19 Jul 2024 - The first real signs of tiredness, stance neutralNifty Stance Neutral ➡️
Nifty managed to only gain 14pts ~ 0.06% this week, but we hit a new ATH on all 4 working days. The new ATH is 24854, but before we talk about that - the price action of 18th Jul requires special mention.
We fell 84pts ~ 0.34% between open & 09.35, then we went up 162pts ~ 0.66% by 10.11. We then fell again 173pts ~ 0.7% by 11.31 and then rose 332pts ~ 1.36% by 14.51. Down-up-down-up, we had 4 mutually contradicting price movements, these are not normal times & the traders who are facing these headwinds are not ordinary either. It really takes so much courage & inner peace to trade with a level head.
The price action that followed today was a one way trip, a decent 346pts ~ 1.39% intraday fall after hitting a new ATH of 24854. The only reason I am going neutral from the bullish stance is because of the intensity of the fall today.
If we notice further weakness, I would not relent to go short as well. Honestly, going short has never worked for me in the past 1 year or so - the puts just eat the dust every single time. A bear run will wake up all those dreamers, thats what I feel.
Niftyoutlook
Nifty50 ( Provisional chart ) 15th July This chart is not final, will update as per today's closing
Closing sustains above 24176 -- 24163 in daily 🕯 then it could move upside to above levels marked ( 24646 -- 25027 ) within 15th july
Expecting a correction to lower levels 📉📉📉 after the above targets
Achieve.
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 19.07.2024On Thursday, Nifty took support exactly at the 15m demand zone (24485 - 24516) mentioned in the last post, broke the previous high, and made a new all-time high of 24837.75 before closing at 24800.85. The weekly (50 SMA) and daily trends (50 SMA) are now overbought.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (30m): 24599 - 24648
Far support/demand zone (30m): 24504 - 24560
Major support/demand zone (125m) for weekly trade: 24193 - 24357
Major support/demand zone (Daily): 24141 - 24461
There is currently no supply/resistance zone seen on the chart.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 18.07.2024On Tuesday, Nifty opened with a gap up and reached a new all-time high of 24,661.25 before closing at 24,613. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is overbought, while the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (15m): 24,485 - 24,516
Far support/demand zone (30m): 24,331 - 24,395
Major support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150
There is no supply/resistance zone visible on the chart at the moment.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 16.07.2024On Monday, Nifty opened gap-up, reached a new all-time high of 24,635.05, and closed at 24,586.70. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is overbought, and the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (15m): 24,485 - 24,516
Far support/demand zone (30m): 24,331 - 24,395
Major support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Currently, there is no supply/resistance zone seen on the chart.
Nifty50 (15th July) 1/2Above dash line is still pending to test
Before moving upside to 24670
It could 📉 to 24460 to HUNT STOP LOSS and from there could bounce to 24670
If 24460 below hourly 🕯 closes then more 📉 fall is expected to 24364
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY Prediction for today 15 July 24As we discussed, NIFTY took support at 24344 and had a good bullish run, broke resistance, and sustained to the upside, showing a good bullish nature.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in the uptrending parrell channel, which has HH and HL, which have a bullish structure.
Support levels: 24429, 24128, 23985
Resistance levels: 24577 and Resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.86 shows the market has a bullish sentiment. 24500 is Max pain. Lower levels have significantly higher PE writing than CE writing on higher levels, making a bullish market structure.
I am expecting the market to be sideways in the uptrend line channel. If the channel breaks down to the downside, a good bearish momentum can be seen till 24188.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows the market has a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 0.86 indicates market-bullish sentiments.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
wait for 15 min candle. Wait for good price action on the 24500 levels, and make your positions accordingly.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 15.07.2024On Friday, Nifty opened gap-up and made a new all-time high of 24,592.20 before closing at 24,502.15. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is overbought, and the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (15m): 24,331 - 24,384
Far support/demand zone (5m): 24,201 - 24,235
Major support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Resistance Levels:
Near small supply/resistance zone (15m): 24,560 - 24,580
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 12.07.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened a gap-up inside the 15m supply zone mentioned in the last post and fell below 24,200 before recovering at the end. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (5m): 24,201 - 24,235
Major support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150
There is no major supply/resistance zone on the chart as of now.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Jul 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Jul 2024
Bullish-Above 24470
Invalid-Below 24420
T- 24595
Bearish-Below 24190
Invalid-Above 24240
T- 24030
NIFTY has closed on an absolute flat note today. It opened with a gap up of 70 points and 10 o'clock range broke downside below 24310 and made a low of 24190. It has formed an inside candle, possibly suggesting a consolidation before any big now. Also a triangular consolidation is in formation, breakout will give us possible hint of direction. However our key levels will be trade points- 24470 and 24190.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24470 then we will long for the target of 24595.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24190. T- 24030.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY prediction for today 11 July 24As we discussed, NIFTY took resistance at the provided dotted resistance trendline and gave a good fall.
If we look at the chart now:
The market gave good bearish momentum yesterday with heavy volatility. I also took support at the price action level of 24188 and came back. That shows bulls are active near 24000.
Support levels: 24188, 200-EMA (15-min)
Resistance levels: 24312, Resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.74 shows the market has a NEUTRAL sentiment. 24400, 24500, and 24600 have significantly higher CE writing than the lover levels PE writing. The market has big support at 24000.
I am expecting the market to be volatile, sideways, bullish.
Reason:
RSI = 40-60; shows the market is going to be sideways.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 0.74 indicates market bullish sentiments.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
wait for 15 min candle. wait for the market to make a direction and make the position accordingly.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 11.07.2024On Wednesday, Nifty made a new all-time high of 24,461.05 before falling 300 points to an intraday low of 24,141. It found support at the 75m Demand Zone mentioned in the last post and bounced back nearly 200 points, closing at 24,324. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (5m): 24,246 - 24,265
Major Support/Demand Zone (75m) for weekly trade: 24,056 - 24,150 (tested yesterday)
Resistance Levels:
Small Supply/Resistance Zone (15m): 24,398 - 24,419
NIFTY prediction for today 10 July 24As we discussed, NIFTY opened sideways and ended up sideways bullish.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in an uptrending channel. The market is experiencing minor resistance in the middle of the channel. As the market is trading at an all-time high, if it breaks the middle resistance to the upside, it can give a bullish momentum. There are no horizontal levels as per price action. Please monitor the trendlines drawn on the chart.
Support levels: 24350-24400 range-support-zone, support trendline
Resistance levels: dotted resistaance trendline, main resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.13 shows the market has a bullish sentiment. 24400 will be max pain. On the lower side, have good PE writing at 24300, 24200, and 24000, which will be a nice support point. On the upside, we have good CE writing, but CE writing is significantly lower than CE writing.
I am expecting the market to be sideways bullish until it breaks the channel on either side.
Reason:
RSI = 57 shows a mild bullish signal, but as the market is showing bearish divergence, it might correct itself soon.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.13 indicates market bullish sentiments.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
wait for 15 min candle. wait for the market to make a direction and make the position accordingly,
Note: Don't go for option buying unless the market gives the breakout on either side of the channel.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 10.07.2024On Tuesday, Nifty broke through the small resistance zone and made a new all-time high of 24,443.60, closing above 24,400 for the first time. The weekly trend (50 SMA) is now overbought, and the daily trend (50 SMA) remains positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (5m): 24,382 - 24,400
Far Support/Demand Zone (5m): 24,204.20 - 24,222.65
Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 24,056 - 24,150
As of now, there is no resistance zone seen on the chart.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 8 Jul 24NIFTY did open gap-down, and then after taking support at support, it gave a nice bullish momentum to the upside.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in an uptrending channel. It has taken support multiple times and also has taken resistance multiple times. I expect it to break soon. If the market shows bullish momentum to the upside, it will be taking resistance at the resistance trendline, which might then initiate a bearish momentum after that.
Support levels: 24182, 23952, and 200-EMA
Resistance levels: Red Zone, Resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.01 shows the market has a bullish sentiment. 24300 will be max pain. On the lower side, 24200 and 24000 have good PE writing, which will be a nice support point. However, 24400 and 24500 have good CE writing, which is going to provide good resistance.
I am expecting the market to give a breakout soon out of this channel.
Reason:
RSI > 50 shows a mild bullish signal.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.01 indicates market bullish sentiments.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Wait for 15 min candle. wait for the market to make a direction and make the position accordingly,
Note: Don't go for option buying unless the market gives the breakout.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 09.07.2024On Monday, Nifty took support at the 15m demand zone (24,204 - 24,244) mentioned in the last post and bounced back to a day high of 24,344.60. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (5m): 24,204.20 - 24,222.65
Far Support/Demand Zone (30m) in the Gap Level: 24,110 - 24,148
Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
In the coming days, the 24,000 - 24,200 range will be the major support in the short term.
Resistance Levels:
Near Small Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24,372 - 24,401
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 08.07.2024On Friday, Nifty opened gap-down but found support at the gap level (24,123 - 24,207) and bounced back to close with a gain of 22 points at 24,323.85. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 24,204 - 24,244
Far Support/Demand Zone (30m) in the Gap Level: 24,110 - 24,148
Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
In the coming days, the 24,000 - 24,200 range will be a major support in the short term.
Resistance Levels:
Near Small Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 24,372 - 24,401
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 05.07.2024Nifty opened gap-up and made a new all-time high of 24,401 but closed flat with just a 15-point gain. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 24,239 - 24,267
Multiple Timeframe Support Zones near Gap Level (24,123 - 24,207): This indicates that 24,000 - 24,200 will be a major support in the short term, and we might see a bounce from these levels.
Support/Demand Zone (30m) in the Gap Level: 24,110 - 24,148
Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 24,056 - 24,150
Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,985 - 24,912
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Near Small Supply/Resistance Zone: 24,377 - 24,401
Currently, there is no additional supply zone seen on the chart.