Vodafone in 4H & 2H Demand Zones: Potential Reversal Ahead?Vodafone is currently consolidating in both the 4-hour and 2-hour demand zones , coupled with daily trendline support , indicating a strong potential for a bullish reversal. This price consolidation suggests potential accumulation and could lead to a bullish reversal in the near future. Also convergence of support levels across multiple time frames adds confidence to a possible bounce in price action. There should be a lookout for a potential bullish breakout, especially considering the strong confluence of support levels.
Key Levels:
Daily Trendline Support:
4H Demand Zone:
2H Demand Zone:
Breakout Possibility
The price is consolidating within the demand zones in both the 4H and 2H time frames, while maintaining contact with a daily trendline support. This consolidation could signal an accumulation phase, where the market is indecisive before a breakout. Once the price has broken out of the range (i.e resistance @ 13.77), The target could be the next supply zone around 15. There is also a small gap filling opportunity as well
Multitimeframeanalysis
Welspun Corp could excel in your Investment PortfolioInvestment Advice by Gooodluck Capital (SEBI Registered)
Buy Welspun Corp
NSE:WELCORP
● Buy Range (1) - CMP (current market price)
● Buy Range (2) - 660 - 665
● Buy Range (3) - 620 - 630
● Target - 960 - 970
● Stoploss - below 500
● Potential Return - 50 - 52%
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Approx investment period 18 - 24 months
Company Overview
Welspun Corp Limited manufactures and sells steel pipes, coatings, plates, and coils in the US, Europe, Saudi Arabia, and India. The company offers helically, longitudinally, and electric resistance welded pipes, pig iron and ductile iron pipes, billets, thermo mechanically treated rebars, stainless steel pipes, tubes, and bars. Its products are used in various industries, including oil, gas, water transmission, infrastructure, and defense. The company was incorporated in 1995 and is based in Mumbai, India.
Sector - Iron & Steel
Technical Analysis
(1) In January 2008, the stock faced significant resistance around the 500 level, leading to a substantial price correction.
(2) Over time, it established a support base near the 45 level, from which it began to rebound, climbing back towards the 300 level.
(3) However, the stock struggled to break past the 300 threshold and eventually retreated to its former support.
(4) Following this, it entered an extended phase of consolidation until it finally broke through the 300 level in July 2023.
(5) This pivotal moment propelled the stock into strong upward momentum, culminating in a multi-year breakout at the 500 mark after nearly 16 years.
(6) Subsequently, the stock not only maintained this breakout level but has also begun to steadily rise.
Entry, Target & Stop-loss
● Entry with Capital allocation strategy
(1) consider adding 40% of your desired quantity at the current market price.
(2) The second buying opportunity will be in the 660-665 range, where you can also add another 40% of your quantity.
(3) If the price dips to the 620-630 range, that will present the best buying opportunity. Make sure to reserve 20% of your quantity to take advantage of this level.
● Target
Chart analysis indicates a promising upside potential of above 50% for this stock from the current level, with a target around the 960 to 970. There is also a strong likelihood that the stock could exceed this target.
● Stoploss
It is crucial to implement a strict stop-loss below the 500 level, as we anticipate that the stock may encounter challenges if it drops to this point.
Fundamental Analysis
● Stock Valuation ●
(1) Intrinsic Value
➖ The current price-to-earnings ratio for the stock is 14.5.
➖ The median price-to-earnings ratio for the stock over the past year stands at 15.4, while the earnings per share for the trailing twelve months is 45.55.
➖ This leads us to calculate the intrinsic value of the stock as follows: 15.4 * 45.55 is equals to 701.47.
➖ With the current market price hovering around 695, which is below the intrinsic value of 701, it clearly indicates that the stock is considerably undervalued right now.
(2) P/B Ratio
The present PB ratio for this stock stands at 3.06, indicating a slightly high valuation but not reaching overvalued territory.
