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Niftyoutlook

17, 18 May 2024 - Nifty looks strong, bullish tone continues...There are a few changes to my daily postmortem report. After I started the MFD business, not getting enough time to write a detailed technical report daily. Thought I would send the reports every day on Thursdays after the Nifty's expiry. The detailed analysis and the 4mts, 16mts, 63mts chart will be explained on my personal blog as well. Here on Tradingview, I will continue to post daily with just the direction and a brief one-liner. You can always contact me if you need more explanation or synthesis. 17th may - Nifty defends 22295 but is unable to break 22519. Stance is still bullish. 18th may - 11.07 candle has a long tail, that went up to 22051 - quite strange though. Targets for Monday - bullish with 22519 to be taken out. Stance will revise to neutral if 22295 is broken
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 20 May | MondayAs we discussed, NIFTY has a bullish structure as it was tested on a disaster management system. That is exactly what happened today. The market had a huge volatility of 500 points in 10 min. There was no order flow; it was like a pump-and-dump scam. What is SEBI doing regarding these spikes? Let's see for tomorrow's setup- If we look at the chart now: The market is trading at the resistance level right now, as it was a disaster management system testing. There were not many players in the market. So there were no big moments. The important support levels 22293, 22100, on the other hand, 22609(minor resistance), and 22763 are going to provide a nice resistance. If we look at OI data: PCR = 1.25 shows a bullish structure. If we notice today after 11:15 AM, there is a heavy volatility with 500 points. However, there was no order flow in the OI data. 22500 is the maximum pain. 22400 and 22300 have good PE writing that is going to provide a nice support. On the upper side, there is less CE writing, which shows that the market is still going in a bullish direction. FII and DII data are not yet available. I am expecting the market to go higher in the upcoming sessions. Reasons: RSI crossing 60 to the upside might be the start of the new bullish trend. Price > EMA (13,200), which shows the market is ready to go bullish. PCR = 1.25 shows a very bullish sign. Price > VWAP means bulls are getting strength. The market has already given a breakout. It was a good accumulation today; soon, it will shoot to the upside. Verdict: Bullish Plan of action: Sell 22400 PE (Hedge with 15/- Premium)
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
16 May 2024–Stance upgraded to Bullish, Crazy 377pts intraday⬆️Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: "The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%." We started today right at the resistance level of 22295 and then started falling. We went below yesterday's low and took interim support at 22119 levels. From there the bounce took us to 22295 again by 12.19 and this time the rejection was stronger and it ensured we fell to the next support level of 22051. What happened then was totally unbelievable, right at that level the rejection ensured we were retracing 377pts ~ 1.71% in 1 hour. Just crazy, unbelievable price action - normally we see that during news/event flows. 13 consecutive green candles, 15 out of 16 candles in green - just magical statistics. On the 63mts TF, just look at the size of the 63mts candle - simply wow. Our stance is now bullish with the next target being 22519. If we are falling, we need to go below 22295 for a neutral stance and 22051 for a bearish outlook. The algos were in deep loss today, courtesy of the fast & furious moves in the last 90mts. The forward test algo shows a profit of 2475, but the actual execution was in deep red due to slippages.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY Prediction for today 16 May 24Nifty has already given the breakout. right now it's in the consolidation phase of WAVE 1. If we look at the chart now: Market is in sideways zone in range: 22098-22293 Important Levels: Support zones: 21811 , 21944, 22098 Resistance: 22544, 22763 If we look at OI data: PCR = 0.73, shows neutral structure. as it's expiry market is highly probable to end sideways in the provided range. if we got the momentum it is likely to be bullish. 22200 is going to provide maxPain. If we look the FII and DII data it is more of indecisive. Verdict: Sideways in range Bullish if breaks the range 22293 to upside.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finnova_
15 May 2024–Nifty gets a mild rejection at 22295, stance neutralNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long." The open was good and we started climbing quickly but at 22295 levels we got our first rejection. Four strong red candles between 09.51 and 10.27 brought N50 down by almost 143 points. If 22295 was breached, we would have changed our stance from neutral to bullish. The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%. On the higher timeframe, we need to take out the resistance pretty quickly otherwise this pullback will start forming a lower high. A lower low, lower high formation is a bearish pattern and that would also mean the next leg of the down move will be more aggressive. At present we prefer to stay neutral till we get more clarity. The algos made a profit of 15750 INR, MTM was into a loss earlier on, but after 11am things started improving.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
