200-EMA defends Gold buyers on US NFP dayGold stays on the bear’s radar as it reverses the previous weekly gains, the first in five, ahead of the all-important US employment report for February. It’s worth noting, however, that the 200-EMA level surrounding $1,805 puts a floor under the metal price, a break of which could set the ball rolling towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement of November 2022 to February 2023 upside, also comprising the mid-November peak surrounding $1,787. In a case where the quote remains weak past $1,787, late November’s bottom near $1,731 appears the last defense for the bulls.
On the flip side, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level close to $1,830 holds the key to Gold’s buyer’s entry. However, a broad nine-week-old horizontal area between $1,857 and $1,865 seems a tough nut to crack for the metal bulls. Should the bullion manages to remain firmer past $1,865, a run-up toward the $1,900 threshold becomes smooth. Following that, the multi-month high marked in February at around $1,960 could gain the buyer's attention.
Overall, the Gold price is likely to remain weak amid hawkish Fed expectations and downbeat MACD signals. However, the RSI line teases with the oversold territory and hence the quote’s further downside is likely having a little room towards the south.
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Gold sellers need validation from $1,685 and US NFPGold retreats towards $1,710 while fading the upside break of a seven-month-old resistance. In doing so, the yellow metal stays inside the bearish trend channel connecting levels marked since late April. That said, the latest pullback remains elusive until the quote remains beyond the aforementioned previous resistance line, around $1,685 at the latest. Following that, July’s low near $1,680 and the $1,650 level may probe the bears before directing them to the yearly bottom surrounding $1,615. It should be noted, however, that the bullion’s weakness past $1,615 will be by challenged the stated channel’s lower line, close to $1,608, quickly followed by the $1,600 round figure.
Meanwhile, an upside clearance of the stated channel’s top-line, close to $1,742, could quickly propel the gold prices toward the $1,800 threshold. However, August month’s peak near $1,807 and the 200-DMA near $1,822 appear tough nuts to crack for the metal buyers afterward. In a case where the bullion remains firmer past $1,822, June’s peak of $1,878 and March’s trough close to $1,890 could lure the bulls.
Overall, gold prices are likely to pare the recent gains considering the upbeat expectations from the US employment numbers. However, a clear downside break of $1,685 and the market’s reaction to the actual data should be watched carefully before jumping on the bear’s boat.
Gold stays directed towards $1,760 ahead of US NFPHaving reversed from early November’s swing high, gold broke the key support around $1,795 comprising 200-SMA and a 13-day-old ascending trend line. The downside move gains support from bearish MACD signal to direct gold bears towards a two-month-old horizontal region surrounding $1,760. However, RSI does approach the oversold territory and can trigger intermediate bounces off $1,780. It’s worth noting that gold’s selling past $1,760 won’t hesitate to refresh December lows around $1,751.
Alternatively, a corrective pullback beyond $1,795, will need validation from the $1,800 threshold to rise further. Further, $1,820 and the monthly peak surrounding $1,832 can test the bulls. Additionally, tops marked in July and September 2021 near $1,834 will precede the $1,850 round figure to challenge the metal’s further upside ahead of pushing bulls towards November’s peak of $1,877. Overall, gold sellers have sneaked in before the key US data but it all depends upon how well the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) justify hawkish hopes raised by FOMC Minutes.