23 Feb ’24 — Indices take a pause - yet again. Only to jump up?Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “As soon as the 22051 resistance gave away, we had to change our stance from neutral to bullish. We would now like to see how higher the markets can go, we are assuming the momentum may not take us to 22700 for the monthly expiry.”
4mts chart
All 3 indices - Nifty50, BankNifty, and NiftyIT- were stuck in a tight range today, something that we usually see after a fast & furious move. The experts usually call it a flag pattern where a slight downward day occurs after a steaming UP day. Technically a pause also made sense - markets may be recalibrating between the short covering yesterday and a possible long build-up for next week. As long as the global macros remain positive, Nifty should remain charged up and ready to roll.
The indices staying flat would have ensured the straddlers would have made some money today, BN was quite shaky though - most likely it would have ended up hitting both stop losses. Nifty was far more stable today.
The flag pattern is quite prominent on the higher timeframe. We are not suggesting that all “roads lead to Rome theory” i.e. everything is bullish, but the probability of things going up seems higher than cutting through the supports of 22051 & 21913. You know us, the moment the supports are broken, we will exit the bullish position at a loss and go neutral. Till then we are going to keep looking upwards.
63mts chart
Niftyintradaytradesetup
SELL NIFTY AROUND 11:25 AM | INTRADAY TRADE 23RD FEBGift Nifty indicting a gap-up opening and US market also gave an insane rally. However, as per our SpanAttack timings algo we see a fall in Nifty from 11:25 which can be useful for Intraday traders to get some points on the downside.
Sell Nifty: 11:25 AM
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
#Nifty directions and levels for FEB 23Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for February 23rd: The global market is bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +40 point increase.
Nifty had a solid pullback in the last session. So, if it sustains the gap-up, then structurally, we can expect further continuation. This is the basic structure. If the market consolidates around the supply zone, it may continue further when it breaks.
Alternatively, if it rejects sharply around the supply zone, or if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then initially, we can expect a 23 to 38% Fibonacci correction. After that, if it finds support there, it may form a range for a rally continuation. However, if it breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, then the correction may continue, and we can expect the Fibonacci level of 78% for the correction target with minor pullbacks.
22 Feb ’24 —Back to winning ways, grass is greener at the Bull’sNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “Since Nifty50 fell below our support line, we had to reverse the stance back to neutral. In case Nifty50 climbs back up tomorrow and hits a new ATH, today’s move will just appear as a blip, and the stance will go back to bullish.”
4mts chart
Honestly speaking, we fell into the bear trap today as the forenoon session was immensely negative. Look at the first 2 encircled regions. The first circle between open and 09.51 wherein we gave away to the 22051 support. The next 4 candles were also RED and we did not stop till the main support of 21913 was hit. We got our bias wrong as we gave weightage to the price action between 22051 & 21913, we thought the selling may not stop there.
The 2nd encircled area was at the 21913 region i.e. from 10.03 to 11.35. When we saw the markets were not cracking further, we adjusted our “short CALL” positions, and as markets started recovering, we trailed the “short PUT” positions to offset the gain in the short CEs. Again our view went absolutely wrong when the markets did not stop at 22051, even though we had a pause between 13.47 and 14.27. What then followed was the dream of an option buyer and a nightmare for option sellers like me. The momentum was so strong that we took out the ATH. Nifty had an intraday swing of 378 points ~ 1.73%. The swing was so wild that it would have taken out any stop loss set on premiums, over the last few days - markets are really testing the nerves of option traders.
Between the last expiry and today, N50 has gained 291pts ~ 1.33%. The moves of the last 4 days were recreated in just today’s session - must be a new record. As soon as the 22051 resistance gave away, we had to change our stance from neutral to bullish. We would now like to see how higher the markets can go, we are assuming the momentum may not take us to 22700 for the monthly expiry.