Nifty 50 Negative Divergences in Monthly Charts₹₹Nifty 50 making negative divergences in monthly charts. Below 21700 levels nifty will give breakdown after this Trend line from 2020 will act as support but if breakdown of this trend line then big down movement will be seen. But before this Election Results will be in focus if results come same as market accepting then one bounce from these levels & then we can see profit booking & then movement will be according to charts. If election results are not same as market accepting then big negative for markets. Let's hope for best & Trade with proper risk management. Thank you
NSE:NIFTYShort
by K_Dyadav
14 May 2024–Nifty gets steam, is it short covering or fresh longNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "The recovery was more than fast and furious, it even took out the 22051 resistance level. This nudged me to change the stance from bearish to neutral just for tomorrow." Nifty started the day inline and then started climbing almost steadily. There were no visible drops, pullbacks, or attempts by the Bears to push down the prices. The decision to change the stance from bearish to neutral yesterday paid off. At this point, I am not quite sure if it's the short covering or build-up of new long positions that is taking the markets higher. I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long. On the higher time frame, N50 has held on to the 21913 pretty strongly reinforcing the IH&S pattern (earlier). This could be read along with the new double bottom (W pattern) that is forming which shows the strength of the support level. Nifty Algos ended the day with gains of 5625 INR
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
13 May 2024– 310pts intraday bounce, stance changed to neutralNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: "On the 63mts TF, the bearishness continues. The next target of 21913 is still in our watchlist and if we fall below that - the real action begins." The day took me by surprise, not with the inline opening and a 248pts ~ 1.12% downward fall, but the reversal of 310pts ~ 1.42%. The downside was in the cards, if you had read the previous day's post mortem report - you would have subscribed to those views. And once again we broke the 21913 support, but gave it away real quick. The recovery was more than fast and furious, it even took out the 22051 resistance level. This nudged me to change the stance from bearish to neutral just for tomorrow. On the higher time frame, I still cannot believe the reversal came from a technical perspective. Most likely the source seems like a news/event, did not find time to scan it as was busy with my Bday plans. The Algos shows a profit of 10327 INR, but the actual results were negative, I guess it had to do with some wild swings that we had in between & due to slippage in bid/ask spread.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
NIFTY may 2024 outlookcmp : 22442 demand zone : 22305-22392 supply zone : 22740-22810 nifty is respecting both demand and supply zone. breaking any one zone will be indication for next big directional move of 2-4% price action suggest bearishness but if demand zone is respected it may bounce back. any dip towards demand zone should be treated as buying opportunity with strict stop loss GAP FILLUP PENDING 22140-22200 personal bias - bullish in medium term note : just a educational publication and not a trading recommendation.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by radHE_Capstone
Nifty montly chart analysis for Month of April 2024.Nifty is around the ATH and there is profit booking at the higher levels. The market is spending time near the high and last week too it has test the ATH. Seller are there in the higher levels and closing of the weekly candel is dicey. Higher time frame is showing some RSI bearish divergence and market is forming grave stone doji on the daily charts. Monthly charts has not formed a red candle still and is forming doji after doji which still shows no clear bearish indication. But the price is trading on the higher levels of the bollinger band. Market participants be cautious as there seems to be a bearish month ahead. This being the election year may remain volatile till the election results. Spike may be seen in this month or the next one either side. Trend is still bullish and doji on the higher levels may indicate a reversal after a price action formation. This month was a volatile one and market didn't settle either side. There was days when market has moved more than 400 points. Last day move, is the only trending move in last 2 weeks, closing 180 points lower from the day high. Price action is needed to be formed around the higher levels on higher time frame to confirm the trend.
NSE:NIFTY
by Mambotrade
NIFTY @ 22000 is very strong supportNifty is holding on to triple bottom support indicating a strong support. actually price should not have come to this support level rather it must have been to 23K But it has fallen due to RBI Draft guideline fears, RBI action on Kotak, rumors about election results along with sell off by FII for un known reasons .... no FII has spoke about selling and leaving India. I am long in Nifty for target of 22750 and 23K so I am coming up bullish view with possible support emerging on 13th. Its FII vs DII. so who sell more on 13th will rule market. only an informed person about FII selling can go short on 13th may. I wish to average and increase my Nifty - CE Buy in May and June monthly contracts with hedging.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by venkatfx