#Nifty directions and levels for December 23rd.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 23rd.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment due to the solid pullback in the previous session (based on the Dow Jones). Meanwhile, our local market is displaying a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a 170-point positive sentiment.
In the previous session, the US market had a strong pullback, which might reflect in our market today. Gift Nifty is also pointing toward this possibility. So, how should we approach this?
If the gap-up sustains, we could interpret this as a sub-wave 4. Usually, the 4th wave is characterized by a three-wave structure, which we refer to as a consolidation wave. Therefore, we can expect some consolidation between the previous low and the 38% mark. This is the basic structure; let's look at it on the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty are currently showing the same structural sentiment.
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up of less than 100 points and then declines initially, we can expect a slight further correction due to some sub-waves bending. However, if this occurs, the minor demand zone will act as strong support.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up opens with more than 150 points and sustains, then the pullback could continue to the 38% level, with some consolidation as we discussed. This pullback could be interpreted as a 4th wave.
Niftyprediction
Nifty Trading Strategy for 23rd December 2024.Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 23,740
Sell Below: The low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 23,440
Targets:
Upside Targets: 23,825, 23,925, 24,020
Downside Targets: 23,320, 23,230, 23,100
Strategy Details:
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position above the high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 23,740, aiming for targets of 23,825, 23,925, and 24,020.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 23,440, aiming for targets of 23,320, 23,230, and 23,100.
Trailing Stop-Loss: Use a trailing stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital.
Book Profits: Regularly book profits at the specified resistance and support levels.
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 15-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty.
This strategy provides a structured approach for trading Nifty, ensuring clear buy and sell signals along with defined targets. I am not SEBI Registered.
NIFTY50 Head & Shoulder Pattern in Weekly Charts₹₹Nifty50 making Head & Shoulder in Weekly Charts with Price range of 3000 points(23266-26277). If Chart Pattern play-out perfectly then Target price range will be 2500-3000 points till 20288 levels.
Nifty50 also have a gap on 20288 levels bcoz of Election Results of 4 States on Dec 3,2023 after that rally started. Now Nifty50 can fill this gap if Chart Pattern play-out perfectly.
I will wait for Nifty50 to break down 23266-22777 levels zone & closing below 22777 levels. If Nifty50 close below 22777 levels then Short Nifty50 for Targets of 22122, 21777, 21288, 20777 & 20288 with Stop Loss of 23444.
But this Pattern will fail above levels of 24555.
Most Important we have to carefully watch RELIANCE bcoz it's already at 52 week lows & At Parallel Channel Support in Monthly Charts. If Reliance also give breakdown of channel then it will be easy for Nifty50 to reach all targets. Similarly HDFC BANK at upper Resistance of Parallel Channel in Monthly Charts.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 23 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 23 Dec 2024
Sell_1- From 23970
Invalid-Above 24020
T- 23700
Sell_2-Below 23530
Invalid-Above 23580
T- 23230
NIFTY has closed on a bold bearish note with 4.77% cut last week. Last weekend we discussed that index will be buy on dips till index is above 50 EMA in daily TF. On 17 Dec it closed below that. We will still maintain sell on rise approach till it is below 50 EMA and till it closes below previous day low in daily TF. If tomorrow's 10 o'clock range breaks in the upside then chance of rebound is there so keep an eye.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 23530 then we will short for the target of 23230.
In case 23970 is tested then we will short from there. T- 23700.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty - Is it still Bullish ?I agree Inverted Head and Shoulder pattern failed but short sellers are safe while left out Retail Option Buyers taken long bets are in loss now. As per wave pattern chart is still in last stage of Bullish stage. OI data indicating the same view. If someone manipulating to eat everyone else in market, then can't help. Indian Share market is going out of control these days with someone with bigger money power eating the entire market with manipulations. Our market are in Option Sellers gang control now. Retail Option Buyers better stay away other than long term Investing in Nifty 50 shares.
NIFTY Weekly 3Rd flag Possible (Bull Run Resumes)Hello Everyone,
Nifty Weekly Creating FLAG pattern along with channel trendline support and EMA 50 as support also a RSI oversold conditions. as compare to previous flag if this going to happened then NIFTY 31000 possible till start of 2026 . buy on dips is the strategy for investors.
hope you liked then hit like this will help me to post more technical analysis and ideas.
#Nifty directions and levels for December 20th.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 20th.
