NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 29 May 24As we discussed, Nifty has a sideways or bearish structure; it ended sideways in 1st half, then bearish later 2nd half.
If we look at the chart now:
The market has broken 50 EMA and a good support zone to the downside. Also, an EMA(13, 50) bearish crossover is about to happen, which might lead to a bearish market structure. The market is making an HNS pattern and has broken the neckline to the downside, which might lead to a target of 22600 levels.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.80, which has fallen from 0.89, shows good CE writing at higher levels. 23000 will be acting as hard resistance at higher levels. Other than that, Nifty has good resistance at 23100, 23200, and 23300.
Looking at the data, Nifty might go bearish in the upcoming session with a target of 22600 .
Reasons:
RSI < 40 falling from the upside shows a good bearish strength.
EMA(13) > Price > EMA(50, 200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market.
The market has formed a lower high that indicates the market is bearish.
PCR = 0.80 indicates mild bullishness, but this has fallen from 0.89, which shows good CE writing at higher levels.
Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish market.
Verdict: Bearish
Plan of action : 22800 PE (Hedge it with 10/-) if the market continues bearish momentum.
Note: you can target 200 EMA targets.
Niftytomorrow
Nifty levels - May 29, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
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Nifty on Radar - 27 MayA strong red candle with High High and Low Low structure.
The price could retest the level of 22800 which is an important retracement level.
Also the bands are in an expansion zone.
The probability on both sides is 50%.
Intraday trade range
S1-22,800 | R1-23,100
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
#Nifty Directions and levels for May 28th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 28th:
The global market is maintaining a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market suggests a moderately bullish trend. We might see a neutral to slightly gap-down start today, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 15 points.
In the previous session, Nifty had sharply rejected in the second half, closing at a neutral price. Today, GiftNifty is also indicating a neutral opening. If we take a bias based on the Dow Jones, HDFC Bank, and RIL, they are suggesting a neutral sentiment.
So, my expectation is that if Nifty opens neutral or if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect a range market within the previous day's range. If it breaks either upside or downside after that, then we can follow that trend. In my opinion, if it forms a range, it may continue the rally.
Alternatively, if the market takes a correction initially, it could reach the Fibonacci level of 50%, which is a strong support. After that correction, if it finds support there, we can expect a minimum pullback of 38% to 50%.
Note: However, if the correction occurs sharply and if it breaks or consolidates around the Fibonacci level of 50%, then the correction will likely continue.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 28 MayAs we discussed, Nifty has completed its 2nd wave and touched the mentioned target.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading in a heavy supply zone. Also, in the second half of today, the market had a huge PE windup. After this huge momentum, the market needs some consolidation to move on either side. There was a huge volume spike that shows the market is not yet ready to break 23000 levels.
All important levels have been marked at the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.89, which has fallen from 1.28. shows a good PE wind-off. The market might take some consolidation in the range 22800 - 23100. 23000 is still the maximum amount of pain in the market. sufficient CE and PE are writing both sides. But CE is freshly written, which indicates bears are slowly increasing their position in the market.
I expect the market to go sideways or bearish.
Reasons:
RSI < 50 falling from the upside shows a good reduction in the bull's strength.
EMA(13) > Price > EMA(50, 200), which indicates an indecisive or rather sideways market.
The market is still making HH & equal low, which indicates a reduction in bull power. If it makes a lower low, the market will have a good fall.
PCR = 0.98 indicates bullishness, but this has fallen from 1.34, which shows lots of profit booking on the upside.
Price < VWAP shows that a weak market structure can lead to a bearish or sideways market.
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 23000 CE and 22800 PE (Hedge it with 10/-)
Note: Exit CE if nifty breaks 23000 to the upside & Exit PE if it breaks 22800 to the downside. But right now, there are more chances for the market to be sideways or bearish
Nifty levels - May 28, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#Nifty directions and levels for May 27th.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 27th:
The global market is maintaining a bearish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market suggests a bullish trend. We might see a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as indicated by GiftNifty, which shows a decrease of 10 points.
First, let's look at the bias:
> Whenever consolidation forms after a solid structure, the market may follow that direction. The current structure indicates a bullish sentiment.
> The major weightage stocks (HDFCBANK and RIL) both have solid bullish candles, so if this continues, the index may also continue the rally.
Nifty has consolidated after a sharp rally, and today, GiftNifty is also indicating a neutral start. This suggests that the consolidation may continue for a bit. However, if the initial market takes a pullback, we can expect the rally to continue. According to the wave structure, it could be a sub-wave 5. This is a distribution wave, so it will reach the level of 23097 with less volume. However, if the pullback candle is a solid, long green candle, we could expect the level of 23197.
Alternatively, if the initial market takes a correction, it could continue the correction of the 4th sub-wave, which is a consolidation wave. It may correct to a maximum level of 38%. If it finds support there, we could expect a bounce back.
24 May 2024 - A Pause after a run, stance is still bullishNifty opened inline and traded in a short range, this came as a pause after the range expansion that came on 23rd. Since there are no resistance levels as we are at ATH, no one could guess with accuracy what will be the top.
Our stance remains bullish and will go neutral only if 22779 is broken.
Nifty levels and zones for coming week NSE:NIFTY
1) Don't Jump in to trade at the beginning of the market. Let it get settle for 15-20min first and judge the price action.
2) Everything is mentioned on the chart. I hope it is easy to understand.
3) All the levels will work as support, resistance, entry and exit w.r.t price action near that level.
4) Avoid gap up or gap down chase. Wait and trade between zones.
Please refer below chart for levels.
Hope I made it easy to understand it.
Do comment your doubt or suggestion.
Note: Trade with Strict SL. It may or may not hit all the levels. So one can book profit / loss at respective level considering how price action works near that level.
Nifty 25k soon!Expect NIFTY to test 25,000 levels in coming few weeks .
NIFTY on weekly gave a rising wedge upside breakout which is a low probability event .
Low probability events lead to trapped buyers/sellers on both sides.
Price usually reached the approximate height of the pattern where both will enter/exit new positions.
Cheers @piyushrawtani
23 May 2024 - Nifty almost kissed 23000 today, Bulls charged upNifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Nifty had an impressive 417pts ~ 1.85% intraday rally, although the bullishness was predicted - I was quite surprised that we had such momentum today, and that too before election results.
But if you look at the data objectively, what we had today was quite reasonable. After all, we were breaking out from the all-time highs and usually, that means a quick surge of which the excesses will be shaved off in a day or two. For tomorrow, our bullish stance continues and there are no more resistances above this level, meaning we would not really know where the next stop would be.
Nifty on Radar - 23 MayFor the next potential level I use Fibonacci Extension.
So, the next Important Level to consider is 23274.55
Also the expansion in both bands is equally distributed, this indicates the uptrend will continue.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
Nifty levels - May 24, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
22 May 2024 - Nifty still upward looking, bullish tone continuesReliance and Infy were the major contributors to Nifty's GREEN show today. This happened at a time when the Banks were taking a huge beating. Finally, it came out good for the bulls as the 22519 resistance is now broken safely.
The next target is the ATH and then I am not quite sure how much more we can go from there. Lok Sabha election results are coming up in 2 weeks and the markets are getting prepped up for a massive one-side move.
The stance continues to be bullish above 22519.
Nifty levels - May 23, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#Nifty directions and levels for May 22nd.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 22nd:
The global market is still maintaining a bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment suggests a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +30 points.
Nifty closed neutral with minor rejection around the 78% Fibonacci level, while GiftNifty indicates a slightly positive start. Given this sentiment, the market may consolidate between the 78% Fibonacci level and yesterday's closing price. If the market breaks the 78% resistance, we can expect the rally to continue. Moreover, if the 78% resistance is breached without any consolidation, it further confirms a rally.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain or if the market opens with a gap-down, we can expect a minor correction of 38%. Key points to consider:
>If the market reaches the 38% level aggressively, it may fall further with little consolidation.
