ~13% Positive aspects: Asset Turnover Strong Double-digit revenue CAGR (>20%) over the past three years. High EBITDA margins consistent with best-in-class infra businesses. Well-diversified cargo and customer profile, with increasing non-JSW business. Stable long-term contracts & beneficiary of India’s logistics and trade reforms. Risks / Weaknesses: ~70% revenue is from group companies, though diversification is underway. Aggressive capex plans elevate financial risk. Susceptible to regulatory, tariff, and environmental compliance changes. 📈 Technical Analysis (July 2025) • Share Price: Trading in the ₹260–₹280 range. IPO was at ₹119 (Sep 2023); strong price appreciation since listing. • Trend: Intact uptrend; recently consolidated between ₹240–₹260. • Support/Resistance: Key support at ₹230–₹235; resistance at ₹285–₹300. • Moving Averages: Stock remains above both its 50-EMA and 200-EMA — a structurally bullish indicator. • Momentum: o RSI: 60–65 (bullish, but approaching overbought) o MACD: Fresh bullish crossover; volume shows accumulation near breakout. • Outlook: Breakout above ₹285 could trigger medium-term upside toward ₹320–₹340. Buy-on-dips is favored, with strong accumulation likely in the ₹230–₹240 zone. 🚀 Growth Prospects & Strategic Moves • Capacity Expansion: Plans to nearly double port capacity by FY30 (from ~160 MTPA to ~300 MTPA). • Cargo Diversification: Targeting major reduction of group dependency (from ~70% to ~50%) by growing third-party cargo traffic. • New Projects: Investment pipeline includes both greenfield and brownfield projects in Odisha, Maharashtra, and other states. • Integrated Logistics: Deeper backward integration into rail connectivity and warehousing to capture higher value from logistics value chain. • Macro Tailwinds o Major government initiatives (e.g., Sagarmala) catalyzing sector growth. o India’s trade/exports rising; strong outlook for cargo and container volumes. o Shifts in supply chains to coastal shipping and blended logistics. o Demand uptrend in containerization and warehousing services. ⚠️ Key Risks & Limitations • High Capex Cycle: Expansion could elevate debt and financial leverage. • Macro Sensitivity: Lower industrial/output growth would hit cargo volumes. • Regulatory Overhang: Tariff and ESG regulations present chronic uncertainty. • Group Concentration: Third-party cargo growth remains an execution challenge. • Rivalry: Competitive intensity from Adani, DP World, and others is ramping up. 📌 Conclusion & Investment Verdict Parameter Verdict Fundamentals Strong, superior margins, efficient operations Valuation Fair to premium (due to uptrend and growth) Technical Trend Bullish, ready for potential breakout Growth Outlook High (supported by sector tailwinds) Risk Profile Moderate (driven by capex & regulatory factors) For long-term investors: JSW Infra presents a compelling case for portfolio inclusion, offering robust growth visibility, sectoral leadership, and operating excellence. Accumulation is best near ₹230–₹240 on dips. Short-term view: Stocks in strong uptrends may see minor corrections but are well-placed for fresh breakouts above ₹285, targeting ₹320–₹340. The stock is ideal for investors seeking infrastructure-sector exposure with high growth potential, but one must remain mindful of execution and regulatory risks. ============================== ============================== ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:JSWINFRALong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
SWIGGY : Next Multi-bagger ??NSE:SWIGGY 🚀 SWIGGY LTD – Combined Technical + Fundamental Analysis As of: 24 July 2025 | CMP: ₹420.50 | 📈 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 🔷 Pattern: Cup and Handle Breakout Cup & Handle pattern completed over 5 months (Feb–July 2025) Breakout Level: ₹409 (marked horizontal resistance) CMP: ₹420.50 — breakout confirmed with strong volume Cup Depth: ₹409 – ₹285 = ₹124 🔍 Indicators & Price Action: Price vs 50 EMA ✅ Above (bullish short-term trend) Price vs 200 EMA ✅ Above (bullish long-term trend) Volume ✅ Breakout confirmed with surge RSI ~63 (strong but not overbought) 🔧 Key Levels: Support Resistance Swing Target ₹409 (Breakout retest) ₹445 / ₹480 ₹533 (measured move) Technical Verdict: Bullish breakout from a long base. With volume confirmation and improving fundamentals, Swiggy is poised for a multi-week rally. ======================================= 📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS 📈 