05 Jun 2024 - Nifty50 Reversal or 61.8% Fibonacci retracement?No, I am not denying the credit to Nifty50 to have rallied 735pts ~ 3.36% to have a beautiful green today. I just drew the Fibonacci levels from the peak point of 3rd June and the bottom-most level of Jun 04 - the results are in front of you.
23.6% levels @ 21796 had some action
38.2% levels @ 22091 (quite near my 22051 SR level) had a stronger action
50% levels @ 22329 (quite near my 22295 levels) also had significant touchpoints
61.8% levels @ 22567 (quite near my 22519 levels) is where we closed today
I would not prefer to change my stance to bullish yet. The best I could think of is to go neutral and see how these levels are holding up for the next 1 week. The resistance of 22781 may be the game changer according to me.
And honestly, we are back at the levels just before the exit poll results. 3 violent moves would have shaken out a sizeable crowd of traders. It takes courage to even hang-on.
Niftyprediction
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 6 Jun 24NIFTY gave a really big bullish moment today. It's still an effect, and the market boomed 700+ points.
If we look at the chart now:
The market gave really big momentum to the upside. The market is trading above EMA, which shows that the market is really bullish right now. There is also a bullish EMA(13, 50) crossover, which indicates that the market is in a bullish phase now.
Support levels: 22246, 21850, and 21293
resistance levels: 22640, 22832, 23151
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.61, which has increased from 0.53, shows a bullish sign in the market. There is no such max-pain Market that is clearly bullish. There is only good CE writing at 23000, which is going to provide a huge resistance.
VIX has also decreased significantly, which indicates volatility is being controlled.
I am expecting the market:
Case 1 : Sideways in range of 22253-22640
Case 2 : On either side, it breaks to either side's trade accordingly.
Reason:
RSI > 60 shows a bullish structure.
Price > EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a Bullishmarket structure.
PCR = 0.63 has risen from 0.53 and shows signs of bullishness.
Price > VWAP shows a Bullish market structure.
Verdict: Sideways in range of 22253-22640. and Volatile on either side, it breaks.
Plan of action:
Case 1 : Sideways: Sell 22250 PE & 22650 CE (Hedge it with 20/- premium options)
Case 2 : Exit the opposite position on either side. It breaks.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -05/06/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 22010 level and then possible upside rally up to 22130 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 21950 level then the downside target can go up to the 21830 level.
Nifty Support & Resistance Levels for 05.06.2024Huge selling was witnessed yesterday due to election results that did not align with exit polls. A big red candle on the daily chart broke almost all near supports of the last four months, breaking the channel and taking support at the daily demand zone of 21,137 - 21,459.
Support Levels:
Near Small Support (Daily): 21,137 - 21,459
Far Support (Daily): 20,769 - 20,950
Gap Zone Support (Daily): 20,267 - 20,508 (if further fall occurs)
Resistance Levels:
Intraday Resistance Zone (15m): 22,643 - 22,881
Major Resistance/Supply Zone (Daily): 23,062 - 23,338.70
Nifty witnessed Biggest Single Day fall of Recent Years
Indian benchmark showed correction & lose more than 6%
on Vote counting day.
Nifty broke below imp swing low & showed sharp correction
to came near 21300 level
A Big Long candle has formed on Daily TF, erased last few months gains
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 22500/600 level
whereas downside support is around 22200 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show Choppiness after today's sharp fall.
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
04 Jun 2024- Nifty almost hit the lower circuit ~ 10% intradayWhat a strange day it has been, the moment the market participants realized that BJP will not get a simple majority - we started falling. That realization came in the opening minutes and did not give me ample time to prepare.
Honestly, I did not expect such a move today. I really thought we would have the reaction on Wednesday instead. I was not really ready with my short position and to be frank, I lost almost 5 lakhs as opportunity cost today.
Nifty ended up negating the last 172 days of upmove, in the single daily candle of today. It is like watching your building collapse, something that you took 6 months to build.
Interestingly the reversal came at the 200 EMA and not at 21491. If you notice my chart, I do not have a support/resistance level between 21491 and 19855 - if we break that tomorrow, it is going to be a free-fall.
Stance updated to bearish till proven wrong.
Current, NDA 291, INDIA 234, Others 18.
Nifty on Radar - 3 JuneToday we have a gap up opening of more than 3% and the price has touched the levels of all time high.
The question is weather it sustain on these levels.
So, wait for the price to settle down.
Technically we are in a no trade zone.
Disclaimer : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty50 ( 31st May) 1/2Hourly closing below 22584 -- 22609 will be 🐻 📉 📉 to 22428 and 22280
22280 could test within 3rd June
Any closing sustains above 22609 in hourly then 📈 📈
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advice and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -04/06/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 23340 level and then possible upside rally up to 23460 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 23260 level then the downside target can go up to the 23140 level.
Nifty Support & Resistance Levels for 04.06.2024GIFTNIFTY is trading flat at 23,446 as of 8:35 AM. After yesterday's GAP UP opening and high closing, the last Friday's high-low range will serve as a good support if we see a correction from high levels.