>On the other hand, if it takes time to reach the 38% level, then the 38% level will act as strong support, and we can expect a bounce back.
21 May 2024 - Nifty did not close above 22519Stance is still bullish, but the steam is just not there.
Thought we would close above 22519 and pave the way for further bullishness. The first 4 candles were in green today, infact the 12.24 candle closed almost above the 22519 resistance level, but we were unable to hold the ground.
For 22nd, we continue to be bullish, but a bit watchful. If we are not breaching the resistance today, will change the stance back to neutral.
Nifty on Radar - 21 MayToday, with a gap down opening the index is recovered with strong momentum and made a close above the previous close. In the domestic market, foreign selling ahead of the final two phases of national elections is expected to keep volatility high. The index took strong support and over the last six trading sessions, it has shown a strong uptrend rally. The current S1 is placed at 22300 and R1 is placed at 22600 levels. The selling by FIIs and elevated India VIX levels are exerting pressure on it.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 22 MayAs we discussed, Nifty ended sideways today.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the higher side of the channel. Right now, the market is in a mini-channel. If it breaks to the downside, it can result in bearishness in the market to 200 EMA levels. NIFTY seems more bullish than Banknifty, where Banknifty is preparing for a bearish structure. It might force NIFTY to be sideways as NIFTY still has good support for lower levels.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.10 shows the market's bullish structure. 22500 is Maxpain, while 22400, and 22500 have good PE writing, which is going to act as a nice support zone. PCR has fallen from 1.25 to 1.10, which shows that the CE windup today was good.
I expect the market to go sideways or bearish.
Reasons:
Price ~= EMA(13) and Price >> EMA (200). NIFTY might retrace to 200 EMA levels.
RSI is 40-60, showing a market sideways structure.\
Fall in PCR from 1.25 to 1.10 shows Bears are increasing their position in the market.
Price < VWAP, which indicates the price is weak, might correct itself.
The market is in a consolidation phase, trading at the higher side of the uptrend channel.
Verdict: SIdeways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 22550 CE and 22400 PE (Hedge it with 10/-)
Nifty levels - May 22, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#Nifty directions and levels for May 21st.Good morning, friends! 🌺🍬 Here are the directions for May 21st:
The global market is indicating a bullish sentiment based on the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment also suggests a bullish trend. It might open with a gap-up start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing an increase of +60 points.
Nifty has a minor consolidation structure after the sharp rally. GiftNifty indicates a positive start, and the structure also suggests the continuation of the rally. However, there is major resistance at the 78% Fibonacci level. so, If the market breaks or consolidates around this level, we can expect the rally to continue further, potentially reaching 22,636 to 22,684. and The 22,684 level is a supply zone, so if the rally is rejected there, we can expect a correction of 23% to 38% in the minor swing.
Alternatively, if the market is rejected around the 78% Fibonacci level or if the gap-up doesn’t sustain, it may retrace 38% in the minor swing. Here we have two scenarios:
1 - There has been a solid rally, so according to the structure, it could undergo a retracement of 23% to 38%. After that, if it finds support at either 23% or 38%, the rally is likely to continue.
2 - According to the wave structure, a 5-3 structure is forming, indicating a zigzag variation. If the market breaks the 38% Fibonacci level, it may enter a correction phase. If this happens, you can set your target at 50% and 78%.
Nifty on Radar - 20 MayTechnical Outlook
The index has found strong support from lower levels, and in the previous session, it closed with gains primarily driven by IT stocks. The current R1 is placed at 22600, while S1 is positioned at 22250.
Disclaimer: This is my pre market analysis and my trading journal. Not a suggestion to buy or sell.