Nifty50
Aether Ind forming H&S on weekly charts.A perfect Head and shoulder pattern formation in Aether Ind.
Aether Industries is engaged in the production of intermediates and specialty chemicals. Products for Pharmaceutical, agro chemical, material sciences, coating, photography, additive and, oil and gas, segments of chemical industry.
MCap = 10491 Cr
P/E Ratio = 103
The company has grown in sale by 30% since September 2021 while the expenses has gone up by 40% from 101 Cr to 142 Cr. Opertaing profits are down by 1% (Sept 2021) to 28%
Technically the stock might take a dip to its listing price of 703.
The overall market is too looking bearish for now as nifty has created another LOWER LOW.
Aehter can be shorted below 766 levels upto the listing price for a short term bearish move.
Pattern formation looks bearish and RSI indicator is showing a divergence. Though, the indicators are lagging but adds on too the price action.
Either the stock will revert after testing the Neck line or will consolidate and give Break Out Or Break Down.
Entry should be targeted only once the levels is breached on the lower side and close is given on the lower side.
Positional or swing short sell trades can be initiated on the break down.
HINDUJA GOLBAL SOLS
**TYPE - BUYING (CE) INVEST **
- ** IFB AGRO #HGS **
**WINE MAKING COMPANY** (TIME-30SEPTEMBER, ARCHIVE TARGET, RISK REWARD-1.3)
- **QUITE BREAKOUT POSSIBLE
**** BUY-750
9o SL-740
TARGET-800
**-Trade Analysis- macd and rsi 50 are quite break out ** (slow movements of buying, don't pennic, lesson SWING TRADE)
-IN TECHNICAL CHART - W PATTERN AND FINNOWACT PATTERN TO HIGHER BULLISH TARGET
RANGE OF PROFIT 101 RUPPE UP SIDE
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Nifty 50 spot 24339.00 by Daily Chart viewNifty 50 spot 24339.00 by Daily Chart view
- Most probable Resistance Zone seen at 24750 to 24875 for Nifty 50 Index
- Gap Down Opening of 03-October-2024 got Filled Up and has been Closed
- Gap Down Opening of 05-Aug-2024 of 336 points got filled in by downfall of Nifty 50
- 24050 to 24175 decent Support Zone and it seems Nifty reversed tad low from 24073.90
- Nifty 50 Index traversed inside Bullish Rising Price Channel till the end of September 2024
- Currently in Bearish Falling Price Channel but seems taking reversal at Support Zone 24050 to 24175 anticipating upside
BSL LIMITED stock pattern formation on Daily Chart BSL LIMITED stock going in tight consolidation
am expecting a good up side move
company's earning report coming
Company is expected to give good quarter
keep in your watch-list
slow moving stock but have potential promoters holding stable
individual investors & FII's entered in this stock
Disclaimer: This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Nifty50 & Nifty500 Hits Critical Demand Zone: Ready for Bounce?Indian stock market has been in a downward for over a month, Let’s dive into the technical setups and explore potential scenarios.
🔥 Demand Zone Insight: Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) at Play
On Friday, Nifty 50 entered a demand zone, specifically a Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) zone — an area often indicating unfilled orders from institutional buyers. In strong markets, simply entering the zone could signal a buying opportunity. However, since the broader trend has been downward, it’s more prudent to look for confirmation.
Today, Nifty 50 delivered that confirmation entry by forming a bullish candle within this demand zone, suggesting that the price may now have the support it needs to reverse direction. This type of entry confirms that buyers are stepping in, providing traders a more reliable basis to consider potential setups.
📊 Nifty 500: Inside Bar as Additional Confirmation
For traders who prefer further confirmation, the Nifty 500 presents an interesting setup. After hitting a key support level last Friday, the index printed a bearish candle (-1.27%) followed by a small, 0.67% bullish candle today — a formation known as an inside bar .
🛠️ Trading the Inside Bar: Breakout Signals
An inside bar indicates price consolidation and often precedes a breakout. By waiting for this breakout, traders can add another layer of confirmation before entering.
Bullish Breakout : A price rise above today’s high could signal a potential reversal and strengthen bullish momentum.
