15 Apr 2024–22295 support is taken out, I am short ⬇️ Nifty50Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
Recap from yesterday: "On the higher time frame, we have a double top formation (M pattern). To negate the pattern we would have to take out the ATH, otherwise, it looks like a nice setup to go bearish. 22519 is a good interim support level, the main support comes only at 22295."
I personally did not punch any manual or non-directional Algo trades today. The only trades I took were the directional trend strategy. Since 22295 support is broken, my view has changed from neutral to bearish. If Nifty can give a close above 22295 then I might roll back my stance to neutral again.
The reason I did not place orders today was due to the assumption that the markets may behave irrationally today. VIX was very low, so a surge could offset the premiums in such a way that it could create unwanted slippage. Well, after backtesting with today's data, I felt it was a stupid idea to have waited on the sidelines and not played.
The M pattern assumes more meaning now on the 63mts TF. Ideally, we need one more red candle below 22295 for some bearish safety. 22051 is the next support level which could be taken out pretty easily if the shorts pick up momentum. I hope the BTFD takes some rest for few days so that the Bears can do their thing.
Niftytomorrow
Nifty levels - Apr 16, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
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#Nifty directions and levels for April 15th."Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 15th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -120 point decrease.
I'm really sorry, I can't say exactly how the market will react today because of the geopolitical issue.
However, this is my view today: if the market finds support around the immediate support level, then structurally we can expect a 23 to 38% pullback wave. If it has a three-wave structure, it's a better confirmation for correction. Even though after that pullback, if it rejects there (at 38%), then we can expect a correction that may reach once again the previous bottom. And if it breaks, then the correction will likely continue. On the other hand, if the pullback sustains and breaks the fib level 38%, it could consolidate between the previous high and recent low.
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-down breaks or consolidates around the immediate support level, it might continue the correction further."
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 15 Apr 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it opened a gap-down and then continued the momentum.
If we look at the chart:
The market has broken the pattern to the downside. There is 200-ema support at the downside. I am expecting to take a little bounce back (consolidation) and then continue the bearish momentum. 22385 is going to provide very nice PA support.
All important levels are marked on the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.71, which shows neutral market sentiments. However, in the past three days, OI activity PCR has been falling gradually from 1.34 -> 1.18 -> 0.7. which shows bears are increasing their position in the market very actively. There is not much of the support downside right now. The market may continue the momentum after a little bit of consolidation.
The bulls are very weak at this point.
I am expecting the market to open a gap-down near 200 EMA and then touch 13 EMA after that fall.
Reasons:
EMA(200) < Price < EMA(13), which indicates Weak bulls structure in the market. (Bearish)
RSI < 40 shows strong bears' power. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.71, which has been falling rapidly from 1.34. shows bears are actively increasing their position size. (Bearish)
Price < VWAP shows a bearish market structure. (Bearish)
Verdict : Bearish
Plan of Action : Wait for 13 EMA to touch, then sell 22500 PE (Hedge it with 15/- Premium)
Nifty prediction for tomorrow 12 APR 24As we discussed NIFTY yesterday, it ended sideways.
If we look at the chart now:
the market is trading ATH in the zone where it got heavy selling from this region. NIFTY is going to be sideways unless it breaks the GREEN trendline to the downside. The inside marked region (22617-22766) is sideways.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.21, which indicates the bullish market. 23200 CE have been written heavily. Other strike prices do not have significant writing. Everyone is in the waiting phase. As you can see in FII and DII data, actively also, options are indecisive.
If we see FII & DII data , FII is strongly bullish on the future. Pros and Clients are Bearish on the future. Options data is indecisive, which shows that the market is likely to open sideways.
There can be three possible cases:
Case 1: Low probability Bullish case -> market breaks to the upside
Case 2: The market is going to be sideways in (22617-22766).
Case 3: If it breaks the trendline, then it can give a good bearish momentum.
Reasons:
Price >> EMA(200), that need to be corrected. EMA(13) slop is getting flat. Which indicates bulls are getting weak.
RSI = 55 and having bearish divergence. Also, RSI is entering the 40-60 range, which might lead it to go sideways.
Nifty is trading in the resistance zone.
PCR = 1.21 shows bullishness. but FII and DII activity is totally indecisive.