Support Levels:
Near Support (Daily): 22,417 - 22,568
Far Support Zone (75m): 21,821 - 22,041
Index Analysis for 30-May-24NSE:NIFTY
NSE:BANKNIFTY
#NIFTY & #BANKNIFTY 30 Min Chart Analysis (30-05-24)
🔹Trend: Big Bull Channel.
🔹Swing :- Down Swing
🔹View: Down Move Continuation after a minor trendline retest.
Let's See the correction for this week and then before the election results we have to reevaluate according to the Event.
🔹As of now Both indexes are aligned with each other,
👉PCR :- NIFTY:- 0.65
BANKNIFTY:- 0.63
⚡️Both Index Major Levels are marked on the chart.
Check out the structure on the chart and mark these important levels.
Always use stop to avoid unnecessary drawdowns.
Keep Learning,
Happy trading.
Nity made New All Time High after Robust Gap up openingThe market witnessed the session of june 3 with Robust gains,
following Exit polls results.
After Big Gap up opening Nifty remained in postivie momentum & closed near 23250 level
A Big Bullish candle is formed on daily chart
The imp upside hurdle is placed around 23400/500 level
whereas downside support is around 23000 zone
Track for price to form Price Action Patterns at Imp Levels,
However market may show volatility during the Election Results on june 4
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
03 Jun 2024 - Exit poll results takes Nifty50 to all new highsNo technical analyst could have predicted what would happen today, yes most of them would have guessed it right. The analysis that really stood out Friday was when one of the analysts posted the screenshots of Adani group stocks and mentioned - see the exit poll results before the actual exit polls.
Honestly, it could have gone either way. If the exit polls predicted less than 270 seats, then we would have fallen 800pts easily. Luckily, things went up and the majority of the crowd were happy (most of them were long only).
Our stance is revised to bullish, if we start falling then 23089 would be the first support.
Nifty on Radar - 31 MayAn indecisive candle has been formed with Low High and High Low. Currently we are in a no trade zone. The important levels to watch are R1-22,705.75 and S1-22,417.00 Also the price could be volatile in this range.
Disclaimer : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
#Nifty Trading Important levelsOn 1 Day Timeframe, NIFTY trading important levels. Time to wait for either breakout or Breakdown (reversal) for the Nifty.
Breakdown Move
- Confirmation for breakdown will be if Nifty starts trading and sustain below 23030 level
- Downside rally nearly 800 points expected in case of breakdown
- Intermediate support expected near 22475- level
- Short Trader can place there stop loss if Nifty starts trading above 23182 level
Breakout move
- Long side movement expected in case Nifty starts trading and sustain above 23182 level
- Above this level Nifty can go upto the 24220+ level.
- Intermediate resistance expected near 23850 level
- Long trader can place there stop loss if Nifty starts trading below 23030 level.
Nifty Support & Resistance Levels for 03.06.2024GIFTNIFTY is trading 3.5% up (800+ points) as of 8:05 AM, indicating we will see a GAP UP opening today and hit a new all-time high. Here are the high time frame support and resistance zones instead of intraday levels:
Support Levels:
Near Support (Daily): 22,417 - 22,568
Far Support Zone (75m): 21,821 - 22,041
Resistance Levels:
Nearest Resistance Zone (Daily): 22,888 - 23,110.80
Nifty witnessed correction in last week from record HighsNifty remained in selling mode for most part of the week
A Negative type candle has formed on daily chart
Until Nifty holds above prev week low, recovery towards 22650/700+ is possible
However if holds below 22350, correction towards next support could come
Election Results can create Volatility in the Maket
Keep Tracking Charts
*For Educational Purpose
Learn & Practice Price Action setups
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024| Loksabha Trading ViewNIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 May 2024
Bullish-Above 22660
Invalid-Below 22600
T- 22120 23417
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note last week with 1.86% last cut. Since the coming week is very due to Loksabha election results. As per the exit polls market looks all set for a fresh ATH. Directional move will be seen on Monday in the upside and there can be IV crush on Tuesday and the next day also then again a rally is very much possible. So it looks safe to sell non-directional only after news is out i.e result day.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22660 then we will long for the target of 23120 and 23417.
Chances of a big gap up is high, so one can trade on 10 o'clock range breakout for a precise entry with risk calculated with previous swing after breakout.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty View for Election ViewThe Exit Polls suggest that the NDA Govt. will be in power again.
Thus, the FIIs that have been shorting their position the entire month of May, will either have to Cover their positions on Monday, or hold their positions with a hope that the Exit Poll results don't become a reality.
Either ways, we'll see huge volatility on either Monday or Tuesday.
Here's our key levels for the week-
Upside Potential between : 23,000 - 23,700
Downside potential between : 21,500 - 22,000
Let me know what you think.
Nifty 2 Hour Swing Chart, Technical OutlookThe price has given the break of structure on the down side.
The broken structure indicates a start of a downtrend.
But the downtrend will be confirmed on the breakdown of 22,417.
Disclaimer : This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Analysis Next Week 03-07 June 2024 | Lok Sabha Election ResultsIn this video, we'll discuss about Market's Last Week Movement and we will try to analyze Coming Week's probabilities in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
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