Nifty heading towards 22kDate: 17 Nov’24
Symbol: NIFTY
Timeframe: Daily
Nifty 50 seems to be in final stages of Wave A of an ABC correction that began in Sept’24. Correction in A could end around 23300 and if it breaks that level, it could even head to 23050-23000. It would then witness a pull back towards 25000 levels in Wave B as seen in the chart and finally Wave C down.
Please note this is a possible wave count and Nifty as an instrument always runs on multiple global event risks. Maharashtra votes on 20th Nov’24 and election results are on Saturday, 23rd so it’s unlikely that Nifty will see a pullback or Wave B this week. Investors/Traders in US see lesser chances of another interest rate cut in December meeting so it’s a wait and watch there.
This is not a trade recommendation but my humble submission of possible movement in Nifty. Please do your own analysis. And I’ve the right to be wrong.
HINGLISH VERSION
Aisa lagta hai ki Nifty 50 Sept’24 mein shuroo hue ABC correction ke Wave A ke antim charan mein hai. Wave A mein correction 23300 ke aaspaas samaapt ho sakta hai aur yadi yah us star ko todta hai, to yah 23000-23050 tak bhee ja sakta hai. Jaisa ki chart mein dekh sakte hain, iske baad Wave B mein 25000 ke star tak vaapasee hogee aur ant mein Wave C mein giraavat aaegee.
Kripya dhyaan den ki yah ek sambhaavit Wave count hai aur Nifty hamesha kai duniya bhar ki ghatanaon ke jokhimon par chalta hai. Maharashtra mein 20 Nov’24 ko voting hogi aur chunaav nateeje Saturday 23rd ko aaenge, isliye iski sambhaavana nahin hai ki is saptaah Nifty mein pull back ya Wave B dekhne ko mile. US mein niveshakon/vyaapaariyon ko December kee baithak mein ek aur interest rate cut kee sambhaavana kam dikh rahee hai, isliye vahaan wait and watch kee sthiti hai.
Yah koi trade lene ki salah nahi hai balki Nifty mein sambhaavit utaar-chadhaav ke baare mein meri vinamra koshish hai. Kripya apna vishleshan khud karen. Aur mujhe galat hone ka adhikaar hai.
Niftyprediction
Nifty 1D Update and Bearish Commentary NIFTY 1D Update: Nifty has followed both of my paths, and I await one to follow through. Nifty is in a distribution phase and we will either halt at 23,532 and move up to 24,500 or we will continue to fall to 22,000. Overall bias is bearish and I would recommend staying off stocks unless you see A+ setups
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Nov 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Nov 2024
Bullish-Above 23690
Invalid-Below 23640
T- 23910
Bearish-Below 23480
Invalid-Above 23530
T- 23213
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 2.55% cut last week. Last weekend we discussed that index will be gripped by bears below 24k. It gave a non-stop move till 23500. Now index may find support near 23150 zone as per half bat pattern (0.618).
Index has formed an inverted hammer candle in daily TF near channel lower in daily TF so above its high it can be validated or else it will be sell on rise.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23690 then we will long for the target of 23910.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23480. T- 23213.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Neo wave Elliott wave #Nifty50 Full Analysis #chartsTrainer Neo wave Elliott wave #Nifty50 Full Analysis #chartsTrainer
as per neo wave nifty now getting rise till 24640 to 25200 for make wave B and than fall in 5 steps 12345 for completing last wave C.
There are more probability to making profit in future.
All stocks are corrected and give us opportunity to buy them on large discounts.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 14th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy: Buy Above 23,710 / Sell Below 23,500
Current Price: 23,559
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 23,710 on the 15-minute candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 23,500 on the 15-minute candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 23,559, just below the buy signal level.
It's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 23,550 to 23,700 levels, which could act as support or resistance.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 23,710 on the 15-minute candle close, consider entering long positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 23,800 and 23,900.
Sell: If the price breaks below 23,500 on the 15-minute candle close, consider short positions. Book profit at regular intervals or use a trailing stop loss to protect your profit, with targets at 23,400 and 23,300.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
#Nifty directions and levels for November 14th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 14th.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes from the previous session. The global markets are showing a moderately bearish sentiment (mainly based on the Dow Jones), and our local market also indicates a bearish trend. Today, the market may open neutral to slightly gap-down, as SGX Nifty is showing a negative move of 30 points.
In the previous session, the market continued its correction solidly. Structurally, today's correction is expected to continue if it breaks the previous bottom. Otherwise, it may consolidate between the previous bottom and the 38% Fibonacci level. A reversal could be anticipated only if it breaks either the 20-day EMA or the 38% Fibonacci level. Additionally, there are two sub-waves forming—a fourth consolidation wave and a fifth corrective wave—so today’s movement may reflect these structures. Let's illustrate this on the chart.