1. Revenue Growth Swiggy has shown consistent and impressive topline expansion over the past 3 years: Financial Year Revenue (₹ Cr) YoY Growth FY22 ₹5,705 – FY23 ₹8,265 +45% FY24 ₹11,115 +34% FY25 (Est.) ₹14,500 +30% est. Growth Drivers: 🚀 Instamart (Grocery) – fastest-growing vertical 🍽️ Food Delivery – steady in Tier I, expanding in Tier II/III 📍 Strong presence in metros, improving reach in smaller cities 💰 2. Profit Trajectory Swiggy was known for heavy cash burn pre-IPO, but is now nearing profitability: Financial Year Net Profit/Loss (₹ Cr) EBITDA (₹ Cr) FY23 -₹4,179 -₹3,363 FY24 -₹1,482 -₹1,115 FY25 (Est.) +₹75 (Profit) +₹350 📉 Losses reduced by over 60% in 12 months 🔁 EBITDA-positive since Q4 FY25 — a major turning point 🛠️ Cost control, reduced discounting, and Instamart’s scale driving margin growth 🌱 3. Future Growth Prospects Swiggy is now strategically positioned to capture multiple long-term themes: Segment Outlook Comments Instamart 🌟 High Growth 60%+ YoY growth, core revenue driver by FY26 Food Delivery 🔁 Steady to Moderate Strong in metros; Tier II/III scaling slowly Dineout + Genie 🧊 Low Growth Not major contributors, but strengthen ecosystem New Revenue 🧠 Ads, cloud kitchens High-margin potential in FY26/FY27 🧾 IPO proceeds deployed into logistics & tech infra (no major debt) 📈 Possible MSCI/Nifty Next 50 inclusion in FY26 🔓 Optionality: Entry into fintech/payments, loyalty programs, and dark kitchens 🔚 COMBINED VIEW – TECHNICAL + FUNDAMENTAL Technical Pattern ✅ Cup & Handle breakout at ₹409 Revenue Trend ✅ Strong CAGR ~36% Profit Outlook ✅ Profitability by FY25 end Future Potential ✅ High – Instamart + Ads + Tier-II expansion Risk ⚠️ Valuation premium + ONDC threat remains ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:SWIGGYLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
REC LTD : PSU Power Stock at a Major Demand Zone..NSE:RECLTD 🔍 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 1. Trend Overview Primary Trend: Long-term bullish trend from late 2022 to early 2024, followed by a correction. Current Trend: Consolidation in a sideways range after a correction from ₹644.70 to ₹400. 2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels From ₹91.40 (low) to ₹644.70 (high): 50% level: ₹368.05 ✅ Price is hovering slightly above this. 61.8% Golden Ratio: ₹302.75 ✅ Strong demand zone. These levels act as major support zones. 3. Support and Demand Zone The shaded blue region (₹302–₹368) represents a strong demand zone with confluence from both: Historical price action support. Fibonacci 50–61.8% retracement levels. Price bounced near this zone previously, indicating institutional interest. 4. Price Structure Price has formed a higher low near ₹368 and is now consolidating between ₹390–₹410. Sideways candles suggest low volatility accumulation, which can precede a breakout. 5. Volume Analysis Volume has declined significantly since the top. A small spike in volume during the bounce from the 50–61.8% zone hints at smart money accumulation. Need confirmation with rising volume and bullish breakout above ₹420. 6. Key Technical Levels Resistance (Swing High) ₹644.70 Intermediate Resistance ₹420–₹440 Current Price ₹400.00 Support Zone ₹368–₹302 ============================ 📊 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS ============================ 1. Business Overview REC Ltd (Rural Electrification Corporation Ltd) is a Navratna PSU under the Ministry of Power. Primarily lends to power generation, transmission, and distribution projects. Also active in green energy, infrastructure & smart metering – aligned with India’s energy transition goals. 2. Financial Highlights (as of FY24-25) Market Cap ₹1.05 Lakh Crore (approx) P/E Ratio ~6.5x Dividend Yield ~5.8% ROE ~21% Net Profit (FY24) ₹13,500+ Cr (growing YoY) Gross NPA < 2% Loan Book > ₹4.5 Lakh Cr Consistent profit growth, strong asset quality, and high dividend yield make it a fundamentally sound stock. 3. Growth Drivers Increased electrification & infrastructure projects. Government's push for smart metering & green energy. REC is also diversifying into non-power infra (railways, logistics, roads). 4. Valuation At ₹400, stock is still undervalued based on fundamentals. P/B and P/E both suggest attractive levels compared to historical averages and PSU peers. 5. Risks Rising interest rates may affect lending margins. PSU discounts can lead to slower rerating despite strong financials. Political and regulatory risks. 