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10 Apr - Falling VIX, Rising Markets and Lower UncertaintyNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow also we are continuing our bullish view and would like to go neutral if we get a close below 22615" Nifty had a gap up opening and was stuck in a narrow range till 13.11 after which it picked up decent momentum. Nifty almost gained 101 points from the intraday low to take out the previous highs. The new ATH is now 22775. In the final 30 minutes, we gave away some gains but Nifty50 closed the day with a total gain of 111pts ~ 0.49% Just when we thought the momentum was fading, N50 managed to climb 100+ points and hit new highs. What is more interesting is that the US CPI (Inflation) data came hotter than expected. As I write this article, SPX, NDQ, and DJI are down over 1.1%. A spillover effect is definite but because we have a holiday tomorrow, we might have another day of US stock market action left to react. We wish to maintain our bullish stance and go neutral if we get a close below the 22689 levels.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
#nifty directions and levels for April 10th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 10th: There have been no changes since the last session. The global market trend is still moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a slightly neutral to a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point increase. Nifty has retraced 38% after the gap-up in the last session. Structurally, 38% is a strong support level. Therefore, if the gap-up sustains, initially we can expect a range-bound market within the range of the last trading day. Directional movement will occur only if it breaks the range either to the upside or downside. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, it might turn into a correction phase. However, it should break the Fibonacci level of 38%. If it does break, we can expect a minimum range of 22,558 to 22,501.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 10 Apr 24NIFTY opened a gap-up and fell sharply from 22768. If we look at the chart now: The market is trading at the resistance zone (4H-TF). Also, the market is trading at the support trendline. If the market breaks the support to the downside, it is going to generate a quick fall till 22471. Meanwhile, 22617-22766 is a sideways zone, as marked in the chart. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.13, which shows bullishness. But yesterday's PCR was 1.34. That shows the Bull's strength is decreasing, and bears are taking hold of the market. Also, there has been a very good CE writing 22700-23000. There was not much of PE writing today. The market is getting ready for some correction. If we look at the FII & DII data: FII is bullish; the Client is bearish. I am expecting a gap-up to open and then a fall. Reasons: PCR = 1.18 indicates a bullish structure. (Bullish) The market is trading in a resistance zone. There is a high probability that the market will have some correction. (Bearish) Price >> 200EMA and 13EMA >> 200 EMA that might lead to a correction in the market. (Bearish) RSI is showing bullish divergence, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways) Price < VWAP means the market is in the bears' favor. RSI ~ 40-60, which indicates a market sideways structure. Verdict: SIdeways or bearish Plan of action: Sell 22700 CE and Sell 22600 PE (Hedge with 20/- premium) Exit CE if it breaks the downside.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
3
#Nifty directions and levels for April 9th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 9th: The global market trend is still moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a slightly neutral to a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point. Nifty made another new high yesterday. Structurally, it may continue further if it breaks the previous high. So, if the gap-up sustains, then we can expect the rally continuation with minor consolidation. The reversal will occur only if it breaks the Fibonacci level 38% in the minor swing, meaning if it rejects any one of the resistance and the retracement breaks 38%, then only can we expect a reversal. An alternate view is similar to the above one: if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect initially minor correction that will reach a minimum of 23 to 38% Fibonacci level. The structure indicates a range market, so it might bounce back around 38% after the minor correction. However, if it breaks the Fibonacci level 38%, then it may turn into a correction phase.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 9 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 9 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22710 Invalid- Below 22660 T- 22865 Bearish-Below 22600 Invalid-Above 22650 T- 22420 NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.68% gain today. Index has picked the trend above our planned bullish level- 22620 discussed in the weekend analysis. Buy triggered above 22620 and gave a small move till 22697. Intraday momentum has really dropped and this is a historical reason as momentum dies in bull market, FUT and option selling suited market. Tomorrow 22710 will be an important resistance, a shooting star in 5 Min TF will be good to short. Below 22600 we will short. Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22710 then we will long for the target of 22865. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22600. T- 22420. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
#Nifty directions and levels for April 8th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 8th: The global market trend is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a still moderately bullish trend. It might open with a slightly neutral to a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +40 point. Nifty has a consolidation structure, so if the market breaks the consolidation (all-time high), then the rally will continue further. We can expect a minimum of 22660 to 22694; it is a major resistance level. If the market reaches with minor pullbacks, then we can expect reversal there. On the other hand, if it reaches with a solid structure, then it may take minor consolidation for further rally continuation. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if it rejects sharply again at the all-time high, then the range market might continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 8 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 8 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22620 Invalid-Below 22570 T- 22830 Bearish-below 22300 Invalid-Above 22350 T- 22090 NIFTY has closed on a neutral note with slight gain of 1.2% gain. However it has closed above 22500 after 6 attempts. The weekly candle is a neutral and indecisive candle, a spinning top. Above its high-22620 we will plan bullish view and below its low-22300 we will plan a bearish view. Probability of upmove seems high but will follow market to trigger. Index has created inside candle on Friday which indicates a potential compression in markets so between 22620 and 22300 we will avoid directional trade. Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22620 then we will long for the target of 22830 and 23030. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22300. T- 22090. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
