Trading Neo wave Bow-Tie diametric patternThis is an extention of WXY elliot wave pattern.This pattern has seven leg's just like WXY double corrective pattern.Here we see contraction in first 3 leg's high's and low's followed by smaller wave d bith in terms of price and time followed by expansion in last 3 legs.
Each leg is internally divided in 3 sub wave giving entire pattern internal structure of 3-3-3-3-3-3-3.
Guide-lines for target of each leg
wave a = wave g(generally 61.8%)
wave b = wave f(generally 80-100%)
wave c = wave e(generally 80-100%)
It seems like we are making Bow-Tie diametric pattern on bank nifty hourly chart of which leg a,b,c,d,e is done and leg f is going on and approaching it's price target(around 36650-660) from there we can expect leg g taking prices between 37730-38400(61.8%-100%)projection of leg a price move from leg f low's.
Trade set-up
If we get momentum divergence and bullish reversal candle followed by price taking out it's high along with Ichimoku cloud support on 15 min chart around 33650 levels(leg f tgt zone) then one can look to go long with a stop loss of leg f's low.
Trade should only be taken if trade setup criteria's are observed.Size your trade by following risk management rule of not lossing 1% of your capital on any trade
Neo Wave
Identifying & eliminating type of correction through Neo wave L&T: Have tried labelling from covid low's.
*Logic behind labelling price as corrective structure:
From covid low's no swing has internal structure of an impulse, every swing is divided in 3 sub-waves meaning rise in L&T was corrective.Also no impulse rules were followed to make an impulse pattern ofhigher degree.
*Eliminating corrective pattern:
From covid low's we already have 5 waves(marked in green) having 3 internal sub-waves meaning we are in a middle of a triangle or complex wxyxz correction or diametric pattern,but looking at the price pattern it seems like we are having wxyxz triple correction as prices are neither converging nor expanding in order to make triangle or an diametric pattern.Hence i have labelled it as WXYXZ of which w,x,y,x is done and currently we are in wave z.
*Current structure & internal stage
Now this wave Z is sub-divided in lower degree 3 internal wave WXY(in orange) of which wave W and wave X is done.we are right now in wave Y of which wave A is done and wave B will be done shortly post which a rise in the form of wave C would complete entire WXYXZ 11 swing correction.
*Price Fore-cast on the basis of current labelling from current levels.
On the upside important level is 1740(123.6% extention of wave w in orange degree from wave x low's) and 1834(161.8% extention of wave w in orange degree from wave x low's) where entire pattern can end.
On the down side 1550-1580 zone can act as good support as we have a price action area in that zone.
*Conclusion
As per this labeling up side room is limited hence anyone holding this stock should keep stop-loss depending upon there risk appetite or by referring price levels mentioned above and new long's should be avoided from swing trading point of view
How to Eliminate elliot corrective patterns through Neo wave I can only come up with this following count,in order to come up with a logical count,i kept on taking more data in order to make some sense with my labeling.
Reason for considering current rise a part of Bow-Tie Diametric Pattern are as follows
Starting point was taken on the basis of faster retracement of prior swing high ,since then price has not shown any sign of an impulse as theres so much of overlapping seen in price along with corrective internal structure in each swing.
As far as corrective pattern is concerned only WXY and Diametric pattern has 7 leg,but if we connect trenline of tops with tops and bottom with bottom in white degree then the pattern takes shape of an bow-tie diametric where higher degree A terminates,movement following is also corrective and not impulsive hence collectively on higher degree(marking done in red)is also forming some kind of corrective pattern.
Till now we have already seen 4 swing and currently we are in 5th swing meaning we can count out Flat and Zigzag leaving us with triangle and diametric and complex wxy/xz.With regards to triangles either they are contracting or expanding in 5 leg's but over here we have seen both the phenomenon occuring by the time we are in 5th leg meaning we can even eliminate triangle pattern leaving us with only 2 pattern either a Diametric or an WXY/XZ complex correction.
From this we can conclude that on going rise will have 7 corrective leg's of which 4 are done and currently 5th is going on,as we have already seen contraction and expansion my primary assumption is of Bow-Tie Diametric even on Red degree and have used rule of equality for finding termination point of 5th,6th and 7th leg.
PS:Correct me if i have missed anything because by now i am already brain dead after analyzing this chart
impulse wave count logic of NEO waveReason for starting wave count from the point shown here is,in the past price movement(from covid low's) no prior swing high is retraced faster then the fall from that high took to form.
Rules and Reason for impulse count
1)wave 2 should take more time then wave 1 to form,here this rule is followed
2)0-2 trend line should not be touched by wave 1 price movement,here this rule is followed
3)wave 3 should not be shortest,here this rule is followed
4)One of the 1,3 or 5 should be extended,here wave 3 has extended by atleast 161.8% of wave 1 in both the degree's,here this rule is followed
5)wave 4 should not enter wave 2 price zone,here this rule is followed in intermediate counts.