● Debt Analysis ●
(1) The company's current debt is Rs. 1,949 crore, which is quite minimal compared to its market capitalization of Rs. 17,249 crore.
(2) With a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.35, it’s evident that the debt level is relatively low for this type of capital-intensive business, providing the company with the flexibility to secure additional funding as needed.
(3) A glance at the balance sheet reveals a significant reduction in debt, dropping from Rs. 3,381 crore last year to the current Rs. 1,949 crore.
● Revenue Break-up ●
(1) Product wise break-up
The company generates its revenue through three primary product categories:
➖ HSAW Pipe, which accounts for approximately 76% of the total revenue,
➖ LSAW Pipe, contributing close to 15% of the total revenue,
➖ ERW Pipe, responsible for about 8% of the total revenue.
(2) Location wise break-up
The company derives approximately 54% of its revenue from India. Additionally, Welspun Corp. operates facilities in the USA and Saudi Arabia, contributing around 8.6% and 34.2% to its overall revenue, respectively.
● Profit & Loss Analysis ●
(1) Over the past three years, this stock has achieved an outstanding compounded annual growth rate of 34% in sales.
(2) The cumulative profit increase over the past three years has been an impressive 21%, indicating a strong upward trend.
(3) The profit margin has seen a significant boost, rising to 9% from 5% YoY.
For the fiscal year 2024, the growth in earnings per share is striking, skyrocketing to 42.41 from 7.90 in fiscal year 2023.
● Cash Flow Analysis ●
Operating cash flow has seen a remarkable surge, soaring to 1,306 crore from a negative 185 crore in FY23.
● Shareholding Pattern ●
(1) As of the June 2024 quarter, the promoters own a notable 50.03% stake in the company.
(2) Goldman Sachs possesses a notable 10.51% share in the company, reflecting a slight decline from 10.70% in March 2024.
(3) Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) have reduced their stakes since the previous quarter, yet they still hold over 9%, which remains quite significant.
● Conclusion ●
The steel industry in India is set for expansion, bolstered by new government initiatives. Lower import duties on essential raw materials, combined with heightened public investment in infrastructure and housing, are anticipated to greatly enhance the sector's performance. Therefore, we are excited to see how Welspun Corp will thrive in the near future.
GOLD - Looking Bullish! - Here's WhyMONTHLY TF:
WEEKLY TF:
DAILY TF:
Overview & Observation:
1. Higher time frame gold is in a bullish trend.
2. Prices failed to form lower low showing strength in buying, confirmation still pending.
3. Channel breakout will be expected to get the confirmation on the long side.
4. Currently trading in a demand zone. Untill that is broken bullish view will be intact.
Trade Plan:
1. Long position can be made only after confirmation that is still pending.
2. Above 2348 levels price should sustain for longs.
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
CAMS [strong multi-year breakout]The chart indicates a strong multi-year breakout with confirmation from the volume spike . Utilizing the pitchfan tool, the key levels and targets for swing trading have been identified. Always ensure proper risk management and keep an eye on volume trends to adjust your strategy accordingly.
Breakout Confirmation:
The price has broken above a significant resistance level as indicated by the upper blue pitchfan line.
The volume spike (as shown by the green arrow) confirms the breakout with strong buying interest.
2) Pitchfan Lines:
Pitchfan lines provide potential support and resistance levels. The price has successfully broken through multiple resistance lines, indicating strong upward momentum.
These lines can be used to identify future support levels in case of a pullback.
3) Support Levels :
The previous resistance levels, now turned support, will be crucial in case of a pullback. These are typically around ₹4000 and ₹3000 (orange and blue pitchfan lines respectively).
4) Targets:
Short-term Target: Aim for ₹5500
Medium-term Target: Aim for ₹6500.
5) Stop Loss:
Place a stop loss just below the nearest support level to manage risk. For example, just below ₹4000 or the nearest pitchfan support line.
6) Volume Consideration:
Continue monitoring volume to ensure the breakout is supported by strong buying interest. A decline in volume might indicate a potential reversal or consolidation.
7) Risk Management
Position Sizing: Use appropriate position sizing to manage risk, considering the distance to your stop loss level.
Trailing Stop: Consider using a trailing stop as the price approaches the 1st TRG and 2nd TRG to lock in profits while allowing for further upside potential.
for MORE check in my Tv-id " in.tradingview.com "
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"Disclosure : I am not Sebi-registered." This channel is for only educational purpose. Any profit/loss, I am not responsible.
Before taking any trade on our charts / calls, please consult your financial advisors. Thanks
WELSPUNLIVWELSPUNLIV
Market Cap ₹ 16,935 Cr
Industry: Textiles - Products
Welspun Living Limited, part of the US$ 2.7 billion Welspun Group, is one of the largest home textile manufacturers in the world.
Promoters 70%
FIIs 7 %
DIIs 6 %
other 1%
Public 16%
My study shows on chart study with technical analysis . this made cup and handle with multi- year break-out and darvas box break-out this good signs for huge movement after some days . after retest stock targets all hits. its my prediction
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"Disclosure : I am not Sebi-registered." This channel is for only educational purpose. Any profit/loss, I am not responsible.
Before taking any trade on our charts / calls, please consult your financial advisors. Thanks
ENGINERSIN [big move ]ENGINERSIN ..... BIG MOVE big gain 37.65% ...
multi year breakout .. click on image /link below show on my study
for MORE check in my Tv-id " in.tradingview.com "
If You LIKE👌👌 MY Idea ......Boost.🔥🔥🔥.. its.
"Disclosure : I am not Sebi-registered." This channel is for only educational purpose. Any profit/loss, I am not responsible.
Before taking any trade on our charts / calls, please consult your financial advisors. Thanks
GOLD - Price Observation & OverviewMonthly Time Frame:
Weekly Time Frame:
Overview & Observation:
1. Inside candle formation on monthly.
2. Trading at crucial levels, either side move is possible.
3. Hourly candle closing above 2390 for long position planning and bearish view only after breaking of demand zone.
Trade Plan:
1. Need to observe the price behaviour for the coming days to get better clarity.
- Stay tuned for further insights, updates and trade safely!
- If you liked the analysis, don't forget to leave a comment and boost the post. Happy trading!
Disclaimer: This is NOT a buy/sell recommendation. This post is meant for learning purposes only. Please, do your due diligence before investing.
Thanks & Regards,
Anubrata Ray
PATANJALI (cup&handle)PATANJALI . Most of the time share my study of Technical analysis with fundamental good stock . This stock is beak multi-year breakout but still consolidation zone create at the top this good opportunity buy good fundamentally in our portfolio's . The technical analysis say made cup and handle and break this handle pattern with high volume spike .. so my side TRG are opens to all.
Market Cap ₹ 57,608 Cr.
Promoter holding 73.8 %
DII holding 2.57 %
FII holding 10.6 %
Company has been maintaining a healthy dividend payout of 33.2%
for MORE check in my Tv-id " in.tradingview.com "
If You LIKE👌👌 MY Idea ......Boost.🔥🔥🔥.. its.
"Disclosure : I am not Sebi-registered." This channel is for only educational purpose. Any profit/loss, I am not responsible.
Before taking any trade on our charts / calls, please consult your financial advisors. Thanks
PNBGLITS | Multi Pattern Breakout | Multi Timeframe BreakoutChart Analysis - Daily Timeframe
1) Ascending triangle breakout given good range
2) Breakout - consolidation - Breakout
3) Taking good volume support
Chart Analysis - Weekly Timeframe
1) Pole and Flag formation breakout
2) Ascending triangle breakout - consolidation - breakout happening
Momentum Swing idea|Zensar Technologies LtdZensar Technologies Ltd
Zensar Technologies is a leading digital solutions and technology services company. It is a part of the Mumbai-based RPG group and is headquartered in Pune, India.
Fundamental : Strong
Market Cap ₹ 12,767 Cr. Current Price ₹ 564 Stock P/E 20.9
ROCE 14.5 % ROE 11.2 %
Debt to equity 0.07 Promoter holding 49.2 %
Quick ratio 2.95 Current ratio 2.95 Piotroski score 5.00
Profit Var 3Yrs 7.69 % Sales growth 3Years 5.05 %
Return on assets 7.95 %
this stock is available at 20 p/e as well as now in momentum with rsi above 55.
keep in radar.
Note: I am not SEBI registered financial Adviser. I solely present my views on chart .I do not charge any kind of service. This is not buy sell recommendation.
If you like my ideas than like boost and follow me for more ideas.
Thanks and comment freely
LODHA Infra will correct from hereLodha is trading around the resistance
This is linear chart of LODHA in weekly timeframe
Stock is trading in a rising channel
Currently stock is around the resistance of Rising channel which is coming around 1450-1500
Fresh Buy could be very risky around these levels
And if anyone is holding then Trailing Stop Loss would help them to grab maximum profits.
Thank You !!
sbi cards now open his cards to reached life time high soon Sbin cards i follow last several years something is cooking inside the candle and chart pattern
what is key
1-First he follow fab. point
2- hold 2 down rising channel parallel way which is sign on reversal
3- there is flag on 2021 at the price of 1060 that will reached that price as early as possible
supply zone and resistance at the 820 and 840
FLY zone above 1000
ONLY for the long term holding position
Strong support at 650 and 620
SBI cards jackpot delivery trade taken from my last previous charts like ITI and Voltas which almost double and three times return in really quick time same I expect from the sbi cards charts
now price is 702
TRG 1 - 820
TRG 2 - 920
TRG 3- 1000
above 1000 that will reached to 1220/1420/1620/2000 trg for next 2 year
For shor term share holder SL 620 for long term and medium risk taker 500 is final SL
that all research and parameter those want to learn can contact me on my number [/
Long Setup in Balaji TeleFilmsA bullish flag & pole Chart Pattern Breakout completed on the Daily Time frame of NSE:BALAJITELE
Price Action supported by very good volume.
The stock is currently in uptrend making higher highs and higher lows.
One can add this stock into their stocks to buy list and initiate the long trade as per the levels mentioned on the chart
Stop loss will be on a Daily closing basis.
Trend Analysis :- UP Trend
Chart Pattern :- Bullish flag & pole Chart Pattern
Technical Indicator :- Positive MACD Crossover
Disclaimer: This is for educational purpose only.
GANESH HOUSING - 16 Years High Breakout - ALL TIME HIGHGANESHHOUC
1) Time Frame - Weekly and Monthly.
2) Previous life time high was 566 in 2008. After 16 years of consolidation, The Stock has given a breakout with huge volume & strong bullish candle close in weekly.
3) Option 1 - With the strong weekly close in All Time High, Buy at this current level.
Option 2 - Wait for the strong bullish Monthly candle's close with huge volume above the price 566.
4) Recommendation - Strong Buy
Has HDFCAMC bottomed out?HDFC AMC has been in continuous downtrend from late 2019.
As we can see on the chart, the stock has recently bounced from a support level with good volumes.
The most interesting observation is a positive divergence in RSI during the bounce which might be an indication that stock has bottomed.
On Friday, good buying with high volumes has been observed with a bullish candle, almost a marubozu.
This stock has an immediate resistance at 1950 so it is better to buy the stock at around 1800-1810 levels for a better risk reward.
Kindly trade as per your own analysis. This idea is shared for educational purposes.
PRISM JOHNSN chart analysis see you will amazed to see the resulPRISM Johnsn chart setup like my previous chart patterns that chart create a triple top breakout on weekly + flag pattern breakout on monthly near by break his life time high and than according to my fibonacci study that share give blast return in next few month now price is 142 after break his range than TRG 180/220/250/320/360 sl 132