Case 1 : Bears come back - Midcap index falls further by 25-30% & new high occurs in 18-20 months ( March 2021) thereafter
Case 2: Bulls take charge from here on & index hits / crosses new high in 10-13 months ( Aug-Oct 2020)
Mid cap 100 have made a fast run in the past
making an contracting flat in the middle ( wave 2) and jumped the Guns ,
Now the current drop is very slow and it shows clear indication that it will high likely will make one more drop before making an turn around
I am plotting on the best possible pattern suites to current price move ,
I am looking the end of...
CNXMIDCAP index broke below curcial support level of 16150 to continue its downward journey towards next support level of 14100. Trade on the short side.
Current level is 15700 with target of 14100 and stop above 16150 gives a risk:reward ratio of 1:3.55
Though we cannot directly trade midcap index similar to nifty and banknifty.. Point is to select midcap...
There is a Head and shoulder setup on Cnxmidcap weekly chart.
The neckline is forming around 16000 - 16300 zone. It should not breach that level and give weekly close below than that.
Otherwise it will open up 2000 points downward space.
Ofcourse Midcap index is not trade-able directly. However many people are routing their money through SIPs in many Midcap funds.
Explained on chart. There is no such history of events which can be used to predict future trend. Normally, mid cap stocks in the last leg of bull run. Here, we are seeing contradictory picture. Bull run doesn't look broad based as only few of the stocks have contributed in rally which is not a good signal. Also if we see mid cap performance since the high of 2008...
CNX Mid cap Index is consolidating in 18500-16000 range. Falling trendline should provide resistance at the upper level. H&S pattern is clearly visible on daily and weekly chart which is also supported by death cross (50 DEMA below 200 DEMA). Target of H&S is 13300 but we can see visible support at 13600 (arrow). ADX is showing mixed trend for market as both +DI...