Market Overview:
Both the global and local markets are maintaining a bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down start, as the Nifty is indicating a negative 80 points at 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a minor pullback after the long gap-down. Although the structure remains bearish, we can expect a continuation only if it breaks the previous day's low with solid movement. If this happens, we can anticipate a target of 78% in the minor swing.
On the other hand, if the market initially pulls back without breaking yesterday's low, or if it finds support at the immediate support level with gradual movements, then we can expect a pullback of 23% to 38%. This is the basic structure. Otherwise, we can follow the same sentiment that we discussed in the previous session, as nothing has changed.
19th Dec24 Strong Entry by the Bears, We Are Back At Sell ZoneNifty Stance Bearish ⬇
The opening hour on Friday really set the tone and I had published in tradingview minds that if we get a close below 24466, it's better to go short. Guess what, we closed below 24466, but the short trade did not really work out then.
Markets are rigged to the core, someone or some institution is really manipulating the markets, because nothing else can justify the 354pts ~ 1.45% down move followed by a 608pts ~ 2.52% upmove. Whoever played it, knew pretty well that it was SENSEX expiry that had to be targetted and it worked out as per their script.
How did I guess it was manipulation? Simple, look at the price action on Monday and Tuesday - there was no follow-through and the bull action was just for nothing. In fact the down move was equally powerful as well. We were back at the swing low on the 18th, Wednesday. Markets gave away 600pts over 3 days after rallying 600pts on 13th Dec. Today we fell another 247pts ~ 1.02% mainly because of spill-over effects from the US markets - that ended up tanking 3%.
On a week-to-week basis, we are down 2.36% ~ 578pts. Making money is getting more difficult now, especially with the manipulations that are driving up the ITM options prices. What is more alarming is the increased margin requirements on expiry day are really shooting up the prices and I have not figured out the exact quantity/lots that could be taken overnight without getting a margin call.
My stance is bearish and would like it if markets are closing near 23350 levels by 26th Dec.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Dec 2024
Bullish-Above 24010
Invalid- Below 23960
T- 24220
Bearish-Below 23850
Invalid-Above 23900
T- 23650
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 1% cut today. It opened with a big gap down due to global cues and it sustained the gap down. 10 o'clock range was to be used but index traded between the same for the whole day. 24k was tested multiple times so if index sustains above 24k then chance of a gap filling can be there. Below 23850 plain vanilla trendy short can be planned.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24010 then we will long for the target of 24220.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23850. T- 23650.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 20 Dec 24As we discussed yesterday, the market opened at -250 points and spent the whole day sideways in a tight range.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is at a crucial point that can provide good support. Also, the price is very far from the EMAs, which might retrace to the EMAs. The market might reverse from this point. Right now, the market is neutral.
Support levels: 23772, 23488, 23363
Resistance levels: 24339, 200 EMA, 24682
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.7, which has increased from 0.4, shows put addition at the lower level. 24000 has good support and resistance points. This is going to work as max pain. As it's the start of the week, OI won't play much of a role.
I am expecting
Case 1: Bullish if take support at 24950.
Case 2: Bearish if it breaks the level 24950 to the downside.
Reason:
RSI < 40 shows a good Bearish structure. (bearish)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.7 indicates a neutral market.
price < VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Neutral
Plan of action:
Sell 23950 CE and 23950 PE and adjust your position as per the price action at 23950.
NIFTy Hourly Retrace 61% swing Set upHello everyone,
Nifty falling 3rd consecutive day from 24660 to 23880 reatrace 61% fibbonacci and RSI also overold for hourly chart sustaining above 24000 give more power to buyers,
fed cut the rates by 0.25basis but commented no changes in coming year leads to fall of global markets,
expecting upside swing momentum till 24500,24700,25000. below 23800 go more panic for 23500,23300,23000
US10Yrs. Bond Yield parallel channel. Nifty up move confirmationUS Government 10Yrs. Bond Yield trading in parallel channel. After fake break out it come down in channel again. As per chart it may correct up to 4%,3.79% and 3.06% level soon.
It has inverse relation with index, so nifty and bank nifty may give good up move in next 2-3 months as both charts suggested also the same.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 19th December 2024Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 24,315
Sell Below: The low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 24,125
Targets:
Upside Targets: 24,444, 24,533
Downside Targets: 24,010, 23,950, 23,850
Strategy Details:
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position above the high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 24,315, aiming for targets of 24,444 and 24,533.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 24,125, aiming for targets of 24,010, 23,950, and 23,850.
