CDSL: Elliott Wave AnalysisThe CDSL daily chart indicates that the stock is in an impulse.
See the counting using Elliott Wave theory where the major wave (2) (shown in red) bounced from the 81.2% level to enter into wave (3).
The subordinate of wave (3) are shown in blue colour, where we can see the subordinate wave (2) of major wave (3) bounced from 61.8%.
To get the possible projection of the subordinate wave (3), I have applied Fibonacci extension to it, and we can see the price is at 200% extension currently. If the recent high is not broken up, we can presume that this is the top of wave (3).
Now, wave (4) will form. And for predicting wave (4) target that I have plotted the Acceleration Channel. This channel can be plotted by joining the line from the top of wave (1) to the top of wave (3) and then its parallel line from the bottom of wave (2).
This channel gives us a hint about where wave (4) may terminate.
Also, I have applied Fibonacci retracement from the bottom of wave (1) to the top of wave (3), and as we know that wave (4) may terminate between 23.6% and 38.2% levels.
So we can get some idea about where wave (4) may complete.
We can see there are clusters of Fib extension and retracement levels near these zones. So we may have a safe buying zone between those.
Important: Here, I have assumed that the subordinate wave (3) is completed.
If the price crosses above the recent top, then we have to replot and recount this study.
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
This is not any buying recommendations.
Nifty50
Advanced Institutions Level Trading || Part- 8Option Trading with India VIX and Nifty 50 in India
Introduction
Option trading in India has gained significant popularity in recent years, particularly among retail traders and institutional investors. Among the various instruments available, the Nifty 50 index options are the most traded due to their high liquidity and volatility. However, one key tool that helps traders make informed decisions in the options market is the India VIX (Volatility Index). Understanding the relationship between India VIX and Nifty 50 can give traders a strategic edge.
What Is Nifty 50?
The Nifty 50 is the benchmark index of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India. It comprises 50 of the largest and most liquid Indian stocks across sectors. The index represents the broader market and is widely used for benchmarking mutual funds, index funds, ETFs, and derivatives like futures and options.
Nifty 50 options are contracts that derive their value from the index itself. These contracts can be used to speculate on market direction, hedge positions, or generate income through strategies like writing options.
What Is India VIX?
The India VIX (Volatility Index) measures the market’s expectation of volatility over the next 30 calendar days. It is calculated based on the order book of Nifty 50 options. The index represents the degree of fear or complacency among market participants.
High India VIX: Indicates high expected volatility; usually occurs in uncertain or bearish market conditions.
Low India VIX: Indicates low expected volatility; typically seen in stable or bullish markets.
India VIX is also called the "fear gauge" of the Indian stock market, similar to the CBOE VIX in the U.S. markets.
Why India VIX Matters in Option Trading
Option prices are driven by several factors, primarily the underlying price, time to expiry, interest rates, dividends, and implied volatility (IV). India VIX is a real-time proxy for implied volatility in the Indian market, especially for Nifty 50 options.
Higher IV = Higher Option Premiums: When India VIX rises, option prices go up due to higher expected volatility.
Lower IV = Lower Premiums: When VIX drops, options become cheaper as volatility expectations fall.
Understanding India VIX helps traders anticipate how option premiums may behave and adjust their strategies accordingly.
Reliance industries ltd. Deep AnalysisSharing my Analysis on Reliance (RIL). (Only for Education Purpose)
This analysis is based on Higher Time Frame (Daily)
Past Move scenario ----
1. If we see on chart, after 3rd oct. 2024, Price has completed major liquidity sweep below internal lows followed by Market Structure Shift (Marked as MSS) and for that it took 6 months.
2. After that External liquidity sweep been performed near to 1100 levels which is also marked as Extreme POI which triggered an impulse move of 350 points with funds inflow which pushed price to 1451 levels. (Here it just took 1 months only)
Current Move Scenario ----
===upside there we saw volume imbalance + Breaker block where price is making resistance or rejecting upside move.