63mts chart
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 23 Feb 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 23 Feb 2024
Bullish-Above 22260
Invalid-Below 22210
T- 22465 22630
Buy_2- From 22030
Invalid-Below 21980
T- 22200+
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.74% gain Today. Since last 2 days index is moving wild and intraday trend is really uncertain these days. Today sell triggered as per trade setup below 21990 and gave a move till 21880, almost 90 points. Seeing today's strong bullish sentiment tomorrow we will be in buy mode from both points, on breakout and even in case of pullback. In case there is pullback towards 22030 we will buy from there. Pullback trading will be ideal before breakout here.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22260 then we will long for the target of 22465 and 22630.
2nd buy can be considered from 22030. T- 22200+.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
FASP levels for Nifty 23/02/2024The FASP for Nifty is listed for 23-02-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities.
What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)?
It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds.
Validity of the levels: 1 Day
How to use these levels?
The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options.
Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area
Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
#nifty directions and level for FEB 22"Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for February 22nd: The global market sentiment remains moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +90 point increase.
Nifty had fallen sharply in the last session; however, Giftnifty indicates a 90-point positive start. This sentiment suggests a ranging market. So, if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a ranging market initially. After that, if it breaks the previous high, then we can anticipate a continuation of the rally. This is the basic structure.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect a minor correction. After that, if it finds support around 21920 to 50%, we can expect a minimum of a 23 to 38% pullback wave. However, if it consolidates or breaks that level solidly, then the correction will continue further.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 22 Feb 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 22 Feb 2024
Bullish-Above 22250
Invalid-Below 22200
T- 22465
Bearish-Below 21990
Invalid-Above 22040
T- 21790 21600
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 0.64% cut today. Buy triggered as per trade setup above 22220 which hit 50 points sl. It is like Open = High and sentiment was bearish the whole day. Tomorrow 22160 will be an confluence zone, can act as resistance. Above 22250 we will test 22465 and this is a strong resistance in weekly TF as per ABCD calculation. 21790 is going to be a strong support zone as per half bat (0.618).
Coming to Thursday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22250 then we will long for the target of 22465.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 21990. T- 21790 and 21600.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
SHORT NIFTY @ 10:50 AM | INTRADAY TRADE 21ST FEBGift Nifty is indicating a gap-up opening. However as per our time based SpanAttack analysis, we are looking for a fall in Nifty after 10:50 am today. Key resistance levels are also marked on the chart.
Sell Nifty: 10:50 AM
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
#nifty directions and levels for FEB 21Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for February 21st: The global market sentiment is still moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also shows a bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as indicated by Giftnifty, showing a +20 point increase.
Nifty has reached a new high, but the RSI indicates that the strength of the rally is a bit weak. Even though my personal opinion is that the market might go up further with minor consolidation, structurally, it may undergo some consolidation around the supply zone (22252). After that, if it breaks this with a solid structure, then we can expect a further rally continuation. However, if the breakout fails, then it will turn into a correction phase.
Alternatively, if the initial market rejects structurally, there is no big correction; it may undergo some range formation. We can expect correction only if it breaks the lower trend line.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 21 Feb 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 21 Feb 2024
Bullish-Above 22220
Invalid-Below 22170
T- 22415 22580
Bearish-Below 22040
Invalid-Above 22090
T- 21860 21650
NIFTY has closed on a bullish note with 0.34% gain today. As per trade setup it tested the buy level but almost at closing bell. It has closed at breakout level near 22200 tomorrow it should give a good momentum in the upside in flow above 22210. 22415 can be immediate target after the breakout and will book max there and from there we need to look for a bearish reversal price structure in 5 Min TF for TSL. Index is following this channel in daily TF.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22220 then we will long for the target of 22415 and 22580.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22040. T- 21860 and 21650.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 21 Feb 24As we have discussed, the nifty Bullish structure today has successfully broken and retraced to the upside.
Now, if we look at the chart data:
The market has given a successful breakout to the upside. The market is trading at ATH. The market has already retraced the breakout and has proven the bull's strength. Now, the market is ready to go up.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.22 shows that the market is bullish right now. Also, we do not have much resistance to the upside. If the rally starts, it will directly go to the 1st Fib level (1.414) at 22416. 22500 is the next good CE writing point, which is also supported by the Fib 1.414 level.
