Nifty on Radar - 23 MayFor the next potential level I use Fibonacci Extension.
So, the next Important Level to consider is 23274.55
Also the expansion in both bands is equally distributed, this indicates the uptrend will continue.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Niftyoutlook
Nifty50 ( 23rd May ) 1/3If this hourly candle rejects from 22723 or next hourly closing below 22702 then 📉 📉 could test below levels marked on the chart
If any closing sustains above 22702 in hourly then bullish 📈 📈
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
22 May 2024 - Nifty still upward looking, bullish tone continuesReliance and Infy were the major contributors to Nifty's GREEN show today. This happened at a time when the Banks were taking a huge beating. Finally, it came out good for the bulls as the 22519 resistance is now broken safely.
The next target is the ATH and then I am not quite sure how much more we can go from there. Lok Sabha election results are coming up in 2 weeks and the markets are getting prepped up for a massive one-side move.
The stance continues to be bullish above 22519.
NIFTY - COMPRESSION PHASEWhen the price is at an all-time high, the best way to gauge the trend's strength is to observe its reaction to its previous range. Large and impulsive expansion stages indicate a strong trend.
However, when examining the NIFTY chart on the daily timeframe, the price consistently revisits the extreme discount pricing of its previous range, immediately after breaking the high.
This pattern signals weakness and suggests a potential free fall towards 20,700. Price can make one more ATH before the fall.
Additionally, the election results scheduled for June 4, 2024, could serve as the trigger for this anticipated decline.
21 May 2024 - Nifty did not close above 22519Stance is still bullish, but the steam is just not there.
Thought we would close above 22519 and pave the way for further bullishness. The first 4 candles were in green today, infact the 12.24 candle closed almost above the 22519 resistance level, but we were unable to hold the ground.
For 22nd, we continue to be bullish, but a bit watchful. If we are not breaching the resistance today, will change the stance back to neutral.
Nifty on Radar - 21 MayToday, with a gap down opening the index is recovered with strong momentum and made a close above the previous close. In the domestic market, foreign selling ahead of the final two phases of national elections is expected to keep volatility high. The index took strong support and over the last six trading sessions, it has shown a strong uptrend rally. The current S1 is placed at 22300 and R1 is placed at 22600 levels. The selling by FIIs and elevated India VIX levels are exerting pressure on it.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 22 MayAs we discussed, Nifty ended sideways today.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the higher side of the channel. Right now, the market is in a mini-channel. If it breaks to the downside, it can result in bearishness in the market to 200 EMA levels. NIFTY seems more bullish than Banknifty, where Banknifty is preparing for a bearish structure. It might force NIFTY to be sideways as NIFTY still has good support for lower levels.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.10 shows the market's bullish structure. 22500 is Maxpain, while 22400, and 22500 have good PE writing, which is going to act as a nice support zone. PCR has fallen from 1.25 to 1.10, which shows that the CE windup today was good.
I expect the market to go sideways or bearish.
Reasons:
Price ~= EMA(13) and Price >> EMA (200). NIFTY might retrace to 200 EMA levels.
RSI is 40-60, showing a market sideways structure.\
Fall in PCR from 1.25 to 1.10 shows Bears are increasing their position in the market.
Price < VWAP, which indicates the price is weak, might correct itself.
The market is in a consolidation phase, trading at the higher side of the uptrend channel.
Verdict: SIdeways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 22550 CE and 22400 PE (Hedge it with 10/-)
Nifty50 (21st May ) 1/322478 below hourly closing could be bearish to 📉 📉 22391 and 22235
If closing above 22478 then 📈 📈 22518 and beyond ( will update upside level if it breach 22518 )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty showed positive Momentum in the last week Market remained in control of Bulls in the prev week
Nifty closed above imp level of 22500
On Weekly TF it has formed a positive candle,
If the Index holds the support of 22300,
it may show recovery towards next hurdle of 22600/700 in coming sessions
However in case of Bearish pattern at the upper level, it can come back to the last week range
*For Educational Purpose
Practice & learn Price Action Setups
17, 18 May 2024 - Nifty looks strong, bullish tone continues...There are a few changes to my daily postmortem report. After I started the MFD business, not getting enough time to write a detailed technical report daily.
Thought I would send the reports every day on Thursdays after the Nifty's expiry. The detailed analysis and the 4mts, 16mts, 63mts chart will be explained on my personal blog as well.
Here on Tradingview, I will continue to post daily with just the direction and a brief one-liner. You can always contact me if you need more explanation or synthesis.
17th may - Nifty defends 22295 but is unable to break 22519. Stance is still bullish.
18th may - 11.07 candle has a long tail, that went up to 22051 - quite strange though.
Targets for Monday - bullish with 22519 to be taken out. Stance will revise to neutral if 22295 is broken
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 20 May | MondayAs we discussed, NIFTY has a bullish structure as it was tested on a disaster management system. That is exactly what happened today. The market had a huge volatility of 500 points in 10 min. There was no order flow; it was like a pump-and-dump scam. What is SEBI doing regarding these spikes? Let's see for tomorrow's setup-
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level right now, as it was a disaster management system testing. There were not many players in the market. So there were no big moments. The important support levels 22293, 22100, on the other hand, 22609(minor resistance), and 22763 are going to provide a nice resistance.