(Potential Short Term Supply Zone 1450-1488 levels)
Expected Short Term Bias ---
Downside levels --- 1335 (Breaker Block + Discount Zone)
Upside Resistance ---- Cross of Order block range 1496
Expected Long Term Bullish Bias -- Likely after Retracement to downside Vo. Imbalance and + Breaker block
Re-Entry Long Zone - 1335-1350
Upmove expected to 1500 Imbalance levels
above that Final External Liquidity zone to 1560
Steps --- Accumulation ---Expansion ---Re accumulation, targeting External Liquidity.
Everything mentioned on chart itself.
{Above Views are only for Education purpose and do not consider it as any Advisory. Consult your Financial Advisor before investments in any securities.}
YOur Views or Comments are Welcomed.
Option trading Who is the youngest successful stock trader in the world? 5 Youngest Stock Traders Ashu Sehrawat At only 22 years old, the self-made millionaire has created a name for himself as one of India's top stock traders.
Selling options spreads is one such strategy that fits the bill. It's often seen as one of the lowest risk option strategies because it allows you to have a pre-determined capped loss risk when trading. This way, you're not only minimizing risk but also generating income.
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 10 Jun 2025Nifty Prediction for Tomorrow:
Trend : Slightly Bearish upto 25050 & 24970
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : First half Bearish move then second half can expect BULLISH reversal.
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
India’s Growth Story & Sectoral RotationTopic: India’s Growth Story & Sectoral Rotation
Slide 1: Introduction to India’s Growth Story
India is one of the world’s fastest-growing major economies. With strong demographics, reform-driven policies, and rising consumption, India is projected to become the third-largest economy by 2030.
Key Drivers of Growth:
Youth population & rising middle class
Government capex & infrastructure push
Tech innovation & digital economy
Global supply chain diversification (China+1)
Slide 2: Macroeconomic Tailwinds
✅ Stable GDP growth (6.5–7.5% range)
✅ Controlled inflation & improving fiscal health
✅ Strong forex reserves
✅ Structural reforms (GST, IBC, PLI schemes)
✅ FDI inflows & domestic manufacturing boost
Slide 3: Understanding Sectoral Rotation
Sectoral rotation is the shift in investor preference from one sector to another based on economic cycles, interest rates, or valuation changes. Smart investors track these rotations to maximize returns.
Why It Matters:
Not all sectors perform at the same time
Aligns portfolio with macro & earnings trends
Helps avoid underperforming sectors
Slide 4: Economic Cycle vs. Sector Performance
Economic Phase = Leading Sectors
Early Recovery = Auto, Capital Goods
Mid Expansion = Banking, Infra, IT
Peak FMCG, = Pharma
Slowdown Utilities, = Healthcare
Rotation typically happens quarterly to annually, often influenced by budget, RBI policy, and global cues.
Slide 5: Recent & Future Sector Trends
2023-2024 Themes:
Capital Goods & Infra: Capex surge
PSU Banks: Balance sheet revival
Defence & Railways: Govt-led spending
IT & FMCG: Facing margin pressure, expect rotation soon
Green Energy & EV: Emerging megatrends
2025 Outlook:
Watch for rotation into Financials, Consumption, Manufacturing, and selective Midcaps as earnings visibility improves.
Slide 6: Smart Investment Strategies
🔹 Use Sectoral/Thematic Mutual Funds or ETFs
🔹 Monitor quarterly earnings and sectoral updates
🔹 Combine with Smart SIP & dynamic asset allocation
🔹 Stay updated with policy announcements (Union Budget, RBI)
Smart SIP Strategy & Mutual Fund SelectionTopic: Smart SIP Strategy & Mutual Fund Selection
Slide 1: Introduction to Smart SIP Investing
A Systematic Investment Plan (SIP) helps investors build wealth gradually by investing fixed amounts in mutual funds at regular intervals. A “Smart SIP” goes beyond just monthly investing — it optimizes fund selection, timing, and asset allocation for better returns with lower risks.
Slide 2: What is a Smart SIP?
Traditional SIP vs. Smart SIP:
Traditional SIP invests the same amount monthly, regardless of market condition.
