Get started

Niftyit

03 Jan ’24 — Nifty gets a stance change, Bears are back!Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish ⬇️ Recap from yesterday: “The first target for a trend change will be the breach of the ascending channel top line approx 21530 levels. From a technical analysis perspective, we had the 3 black crows at 14.30 yesterday and the first 2 candles today.“ 4mts chart link We got our first target of 21530 hit today and as soon as the channel top line got breached - the stance changed to bearish. Technically Nifty is far ahead of BankNifty as N50 has only broken into the channel whereas BN has broken out. The status change is just because of momentum that is favoring the Bears. Come 2024 and they are back! 4mts chart link NiftyIT deserves a special mention, it fell a whopping 2.59% today. There is severe competition going on between NiftyIT and BankNifty on who wants to become the “leader” in trend reversals. 63mts chart link On the higher time frame, you can see how N50 is just entering the channel. If the conditions stay like this for tomorrow - we can see a good trending move tomorrow. The first threat to keep in mind is the rejection that came on 21st Dec when N50 bounced from the channel topline. Global macros are much worse today and we are hoping tomorrow’s expiry should belong to the bears. Our first target will be 21409 and then 21310.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
02 Jan ’24 — A Breakdown in Progress? 3 black crowsNifty Analysis - Stance: Neutral Recap from yesterday: “The last candle is looking quite deep and has almost negated the progress of 3 days. If it was not related to any news/event, the outcomes match quite strongly for an interim top-like formation.” 4mts chart link - click here The last 30mts action yesterday was not a blip, we got some continuity today. Nifty50 fell 199pts ~ 0.92% intraday to 21555 by 10.39 and then retraced 50% of that fall. The real impact was on BankNifty and not Nifty. Just like we often say, during trend reversals - BankNifty takes the lead and then Nifty50 follows. We did change the stance on BankNifty to bearish today (more on that in a while). Even NiftyIT took some beating today, the positive contributors to Nifty50 were BAJFINANCE, RELIANCE, and ADANIPORTS. In fact, BAJFINANCE was the main reason FinNifty and BankNifty had a variance of 0.46% today. 63mts chart link - click here We would like to maintain the stance on Nifty to neutral itself. The first target for a trend change will be the breach of the ascending channel top line approx 21530 levels. From a technical analysis perspective, we had the 3 black crows at 14.30 yesterday and the first 2 candles today. The last time we had a breakdown i.e. on 20th Dec, Nifty50 took support at the channel top line - so we must breach that now for extra confirmation.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
01 Jan ’24 — Banks not happy with a "Happy New Year 2024"We have compiled the last 3 months of work into an Amazon Kindle ebook with the title “60 Post-Mortems on Nifty & BankNifty Q3 FY23-24” - request you to take a look and provide suggestions. BankNifty Analysis - Stance changed to Neutral BankNifty was not able to break away from the lower channel line. Normally BN swings from the lower boundary to the upper boundary and follows a good correlation with the ascending channel. The last 30mts of fall ensured we broke the lower trend line. Ideally, the stance had to change to bearish - but we ran out of time for a full 63mts candle to form. 4mts chart link - click here The fall was 408pts ~ 0.84% deep. The red candle that took out the channel trend line had a drop of 154pts. Both BankNifty and FinNifty were looking quite weak today - not sure of the reasons though. When NiftyIT turned and went into strong green - the banks also started lending support to Nifty50. And when the fall came, it was all banks. 63mts chart link - click here The last candle closed below the channel, but the body is still touching the trend line. Just because of this reason - we decided to go with a neutral stance instead of bearish. The opening hours tomorrow will give us more clues anyway. FinNifty has expiry tomorrow and the stakes will be quite high for the banks to perform.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
01 Jan ’24 — Shocking Last 30mts like a Tsunami — Nifty50We have compiled the last 3 months of work into an Amazon Kindle ebook with the title “ 60 Post-Mortems on Nifty & BankNifty Q3 FY23-24 ” - request you to take a look and provide suggestions Nifty Analysis - Stance changed to Neutral Recap from yesterday: “Nifty is still way above the ascending channel showing bullishness. As long as the soft support level of 21652 is respected, we do not wish to change the stance.” 