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Niftyoutlook

NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 24/01/24According to our past discussion, NIFTY had a bearish nature for a couple of days. It had a nice fall today. If we look at the chart, it has broken the HNS Neck to the downside with huge volume pressure. The market might continue to be bearish in the coming days. If we look at chart 21025, the next support point can be set as target 1 and 20791 as target 2 according to the HNS pattern breakout to the downside and also the price action level. While looking at the OI data, PCR = 0.63; also, today's OI change shows huge bearishness with Call change = 3.28Cr Put change = -21.82L, which means it was a huge PE windup with additional CE writing. The market is bearish. Reasons: Nifty is making HNS at the top of the trend, which means upcoming sessions are going to be bearish with target levels marked on the chart. (Bearish) Price < EMAs shows the market's bearish nature. (Bearish) The market has given the Death crossover, which is a strong signal of a Bearish market. (Bearish) OI data PCR = 0.63 shows bearish signal. (Bearish) RSI < 40, which shows weakness in bulls strength. (Bearish) VWAP is at 21600, which indicates prices are not volume balanced. (sideways) Verdict: Bearish Plan of action: Look for a 15-minute candle; make a position based on the PA marked on the chart.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
6
#Nifty directions and levels for JAN 24th#Nifty "Nifty had a sharp correction. structurally, it might be in a 'C' or '3rd' wave. So, if the market opens with a gap-down, then the correction will likely continue. After the correction, if the market takes support around 21,159 or the Demand zone, we can expect a minimum of a 23% to 38% pullback wave. However, if it doesn't take support, then we can expect further correction. Alternatively, if the market opens with a gap-up, then initially we could expect a 23% to 38% pullback wave. After that, if it rejects there (at 38%), then we can expect correction continuation (meaning the 'C' leg continuation).
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
1
NIFTY OUTLOOK (With this pattern I predicted the COVID CRASH)Amid the all fears of Rising crude oil prices, Fed hiking rates, Rising US treasury yields with no sign of inflation being in control or Rising Dollar index. There is no doubt that bearish sentiment has prevailed among many retail people. But one thing cannot be denied that Indian market has stayed more defensive compared to global markets. One pattern that I have observed is after every 700 -730 days a high is formed in NIFTY. So according to the same cycle, I strongly feel indian markets may correct in healthy manner by forming a top near 1st - 2nd week of Dec 2023. Even if NIFTY falls before, it will form a pull back top at around the same time. Using the same cycle I predicted the COVID CRASH few years back : Link to the study: That doesn't mean one has to buy every dips or short every top. But a profit booking on the every rise is definitely advisable. Aggressive shorts can be done only after confirmation. CHART AND ANALYSIS ADARSH DEY
NSE:NIFTY
by AdarshDey
6
NIFTY Special session analysis 20 Jan 24NSE is running special trading sessions to test the disaster management platform. There is no compulsion to participate in the trading for today. But if you wish to, here is the analysis that you can follow. Nifty Broke went to the downside but quickly recovered and came back inside the descending triangle pattern (Trend continuation pattern). Yesterday, It felt resistance at 200 EMA and résistance trendZone. If nifty breaks the pattern to the upside, it may go to level 21819. But as it is testing day, only a few traders might participate, which might lead to sideways momentum. Reasons: The market is trading at 200 EMA resistance. It's a make-and-break point. Let the pattern break and enter after retesting. OI data PCR = 0.84(weekly) shows amilg bullish signal. That means if it breaks to the upside, it might give nice targets till 21819, marked on the chart. RSI 40 - 60, which is a sign of a sideways market. If it breaks 60 to the upside, it means the market is going to be bullish. Otherwise, don't enter with the option of buying inside the range 40-60. you can go with selling. Price > EMA(13,50) but 200 EMA still providing resistance. go bullish once it's broken and retested. VWAP is at 21700, which will also be acting as resistance. (sideways or bullish.) Verdict: Sideways if it's inside the pattern OR if it breaks to the upside, go bullish after retest. Plan of action: Go for option selling, as many factors are in favor of a sideways market, too. Wait for 15 minutes for the candle to enter after retracement.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finnova_
