Niftyoutlook
Nifty 50: Critical Support Zone at 24,460 The market is currently hovering near key Fibonacci retracement levels, with 24,460 acting as a strong support zone. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally, providing a significant level for buyers to potentially step in. The market has already tested the 38.2% retracement level and held above it.
Key Scenarios:
Gap-Down Scenario:
If the market opens with a gap down near the 24,500 level, we may witness a bounce-back, leading to a green candle that could move towards the current closing price. The 24,460 support level is expected to hold, making this a critical area for a potential reversal.
Flat or Slight Gap-Down Opening:
Should the market open flat or with a small gap-down, we could see a red candle that may extend to the 24,460 level. This would likely be the lowest point before buyers step in, supported by both the 0.618 retracement and the rising trendline visible on the chart.
Gap-Up Scenario:
If the market gaps up and holds the current closing price (24,857.50), there’s a possibility of testing the 25,000 level. A successful breakout above this could signal further momentum, potentially leading to a rally towards 25,600.
Conclusion:
The 24,460 zone remains a strong support level, while 25,000 acts as the next major resistance. A break above 25,000 could initiate a continuation toward 25,600, while a gap down will test the 24,460 support and it should most likely hold if nothing worse happens around the world.
Disclaimer:
This idea is presented solely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial or trading advice.
Nifty weekly analysis for 09/09/2024.The index after a long time has given some momentum on intraday basis and closed below the psycological number of 25k.
A bearish engulfing candle on the weekly time frames shows some weakness on the charts. If the market starts trading below the 24800 levels, there are chances of testing lower levels.
Hourly 200 ema is also around the support zone, while the daily candle closed below the 20 ema.
Major support levels :- 25800, 24600, 24230
Resistance levels :- 24960, 25100
The level and the pattern formed around it shows a significant bearish upcoming move in the market.
There are chance of market testing the lower levels as the market cycle seems to chance.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
Nifty for the week 9.9.2024 to 13.09.2024Nifty broke 25000 levels and also trend line . on Monday if it breaks 24800, then the fall may be up to 24370 and can extend up to 23610, 22550. On the other hand if it breaks and closes above 24940 in one hour candle, then there may be shot rally.
Buy above 24940
sell below 24800
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This only for educational purpose.
Bearish RSI divergence in Nifty, indicating a potential decline!
Since October 2023, Nifty has demonstrated a robust upward trend, reaching an impressive peak of 25,333, marked an all-time high.
However, the index has recently faced a setback, pulled back from this peak and currently indicating a downward movement.
A significant bearish RSI divergence is evident on the daily chart, signaling a further potential decline for the index.
On the downside, important support levels are lies between 23,900 and 24,100.
It is crucial to recognize that a break below this support could lead to a significant drop in the index.
Nifty50 Negative Divergence on RSI with BEARISH ENGULFING##1. Nifty50 now showing negative divergence on RSI with Bearish Engulfing on Weekly Charts.
2. Sell below 24811 with SL 25011 for Targets 24444, 24011.
3. If Nifty50 break 24011 then it may fall till 23333 levels.
I will regular update the levels for Nifty50 according with its movement. Trade with proper risk management & Happy Trading
NIFTY50 - TIME TO SELL ?Symbol - Nifty50
Nifty50 is currently trading at 24840
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting Nifty Futures at CMP 24840
I will be adding more if 25000 comes & will hold with SL 25200
Targets I'm expecting are mentioned in the chart above.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Nifty 50 negative divergence on RSI on weekly chart##Nifty50 showing negative divergence on RSI on weekly charts. We can see some correction or time based consolidation in Nifty50.
Nifty50 levels for selling will be below 24811 on daily basis for target of 24444 & 24011 with Stop-loss of 25025.
Trade with risk management properly. Thank you
#Nifty directions and levels for September 5th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for September 5th.
Market Overview
The global markets are maintaining bearish pressure, as indicated by the Dow Jones. Our local market has been showing a moderately bullish sentiment. However, based on a 90-point positive signal from GiftNifty, we may see the market open with a gap-up today.
Both Nifty and BankNifty have been range-bound. What about today? It’s likely that the range will continue, but let’s take a look at the charts.
Nifty
Current View
If the market opens with a gap-up, the 78% level will act as crucial resistance. If it consolidates or breaks this level, we can expect the next targets to be a minimum of 25,333 to 25,366. This is our first scenario.
Alternate Scenario
On the other hand, if the market rejects the 78% level or takes a sharp decline initially, the range-bound market is likely to continue. The expected targets would be a minimum of 38% to 61% of the minor swing.
#Nifty directions and level for September first week.Nifty and Bank Nifty Directions for the First Week of September
Global Market Overview
The global market hasn't changed much and continues to trade within a range, so the overall sentiment remains positive. However, there are a few events this week that need to be monitored closely.
Our Market:
In the previous week, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed with positive candles, suggesting that this momentum may continue this week. Meanwhile, there are no major events in our local market, which could indicate that there might not be significant moves on the downside. However, we should check the charts for more clarity.
Nifty:
In the previous week, Nifty moved solidly, but most of the gains occurred in the initial movements. What about this week?
Current View:
Structurally, if the market breaks the supply zone solidly, then the rally will likely continue to the level of 25,537 with minor consolidation. This is our first scenario. If this happens, it could signify the continuation of the 3rd sub-wave.
Alternate View:
> The alternate view suggests that if the market faces rejection around the minor supply zone (25,377) or if this week starts with a negative candle, we can expect a correction of 23% to 38% in the minor swing, potentially indicating a 4th sub-wave.
> The correction may not be deep, so if it reaches the downside 38% Fibonacci level, the rally could continue further. However, if it breaks below the 38% level, we might need to reconsider our direction.
#Nifty directions and levels for August 30th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for August 30th.
Market Overview
The global and local markets are still maintaining their current sentiments. Globally, the market is in a consolidation phase with a bullish outlook, supported by the Dow Jones. Locally, the market shows a moderately bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as the SGX Nifty indicates a positive 40-point move as of 8:00 AM.
> Both Nifty and Banknifty are still adjusting to their time patterns. Nifty is following an expanding diagonal pattern, while Banknifty is moving within a range.
> Currently, Nifty is setting up for its next movement, but Banknifty is not yet aligning with this direction. We can expect a similar sentiment today due to the structural patterns.
> However, if Banknifty breaks to the upside decisively, it could lead to a long rally for both Nifty and Banknifty, as Banknifty has been consolidating after a long rally and might be forming a flag pattern.
Today's Charts
Nifty
Current View:
The gift Nifty indicates a slightly positive start. If the market opens with a gap-up, it may reach the supply zone on the upside. If the market consolidates there or breaks through the supply zone decisively, the rally is likely to continue. This is our first scenario. However, considering the diagonal pattern, there is also a possibility of rejection. I will outline this in the alternate view.
Alternate View:
If the market initially declines or experiences a rejection at the supply zone, a correction of 23% to 38% may follow. Should the market break below the 38% Fibonacci level, it could continue in an expanding diagonal structure, with a potential correctional target of 61% to 78%. Conversely, if the 38% Fibonacci level holds, the market may sustain its bullish bias.
Breakout or Trap? Nifty & Bank Nifty Surge Ahead - Be Cautious!!Nifty and Bank Nifty are showing some strength!! We may see new ATH looking at the charts,
till the time Nifty does not clear 25300 we are in trouble waters!!
Above that level we should see a strong upside movement!!
All i can say is stay cautious till tht time, lets see a strong breakout rather then fall in a trap!!






