Bearish Continuation : If the price falls below today’s low, we may see the downtrend continue.
⚠️ Final Thoughts 📉
Nifty 50’s demand zone and today’s bullish candle hint at an early sign of a potential reversal. However, with the daily trend still pointing downward, a more cautious approach may be wise. Waiting for additional confirmation through an inside bar breakout in Nifty 500 could provide stronger validation. If tomorrow Nifty 500 breaks above today’s high, this would confirm the inside bar breakout, offering a clearer reversal signal and a green light to plan buy entries in selected stocks based on your setups. Conversely, if Nifty 500 breaks below today’s low, it may indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
Lastly, Thank you for your support, your likes & comments.
"Successful trading is the art of waiting for the perfect moment." 📈
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. Please note, I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Nifty Falling And TargetNIFTY50: 4H | OCT 28
WHY MARKET IS WEAK ?
1FII SELLING
2Correction is part of market & Indian market was in continues UPTREND
3 Stocks Results are not upto the expectations
4 US ELECTION
5 WAR SITUATIONS
◆ NOW WE WILL GO WITH LEVELS BREAK POLICY
✦ MARKET IS IN COMPLEX CORRECTION I'M NOT ABLE TO DECODE IT AS OF NOW X
✦ My Expectations!!
• Market will run on BOUNCE AND SELLING (LEVELS ON CHART ARE POSSIBLE REVERSAL LEVELS)
Even it is possible in next month market willl touch 22000
(But it will be slow moves no sharp selling X)
It's my personal view
#NIFTY50
Update on #YESBANK The company has recently released its results and the results are outstanding with net profit rising 145 percent. I expect a strong rally with bullish momentum from here as we have filled the FVG between 17.5 to 19.5 and due to the strong financial result we could see serious bullish momentum take over. I had shared 3 entries at ₹23, ₹20 and ₹19.5 . All three of your entries should now be active.
These entries were perfectly timed with the result of yes bank and correction in nifty . I believe we will reach the three targets that I had mentioned within 4 to 5 years from here now.
Target prices ₹93, ₹120 and 280, check out my earlier post on Yes bank for more information about the company's fundamentals and technical.
Nifty 50's Top Constituents Stand Tall Amidst Uncertainty◉ Abstract
The recent decline in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several interconnected factors affecting market sentiment. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have increased uncertainty and volatility among investors. Additionally, significant foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, surpassing ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024, reflect concerns over high valuations in Indian markets compared to more attractive options abroad. Weak earnings reports from Indian companies have further fueled investor anxiety, prompting reassessments of growth sustainability.
Overall market sentiment has turned cautious due to uncertainties surrounding upcoming events like the US elections and ongoing geopolitical issues, leading to a broader sell-off. Technical analysis indicates potential support levels between 22,750 and 23,000, while valuation metrics suggest that despite recent declines, many key Nifty stocks remain fairly valued, with caution advised for new investments during this volatile period.
Read full analysis . . .
◉ Introduction
The recent fall in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several key factors that have affected market sentiment and investor behaviour.
● Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the Iran-Israel war, has heightened global uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has led to fears among investors, contributing to market volatility and declines in stock prices
● Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows:
There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors, with outflows reaching above ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024. This trend is partly driven by concerns over peak valuations in Indian markets compared to cheaper valuations in other markets, such as China
● Weak Earnings Reports:
Recent quarterly earnings from Indian companies have shown weakness, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth. This has led to increased selling pressure as investors reassess their positions in light of disappointing financial performance
● Market Sentiment and Investor Jitters:
Uncertainty surrounding upcoming events, such as the US elections and ongoing geopolitical tensions, has made investors cautious. This sentiment is reflected in the broader market sell-off and a lack of confidence in taking long positions during this volatile period
◉ Technical Analysis
● Weekly Chart
➖ The weekly chart indicates a strong upward trend, with the index consistently achieving higher highs and lows.
➖ However, a significant selling pressure from the peak has led to a sharp decline.
We expect to find potential support in the range of 22,750 to 23,000.
