Natural Gas Analysis in Daily TFNatural Gas completed in Leading Diagonal Pattern wave 1 cycle degree completed now in correction phase so don't go long immediately wait up to fib retrace 61.8% and wave ((4)) sweep then go long target Cycle degree wave 1 and 2 extension of 161.8 level may be reach in 2026 or 2027
Natural Gas
#NaturalGas ($NG) Weekly Update — Trading at Breakout ZoneCMP: $4.400
+54% from suggested levels and +58% from lows. 🚀
Price trading in the key resistance zone $4.339–4.417.
WCB > $4.417 = Symmetrical Triangle breakout → Falling Wedge target: $5.246 🎯
🛡 Supports: $4.067 / $3.803 / $3.625–$3.572
🚧 Major Resistances:
• ST: $5.125–$5.630
• LT: $9.35–$10.00
Tight structure… breakout looks close. 🔥
#NG VANTAGE:NG #NaturalGas #Commodities #PriceAction #SymmetricalTriangle #FallingWedge #ChartPatterns #Breakout
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
#NaturalGas ($NG) Weekly Update — Testing Critical Resistance!CMP: $4.092
💥 Up +38% from mentioned support ( $3.013–$2.956 ) and +46% from lows in a month . 🚀
The falling wedge breakout played out strongly, and price is now testing the critical resistance of the falling yellow trendline near the previous swing high $4.067 .
A weekly close above this trendline will confirm a major breakout , potentially triggering the next leg higher.
📊 Key Levels:
🛡 Supports: $4.067 / $3.013–$2.956 / $2.692–$2.643
🚧 Resistances / Targets: $5.125–$5.630 / $9.35–$10.00
Structure now forming a larger Symmetrical Triangle between rising and falling yellow trendlines — watch for breakout confirmation .
⚠️ Possible short-term pause/retest before continuation.
#NaturalGas #NG #Commodities #FallingWedge #RisingChannel #SymmetricalTriangle #ChartPattern #PriceAction
📌 #Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Natural Gas (NG) Weekly Breakout Brewing — 80% Upside Potential!Current Price: $3.090
Technical View (Weekly Timeframe):
Natural Gas has formed a classic falling wedge pattern on the weekly chart - a strong bullish reversal setup. Price action is currently on the verge of breakout , with increasing volume and narrowing range suggesting imminent movement.
🟢 Strong Support Zones:
$3.013 – $2.956
$2.692 – $2.643
🔺 Key Resistance / Upside Targets:
Short-term: $5.125 – $5.630 (Pattern target: $5.625 )
Long-term: $9.35 – $10.00
📈 The pattern breakout target of $5.625 aligns closely with the major resistance zone of $5.125 – $5.630, representing a potential ~80% upside from current levels.
Look for confirmed breakout above the wedge resistance with strong volume for trend continuation.
#NaturalGas | #NG | #FallingWedge | #ChartPatterns | #TechnicalAnalysis | #PriceAction
📌 Disclaimer: This analysis is shared for educational purposes only. It is not a buy/sell recommendation. Please do your own research before making any trading decisions.
Natural Gas – Breakdown Retest Could Trigger Fresh FallHello everyone, Let's analyse Natural Gas and it has recently broken down from a key support level, turning it into resistance. The price is now retesting that zone, and unless bulls manage to reclaim it strongly, the downside remains the higher probability.
Current Setup:
Previous support around 254–256 has turned into a resistance zone.
Breakdown already confirmed with strong bearish candles.
RSI is still holding higher, but momentum may fade if resistance rejects.
Fresh downside targets can open toward 249–247 zone if rejection plays out.
Only a strong close above 257 will negate this bearish view.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as financial advice. Please do your own research or consult your financial advisor before investing.
Analysis By @TraderRahulPal (TradingView Moderator) | More analysis & educational content on my profile
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Natural gas analysis Monthly Time frameNatural gas markets are influenced by a complex interplay of supply, demand, weather, geopolitical events, and technical factors. Below is a concise analysis based on recent trends and data as of August 24, 2025, covering key aspects of the natural gas market
Price Trends and Market Dynamics
Spot and Futures Prices: The Henry Hub spot price recently fell from $2.92/MMBtu to $2.81/MMBtu, and the September 2025 NYMEX futures contract dropped from $2.828/MMBtu to $2.752/MMBtu. The 12-month futures strip (September 2025–August 2026) averaged $3.501/MMBtu, reflecting a bearish near-term outlook but expectations of tighter balances later.
Supply and DemandSupply: U.S. natural gas production has risen, with a 3% increase in marketed production in 2025, particularly from the Permian (2 Bcf/d), Haynesville, and Appalachia (0.9 Bcf/d each). However, production is expected to stabilize in 2026 as associated gas from oil declines.
Storage: U.S. storage inventories are projected to reach 3,927 Bcf by October 31, 2025, 174 Bcf above the five-year average, due to higher-than-average injections (20% above the five-year average). This surplus is pressuring prices downward.
Demand: Cool weather forecasts for August 2025, potentially the coolest in 50 years, have reduced demand, contributing to bearish price sentiment. However, LNG exports are rebounding, with Freeport LNG operations resuming, providing some support.
LNG Exports: Maintenance at U.S. LNG terminals earlier in 2025 reduced exports, but recovery and new contracts (e.g., ConocoPhillips’ 4 Mt/y from Port Arthur LNG Phase 2) signal growing export potential.
Technical AnalysisBearish Signals: Technical indicators suggest a "strong sell" for Natural Gas Futures across multiple timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly), driven by a head-and-shoulders pattern with prices breaking below the $3.050 neckline, targeting $2.220–$2.000.
Indicators: RSI, MACD, and stochastic oscillators indicate oversold conditions, but negative momentum persists below key resistance levels like $3.100–$3.320. Pivot points and moving averages reinforce bearish trends, with potential support at $2.200.
Geopolitical and Structural FactorsEurope: The 2022–2023 Russian supply shock shifted Europe to rely on LNG, increasing price volatility. Market reforms have boosted trading volumes (7,300 bcm in 2024, 15x demand), but derivatives trading by physical players dominates, limiting speculative impacts.
Weather Impact: Cooling in the Midwest and Northeast (highs of 60s–80s°F) contrasts with hotter conditions elsewhere (80s–100s°F), driving regional demand differences. Weather models (ECMWF, GFS) forecast continued impacts on heating and cooling degree days, affecting prices.
Energy Transition: Natural gas is increasingly vital for electricity generation as coal phases out, linking gas and power markets and amplifying price sensitivity to weather and demand.
Forecast and OutlookShort-Term (1–6 Weeks): Bearish due to high storage, weak demand from cool weather, and technical indicators. Prices may test support at $2.220–$2.080,
Long-Term: Growing U.S. electricity demand (31% over 15 years) and constrained global supply (e.g., limited OPEC spare capacity) suggest bullish prospects for natural gas as a reliable fuel.
Trading ConsiderationsRisks: High volatility, weather-driven demand shifts, and geopolitical uncertainties (e.g., Russia-Ukraine tensions) pose risks.
Strategies: Traders may consider short positions targeting $2.80, but oversold conditions suggest caution for potential reversals. Long-term investors might accumulate near support zones ($2.220–$2.080) for 2026 upside.
Data Tools: Monitor EIA storage reports, weather forecasts (NatGasWeather.com), and technical indicators (RSI, MACD) for real-time insights.
Note: Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research.
Resistance Breakout Excepted in NATURAL GASNatural Gas has been consolidating just below a key resistance level around ₹247–₹248, with multiple rejection points in recent sessions (marked by red arrows). The current price action shows renewed buying pressure, with candles testing the resistance zone once again.
Technical View:
The horizontal resistance has acted as a strong supply zone multiple times.
A decisive breakout and close above ₹248 could open the path for further upside momentum.
Immediate support is placed near ₹244.20, which serves as a stop-loss reference for breakout traders.
Trading Perspective:
If price sustains above the resistance level with volume confirmation, the breakout could trigger a short-term bullish move toward higher targets. However, failure to hold above this zone may lead to another pullback within the range.
Natural gas: Chart AnalysisLet’s break down the Natural Gas Futures (INR) Weekly Chart step-by-step.
This will include chart structure, patterns, demand–supply zones, and precise support/resistance levels based on what I can see on the charts :
🔍Chart OverviewTimeframe: Weekly (1W)Current Price: ₹244.7 (down -5.30%)Price is near an important ascending trendline support (green line) after a strong correction from recent highs. Structure shows earlier breakout above descending trendline (blue) followed by a retest and rejection.
