Where is Nifty 50 Headed Next? Is the journey coming to an end? Date: 3rd July 2024
Nifty Elliot Wave Analysis - Daily Time Frame
General Trend:
Since March 2023, Nifty 50 has surged in a remarkable uptrend, skyrocketing from around 17,000 to an impressive 24,300—a spectacular leap of 7,300 points. So, has Nifty 50 reached its limit? Is the journey coming to an end?
Here is our previous analysis, which we posted on June 18th, and we are still using the same wave count.
Ichimoku Cloud:
Applying the Ichimoku cloud to the chart, we see that Nifty 50 is trending above the Monthly, Weekly, Daily, and Hourly clouds. This suggests that Nifty 50 still has more ground to cover. No sign of reversal yet in Ichimoku and Price action.
Elliott Wave Analysis:
Applying Elliott wave analysis to the entire leg of Nifty 50’s journey from March 2023 suggests that we are currently in subwave 3 of Wave 5.
The Wave 5th has already completed its minimum target at 127% (23,898) and is now looking to hit 161.8% (24,600). If this is surpassed, we could see 25,000+ which corresponds to the 200% Fibonacci ratio.
The Nifty trend will change only if the daily candle closes below 23,898.
Disclaimer:
We are not SEBI registered. The content presented here is based on personal opinions. Conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Niftyoutlook
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 03.07.2024Nifty reached a new All-Time High of 24,236.35 in the opening trade but ended 18 points down at 24,123.85. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,985 - 24,012
Far Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Small Supply/Resistance Zone: 24,171 - 24,200
Nifty50 (1st July) 1/124087 below closing could 📉 📉 to 24058--24016
23884 support is also pending to test maybe not today, but in coming days
Any closing above 24134 then bullish 📈 📈 ( chances are low )
If sustains above then will update upside levels
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 02.07.2024Nifty maintained its upward momentum on Monday, breaking the small supply/resistance level mentioned in the last post and closing at 24,141.95. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) are positive.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,985 - 24,012
Near Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Currently, there is no supply zone seen on the chart.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 02 JUNEAs we discussed, NIFTY opened sideways and continued in a bullish direction after breaking the trendline, as discussed in the video.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level, where it showed a nice correction last time. Now, the market has made a zone in the range of 23984 - 24154. by the time the market is in the zone, it's going to be volatile sideways. Once it breaks in either direction, it's going to give nice directional momentum. As the market is already stretched, I am expecting the market to consolidate in 1 day or 2, and after that, it might give us good momentum.
Support levels: 23984, EMA(50), 23842, and 23692
resistance levels: 24154, 24325
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.07 shows the market has bullish sentiment. 24200 seems a good hurdle to the upside; if it breaks, the market is clear to go 24354. 24000 has good PE writing, which is going to provide good support, and 24500 has heavy CE writing, which is going to provide nice resistance.
I am expecting the market to consolidate for 1 or 2 days once it breaks the range of 23984 - 24154. it will give a nice momentum.
Reason:
RSI > 50 shows a mild bullish signal.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.07 indicates bulls are continuously increasing their position in the market.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Sell 24100 CE and 24000 PE (Hedge it with 10/- premium)
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 01.07.2024Nifty made a new all-time high of 24,174 on Friday but closed 34 points negative due to profit booking. The weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) remain positive. However, the supporting trendline on the 15-minute chart (mentioned in the last post) was broken in the last 30 minutes of trading, indicating potential selling pressure at higher levels in the coming days.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near Support/Demand Zone (75m) for Weekly Trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 23,350 - 23,667
Resistance Levels:
Near Small Supply/Resistance Zone: 24,103 - 24,150
NIFTY 50 ANALYSIS & LEVELS FOR NEXT WEEKNIFTY is showing signs of exhaustion and potential reversal.
(Note: Ghost feed candles are for illustration only).
NIFTY may consolidate around the Pivot level as marked next week.
Breakout above the Previous ATH may fail once or twice before the trend reverses or continues for another week or two.
Please do NOT try to pick the Top yet.
Nifty50 ( 28th June) 1/2There's a GAP pending below at 24050 to fill, if sustains above then bullish to above level 📈
If closing under 24050 in any hourly candle then bearish 📉 📉 to 23989 --- 23884
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises
Nifty: We are in Matured Stages of this RallyNear Term Peak
Everyone seems to be in FOMO now and Looking at Buying Everything and anything.