NIFTY prediction for today LIVE 19 JAN 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it opened a gap down, and then buyers showed a nice momentum to the upside but sadly could not hold it. Support became the resistance and resulted in a sideways. If we look at charts now, 21380 provided massive support in that region. so now the market has created a range in 21380-21500. A break in the range will decide the next moment in the market. If we look at the OI data, PCR = 0.80, which is neutral. And monthly PCR = 1.1, which means bulls are still holding their positions, and yesterday, it was more PE writing than CE writing. That shows 21380 activates the bull's buying pressure. The break of the range will decide the momentum in nifty today. Reasons: Price < EMAs; also price ~ EMA(13) that means makret is bearish also in bearish ZONE. RSI ~ 40 means bulls are weak right now. (sideways or bearish) OI data PCR ~ 0.80, which is neutral for the market. Range break will decide the market momentum. 21450 will be acting as MAXPAIN for bears. Once it's broken to the downside, a good target can be achieved. Price < VWAP shows the bearish structure of the market. Verdict: Sideways or Bearish Sideways in the range 21380-21500. if it breaks to the downside, it will go to a bearish target of 21238. Plan of action: For today, the market is going for CE selling, as a sideways possibility is also there. You will be able to hold your positions firmly.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
5
#Nifty directions and levels for JAN 18th"Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for January 18th: The global market sentiment is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment shows a bearish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as indicated by Giftnifty showing a -160. HDFC Bank's results' impact is still ongoing. Structurally, we can expect a pullback around the major support level. If it rejects, then we can anticipate a minimum of 38% to 61% pullback. On the other hand, if it breaks or consolidates around the major support level, the correction is likely to continue."
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 18 Jan 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, "Sideways in the channel if they break to the downside, will turn BEARISH." It opened the downside and gave a very nice bearish moment. For tomorrow, if we look at the chart and OI data, it's a very bearish situation. if we look into OI data PCR = 0.55(weekly) and 0.80(for next week included.) that means monthly is still neutral. If we look at the chart, 21500 is a very good support ZONE, which has been providing support multiple times. This time, it might also take support from there. But on the above side, EMA(200) will be providing resistance at (21650). I am expecting it to take a retracement, and then it will fall again. There are two main possibilities right now. that have been marked on the chart. On the other hand, it has broken the pattern to the downside. If, after retracement, there is volume pressure to sell, it will fall to the next levels of 21250 and 21000. but for now, the main hurdle is 21500. I am expecting the market to take minor support at 21500, and if after that it starts falling and breaks 21500 to the downside, a good fall in the market can be expected. Reasons: Price < EMAs, which indicates the bearishness in the market. RSI < 40, oversold zone shows bulls are weak at this point. So some retracement and then again fall is expected. Price < VWAP that shows bearishness in the market. RSI is showing bullish divergence (marked as Blue), which means 21500 is highly likely to provide minor support. Once the RSI is adjusted, it might fall again. but for now, the RSI needs to be adjusted. OI data shows PCR = 0.55 which is huge bearish. Verdict: Bearish (21500 minor support); if breaks to the downside after retrace. Plan of action: Wait for 15 min candle. Make position how it behaves at 21500 PA.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
17
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 17th Jan '24Today Nifty opened with a minor gap down around 22090 and after making a low around 22030 we saw an up move towards 22124 and then profit booking from upper levels. Nifty took support around yesterday low 21970 and then we saw a consolidation. For tomorrow, buy only if Nifty sustains above 22125, an up move towards 22165 and above marked levels. On the down side, Nifty has to break 21960 for further downside towards 21920 and below marked levels. Expectations: Volatile Day Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 22125 Sell Below - 21960 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTY
by InvestPro_India
1