04 Apr - Nifty - The first candle today came as a shocker!Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “This is because if Nifty50 reverses, there is no way BankNifty can maintain the positive momentum. For tomorrow we wish to start with the bullish stance itself and go neutral if the 22295 levels are not holding.” Absolutely crazy price action today, we fell a whopping 315 points ~ 1.4% after hitting new all-time highs of 22619. The fall was too furious that it would have taken out all the stop losses of Nifty expiry traders. If that did not, then I am very sure the price action from 10.55 to 13.31 would have. That is because we retraced 276 points ~ 1.24% to go above the swing highs of yesterday. A classic V-shaped pattern, something that is rare on an index like Nifty. If you trade BankNifty, you might have gotten used to it already. Now take a look at the 63mts chart, and see where the reversal came from ~ 22295 levels. That is the main reason why we said a stance change is required only if 22295 is broken and since we did not do that, we continue to remain bullish. But deep down it got me thinking, what is the reason we had a BIG RED candle in the opening 1 hour? No way it was related to technical analysis. It should be a news or macro economic event-related, maybe we will get to know in the RBI Governor MPC address tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 5 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 5 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22620 Invalid- Below 22570 T- 22830 23030 Bearish-Below 22300 Invalid-Above 22350 T- 22090 NIFTY has closed with a 0.36% gain today. It was most volatile day after many days, maybe due to RBI event tomorrow. It opened with a big gap up and 10 o'clock range was to be used as per trade setup. Range broke downside below 22380 and gave 70+ points move in favor then it recovered 70% from where it fell. Tomorrow it will be both way moves once again die to RBI Credit Policy. So Personally I will avoid trading tomorrow. Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22620 then we will long for the target of 22830 and 23030. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22300. T- 22090. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
#Nifty directions and levels for April 4th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 4th: The global market trend remains bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a still moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point. Nifty - structurally, there have been no changes; the market is still maintaining the range-bound structure. As per the Giftnifty indication, if the market opens gap-up, then we can expect the rally to continue with minor consolidation when it breaks the previous high. Alternatively, if it is rejected again around the previous high, then the range market will likely continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22530 Invalid-Below 22480 T- 22767 Bearish-Below 22390 Invalid-Above 22440 T- 22190 NIFTY has closed at a striking distance to ATH and on verge of a ATH breakout. It ended on a flat note today. Tomorrow if at all it breaks ATH then possibility of a shot covering rally is high. A strong momentum trade can be planned above 22530 which will be best directional for tomorrow. 22390 is intraday support so below 22390 we will plan a short trade, target of 22190 will be confirmed below today's low. High probability trade is in buy side. Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22767. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22390. T- 22190. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
2
#Nifty directions and levels for April 3rd.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 3rd: The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -130 point. Nifty - structurally, there have been no changes compared to the previous session. It continues the consolidation structure. Today, Giftnifty is indicating a little bit of a long gap-down start. So, if the gap-down sustains, the market may follow the direction with minor pullbacks, meaning a correction may occur. However, even if it opens with a long gap down, if it finds support around the fib level 38%, then the range market might continue.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 2 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 2 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22530 Invalid-Below 22480 T- 22780 Bearish-Below 22420 Invalid-Above 22470 T- 22200 NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.61% gain today. Entire gain has been contributed by gap up as it opened with 0.57% gain. For the rest of the day index traded between 22530 and 22430, inside 100 points. It has formed a shooting star candle in daily TF although closed with gains but daily candle suggests weakness. Yesterday's buy level was 22530 and same will be for tomorrow. Below 22420 index will be bearish in intraday. Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22780. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22420. T- 22200. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
