Bullish Outlook for Nifty: Key Levels to Watch "In the last trading session, Nifty broke through a significant resistance level at 24472, hinting at a positive momentum shift. Currently, there is a substantial Open Interest (OI) of 45 lakh at 24500, which solidifies this level as a new support. With the market holding firm above 24550 and OI beginning to accumulate at 24600, we might be gearing up for a strong push towards the 24700-24800 range. However, traders should be cautious: a dip below 24472, especially if Nifty falls under 24450, would negate our bullish thesis, making long positions less attractive. This analysis is supported by the attached screenshot showing the latest OI and price action dynamics. Join me in monitoring these pivotal developments as we prepare for Monday's session."
Niftyoutlook
16 Aug 2024 - Change in Stance to Bullish, Nifty up 174ptsLast week we discussed how Nifty was still in the bearish stronghold and then a break above 24389 was mandatory for a change in stance.
09 Aug 2024 - Nifty down 334pts, makes a 61.8%
This week, Nifty not only broke the 24389 ~ 61.8% retracement level but went ahead and broke the 24525 ~ 78.6% level too. This double break has prompted me to go bullish, but there is one catch - BankNifty is still flat though. The momentum has come from the IT sector this time.
On Friday, 16th alone - we had an intraday rally of 359pts ~ 1.49%. I thought the Monkey Pox (mpox) news might weigh in and the markets may remain flattish, but the rally still continues to amuse me.
Regarding the mpox, I was quite worried about the below article from WHO. How many of you think we may have another round of lockdown? This time the public may turn against the government for ruining their livelihood and enforcing vaccine mandates. Markets are not pricing in this news yet, or the news has probably not reached the threshold to create panic. I also feel the US markets may react first and then us.
"WHO Director-General declares mpox outbreak a public health emergency of international concern"
Nifty has managed to go up 174pts ~ 0.72% for this current week, the ATH is still 500pts away but the bullish momentum may help us close the gap. I personally feel we may not go higher than 24800 till the 22nd. Our stance is bullish.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 19 Aug 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 19 Aug 2024
Bullish-Above 24570
Invalid-Below 24520
T- 24850
Bearish-Below 24330
Invalid-Above 24380
T- 24100
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note with 0.71% gain last week. Index finally gave breakout of 24400 and 24000 daily TF range. Fair chance of both gap filling in daily TF. However recent sentiment was bearish so incase if index closes below 24400 in daily TF then chances of a false breakout will be high. Tomorrow we will plan a bullish trade above 24570 but considerable on a pullback breakout setup. 24330 will be an intra support.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24570 then we will long for the target of 24850.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24330. T- 24100.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.08.2024Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24268 - 24330
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24381 - 24444
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Aug 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 16 Aug 2024
Bullish-Above 24200
Invalid-Below 24150
T- 24400
Bearish-Below 24090
Invalid-Above 24140
T- 23900
NIFTY has closed on a flat note on Wednesday, formed a tiny daily candle of less than 100 points range. Since its a neutral candle we cant be biased. We will simply wait for that 100 points range to broken either side. 24200 and 24090 is the range for Friday. In daily TF NIFTY has maintained range of 24400 and 24000. Next week we may get a breakout.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24400 then we will long for the target of 24400.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24090. T- 23900.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 14.08.2024On Tuesday, Nifty opened flat but slipped below the previous day's low, ending the session at 24139 with a loss of 208 points. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24079 - 24118 (tested yesterday)
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24268 - 24330
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24381 - 24444
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 14 Aug 24NIFTY has shown a full sell-off today after the Heisenberg report on the SEBI chairperson.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading near the support area of 24000. The market has been receiving good support from this zone and is expected to take it again. However, as the market has bearish sentiments right now, it might break the level and continue the bearish momentum till 23500.
Support levels: 23980, 23506
Resistance levels: 24441, 200 EMA, 24696
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.55 shows bearish market behavior. There has been a huge PE sell-off today, which shows bulls are not trusting the market anymore and come out. There is too much CE writing at higher levels than PE writing at lower levels, which shows a high chance of a bearish market in the upcoming session.
