Zig Zag corrective pattern and the Case study of Natural GasHello Friends,
Here we had shared some major points and characteristics of Zigzag Correction pattern of Elliott waves.
Also we had shared real example chart study of zigzag pattern as a case study of NaturalGas, in which their are some principles and guidelines, which are perfectly going through in chart of NaturalGas.
Principles and Guidelines of Zigzag correction pattern
1) Zigzag correction pattern is a 3 waves structure which is labelled as A-B-C
3) Subdivision of wave A and C is 5 waves, either impulse or diagonal
4) Wave B can be any corrective structure as 3 subdivisions
5) Zigzag is a 5-3-5 correction structure
Fibonacci measurements
Wave B is always contra trend which generally retraces near 50% or 61.8% of wave A, and can also retraces up to 85.4% to 90% of wave A
Wave C can generally be expected near 100% of wave A, but sometimes if it is extended then it can show 123.6%, 138.2% or up to 161.8% also.
Sometimes if wave C is truncated then it can be near 61.8% of wave A.
But ,If wave C is going more than 161.8% of wave A, then we should be cautious, because it can also be some kind of impulse wave instead of corrective wave.
Case Study of Natural Gas
Natural Gas almost done as expected till now as per zigzag corrective pattern, it would not be wonder if it looks to be doing a double correction higher in wave (ii) bounce & can see 2.786 level sometimes in next week before turning down as a wave (iii) of 5 of (C), On lower time frame if it doesn't crosses high of March 2023, then it can show some down moves to complete wave (iii), (iv) and (v) of 5 of bigger degree wave (C).
After big correction as zigzag pattern which had already reached extreme levels in wave (C) which is more then 123.6% of wave (A), so now anytime it can start fresh impulse moves towards north directions, so instead of finding selling opportunities, one should try to find buying opportunities only after confirmation, and confirmation is price crossing high of march 2023, once its crossed peak point of march 2023 then no selling is recommended, then its only buy on dips with invalidation levels of Low of April 2023 as a stoploss, because it must be ending the bigger correction from last year peak, and can be taken as fresh impulse is started.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com/u/RK_Charts/ is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Ng1
Natural gas breaking out above the key levelNatural gas has formed a reversal pattern on the hourly charts and is now breaking out above the resistance level which can set the stage for a sharp rally in the commodity.
Natural Gas setup explained for a long trade Natural gas is trading above resistance levels and using the key levels we can say that the longs now with the stops below the key pivot level of 2.3000 will work out well. Target can be around 2.4300 for today as that is the next resistance level which has held earlier as well.
Naturalgas reversal zones 11-5-2023Note: Always try to find a good price action patterns or any candle stick patterns in marked zones in smaller timeframe to take entry with small stop loss. Or can take entry based on one 5 min candle close below or above the zone with SL previous candles high or low (*try to avoid big candles).
(Color code for Support & Resistance zones: Red - Sell, Green - Buy, Price once cross above resistance it is obvious it will work as support, vis versa price cross below support zone ). Please understand that market can break all the support and resistance anytime. If any doubt for take entry in price action patterns, please ask in comment box, i will try to help.
Disclaimer: Im not tip provider and this chart is not indented to take trade in my levels, It is shared here for learning purpose. Trading in this pattern is all your own risk. #NG, #Naturalgas
NATURAL GAS S/R ZINES FROM 278 TO 129MCX:NATURALGAS1! NATURAL GAS is at yearly to minthly buying / support zones, can commense major trend reversal on monthly, quarerly and yearly time frame, major s/r levels till 278 targets have been marked along with s/r level till 129 if doeas go downside.
respect the zones and trade only if you know how to trade the support/resistance areas effectively.
NaturalGas Possible Elliot wave counts (up than down & again up)Hello Friends, here we had shared possible Elliot wave counts of NaturalGas on weekly time frame to daily, 4hourly and hourly time frames which seems aligned with each other, so the conviction increases.
Well, on weekly time frame it seems that post impulse move, currently we are unfolding correction which is already at werge of completion, after A,B we are now in wave C, in which we had already done wave 1-2-3-4 of one lower degree, and now possibly we are unfolding wave 5th of C, and in wave 5th we had done wave i of lower degree and possibly we are unfolding wave ii of 5th of C, still wave iii, iv, and v are pending to complete wave 5th of wave C, which should not go below $ 1.529, because its an initial level of bigger degree wave ((1)) and as per wave principals, wave ((2)) should not retrace more than 100% of wave ((1)), so post completion of wave C we can assume that correction to be finish and hopefully fresh impulse up move should start towards north direction for long term.
Overall very soon we should start fresh impulse for long term along with invalidation level of $ 1.529
One can wait for dips to complete wave 5th of C of bigger wave ((2)) to grab an opportunities to find best entry to go long, so we should have to ride only in right direction because right direction is always more important and better then speed. I am not sebi registered analyst, My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Possible wave counts on weekly chart
Possible wave counts on daily chart
Possible wave counts on 4 hourly chart
Possible wave counts on hourly chart
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
NG - Bullish NowPlease Read my commentary on Chart
Natural Gas - With Bullish COT repots, NG has now the potential to touch 4.4 in coming weeks and months. I will be looking for "Buying Opportunities" on 240/60 Mins TF
If Daily closes above 3.1 (On Friday, it just missed that) it will give additional strength to this view
Natural gas reversal zones 17-2-2023Note: Always try to find a good price action patterns or any candle stick patterns in marked zones in smaller timeframe to take entry with small stop loss. Or can take entry based on one 5 min candle close below or above the zone with SL previous candles high or low (*try to avoid big candles).