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 17 JAN 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it will be going 22100, and then it will settle there. The market did reach the level, and then, because of resistance there, it reversed back. Again, took support is at a day's low. If we see selling candles had a higher volume than buying candles. That shows the market will be turning bearish soon. We have marked a zone of today's highs and lows. If the market breaks the zone to the downside, then selling can be seen in the market. The best points to make an entry will be either entering at high (22100 rejection) or entering at the breakdown (today's low). According to the OI data, PCR 0.8 dropped from 1.51(yesterday). Shows sellers are becoming aggressive at higher points(~22100). Also, in today's 2nd half, there is no new PE writing. Only CE selling happens at higher levels (22000 and 22050). Also, there was a huge PE unwinding at higher levels (22100). Also, it has faced rejection from the resistance trendline. I am expecting a bearish market in tomorrow's session. Reasons: Price got a rejection from the resistance trendline. It should continue its momentum to go downwards as marked on the chart. (sideways or Bearish) Price > EMA(200) and VWAP require some consolidation or correction at this point (also discussed yesterday). (sideways or Bearish) OI data shows a huge decrease in PCR from 1.51 -> 0.80, which shows huge bearishness in the market—an indication of a reversal. RSI has also dropped to the 40-60 range, which is sideways, but if it falls below 40, it will turn into a bearish market. Verdict: Sideways in the channel, if they break to the downside, will turn BEARISH Plan of Action: Keep neutral position IRON CONDOR inside range AND Go bearish with sell 22000 CE Sell (with Hedge protection)
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
2
Nifty 50 Outlook : 11-Jan-2024After touching the down trend line (in Red) today, NSE:NIFTY sustained the 21600 level. Also, it broke out from the symmetrical triangle at day end, which is a bullish sign. If it breaks out from the down trend line (in Red) tomorrow and sustains above it, it may be the confirmation of start of a fresh upward leg. If this happens will update the target tomorrow. On the other hand, if it respects the down trend line (in Red) and turns back from there, then it may test the 21500 and 21400 levels in coming session/s. Disclaimer : I am not a SEBI registered analyst/consultant and not recommending anyone to take any BUY or SELL position in stock market. Investing in stock market is risky and one should do a self analysis and validation before investing in stock market.
NSE:NIFTY
by vicky252
Nifty weekly analysis and levels for 15/01/24.An engulfing candle on the weekly close is good for the index as it has closed near the new high. The coming week can give a bullish move too. It has started trading above the resistance level of 21800 and closed somewhat 100 points higher after the break out. Major support levels :- 21720, 21600 and 21500 Still market is trading above the break out, either it will continue the up move or will show a break out failure. Watch for the market as there are chance of it testing 22k levels first and then giving a retracement. Initiate trade as per the setup and price action. Indicator may show otherwise in smaller time frame. So go for higher time frame for analysis.
NSE:NIFTY
by TheMamboMomentum
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 16th JAN 24As we discussed yesterday, "it will reach 22100, and then it will face resistance there". If we look at the chart data right now, It has touched 22100. also, right now, it's trading at the resistance trendline, which will provide resistance from here. According to OI data, PCR = 1.51, which is super bullish. On the upside, there is no resistance. All levels have very low CE Writing. OI data shows it's very bullish right now. 22000 has HUGE PE writing, which will be providing very nice support. The market is trading at the upper region of the channel. There are high chances of settling the market here. I expect the market to go sideways. There is not much target left according to the price action. Reasons: Price> EMAs show bullishness in the market. But EMA(13) >> EMA(200), which indicates the market is stretched. RSI = 80, which shows the market is overbought. Also, the RSI is showing a bearish divergence. That might lead to some correction in the market. Price (22100) > > VWAP (21700) shows Price is not balanced with volume data. It might lead to correction for some points. The Market is continuously making HH and HL. Shows very good strength of the trend. But it requires some consolidation here. According to Extended Fib, retracement shows a 1.414 level as 22138, which is exactly at the resistance trendline. According to OI data, there is too much PE writing today. There is very minimal CE writing at the upper level, 22100 is showing MAX PAIN. Also FII and PRO shows bullishness in index option data. Verdict: Bullish might have some consolation at the resistance trendline. Plan of Action: Wait 15 min candle; make position according to levels marked at chart.
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
2
Nifty Intraday Trade Setup | 15th Jan '24Today Nifty opened with a gap up around 21790, in morning we saw fast dip towards 21725 which was our buy level. Nifty took support around this level, started going up and we saw good rally on Friday. For tomorrow, if Nifty sustains above 21930 we will see fresh buying towards 21970 and above marked levels. On the down side, Nifty has to break 21790, below that level we may see 21760 and below marked levels. Our biased is bullish for tomorrow and we are looking for up move towards 2200 - 22100 in next week. Expectations: Volatile Day Intraday Levels: Buy Above - 21930 Sell Below - 21790 To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis. Happy Trading! InvestPro India
NSE:NIFTYLong
by InvestPro_India
1
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 15 JAN 24As we discussed, NIFTY would be "Sideways unless it breaks the range to either side." on Friday, it broke to the upside and gave a really nice bullish rally. People who Bought CE or sold PE might have made good money. For tomorrow all important levels have been marked on the chart. If we look right now, it's trading ALL-TIME-HIGH, which might lead to a 22,000 target. If we see the charts, we are on the way to touching the resistance trendline. Once it reaches there, it will face resistance. GIFTNIFTY is already showing 21975 closing in the last session. The upper range to go nifty is 22100. So, I expect it to go up and then from 22100 settle down. If we see OI data PCR = 1.40 which shows highly bullish indications for upcoming sessions. 22000 is having significantly good resistance level lets see how the price action behave there. MAX Pain for now is 22000. Tomorrow it might open gap-up and then reach 22100 and then correct for some points that might lead to a sideways market too. Reasons: Price > EMA(13,50,200) which shows price have strength. The bulls are in control. (Bullish) EMA(13,50) crossover shows bullishness in the Market. RSI is above 60, which means it's in the Bullish zone. RSI is showing good strength in trend. OI data PCR = 1.40, which is highly bullish. It's a very good sign of bullishness. VWAP > > Price shows that the price is not volume balanced. It's obviously bullish. But if it goes further, you have to correct some points to get balanced. The Market is continuously making HH and HL. Shows very good strength of the trend. Verdict: Bullish Plan of action: Wait for 15 min Candle; and then make position based on price action levels marked on chart.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finnova_
2
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 12 JAN 24As we discussed, Nifty has been moving in a sideways range-bound market in the range of 21500 and 21750. also, today, it took very nice support from 200 EMA and activated buyers. But once it's moving in the range, it could not be better for option buyers. Right now, the only you can do is option selling with IRON CONDOR. If we look at OI, we can see PCR = 0.7, which is leaned to the bear side. The market has shown a bearish structure this whole week. There are higher chances to break it to the downside. If it breaks to the downside, I am expecting it to fall nicely; otherwise, I will be playing range-bound for Selling options. Also, the market has formed an insider candle on the day's time frame. Unless this insider candle is cleared, I am expecting it to be range-bound between 21500 and 21750. Reasons: Price > EMAs shows the market still has a good bull control. (Bearish) RSI ~ 50 increasing means bulls are trying to get the market to go up. But still RSI = 40-60 means still sideways. Once it breaks to RSI(60) upside, We can expect a nice bull move. (Bearish) If we see OI 21650 and 21700 have a huge resistance wall, it means huge CE writing at those levels. (Bearish) 21600 is MAX PAIN. If it breaks to the downside, a good fall can be seen in nifty till the level of 21120. (Bearish) Verdict: Sideways unless breaks the range to either side. Plan of action : Right now, you can go for IRON CONDOR. for range 21500-21750. OR Sell 21750 CE and sell 21500 PE (Hedge with 15rs PE and CE)
NSE:NIFTY
by finnova_
#Nifty directions and levels for JAN 10."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for January 10th: The global market sentiment remains moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment reflects a similar trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by Giftnifty showing a -45. Nifty exhibits a triangle structure. If it finds support around 21500 or the demand zone, we can anticipate a pullback. This pattern suggests a breakout followed by a pullback wave, although confirmation signals are advisable. If the upcoming pullback breaks the Fibonacci level of 38%, we might consider it a minor reversal, with a target set between 61% to 78%. Conversely, if it fails to find support or breaches the demand zone at 21466, the correction will likely continue."
