Nifty Intraday Levels | 4-NOV-2024Nifty Options Scalping
1️⃣ Zones to Watch:
👉Green Zone: Institutional support
👉Red Zone: Institutional resistance
👉Gap: 100-200 points between zones
👉Zone Creation: Based on pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Chart: Use Nifty futures chart for reference
2️⃣ Trade Execution:
👉Order Flow: Triggers trades
👉Timeframes: 1-min & 5-min for scalping
👉Risk-Reward: 1:2 (Risk 1 to gain 2)
👉Strike Price: ATM or slightly ITM options
👉Position Sizing: Adjust to risk tolerance
3️⃣ Rules:
👉9:15 AM Sharp: Ready for market open
👉Risk Management: Top priority
👉Quick Trades: "Morning breakfast" scalps
👉Stop-Loss: 10 points
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Niftyprediction
Nifty Trading Strategy: 4th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy: Buy Above 24,360 / Sell Below 24,150
Current Price: 24,305.00
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 24,360 on the one-hour candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 24,150 on the one-hour candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 24,305.00, just below the buy signal level.
The market is showing signs of bullish momentum, but it's important to monitor the price closely.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 24,360 on the one-hour candle close, consider entering long positions with targets at 24,500 and 24,600.
Sell: If the price breaks below 24,150 on the one-hour candle close, consider short positions with targets at 24,000 and 23,900.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
Nifty directions and levels for November 4th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 4th.
Market Overview:
In the short term, both global and local markets are showing moderately bearish sentiment. However, today the Nifty is indicating a neutral start.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty closed with slight positive gains due to the Muhurat trading. However, the overall structure suggests that there is a clear range-bound market. Therefore, the market may continue to trade within this range today. We can analyze this further by looking at the charts.
Nifty Bullish View:
From a bullish perspective, if the market experiences a pullback initially, we can expect a continuation of that pullback, reaching a minimum of 78% of the previous high. This is a usual target for range-bound markets. Additionally, if the market consolidates around the 78% level, the breakout continuation could be significant.
Nifty Bearish View:
The bearish view suggests that if the market declines initially, it could reach a minimum of the minor demand zone or the Fibonacci level of 23% if it breaks below 24,214.
1st Nov 2024 - Nifty up 90pts, dropping coverage on BankNiftyNifty Stance Bearish ️⬇️
The Nifty went up by 90 points 0.38% this week, but we are still in a bearish hold and hence are not revising our stance. We saw a good bounce on the 28th morning session and then we gave up some gains in the afternoon session. On Tuesday we started falling initially and then recovered superbly.
On Wednesday we held the ground, but on Thursday we fell quite badly. In fact by the 31st of October, Nifty was back at the same levels as on Friday the 25th. Then we had the Muhurat Trading session between 6 to 7 pm on 1st November wherein Nifty bounced a bit and closed at 24304 levels.
Diwali trading usually ends in green because a huge crowd of people buy stocks almost blindly, this could be the reason we saw some buoyancy on Friday. From a weekly perspective, I still maintain the bearish position for Nifty, and the stop loss levels will be a close above 24419.
I am dropping coverage on BankNifty immediately and will also stop trading both algos and manual on this Index. The main reason is that BN has been removed from the weekly expiry due to the SEBI rule that only 1 index can be selected by an exchange for weekly expiries and NSE went ahead with Nifty.
Meanwhile, I am adding Sensex to my list and will start publishing technical analysis reports as soon as I start trading on it.
Is the Trend About to Shift ?Nifty and Bank Nifty have consolidated in the past week,
Nifty has resistance at - 24500 -24700
Support : 24100 will act as laxman rekha for any further upside.
Bank Nifty
Resistance : 51700-52300-52600
Support : 51150-50350
Bank Nifty is creating a W pattern breakout above 52600 for a target of 55000
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 4 Nov 2024Nifty Prediction for Tomorrow:
Trend : Moderately BULLISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : BULLISH Trend
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Nov 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 4 Nov 2024
Bullish-Above 24380
Invalid-Below 24330
T- 24600
Bearish-Below 24170
Invalid-Above 24220
T- 24900
NIFTY has formed a halt candle in weekly TF. After continuous selling since 27 Sep it took a pause in weekly TF. 23700 target which was said when index went below 24k is still pending. Also it was said that we need to keep an eye on PDH for trailing the positional short trade. If index closes above PDH then bearish sentiment may take a halt so will close short view then. 24380 and 24170 are intraday levels for tomorrow.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24380 then we will long for the target of 24600.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24170. T- 23900.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
BOROSIL LTD#BOROLTD
The stock displays multiple bullish patterns
(inverse head and shoulders and cup and handle),
backed by rising volume and an upward-trending
RSI. A successful breakout above *455 could lead to
the stock reaching the first target of ₹500, followed
by potential gains to ₹560 and ₹600 if momentum continues.