6)wave 4 should take more time then wave 2,here this rule is followed in intermediate count.
7)Atleast one alteration should be there between wave 2 and wave 4,here this rule is followed as Alteration is seen between primary 2 and 4 in terms of pattern, price and time.
8)0-2 channel should not have more then 4 touch-point,here this rule is followed after which it was breached.
seems like sail has completed primary impulse wave 3 whose intermediate 5 was truncated and currently forming an complex correction(wxy) or a triangle pattern which was triggered after 2 stage confirmation on the breach 0-2 trend-line and intermediate wave 4 lows in lesser time then intermediate 5 took to form.As of now it seems like wave w or wave A in the form of regular flat has been done and currently wave x or wave B is in the making.On the downside wave 4 retraces generally 38.2 % wave 3 which is coming @ 115 which was achieved by price in current fall,but since then bounce has not been sharp or impulsive in nature indicating wave x or wave B is in making.As per the rule wave 4 is longer then wave 3 and primary wave 3 took 88 candles to complete hence going by that logic current fall or side ways movement can atleast continue till 20th december post which 31 days cycle low is expected @ 29th december.
On the downside support is coming at following levels
Primary wave 3 38.22% retracement @ 115.40
Primary wave 3 50.00% retracement @ 106.20
Primary wave 3 61.80% retracement @ 97.00
Invalidation of this count is @ 81 level where if price goes then wave 4 will be entering wave 2 territory.
Upside seems limited as of now but accumulation can be done if price comes @ above mentioned levels for investment purpose as on the basis of this count,as wave 5 is yet to unfold and in commodities wave 5 is assumed to be longest of 1,3,5.
will it make a wxy or a triangle only time will tell but short term trader should not look for bigger up side move looking at the current price structure until december 20th,2021.
This labelling is done by following NEO wave rules,in the past i have posted wave counts on sail through elliot wave rules.Rules of impulse labelling are different in both theories and hence the counts are also different.Neo wave also in-corporates time element in labelling waves which helps in timing entries and exits.
Here i have also incorporated time cycle.In the shown chart 31-day cycle is working quite well since covid low's(I cant show entire chart from covid low's as it wud very untidy) which help's in identifying important low points,meaning around cycle end day's important low is supposed to be formed.
Let me know if you find this post informative and if i have missed any rules while labelling.
START OF NEW NEO IMPULSE WAVE.GET LONGPRICE BREAKOUT IN TODAYS TRADING SESSION @ 916
ALSO PRICE HAS MULTIPLE SUPPORT AROUND 900-905 AREA
TODAY'S MOVE SUGGESTING END OF AN CORRECTION AND START OF NEW IMPULSE.
BREAKOUT IS ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY MACD REVERSAL
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE RISK-REWARD RATIO FROM CURRENT PRICE.
LONG @ CMP OF 931 AND ADD IF PRICE COMES @ 916
STOP LOSS OF 904 ON CLOSING BASIS
TARGET 1050.
TIME FRAME-1 MONTH.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT.START OF NEW NEO IMPULSE.GET LONGPRICE GAVE TRIANGLE PATTERN BREAKOUT IN TODAYS TRADING SESSION @ 1182
TODAY'S MOVE SUGGESTING END OF AN CORRECTION AND START OF NEW IMPULSE.
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE RISK-REWARD RATIO FROM CURRENT PRICE.
LONG @ CMP OF 1194 AND ADD IF PRICE COMES @ 1182
STOP LOSS OF 1150 ON CLOSING BASIS
TARGET 1380.
TIME FRAME-1 MONTH.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
DOUBLE BOTTOM BREAKOUT.START OF NEW NEO IMPULSE.GET LONG PRICE GAVE DOUBLE BOTTOM IN TODAYS TRADING SESSION @ 2951
TODAY'S MOVE SUGGESTING END OF AN CORRECTION AND START OF NEW IMPULSE.
BREAKOUT IS ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY MACD REVERSAL
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE RISK-REWARD RATIO FROM CURRENT PRICE.
LONG @ CMP OF 2964 AND ADD IF PRICE COMES @ 2951
STOP LOSS OF 2730 ON CLOSING BASIS
TARGET 3220.
TIME FRAME-1 MONTH.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
HIGHER HIGH HIGHER LOW.START OF NEW NEO IMPULSE.GET LONGPRICE IS MAKING HIGHER HIGH AND HIGHER LOWS AND GAVE BREAKOUT IN TODAYS TRADING SESSION @ 969
TODAY'S MOVE SUGGESTING END OF AN CORRECTION AND START OF NEW IMPULSE.