🔄 Technical + Fundamental Confluence 📉 Price Correction: Healthy retracement near 50–61.8% zone = good entry for long-term investors. 🏗️ Strong Fundamentals: Profitable, growing book, high ROE, and PSU tailwinds. 🧠 Smart Money Activity: Signs of accumulation + base formation in key demand zone. 📈 Upside Potential: If ₹420–440 breaks out, REC could retest ₹520–600 in the medium term. 📝 Conclusion & Strategy ➕ Positives Technically in a strong demand zone. Fundamentally solid with high dividends and low valuation. Smart money possibly accumulating. ⚠️ Caution Wait for breakout above ₹420 with volume for confirmation. Keep stop-loss below ₹368 (50% retracement) for swing trades. 💡 Investor Strategy Investors: Accumulate in dips between ₹370–₹400 for long-term. Traders: Buy breakout above ₹420 with target ₹480–₹520; SL: ₹388. =================================================================== ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:RECLTDLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
PEL : Is this just a breakout… or start of a multi-bagger move?NSE:PEL 🔍 Technical Analysis (Chart-Based) 📌 Pattern: Cup and Handle Breakout clearly visible Strong breakout above ₹1,197.80 neckline Brief retracement after rally, likely testing ₹1,272.25 as support 📊 Key Levels: Immediate Support: ₹1,272.25 (could act as a bullish retest) Major Support: ₹1,197.80 (neckline of the cup and handle) Resistance Zone: ₹1,360–1,400 (potential target zone post breakout) 🔄 Indicators & Momentum: A strong bullish trend confirmed with higher highs and higher lows Volume during breakout likely high (needs confirmation) If price respects ₹1,272 and reverses, fresh upmove possible 🎯 Technical Summary: Trend: Bullish Bias: Buy on dips near support zones Targets: ₹1,360, then ₹1,420 Stop Loss: Below ₹1,197 ======================================== 🧮 Fundamental Analysis (PEL - 2025 Outlook) ======================================== 🏢 About the Company: Piramal Enterprises Ltd operates mainly in: Financial services (retail and wholesale lending) Recent demerger of pharma business (PEL is now a pure NBFC) 📈 Key Financials (FY24–FY25E): Metric Value Market Cap ~₹30,000+ Cr Revenue (FY24) ₹8,200+ Cr Net Profit (FY24) ₹900+ Cr P/E Ratio ~28–30x Book Value ~₹1,300+ Price-to-Book (P/B) ~1.0x ROE 6–8% Debt/Equity ~0.8–1.0x 🔍 Key Positives: Strong book value support Low P/B indicates undervaluation vs peers Cleaned-up balance sheet after pharma demerger Focus on retail lending (more stable than wholesale) ⚠️ Risks to Watch: Still consolidating after business restructuring NBFC sector sensitive to interest rate cycles & RBI regulation ROE still on the lower side compared to peers ===================================== 📌 Investment View (Short + Long-Term) ===================================== ✅ Short-Term View (1–3 months): Technicals favor continuation of uptrend Momentum can take it to ₹1,360–1,400 if support holds ✅ Long-Term View (6–18 months): Strong restructuring play post-demerger Clean balance sheet and pivot to retail NBFC is positive Long-term target can be ₹1,600–1,800 if execution remains strong ======================================== ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only. We are not SEBI-registered analysts or advisors. This is our personal view based on available data and market trends. Please consult your SEBI-registered investment advisor before making any investment or trading decisions. You are solely responsible for any financial decisions you make based on this content. ======================== Trade Secrets By Pratik ========================
NSE:PELLong
by Trade_Secrets_By_Pratik
2
Correction or 1st leg of correction is over -All set for up moveAfter hitting ATH of 171, it corrected to around 70 almost close to 0.618 levels of the up move, so all possibility that its the end of Wave 2, or just the first leg of a corrective Wave 2. As of now its seems to have formed a leading diagonal and all set to move up, Whether its going to be an impulse move (wave 3 - a multi bagger possibility) or a corrective B wave is to be seen based on how it develops. Will post updates. Whatever, we can expect a rally with an initial target of 130 which should be the minimum level of B wave of a FLAT correction. This view is invalidated if it breaks 70. (breaks on a closing basis) I analyzed HFCL earlier in 2023 (Linked below), though it doubled as mentioned. It failed to touch my specific targets of 180 and 200+ Disclaimer: I have this stock in my portfolio.