Smart SIP adjusts the investment amount based on market volatility, valuation, or technical indicators.
Smart SIP Components:
Dynamic contribution (more in dips)
Tactical asset allocation (equity, debt, gold)
Fund rebalancing every 6–12 months
Slide 3: Benefits of Smart SIP
✅ Enhances returns through market timing
✅ Reduces downside risk during bear phases
✅ Better rupee cost averaging
✅ Psychological edge (disciplined but flexible investing)
Slide 4: Mutual Fund Selection Criteria
When choosing funds, consider:
Category (Large-cap, Flexi-cap, Mid-cap, etc.)
Fund Manager Performance (Consistency over 3–5 years)
Expense Ratio (Lower = better returns)
Portfolio Quality (Diversification, sector exposure)
Fund Ratings (Morningstar, CRISIL, Value Research)
Slide 5: Types of Funds to Combine in a Smart SIP
Large Cap Fund – Stability & consistent returns
Flexi-Cap Fund – Dynamic across market cap
Mid/Small Cap Fund – Higher growth (add with caution)
Debt Fund – Hedge during market volatility
Thematic/Sectoral Fund – Optional, high-risk/high-reward
Slide 6: Ideal Smart SIP Strategy
🔹 Step 1: Allocate based on age & risk profile
🔹 Step 2: Use staggered investing — more in market dips
🔹 Step 3: Track fund performance quarterly
🔹 Step 4: Rebalance portfolio every 6–12 months
🔹 Step 5: Exit or reduce allocation when valuations are extreme
Bulls on Standby: Can Nifty Unleash Its Next Leg Higher?As anticipated, Nifty consolidated within a 600-point range between 24,500 and 25,100 last week, ending with a modest weekly gain of around 1%.
Volatility eased as well, with India VIX declining by 9% to close at 14.63, reflecting improved market stability.
Open Interest (OI) data indicates immediate support at 24,800, backed by the highest concentration of put writing.
Looking ahead, there is a strong possibility that Nifty may breach the 25,100 resistance level in the coming sessions, which could trigger a swift rally toward the 25,500 mark.
Advance Institutions Option Trading - Lecture 4If you're looking for a simple options trading definition, it goes something like this: Options trading gives you the right or obligation to buy or sell a specific security on or by a specific date at a specific price. An option is a contract that's linked to an underlying asset, such as a stock or another security.
Options trading also involves two parties: the holder (buyer) and the writer (sometimes called the seller). Holders are investors who purchase contracts, while writers create them. The holder pays the writer a premium for the right to sell or buy a stock by a certain date.
Nifty 50 Weekly Technical Analysis for June 09–13, 2025~~ Technical Analysis ~~
Short-Term (Daily/Weekly):
The Nifty 50 is currently trading within an ascending channel on the daily/weekly chart, indicating a bullish structure. However, it faces resistance in the 25,050–25,070 range. A breakout above this could target 25,300–25,600, while a drop below 24,700 may signal short-term weakness.
Recent suggest the index is testing key support levels, with the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and a major trend line around 23,300–23,600 acting as critical support. A break below this could indicate a bearish shift.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart has previously hit oversold levels (below 30) in March 2025, suggesting potential for a bounce if similar conditions reoccur.
-- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational and educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
Nifty Technical Commentary Bias Directed Paths- Nifty is currently trading at 25,003
- Nifty has shown great strength after looking at how world Indices have been performing
- Nifty has now started a small consolidation and we have a void above where the price has a runaway gap while falling this should soon be filled
- Drawn path post the fill signifies we can move towards the ATH and
1) Deviate above the ATH and then fall hard after trapping many late longs
2) We might get rejected after filling the void and drop further
- The bullish scenario doesn't originate as long as we don't flip 25,131 on a weekly TF
- Manage risk and focus on more swinging stocks
Nifty 50 spot 25003.05 by Daily Chart view - Weekly UpdateNifty 50 spot 25003.05 by Daily Chart view - Weekly Update
- Support Zone 24675 to 24780 sustained by Nifty Index
- Nifty 50 Index Daily Chart Resistance Zone 25200 to 25450
- Breakout seems in progress from the descending triangle setup
- Gap UP Opening of 12-May-2025 of 225 odd points, needs closure sooner or later
- *Nifty 50 Index yet lagging well behind to create a New ATH unlike the Bank Nifty Index*
Nifty 50 Weekly Technical Analysis for June 02–06, 2025~~ Technical Analysis ~~
Trend: The Nifty 50 is currently in a Sideways trend. A close above 25800 level could signal a shift to a bullish trend.
#Support and Resistance:
Support: Key levels at 24,552, 24,485, and 24,200 further buying expected near 24,300 if breached.
Resistance: Immediate resistance at 24,666, 24,712, and 24,780. A breakout above 24,900 could push the index toward 25,200–25,600, while a sustained move above 25,050–25,070 may target 25,350–25,600.
Chart Patterns: The Nifty is consolidating within a 24,600–25,050 range, moving within an ascending channel. A bearish candle formed recently, breaching the 20-day EMA, indicating potential weakness unless it holds above 24,300.
Momentum Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is mildly bullish at 65.47 for Bank Nifty, but Nifty-specific RSI data suggests consolidation. Oversold conditions (RSI sub-30) have historically signaled potential bottoms or bounces at levels like 23,900–24,100.
-- Disclaimer --
This analysis is based on recent technical data and market sentiment from web sources. It is for informational and educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves high risks, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always conduct your own research or consult a SEBI-registered advisor before trading.
#Boost and comment will be highly appreciated
Outlook on nifty 50 for the next week. Is it going trending?Nifty 50 on the daily chart is trading in a range and has respected the zone quite effectively.
Index has remained sideways since a 3.82% move on 12th may. Market trade in cycle and after a sideways cycle, a trending market is predicted.
Either side movement can be seen in the index as 18 bars or 24 days it has remained in the range.
Major Resistance :- 25125, 25500
Major support :- 24500, 23930
This 600 range and change into same range of trending market.
Even the moving averages are coinciding and forming a MA gate which can give good momentum trading setup
Wait for the price action near the price levels before forming a trading basis. Trade only the setup and wait for the retest on either side.
NIFTY 50 – Trendline Breakdown! What's Next?The NIFTY 50 has broken below a key rising trendline, signaling a potential end to the recent bullish momentum. This breakdown is supported by price action, volume analysis, and open interest data, indicating a shift in market structure.
📊 Chart 1: OI + Volume Profile Insights
Heavy Call OI buildup near 24,800–25,000, creating a strong resistance zone.
Price rejected from this area and broke below the ascending trendline.
Breakdown came with increased selling interest and a low volume node below 24,500, which could trigger a swift move downward.
Multiple expiry OI clusters confirm the bearish bias in the near term.
📈 Chart 2: Price Action + Volume Structure
Rising channel/wedge decisively broken on high volume.
Key support at 24,400–24,500 is being tested.
Below this zone, next supports lie at:
23,750 (horizontal demand zone)
23,048 (Feb–March consolidation zone)
22,771 (weekly demand)
Volume indicates increased participation at the top — possibly distribution.
⚙️ Trade Setups
🔻 Bearish Breakdown
Entry Trigger: Below 24,500
Targets: 24,200 → 23,750 → 23,050
Stop Loss: 24,620
🔁 Bullish Reversal
Entry Trigger: Close above 24,800
Targets: 25,000 → 25,200
Stop Loss: 24,600
⚠️ Rangebound Watch
Entry Trigger: Between 24,500–24,800
Targets: Wait & react
Stop Loss: –
🧠 Summary
This is more than a minor dip — it's a technical structure break:
✅ Trendline lost
✅ Rising wedge breakdown
✅ OI resistance above
✅ Volume confirming shift
Unless the bulls reclaim 24,800+ soon, the path of least resistance appears downward.
💬 What’s your bias — breakdown or bounce? Share your view in the comments.
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 04 Jun 2025Nifty Prediction for Tomorrow:
Trend : 1st Half BEARISH / Sideways then BULLISH (Trend Reversal at 24400 level be expected)
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Trend Reversal from 1 Hr 200 EMA, or at support zone.
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Radico Khaitan at a Crossroads: Support, Resistance & MomentumThe stock is in a bullish trend and is forming a box consolidation and break outs.
On the weekly charts the stock is trading around the resistance zone and there are chance of either breaking out or retesting to the lower levels.
Stock seems strong bullish on the charts but indicators are suggesting a bearish move as the stock is around the resistance zone.
Short sell can be initiated in the stock with a strict SL.
On the bullish side the stock is respecting the monthly 20 EMA and has retested it thrice. Radico if turns bearish can be entered around the moving average as Good R:R in the trade can be seen.
Even on the weekly charts, the stock is trading above the moving averages chance of a retest are there but short sell the stock once the support zone in taken out.
Watch the stock a good ROI can be generated in the stock after the break out the stock will be forming new ATHs.
Wait for a pattern near the resistance either for a bearish or bullish move as it is trading around the crucial recent high levels of 2600-2680.
Stochastic indicator on the Monthly TF is trading in overbought zone while on the weekly TF its showing some bearish divergence. Even the monthly RSI is showing a bearish divergence.
Wait for the price action and trade accordingly.
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 03 Jun 2025Nifty Prediction for Tomorrow:
Trend : BEARISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : BEARISH Trend Continuation upto 24500 Target.
BULLISH only above 24820 Resistance zone. Until its Bearish only
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Nifty50 Analysis:Strong Demand Zone, Key Levels & Market Outlook
Nifty is consolidating within a range of 190 points, which is 24700 to 24880. Currently we have resistance at 25,071.45 and support at 24,700.
Watch closely as the index tests this narrow range. A breakout above 24880 can test 25,071 range, which could signal further bullish momentum above 25071, while a breakdown below 24,700 may bring more downside pressure to 24488 range
Option Chain Analysis
Looking at the Nifty options open interest data, the 24,800 strike has the highest Call OI of around 7.4 million and Put OI of around 4.6 million. This suggests a strong tug of war around 24,800.
This show Nifty is not able to move above the 24800 range, which is acting as resistance.
High call writing at 25,000 and above suggests these levels may act as resistance, while strong put writing at 24,500 and 24,400 levels could offer support. Watch for a breakout in either direction for confirmation.
On Nifty Daily chart
The index is in a rising channel and faced resistance near 25,092 and support at 24,460, forming a short-term consolidation phase.
Key support levels for Nifty are near 24,462, while the immediate resistance lies around 25,092. If these resistance levels are taken out with strong volume, we might see a fresh rally towards 25,853.
Nifty Outlook: Sideways Action Likely as June OpensAs anticipated last week, Nifty traded sideways, showing limited movement.
The current technical setup indicates the index may continue to remain range-bound in the upcoming week.
On the 30-minute chart, a symmetrical triangle pattern has formed, suggesting that a breakout in either direction could lead to a swift, short-term move.
Key Levels to Watch
Support: 24,500
Resistance: 25,100 – 25,150
A decisive breakout above 25,100, confirmed by two consecutive closes, could pave the way for a rally toward the 25,500 mark.
Meanwhile, Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) have cut their long positions to nearly half of April–May levels, reflecting a more cautious stance. Still, their net buying in the previous months, along with upcoming catalysts like the RBI policy announcement on June 6 and the progress of the monsoon, could potentially reignite market momentum.
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 02 Jun 2025Nifty Prediction for Monday 02 June 2025:
Trend : Mod. BEARISH
Sentiment : Negative
Expectation : BEARISH Trend Continuation upto 24500 Target
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
360 ONE Swing Long Setup - 360 O is currently trading at 1017
- 360 O is compressing its price and trying to consolidate into a small range
- Liquidity grabs are done I dont see any major deviation lined up to take our current swing buyers
- Market structure looks good as well higher lows being made with equal highs and right now price is forming a base one close above 1080 can easily put this above 1100 soon
- Manage risk properly






