01 Apr 2024 - Both indices are aligned in the same direction -UPNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “In the end, made peace with whatever happened during the day. When we start trading on 1st April, we will start with a bullish stance.” Nifty surprises everybody and recovers the loss of the final 45mts of trade on 28th March. What a good start to the new weekly, monthly, and yearly series. Unlike the previous quarters, I may not compile the daily posts into an ebook to post on Kindle, instead, it will be available on tradingview and my blog for reference & study. Nifty hit a new ATH today - 22529 and after that, the momentum faded slightly, but the downside was protected pretty well. 22443 acted as a good interim support. For all the non-directional option sellers, the first day of the new FY would have given a good green start to their PnL. On the higher timeframe, Nifty looks solidly poised for more bullish momentum. BankNifty went above its resistance today and for the first time in many sessions, we have both the indices facing the same direction i.e. UP. Ideally, we should see some followthrough buying and the index should continue to hit new highs. But before we go long, let us give it a day or two because the reaction today may be the after-effect of the adjustments and rebalancing that was done over the last 2 to 3 days due to year-end.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
#nifty directions and levels for April 1st.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 1st: The global market trend is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a similarly bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +40 point. Nifty has recently rejected nearly all-time highs. I anticipate the market may undergo some consolidation given the gap-up start indicated by Gift Nifty. If the market breaks the previous high after this consolidation, the rally will likely continue. Alternatively, if the gap-up is not sustained, we can expect a minor correction initially. If it finds support around the 38% level, it may form a consolidation structure. On the other hand, if it breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, we can expect a correctional wave ranging from 50% to 78%.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 1 Apr 2024 Bullish-Above 22530 Invalid-Below 22480 T- 22780 Bearish-Below 22250 Invalid- Above 22300 T- 22045 NIFTY has closed on a bullish note last week with 1% gain. It was a short week of 3 sessions but since start of the week bulls took charge and held till weekend. Now above 22530-50 we will witness another round of strong bullish move in daily TF. On Thursday itself we discussed about hourly TF breakout above 22215 and it gave a fantastic move. Also since it has been rejected from ATH zone so there is a pullback scenario below 22250 towards 22045, which is again a reversal level. Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22530 then we will long for the target of 22780. For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22250. T- 22045. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Mar 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Mar 2024 Bullish- Above 22215 Invalid- 22165 T- 22360 22550 Bearish- Below 22040 Invalid- Above 22090 T- 21880 21680 NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.54% gain today. It was firmly bullish since opening as buy triggered above 22080 and gave a steady move till 22200. However our targets were unachieved due to overall low momentum market. It has tested hourly resistance level 22210 which is a breakout level inside the overall parallel channel in hourly and daily TF. Tomorrow above 22215 we can expect a good upmove on flat opening. 22040 is today's low and an important bearish reversal point considered from hourly resistance - 22210. Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22215 then we will long for the target of 22360 and 22550 For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22040. T- 21880 and 21680. In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout. ========== I am Not SEBI Registered This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NSE:NIFTY
by Omahto
1
#Nifty directions and levels for March 28th"Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 28th: The global market trend is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -8 point. Nifty experienced a solid pullback in the last session, but the closing retraced a little bit. According to the wave structure, it could be in the 4th subwave. So, if the market opens neutrally, the 4th might consolidate a bit. After that, if it breaks the previous high, then we can consider that as a 5th subwave. It might reach a minimum of 22211 to 22262. If the 5th wave rejects there, then we can expect a correctional wave. On the other hand, if the market sustains around the 22262 level, then the 5th may extend further.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
27 Mar ’24 — Nifty takes out 22051 resistance, 22295 next?Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “We drew an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the 22nd. If that holds true, we should be getting some assistance tomorrow or the 28th” 4mts chart Nifty did more than okay today, we opened above the resistance level of 22051 and then steadily climbed to 22181 before cooling off. We then had another attempt from 13.11 to 14.15 where we went till 22193 before falling off the cliff. We fell exactly 100 points to 22100 levels and then managed to recover a bit to close at 22147. Ideally, we cannot make out anything significant today as most of the trades would have been year-end rebalancing - both by the DIIs as well as the FIIs. The inflow & outflow and weight adjustments will be there tomorrow as well as it is the last working day of this financial year. We are still hanging on to the inverse head and shoulders pattern and strongly hope we should have some movement to the 22295 levels by tomorrow. NiftyIT is showing too much weakness and if BankNifty also sides to the downside then there is a high possibility that we may not break out. How long can RELIANCE keep supporting this market? We wish to maintain our neutral stance for tomorrow and go long if we are nearing 22295 in the morning session itself. 63mts chart
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
#Nifty directions and levels for March 27th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 27th: there is no significant difference between the last session. The global market trend is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -40 point. Nifty has consolidated despite opening with a long gap-down. Today also, Giftnifty indicates a gap-down start. So, if the gap-down sustains, we can expect a minimum of 61 to 78% Fibonacci correction. After that, if it finds support there, we can expect a minor 38% pullback wave. On the other hand, if it breaks or consolidates around the Fibonacci level of 78%, then the correction will likely continue. Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and if the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, it might enter a range market between the previous high.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders