Nifty 50 spot 24339.00 by Daily Chart viewNifty 50 spot 24339.00 by Daily Chart view
- Most probable Resistance Zone seen at 24750 to 24875 for Nifty 50 Index
- Gap Down Opening of 03-October-2024 got Filled Up and has been Closed
- Gap Down Opening of 05-Aug-2024 of 336 points got filled in by downfall of Nifty 50
- 24050 to 24175 decent Support Zone and it seems Nifty reversed tad low from 24073.90
- Nifty 50 Index traversed inside Bullish Rising Price Channel till the end of September 2024
- Currently in Bearish Falling Price Channel but seems taking reversal at Support Zone 24050 to 24175 anticipating upside
Nifty50
BSL LIMITED stock pattern formation on Daily Chart BSL LIMITED stock going in tight consolidation
am expecting a good up side move
company's earning report coming
Company is expected to give good quarter
keep in your watch-list
slow moving stock but have potential promoters holding stable
individual investors & FII's entered in this stock
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Nifty50 & Nifty500 Hits Critical Demand Zone: Ready for Bounce?Indian stock market has been in a downward for over a month, Let’s dive into the technical setups and explore potential scenarios.
🔥 Demand Zone Insight: Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) at Play
On Friday, Nifty 50 entered a demand zone, specifically a Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) zone — an area often indicating unfilled orders from institutional buyers. In strong markets, simply entering the zone could signal a buying opportunity. However, since the broader trend has been downward, it’s more prudent to look for confirmation.
Today, Nifty 50 delivered that confirmation entry by forming a bullish candle within this demand zone, suggesting that the price may now have the support it needs to reverse direction. This type of entry confirms that buyers are stepping in, providing traders a more reliable basis to consider potential setups.
📊 Nifty 500: Inside Bar as Additional Confirmation
For traders who prefer further confirmation, the Nifty 500 presents an interesting setup. After hitting a key support level last Friday, the index printed a bearish candle (-1.27%) followed by a small, 0.67% bullish candle today — a formation known as an inside bar .
🛠️ Trading the Inside Bar: Breakout Signals
An inside bar indicates price consolidation and often precedes a breakout. By waiting for this breakout, traders can add another layer of confirmation before entering.
Bullish Breakout : A price rise above today’s high could signal a potential reversal and strengthen bullish momentum.
Bearish Continuation : If the price falls below today’s low, we may see the downtrend continue.
⚠️ Final Thoughts 📉
Nifty 50’s demand zone and today’s bullish candle hint at an early sign of a potential reversal. However, with the daily trend still pointing downward, a more cautious approach may be wise. Waiting for additional confirmation through an inside bar breakout in Nifty 500 could provide stronger validation. If tomorrow Nifty 500 breaks above today’s high, this would confirm the inside bar breakout, offering a clearer reversal signal and a green light to plan buy entries in selected stocks based on your setups. Conversely, if Nifty 500 breaks below today’s low, it may indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
Lastly, Thank you for your support, your likes & comments.
"Successful trading is the art of waiting for the perfect moment." 📈
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. Please note, I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Nifty Falling And TargetNIFTY50: 4H | OCT 28
WHY MARKET IS WEAK ?
1FII SELLING
2Correction is part of market & Indian market was in continues UPTREND
3 Stocks Results are not upto the expectations
4 US ELECTION
5 WAR SITUATIONS
◆ NOW WE WILL GO WITH LEVELS BREAK POLICY
✦ MARKET IS IN COMPLEX CORRECTION I'M NOT ABLE TO DECODE IT AS OF NOW X
✦ My Expectations!!
• Market will run on BOUNCE AND SELLING (LEVELS ON CHART ARE POSSIBLE REVERSAL LEVELS)
Even it is possible in next month market willl touch 22000
(But it will be slow moves no sharp selling X)
It's my personal view
#NIFTY50
Update on #YESBANK The company has recently released its results and the results are outstanding with net profit rising 145 percent. I expect a strong rally with bullish momentum from here as we have filled the FVG between 17.5 to 19.5 and due to the strong financial result we could see serious bullish momentum take over. I had shared 3 entries at ₹23, ₹20 and ₹19.5 . All three of your entries should now be active.
These entries were perfectly timed with the result of yes bank and correction in nifty . I believe we will reach the three targets that I had mentioned within 4 to 5 years from here now.
Target prices ₹93, ₹120 and 280, check out my earlier post on Yes bank for more information about the company's fundamentals and technical.
Nifty 50's Top Constituents Stand Tall Amidst Uncertainty◉ Abstract
The recent decline in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several interconnected factors affecting market sentiment. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have increased uncertainty and volatility among investors. Additionally, significant foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, surpassing ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024, reflect concerns over high valuations in Indian markets compared to more attractive options abroad. Weak earnings reports from Indian companies have further fueled investor anxiety, prompting reassessments of growth sustainability.
Overall market sentiment has turned cautious due to uncertainties surrounding upcoming events like the US elections and ongoing geopolitical issues, leading to a broader sell-off. Technical analysis indicates potential support levels between 22,750 and 23,000, while valuation metrics suggest that despite recent declines, many key Nifty stocks remain fairly valued, with caution advised for new investments during this volatile period.
Read full analysis . . .
◉ Introduction
The recent fall in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several key factors that have affected market sentiment and investor behaviour.
● Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the Iran-Israel war, has heightened global uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has led to fears among investors, contributing to market volatility and declines in stock prices
● Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows:
There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors, with outflows reaching above ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024. This trend is partly driven by concerns over peak valuations in Indian markets compared to cheaper valuations in other markets, such as China
● Weak Earnings Reports:
Recent quarterly earnings from Indian companies have shown weakness, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth. This has led to increased selling pressure as investors reassess their positions in light of disappointing financial performance
● Market Sentiment and Investor Jitters:
Uncertainty surrounding upcoming events, such as the US elections and ongoing geopolitical tensions, has made investors cautious. This sentiment is reflected in the broader market sell-off and a lack of confidence in taking long positions during this volatile period
◉ Technical Analysis
● Weekly Chart
➖ The weekly chart indicates a strong upward trend, with the index consistently achieving higher highs and lows.
➖ However, a significant selling pressure from the peak has led to a sharp decline.
We expect to find potential support in the range of 22,750 to 23,000.
● Daily Chart
➖ The index has broken through the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ While there is immediate support around the 23,900 to 24,000 level, we believe the index may struggle to maintain this level and could drop further.
➖ Robust support is anticipated between 22,750 and 23,000.
◉ Valuation Analysis
➖ The Nifty PE Ratio has dropped to 22.5, slightly below its 1-year average of 22.6 and significantly lower than its 5-year average of 25.24. This suggests that the Nifty is currently fairly valued.
➖ However, the recent quarter's lacklustre EPS growth is a concern, exerting downward pressure on the major index.
As the major index struggles, it's worth taking a closer look at the key Nifty constituents that carry substantial weightage.
1. HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 11.34%
● Technical Overview
➖ For nearly three years, the stock has been range-bound, exhibiting stability.
➖ Despite the broader market's downturn, it has shown no reaction, suggesting that its sideways movement is likely to continue.
● Valuation
➖ The stock currently trades at a PE ratio of 19.2, moderately above its 1-year median PE of 17.5.
➖ Notably, the company's earnings performance has shown improvement, with a quarter-over-quarter increase in EPS:
June quarter: ₹21.65
September quarter: ₹23.36
2. Reliance Industries NSE:RELIANCE
Sector - Oil & Gas
Weightage - 8.64%
● Technical Overview
➖ Following a record peak near 3,200, the price retreated and is now approaching its key support level of 2,550.
● Valuation
➖ The current PE ratio of 26.5 indicates undervaluation relative to its 1-year median PE of 28.3.
➖ Earnings growth supports this positive valuation outlook:
Current EPS: ₹24.48
Previous quarter EPS: ₹22.37
3. ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 7.74%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has maintained a strong uptrend, demonstrating remarkable resilience amidst recent market downturns.
➖ However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term pullback towards the 1,100 level cannot be ruled out.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 18.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 17.9.
➖ EPS improved significantly from ₹16.62 in June to ₹18.38 in September, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial performance.
4. Infosys NSE:INFY
Sector - Information Technology
Weightage - 5.83%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has successfully broken out of its Rounding Bottom pattern and is now consolidating above the breakout level.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 28.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 26.4.
➖ Earnings growth, although subdued, remains stable:
June quarter: ₹15.34
September quarter: ₹15.67
5. ITC NSE:ITC
Sector - FMCG
Weightage - 4.16%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock remains in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and lows.
➖ After reaching an all-time high of 528, the price has pulled back and is now testing its crucial support zone between 460-470.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 29.4 suggests a minor overvaluation compared to its 1-year median PE of 27.
