Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis For Next Week 29 Apr-03 May 2024In this video, we'll discuss about Lat week Market Movement and Next Week's Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
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Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
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Niftyprediction
NIFTY Prediction for tomorow 29 Apr 24As we discussed the market in the live session, it was bearish. After that, it gave a nice fall.
If we look at the chart now:
Price is Making continuous HH and is not able to make HL. Price is taking support at 200 EMA. This level is also fibbed at 0.23 level, which is considered with 200 EMA, making it a good support zone.
22374 is also a good price action level, and the market has received multiple-time support. RSI has also given a breakout to the upside. That means the market might take support here.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.76, there is a huge CE writing at higher levels that indicates 22500 is going to be MaxPain. There is not much PE writing today. This indicates that bulls are not very sure the market is going to take support. If we look at today's OI, it is heavy CE writing, which shows bears are making strong levels on the higher side.
If we look at the FII and DII data: FII and DII is strong bearish while Client is strong bulllish, that means market is going to open gap-down.
The market is at a crucial point right now. there can be 2 cases
Case 1: If the market breaks 22360 to the downside (Bearish)
Case 2: If takes support at 200 EMA (Sideways)
Reasons:
Price ~= EMAs, indicates the market can take support at 200 EMA. (Sideways)
RSI < 50 shows weak bulls, indicating a sideways market. (Sideways)
RSI trendline break might activate some bulls might lead to sideways market. ( Sideways)
OI = 0.76 has a fall from 0.96, which means bears are increasing their positions. (Bearish)
Price < VWAP indicates the bearish market structure. (Bearish)
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action:
Case 1: If breaks to downside -> Sell 22400 CE (Hedge it with 15/- CE premium)
Case 2: If it takes 200 EMA support -> Sell 22400 CE & PE (Hedge it with 15/- premium)
Nifty50 (26th April) A2If 2:15 candle sustains above 22472 -- 22488 then there could be a shortcovering 📈 📈 📈 to above levels marked on the chart
If hourly candle closes below 22488--- 22472 then 📉 📉 ( 22372 -- 29th April)
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -26/04/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 22580 level and then possible upside rally up to 22700 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 22530 level then the downside target can go up to the 22410 level.
25 Apr 2024– Nifty50 gets a stance upgrade, bullish! 🐂🐂🐂Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow, we wish to maintain the neutral stance and look for bearish opportunities if 22295 is getting broken. If the index moves up, 22519 would be our first level to watch for."
Kotak Bank started the day with cuts of -10% due to the RBI news impact from yesterday. The spillover effect was visible on all Nifty components prompting a gap down open. It was the consensus trade and we were all ready for it.
The first surprise came when we closed the gap by 09.43 even while Kotak was at -10%. The excess trade due to the short-covering bounce was visible between 10.19 to 10.51.
The second surprise came when Nifty started rallying from 22400 levels to 22625 between 12.59 to 14.35. This is the 2nd expiry in which Nifty has gone ballistic. I am not sure if it was SL hunting, but it messed up my Algo trades and had to close at a loss of Rs43092 on Nifty.
The 321pts intraday rally has ensured N50 gets a stance upgrade to Bullish with the next target being the ATH. If it takes out the ATH, then we can safely remove the double top pattern.
Nifty50 (25th April)22448 -- 22476 above sustains in any hourly candle 🕯 then 📈 📈 to 22561 -- 22598
22351 -- 22316 below Closing in hourly then 📉 📉 to 22229 -- 22159
22316 to 22476 ( No trade zone )
Disclaimer:
Its a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 26 Apr 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 26 Apr 2024
Bullish-Above 22630
Invalid-Below 22580
T- 22810
Bearish-Below 22450
Invalid-Above 22500
T- 22295
NIFTY has closed on a bold bullish note today with 0.75% gain. It is a bold candle as it gaped down 85 points and then recovered till 22625. Tomorrow is likely to be bullish day. Broadly we are still trading between this rising parallel channel in daily TF. 22465 will act as a support and one can have a bullish plan from this level. Best trade will be opening below 22625 and then breakout of 22630.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 22630 then we will long for the target of 22810-50.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 22450. T- 22295.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty50 (24th April)Any hourly closing above 22461 then 📈 📈 to ( 22561 -- 22586 )
Closing below 22419 in any hourly will be 📉 📉 ( will update if it breaks )
22453 --- 22461 ( Sideways) No trade zone
Disclaimer:
It's a personal view not a financial advise and I assume no responsibility and liability whatever outcome arises.
#Nifty directions and Levels for April 25th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 25th:
The global market trend is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a decrease of -70.
Nifty had closed with consolidation in the last session. In this session, if it opens neutral to gap-up, then we can expect a range breakout, but GiftNifty indicates a slightly negative start. So, it might take a little correction, retracing to a minimum of 23% to 38% Fibonacci level. If this happens, don't take any advance long positions around the 38% level because the structure may not be clear here compared to BankNifty. so If it consolidates around the 38%, then the correction continues further, and you can fix the next target Fibonacci level at 50%
The alternate variation suggests that if the gap-down doesn't sustain and takes an immediate pullback, then it might undergo further range market. After that consolidation, if it breaks the previous high, then we can expect a rally continuation.
However, if the market opens against the sentiment, which means if the market opens neutral or gap-up, then we can expect a rally, potentially breaking the previous high.
24 Apr 2024– Neutral and Out of steam, what is next? Nifty50Nifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: "For tomorrow we wish to start the day with a neutral stance and look for bullish opportunities as soon as it reaches for the 22519 levels."
Another flat day, but the options premiums were not behaving as usual. The blame may be on VIX as the premiums were dead low that even a small 50+ points move created a huge skew between the Put and Call prices. India vix staying @ 10.2 levels is not a good sign for professional options traders as a small move will upset the premiums.
A better alternative is you use spreads like credit/debit spreads - buy a strike, sell strike+1 etc, so that the premiums move in tandem and the volatility contraction may not impact that much. But I assume most of the Algos may not have spreads as the core strategy, to begin with.
For tomorrow, we wish to maintain the neutral stance and look for bearish opportunities if 22295 is getting broken. If the index moves up, 22519 would be our first level to watch for.
Algos ended up gaining Rs5496 today.
Monthly Expiry Special Nifty & Bank Nifty Analysis For Apr 2024In this video, we'll discuss about Today's Market Movement and Tomorrow's Analysis in Nifty, Banknifty and other segments too.
Whether you're a seasoned trader or just starting in the stock market, this analysis will help you in Learning about Market. Let's get right into it!
✅I hope you liked the analysis. Be sure to hit that LIKE.
👍Like | 💬Comment | 👥Share
Disclaimer : All views and charts shared in this video are purely for knowledge and information purposes only. Trading is Very Risky Business and it should only be done with proper Knowledge. It is very important to do your own analysis before making any investment based on your own personal circumstances.
#TheStockMantra #MarketAnalysis #LearnStockMarket
Nifty monthly expiry levels for intraday trade 25/04/24.The index for last 2 trading session is consolidating in a range between 22350-22480 and is sustaining above the moving averages.
A halt candle has been formed after a gap down opening which signifies that the market may give a trending move in coming days.
The drop in the VIX has killed the option premiums and there was option buyers are waiting for a buying opportunity in the market.
Tomorrow is the monthly expiry for the index and as the market is behaving a move can be seen, if there is a slight gap up/down or a flat opening.
If there is a flat opening and consolidation in the first half, the break out or break down in the second half can give a trending move.
Major Support levels:-22330, 22240
Resistance levels :- 22480, 22610
Market has remained volatile this whole month. For last 3 months dojis can be seen on the charts showing confusion among the market participants.
Wait for the market to clear the trend for positional trades. Price action around the levels should be there for entering a trade.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels -24/04/2024Nifty will be gap up opening in today's session. After opening nifty sustain above 22390 level and then possible upside rally up to 22510 level in today's session. in case nifty trades below 22330 level then the downside target can go up to the 22210 level.