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16 Apr 2024 -  Nifty Below 22295, Above 22051, Still BearishNifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "Ideally, we need one more red candle below 22295 for some bearish safety. 22051 is the next support level which could be taken out pretty easily if the shorts pick up momentum." Nifty hits an intraday low of 22079 today and a decent recovery to end the day at 22177 (22147 weighted average close). Honestly, the dip buyers were not that aggressive, but the bears were not really able to push down the prices.  If you look at the higher time frame i.e. 63mts, our closing today is almost midway between 22295 and 22051. Tomorrow 17th April is a holiday, so our markets will only resume trading on 18th. Thursday we have the Nifty50 expiry, so that makes things more exciting.  For bearish continuation, we need to take out the 22051, whereas for Neutral stance shift, we need to take out 22295. If we fall further below 21913 then that would also mean the negation of inverse H&S pattern of 20th March 2024. The Nifty50 algo trades ended with a profit of 9195, exited prematurely in the opening 30 minutes itself
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
#Nifty Directions and levels for April 16th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 16th: The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also indicates a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -220 point decrease. GiftNifty indicates a long gap-down, so I don't know where it will be opening. I'm just sharing Fibonacci levels. After the gap-down, if the market consolidates around any one of those levels, then we can expect further correction. On the other hand, if it rejects sharply, then we should seek additional confirmation for a reversal. If the pullback breaks the Fibonacci level of 38% in the minor swing, then we can consider it a reversal and set our targets at 61 and 78%. However, if it doesn't break the Fibonacci level of 38%, the correction may continue as usual."
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
1
15 Apr 2024–22295 support is taken out, I am short ⬇️ Nifty50Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️ Recap from yesterday: "On the higher time frame, we have a double top formation (M pattern). To negate the pattern we would have to take out the ATH, otherwise, it looks like a nice setup to go bearish. 22519 is a good interim support level, the main support comes only at 22295." I personally did not punch any manual or non-directional Algo trades today. The only trades I took were the directional trend strategy. Since 22295 support is broken, my view has changed from neutral to bearish. If Nifty can give a close above 22295 then I might roll back my stance to neutral again. The reason I did not place orders today was due to the assumption that the markets may behave irrationally today. VIX was very low, so a surge could offset the premiums in such a way that it could create unwanted slippage. Well, after backtesting with today's data, I felt it was a stupid idea to have waited on the sidelines and not played. The M pattern assumes more meaning now on the 63mts TF. Ideally, we need one more red candle below 22295 for some bearish safety. 22051 is the next support level which could be taken out pretty easily if the shorts pick up momentum. I hope the BTFD takes some rest for few days so that the Bears can do their thing.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22430 Invalid-Below 22380 T- 22660 Bearish-Below 22250 Invalid- Above 22300 T- 22050 NIFTY has closed on a complete bearish note with 1.1% cut today. In the weekend we discussed that index has formed a short term top as it formed a 2nd leg shooting star in weekly TF. Only thing is that it opened directly below sell level- 22500 so fresh positions could not be opened as per the discussed entry and RR. So one need to wait incase it retest 22600 to 22550 zone for the swing short entry. Tomorrow best trade will be in short side on a flat opening. Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22430 then we will long for the target of 22660. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22250. T- 22050 and 21825. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
#Nifty directions and levels for April 15th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 15th: The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -120 point decrease. I'm really sorry, I can't say exactly how the market will react today because of the geopolitical issue. However, this is my view today: if the market finds support around the immediate support level, then structurally we can expect a 23 to 38% pullback wave. If it has a three-wave structure, it's a better confirmation for correction. Even though after that pullback, if it rejects there (at 38%), then we can expect a correction that may reach once again the previous bottom. And if it breaks, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback sustains and breaks the fib level 38%, it could consolidate between the previous high and recent low. The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down breaks or consolidates around the immediate support level, it might continue the correction further."
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
Nifty analysis for 22nd March 2024looks like Nifty is trying to break the trendline above it. if nifty breaks the trendline, it may be a bullish movement. if it crosses below the 21900 level(support marked on the chart), a bearish movement is possible. Disclaimer: All information provided here is for educational purposes and not a recommendation, advice, research report, or stock tip of any nature. Analysis Posted here is just our view/personal study method on the stocks, commodities or other instruments and assets.
NSE:NIFTY
by sudeeptalayek
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 15 Apr 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it opened a gap-down and then continued the momentum. If we look at the chart: The market has broken the pattern to the downside. There is 200-ema support at the downside. I am expecting to take a little bounce back (consolidation) and then continue the bearish momentum. 22385 is going to provide very nice PA support. All important levels are marked on the chart. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.71, which shows neutral market sentiments. However, in the past three days, OI activity PCR has been falling gradually from 1.34 -> 1.18 -> 0.7. which shows bears are increasing their position in the market very actively. There is not much of the support downside right now. The market may continue the momentum after a little bit of consolidation. The bulls are very weak at this point. I am expecting the market to open a gap-down near 200 EMA and then touch 13 EMA after that fall. Reasons: EMA(200) < Price < EMA(13), which indicates Weak bulls structure in the market. (Bearish) RSI < 40 shows strong bears' power. (Bearish) PCR = 0.71, which has been falling rapidly from 1.34. shows bears are actively increasing their position size. (Bearish) Price < VWAP shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish) Verdict : Bearish Plan of Action : Wait for 13 EMA to touch, then sell 22500 PE (Hedge it with 15/- Premium)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
7
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 15 Apr 2024 Sell_1- From 22660 Invalid-Above 22710 T- 22500 Bearish-Below 22500 Invalid-Above 22550 T- 22300 NIFTY has closed with a bearish sentiment last week. It has formed a shooting star candle in weekly TF that too in the 2nd leg which I personally consider. There is a strong possibility of NIFTY topping out atleast for short term if it trades firmly below 22500 with ATH as risk. If there is gap up opening then we will plan a short trade from 22660 or else flat opening short below 22500 will be ideal trade. Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle below 22500 then we will short for the target of 22300 and then trail in 5 Min TF. On case of a gap up we will short from 22660. T- 22500. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
Nifty prediction for tomorrow 12 APR 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it ended sideways. If we look at the chart now: the market is trading ATH in the zone where it got heavy selling from this region. NIFTY is going to be sideways unless it breaks the GREEN trendline to the downside. The inside marked region (22617-22766) is sideways. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.21, which indicates the bullish market. 23200 CE have been written heavily. Other strike prices do not have significant writing. Everyone is in the waiting phase. As you can see in FII and DII data, actively also, options are indecisive. If we see FII & DII data , FII is strongly bullish on the future. Pros and Clients are Bearish on the future. Options data is indecisive, which shows that the market is likely to open sideways. There can be three possible cases: Case 1: Low probability Bullish case -> market breaks to the upside Case 2: The market is going to be sideways in (22617-22766). Case 3: If it breaks the trendline, then it can give a good bearish momentum. Reasons: Price >> EMA(200), that need to be corrected. EMA(13) slop is getting flat. Which indicates bulls are getting weak. RSI = 55 and having bearish divergence. Also, RSI is entering the 40-60 range, which might lead it to go sideways. Nifty is trading in the resistance zone. PCR = 1.21 shows bullishness. but FII and DII activity is totally indecisive. Verdict : Sideways or Bearish Plan of action : Sell 22750 CE and Sell 22650 PE(Hedge it with 15/- premium)
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
4
#Nifty directions and levels for 12th April.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 12th: The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -130 point decrease. Previously, Nifty had a solid pullback after a minor correction. But today, GiftNifty is indicating a negative start. So, if the market opens with a gap-down, then we can expect a minor correction that may reach the level of 22591 to 22568 (demand zone). After that, if it finds support around the demand zone, then we can expect a range market that may experience a minimum of 38% to 61% pullback wave. On the other hand, if it doesn't sustain or undergoes minor consolidation around the demand zone, then the correction will likely continue. Alternatively, if the market doesn't open that much down, then structurally it may turn into an ascending triangle structure (support level 22647, resistance level 22788).
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
10 Apr - Falling VIX, Rising Markets and Lower UncertaintyNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow also we are continuing our bullish view and would like to go neutral if we get a close below 22615" Nifty had a gap up opening and was stuck in a narrow range till 13.11 after which it picked up decent momentum. Nifty almost gained 101 points from the intraday low to take out the previous highs. The new ATH is now 22775. In the final 30 minutes, we gave away some gains but Nifty50 closed the day with a total gain of 111pts ~ 0.49% Just when we thought the momentum was fading, N50 managed to climb 100+ points and hit new highs. What is more interesting is that the US CPI (Inflation) data came hotter than expected. As I write this article, SPX, NDQ, and DJI are down over 1.1%. A spillover effect is definite but because we have a holiday tomorrow, we might have another day of US stock market action left to react. We wish to maintain our bullish stance and go neutral if we get a close below the 22689 levels.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
#nifty directions and levels for April 10th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 10th: There have been no changes since the last session. The global market trend is still moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a slightly neutral to a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point increase. Nifty has retraced 38% after the gap-up in the last session. Structurally, 38% is a strong support level. Therefore, if the gap-up sustains, initially we can expect a range-bound market within the range of the last trading day. Directional movement will occur only if it breaks the range either to the upside or downside. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, it might turn into a correction phase. However, it should break the Fibonacci level of 38%. If it does break, we can expect a minimum range of 22,558 to 22,501.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 10 Apr 24NIFTY opened a gap-up and fell sharply from 22768. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading at the resistance zone (4H-TF). Also, the market is trading at the support trendline. If the market breaks the support to the downside, it is going to generate a quick fall till 22471. Meanwhile, 22617-22766 is a sideways zone, as marked in the chart. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.13, which shows bullishness. But yesterday's PCR was 1.34. That shows the Bull's strength is decreasing, and bears are taking hold of the market. Also, there has been a very good CE writing 22700-23000. There was not much of PE writing today. The market is getting ready for some correction. If we look at the FII & DII data: FII is bullish; the Client is bearish. I am expecting a gap-up to open and then a fall. Reasons: PCR = 1.18 indicates a bullish structure. (Bullish) The market is trading in a resistance zone. There is a high probability that the market will have some correction. (Bearish) Price >> 200EMA and 13EMA >> 200 EMA that might lead to a correction in the market. (Bearish) RSI is showing bullish divergence, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways) Price < VWAP means the market is in the bears' favor. RSI ~ 40-60, which indicates a market sideways structure. Verdict: SIdeways or bearish Plan of action: Sell 22700 CE and Sell 22600 PE (Hedge with 20/- premium) Exit CE if it breaks the downside.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
3
#Nifty directions and levels for April 9th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 9th: The global market trend is still moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a slightly neutral to a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point. Nifty made another new high yesterday. Structurally, it may continue further if it breaks the previous high. So, if the gap-up sustains, then we can expect the rally continuation with minor consolidation. The reversal will occur only if it breaks the Fibonacci level 38% in the minor swing, meaning if it rejects any one of the resistance and the retracement breaks 38%, then only can we expect a reversal. An alternate view is similar to the above one: if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect initially minor correction that will reach a minimum of 23 to 38% Fibonacci level. The structure indicates a range market, so it might bounce back around 38% after the minor correction. However, if it breaks the Fibonacci level 38%, then it may turn into a correction phase.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 9 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 9 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22710 Invalid- Below 22660 T- 22865 Bearish-Below 22600 Invalid-Above 22650 T- 22420 NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.68% gain today. Index has picked the trend above our planned bullish level- 22620 discussed in the weekend analysis. Buy triggered above 22620 and gave a small move till 22697. Intraday momentum has really dropped and this is a historical reason as momentum dies in bull market, FUT and option selling suited market. Tomorrow 22710 will be an important resistance, a shooting star in 5 Min TF will be good to short. Below 22600 we will short. Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22710 then we will long for the target of 22865. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22600. T- 22420. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
#Nifty directions and levels for April 8th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 8th: The global market trend is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a still moderately bullish trend. It might open with a slightly neutral to a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +40 point. Nifty has a consolidation structure, so if the market breaks the consolidation (all-time high), then the rally will continue further. We can expect a minimum of 22660 to 22694; it is a major resistance level. If the market reaches with minor pullbacks, then we can expect reversal there. On the other hand, if it reaches with a solid structure, then it may take minor consolidation for further rally continuation. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if it rejects sharply again at the all-time high, then the range market might continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 8 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 8 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22620 Invalid-Below 22570 T- 22830 Bearish-below 22300 Invalid-Above 22350 T- 22090 NIFTY has closed on a neutral note with slight gain of 1.2% gain. However it has closed above 22500 after 6 attempts. The weekly candle is a neutral and indecisive candle, a spinning top. Above its high-22620 we will plan bullish view and below its low-22300 we will plan a bearish view. Probability of upmove seems high but will follow market to trigger. Index has created inside candle on Friday which indicates a potential compression in markets so between 22620 and 22300 we will avoid directional trade. Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22620 then we will long for the target of 22830 and 23030. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22300. T- 22090. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
04 Apr - Nifty - The first candle today came as a shocker!Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “This is because if Nifty50 reverses, there is no way BankNifty can maintain the positive momentum. For tomorrow we wish to start with the bullish stance itself and go neutral if the 22295 levels are not holding.” Absolutely crazy price action today, we fell a whopping 315 points ~ 1.4% after hitting new all-time highs of 22619. The fall was too furious that it would have taken out all the stop losses of Nifty expiry traders. If that did not, then I am very sure the price action from 10.55 to 13.31 would have. That is because we retraced 276 points ~ 1.24% to go above the swing highs of yesterday. A classic V-shaped pattern, something that is rare on an index like Nifty. If you trade BankNifty, you might have gotten used to it already. Now take a look at the 63mts chart, and see where the reversal came from ~ 22295 levels. That is the main reason why we said a stance change is required only if 22295 is broken and since we did not do that, we continue to remain bullish. But deep down it got me thinking, what is the reason we had a BIG RED candle in the opening 1 hour? No way it was related to technical analysis. It should be a news or macro economic event-related, maybe we will get to know in the RBI Governor MPC address tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 5 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 5 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22620 Invalid- Below 22570 T- 22830 23030 Bearish-Below 22300 Invalid-Above 22350 T- 22090 NIFTY has closed with a 0.36% gain today. It was most volatile day after many days, maybe due to RBI event tomorrow. It opened with a big gap up and 10 o'clock range was to be used as per trade setup. Range broke downside below 22380 and gave 70+ points move in favor then it recovered 70% from where it fell. Tomorrow it will be both way moves once again die to RBI Credit Policy. So Personally I will avoid trading tomorrow. Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22620 then we will long for the target of 22830 and 23030. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22300. T- 22090. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
#Nifty directions and levels for April 4th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 4th: The global market trend remains bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a still moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point. Nifty - structurally, there have been no changes; the market is still maintaining the range-bound structure. As per the Giftnifty indication, if the market opens gap-up, then we can expect the rally to continue with minor consolidation when it breaks the previous high. Alternatively, if it is rejected again around the previous high, then the range market will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22530 Invalid-Below 22480 T- 22767 Bearish-Below 22390 Invalid-Above 22440 T- 22190 NIFTY has closed at a striking distance to ATH and on verge of a ATH breakout. It ended on a flat note today. Tomorrow if at all it breaks ATH then possibility of a shot covering rally is high. A strong momentum trade can be planned above 22530 which will be best directional for tomorrow. 22390 is intraday support so below 22390 we will plan a short trade, target of 22190 will be confirmed below today's low. High probability trade is in buy side. Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22767. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22390. T- 22190. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
2
#Nifty directions and levels for April 3rd.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 3rd: The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -130 point. Nifty - structurally, there have been no changes compared to the previous session. It continues the consolidation structure. Today, Giftnifty is indicating a little bit of a long gap-down start. So, if the gap-down sustains, the market may follow the direction with minor pullbacks, meaning a correction may occur. However, even if it opens with a long gap down, if it finds support around the fib level 38%, then the range market might continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders