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23 Feb ’24 — Indices take a pause - yet again. Only to jump up?Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “As soon as the 22051 resistance gave away, we had to change our stance from neutral to bullish. We would now like to see how higher the markets can go, we are assuming the momentum may not take us to 22700 for the monthly expiry.” 4mts chart All 3 indices - Nifty50, BankNifty, and NiftyIT- were stuck in a tight range today, something that we usually see after a fast & furious move. The experts usually call it a flag pattern where a slight downward day occurs after a steaming UP day. Technically a pause also made sense - markets may be recalibrating between the short covering yesterday and a possible long build-up for next week. As long as the global macros remain positive, Nifty should remain charged up and ready to roll. The indices staying flat would have ensured the straddlers would have made some money today, BN was quite shaky though - most likely it would have ended up hitting both stop losses. Nifty was far more stable today. The flag pattern is quite prominent on the higher timeframe. We are not suggesting that all “roads lead to Rome theory” i.e. everything is bullish, but the probability of things going up seems higher than cutting through the supports of 22051 & 21913. You know us, the moment the supports are broken, we will exit the bullish position at a loss and go neutral. Till then we are going to keep looking upwards. 63mts chart
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
22 Feb ’24 —Back to winning ways, grass is greener at the Bull’sNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “Since Nifty50 fell below our support line, we had to reverse the stance back to neutral. In case Nifty50 climbs back up tomorrow and hits a new ATH, today’s move will just appear as a blip, and the stance will go back to bullish.” 4mts chart Honestly speaking, we fell into the bear trap today as the forenoon session was immensely negative. Look at the first 2 encircled regions. The first circle between open and 09.51 wherein we gave away to the 22051 support. The next 4 candles were also RED and we did not stop till the main support of 21913 was hit. We got our bias wrong as we gave weightage to the price action between 22051 & 21913, we thought the selling may not stop there. The 2nd encircled area was at the 21913 region i.e. from 10.03 to 11.35. When we saw the markets were not cracking further, we adjusted our “short CALL” positions, and as markets started recovering, we trailed the “short PUT” positions to offset the gain in the short CEs. Again our view went absolutely wrong when the markets did not stop at 22051, even though we had a pause between 13.47 and 14.27. What then followed was the dream of an option buyer and a nightmare for option sellers like me. The momentum was so strong that we took out the ATH. Nifty had an intraday swing of 378 points ~ 1.73%. The swing was so wild that it would have taken out any stop loss set on premiums, over the last few days - markets are really testing the nerves of option traders. Between the last expiry and today, N50 has gained 291pts ~ 1.33%. The moves of the last 4 days were recreated in just today’s session - must be a new record. As soon as the 22051 resistance gave away, we had to change our stance from neutral to bullish. We would now like to see how higher the markets can go, we are assuming the momentum may not take us to 22700 for the monthly expiry. 63mts chart
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
FASP levels for Nifty 23/02/2024The FASP for Nifty is listed for 23-02-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
#nifty directions and level for FEB 22"Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for February 22nd: The global market sentiment remains moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +90 point increase. Nifty had fallen sharply in the last session; however, Giftnifty indicates a 90-point positive start. This sentiment suggests a ranging market. So, if the gap-up sustains, we can expect a ranging market initially. After that, if it breaks the previous high, then we can anticipate a continuation of the rally. This is the basic structure. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, then we can expect a minor correction. After that, if it finds support around 21920 to 50%, we can expect a minimum of a 23 to 38% pullback wave. However, if it consolidates or breaks that level solidly, then the correction will continue further.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 21 Feb 24As we have discussed, the nifty Bullish structure today has successfully broken and retraced to the upside. Now, if we look at the chart data: The market has given a successful breakout to the upside. The market is trading at ATH. The market has already retraced the breakout and has proven the bull's strength. Now, the market is ready to go up. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 1.22 shows that the market is bullish right now. Also, we do not have much resistance to the upside. If the rally starts, it will directly go to the 1st Fib level (1.414) at 22416. 22500 is the next good CE writing point, which is also supported by the Fib 1.414 level. I expect the market to go up to the 22416 level for now. Reasons: Price> EMAs shows sthe market is having bullish sentiments. RSI > 60 shows the market is in a bullish region. Price> VWAP shows the market is bullish and has a balanced Price with volume. OI data PCR = 1.22 shows the market is in bull's control right now. Also, 22500 will be providing the next resistance in the market. Verdict: Bullish Plan of action: Sell 22200 PE (hedge it with 20 rs premium)
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finnova_
16 Feb ’24 — Nifty stance upgraded to Bullish, BN NeutralNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️ Recap from yesterday: “A gap-up is ideal as it will quickly tip the balance to the Bulls as short sellers will have to run for cover. We wish to change the status from neutral to bullish only if we get a 63mts candle above the 21913 resistance line.” 4mts chart We all knew it would be a gap-up today and see how the bears ran for cover when we opened 93 points ~ 0.43% above yesterday’s close. The spike in CALL premiums was enough to show the fear of short covering. Secondly, there was no attempt to close the gap - which would have left the Bears with no choice but to abandon their short position or roll over to the next week and find a similarly priced strike. Fortunately, most would not have made a heavy loss as the “real breakout” did not happen today. Nifty was just contented to hold the ground and not concede the territory. After the first 63-minute candle we revised our stance to bullish, if you have read our last few reports - you would understand the rationale too. See the island formed above the resistance level of 21913. It is a classic breakout formation. From 15th Dec 2023 to 15th Feb 2024 - Nifty was in a narrow range of 21491 to 21913 with a couple of false breakouts/breakdowns. So we are keeping our fingers crossed this time to validate whether it works out. One way to do that is to check for follow-through price action. Blips do not last that long and we usually fall below the resistance (just like what happened on the last 2 occasions). Today is the first time I guess Nifty made the move ahead of BankNifty for a direction change. BankNifty has a lot of headroom left and if it catches up to its ATH - the impact on Nifty is going to be more than awesome. 63mts candle
NSE:NIFTYLong
by viswaram
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 16th FEB 24As we discussed NIFTY for today, it ended sideways. Now, if we look at the chart data: The market has already given a breakout as it expired today. It ended sideways to the upside while facing resistance at 21950. The market will be sideways in the range of 21800-21950. EMA has given bullish-crossover EMA(50,200). Which shows the market is in a good bullish phase. If we look at the OI data: Pcr = 0.96 shows a bullish signal. Also, 21900 has very good PE writing, which shows it's going to provide good support. On the upper side, there is good resistance CE writing at 21900, 21950, and 22000. that will provide nice resistance. FII & DII have yet to be released.- I will update you in the comments. The market should be sideways in the range of 21800-21950. if it breaks 21950 to the upside, I can expect a good bullish momentum till 22110, as has been marked in the chart. Reasons: Price > EMA(13,50,200) which shows nice bulls power. EMA golden crossover EMA(50,200) shows bullish trend. RSI ~ 60 but sideways with bullish divergence, which shows the market can move to the upside. OI data Pcr = 0.96 shows bulllish market sentiments. Price ~ VWAP, which shows market price and volume both are balanced. The market has a good range to go upside down. Verdict: Sideways in the range 21800-21950. Bullish if it breaks 21950 to the upside. Plan of Action: Iron condor in range(21800-21950) if it breaks to the upside, add a bullish position and exit a short position.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finnova_
Nifty Expiry prediction for today 15 Feb 24I have been busy for the last two days. If you have been following my analysis, we marked a resistance and support line, which got a breakout yesterday, and after that, it gave a very nice bullish momentum. Now, if we look at the chart: The market is trading at the resistance zone right now after yesterday's good bullish momentum. Price has broken 200 EMA. Also, an emacrossover has happened, which shows the market is not in a bullish phase. if we look at the OI data: PcR = 1.20, which shows the market is very bullish, as its expiration of 22,000 shows severe resistance. All the levels below, including 21800, have good pe writing that shows bullish sentiment of the market. FII and DII show bearish on Options, which might lead to some sideways days because, in the future, FII is bullish. I expect the market to consolidate a little bit here in the orange marked region. Also, its expiry tends to end sideways. If it breaks the upside, it will not be a very healthy breakout right now. Reasons: Price > EMAs, which shows the market is strong. EMA bullish crossover shows good market strength. RSI > 60 shows good strength in the bulls. OI data Pcr = 1.20 shows the bullish sign. Price> VWAP, which shows the market is having strength. The market is trading at a resistance zone. As it has been tested multiple times, there is a probability it might break. Because of expiry, I am not expecting much of the moment today. Verdict: Sideways in the orange zone. If breaks to the upside can go bullish (low chances) Plan of action: Case 1: Range selling in the orange zone. Case 2: go bullish if it breaks 21900 to the upside.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
FASP levels for Nifty 13/02/2024The FASP for Nifty is listed for 13-02-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
Nifty weekly analysis for 12/02/24.Nifty on the weekly charts is holding the higher levels. Still the index is looking confused about the tren. It is respecting the daily 20 ema and a nice support is taking from it. A long legged doji is formed on the close and still above the moving averages. There was a consolidation on the last trading day and chances of a trend move in the coming session is there. Let markets decide whether it wants to go to form a higher level or retest the lower levels. Major resistance is around the ATH of 22126 as it has reversed from it forming a double to pattern. A bearish trend will be confirmed by a daily candle close below the neck line forming a M pattern. Support levels :- 21650, 21500, 21370 The market trend is still in confusion. Wait for either side move and take trading in the direction market move. Major resistance levels :- 21810, 21875, 22000 Nifty has retested 50% fib level of the previous leg and if a bullish move is expected it should try to hit another ATH. Positional and swing trader should take on with banknifty as there is a confusion in nifty as there is an inside candle on the weekly charts. Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
Nifty weekly analysis for 05/02/24.Nifty has tested the higher levels and got rejected from the high forming a hanging man candle on the daily charts. Weekly charts is still showing some postivity and it is still way high from the weekly 20 ema. The market has gained 500 points on the weekly close and is looking positive as compare to the other indices. Major support levels :- 21820, 21660, 21500 There is a possibility of a double top pattern formation but confirmation for the M pattern will be below 21230 levels. A confusion is there in the market as the budget was about to come this week and market participants were over excited for that . It will face a major resistance from ATH and if it goes up to the levels and consolidate from 2-3 trading session or create halt candle, high chances for testing 23k levels will be there. Resistance :- 21900 (hourly), 22130 (ATH). Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the trade.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
Nifty Prediction for tomorrow 9 Feb 24As we have discussed, Nifty has had a bearish structure for the past 2-3 sessions. Nifty was moving in a symmetrical triangle pattern, which is a neutral pattern. Today, it has broken down to the downside, the same as we have been discussing. Now, if we look at the chart: The market has successfully broken to the downside and has retraced 200 EMA, and a sharp fall came after that. The Market had good pullback from level 21670 provided price action support in the last 30 min with a very good volume surge. The upper side of 200 EMA will provide a nice resistance level. if we look at OI data: PCR = 0.69 shows a market bearish structure. MaxPain = 21700 has a very nice PE Writing, which will be acting as a good support zone; also confirmed by the Price Action level. Lower side 21500 also has nice PE writing, which indicates the next strong level of support. If bears are able to break 21700 to the downside, I am expecting the market to fall till 21500. Reasons: Price < EMAs. which indicates a bearish market structure. (Bearish) Breakdown of the symmetrical triangle pattern to the downside confirms the market's bearish structure. (Bearish) 200 EMA is working as a good resistance point. Also, rejected price with incremental volume. (Bearish) OI data PcR = 0.69 is mild Bearish. RSI ~ 40 shows weak bull power. (Bearish) EMA(13, 200), bearish crossover. (Bearish) Verdict: Bearish Plan of action: Sell 21700 CE if 21700 is broken to the downside. (hedge it with 20 rs CE)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
Nifty Bouncing between daily order blocksNifty is bouncing between the two daily order blocks marked by the blue color. Intraday we found support at the hourly order block to push prices back up to the order block where we saw instant rejection. I am looking for prices to disrespect one of the two order blocks to see where prices will be heading. As for tomorrow, if we open up, we might again see prices fall down, even to the discount order block at 21780.65. If we open flat or gap down, we might see a fall and then a rise to take the all-time high as well. As of now, I don't see a clear bullish or bearish argument, so I'll take trades based on where the market opens tomorrow.
NSE:NIFTY
by Ripul012
#Nifty directions and levels for FEB 7."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for February 7th: The global market sentiment is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment shows a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as indicated by Giftnifty showing a +110. Nifty has a pullback structure as expected from the last session. So, there are no changes in the direction. If the market breaks the immediate resistance (22041), it may continue the rally further. Alternatively, if it rejects at either 22041 or 22081, then we can expect a correction ranging from 38% to 61%. This also indicates a bullish sentiment, suggesting an initial range-bound market before the continuation of the rally.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
06 Feb ’24 — Nifty takes out the resistance of 21319 on lower TFNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “The chart pattern is not at all bearish, in fact, it is more bullish than bearish. But we all know for an upward move, the resistance has to be knocked out whereas the support has to be breached for a downward move. For tomorrow, we wish to maintain our neutral stance and wait for some directional clues to appear.” 4mts chart Nifty does the tough job today - to take out the resistance of 21913. The real job of going bullish is so easy tomorrow, all it needs to do is hold the ground and the bulls will bring the momentum for the rally. Over the last 3 trading sessions, we witnessed 2 failures i.e on the 2nd and 5th Feb. Today against all odds, we opened at a level quite lower than this resistance area and then managed to pull up to the zone and then beat it. In a way, the slow and steady grind is much powerful as we have seen that this market rarely gives leeway to the Bears. BankNifty was not at all supporting Nifty and almost all the gains came from the NiftyIT stocks. NiftyIT closed the day with a super strong gain of 2.92%. 63mts chart The good news of the resistance break is only for the lower time frame. Nifty is still undecided on the 63mts TF and for that same reason, we wish to start the day tomorrow with a neutral bias and then go long if we have a green candle above the 21913 zone. Only if BankNifty lends support we can take out the ATH and there is no better day than the expiry day for such feats.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
#Nifty directions and levels for February 6th. #Nifty Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for February 6th: The global market sentiment is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment shows a moderately bearish trend. It might open with a neutral to a slightly gap-up start, as indicated by Giftnifty showing a +20. Nifty has had a reddish sentiment in the past two trading sessions. Even though it is reddish structurally, we can expect a rally continuation when it breaks the fib level 38%. This is because the previous wave count shows a proper 5-3 structure. If the market sustains the gap-up and breaks the fib level 38%, then we can expect further pullback continuation with minor consolidation. Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or opens with a gap-down, then we can expect correction continuation. It might not be in ABC structure; it might go in a 5-wave structure.
