17 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty 130pts up after 11.25Remember how we closed on Friday? — up 110pts in 30mts. I seriously thought we would be seeing some profit booking today. So I carefully watched the opening price levels and exited my long position by 11.10.
All the trading indicators, technicals were saying more bullishness for nifty50. Even the options flow indicated the same. At 11.10 Nifty was looking bullish & banknifty was showing only sideways movement.
2 major global news hit the market
China’s lower GDP
Russia not extending the Ukraine grain deal
On a normal day, similar news could paint the markets in red & I did not want to take a risk, that is why I sold off the long position by 11.10 and waited on the sidelines.
It turned out to be a disaster, nifty went up another 129pts ensuring my position would have returned 750% returns if I hung on. The rally was kick started by Reliance & then HDFCBK joined the party with impressive Q1 results.
The chart, moving averages & other technical indicators are all showing immense bullishness now also. However I wish to stay out of this party for this expiry week.
Niftyintradaysetup
NIFTY-- Resistance Becomes Support ??The NIFTY index again broken the ATH...
multiple times break out above ATH and it's reversal....
so what happens in nifty is...the trend is bullish to Sideways...
it is also moves in a channel...
price faced resistance multiple times @19500-19520 zone...
if tomorrow price acts as a support...it again moves up...
if price again falls below price is continue its movement upto the trendline...
we have trendline support as well...until price breaks this trendline will be on the buy side...
if trendline failed to acts as support,the same zone is acts as resistance...
sellers takes price again to bottom side...
All this is pre and post market analysis...we cannot assume anything what happens...
will see on live market what's happening...
If this post is helpful please give me a like...
thank you guys for supporting me...
#Nifty"Good morning, friends! First of all, I'm really sorry. In recent days, I've had a little bit of trouble predicting the market's opening. That's my mistake, as I couldn't anticipate the GIFT Nifty movements and other result factors. So please bear with me, and I promise I will do my best.
As of July 17th, the global market is showing a neutral start with a moderately bullish market sentiment. There is a possibility of a slight gap-up opening. If the market sustains structurally, we can expect a rally continuation with minor corrections. On the other hand, if the initial market experiences a sharp decline, we can expect a range market correction."
NIFTY moving in a bull channelNIFTY has been creating new all time highs multiple times this week . Now moving in a parallel channel creating higher lows and higher highs . 19350 for the downside becomes a crucial swing level with price expected to make highs once again after some correction to the lower trendline.
Cheers !
Nifty trade plan for 17-07-20231. Nifty made new ATH on friday with very strong closing
2. Market has no resistance now
3. Suitable trade set up in only buy on dips from intraday to positional trade
4. Trade only at support areas with 15-20 points SL and reward upto 1:4-5 RR trade set up for intraday
5. No random trading
Nifty Important intraday levels !Nifty important intraday levels to watch on 14-07-2023 are as follows.
Immediate support: 19475
Immediate Resistance: 19520
Buy above: 19520 for the targets 19570, 19660
Sell below: 19475 for the targets 19420, 19370
Follow us for more such information and give it a like if you appreciate the idea.
Queries will be answered in the comment section.
14 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty - green 1hr candles after 10.30If you had witnessed yesterday's 13.15 hourly candle that took out 95pts ~ 0.49%, you would not have guessed Nifty will rebound today. At least I did not expect.
I was having a bullish bias on nifty50 which you can understand from the report yesterday, but the bullish PUT spread carried forward from yesterday had an unfavorable risk reward. I made up the mind to exit this credit spread at a decent level today & re-enter at a favorable ratio.
At 15.05 I exited the 19500/19400 PE at 60.9/33.4 for a marginal loss. And after that we had another 87pts rally ~ 0.45%. Not only I exited at a loss on a profit that would have gone immensely profitable had I hung on, I did not get a pull back to re-enter.
Today's rally mainly spearheaded by NiftyIT up 4.45% was definitely an event to watch. Nifty opened gap up but was showing a negative bias. We had a fall of 62pts till 10.20 after which it turned around and was grinding up slowly.
Banknifty on the other hand was falling continuously and it was evident its not going to support nifty today. But right at 14.45 some magic happened & banknifty turned around sparking a newfound momentum to nifty50 as well.
Not only nifty pushed through the 19500 level, but hit a new ATH of 19595 today. ie a total intraday swing of 161pts.
Further upside movements will be faced with very little resistances and its the easiest path for Nifty. Well that is what most traders will think and position for. I would personally like to wait out this trend and re-enter when the levels are bit for comfortable for me.
#nifty"Good morning! As of July 14th, the global market is showing a neutral start with a moderately bearish market sentiment. There is a possibility of a slight gap-down opening. If the market sustains this gap-down, we can anticipate a continuation of the correction with minor pullbacks. On the other hand, if the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, we can expect bending waves."