4mts chart link - click here Everything was going as per the plan, we even hit a new all-time high of 21834, but the last 30mts of price action was more severe than a Tsunami. Earlier in the day, was quite disheartened to hear the 7.6 Earthquake in Japan and the Tsunami alert. During those hours even Nikkei 225 futures were trading flat. We were watchful for any spillover effect to our markets but got nothing. BankNifty options flow was suggesting bearishness right from the start, the calls were unusually overpriced vs the puts indicating a higher number of CE credit spreads getting written (bearish). NiftyIT 4 mts chart - click here NiftyIT was trading in RED, so we almost gave up the hope of having a new ATH today. After a while, NiftyIT turned and turned quite big - the reversal was 536pts ~ 1.52% from the day’s low. And when NiftyIT reversed, it gave enough fuel for Nifty50 to take out the recent swing high and reach for new highs today. 63mts chart link - click here The last candle is looking quite deep and has almost negated the progress of 3 days. If it was not related to any news/event, the outcomes match quite strongly for an interim top-like formation. Just for this reason, we are changing the stance from bullish to neutral for tomorrow. We will revisit the stance during trading hours tomorrow, if it was just a blip then we should be having a new ATH tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
28th Dec ’23 - 94% of Q3 gains came in DEC - BankNifty AmazingBankNifty Quarterly Analysis Surprisingly BankNifty rose only 9.56% ~ 4232pts compared to 11.6% by Nifty. There are 2 reasons for this. RBI’s I-CRR and CAR weight adjustments decisions rocked the boat and BN fell much more than N50 NiftyIT rose to the occasion and supported N50, in the same period NiftyIT gained almost 12% 1D chart link - click here BankNifty Monthly Analysis 94% of the Quarterly gains came in the December series alone. It was like a relay race and during the last lap, BN ran so fast that it made up for the losses in the earlier 2 months. 1D chart link - click here BankNifty Analysis The gap up really helped BankNifty to cross the top boundary of the ascending channel. After that happened, all BN had to do today was to resist falling below that inclined support level. In fact BN did that beautifully today and in the process hit a new ATH of 48636. 4mts chart link - click here The monthly options expiry is much better than the weekly ones. Primarily because the premiums are pretty high when Nifty and BankNifty have expiry on the same day. From a trader’s perspective, the earnings are directly proportional to the premiums the strike carries. During volatile expiries like today, the premium is too sugary to resist. 63mts chart link - click here BN trade above the ascending channel top line is not that clear from the chart as the line is seen as cutting it through. On a lower TF, you can clearly see the difference. For tomorrow also, we are going with the bullish stance.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
26th Dec ’23 - Positive Day with a rising VIX - PostMortem NiftyNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “Since Monday is a holiday, it gives us added uncertainty on what to expect on Tuesday. Despite the 94pts gain by Nifty — I still see the price action as negative. I would like to go with a bearish stance for 26th Dec.” 4mts chart link - click here Seems like I got the bet wrong, despite weakening geopolitical events - Nifty traded in the positive territory today. Only in the opening 15mts or so we saw a slight tendency to go below water but it was quickly bought into. Nifty rallied 146pts ~ 0.69pts from the LOD to HOD by 12.23. NiftyIT 4mts charts - click here Once it hit the intraday high, the steam eased off and then we started going sideways. NiftyIT has been such a decisive factor for Nifty50 these days. It lost almost 382pts ~ 1.07% and then recovered 492pts ~ 1.4% all in the opening 90mts. The final close was in the RED though (-0.41%). 63mts chart link - click here I am forced to change my stance from bearish to neutral as the price action now shows a higher tendency to go up rather than down. Those strong RED candles of 20th Dec still haunt me - but it has failed to gather the momentum of the other bears. Since it's a holiday week - the FII action may be at a reduced space. Lower liquidity could bring in unusual price spikes - it is best suggested to take your trades with caution.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
22nd Dec ’23 - BankNifty's trades today were logical & realisticBankNifty Analysis The trades on BankNifty were more practical and appropriate to the situation we have at hand. 4mts chart link - click here We opened in line and then tested the top of the ascending channel from 10.03 to 12.03. There was rejection at those levels which took BN quickly to the bottom of the channel. We spent 13.43 to 15.11 at the lower end before breaking down. Even though the closing was below the channel, we ran out of time for conclusive evidence. Yesterday we went with a neutral stance believing BankNifty will be able to lead the fight for Nifty50 today. What really happened today was NiftyIT taking the pole position and BankNifty breaking down. 63mts chart link - click here The last 4 candles of today were in RED and we ended just below the channel. For Tuesday, I wish to go with a bearish stance. So at present, my directional view for both Nifty and BankNifty is bearish. Since we have a long weekend - anything could happen when we reopen on Tuesday. I have not taken any positions overnight and decided to play as per the situation after reopening.