🧭 1. Trend AnalysisLong-Term Trend:From 2022 highs (₹900+), Natural Gas was in a sharp downtrend (blue descending trendline).Downtrend broke in late 2023, initiating a mid-term uptrend within an ascending channel.
Short-Term Trend:Since the ₹405.7 high (early 2025), prices are in a correction phase.Price now testing demand zone near ₹244–₹212.
📈 2. Chart Patterns,Ascending Channel: Price has been moving between parallel green lines since late 2023.Breakdown Risk: Price is testing the lower channel line; breakdown could trigger more downside.Head & Shoulders Possibility: The highs around ₹405–₹358 resemble a left shoulder–head–right shoulder formation, with neckline near ₹249–₹244. A confirmed break below could accelerate selling.
Supply Zone Rejection: Strong selling emerged from ₹358–₹405, marking it as a supply zone.📍
3. Key Technical LevelsLevel (₹) nType the:Significance 405.7
🔺 Major Supply 2025 high, strong rejection point 358.7
Secondary Supplying- Recent swing high before sell-off
249.6–244.7
⚠️ Current Zone Channel support & neckline zone
218.0 🛑 Demand Zone Past consolidation & buying interest
212.0 🛑 Strong Support Historical demand zone floor
209.9
🔻 Critical Support
If broken, opens path to ₹180–₹160⚖ 4. Demand & Supply ZonesDemand Zones:₹218–₹212 (weekly accumulation area)₹180–₹160 (last major base before rally)
Supply Zones:₹358–₹405 (heavy selling area)₹280–₹300 (minor supply if bounce occurs)
5. Possible ScenariosScenario
1 Support Holds:If ₹244–₹212 holds, expect a bounce towards ₹280 and ₹300.A close above ₹300 could re-test ₹358.
Scenario
2 – Breakdown:A close below ₹212 could lead to a quick drop towards ₹180–₹160.
⚠ Disclaimer:
This is for educational purposes only, not trading advice. Futures & commodities are highly volatile; manage risk and consult a registered financial advisor.
Trendline Support Pattern in Natural GasNatural Gas is currently respecting a well-established horizontal trendline support zone around the 264–265 level. As seen in the chart, price has tested this area multiple times, indicating strong demand and buyer interest at this zone.
📉 The recent candles show rejection from the support, suggesting a potential bounce. If this level continues to hold, we may see an upward move toward the 267–270 resistance area.
📌 Trade Idea:
Entry: Near 265.3
Stop-loss: Below 262.8 (structure break)
Target: 267.1 and above for short-term move
🧠 Watch for confirmation with volume or bullish candlestick formations before entering the trade.
Natural Gas Technical Breakdown Ahead? Eyes on the 264.90 Mark#Commodity
#NaturalGas View:
CMP: 271.70
🔹 Resistance Levels:
• 270.70 – 273.40
• 275.00
• 284.00
🔹 Support Level:
• 264.90
Technical View:
Natural Gas seems to be forming a bearish flag pattern on the hourly & 4 hours chart. The price is currently facing resistance at the pink trendline breakdown level. While it's still early for confirmation, a decisive hourly close below 264.90 may validate the pattern and open the door for further downside. If the pattern plays out, a possible target zone around 220 could be in sight.
📌 Note: This is a technical analysis view shared for educational purposes only and not a recommendation to buy/sell. Always consult your financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#Commodity | #NaturalGas | #MCX | #PriceAction
Natural Gas Futures: Triangle Breakout and New Impulse UnfoldingNatural Gas Futures (MCX) is showing an interesting Elliott Wave structure unfolding. After completing a corrective Y wave near 133.6, prices started a well-defined impulsive advance. The initial advance took shape as a 5-wave structure (yellow degree), completing wave 1 at 261.2, followed by a healthy correction into wave 2 at 156.7. The subsequent rally carved out another 5-wave pattern (green degree), pushing prices toward 407.8, marking a likely completion of wave 3.
The corrective wave 4 unfolded as a typical contracting triangle (ABCDE), finding support around 297.3. This triangle structure respected the Elliott guidelines quite well and indicates a potential setup for the next impulsive leg higher.
Post-triangle, the initial move up to 359.2 can be counted as wave i of the next larger impulse. The ongoing retracement has pulled back close to 61.8%–78.6% Fibonacci levels, a common zone for wave ii corrections. The RSI continues to print higher lows, supporting the underlying bullish sequence.
The invalidation zone is clearly marked around 297.3. As long as price remains above this level, the possibility of an ongoing bullish impulse remains valid, with eventual targets extending much higher toward the 1.618 projection zone near 503.
This remains a developing wave count, with structure still unfolding. Monitoring how price reacts around current levels will provide further clues whether the larger bullish sequence resumes or deeper correction emerges.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Please do your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions.
Naturalgas downtrend Movement upto 3.2Symbol Naturalgas
Timeframe 1 hour
Analysis Breakout Below the suport line
can expect a downtrend movement upto 3.2
We hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey.
Please note: Published ideas are for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Also, please respect the risk - stop loss (SL) should not be more than 2% of the capital.
DISCLAIMER: We are not SEBI registered. All the ideas uploaded in this channel are solely for educational purposes."
Natural Gas Breakdown from the rising trend lineNatural Gas Breakdown from the rising trend line After making high of 408. Natural Gas in reversing downwards and breaking down from the rising trend line with strong volume and
RSI,OBV also breaking down from the rising trend line. which shows strong downtrend
Entry Price < 333.00
Target @ 236.00
Stoploss @ 366.00
Naturalgas Uptrend Movement Expected upto 4.0Symbol Naturalgas
Timeframe 4 Hrs
A
Analysis : Breakout from the W Pattern.. Target expected is T1 = 3.7, T2= 4.0, T3= 4.6
We hope our analysis is adding value to your trading journey.
Please note: Published ideas are for educational purposes only. Trade at your own risk.
Also, please respect the risk - stop loss (SL) should not be more than 2% of the capital.
DISCLAIMER: We are not SEBI registered. All the videos uploaded in this channel are solely for educational purposes."
Intraday to BTST trade opportunity in natural gas, it should flyHello, everyone, i have brought an intraday to postional trade in natural gas, i am expecting it should take support in this area, probability is very high that it should take supprot in this area, Today's day low can be our intraday support and the stop loss which i mention below to that is gonna to be a postional stop loss. Targets already mention on chart.
Disclaimer:- This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please trade responsibly and consult a financial advisor before making any decisions.
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Natural Gas Confirm Targets 400 Natural Gas Price Analysis and Outlook
As of February 14, 2025, natural gas (NG) prices have exhibited significant volatility, influenced by various market dynamics.
Technical Analysis
Current Price Range : The latest support level for NG prices is identified between ₹286 and ₹293 per unit.
Major Support Level : A more substantial support zone exists between ₹250 and ₹260, indicating strong buying interest at these levels.
Major Resistance Level : On the upside, significant resistance is observed between ₹410 and ₹420, which may act as a barrier to price increases.
With increasing power demand, cold weather, rising forecasts, and strong exports, natural gas prices are likely to go up in the near future
NATURAL GAS - CAPPED UPSIDE & MORE DOWNSIDE?Symbol - XNGUSD
Natural Gas has recently been trading within a wedge pattern, which has now broken to the downside. This technical development suggests that the upside potential appears capped for the time being. The market is currently testing critical levels, and the broader outlook seems to be more focused on downward movement in the short to medium term.
There is a possibility of a breakdown retest around the 3.25 - 3.30 area, which could act as a key resistance zone. If this level holds, we could see a sell-off, confirming further downside pressure. The outlook for Natural Gas, in this context, leans bearish, with the price potentially targeting the 2.80 - 2.70 range in extension.
The market is closely watching weather forecasts and energy inventories, with any cold weather or supply disruptions potentially offering temporary support. However, unless these fundamentals change significantly, the technical breakdown suggests limited upside potential and further downside risks.
Resistance levels: 3.28, 3.20
Support levels: 3.00, 2.80
Technically, the current outlook favors a move lower, with further downside expected if the price fails to reclaim the 3.25 - 3.30 resistance. Should the retest of these levels hold, we could see a sell-off towards the 2.80 - 2.70 area. A failure to hold above the 3.10 support would reinforce the bearish sentiment and suggest further declines.
Natural Gas - January, 2025 month analysis.Two important key levels for the January month are $ 3.13 and $ 4.34 level.
We can look for buy side Opportunities from $ 3.13.
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