(Color code for Support & Resistance zones: Red - Sell, Green - Buy, Price once cross above resistance it is obvious it will work as support, vis versa price cross below support zone ). Please understand that market can break all the support and resistance anytime. If any doubt for take entry in price action patterns, please ask in comment box, i will try to help.
Disclaimer: Im not tip provider and this chart is not indented to take trade in my levels, It is shared here for learning purpose. Trading in this pattern is all your own risk. #NG, #Naturalgas
NG1!2.198 at Level 1, 1.522 at Level 2.
Natural GAS still little fall can be excepted before to big move, very less chance to recover in this February month contracts, all call options may become zero again like December and January CALL options. So, the March futures contract is the best choice for long-term holdings.
Naturalgas reversal zones 30-1-2023Note: Always try to find a good price action patterns or any candle stick patterns in marked zones in smaller timeframe to take entry with small stop loss. Or can take entry based on one 5 min candle close below or above the zone with SL previous candles high or low (*try to avoid big candles).
(Color code for Support & Resistance zones: Red - Sell, Green - Buy, Price once cross above resistance it is obvious it will work as support, vis versa price cross below support zone ). Please understand that market can break all the support and resistance anytime. If any doubt for take entry in price action patterns, please ask in comment box, i will try to help.
Disclaimer: Im not tip provider and this chart is not indented to take trade in my levels, It is shared here for learning purpose. Trading in this pattern is all your own risk. #NG, #Naturalgas
MCX Natural Gas – Elliott Wave projectionNatural gas has completed the impulsive cycle at 801 and started collapsing to form the corrective process. In this corrective cycle, the price has accomplished the corrective wave B and started constructing wave C of normal zigzag correction.
There are two reversal points for natural gas:
1) Wave C can occur near wave (4)
2) wave C can accomplish its corrective cycle at 219.8 where wave A=C.
If the price sustains below the lower band of the channel, traders can expect the following targets: 288 – 275 – 267 . According to Elliott waves, correction can occur near wave (4) of the previous cycle. I already mentioned expected reversal points.
EWT – Is Natural Gas Prepared for a Reversal?In our previous article, we discussed impulsive wave C and its continuation. On 20 January 2023 , Price achieved our all given targets.
Click here -
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Timeframe :
MCX Natural gas has accomplished the corrective wave B and started falling for impulsive wave C. Price has given a reversal from previous wave C, but it is no conclusive evidence that it has completed wave c.
When it comes to confirmation, Traders should watch the level of 313 . If the price breaks out the 313 , it will enter into the parallel channel. Traders can buy for the following targets: 321 – 340 – 366 .
Don’t forget prices are moving outside the channel, which is a negative point for bull traders. Bearish continuation is possible if the price sustains below wave (4).
I will update further information soon.
Possible reversal zones for Naturalgas 3-1-2023Note: Always try to find a good price action patterns or any candle stick patterns in marked zones in smaller timeframe to take entry with small stop loss.
(Color code for Support & Resistance zones: Red - Sell, Green - Buy, Price once cross above resistance it is obvious it will work as support, vis versa price cross below support zone ). If any doubt for take entry in price action patterns, please ask in comment box, i will try to help.
Disclaimer: Im not tip provider and this chart is not indented to take trade in my levels, It is shared here for learning purpose. Trading in this pattern is all your own risk.
Natural Gas : Once Again Big ShortAs you can see clearly, Natural Gas is going for Head & Shoulder Breakdown and can CRACK heavily
Natural Gas Trade Setup NATURAL GAS is now trading near 6.3 level which has acted as a strong support multiple times. The support has been highlighted in the Image in red circles.
If NG makes a rejection from 6.370 level and then gives a close above 6.840 we can initiate a BUY/LONG position with FIRST TARGET as 7.190, SECOND TARGET as 8.090 and THIRD TARGET as 9.630. STOPLOSS can be kept at 6.290. The Long position if initiated can give good R:R Ratio.
In other case if NG breaks the Key SUPPORT LEVEL OF 6.380 and manages to give a close below 6.210 we can look forward for SHORT side entry with a TARGET at 5.750. STOPLOSS can be kept at 6.600 .
( For the short side entry it is better to wait for a pullback or retracement).
Remaining Technical Analysis can be seen in the IMAGE
Natural Gas - Short term ViewHello,
This is a weekly chart of Natural Gas - on MCX.
Weekly Macd is above zero line.
Holding recent lows, cud trigger a good upside in NG in coming days/weeks.
Probable target is around 750. SL for the trade would be around 450/435.
CMP - 501.
It seems a disaster for european countries is on its way in coming weeks. if this stands true.
NATURALGAS ELLIOT WAVE COUNTSNATURALGAS has almost completed wave B of wave 2, possibly next wave C is ready to start unfolding soon, which can be confirmed by breaking support trendline, which could be aa good trigger point, Once it breaks support trendline then it can slide towards south directions near $ 7.500 zones, where wave C can complete equality with wave A.
Negative divergence in both rsi and macd on hourly time frame
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.