Nifty 50: Critical Support Zone at 24,460 The market is currently hovering near key Fibonacci retracement levels, with 24,460 acting as a strong support zone. This area aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the recent rally, providing a significant level for buyers to potentially step in. The market has already tested the 38.2% retracement level and held above it.
Key Scenarios:
Gap-Down Scenario:
If the market opens with a gap down near the 24,500 level, we may witness a bounce-back, leading to a green candle that could move towards the current closing price. The 24,460 support level is expected to hold, making this a critical area for a potential reversal.
Flat or Slight Gap-Down Opening:
Should the market open flat or with a small gap-down, we could see a red candle that may extend to the 24,460 level. This would likely be the lowest point before buyers step in, supported by both the 0.618 retracement and the rising trendline visible on the chart.
Gap-Up Scenario:
If the market gaps up and holds the current closing price (24,857.50), there’s a possibility of testing the 25,000 level. A successful breakout above this could signal further momentum, potentially leading to a rally towards 25,600.
Conclusion:
The 24,460 zone remains a strong support level, while 25,000 acts as the next major resistance. A break above 25,000 could initiate a continuation toward 25,600, while a gap down will test the 24,460 support and it should most likely hold if nothing worse happens around the world.
Disclaimer:
This idea is presented solely for educational purposes and should not be considered financial or trading advice.
Niftyprediction
#Nifty Directions and levels for the 2nd Week of S
Global Market Overview
Last week, the global market had four red candles, which suggests that the negative trend might continue this week as well. But if you ask, "Will this correction go on for two or three more weeks?" my answer is no. The market structure shows that if it keeps correcting, it may find support near the previous low. If that happens, the market could start moving sideways. This is the current global market sentiment.
Our Market
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty followed the global sentiment last week. Structurally, we can expect further correction. Let’s look at the charts. However, both Nifty and Bank Nifty share the same overall structure.
Nifty
In Friday’s session, the Dow Jones closed with a solid red candle, so the first session of the week may open negatively. If this occurs, we can expect a correctional target of the 61% Fibonacci level on the downside. In the meantime, it may consolidate around the 50% level (24716).
> In this case, the 61% Fibonacci level serves as a key support zone. After the market reaches this level, we could see a bounce back of about 23% to 28% in the current swing. This is our first scenario.
Nifty Rebound Ahead: Watch for a Monday Low Before the Climb!Nifty is Poised for a gap down on monday but looks like it has a strong support at 24700-650 levels, if it sustains that then should see a rebounce till 25050 levels.
100 EMA is at the current level 24850 levels as well !!
Its going to be a volatile week ahead !!
Nifty weekly analysis for 09/09/2024.The index after a long time has given some momentum on intraday basis and closed below the psycological number of 25k.
A bearish engulfing candle on the weekly time frames shows some weakness on the charts. If the market starts trading below the 24800 levels, there are chances of testing lower levels.
Hourly 200 ema is also around the support zone, while the daily candle closed below the 20 ema.
Major support levels :- 25800, 24600, 24230
Resistance levels :- 24960, 25100
The level and the pattern formed around it shows a significant bearish upcoming move in the market.
There are chance of market testing the lower levels as the market cycle seems to chance.
Wait for the price action near the levels before entering the market.
06 Sep 2024 - Nifty loses 380 pts, will Bear attack start now ?Nifty Stance Neutral ➡️
Nifty has only fallen 379.95pts ~ 1.5% this week and it is pretty early to go bearish, but the structure gives a lot of hope for a bear attack. You all might agree that we are in an overvalued territory, even if we fall 20%, we might still be overvalued.
If you look at the daily candle, a strong double top is forming. For conclusive evidence, the markets have to trade below 24086, which is 3.2% lower than the current levels.
US markets fell last week and have a better-looking double top than ours. Again for conclusive evidence, we may need SPX to trade below 5137 which is like 5% below current levels.
I am maintaining a neutral stance and would like to go short if 24537 is getting taken out next week. Personally, I do not see us dropping below 24200 this week (I have short positions @ 24200 PE and may have to run for cover if we test those levels by Tuesday).
Nifty for the week 9.9.2024 to 13.09.2024Nifty broke 25000 levels and also trend line . on Monday if it breaks 24800, then the fall may be up to 24370 and can extend up to 23610, 22550. On the other hand if it breaks and closes above 24940 in one hour candle, then there may be shot rally.
Buy above 24940
sell below 24800
Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI registered analyst. This only for educational purpose.
Bearish RSI divergence in Nifty, indicating a potential decline!
Since October 2023, Nifty has demonstrated a robust upward trend, reaching an impressive peak of 25,333, marked an all-time high.
However, the index has recently faced a setback, pulled back from this peak and currently indicating a downward movement.
A significant bearish RSI divergence is evident on the daily chart, signaling a further potential decline for the index.
On the downside, important support levels are lies between 23,900 and 24,100.
It is crucial to recognize that a break below this support could lead to a significant drop in the index.
Nifty50 Negative Divergence on RSI with BEARISH ENGULFING##1. Nifty50 now showing negative divergence on RSI with Bearish Engulfing on Weekly Charts.
2. Sell below 24811 with SL 25011 for Targets 24444, 24011.
3. If Nifty50 break 24011 then it may fall till 23333 levels.
I will regular update the levels for Nifty50 according with its movement. Trade with proper risk management & Happy Trading
NIFTY50 - TIME TO SELL ?Symbol - Nifty50
Nifty50 is currently trading at 24840
I'm seeing a trading opportunity on sell side.
Shorting Nifty Futures at CMP 24840
I will be adding more if 25000 comes & will hold with SL 25200
Targets I'm expecting are mentioned in the chart above.
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
Nifty 50 Bearish Outlook for the Month: High Caution AdvisedDescription:
1. Monthly Chart Insights: Nifty 50 remains in bearish territory for the current month, with a notable formation of a negative candle pattern. The open = high candle is a key indication of bearish sentiment. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering above the 80 level, signifying an overbought condition. This suggests the market is trading at a premium, raising concerns for a potential downside correction.
2. Daily Chart Overview: On the daily timeframe, further bearish divergence is visible in the RSI, adding weight to the bearish outlook. The index is also trading below its Least Squares Moving Average (LSMA) of the 25-day close, reinforcing the likelihood of continued downward momentum.
3. Global Market Cues: Globally, the market sentiment remains weak, with major indices experiencing a drag of 3% to 4%. This provides additional bearish cues for Nifty 50, aligning with the negative outlook on a macro level.
4. All-Time High Considerations: The ATH (All-Time High) of 25,333 is expected to act as a formidable resistance, with little probability of being tested in the short term. A period of consolidation or further downside is anticipated over the coming months.
Key Takeaway: Investors and traders are advised to exercise extreme caution and patience in their trading decisions, given the prevailing technical and global factors. Risk management should be a priority, as the market may experience increased volatility in the near term.
Kudos to all traders for navigating these uncertain times. Trade cautiously, trade patiently.
Nifty 50 negative divergence on RSI on weekly chart##Nifty50 showing negative divergence on RSI on weekly charts. We can see some correction or time based consolidation in Nifty50.
Nifty50 levels for selling will be below 24811 on daily basis for target of 24444 & 24011 with Stop-loss of 25025.
Trade with risk management properly. Thank you
#Nifty directions and levels for September 5th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the directions and levels for September 5th.
Market Overview
The global markets are maintaining bearish pressure, as indicated by the Dow Jones. Our local market has been showing a moderately bullish sentiment. However, based on a 90-point positive signal from GiftNifty, we may see the market open with a gap-up today.
Both Nifty and BankNifty have been range-bound. What about today? It’s likely that the range will continue, but let’s take a look at the charts.
Nifty
Current View
If the market opens with a gap-up, the 78% level will act as crucial resistance. If it consolidates or breaks this level, we can expect the next targets to be a minimum of 25,333 to 25,366. This is our first scenario.