NORTHERN ARC CAPITAL LTD#NORTHARC Add to Swing watchlist
Northern Arc Capital CMP 255, 15% potential upside, hourly timeframe chart
Target 1: 293
Target 2: 317
Target 3: 350
Stock fell 37% from IPO listing price.
Reversing now from bottom
Good volumes seen recently
RSI > 60 in hourly timeframe
Very good quarterly results announced with higher net profit.
UTI ASSET MNGMT#Debt free #Asset #Management company with good ROCE & ROE
given Breakout in #Monthly Chart with good #Volume.
#IPO Price above closed.
#UTIAMC CMP 1334 TGT 1838 SL 1200 (Monthly Clbs)
#Profit #Growth witnessed in last two years with good ROCE
Good FII+DII Holding #Dividend
Follow us for more such suggestions.
DXY gearing up for a big fallDate: 30 Oct’24
Symbol: DXY
Timeframe: Weekly
US Dollar Currency Index currently seems to be in final stages of Wave (e) of B. One more leg up and DXY will be ready to head lower sharply and in a big way. It is likely to head towards 90 and lower. This also means with DXY treading lower, Nifty is likely to witness an up move.
This is not a trade recommendation. Please do your own analysis.
US Dollar Currency Index vartamaan mein Wave B (e) ke antim charan mein lagta hai. Ek aur pair upar aur DXY teji se aur bade paimaane par neeche jaane ke lie taiyaar hoga. Iske 90 aur usase kam kee or badhane kee sambhaavana hai. Iska matalab yah bhee hai ki DXY ke nichale star par chalane se Nifty mein teji dekhne ko mil sakti hai.
Yah koi trade karne ki salah nahin hai. Kripya apana vishleshan khud karen.
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 30 Oct 2024Nifty Prediction for Tomorrow:
Trend : Sideways to Moderately BULLISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : SIDEWAYS MOVE
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 29 Oct 2024Nifty Prediction for Tomorrow:
Trend : BULLISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Strong BULLISH
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Nifty50 & Nifty500 Hits Critical Demand Zone: Ready for Bounce?Indian stock market has been in a downward for over a month, Let’s dive into the technical setups and explore potential scenarios.
🔥 Demand Zone Insight: Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) at Play
On Friday, Nifty 50 entered a demand zone, specifically a Drop-Base-Rally (DBR) zone — an area often indicating unfilled orders from institutional buyers. In strong markets, simply entering the zone could signal a buying opportunity. However, since the broader trend has been downward, it’s more prudent to look for confirmation.
Today, Nifty 50 delivered that confirmation entry by forming a bullish candle within this demand zone, suggesting that the price may now have the support it needs to reverse direction. This type of entry confirms that buyers are stepping in, providing traders a more reliable basis to consider potential setups.
📊 Nifty 500: Inside Bar as Additional Confirmation
For traders who prefer further confirmation, the Nifty 500 presents an interesting setup. After hitting a key support level last Friday, the index printed a bearish candle (-1.27%) followed by a small, 0.67% bullish candle today — a formation known as an inside bar .
🛠️ Trading the Inside Bar: Breakout Signals
An inside bar indicates price consolidation and often precedes a breakout. By waiting for this breakout, traders can add another layer of confirmation before entering.
Bullish Breakout : A price rise above today’s high could signal a potential reversal and strengthen bullish momentum.
Bearish Continuation : If the price falls below today’s low, we may see the downtrend continue.
⚠️ Final Thoughts 📉
Nifty 50’s demand zone and today’s bullish candle hint at an early sign of a potential reversal. However, with the daily trend still pointing downward, a more cautious approach may be wise. Waiting for additional confirmation through an inside bar breakout in Nifty 500 could provide stronger validation. If tomorrow Nifty 500 breaks above today’s high, this would confirm the inside bar breakout, offering a clearer reversal signal and a green light to plan buy entries in selected stocks based on your setups. Conversely, if Nifty 500 breaks below today’s low, it may indicate a continuation of the downtrend.
Lastly, Thank you for your support, your likes & comments.
"Successful trading is the art of waiting for the perfect moment." 📈
This analysis is purely for educational purposes and is not intended as a trading or investment recommendation. Please note, I am not a SEBI-registered analyst.