I expect the market to go up to the 22416 level for now.
Reasons:
Price> EMAs shows sthe market is having bullish sentiments.
RSI > 60 shows the market is in a bullish region.
Price> VWAP shows the market is bullish and has a balanced Price with volume.
OI data PCR = 1.22 shows the market is in bull's control right now. Also, 22500 will be providing the next resistance in the market.
Verdict:
Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 22200 PE (hedge it with 20 rs premium)
#Nifty directions and levels for FEB 20Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for February 20th: The global market sentiment is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also shows a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by Giftnifty, showing a -30 point decrease.
Nifty has reached a new all-time high, so we can expect further pullback only if it breaks the previous high. If it does, we can fix our target at the next extension levels. However, today, Giftnifty indicates a negative open. If the market opens with a gap-down, we can expect the 38% level to be a strong support. If it rejects there, we can anticipate a range market or a rally continuation.
Alternatively, if it consolidates or breaks the fib level of 38%, then the correction might continue.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Feb 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Feb 2024
Bullish-Above 22200
Invalid-Below 22150
T- 22450 22700+
Bearish-Below 22020
Invalid-Above 22070
T- 21830 21635
NIFTY has closed on a record high today with 0.37% gain today. It has formed a spinning candle in daily TF which indicates indecisiveness. It can trigger both sentiment, above 22200 we would this spinning top candle as continuation of the ongoing bullish move. Below 22020 we will treat this as a reversal sign. Incase of breakout above 22200 we would test 22450-22465 and this can be a stiff resistance. One can plan a short trade with bearish reversal price structure in 5 Min TF.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22200 then we will long for the target of 22450 and 22725.
For selling we need a 15 in candle close below 22020. T- 21830 and 21630.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
#Nifty direction and levels for FEB 19th"Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for February 19th: The global market sentiment is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also shows a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as indicated by Giftnifty, showing +30 points.
The Nifty last session closed positively with minor consolidation. Sentimentally, this is positive, and the probability of movement also indicates consolidation. My personal opinion is also that, here movement will occur only if it breaks the supply zone effectively. If it happens, then we can expect further rally continuation. On the downside, also the same consolidation; if the rejection has a solid structure, then only we can expect a 23% to 38% correction.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 19 Feb 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 19 Feb 2024
Bullish-Above 22080
Invalid-Above 22030
T- 22300 22520
Bearish-Below 21950
Invalid-Below 22000
T- 21735
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note last week and day with 1.19% and 0.59% gain respectively. It is at a striking distance to ATH and chances of a fresh bullish move above 22150 is high. 2nd leg shooting star will be invalid above 22130. But before it triggers a bullish move above 22150 it may dip for a pullback to fuel the impulse on breakout. So on Monday if there is a gap up and below 1st 5 Min candle's low it can trigger a down move.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22080 then we will long for the target of 22300 and 22520.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 21950. T-21735
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 19th FebToday Nifty opened above 22000 and after making a morning low around 21970, Nifty remained in range and made a high at 22068.
For tomorrow, buy Nifty if sustains above 22070 for the targets of 22100 and upper marked levels. On the other side, if Nifty breaks 21960 on the downside, we may see 21920 and below marked levels on the chart. Also, if Nifty closes below 21960, it may also break the up-trend for short-term.
Expectations: Volatile Day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 22070
Sell Below - 21960
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Nifty 1D Trade Idea- Nifty on a 1D TF is trading near a very crucial supply zone
- Now the thing to notice would be how it reacts from this zone
- I would insist everyone stay cautious and not fall in the trap of making something when the risk is too much
- It can be very risky to initiate future longs here when you can see Nifty hovering near a supply
- For longs risk here is almost 10% and reward stays around 2%
- Logically shorts are more favourable than longs
16 Feb ’24 — Nifty stance upgraded to Bullish, BN NeutralNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “A gap-up is ideal as it will quickly tip the balance to the Bulls as short sellers will have to run for cover. We wish to change the status from neutral to bullish only if we get a 63mts candle above the 21913 resistance line.”