Alternate Scenario
On the other hand, if the market rejects the 78% level or takes a sharp decline initially, the range-bound market is likely to continue. The expected targets would be a minimum of 38% to 61% of the minor swing.
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Keep Stoploss at 278 and I'm for a first target of 10% and the Trail it with 10 or 20 EMA...
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 Sep 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 3 Sep 2024
Bullish-Above 25350
Invalid-Below 25300
T- 25492
Bearish-Below 25230
Invalid-Above 25280
T- 25025
NIFTY has closed almost on a flat note with slight gain of 0.17% gain today. It opened with 100 points gap up and did not sustain that. Index was overall momentum less. This momentum less market will continue till VIX is below 15. Kindly avoid huge exposure in direction trading especially in option buying as market is dull. 25350 and 25230 are intraday levels for tomorrow.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 25350 then we will long for the target of 25492.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 25230. T- 25025.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY Near All-Time Highs: Will We See a Breakout or a ReversalNIFTY Options Trading Analysis:
As we approach today's trading session, NIFTY is hovering near its all-time highs, showing signs of both strength and potential exhaustion. The market is currently at a crucial juncture with the possibility of a breakout to new highs or a pullback due to profit booking. Let me share my personal analysis, trading plan, and predictions for the day.
Current Market Sentiment:
NIFTY has been consolidating after a strong bullish move, and the 5-minute chart shows some hesitation near the 25,333 - 25,340 resistance zone. With such tight range movements, the market is gearing up for a significant move today.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance Zone:
25,333 - 25,340 : The immediate hurdle for the bulls. A break and close above this level could open the doors for a new leg of buying.
Support Zones:
25,254 - 25,255: If NIFTY holds above this level, we may see a bounce towards the resistance again.
25,167: A critical support level. A breach below this could lead to further downside pressure.
Options Chain Insights:
Analyzing the options chain data from Sensibull:
Highest Call OI: At 25,300, which indicates this level is a strong resistance.
Highest Put OI: At 25,300, suggesting solid support. The convergence of both OI levels at the same strike shows indecision in the market, making this level crucial for today's trading.
My Trading Plan and Prediction:
Bullish Scenario:
If NIFTY breaks above 25,340 with good volume, I will consider buying the 25,350 Call Option. I believe the market could push towards 25,400 or even 25,450 if bullish momentum sustains. My stop loss would be at 25,280.
Bearish Scenario:
If NIFTY breaks below the 25,254 support level, I will consider buying the 25,250 Put Option. The initial target would be 25,200, and if we see increased selling pressure, I might aim for 25,167. My stop loss would be set above 25,310.
Range-Bound Strategy:
If NIFTY stays in the 25,254 - 25,333 range, I might opt for a straddle strategy at the 25,300 strike, buying both a call and a put option to profit from any big move in either direction.
My Prediction for Today:
Given the current market sentiment and the data, I am leaning slightly towards a bullish outcome for today. The consolidation around resistance levels suggests a possible breakout if buying momentum picks up. However, I'm also prepared for a quick reversal if the market fails to hold above 25,254.
Final Thoughts:
Today could be a game-changer for NIFTY. Watch for the key levels I've highlighted, and be ready to react to whichever way the market moves. As always, manage your risk carefully, and don't be afraid to step aside if the market becomes unpredictable.
Happy Trading! Let's see how this plays out today! 🚀
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 2 Sep 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 2 Sep 2024
Bullish-Above 25270
Invalid-Below 25220
T- 25492
Bearish-Below 25190
Invalid-Above 25240
T- 25025
NIFTY has closed on a slight bullish note with 1.66% gain last week. Last week we kept weekly outlook sideways to bullish which worked more or less fine. Since it gave a fresh breakout of previous ATH this week. If at all a bearish candle will be formed in weekly TF, this will lead to a false breakout and a possible top in the coming days. 25270 and 25190 are intra levels for tomorrow.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 25270 then we will long for the target of 25492.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 25190. T- 25025.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.