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
2
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 6th FEB 24As we discussed yesterday, NIFTY made a bearish movement after 2 pm with a nice volume. If we look at the chart data: Price has broken the pattern to the downside, now trading at 200 EMA. RSI has already gone below 40. Price is trading below EMA(13,50). Today, the selling volume was quite high. If we look at the OI data: PCR = 0.72, which shows a neutral structure because the price is at 200 EMA. 21700 is having nice PE writing, which is going to provide a nice support zone. On the upside, 21900 has significantly high CE writing, which will provide strong resistance. I am expecting the market to fall in upcoming sessions: Reasons: The market has already given a breakout to the downside. (Bearish) price < EMAs shows a bearish market structure. Currently trading at 200 EMA if breaks to downside path is clear till 21500. (Bearish) RSI < 40, which shows bulls are weak right now. (Bearish) price < VWAP shows a bearish sentiment in the market. (Bearish) OI data shows PCR = 0.72, which shows the market has a neutral structure. A little push to the downside can ignite a strong bearish move. (Bearish) Verdict: Bearish Plan of action: Sell 21800 CE (hedge it with 15rs CE)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
6
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 05 FEB 24As we discussed in our analysis & on YouTube , it reached the target and then fell. You can also find the analysis on youtube channel link in Bio. Now if we look at the chart: the market is in a rectangular uptrend pattern and is now at the lower support line. Looking at the selling pressure volume in the last session, it was a strong fall from ATH. Now, if it breaks down, it will be going at 200 EMA. Looking at the OI data: PCR = 0.85, which indicates bullish. also next week PCR = 1.0 shows bullishness. the market is leaning towards bulls unless it breaks to the downside of the channel. Upside 22000 is a really strong resistance level. On the downside, the next good support level is at 21500. FII & DII indicate a neutral signal. Now I am expecting market to be either sideways(inside channel) OR bearish (if breaks to downside.) Reasons: Price ~ EMA(13,50) shows mild bullish. RSI ~ 40-60 shows a sideways Market. market is forming HH & HL. Unless the market forms a lower low, the bearish trend is not confirmed. (Neutral -> because of sharp fall from ATH) OI data PCR = 0.85 shows mild bullishness. 21800 seems decent support, but on the upper side, 22,000 is strong resistance. verdict: Sideways in channel AND bearish if breaks to the downside. Plan of action: Go bearish if it breaks to the downside; Target 200 EMA.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
3
02 Feb ’24 — Nifty50 Breaks out and then Breaks DownNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️ Recap from yesterday: “Bulls and Bears are reevaluating their army strength and will soon fight it out — we will get a trending move as soon as the balance is tipped. For tomorrow — we wish to start the day with a neutral stance and then re-evaluate based on Nifty’s plans. If we pick a direction, we will definitely update the TV minds section” 4mts chart Nifty does 2 swings today, the first one to cut through the resistance of 21913 and convincingly reach the ATH levels. And the 2nd swing to breach the same support only to close back in the neutral territory. The moment we broke out from the resistance level - we changed our stance from neutral to bullish. And then as the reversal came in, our stop loss was hit and we had to backtrack our stance to neutral again. The morning part - was totally expected, we were in a 40-day range and then a break was due. But the 2nd half of the day - didn't see that coming. Surprisingly we closed the day with a gain of 156 points ~ 0.72% while BankNifty fell 217 points ~ -0.47%. We still believe, BankNifty is the torch bearer and has to align itself in the same direction as Nifty50 for a strong trend momentum. 63mts chart There are at least half a dozen candlestick patterns that could be drawn in this chart. We see a strong double top right at the ATHs and today’s top right at the lower channel line which would have acted as a resistance. The buildup from 24th Jan to today is a Double bottom (W) pattern and a small bullish trendline. All of which leads to confusion on what gets the highest priority. We would like to continue with the neutral stance for Monday with a slight advantage to the bullish side.
NSE:NIFTY
by viswaram
2