● Daily Chart
➖ The index has broken through the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ While there is immediate support around the 23,900 to 24,000 level, we believe the index may struggle to maintain this level and could drop further.
➖ Robust support is anticipated between 22,750 and 23,000.
◉ Valuation Analysis
➖ The Nifty PE Ratio has dropped to 22.5, slightly below its 1-year average of 22.6 and significantly lower than its 5-year average of 25.24. This suggests that the Nifty is currently fairly valued.
➖ However, the recent quarter's lacklustre EPS growth is a concern, exerting downward pressure on the major index.
As the major index struggles, it's worth taking a closer look at the key Nifty constituents that carry substantial weightage.
1. HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 11.34%
● Technical Overview
➖ For nearly three years, the stock has been range-bound, exhibiting stability.
➖ Despite the broader market's downturn, it has shown no reaction, suggesting that its sideways movement is likely to continue.
● Valuation
➖ The stock currently trades at a PE ratio of 19.2, moderately above its 1-year median PE of 17.5.
➖ Notably, the company's earnings performance has shown improvement, with a quarter-over-quarter increase in EPS:
June quarter: ₹21.65
September quarter: ₹23.36
2. Reliance Industries NSE:RELIANCE
Sector - Oil & Gas
Weightage - 8.64%
● Technical Overview
➖ Following a record peak near 3,200, the price retreated and is now approaching its key support level of 2,550.
● Valuation
➖ The current PE ratio of 26.5 indicates undervaluation relative to its 1-year median PE of 28.3.
➖ Earnings growth supports this positive valuation outlook:
Current EPS: ₹24.48
Previous quarter EPS: ₹22.37
3. ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 7.74%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has maintained a strong uptrend, demonstrating remarkable resilience amidst recent market downturns.
➖ However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term pullback towards the 1,100 level cannot be ruled out.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 18.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 17.9.
➖ EPS improved significantly from ₹16.62 in June to ₹18.38 in September, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial performance.
4. Infosys NSE:INFY
Sector - Information Technology
Weightage - 5.83%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has successfully broken out of its Rounding Bottom pattern and is now consolidating above the breakout level.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 28.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 26.4.
➖ Earnings growth, although subdued, remains stable:
June quarter: ₹15.34
September quarter: ₹15.67
5. ITC NSE:ITC
Sector - FMCG
Weightage - 4.16%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock remains in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and lows.
➖ After reaching an all-time high of 528, the price has pulled back and is now testing its crucial support zone between 460-470.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 29.4 suggests a minor overvaluation compared to its 1-year median PE of 27.
➖ Furthermore, the earnings per share (EPS) has declined from the previous quarter, falling from ₹4.08 in June to ₹3.99 in September.
6. Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL
Sector - Telecom Services
Weightage - 3.95%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock price has experienced a notable rise.
➖ After hitting an all-time high near the 1,780 level, it has corrected and is anticipated to find support along its trendline.
● Valuation
➖ The stock's current PE ratio of 83.5 significantly exceeds its 1-year median PE of 65.3, indicating substantial overvaluation.
➖ Ahead of the upcoming quarterly results, earnings execution is not expected to be robust, potentially leading to a sharp correction in the stock price.
◉ Conclusion
Analysis of six pivotal Nifty 50 stocks reveals that, excluding Bharti Airtel, they are fairly valued. With a combined weightage of over 40%, these stocks underpin index stability
Given this significant representation, we do not foresee a drastic decline in the index from either a technical or fundamental standpoint.
However, the ongoing war may impact global sentiment, influencing market mood. Therefore, we advise caution when considering new buy positions.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Oct 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Oct 2024
Bullish-Above 24280
Invalid-Below 24230
T- 24550
Bearish-Below 24070
Invalid-Above 24120
T- 23770
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note last week. We already discussed last week that index is approaching 23700 zone. It is in flow since then in the downside. Also keep on riding with PDH as trailing SL. If a daily candle closes above PDH then we will exit our shorts and wait for fresh trade setup positionally. 24280 and 24070 are intra levels for next session.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24280 post pullback then we will long for the target of 24550.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24070. T- 23770.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.