NSE:BANKNIFTYShort
by viswaram
22nd Dec ’23 - Nifty’s levels today are skewed by NiftyIT 🚀🚀🚀Nifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “I am inclined to change my stance to neutral with the developments of today. Giving the bears one more opportunity to prove their mettle, hence going with the bearish stance for tomorrow as well. All they have to do is keep Nifty50 below 21200 in the opening 2hrs for the momentum to kick in” 4mts chart link - click here Nifty’s price action was deceptive today, mainly because of the outperformance by NiftyIT(+2.27%). The real action today happened in BankNifty (-0.73%). Let me try to elaborate. Between 13.59 and 15.03 NiftyIT rallied 799pts ~ 2.29% in a surprising move. This skewed the Nifty50 numbers too. INFY, Wipro, HCL, TCS, and LTIM contributed 44pts out of 94 today. NiftyIT 4mts chart link - click here NiftyIT even though it started negative had a total swing range of 1029pts today. I guess NSE has to consider opening up FnO on NiftyIT seriously and set the expiries on Mondays. After all, we have 6 stocks of Nifty50 in BankNifty. Similarly, we have 6 stocks of Nifty50 in NiftyIT. 63mts chart link - click here. Since Monday is a holiday, it gives us added uncertainty on what to expect on Tuesday. Despite the 94pts gain by Nifty - I still see the price action as negative. I would like to go with a bearish stance for 26th Dec. A gap-up or gap-down possibility cannot be ruled out as we are going for the extended weekend with bad geo-political macros.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by viswaram
Nifty Live Intraday Updates for 20-12-23Nifty important levels to watch are as follows 📍 Support: 21430 📊Sell below: 21430 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level. 📉Target 1: 21380 📉Target 2: 21300 📍 Resistance: 20505 📊 Buy Above: 20505 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level. 📈Target 1: 21550 📈Target 2: 21630 ⚡⚡ Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal and a pullback on either side so its better to make an habit to book profits at each targets and re-enter again after a breakout from the same with a proper stoploss as per your own risk appetite. ⚡⚡Please refer our Indicators published on tradingview if you find it useful give it a like. ⚡⚡ Follow us for more such information, educational ideas and Indicators. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section. #Disclaimer: This is just a view and published here only for educational purpose, this should not be considered as a buy or sell signal. Trading in stock market may involve financial risk therefore, do your own research before taking any position.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset
19th Dec ’23 - BankNifty and NiftyIT collusion to get N50 to ATHBankNifty Analysis Going neutral on BankNifty worked out pretty well today. But things were not looking in favor till we got the reversal at 10.03. Till then BN was following the falling price action from yesterday. I was kind of worried that we may even re-renter the ascending channel today. 4mts chart link - click here How and why we got the reversal - No clue. But BN climbed an impressive 369pts ~ 0.78pts to 48010 levels before giving up gains to close flat. The final close is 0.01% - how much more neutral can we be?? 4mts chart link - click here The ATH on Nifty50 looks like was planted. NiftyIT was falling pretty strongly and it was looking like a one-way trip down. NiftyIT recovered an impressive 423pts ~ 1.21% to help N50 take out the ATHs. So the Sync between NiftyIT, Reliance, and BankNifty was perfectly aligned to get the job done. And after that - things went back to normal. NiftyIt gave up 239pts and BN also dropped 227pts. 63mts chart link - click here The neutral zone is highlighted by 2 horizontal blue lines. Since tomorrow is BankNifty expiry - I am really looking forward to seeing a directional attempt. I wish to stay neutral till then. BankNifty options premiums were looking pretty good today and were unlike the usual Tuesdays we see. VIX near the 14 range is really helping the option sellers.