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 15-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 19 Dec 24As we discussed yesterday, the market was sideways and had huge volatility.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is looking bearish but also showing good bullish pull-ups. The market is near the support zone.
Support levels: 24127, 23970
Resistance levels: 24980, 24386, 24524, 24682
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.4, which has decreased from 0.8, shows call addition at the higher level. The market has good PE writing at 24500 and 24400. Other levels, 24200, 24300, and 24300, will be showing good resistance at a higher level.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in the range 24127 - 24350.
Case 2: Bearish if it breaks 24127 to the downside.
Reason:
RSI < 40 shows a good Bearish structure. (bearish)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.4 indicates a bearish market.
Price < VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Bearish or Sideways
Plan of action:
In the range 24127 - 24350 Sideways. Go with an Iron condor.
Buy PUT if it breaks 24127 to the downside.
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 18/12/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 18th December 2024Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the candle which closes above 24,425 on a one-hour chart
Sell Below: The low of the candle which closes below 24,245 on a one-hour chart
Strategy Details:
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position above the high of the candle that closes above 24,425 on a one-hour time frame.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the candle that closes below 24,245 on a one-hour time frame.
Gap Down Risk Strategy:
If the Market Opens Lower: Around 24,200-24,240 levels
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position with a stop-loss of 24,175
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the one-hour chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Dec 2024
Sell_1- From 24590
Invalid-Above 24640
T- 24400
Sell_2-Below 24300
Invalid-Above 24350
T- 24000
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 1.35% cut today. Yesterday we discussed that index will be bearish below 24570 and exact mentioned target of 24310 was met. Now index may continue bearish move. A good short below 24300 in case of flat opening. If at all it gaps up then 24590 will be intraday resistance as per half bat.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 24300 then we will short for the target of 24k.
24590 will be pullback short level in case 24300 is safe. T- 24400.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY OUTLOOK....Ready For All Time High Again ?NSE:NIFTY
Current Market Price 24700
Below chart was made on 21/11/2024 regarding BOTTOMING OUT of NSE:NIFTY from correction phase of more than 3000 points from All Time High (-11.47% from ATH) !
Before that on 20/09/2024 when NSE:NIFTY was continuously making Life Highs we stated that it will be TOPPED near 26200 levels, And from there we saw a decent and healthy correction of more than 10%....
================================================================
ALL UPDATED CHART OF NSE:NIFTY FROM TOP TO BOTTOM
CHART 1
CHART 2
================================================================
Beautiful Rally Captured both the sides in NSE:NIFTY !!💕💕
26200-------->23265+ (2935+ points)
23265-------->24850+(1585+ points)
================================================================
CURRENT SCENARIO of NSE:NIFTY
LTP 24700
Any dip till 24000 can be bought with a Weekly Closing Basis Stoploss of 23743
Targets🎯24905 / 25025 / 25111 / 25275 / 25490 / 25800++++
Will revisit the situation when all mentioned targets will be achieved !!
================================================================
Thanks !
Harm⭕nics4Life
05/12/2024
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies shared here are for educational purposes .. Do Consult Your Financial advisor Before Taking any Trade.
#Nifty directions and levels for December 17th.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 17th.
Market Overview:
The global market continues to show moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones alone), while our local market is displaying a bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as the Gift Nifty is indicating a negative 40 points at 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty saw a minor correction but did not break the 38% Fibonacci level. Therefore, until the support level is broken, the market will maintain its bullish bias. However, if the support is broken, the bullish momentum may turn neutral to bearish. This is the basic structure; let’s analyze this further with the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty currently share the same structural sentiment.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market initially takes a pullback, it could reach a minimum of 24,752. However, the rally will continue only if the market breaks this level with a solid candle. If it does, we can expect the next targets at 24,818 and 24,857. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-down, the levels 24,559 and 24,531 will act as strong support. If the market finds support here, we can expect a bounce back of at least 38% to 78% in the minor swing.
Conversely, if this support level is broken, the market may fall further to 24,451 and 24,418.
(Note: If you plan to take a position in the bounce back, check for RSI divergence. If divergence occurs, you can enter; if it doesn’t, wait for a 38% Fibonacci breakout in the minor swing. Apply the Fibonacci levels from swing high (24,792) to the upcoming low. Because Range-bound entries can be challenging, and we cannot expect proper swings and in this premium)