I am expecting the market to follow 3 cases which are marked on the chart.
Case 1 : If it breaks to the downside, it might take minor support at 24000, but it breaks to the downside and can give huge targets till 23500.
Case 2 : If 24000 holds, it might get stuck in a range of 24000-24200.
Case 3 : If it stays in the channel, it can become bullish and have targets of 24441.
Reason:
RSI < 40, showing the market is going to be in a bearish structure.
The Price is trading in a good support zone. It takes support and might end up sideways.
PCR = 0.53 shows that the market is huge Bearish.
Price < VWAP shows a Bearish market structure.
Verdict: Bearish or Sideways.
Plan of action:
Wait for 15 min candle. Wait for good price action on the 24000 levels, and make your positions based on cases accordingly.
Nifty50 weekly expiry analysis for14/08/24.Nifty is trading in a parallel channel and is around the support trendline. From the last week sell the markets recovered and are now again around the lower levels.
Daily 20 ema has been creating a resistance for the market and a good rejection is seen from that level.
Even on the smaller time frame, market is trading below the moving averages, which signifies a bearish market.
Fibonnaci and the price action are also looking bearish on the daily charts.
Tomorrow is the weekly expiry for both the indices and a chance of seeing a follow through candle are there, if there is a flat to slight gap up opening (around 24150-180).
A huge gap up will create confusion and market may form a doji candle.
Major support levels :- 24090, 24000, 24910
Resistance levels :- 24225, 24320
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 13.08.2024On Monday, Nifty opened with a gap down but managed to recover over 250 points from the day's low, reaching a high of 24472.80 before closing slightly lower at 24347, down by 20 points. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24219 - 24266
Far Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24079 - 24118
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.08.2024On Friday, as expected, Nifty opened with a gap-up and maintained its strength throughout the day, closing at 24367 with a 250-point gain. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) is sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 24079 - 24118
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
Nifty50 (Weekly)Thers a Fib Gap pending at 25095 so there's a high possibility to fill the above gap .
If rejects from the above level then it could test below target marked on the chart .
23350--23700 imp support range
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 09.08.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened gap down, re-entered the 30m Supply zone mentioned in the last post, and fell again to the day's low, almost touching the 75m (Weekly Trade) Demand zone before closing at 24117. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend (50 SMA) has turned sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24284 - 24337
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
Note: As of writing this, GIFTNIFTY is trading 275 points positive, indicating we might see a gap-up opening.
DECODING NIFTY50's NEXT MOVES - A PROFIT BOOKING COMING SOON ?Nifty50 is continuously hitting fresh record highs at a faster pace tirelessly. There is definitely strong momentum by bulls towards upside but at the same time we can't deny the fact the there's a thing called 'Valuations' which are hinting that markets are modestly overvalued.
The run after breakout of 23500 has been tremendous & we have seen Nifty gained more than 1000 points back to back but as per my experience and my view, A profit booking & retracement is pending the the market.
So, with that view, I am creating short positions in Nifty far month futures (as premiums are much more there) at CMP 24620. I will add more position between 24800 - 24900 & will hold this position with SL above 25K.
I am expecting markets to witness a strong profit booking in coming sessions as markets are extremely overbought already & budget is scheduled in next week. Any negative news in or related to union budget will trigger strong profit booking in market.
I have also mentioned targets for my short position in the chart above & tried to decode Nifty's trend for months to come. Let's see what time will show us.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 08.08.2024On Wednesday, Nifty opened gap up and entered the 30m Supply zone mentioned in the last post but did not break above it. Nifty stayed within a 150-point range and closed at 24297.50. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is positive, and the daily trend (50 SMA) is now sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23960 - 24077
Major Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 23350 - 23667
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24266 - 24348 (current price inside the zone)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24686 - 24745
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24754 - 24835
Note: As of writing this, GIFTNIFTY is trading 180 points negative, indicating we might see a gap-down opening.