NSE:BANKNIFTY
by viswaram
1
18th Dec ’23 - Our market takes a pause - Nifty50 PostMortemNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “My stance continues to be bullish with the first support level revised to 21341. All we can do now is trail the stop loss and let the winners run. 4mts chart link - click here Nifty was absolutely trading in a narrow range with minor dips. More action was visible on BankNifty today which nudged me to go for a status change (will discuss this shortly). Nifty opened gap-down - the excess euphoria of Friday got shaved off and then it recovered from the LOD. Interestingly the low of the day was in the opening minutes and we never tested it. Technically 21341 was not tested and no status change is warranted. 63mts chart link - click here There was nothing special in today’s action. Nifty defended its lower side quite neatly. NiftyIT was toggling between red and green. BankNifty was in RED. Nifty Pharma was quite energetic today, but the major point gainers for Nifty were RELIANCE and Bajaj Finance. I do not wish to change Nifty’s stance - I still prefer to look for long-only trades. However, 21341 would be the laxman rekha for me tomorrow also. If we get a closing below that - I would love to go neutral. To go bearish - we need to break below the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
15th Dec ’23 - 0.5% variance b/w BankNifty & FinNifty - a first?BankNifty Analysis The patterns and price action on BankNifty were interesting today. For the first time, I noticed a dichotomy with Finnifty’s points. BankNifty and FinNifty had a variance of 0.5% index-to-index basis. This gap remained as such for the entire day. I do not remember the last time they had a sizeable gap. 81.57% weighted stocks in Banknifty have a combined weight of 77.09% in Finnifty - still, we got a variance. 4mts chart link - click here Today’s gap up was actually in the range set from yesterday. We did not break out until 14.27. So if we do not combine yesterday’s price action with today’s - the final painted picture will be different. The real deal today was NiftyIT which went up 4.56% and Reliance + Adani. SBI also played a part but BankNifty as a whole was not that crazy as Nifty. We finally ended the day with a gain of 0.86%. FinNifty ended with 0.32% gains. 63mts chart link - click here BN has also made an island formation because of the gap-up yesterday. The stance remains unchanged at bullish. The first support level will be 47754. Meanwhile would like to find out why NiftyIT surged so much, definitely it has to do with some news or insider information.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by viswaram
Nifty ITOverview of Nifty IT index. Nifty IT index trading at 52-Weeks high. The Nifty IT Index tracks the performance of 10 Indian IT companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE). It calculates values using the free float market capitalization method, starting with a base date of Jan 1, 1996, set at 1000. This indexing measures the total free float market value of the stocks relative to a specific base market capitalization value. Notably, the base value of the index was adjusted from 1000 to 100 on May 28, 2004. Top 5 constituents by weightage 1. Infy - 26.77% 2. TCS - 24.9% 3. HCL Tech - 9.89% 4. Tech Mahindra - 8.86% 5. Wipro - 8.24% View - The ongoing surge in the Nifty IT index is expected to persist, driven primarily by major players in the large-cap IT segment such as TCS, INFY, WIPRO, HCL TECH, and TECH MAHINDRA. The favorable performance of NASDAQ, currently at its 52-week high, is likely to have a positive impact on the broader IT sector. Stock specific view ( Educational & Learning Purpose) 1. Infy heading towards 1620 level. 2. Wipro heading towards 480 level. 3. TCS heading towards 3850 & 4000 level. 4. TechM is on verge of breakout & will move towards 1500 level. 5. HCL tech is at all time high. DISCLAIMER - All analyses are for educational purposes. it is not trading or investment advice.