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 1.25 shows a bullish structure. If we notice today after 11:15 AM, there is a heavy volatility with 500 points. However, there was no order flow in the OI data. 22500 is the maximum pain. 22400 and 22300 have good PE writing that is going to provide a nice support. On the upper side, there is less CE writing, which shows that the market is still going in a bullish direction.
FII and DII data are not yet available.
I am expecting the market to go higher in the upcoming sessions.
Reasons:
RSI crossing 60 to the upside might be the start of the new bullish trend.
Price > EMA (13,200), which shows the market is ready to go bullish.
PCR = 1.25 shows a very bullish sign.
Price > VWAP means bulls are getting strength.
The market has already given a breakout. It was a good accumulation today; soon, it will shoot to the upside.
Verdict:
Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 22400 PE (Hedge with 15/- Premium)
Nifty on Radar - 17 MayNifty likely to head higher. 22800 could be tested. And if that breaks, we have 23000+ levels coming. Today NIFTY bounced above the high of the compression zone and formed a bullish candle with High High and High Low on daily. Weekly candle bullish piercing the STMA band.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty50 (17th May) 1/3If next hourly closing sustains below 22497 then 📉 📉 to 22202 as marked on the chart
Hourly closing above 22497 is bullish 📈 📈 ( if it sustains then will post a updated chart )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
16 May 2024–Stance upgraded to Bullish, Crazy 377pts intraday⬆️Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: "The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%."
We started today right at the resistance level of 22295 and then started falling. We went below yesterday's low and took interim support at 22119 levels. From there the bounce took us to 22295 again by 12.19 and this time the rejection was stronger and it ensured we fell to the next support level of 22051.
What happened then was totally unbelievable, right at that level the rejection ensured we were retracing 377pts ~ 1.71% in 1 hour. Just crazy, unbelievable price action - normally we see that during news/event flows. 13 consecutive green candles, 15 out of 16 candles in green - just magical statistics.
On the 63mts TF, just look at the size of the 63mts candle - simply wow. Our stance is now bullish with the next target being 22519. If we are falling, we need to go below 22295 for a neutral stance and 22051 for a bearish outlook.
The algos were in deep loss today, courtesy of the fast & furious moves in the last 90mts. The forward test algo shows a profit of 2475, but the actual execution was in deep red due to slippages.
Nifty of Radar - 16 MayToday we have a Breakout of Both bands and the Resistance of 22300.
Also RSI>50 indicates start of an uptrend.
But today's move is not tradable due to expiry volatility.
So, I wait for another candle to confirm the trend direction.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty50 (16th May) 3/3Next hourly closing above 22164 then shortcovering could be possible 📈 📈 to above levels marked on the chart
If hourly closing below 22164 then 📉 📉 ( 22093 pending level )
22093 imp support below that any hourly closing will be 🥶 📉 📉
Disclaimers:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty50 (16th May) 1/3Hourly closing below 22246 then 📉 📉 could test 22156
22156 could be a reversal level for upside 📈 📈
Closing in hourly above 22246 then 📈 to above target
If any hourly closing sustains above 22320 then bullish 📈 📈 to 22438
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY Prediction for today 16 May 24Nifty has already given the breakout. right now it's in the consolidation phase of WAVE 1.
If we look at the chart now:
Market is in sideways zone in range: 22098-22293
Important Levels:
Support zones: 21811 , 21944, 22098
Resistance: 22544, 22763
If we look at OI data:
PCR = 0.73, shows neutral structure. as it's expiry market is highly probable to end sideways in the provided range. if we got the momentum it is likely to be bullish. 22200 is going to provide maxPain.
If we look the FII and DII data it is more of indecisive.
Verdict:
Sideways in range
Bullish if breaks the range 22293 to upside.
15 May 2024–Nifty gets a mild rejection at 22295, stance neutralNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: "I am hard-guessing it should be a short covering. The moment we get past 22295, we will be forced to go long."
The open was good and we started climbing quickly but at 22295 levels we got our first rejection. Four strong red candles between 09.51 and 10.27 brought N50 down by almost 143 points. If 22295 was breached, we would have changed our stance from neutral to bullish.
The good thing for the bulls was the fall ended at 10.27, for the remainder of the day we went into a small range bound trade. The final close was flat at -0.08%.
On the higher timeframe, we need to take out the resistance pretty quickly otherwise this pullback will start forming a lower high. A lower low, lower high formation is a bearish pattern and that would also mean the next leg of the down move will be more aggressive. At present we prefer to stay neutral till we get more clarity.
The algos made a profit of 15750 INR, MTM was into a loss earlier on, but after 11am things started improving.
Nifty on Radar - 15 MayToday we have a red indecisive candle with a high high and a high low.
The price is rejected from the resistance level of 22300.
Currently we are in a negative trend.
I just need another red candle with a breakdown of the previous candle low to enter a swing trade.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty50 (15th May) 1/222296 --- 22241 ( No Trade Zone )
Closing below 22241 in hourly could trigger a downward momentum 📉 📉 📉 to 22136
Any hourly closing above 22296 then 📈 📈 to 22449
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty 50 Negative Divergences in Monthly Charts₹₹Nifty 50 making negative divergences in monthly charts. Below 21700 levels nifty will give breakdown after this Trend line from 2020 will act as support but if breakdown of this trend line then big down movement will be seen.
But before this Election Results will be in focus if results come same as market accepting then one bounce from these levels & then we can see profit booking & then movement will be according to charts. If election results are not same as market accepting then big negative for markets.
Let's hope for best & Trade with proper risk management. Thank you