BREAKOUT IS ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY MACD REVERSAL
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE RISK-REWARD RATIO FROM CURRENT PRICE.
LONG @ CMP OF 986.60 AND ADD IF PRICE COMES @ 969
STOP LOSS OF 940 ON CLOSING BASIS
TARGET 1150.
TIME FRAME-1 MONTH.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
DOUBLE BOTTOM BREAKOUT.START OF NOE IMPULSE.GET LONGPRICE GAVE TRENDLINE BREAKOUT BEFORE 2 DAYS AND TODAY IT CONFIRMED DOUBLE BOTTOM GIVING BREAKOUT @ 89.10
TODAY'S MOVE SUGGESTING END OF AN CORRECTION AND START OF NEW IMPULSE.
BREAKOUT IS ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY MACD REVERSAL
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE RISK-REWARD RATIO FROM CURRENT PRICE.
LONG @ CMP OF 89.45
STOP LOSS OF 85 ON CLOSING BASIS
TARGET 99.
TIME FRAME-1 MONTH.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
START OF NEW NEO IMPULSE.GET LONG ABOVE 1183COMPANY POSTED GOOD QUARTERLY RESULTS
IF PRICE BREAKS OUT IN TODAYS TRADING SESSION ABOVE 1183 THAN IT CONFIRM HIGHER HIGH AND HIGHER LOW PATTERN.
SUGGESTING END OF AN CORRECTION AND START OF NEW IMPULSE.
BREAKOUT IS ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY MACD REVERSAL
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE RISK-REWARD RATIO FROM CURRENT PRICE.
LONG ABOVE 1183
STOP LOSS OF 1140 ON CLOSING BASIS
TARGET 1280-1300.
TIME FRAME-1 MONTH.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
DOUBLE BOTTOM IN MAKING.IF PRICE GAVE BREAKOUT IN TODAYS TRADING SESSION ABOVE 3665 THAN IT WILL CONFIRM DOUBLE BOTTOM PATTERN
SUGGESTING END OF AN CORRECTION AND START OF NEW IMPULSE.
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE RISK-REWARD RATIO FROM CURRENT PRICE.
LONG ABOVE 3665
STOP LOSS OF 3580 ON CLOSING BASIS
TARGET 4000-4400.
TIME FRAME-1-2 MONTH.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
START OF NEW NEO IMPULSE WAVE.GET LONGPRICE GAVE CHANNEL BREAKOUT IN TODAYS TRADING SESSION @ 772
TODAY'S MOVE SUGGESTING END OF AN CORRECTION AND START OF NEW IMPULSE.
BREAKOUT IS ALSO ACCOMPANIED BY MACD REVERSAL
EXTREMELY FAVORABLE RISK-REWARD RATIO FROM CURRENT PRICE.
LONG @ CMP OF 780 AND ADD IF PRICE COMES @ 772
STOP LOSS OF 736 ON CLOSING BASIS
TARGET 880.
TIME FRAME-1 MONTH.
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
START OF NEW IMPULSE AS PER NEO WAVE RULESICICI BANK GAVE BREAKOUT OF 613 IN TODAYS TRADING SESSION.NOW AS PER NEO WAVE IMPULSE RULE IF ANY PREVIOUS DECLINE IS FOLLOWED BY EQUAL OR HIGHER LENGHT OF RALLY IN LESSER TIME THAN THAT OF DECLINE IN QUESTION THAN WE CAN ASSUME IT TO BE START OF NEW IMPULSE.
BUY@619
SL@590
TGT@666
DISCLAIMER:There is no guarantee of profits or no exceptions from losses. The study provided is solely the personal views of my research. You are advised to rely on your judgment while investing/Trading decisions. Past performance is not an indicator of future returns. Investment is subject to market risks. Seek help of your financial advisors before investing/trading.
I may or may not trade this analysis
EURUSD Further Neowave Forecast by Manish SinghFX:EURUSD
Price Should Move up without braking of Invalidation Level in form of 1,2,3,4,5 waves in blue degree.
As you can see wave ((i)) has been finish and currently we are in correction of wave ((ii))
As long as price is above invalidation level you will see further rise in the price in form of wave ((iii)).
Reliance Neowave ForecastNSE:RELIANCE
Hello Everyone
As you are seeing on chart wave ((1)) has been completed and currently we are in wave ((2)) which is Developing in form of (W), (X), (Y).
If this movement sustain than in future we will see a wave ((3)).
So this is a good place to invest in reliance for delivery.
This prediction will take time.......may be few month
Thanks
Neowave Forecast
Elliot wave Analysis PVR RE POSTNIFTY MEDIA SCRIP
PVR LTD Overview
Complex Correction Triple combination structure
Next possible support looks @ 1200 to 1162 odd levels