IMHO: "Use this Rally to Book Profits"
You have already missed the Bus of Buying at June 4th crash and near 23400 last week, but now some Pullback Expected for some Short Time.
I just mean to say - Don't get Trapped in #Long Positions this time around at 24k + levels.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Jun 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 28 Jun 2024
Bullish-Above 24100
Invalid-Below 24050
T- 24295
Bearish-Below 23900
Invalid-Above 23950
T- 23715
NIFTY has closed on a bold bullish note @ 24044 which is level to celebrate for bulls. Since it has closed above 24k chances of a gap up is very high, in that case 24200 can be resistance. Best intraday trade can be done on bullish side in case of pullback breakout of 24100 as happened today. If this is triggered then we will sit with trailing sl in 5 Min TF, 24295 and 24500 zone as final targets.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 min candle closes above 24100 then we will long for the target of 24295 and 24500.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23900. T- 23715.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty50 (27th june) 1/3If closing sustains below 23972 in hourly candle then 📉 📉 could test below price levels ( Long unwinding)
If any daily candle closing sustains above that red line or 24045 then bullish 📈 ( will update above levels if it happens)
23972 --- 24045. (NO TRADE ZONE )
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty50 (26th june) 1/2White trend line is imp.
If closing above 23789 in hourly 🕯 then 📈 📈 could test above resistance 23980 -- 24044
If any hourly candle closes below 23789 then 📉 📉 could test support on the Dash line or 23664
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY prediction for today 27 JUNAs we discussed, NIFTY opened sideways, retraced to the downside, and then gave a good bullish momentum to the upside to the target and resistance trendline.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance level, where it showed a nice sell-off in the last hour yesterday. The price is still above the EMA(13, 50, 200), which shows the market's bullish nature. But last hour's sell-off shows 24000 as a strong resistance near resistance. RSI is also having bearish resistance.
Support levels: 23690, 23636, EMA(50), and Support trendline
resistance levels: 23890 and resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.27, which has reduced from 1.33, indicates that bears are slowly increasing their position at 24000. Bulls have written PE at each lower level nicely. Also, CE writers have held quite good positions at higher levels. 24000 is going to provide a strong resistance to higher levels.
I am expecting the market to make a double top structure and then fall from 24000.
Reason:
RSI = 70 shows bulls are strong, but RSI divergence might lead the market to some correction
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.27, which has changed from 1.33, indicates bulls are continuously increasing their position in the market.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Plan of action:
Note : after making a double top neckline break, you can go bearish.
Sell 24000 CE (Hedge it with 10/- premium CE)
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 27.06.2024Nifty bounced from the 5m demand zone mentioned in the last post and rallied to a new all-time high of 23,889.90. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) are positive.
Support Levels:
Near small support/demand zone (15m): 23,716 - 23,743
Near support/demand zone (75m) for weekly trade: 23,671 - 23,754
Major support/demand zone (75m): 23,562 - 23,611
Currently, there is no supply zone seen on the chart.
NIFTY prediction for today 26 JUN As we discussed, NIFTY in the video market opened upside to the breakout and continued its momentum to the upside, breaking the resistance and further giving good bullish momentum.
If we look at the chart now:
The market has brake the resistance to the upside. Right now, the market is trading in the uptrending channel. I am expecting resistance from the resistance trendline. The price has yet to reach the level provided after the breakout. Now, there are two possible cases in the market. If it opens up, there can be a correction that can be seen in the market till EMA(13) or 23636. If the market opens near the support zone of 23636, then it can move further to the upside, continuing its momentum.
Support levels: 23636, Support trendline, and 23432
resistance levels: 23828 and resistance trendline.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.33, which has increased from 1.07, indicates a very bullish market nature. 23500 is MaxPain. On the higher side, there is not as much CE writing as writing on the lower side. The only good CE writing at a higher level is 24000. The market is completely in the bull's favor right now.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : if the gap opens down, it will take support at 23636 and continue bullish momentum.
Case 2 : if opens gap-up near the resistance trendline, it might correct itself by 23636
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows bulls are strong
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates the bullish market.
PCR = 1.33, which has changed from 1.09, indicates bulls are continuously increasing their position in the market.
price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bullish
Case 1 : if the gap opens down, it will take support at 23636 and continue bullish momentum.
Case 2 : if opens gap-up near the resistance trendline, it might correct itself by 23636
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Gap-down-> Sell 23500 PE (Hedge it with 10/- premium PE)
Case 2 : Gap-up-> Sell 23800 CE (Hedge it with 10/- premium CE)
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 26.06.2024Nifty spent considerable time inside the 30m supply zone mentioned in the last post before breaking out around 12:30 PM and making a new all-time high of 23,754.15. Both the weekly and daily trends (50 SMA) are positive.
Support Levels:
Near small support/demand zone (5m): 23,675 - 23,689
Major support/demand zone (75m): 23,562 - 23,611
Currently, there is no supply zone seen on the chart.
NIFTY Back in the Ascending ChannelNIFTY is back within it's short term ascending channel showing strong Bullish Trend continuation which may take it towards 23900.
However the momentum was primarily in HDFC and ICICI today, with other index heavyweights muted. There is selling pressure in IT and it may negate the View if it drags NIFTY below the marked trendline support.
NIFTY Prediction for Tomorrow (Monday) 24 JUNAs we discussed, NIFTY opened high at resistance and fell to 200 EMA. After that, it became a roller coaster with a sideways wild move.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is having huge volatility, taking support at 200 EMA again and again, which shows a healthy bullish structure. But at the same time, trading in the zone, which I will suggest option buyers to stay away from.
Support levels: 23432, 23339, and 23250
resistance levels: 23636 and 23828
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.92, which has changed from 1.19, shows mostly profit booking on both sides of the market. If we look at the last 3 hours, there was only CE windoff. 23500 is working as max-pain. 24000 has huge CE writing, which is going to provide good resistance, and on lower levels, 23000 is going to provide very nice support as it has huge PE writing. There has not been any fresh writing today.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : Sideways in range 23432 - 23636.
Case 2 : Go with the breakout on either side; it breaks.
Reason:
RSI 40-60 indicating sideways momentum;
EMA(13, 50) > Price > EMA(200), which indicates the indicesive market.
PCR = 0.92, which has changed from 1.19, shows bulls do not have much confidence right now. We might see a bearish move soon.
Price < VWAP shows a Bearish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways or Bearish
Case 1 : Sideways in range 23432 - 23636.
Case 2 : Go with the breakout on either side; it breaks.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways-> Sell 23500 CE and 23500 PE (Hedge it with 10/- premium CE)
Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks the range.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 25.06.2024Nifty opened gap-down on Monday, reacted from the 15m demand zone mentioned yesterday, and closed near the day's high. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend is still sideways.
Support Levels:
Near support/demand zone (15m): 23,430 - 23,469
Far support/demand zone (15m): 23,297 - 23,329
Further support/demand zone (15m): 23,232 - 23,268
Major support/demand zone (Daily): 22,642 - 22,910
Resistance Levels:
Near supply/resistance zone (30m): 23,567 - 23,622
Nifty50 (20th june) 1/1Closing below 23577 in hourly could be bearish 📉 📉 to 23313
( It could move upward to HUNT STOP LOSS 23616 )
Any Hourly closing above 23577 -- 23616 is bullish ( chances are low for today )
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 24.06.2024Nifty reacted from the 30m supply zone during intraday trading on Friday and closed near the day's low. However, it did not close below the crucial level of 23,442 mentioned in the last post. GIFTNIFTY is trading negative as of this post, indicating that we might see a decline in Nifty to 23,369 and below. The weekly trend (50 SMA) remains positive, while the daily trend is still sideways.
Support Levels:
Near Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,334 - 23,369
Far Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,297 - 23,329
Farther Support/Demand Zone (15m): 23,232 - 23,268
Major Support/Demand Zone (Daily): 22,642 - 22,910
As the 75m trend is still sideways, it is advised to take Confirmation entries for long trades in the 15m Demand/Support zone.
Resistance Levels:
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (30m): 23,567 - 23,622
Nifty weekly anlysis for 25/06/24.Nifty on the weekly time frame has formed a doji candle and closed only 35 points higher.
Market is stretching a lot and there are chance of showing some profit booking or reversal as the candle on the dialy charts suggest.
For last 5 trading sessions, nifty has remained in a 200-250 points zone.
If nifty starts trading below 23415 levels, it can test minor support levels around 23300 and travel towards 23230 levels.
Major support levels :- 23230, 22925
Resistance levels :- 23659
Nifty from the low of this month has travelled 970 points while still 5 trading session are there.
In case of a break out, the market will be in an uncharted area can travel to the next thousands.
On smaller time frame( 60 minute), nifty is trading below the 20 ema, resting on 50 ema and there can be chances of it testing the lower moving average.
Watch for the moving averages trading strategy giving a entry or a fake down.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.