NSE:HFCLLong
by sabu_m
2
Shankara- U-turn pick for probable 2x returnsShankara has been in a accumulation phases since past 5+ years but has recently given a big breakout. Stock has potential to fly more as it is just a start of stage 2 Stock can be kept in watchlist for big returns as a positional pick. It is small cap stock and comes with high risk with high returns. Please trade wisely and with proper SL. Please note that this idea is not a recommendation and is for you to learn how stage 2 breakouts can be explosive.
NSE:SHANKARALong
by chartistamey
PAYTM - Time for it to go up?? - BOLD VIEW!Price Analysis & Overview: 1. Price is showing strength 2. Price structure change confirmation is still pending. 3. 600 area is critical. 4. Must be on radar. 5. Can be a potential multi-bagger! 6. I will plan an entry only after confirmation. - Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely! - If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading! Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Views are personal. I share whatever I do. Please, do your due diligence before investing. Thanks & Regards, Anubrata Ray
NSE:PAYTM
by SuperNova396
Stock Analysis: #SPANDANA – Rising with Unusual StrengthHello, Traders! 👋 After a sharp decline of 65% from its highs, #SPANDANA is showing strong signs of recovery: 📈 Technical Highlights: 🔹 Yearly and highest-ever volume recorded for consecutive days—indicating something significant may be unfolding. 🔹 The stock has gained 17%+ for the last two days, signaling momentum. 🔹 It popped up on my weekly scanner, and I’m keeping a close eye on it. 💡 Previous Performance: The last entry triggered by my ILTF indicator delivered a massive 130% gain. 💡 Current Plan: I’m tracking this closely until the weekly close to assess the setup and identify a better entry point if the momentum sustains. ⚠️ Disclaimer: 🔹 I am not a SEBI-registered advisor. 🔹 This analysis reflects my personal views and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. 🔹 Shared purely for learning purposes—please do your own research or consult a professional before making any decisions. Let’s see how this unfolds—could it be another big mover? 🚀 #TradingView #StockAnalysis #MomentumStocks #SPANDANA #SwingTrading
NSE:SPANDANALong
by Inwardlocus
Thangamayil shining: The strong financials caused a price surge!Company Overview Thangamayil Jewellery Limited (TMJL) is a rapidly growing company in India with a chain of retail jewellery stores in Tamil Nadu. They specialize in selling Gold, Silver, Diamonds, and Platinum, with gold being the main source of income. The majority of their ornaments are purchased from dealers in states like Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Kerala, and West Bengal for sale in their stores. Established in 1947, Thangamayil is headquartered in Madurai, India. Market Capitalization ● Current Market Cap - ₹ 5,128 Cr. ● Market Cap 3-years back - ₹ 802 Cr. ● The figures indicate that the company has increased over six times in the past three years, which is truly remarkable. Revenue & Profit Growth ● In the last three years, this stock has demonstrated an impressive compounded annual growth rate of 28% in its sales figures. ● Meanwhile, the total profit growth during this period has been a modest 12%. ● The company has successfully maintained a operating profit margin of 6%, which has risen from 4% in FY24. ● For the fiscal year 2024, the earnings per share have seen a remarkable increase, soaring from 29.10 in fiscal year 2023 to 44.91. Increasing Product Demand ● Inventory Turnover Ratio ➖ This ratio typically assists in determining whether the growth in sales is primarily due to rising product prices or if it is also influenced by increased demand for the product. ➖ Current Inventory Turnover - 3.14 ➖ Inventory Turnover 3 years ago - 2.63 ➖ These figures indicate that product demand has risen over the past three years. Valuation ● P/E Ratio The company's present price-to-earnings (PE) ratio stands at 42.3, significantly higher than its 1-year median PE of 31. When we look at the industry average PE of 31.6, it indicates that the stock might be considered somewhat overvalued at this time. ● PEG Ratio The company has a PEG ratio of 1.3, indicating that its current P/E ratio is valid. ● Intrinsic Value ➖ Thangamayil Jewellery is currently trading at ₹1870, which is nearly 2.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹764, indicating that the stock is overvalued at this moment. ➖ When we compare Thangamayil to its competitors, such as Titan and Kalyan Jewellers, some interesting insights emerge. Titan's current market price (CMP) stands at ₹3560, which is nearly 5.5 times its intrinsic value of ₹652. Meanwhile, Kalyan Jewellers has a CMP of ₹545, approximately 4.7 times its intrinsic value of ₹115. ➖ These numbers don't necessarily indicate that Titan and Kalyan Jewellers are overvalued; rather, they suggest that Thangamayil could be an attractive investment choice. Debt Analysis ● Debt to Equity Ratio ➖ The company carries a debt of approximately ₹532 Cr., resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.08. ➖ When discussing debt, it's important to note that for a small-cap company, this isn't necessarily a major concern. The key factor to consider is whether the company can consistently meet its loan interest payments. ➖ To assess this, we should examine the interest coverage ratio. ● Interest Coverage Ratio With an interest coverage ratio of 5.62, it’s evident that the company is well-equipped to manage its loan interest payments regularly. Cash Flow Analysis ● Operating cash flow has seen a remarkable surge, soaring to 330 crore from just 10 crore in FY23. ● The CFO/PAT ratio is currently at 0.74 of the five-year average, indicating that the company is quite proficient at converting its profits into cash. Shareholding Pattern ● The promoters have maintained their 67.33% stake for the last three quarters. ● Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have been steadily raising their stakes since June 2023, now holding 1.08%. ● Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have also grown their stakes to 12.08% in June 2024, up from 11.46% in June 2023. ● At the same time, retail investors have been consistently selling their shares over the past few quarters. Mutual Fund Holding ● Notable small-cap funds such as SBI Small Cap Fund and DSP Small Cap Fund have made substantial investments in this stock, representing 0.63% and 1.55% of their total assets under management, respectively. ● Additionally, ICICI Prudential Exports and Services Fund has recently added (in July 2024) its position in this stock, accounting for approximately 1.11% of its overall portfolio value. Technical Aspects ● From a technical standpoint, this stock appear to be currently overextended. Any pullbacks could provide a valuable opportunity to take positions. ● Stock Volume & Delivery surged by 3.4 times & 3.2 times respectively vis-a-vis their 5 day average with a 5.48% move in price. Conclusion While the company primarily functions in Tamil Nadu, it's fascinating to note that this state accounts for the largest portion (40%) of India's overall gold consumption. Furthermore, the company is gearing up to make its mark in the Chennai market by launching a flagship store along with 3-4 satellite locations. Given the increasing demand for gold jewelry, we anticipate that Thangamayil Jewellery will thrive in the industry in the years ahead.
NSE:THANGAMAYLLong
by GoodluckCapital
1
MY first choice IDFC FIRST BANK IDFC FIRST BANK have previous records and pattern and that repeat again Technical points 1 - down rising channel 2- Strong support on bottom 3 - hold the top of fab. point 4 previous bull run was came when is go down in channel pattern First channel performance Date 31-jan-2022 to 6-dec-2022 first reached on top of 50 and came down 28 in the channel when given reversal to 62 second channel performance 6-dec-2022 to 5-sep-2023 on the top of 62 he came down and reached 52 and than get reversal and make top of 100 third 6-sep-2023 to 27-november today now its reached at same price of 62 and create bottom now we looking for a fresh reversal and channel breakout First TRG - 86 Second TRG -98 & 102 Third TRG 120 and above 140 SL 48 only for the long term time duration minimum 1 year
NSE:IDFCFIRSTBLong
by Share-Mechanic