NSE:NIFTY
by Manickamtraders
FASP levels for Nifty 10/01/2024The FASP for Nifty is listed for 10-01-2024. You can add this levels to your trade setup for better results. This should not be the only indicator but an additional tool to increase your winning possibilities. What is Fibolysis Anchor SupRes Points(FASP)? It is a unique level arrived by using Fibonacci Retracement , Fibonacci Extension , Standard Pivot levels under various Timeframes. It is an extensively analyzed level to draw the support and resistance levels for the next day. You can use these levels along with your trade setup to increase your winning odds. Validity of the levels: 1 Day How to use these levels? The three levels on both sides are usually easily achievable. The Targets above are bit difficult to achieve in a single trading session. I use this fact to write intraday positions and to buy options. Color Coding: Green is regular support and buying area, Red is strong exit area Disclaimer: This is shared in the interest of educational purpose and for knowledge enhancement. Kindly refer it in the same light. I am not responsible for any profits or loss incurred based on this information.
NSE:NIFTY
by SathishChandrasekaran
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 10 Jan 24As we discussed, Nifty has been moving in a sideways range-bound market in the range of 21500 and 21750. right now, it is on a support line. If it breaks to the downside, it can achieve a nice bearish target. But as we can see, it had formed an insider candle in the time frame. According to the OI data, PCR is 0.65 overall. The market has shown a bearish structure for the past 3 days. There are higher chances to break it to the downside. If it breaks to the downside, I am expecting it to fall nicely; otherwise, I will be playing range-bound Selling options. Reasons: Price < EMAs shows the bearish market. If it falls, a good target can be achieved. (Bearish) RSI has dropped to the bearish zone (<40), which shows very weak bulls in the market. (Bearish) OI data shows PCR = 0.65, which is assumed to be the bearish market condition. Today, CE was added in large quantities, which can be seen in the daily OI change. There is a huge CE writing on levels 21600, 21650, and 21700. (Bearish) 21500 is MAX PAIN. If it breaks to the downside, a good fall can be seen in nifty till the level of 21120. (Bearish) At the time of fall, volume is quite high today, but once it came to support a good volume of CE unwinding (Bearish) Verdict: Bearish Plan of action: Bearish if it Breaks the 21500 level to the downside; otherwise, wait for PA at 21500. Note: PA = Price Action
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 9 Jan 24As we discussed nifty yesterday, It could not break to the upside, so entry didn't activate, but it broke to the downside pattern today. Also, if we look into the market, OI data indicates PCR = 0.7, which is bearish. Also, because the market is in the support line, it is still inside the channel. If it breaks the range to the downside, sellers will get activated, and heavy selling might be witnessed. I am expecting the market to move further down if it breaks to the downside. as Banknifty is already super Bearish. Nifty might follow up on the same trend in tomorrow's market. Reasons: Price < EMA(13,50), but it's close to 200 EMA, which might provide a nice support. The trend has broken to the downside. Banknifty is bearish. NIFTY might also follow the same trend to the downside. RSI has dropped to the bearish zone (<40), which shows very weak bulls in the market. OI data shows PCR = 07, which is assumed to be the bearish market condition. Today, CE was added in large quantities, which can be seen in the daily OI change. (Bearish) 21500 is MAX PAIN. If it breaks to the downside, a good fall can be seen in nifty till the level of 21120. Verdict: Bearish Plan of action: Bearish if it Breaks the 21500 level to the downside; otherwise, wait for PA at 21500. Note: PA = Price Action
NSE:NIFTYShort
by finnova_
Weekly Market Report- Bullish Momentum with Key Support at 21500Overview: The market is currently experiencing a bullish phase in both the daily and weekly time frames, with the current trading level at 21700. In-depth analysis on the 75-minute time frame reveals a strong support level at 21500, corroborated by the SMA 50. This suggests a potential consolidation between 21500 and 21800. While the overall sentiment is bullish, it's crucial to emphasize the importance of risk management. Technical Analysis: 1. Bullish Momentum: - Daily and weekly time frames indicate a prevailing bullish trend. - Current market price at 21700 reflects the strength of the upward momentum. 2.Support at 21500: - On the 75-minute time frame, the market has established a robust support level at 21500. - SMA 50 is reinforcing this support, adding to the credibility of the level. 3.Consolidation Zone: - Anticipate a potential consolidation phase between 21500 and 21800. - Traders should monitor price action within this range for potential breakout or breakdown signals. Risk Management: 1.Importance of Risk Management: - Despite the bullish outlook, it is essential to prioritize risk management to safeguard capital. 2.Setting Stop-Loss Levels: - Identify key support levels, such as the established 21500 support, to set appropriate stop loss orders. - Avoiding undue exposure and setting realistic stop-loss levels are integral to risk mitigation. 3.Monitoring Price Action: - Continuously monitor price action and be prepared to adjust risk management strategies based on market developments. - Adaptability is key to navigating potential changes in market sentiment. Conclusion: In summary, the market is currently in a bullish phase, with a strong support level at 21500 indicating a potential consolidation zone. Traders should remain vigilant, employ effective risk management strategies, and adapt to evolving market conditions. While the overall sentiment is positive, it is crucial to prioritize capital preservation through prudent risk management practices. Remember, this analysis is for educational purposes only.
NSE:NIFTYLong
by TTS007
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 8 Jan 24As we have been discussing the NIFTY in the channel, It performed really well. But now it's forming a new pattern that can be seen in the chart. Nifty has been showing a very bullish signal as it has been super bullish in the last hour today. Suppose we look into OI data PCR = 0.88, which is assumed to be mild bullish. Also, it has been taken support at the trendline. I am expecting it to go bullish if it can break the 21700 to the upside. Then, once it retraces, we can make the entry and hold till 21900 min as marked on the chart. OR it can be sideways inside the given ascending triangle marked using BLUE annotation. Reasons: Price > EMA(13,50,200) which shows price have strength. The bulls are in control. (Bullish) EMA(13,50) crossover shows bullishness in the Market. RSI is about to cross 60 to the upside, which means it's entering in the Bullish zone. RSI is showing good strength in trend. OI data PCR = 0.82, which is mild bullish. As it's the first day, it won't make any difference, but still, it's a sign of bullishness. Along with it, In 2nd half today, most Positions have been exited, and 21700 and 21800 still have nice resistance. The market has taken very nice support from 50 EMA. There are chances to go HH, HL. Verdict: Bullish Plan of action: Sell 21700 PE + BUY 21300 CE(For hedge and margin benifits)
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finnova_
2
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 5 Jan 24As we have been discussing the NIFTY in the channel, It performed really well. But now it's forming a new pattern that can be seen in the chart. Nifty has been showing a very bullish signal as it has been super bullish in the last hour today. Suppose we look into OI data PCR = 0.88, which is assumed to be mild bullish. Also, it has been taken support at the trendline. I am expecting it to go bullish if it can break the 21700 to the upside. Then, once it retraces, we can make the entry and hold till 21900 min as marked on the chart. OR it can be sideways inside the given ascending triangle marked using BLUE annotation. Reasons: Price > EMA(13,50,200) which shows price have strength. The bulls are in control. (Bullish) EMA(13,50) crossover shows bullishness in the Market. RSI is about to cross 60 to the upside, which means it's entering in the Bullish zone. RSI is showing good strength in trend. OI data PCR = 0.82, which is mild bullish. As it's the first day, it won't make any difference, but still, it's a sign of bullishness. Along with it, In 2nd half today, most Positions have been exited, and 21700 and 21800 still have nice resistance. The market has taken very nice support from 50 EMA. There are chances to go HH, HL. Verdict: Bullish Plan of action : Sell 21700 PE + BUY 21300 CE(For hedge and margin benifit)
NSE:NIFTYLong
by finnova_