NSE:CNXITLong
by mayur1630
14th Dec ’23 - Markets break out yet again! Nifty50 ATH 🐂🐂🐂Nifty Today’s Analysis Recap from yesterday: “We have the Nifty expiry tomorrow and as it stands the OTM premiums are pretty low indicating the option sellers are not expecting a big more tomorrow. In case we pick a direction tomorrow, the short sellers (PE or CE) will have to run for cover and that could spike the option premiums. I am going with a neutral stance for tomorrow also and wish to go bullish above 21037 and bearish below 20702.” 4mts chart link - click here. Guess what happened today? The CE short-sellers ran for cover as the pre-open indicated a mega gap up. Rightly so, we opened 182pts higher after FED announced plans to cut rates thrice in 2024. US markets were overjoyed and its spillover effects fell on Indian markets as well. Since the opening was above my target of 21037, I had to choose the bullish direction. You wont believe how hard NiftyIT rallied today, +3.5%. The main reason we had a retracement over the last 2 to 3 sessions was NiftyIT. And its reversal helped Nifty50 hit a new ATH of 21210.9 today. 63mts chart of NiftyIT - click here See the chart of NiftyIT. Between 12th and 13th December we fell 3.25% ~ 1098pts. And from those lows, it rallied 4.89% ~ 1599pts including today’s gains of 1156pts. Not just IT, almost all the sectors were in green today except for maybe NiftyMedia. 63mts chart - click here Nifty has shown it is stronger than thought by bouncing off the channel's upper boundary. For tomorrow, my stance is revised to bullish. Since we are at ATH, I do not have an upper target, but my support level will be 21037.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
13th Dec ’23 - Nifty Stance change to neutral worked perfectlyNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “But from a real price action perspective, I have changed my ultra short-term stance to neutral now. To gain back the bullish momentum, Nifty has to close above 21037. To go bearish, Nifty has to fall below 20691.” 4mts chart link - click here Nifty does a classic U-turn today, around the 20770 levels. For a moment I thought the neutral stance was not working and we would have to go into bearish mode. A small pullback was expected, but a 180pts mammoth reversal was not there in my mind. From a headline perspective, we closed flat today, which means neutral stance continues for tomorrow. 4mts chart link - click here Both BankNifty and NiftyIT orchestrated the U-turn. NiftyIT fell 781pts ~ 2.33% intraday to a session low of 32715 and then recovered 390pts ~ 1.19%. What this recovery did to Nifty was to shoot the bearish hopes in the leg. No matter what happens, the bulls are not giving room for the bears to breathe. The dip buying is so intense that I kind of feel its frothy. 63mts chart link - click here Nifty is still above the ascending channel, the bulls are still in control. All eyes will be on the FOMC meeting by FED. Any hints of not cutting the interest rates in 2024 may spook the US markets. We have the Nifty expiry tomorrow and as it stands the OTM premiums are pretty low indicating the option sellers are not expecting a big more tomorrow. In case we pick a direction tomorrow, the short sellers (PE or CE) will have to run for cover and that could spike the option premiums. I am going with a neutral stance for tomorrow also and wish to go bullish above 21037 and bearish below 20702.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
WIPRO Ltd., 20% ROI, Right time to invest.Right time to invest. fundamentally good. . Entry:425 target:435 / 459 / 531 stoploss: 415 major stoploss/ support: 399 . . Enter conservatively after "425" . IT stocks are going to boom. long term investment; min 20% return. huge potential is there. Long term holding ; if you are interested in invest NOW, go for it with small risk, . . . . more than that "WIPRO". , is fundamentally good. . . .refer our old idea attached below
NSE:WIPROLong
by TheNuraTrading
8