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 14/07/2023Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 19460 level and then possible upside rally up to 19580 in today's session. in case nifty trades below 19420 level then the downside target can go up to the 19300 level.
#nifty"Good morning! As of July 13th, the global market is showing a neutral start with a moderately bearish market sentiment. It might open with a slight gap-down. If it sustains, we can expect a continuation of the correction with minor pullbacks. Conversely, if the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, then the range market will continue. We can expect a rally only if the market breaks the previous high."
Nifty daily analysis for 13/07/23 (weekly expiry).Nifty is unable to cross above the high and has given a nice selling candle in the last hour.
The market today was in a sideways mood and consolidated in 40 points range during the middle hours and cracked down closing below the support level of 19400.
On the hourly charts, market traded around the 20 ema and closed below it.
Either side market is not giving any trend and option traders during the first and the last hour might have gained some points, else they might have given the stop losses.
On 15 minutes time frame, the market has closed between both the moving averages. And has given a down trend formation.
Support :- 19300, 19250
Resistance :- 19400, 19500
Tomorrow is weekly expiry and market has given trend moves both side in this week. Watch for the move and huge points can be capture if there is a fall.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
#niftyGood morning! As of July 12th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session. The global market is showing a positive start with moderately bearish market sentiment. It might open with a gap-up. If it sustains, we can expect the continuation of the pullback. after that if it rejects the immediate resistance zone, it will turn into a range market for correction. Conversely, if the initial market experiences a sharp decline, then the correction will continue.
FASP levels for Nifty 12/07/2023The FASP for Nifty is listed for 12-07-2023. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 11th JulyNifty has formed bearish price action, be cautious on buying particularly for tomorrow.
Expectations: Volatile Day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 19440
Sell Below - 19300
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
#nifty"Good morning! As of July 11th, the global market is showing a positive start with moderately bearish market sentiment. It might open with a gap-up. If it sustains, we can expect the continuation of the pullback. On the other hand, if it rejects the immediate resistance zone, it will turn into a range market for correction. Conversely, if the initial market experiences a sharp decline, then the correction will continue."
#nifty"Good morning! As of July 10th, the global market is showing a negative start with moderately bearish market sentiment. It might open with a gap-down. If it breaks the immediate support zone after the opening, we can expect the correction to continue. On the other hand, if the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, we can expect a minimum of 38% to 61% Fib pullback. After that, if it sustains, we can expect the pullback to continue. however, if it takes decline then we can expect correction continuation"
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 10th JulyNifty has formed bearish price action, be cautious on buying particularly for tomorrow.
Expectations: Volatile Day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 19540
Sell Below - 19460
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India Team
07 Jul '23 Post Mortem on Nifty - time for shortsNifty hits an all time high of 19523.6 at 10.00 today, this was after we opened gap down and then had a series of powerful green candles. The surge that took N50 higher was so special that if you looked at 10.00 AM you would never have thought of going short.
Opening gap down was due to the handout from the global markets & it was expected. but the 102pts rally to the ATH was unusual. I am quite sure the last of the bears would have exited the marketplace seeing the strength. Now when we look back, it seems like a classic pump and dump scheme!
Trades Taken
As soon as the N50 broke today's low 10.45, I took a bearish credit spread i.e sell 19500 CE at 62.25 and buy 19600 CE at 32.85. The max profit on this trade is Rs1470, max loss is Rs3530 and Break even = 19529.4. The risk:reward = 2.4.
This is taken for the current weekly expiry and since its a credit strategy, the time decay will help it. If the market stays as it is or continues to go down the position will remain profitable. If the market scales back up to 19500 levels quickly, my position will start bleeding & I would have to start running for cover.
1hr TF
The indicator gave a sell signal by 12.15 only on the 1hr chart. Since the intraday is viewed at a lower time frame of 15mts & 5mts - the trade was taken early.
N50 is currently at the 3rd July close levels wherein there was a top like formation. If we continue to fall from here then the trades between 03 Jul to 07 Jul will look like a blip on a longer time frame. Having said that 19330 will form the first support/resistance zone (although not strong).
#nifty"Good morning! As of July 7th, there is no significant difference compared to the last session. the global market is showing negative stats with moderately bullish market sentiment. It might open with a gap-down. After that, if it takes support around the immediate support zone, we can expect a range-bound market to rally continuation. On the other hand, if it breaks the immediate support, then the correction will continue."
Nifty intraday analysis for 7th July 2023If nifty breaks the channel upside, it may go higher. There are supports near 19460/19470 and 19400 levels. If it takes support on this levels, it may go upside further.
If nifty breaks the support level of 19400, we may see short selling about 100 points or more.
looks like nifty is bullish, multiple support zones are there.