Nifty Current View:
> The current view of Nifty indicates that if the market undergoes minor consolidation or if it breaks the previous bottom solidly, then the correction is likely to continue toward the levels of 23435 to 23245.
> Notably, if the market corrects, it could be a minor fifth wave; thus, there is a possibility of forming a diagonal pattern. If it forms and subsequently breaks out of the pattern, we can consider that a minor reversal to the upside.
Alternate View:
> On the other hand, the alternate view suggests that if the market initially takes a pullback, we can expect a maximum pullback of 23% to 38%. After that, if it rejects either the 23% or 38% Fibonacci level, then the correction will likely continue.
> However, structurally, it could be a fourth sub-wave, so some consolidation could be possible between the previous low and the Fibonacci level of 38%.
> Notably, structurally, it won’t break the Fibonacci level of 38%; in case it does, we can consider that a minor bullish reversal.
#NIFTY - 14TH NOVEMBER NSE:NIFTY
#NIFTY ⚡
Observe, understand, then implement 👍🏻
Chart contains support and resistance levels (understand how it works 👇🏻)
Support and resistance are key concepts in technical analysis used to identify potential price levels where assets may reverse or stall.
Support:
-Definition: A support level is a price point where buying interest is strong enough to overcome selling pressure, preventing the price from falling further.
- Indicators: Support levels can be identified through historical price data, trend lines, or moving averages.
- Behavior: When a price approaches support, it may bounce back up. If broken, it can become a new resistance level.
Resistance:
- Definition: A resistance level is a price point where selling interest is strong enough to overcome buying pressure, preventing the price from rising further.
- Indicators: Similar to support, resistance levels can be identified through past price action, trend lines, or moving averages.
- Behavior: When the price approaches resistance, it may retreat. If broken, it can turn into a new support level.
Importance:
- Trade Decisions: Traders use these levels to make buy or sell decisions, set stop-loss orders, and identify potential profit targets.
- Market Psychology: Support and resistance levels reflect market sentiment and the balance between supply and demand.
Understanding these concepts can enhance trading strategies and improve decision-making.
P.S note : im not SEBI REGISTRAR 🙏🏻
Any doubt 👉🏻 @thetradeforecast
Nifty may Decline 2000-3000 points from Given RangeWave (5) started from 23894 achieved its projection range and its sub wave 5 started from 24753 is also achieved its range and even extended so Nifty may give quick 1000 points fall from given range in chart and eventually it may decline 2000 to 3000 points from given range.
26200 is the Invalidation level for this analysis.....
NIFTY downside targetsIf we count a single leg for NIFTY, (recent move), we can see Flat Correction.
Wave B is returning from the golden ratio of 61.8%
We will use the Fib extension to find the target of wave C. We can see that the minimum target of 61.8% has already been crossed. Price now moving for the Rule of equality i.e. 100%.
But we can see several Fib clusters near the price range of 23667.40 and 23621.35
So we can expect wave C up to these zones.
This analysis is done using Elliott Wave theory and Fibonacci.
This analysis is for educational purposes only.
NIFTY Bearish Trend EMA50 Testing Weekly corrected 2400 points Posted Chart on 29th september that Nifty Near to Channel Resistance with RSI overbought and small negative Divergence, Price is 2000/4000 point away from EMA 20/50__after every trending move price is reverse to its ema line(MEAN reversion)+ also if making of flag then sideways to small correction can expect_____
Now after Retest Of EMA20 on weekly Nifty Still facing selling Pressure from higher levels now previous swing low is broken EMA50 is nearby 23300 and channel support at nearby 22700.
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USDINR at lifetime high @84.40 overall negative momentum.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 12th November 2024Nifty Trading Strategy: Buy Above 24,236 / Sell Below 24,060
Current Price: 24,142
Key Levels:
Buy Signal: If the price closes above 24,236 on the 15-minute candle, it indicates a potential upward trend, suggesting a good time to consider buying.
Sell Signal: If the price closes below 24,060 on the 15-minute candle, it suggests a potential downward trend, indicating it might be a good time to consider selling.
Market Analysis:
The current price is hovering around 24,142, just below the buy signal level.
The market is showing signs of bullish momentum, but it's important to monitor the price closely, especially around the 24,100 to 24,200 levels, which could act as support or resistance.
Recommendations:
Buy: If the price sustains above 24,236 on the 15-minute candle close, consider entering long positions with targets at 24,300 and 24,400.
Sell: If the price breaks below 24,060 on the 15-minute candle close, consider short positions with targets at 23,900 and 23,800.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI registered. This is only for educational purposes. You may do your own analysis before taking any trading decisions.
#Nifty directions and levels for November 12th.Good morning, friends! 🌞 Here are the market directions and levels for November 12th.
Market Overview:
There are no significant changes that have happened. The global market is maintaining a bullish sentiment (based on Dow Jones only), while our local market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, based on Nifty showing a positive 40 points.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty had a solid pullback, but it didn't sustain, which simply means we are in a range market. Today's structure also indicates a continuation of the range market. Let's take a look at this in the charts.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-up, it could reach a minimum of 24,288. This is a major resistance. After that pullback, if it rejects there, then it will close where it started the session. However, if it sustains or breaks this level, then the pullback will continue toward the level of 24,367. This is our first variation.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market declines initially, it could reach a minimum of 78% to the MDZ. However, it should break 24,076, then only can we expect these levels.
POKARNA going through a tight consolidation upside move possiblePOKARNA stock is going through tight consolidation in a bullish pattern on daily charts
promoter's holding is stable
FII's increased there position in this stock in September month
quater result expected good
1000 is a strong support am expecting a good upmove from this levels
entering in this stock with strict SL of close below 20 MA
**Disclaimer:** This information is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities. Always do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HEAD & SHOULDERS PATTERN IN NIFTY. TIME TO SELL AGAIN ?Symbol - NIFTY50
CMP 24800
Nifty50 has turned its trend from bullish to bearish & sideways making lows - lows on daily time frame. We can see a Head & Shoulders pattern getting formed on daily TF in Nifty. Such patterns on larger time frame don't usually fail. Nifty is currently trading near neckline of this pattern. Breakdown & sustaining below this neckline zone 24730 - 24690 will get this pattern activated & we can see big target towards downside.
Target on downside can be 23370
P.S. : My short position is already active from 25000
Disclaimer - Do not consider this as a buy/sell recommendation. I'm sharing my analysis & my trading position. You can track it for educational purposes. Thanks!
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Nov 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Nov 2024
Bullish-Above 24390
Invalid-Below 24340
T- 24605
Bearish-Below 24000
Invalid-Above 24050
T- 23675
NIFTY has closed on a flat note today after giving both side moves in intraday. 24k acted as a strong support today. Now if index goes below 24k bearish move towards 23700 zone will be initiated. It has been said multiple times that index is sell on rise and is still valid till it trades below 50 EMA in daily TF. 24390 and 24000 are intraday levels for tomorrow.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24390 then we will long for the target of 24605.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24k. T- 23675.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY making In IHNS with Trendline Supporthello everyone,
NITY Spot 24250 taking support from 24000 making in pattern inverse head and shoulder there is hurdle EMA 100 and trendline resistance near 24370-23430 __as RSI positive divergence reversal can expect still bearish trend on larger timeframe.
8th Nov 2024 - PostMortem on Nifty - stance slightly bearishNifty Stance Bearish ️⬇️
The report we sent out last week had a full bearish stance, but this week we have reduced the intensity of the bearishness. The new stance is upgraded from bearish to slightly bearish.
The rationale is that the momentum needs to really build up for further downfall. 23854 is the magic number below which we will intensify our level of shorts. For the expiry 14th Nov, the position taken by me is
Max profit will be at 24200 level and max loss will be above 24394 and this is exactly the stop loss for the bearish level. If the market closes above 24394 on any specific day, we will change the stance from slightly bearish to neutral.
The price action on Monday 4th of Nov was beautiful, but we did not break the 23854 conclusively. The counter reaction on 5th was symmetrically powerful, we almost broke out of 24460 upper range. 6th of Nov was flavorless less and on 7th we fell badly again. The trading on 8th was decent but the last 50 minutes or so belonged to the Bears.
On a weekly basis, Nifty is up just 10pts. I had promised last week that I would push the publication date to Thursdays coinciding with the expiries. Let me try and keep my word from the 14th of Nov as it coincides with Children's Day :)
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Nov 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 12 Nov 2024
Bullish-Above 24280
Invalid-Below 24230
T- 24500+
Bearish- Below 24050
Invalid-Above 24100
T- 23775
NIFTY has closed with slight cut of 0.64% last week. It has formed a spinning top candle in weekly TF which indicates either halt of ongoing selling which later can result into reversal on further confirmation or a continuation below its low- 23800. Overall market is sell on rise till it regains 50 EMA in daily TF. 24280 and 24050 are intraday levels.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24280 then we will long for the target of 24500+.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 24050. T- 23775.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
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I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Bearish trend in Nifty(Weekly) (In Hindi)NSE:NIFTY On Indices analysis, we are looking at some of the top Indices at the weekly level. It is clearly visible that Nifty is on the bearish side and holding at key support. The next key support could be 23,500. Last week's bearish candle somewhat engulfed the previous bullish candle, confirming the downtrend.
The rest of the other Indices are also looking at a downward trend with a few exceptions like IT, Pharma & Metal, which have made a double top pattern for a trend reversal.