4mts chart
We all knew it would be a gap-up today and see how the bears ran for cover when we opened 93 points ~ 0.43% above yesterday’s close. The spike in CALL premiums was enough to show the fear of short covering. Secondly, there was no attempt to close the gap - which would have left the Bears with no choice but to abandon their short position or roll over to the next week and find a similarly priced strike. Fortunately, most would not have made a heavy loss as the “real breakout” did not happen today. Nifty was just contented to hold the ground and not concede the territory.
After the first 63-minute candle we revised our stance to bullish, if you have read our last few reports - you would understand the rationale too. See the island formed above the resistance level of 21913. It is a classic breakout formation. From 15th Dec 2023 to 15th Feb 2024 - Nifty was in a narrow range of 21491 to 21913 with a couple of false breakouts/breakdowns. So we are keeping our fingers crossed this time to validate whether it works out. One way to do that is to check for follow-through price action. Blips do not last that long and we usually fall below the resistance (just like what happened on the last 2 occasions). Today is the first time I guess Nifty made the move ahead of BankNifty for a direction change. BankNifty has a lot of headroom left and if it catches up to its ATH - the impact on Nifty is going to be more than awesome.
63mts candle
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 16th FEB 24As we discussed NIFTY for today, it ended sideways.
Now, if we look at the chart data:
The market has already given a breakout as it expired today. It ended sideways to the upside while facing resistance at 21950. The market will be sideways in the range of 21800-21950.
EMA has given bullish-crossover EMA(50,200). Which shows the market is in a good bullish phase.
If we look at the OI data:
Pcr = 0.96 shows a bullish signal. Also, 21900 has very good PE writing, which shows it's going to provide good support. On the upper side, there is good resistance CE writing at 21900, 21950, and 22000. that will provide nice resistance.
FII & DII have yet to be released.- I will update you in the comments.
The market should be sideways in the range of 21800-21950. if it breaks 21950 to the upside, I can expect a good bullish momentum till 22110, as has been marked in the chart.
Reasons:
Price > EMA(13,50,200) which shows nice bulls power.
EMA golden crossover EMA(50,200) shows bullish trend.
RSI ~ 60 but sideways with bullish divergence, which shows the market can move to the upside.
OI data Pcr = 0.96 shows bulllish market sentiments.
Price ~ VWAP, which shows market price and volume both are balanced. The market has a good range to go upside down.
Verdict:
Sideways in the range 21800-21950.
Bullish if it breaks 21950 to the upside.
Plan of Action:
Iron condor in range(21800-21950)
if it breaks to the upside, add a bullish position and exit a short position.
#Nifty directions and levels for FEB 16th#Nifty
Good morning! the market directions for February 16th.
It seems like there is an overall positive sentiment in the global market, with support from the Dow Jones. Locally, the market sentiment is also moderately bullish, with a potential gap-up start indicated by Giftnifty showing +60 points.
Regarding Nifty, it's mentioned that there has been a breakout structure following consolidation and that it might be in the 5th impulse wave, which is considered a distribution wave. There's an anticipation of a potential ABC correction if the market rejects around the immediate resistance or if there's a sharp decline in the initial market.
The minimum requirement for the ABC correction is specified to be within the Fibonacci levels of 23 to 38%.
Alternatively If the gap-up sustains or breaks the immediate resistance at 22,000, the expectation is for a further rally continuation. In this case, the market could reach a supply zone
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 16th FebToday Nifty opened with a gap up at 21923 which was the morning high and we saw sudden full just after open towards 21795 which we played through 22000 PE and booked good profit.
For tomorrow, buy Nifty if sustains above 21960 for the targets of 22000 and upper marked levels. On the other side, if Nifty breaks 21800 on the downside, we may see 21760 and below marked levels on the chart.
Expectations: Volatile Day
Intraday Levels:
Buy Above - 21960
Sell Below - 21800
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India