Nifty Intraday Levels | 28-OCT-2024Nifty Options Scalping
1️⃣ Zones to Watch:
👉Green Zone: Institutional support
👉Red Zone: Institutional resistance
👉Gap: 100-200 points between zones
👉Zone Creation: Based on pivot points and Fibonacci
👉Chart: Use Nifty futures chart for reference
2️⃣ Trade Execution:
👉Order Flow: Triggers trades
👉Timeframes: 1-min & 5-min for scalping
👉Risk-Reward: 1:2 (Risk 1 to gain 2)
👉Strike Price: ATM or slightly ITM options
👉Position Sizing: Adjust to risk tolerance
3️⃣ Rules:
👉9:15 AM Sharp: Ready for market open
👉Risk Management: Top priority
👉Quick Trades: "Morning breakfast" scalps
👉Stop-Loss: 10 points
#ThankU For Checking Out Our IDEA , We Hope U Liked IT 📌
🙏 FOLLOW for more content!
👍 LIKE if you found it useful!
✍️ COMMENT below with your thoughts and feedback!
25th Oct 2024 - Had a good Bear Run, what is the new base? N50Nifty Stance Bearish ️⬇️
We fell 649pts ~ 2.61% this week and our bearish stance from the prior week helped us gain some money. My October PnL was in deep red, thanks to the abrupt swings in between - but the unidirectional move this week was a real blessing and I was able to cut down my losses.
The Head and Shoulders position that we published on the daily time frame is getting played out (hope so). For the first time in many months, Nifty's bottom is not getting dip bought and the pattern has changed to sell on rise. I honestly do not remember the last time Nifty had the sell on rise characteristics.
I wish to maintain the bearish stance till 24333 is not getting taken out conclusively and deep down, I hope that the Bear run continues till the excesses get thinned off.
Nifty Falling And TargetNIFTY50: 4H | OCT 28
WHY MARKET IS WEAK ?
1FII SELLING
2Correction is part of market & Indian market was in continues UPTREND
3 Stocks Results are not upto the expectations
4 US ELECTION
5 WAR SITUATIONS
◆ NOW WE WILL GO WITH LEVELS BREAK POLICY
✦ MARKET IS IN COMPLEX CORRECTION I'M NOT ABLE TO DECODE IT AS OF NOW X
✦ My Expectations!!
• Market will run on BOUNCE AND SELLING (LEVELS ON CHART ARE POSSIBLE REVERSAL LEVELS)
Even it is possible in next month market willl touch 22000
(But it will be slow moves no sharp selling X)
It's my personal view
#NIFTY50
Nifty 50's Top Constituents Stand Tall Amidst Uncertainty◉ Abstract
The recent decline in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several interconnected factors affecting market sentiment. Geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in the Middle East, have increased uncertainty and volatility among investors. Additionally, significant foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows, surpassing ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024, reflect concerns over high valuations in Indian markets compared to more attractive options abroad. Weak earnings reports from Indian companies have further fueled investor anxiety, prompting reassessments of growth sustainability.
Overall market sentiment has turned cautious due to uncertainties surrounding upcoming events like the US elections and ongoing geopolitical issues, leading to a broader sell-off. Technical analysis indicates potential support levels between 22,750 and 23,000, while valuation metrics suggest that despite recent declines, many key Nifty stocks remain fairly valued, with caution advised for new investments during this volatile period.
Read full analysis . . .
◉ Introduction
The recent fall in the Nifty 50 index can be attributed to several key factors that have affected market sentiment and investor behaviour.
● Geopolitical Tensions:
The ongoing conflict in the Middle East, particularly the Iran-Israel war, has heightened global uncertainty. This geopolitical instability has led to fears among investors, contributing to market volatility and declines in stock prices
● Foreign Institutional Investor (FII) Outflows:
There has been significant selling by foreign institutional investors, with outflows reaching above ₹1,00,000 crore in October 2024. This trend is partly driven by concerns over peak valuations in Indian markets compared to cheaper valuations in other markets, such as China
● Weak Earnings Reports:
Recent quarterly earnings from Indian companies have shown weakness, raising concerns about the sustainability of growth. This has led to increased selling pressure as investors reassess their positions in light of disappointing financial performance
● Market Sentiment and Investor Jitters:
Uncertainty surrounding upcoming events, such as the US elections and ongoing geopolitical tensions, has made investors cautious. This sentiment is reflected in the broader market sell-off and a lack of confidence in taking long positions during this volatile period
◉ Technical Analysis
● Weekly Chart
➖ The weekly chart indicates a strong upward trend, with the index consistently achieving higher highs and lows.
➖ However, a significant selling pressure from the peak has led to a sharp decline.
We expect to find potential support in the range of 22,750 to 23,000.
● Daily Chart
➖ The index has broken through the neckline of the Head & Shoulders pattern.
➖ While there is immediate support around the 23,900 to 24,000 level, we believe the index may struggle to maintain this level and could drop further.
➖ Robust support is anticipated between 22,750 and 23,000.
◉ Valuation Analysis
➖ The Nifty PE Ratio has dropped to 22.5, slightly below its 1-year average of 22.6 and significantly lower than its 5-year average of 25.24. This suggests that the Nifty is currently fairly valued.
➖ However, the recent quarter's lacklustre EPS growth is a concern, exerting downward pressure on the major index.
As the major index struggles, it's worth taking a closer look at the key Nifty constituents that carry substantial weightage.
1. HDFC Bank NSE:HDFCBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 11.34%
● Technical Overview
➖ For nearly three years, the stock has been range-bound, exhibiting stability.
➖ Despite the broader market's downturn, it has shown no reaction, suggesting that its sideways movement is likely to continue.
● Valuation
➖ The stock currently trades at a PE ratio of 19.2, moderately above its 1-year median PE of 17.5.
➖ Notably, the company's earnings performance has shown improvement, with a quarter-over-quarter increase in EPS:
June quarter: ₹21.65
September quarter: ₹23.36
2. Reliance Industries NSE:RELIANCE
Sector - Oil & Gas
Weightage - 8.64%
● Technical Overview
➖ Following a record peak near 3,200, the price retreated and is now approaching its key support level of 2,550.
● Valuation
➖ The current PE ratio of 26.5 indicates undervaluation relative to its 1-year median PE of 28.3.
➖ Earnings growth supports this positive valuation outlook:
Current EPS: ₹24.48
Previous quarter EPS: ₹22.37
3. ICICI Bank NSE:ICICIBANK
Sector - Banking & Financial Services
Weightage - 7.74%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has maintained a strong uptrend, demonstrating remarkable resilience amidst recent market downturns.
➖ However, from a technical standpoint, a short-term pullback towards the 1,100 level cannot be ruled out.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 18.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 17.9.
➖ EPS improved significantly from ₹16.62 in June to ₹18.38 in September, indicating a positive trend in the company's financial performance.
4. Infosys NSE:INFY
Sector - Information Technology
Weightage - 5.83%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock has successfully broken out of its Rounding Bottom pattern and is now consolidating above the breakout level.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 28.7 suggests a minor overvaluation when compared to its 1-year median PE of 26.4.
➖ Earnings growth, although subdued, remains stable:
June quarter: ₹15.34
September quarter: ₹15.67
5. ITC NSE:ITC
Sector - FMCG
Weightage - 4.16%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock remains in a strong uptrend, consistently forming higher highs and lows.
➖ After reaching an all-time high of 528, the price has pulled back and is now testing its crucial support zone between 460-470.
● Valuation
➖ The present PE ratio of 29.4 suggests a minor overvaluation compared to its 1-year median PE of 27.
➖ Furthermore, the earnings per share (EPS) has declined from the previous quarter, falling from ₹4.08 in June to ₹3.99 in September.
6. Bharti Airtel NSE:BHARTIARTL
Sector - Telecom Services
Weightage - 3.95%
● Technical Overview
➖ The stock price has experienced a notable rise.
➖ After hitting an all-time high near the 1,780 level, it has corrected and is anticipated to find support along its trendline.
● Valuation
➖ The stock's current PE ratio of 83.5 significantly exceeds its 1-year median PE of 65.3, indicating substantial overvaluation.
➖ Ahead of the upcoming quarterly results, earnings execution is not expected to be robust, potentially leading to a sharp correction in the stock price.
◉ Conclusion
Analysis of six pivotal Nifty 50 stocks reveals that, excluding Bharti Airtel, they are fairly valued. With a combined weightage of over 40%, these stocks underpin index stability
Given this significant representation, we do not foresee a drastic decline in the index from either a technical or fundamental standpoint.
However, the ongoing war may impact global sentiment, influencing market mood. Therefore, we advise caution when considering new buy positions.
Nifty - Weekly analysis 28th to 1st (Monthly Expiry)Nifty Weekly Analysis:
Nifty took support and reversed at 24100 level which is a good support area. However this is just a temporary reversal. Nifty Still expected to fall more and 23500 will get tested soon. But before further down side move Nifty will test 24700/24900 resistance zones and it will take BEARISH reversal for target of 23500. This week Nifty will stay in Range between 24900 and 24100.
Only strong fall can be expected if Nifty breaks 23980.. Until a small correction will be there in Nifty.
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.