12th Dec ’23 We have a change in stance today! Nifty PostMortemNifty Analysis Recap from yesterday: “For tomorrow also I prefer to maintain the bullish stance. If we are unable to build momentum and Nifty is falling to the 20900 levels then I may have to change the stance to neutral by the end of the day.” 4mts chart link - click here Even though we had a gap up opening, the same did not sustain and the round of selling started by 10.07. The selling momentum did not pick up until 12.19 post which we fell almost 150pts. Although the final closing was at 20906, it ticked my checklist for the stance change. My view for tomorrow is neutral. Even BankNifty has a stance change today (will discuss that shortly). A wolf dressed as sheep today was NiftyIT. INFY had a negative start as its ADR was down 3% after the news of CFO leaving. To compensate for that TCS was trading with super gains. This kept the NiftyIT index above water till 14.31. Nifty IT 4mts chart link - click here Then at 14.35 we had a good red candle that tipped the scale and guided Nifty50 to accelerate the fall. Why I said the wolf among the sheep is because NiftyIT retraced those points and ended the day flat. There was a 167pts ~ 0.5% recovery between 14.51 to 15.07. All eyes are on tomorrow if NiftyIT will go green or not. NiftyIT has played a good role in the recent rally of Nifty50. 63mts chart link - click here Nifty can fall a lot more and still be in the uptrend. That is because we are well above the ascending channel. But from a real price action perspective, I have changed my ultra short-term stance to neutral now. To gain back the bullish momentum, Nifty has to close above 21037. To go bearish, Nifty has to fall below 20691.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
ZENSARTECHWhat Does a Cup and Handle Pattern Tell You? American technician William J. O'Neil defined the cup and handle (C&H) pattern in his 1988 classic, How to Make Money in Stocks, adding technical requirements through a series of articles published in Investor’s Business Daily, which he founded in 1984. 1 William J. O'Neil. "How to Make Money in Stocks." McGraw-Hill Education, 2009. O'Neil included time frame measurements for each component, as well as a detailed description of the rounded lows that give the pattern its unique teacup appearance. As a stock forming this pattern tests old highs, it is likely to incur selling pressure from investors who previously bought at those levels; selling pressure is likely to make price consolidate with a tendency toward a downtrend trend for a period of four days to four weeks, before advancing higher. A cup and handle is considered a bullish continuation pattern and is used to identify buying opportunities. It is worth considering the following when detecting cup and handle patterns: Length: Generally, cups with longer and more "U" shaped bottoms provide a stronger signal. Avoid cups with sharp "V" bottoms. Depth: Ideally, the cup should not be overly deep. Avoid handles that are overly deep also, as handles should form in the top half of the cup pattern. Volume: Volume should decrease as prices decline and remain lower than average in the base of the bowl; it should then increase when the stock begins to make its move higher, back up to test the previous high. Weekly Point view Sector Point View
NSE:ZENSARTECHLong
by lokeshparihar
Nifty Live Intraday Updates for 07-12-23 ! 🐂 Market Outlook 📈 NIFTY continues its upward trend, while Banknifty indicates signs of profit booking. 📊 Chart Analysis: NIFTY exhibits a hanging man, while BANKNIFTY shows a bearish engulfing, suggesting a potential pause or dip. 📈 Open Interest: Option chain remains neutral with support at 20900 and resistance at 21000. 🔄 PCR (Put-Call Ratio): PCR at 0.8 indicates a neutral sentiment. 💹 FII Option Activity: Net positive as 2L calls and 1.7L puts bought. 📉 FII Futures Data: Bullish trend with a 2000 Crores buy; Overall OI turned positive at 23K qty. 💼 FII Stock Data: Minor 80 Cr sell, indicating a relatively small impact. Nifty important levels to watch are as follows #Support: 20850 Sell below: 20850 only on 15 minute candle closure below the level. Target 1: 20785 Target 2: 20665 #Resistance: 20970 Buy Above: 20970 only on 15 minute candle closure Above the level. Target 1: 21040 Target 2: 21150 => # Remember each level will act as a support and resistance individually so there is a probability of reversal and a pullback on either side so its better to make an habit to book profits at each targets and re-enter again after a breakout from the same with a proper stoploss as per your own risk appetite. => # Please do your own research before initiating any trade. Always use stoploss in order to protect your capital. => # Please refer our Indicators published on tradingview if you find it useful give it a like. => # Follow us for more such information and educational ideas and Indicators. Give it a like if you appreciate the idea. Queries will be answered in comment section. #Disclaimer: This is just a view and published here only for educational purpose, this should not be considered as a buy or sell signal. Trading in stock market may involve financial risk therefore, do your own research before taking any position.
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestyourAsset