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GANESH HOUSING - 16 Years High Breakout - ALL TIME HIGHGANESHHOUC 1) Time Frame - Weekly and Monthly. 2) Previous life time high was 566 in 2008. After 16 years of consolidation, The Stock has given a breakout with huge volume & strong bullish candle close in weekly. 3) Option 1 - With the strong weekly close in All Time High, Buy at this current level. Option 2 - Wait for the strong bullish Monthly candle's close with huge volume above the price 566. 4) Recommendation - Strong Buy
NSE:GANESHHOUCLong
by SHRIHARII
1
Has HDFCAMC bottomed out?HDFC AMC has been in continuous downtrend from late 2019. As we can see on the chart, the stock has recently bounced from a support level with good volumes. The most interesting observation is a positive divergence in RSI during the bounce which might be an indication that stock has bottomed. On Friday, good buying with high volumes has been observed with a bullish candle, almost a marubozu. This stock has an immediate resistance at 1950 so it is better to buy the stock at around 1800-1810 levels for a better risk reward. Kindly trade as per your own analysis. This idea is shared for educational purposes.
NSE:HDFCAMCLong
by chartistamey
1
HTF - GOLD - HAS LOST ITS SHINE?My analysis today deals with how the further course of our most popular precious metal "GOLD / XAU" could look like. For this I have carried out a "MULTI-TIME-FRAME" analysis, which refers to the higher time units (month - week - day) and thus makes the big picture visible. Normally, all time units below "1h" are called noise, but even a - 1h-4h - analysis is of no use to you, if the knowledge about the big and whole is missing. > We traders know that nobody can predict the future, and that's exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations. > If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets. > This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture. > I have explained in detail which levels are RELEVANT in the following pages. . table of contents 1st part = INTRODUCTION 2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS = Monthly - Time frame = Weekly - Time frame = Dayly - Time frame 3rd part = CONCLUSION PART ONE "INTRODUCTION" After "XAU/USD" formed a double top between 2020-2022, a strong sell-off has been unleashed thereafter. > This sell-off paused in October this year to test the strength of it. > With a subsequent bullish monthly candle, many retail investors now feel on the safe side that new highs will be reached. > Here I do not want to take away the joy, but the big picture does not suggest anything like that. > Once you look at the DXY (USD index) on the higher timeframes, the following sell-off in gold is "indirectly" confirmed. (My DXY analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.) GOLD SAFE HARBOUR . If you follow popular wisdom, GOLD is classified as a safe and reliable haven. SPEAKING LIKE ... > "All that glitters is not gold." > "Talk is silver, silence is gold." > "Much gold, much future." That, the precious metal gold got such a high value awarded - HAD - its reasons. > Inflation protection and security - are definitely the two most associated words with this precious metal. Unfortunately, at the latest, since the year 2021, this no longer seems to apply. > If one compares the loss of inflation and the gain in value of gold, a significant gap can be seen, at which there can no longer be any talk of "inflation compensation". > Gold will therefore no longer live up to its reputation and a rethinking of its value will have to take place in the future. SECOND PART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS For the analysis of the higher time levels, I proceed according to the onion-skin principle. > MONTH - level > WEEK - level > DAY - level These are divided into > SUMMARY > CHARTS The charts are presented in logarithmic scaling, as the given information can be visually presented in a more harmonious way. 1st MONTH – Time frame SUMMARY The trend channel plotted on the chart formed in March|2007 and has since maintained its position as a legitimate trend channel. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market. > Price is in the area below the mean line and had last touched the channel in 2018. > September|2020 the price ran into the mid-line but was not strong enough. This becomes very clear when looking at the moving away middle line despite the "double top". > The trend arc is another resistance, which should be taken into account for a future downward movement. If we go into more detail about the "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones, you can look at two zones in the chart. > The "SUPPLY" zone is VERY STRONG because it is a RBD (Rally Base Drop). > The "DEMAND" zone is VERY WEAK, as it is a DBD (Drop-Base-Drop). > If we get another rise in the DXY, the drawn "DEMAND" zone will break and the sell-off will continue. The Fibonacci retracements should serve us as additional confirmation, and have been proved in past moves (last decades) . > Should the price rise even further, FIB (1) will serve as a Strong Resistance Zone, although the "FIB Zone = 0.75-0.88 - is the Strongest Resistance. (1) > If the sell-off continues, FIB (2) cannot do much in the monthly chart, but if necessary there will be a reaction on the "smaller" time levels. > The FIB (3) = 1.618 level, will resemble a large magnet and in combination with the FIB (4), will trigger a large resistance reaction in the market. Past highs and lows usually serve as resistance / support, of which we have three. > HIGH | 08/20 - Already showed a reaction (double top). > HIGH | 09/11 - Point of Control > LOW | 03/21 - Broken and recaptured Points and levels of interest are in front of us, which have played a strong role for the market since 2011 . > The most significant resistance, represents the plotted - POI (1800 USD), which is still contested at the time of this analysis. > The other POIs have non-negligible resistance and support characteristics and should be kept in mind. CHARTS XAU - Overall picture XAU - Trend lines XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Market Structure Break XAU - Fibonacci XAU - POI ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. . 2nd WEEK – Time frame SUMMARY In addition to the already mentioned trend channel, now three more become visible, which may have escaped the one or the other. > The "Purple" trend channel formed at the same time as its big brother (monthly channel) and thus represents a major significance for the market. We are at the middle line of the channel and the market seems to have used it as support. > The "Turquoise" trend channel accompanies us since the last high and has a big say with its many interactions. My guess is that its resistance line will decide whether the sell-off will continue or be broken with confirmation. > The "Earth-colored" trend channel is a small sideways accumulation and accompanies us in this area. Currently, the price has fought its way back into the channel, confirmed it and is now targeting the top of the sideways channel. > The "Orange colored" trend line , has been respected since 2018, 07|2022 broken. The price suggests that the trend line is approaching for a final retest. The additional "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones join the two existing ones and remain untouched. As additional Fibonacci additions, we have: > The 0.88 FIB (1), combined with the levels from the FIB (2). This represents with the 0.88 levels from FIB (2) - two very relevant resistance ranges. > FIB (3) is only valid if the price does not rise further and therefore the input values do not change. Should this be the case, the 0.786 + 0.88 area is the most important to watch out for. CHARTS XAU - Overall picture XAU - Overall picture + Month XAU - Trend Channels + Trend Lines XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES XAU - Fibonacci ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. . 3rd DAY – Time frame SUMMARY The chart shows a falling triangle which has been broken . > As a result, the price has confirmed this break, with a close at the break point. > At this time level, there will be a sell-off, especially if the DXY rises. To give a little comment on the "Supply & Demand" zones: > The upper two "SUPPLY" zones are definitely very strong. 1800 + 1980. > The bottom "DEMAND" zone is very strong, as it is a DBR (Drop-Base-Rally) zone. (ca. 1640 - ca. 1615) > The "DEMAND" zones in between are incidental, will trigger small reactions on the lower time frames, but nothing significant. (ca. 1760 - ca. 1660) CHARTS XAU - Overall picture + Month + Week XAU - Supply & Demand ZONES + Trend Lines THIRD PART CONCLUSION "The central banks, themselves, are behind the gold price manipulation. What should you get out of it?" Run this question through your head and let me know in the comments what you think is more likely. > Another sell-off or a positive gold price for now? In summary, based on technical analysis, there are a few reasons for a weak GOLD price . > If you look at the area between 1,950 USD - 1,840 USD, it almost seems like an arm guarding the upper levels. > To bring down this defense, I think, needs more momentum than what we have and are getting right now. (Christmas, New Year, Chinese New Year) For this reason, I expect a weak gold rate and a strong USD, and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets. > Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT . If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive an evaluation of the idea. Thank you and happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
Concept of Soft,Hard Landing feat Adani Enterprises 1 ) Monthly Time frame story: This story tells us about the fibo retracement - From the start of the journey of its price action till date, it has given a solid return - Retracement was always pending in this stock. There can be two types - soft and hard landing type retracement 2) Stock has retraced almost 50-60% of its total lifetime move - Only Issue is Daily time hard landing retracement Soft Landing - Stock moving with a zig-zag type formation, that is, making lower lows with lower highs, taking time to reach 50-60% retracement levels, is what we call a soft landing in this contraction cycle of stocks. Hard Landing - Stock falling directly with big 20-30% falling bars in a single day and continuing this next day with increasing volumes tells the story of a hard landing, meaning no new positions are made in between, and only selling side pressure increases without any backing from bulls at all. 3) Execution: The plan here can be that after Hard landing like in the case of Adani stocks, we need to be patient and mark important levels - Here I have made on the daily time frame 2 patterns - Triangle and W bottom, many other fomrations can be there ( it should be a bullish pattern at this stage, that's all ) A breakout of out it can be played with a small investment amount ( This is not an advice, so consult your fin advisor or take decision on your own trading style ) Good luck
NSE:ADANIENTLong
by Averoy_Apoorv_Analysis
S&P500 - WHAT DOES THE HIGHER TF?My analysis today deals with how the further course of our most popular stock index "S&P500" could look like. The DXY / USD has a non-negligible impact on the S&P500, as the whole economy depends on its behavior. > Meanwhile, this seems to take run-up, for a final upswing, which could bring the S&P500 under massive selling pressure. > Regardless of this selling pressure coming from the USD, a divergence has formed on the MACD + RSI indicators in the S&P500 weekly chart, forecasting a rising S&P500 / falling USD. Below, the analysis goes into detail so that you are aware of the significant levels and areas. For this I have carried out a "MULTI-TIME-FRAME" analysis, which refers to the higher time units (month & week) and thus makes the big picture visible. Normally, all time units below "1h" are called noise, but even a - 1h-4h - analysis is of no use to you, if the knowledge about the big and whole is missing. > We traders know that nobody can predict the future, and that's exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations. > If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets. > This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture. > I have explained in detail which levels are RELEVANT in the following pages. . Table of contents 1st part = INTRODUCTION 2nd part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS = Monthly - Time frame = Weekly - Time frame 3rd part = CONCLUSION PART ONE "INTRODUCTION" After the "S&P500/USD" formed a top at last year's turn of the year, a strong sell-off is subsequently unleashed. > This sell-off paused in October|2022 to test the strength of it. > The two following bullish monthly candles, were interrupted with a "bearish engulfing", - this adds further selling pressure to the index. > That we can expect a price explosion, thus moves further into the distance - however, this is not excluded, for the following reason: = The weeks MACD + RSI, show since October last year, a bullish divergence. > Once you look at the DXY (USD index) on the higher time levels, the further sell-off in the traditional markets, however, becomes more likely. (My DXY analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.) SECOND PART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS For the analysis of the higher time levels I proceed according to the onion-skin principle. > MONTHLY - Level > WEEKLY - Level > DAILY - Level These are divided into > SUMMARY > CHARTS The charts and fibs are presented in logarithmic scaling, as the given information can be visually presented in a more harmonious way. 1. MONTHLY – TIME FRAME SUMMARY The trend channel shown in the chart formed in March|2009 and has since been able to take a stand as a legitimate trend channel. Its mid-trend line showed reactions when confronted and was respected by the market. > The price is in the area below the middle line and had recently touched it. > In the last 3 months, the price ran up to the middle line, but was not strong enough. > The trend arc is another support, which should be considered for a future sell-off. > The downtrend line, was respected and needs to be broken + tested before a "rally". If we go into more detail about the "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones, you can look at two "DEMAND" zones on the chart. > The "DEMAND" zone 1, is WEAK, because it is a RBR (Rally-Base-Rally) and was already tested by the course in October. > The "DEMAND" zone 2, is VERY STRONG, because it is a DBR (Drop-Base-Rally) and has not been tested by the price yet. The Fibonacci retracements should serve us as additional confirmation and were taken into account in past movements (last decades). > Should the price fall further, FIB 1 (0.88 FIB) will serve as resistance. Although due to the previous testing of the 0.786 FIB, the resistance will be crumbling. > If the sell-off continues, FIB 2 (1.618s FIB) will be the first point of contact for the price and in combination with the arc, can trigger a reaction on the "smaller" time levels. > The FIB 3 = 0.618 - 0.88 FIB level, in combination with the FIB 4, will trigger the biggest resistance reaction in the market, should such a strong sell-off occur. The past highs and lows usually serve as resistance / support, one of which we have. > HIGH | 02/20 - Already showed reactions = Future support A level of interest is before us, which since 2018, plays a strong role for the market. > This support, represents the drawn - POI (2,950 USD), which at the time of this analysis, is still far from the price. CHARTS S&P500 – Overall picture S&P500 – Overall picture without trendlines ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. 2. WEEKLY – TIMEFRAME SUMMARY Besides the already mentioned trend channel, further trend lines become visible in this one. - These have caused reactions in the channel in the past and should therefore be kept in mind. (gray) The monthly "SUPPLY & DEMAND" zones are joined by others from the weekly view that coincide with other resistance / support elements. - The near "DEMAND" zone has low significance as it has already been tested once by the price. As other Fibonacci additions, we have two more elements: > Both newly drawn elements refer to a possible upward movement. > If there is an upward movement of fundamental magnitude, these levels will be updated again. CHARTS S&P500 – Overall picture S&P500 – Overall picture without trendlines THIRD PART CONCLUSION "The calm before the storm " Before a thunderstorm breaks out, it suddenly becomes very quiet - currently it is unusually STILL | seen from a macro- and microeconomic perspective. > Will the calm be broken by a sharp sell-off, or by a price explosion? In summary, based on technical analysis, there are strong reasons for a falling S&P500 price. > Since the price top in Jan|2022 - every monthly - Bullish candle, was completely Bearish engulfed. = Which leads us to conclude a very strong sell-off. > The divergence on the weekly level, which indicates a price upswing, should be kept in mind - but this is not a reliable indication. For this reason, I am assuming a weak S&P500 and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets. > Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of the idea. Thank you and happy trading!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by ZielIstDieAutarkie
USD - IS IT KEEPING THE UPPER HAND AFTER ALL?My today's analysis deals with the fact that it could coming to an end with the correcting, and a further rise in the DXY is in front of us. > We traders know that no one can predict the future and that is exactly why you have to be prepared for all initial situations. > If the DXY should rise again, it means "BLOOD" for the traditional and crypto markets. > This creates dangers, but also opportunities - it is important to look at the big picture. > Which levels are RELEVANT; I have explained in detail in the following pages. TABLE OF CONTENTS - 1. Part = DXY EXPLANATION - 2. Part = TECHNICAL ANALYSIS = Monthly - Time frame = Weekly - Time frame = Daily - Time frame - 3. Part = CONCLUSION FIRST PART “INTRODUCTION“ The "DXY" indicator entered on September 28 of this year, the first time since May 2021, in a downward correction. > On this day, I published an analysis, which dealt with a possible top in the DXY. > This forecast turned out to be a precision landing on the day and is to till now the TOP. (My analysis is linked below this post, for confirmation purposes.) To help you understand the relevance of the "DXY Index", let's take a closer look at it. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is a ratio (index) that compares the value of the U.S. dollar using a basket of six currencies. > EUR = 57,6 % > JPY = 13,6 % > GBP = 11,9 % > CAD = 9,1 % > SEK = 4,2 % > CHF = 3,6 % EXPLANATION DXY > RISE One of the currency pairs falls > Pressure on other currency pairs increases = Chain reaction = All currency pairs fall DXY < FALL One of the currency pairs rise > Pressure on other currency pairs decreases = Chain reaction = All currency pairs rise So if you interpret the DXY correctly, you can get confirmation for ideas in other related currency pairs. SECOND PART TECHNICAL ANALYSIS For the analysis of the higher time levels I proceed according to the onion-skin principle. > MONTHLY - Level > WEEKLY - Level > DAILY - Level These are divided into > SUMMARY > CHARTS 1. MONTHLY – TIME FRAME SUMMARY The trend channel shown in the chart formed in May|2011 and has since maintained its position as a legitimate trend channel. Especially its mid-trend line showed many reactions and great interest of the market. > The price has reached this middle line and has already reacted positively. > The trend arc is another bullish signal and could serve as additional resistance in the future. If we look more closely at the "DEMAND" zone, we see that it has already been tested on. > The monthly candle closed above the zone, which is another positive indicator. > If we get another rise in the DXY, the marked "SUPPLY" zone, will serve as a very strong resistance and will be a real challenge. The Fibonacci retracement should serve us as an additional confirmation, and was taken under proof in past movements (last decades). > The 0.328 level, was breached without another reaction at this time level and the monthly candle closed below it. > Still pending is the next 0.50 level, which in combination with several arguments, represents a Medium-Strong resistance. > In the absence of a reaction from this level, we will see another sell-off to the 0.618 level. Past highs usually serve as resistance, of which we have two. > HIGH | 01/17 - Already showed a reaction > HIGH | 03/20 - Reaction still pending Points and levels of interest are available to us, which have a not irrelevant duration. > The most significant resistance is the marked POI ZONE (turquoise), with 50 years of experience. > We can be sure that there is great interest in this one. > This already proved true with a first reaction, but we must continue to wait for the candle close to confirm the argument. > If this is "temporarily" broken by a panic in the market, the POI at 102,000 points, serves as the next point of contact. CHARTS DXY – Overall picture DXY – Trendlines DXY – Supply & Demand ZONES + Market-Structure-Break DXY – Fibonacci + POI ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. 2. WEEKLY – TIMEFRAME SUMMARY Besides the already mentioned trend channel, another one is now visible (violet), which was formed in May|2021. > Regardless of its inconspicuousness, it supports the tenor of the thesis. > It was respected and must prove itself again in the coming days and weeks. The additional "SUPPLY&DEMAND" zones join the two existing ones and remain untouched. As further Fibonacci additions we have: > A 1.618 level which was almost touched but is still pending to be worked off. > A 0.786 level which has been able to defend the last two weekly closes. > A 0.88 level, which in combination with the pending MSB, represents a strong resistance. CHARTS DXY – Overall picture DXY – Overall picture + Monthly DXY – Trendlines DXY – Supply & Demand ZONES + Market-Structure-Break DXY – Fibonacci + POI ATTENTION In the following time levels, I will only deal with the NEW, added elements. 2. DAILY – TIMEFRAME SUMMARY In the chart, further trend lines are drawn, which have shown reactions in the last 4 months. > These will represent resistances for a possible upward movement. Because so many elements are drawn in the chart, I would advise you to look again at the chart below, where you see only the S&D zones. > Some close together with the higher time levels, which reinforces their - resistance/support. CAUTION (Paler Zones) > The Supply zone, has been touched before and thus has less resistance. > The Demand zone, has been breached and thus should not trigger a major reaction, however it could still be "recaptured". In order to be able to forecast possible target ranges, we would first have to reach the bottom, which has yet to form. > The plotted levels can still change, but serve as a first reference point. > If the reached level already represents the bottom, one can see that the FIB levels, beautifully go along with the "Supply&Demand" zones. CHARTS DXY – Overall picture DXY – Overall picture + Monthly + Weekly DXY – Trend lines DXY – Supply & Demand ZONES DXY – Fibonacci THIRD PART CONCLUSION "The market makers only make money when everyone else loses. So what is the current mainstream opinion?" Run that question through your head and let me know in the comments what you think is more likely. > Another sell-off or a strong USD for now? In summary, based on technical analysis, there are a few reasons for a "temporarily" strong USD. > If you take a closer look at the area of the - HTF-POI-ZONE - you will see quite quickly that resistances could be enough for a whole arm. > Bringing this wall down will take more than one run-up, in my opinion. For this reason, I am assuming a strong USD and an accompanying bloodbath in the traditional and crypto markets. > Positioning after confirmation of this thesis = SHORT If this idea and explanation has added value to you, I would be very happy to receive a review of the idea. Thank you and happy trading!
TVC:DXYLong
by ZielIstDieAutarkie