➖ Furthermore, the earnings per share (EPS) has declined from the previous quarter, falling from ₹4.08 in June to ₹3.99 in September.
6. Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL
Sector - Telecom Services
Weightage - 3.95%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock price has experienced a notable rise.
➖ After hitting an all-time high near the 1,780 level, it has corrected and is anticipated to find support along its trendline.
● Valuation
➖ The stock's current PE ratio of 83.5 significantly exceeds its 1-year median PE of 65.3, indicating substantial overvaluation.
➖ Ahead of the upcoming quarterly results, earnings execution is not expected to be robust, potentially leading to a sharp correction in the stock price.
◉ Conclusion
Analysis of six pivotal Nifty 50 stocks reveals that, excluding Bharti Airtel, they are fairly valued. With a combined weightage of over 40%, these stocks underpin index stability
Given this significant representation, we do not foresee a drastic decline in the index from either a technical or fundamental standpoint.
However, the ongoing war may impact global sentiment, influencing market mood. Therefore, we advise caution when considering new buy positions.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Oct 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Oct 2024
Bullish-Above 24280
Invalid-Below 24230
T- 24550
Bearish-Below 24070
Invalid-Above 24120
T- 23770
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note last week. We already discussed last week that index is approaching 23700 zone. It is in flow since then in the downside. Also keep on riding with PDH as trailing SL. If a daily candle closes above PDH then we will exit our shorts and wait for fresh trade setup positionally. 24280 and 24070 are intra levels for next session.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24280 post pullback then we will long for the target of 24550.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24070. T- 23770.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Database Option Trading #TradingviewOption chain data is the complete picture pertaining to option strikes of a particular stock or index in a single frame. In the Option chain frame, the strike price is at the centre and all data pertaining to calls and puts on the same strike are presented next to each other.
Nifty 1W Technical Analysis & CommentaryIndian Stock Market Update
- Nifty and Bank Nifty have been plunging for a week, and we are witnessing major sell-offs.
- The primary reasons behind the drop are: 1) All indices were overstretched, 2) Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) are pulling out their money and moving it elsewhere, and 3) Institutions are booking profits across the board, trapping late buyers who fell for fear of missing out (FOMO).
- I am sticking to my plan, which I always follow. I won’t make a single penny’s long-term investment right now unless I see significant flash crashes. Market premiums are still high, and these influencers are unhelpful; when the market is rising, they talk about even higher highs, and the moment it turns bearish, they start discussing defensive plays. Your focus should be on understanding your wealth profile first, assessing asset allocation, and evaluating your liquidity. What if the market falls more?
- The market will soon show us a dead cat bounce, which will be an exhaustion rally; don't fall into that trap again.
- I will start swinging again once the index begins to stabilize and I see setups forming that meet my criteria and rules. Until then, I will remain on the sidelines, read books, and focus more on the crypto market.
- For now, fold your chips, let the market do its thing, and wait for it to normalize instead of forcing setups.
Nifty Falls to 20400 by July 2024 !
*** PURELY EDUCATION PURPOSE***
This is a weekly candlestick chart of the Nifty 50 Index, a benchmark stock market index in India, showing price movements over time. Here's a breakdown:
Candlesticks:
Each candlestick represents the price action of a week.
Green candles represent weeks where the price closed higher than it opened, indicating upward movement.
Red candles represent weeks where the price closed lower than it opened, indicating a downward movement.
Current Market Status:
The chart shows a recent downtrend, where the Nifty 50 Index is falling. The most recent candle is red, showing a weekly decline of 2.71%.
The latest price is 24,180.80, which is the level where the market closed at the time of the chart.
Support Trendline:
A blue upward-sloping trendline is drawn, connecting recent lows. This trendline represents a potential support level, where the price might bounce back after falling.
Future Projection:
There is a green shaded box near the lower part of the chart labeled "Market may come to this zone by July 2025".
This suggests that possible decline in the Nifty 50 Index towards the 20,400 - 20,000 zone by mid-2025. This zone could act as a future support area.
Context:
The chart shows a medium-term view, with the projection implying that after the recent pullback, the market might continue to decline, potentially reaching the projected support level in the coming months.
In summary, this chart reflects a possible bearish outlook for the Nifty 50, with a potential target zone between 20,000 and 20,400 by mid-2025, based on the current downtrend and the support trendline drawn.
Trading Medicine Part 21. Long call. In this option trading strategy, the trader buys a call — referred to as “going long” a call — and expects the stock price to exceed the strike price by expiration. The upside on this trade is uncapped and traders can earn many times their initial investment if the stock soars.
Options contracts are considered risky due to their complex nature, but investors who know how options work can reduce their risk. Various risk levels expose investors to loss of premiums, gains, and market value loss.
Trading Medicine Options are a type of contract that gives the buyer the right to buy or sell a security at a specified price at some point in the future. An option holder is essentially paying a premium for the right to buy or sell the security within a certain time frame.
Is option trading profitable? Options trading is a risky endeavor but can be profitable if done correctly. There is no guarantee that any particular trading strategy will be consistently successful, but a few methods have proven to be effective more often than not.
PCR Part - 1What is PCR in share market? A Put-Call Ratio is a technical indicator used in derivative markets. It gauges market sentiment by comparing the open interest or trading volume of put options to call options. A high ratio generally suggests a bearish outlook, while a low ratio indicates a bullish sentiment.
A PCR value below 1 is indicative of the fact that more Call options are being purchased relative to the Put options which signals that investors are anticipating a bullish outlook for the markets ahead.
Nifty50 Crosses Head and Shoulder Pattern, Resistance at 23895Details:
Asset: Nifty50 Index
Breakout Level: Nifty50 crossed the head and shoulder pattern
Current Level: 24472
Potential Resistance: 23895
Stop Loss: Based on risk tolerance or technical analysis
Timeframe: Short-term, dependent on market sentiment and election outcomes
Rationale: Nifty50 has broken through a head and shoulder pattern, a typically bearish indicator. The next significant resistance level appears at 23895. The market may see further downside unless positive developments, such as favorable election results, provide relief.
Market Analysis:
Bearish Pattern: The head and shoulder pattern indicates potential further downside. Nifty50 may continue to decline unless a reversal is triggered by positive news or market catalysts.
Election Impact: Election results could play a crucial role in determining the market’s direction, especially in a sensitive period like this.
Price Target:
Resistance is likely at 23895. If Nifty50 fails to break this level, it may see continued bearish momentum.
Risk Management:
Adjust stop losses based on individual risk tolerance and technical analysis, especially given the uncertainty around political outcomes.
Timeframe:
The timeframe for reaching resistance at 23895 could be short-term, but broader market trends and election outcomes may impact the index's movement.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The setup leans bearish, with the head and shoulder pattern indicating downside risk. Ensure stop-loss levels are adjusted for volatility.
Monitoring the market's response to political and macroeconomic factors will be key for Nifty50's near-term outlook.
Advanced Rsi Divergence TradingRSI Divergence occurs when the Relative Strength Index indicator starts reversing before price does. A bearish divergence consists of an overbought RSI reading, followed by lower high on RSI. At the same time, price must make a higher high on the second peak, where the RSI is lower.
If used correctly, RSI divergence can be profitable, providing early signals of trend reversals. However, it also carries risks, and traders should use it alongside other indicators and proper risk management strategies.
Is the Bottom Made in Nifty & BnK Nifty ?? Positive Divergence in NIFTY in Daily, 2 hours chart. Any close above 25000 levels will open doors for 25200. above tht 25500-25777 would be seen.
Bank Nifty is creating cup and handle pattern in the short timeframe of 2hours. Breakout has been made, from here it has hurdles every 200 points 52400-52600-52850-53050 level. Bank nifty is poised for more upside but should see 51990 once again before the upside journey !
Technical Analysis MACD HIstogram Key Takeaways
The moving average convergence divergence (MACD) is a popular momentum indicator that is used in technical analysis.
The MACD is calculated by comparing exponential moving averages in a security's price.
The MACD line is charted alongside a nine-day moving average of the MACD line, called the signal line, and a histogram representing the difference between these two curves.
Traders use the MACD histogram to anticipate changes in market momentum.
MACD analysis can still generate false price predictions. Experienced traders use additional metrics and fundamental analysis to support their forecasts.
This example should demonstrate how observing the MACD histogram can help anticipate changes in trends in both short-term and long-term price momentum. It is important for traders to learn to recognize these trends and not bet against them. Fighting a trend is a sure way to get pummeled.
MACD TRADING / Technical AnalysisMoving average convergence/divergence (MACD) is a technical indicator to help investors identify entry points for buying or selling. The MACD line is calculated by subtracting the 26-period exponential moving average (EMA) from the 12-period EMA.
The MACD indicator (or oscillator) is a very popular indicator among traders around the world for identifying trends and reversals. It was invented around 1977 by Gerald Appel, who was looking for a quality indicator that could immediately be interpreted.