Verdict : Sideways or Bearish
Plan of action : Sell 22750 CE and Sell 22650 PE(Hedge it with 15/- premium)
#Nifty directions and levels for 12th April.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 12th:
The global market trend is bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a gap-down start, as suggested by GiftNifty, showing a -130 point decrease.
Previously, Nifty had a solid pullback after a minor correction. But today, GiftNifty is indicating a negative start. So, if the market opens with a gap-down, then we can expect a minor correction that may reach the level of 22591 to 22568 (demand zone). After that, if it finds support around the demand zone, then we can expect a range market that may experience a minimum of 38% to 61% pullback wave. On the other hand, if it doesn't sustain or undergoes minor consolidation around the demand zone, then the correction will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the market doesn't open that much down, then structurally it may turn into an ascending triangle structure (support level 22647, resistance level 22788).
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 12 Apr 2024Nifty Prediction for Tomorrow
Trend : BEARISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Moderately BEARISH
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
#nifty directions and levels for April 10th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for April 10th:
There have been no changes since the last session. The global market trend is still moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a bullish trend. It might open with a slightly neutral to a gap-up start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a +60 point increase.
Nifty has retraced 38% after the gap-up in the last session. Structurally, 38% is a strong support level. Therefore, if the gap-up sustains, initially we can expect a range-bound market within the range of the last trading day. Directional movement will occur only if it breaks the range either to the upside or downside.
Alternatively, if the gap-up doesn't sustain, it might turn into a correction phase. However, it should break the Fibonacci level of 38%. If it does break, we can expect a minimum range of 22,558 to 22,501.
NIFTY Prediction for tomorrow 10 Apr 24NIFTY opened a gap-up and fell sharply from 22768.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is trading at the resistance zone (4H-TF). Also, the market is trading at the support trendline. If the market breaks the support to the downside, it is going to generate a quick fall till 22471. Meanwhile, 22617-22766 is a sideways zone, as marked in the chart.
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 1.13, which shows bullishness. But yesterday's PCR was 1.34. That shows the Bull's strength is decreasing, and bears are taking hold of the market. Also, there has been a very good CE writing 22700-23000. There was not much of PE writing today. The market is getting ready for some correction.
If we look at the FII & DII data:
FII is bullish; the Client is bearish.
I am expecting a gap-up to open and then a fall.
Reasons:
PCR = 1.18 indicates a bullish structure. (Bullish)
The market is trading in a resistance zone. There is a high probability that the market will have some correction. (Bearish)
Price >> 200EMA and 13EMA >> 200 EMA that might lead to a correction in the market. (Bearish)
RSI is showing bullish divergence, which might force the market to be sideways. (Sideways)
Price < VWAP means the market is in the bears' favor.
RSI ~ 40-60, which indicates a market sideways structure.
Verdict:
SIdeways or bearish
Plan of action:
Sell 22700 CE and Sell 22600 PE (Hedge with 20/- premium)
Exit CE if it breaks the downside.
Nifty levels - Apr 10, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
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Nifty levels - Apr 09, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty levels - Apr 05, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty levels - Apr 04, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty 02 Apr- Flat day, consolidating or deciding to reverse?Nifty Analysis - Stance Bullish ⬆️
Recap from yesterday: “But before we go long, let us give it a day or two because the reaction today may be the after-effect of the adjustments and rebalancing that was done over the last 2 to 3 days due to year-end.”
Nifty was falling gradually, almost maintaining the same slope as yesterday. The final 90 minutes saw some activity against that slope, which ensured that we were closing flat for the day. If you consider the 0.71% fall in NiftyIT, it is quite commendable that Nifty and BankNifty held their ground. Honestly, NiftyIT falling was not a good sign - we should be seriously watching that sector to see if there are any weaknesses in the pipeline. NiftyIT is the first sector to react based on global macros (anything except Crude Oil).
We wish to maintain the bullish stance for tomorrow as well, but we will be a bit cautious if Nifty falls below 22393 levels. A stance revision may not be even required till 22295 is broken. In fact, Nifty might react more to domestic cues than international macros as elections are getting kicked off. We are going into the campaigns with a historically low VIX of 11.6525, I am quite sure this should start rising pretty soon.
Nifty levels - Apr 03, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty levels - Apr 02, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
Nifty - Intraday levels & Prediction for - 01 Apr 2024Nifty Prediction for Tomorrow
Trend : BULLISH
Sentiment : Positive
Expectation : Strong BULLISH
Look for Buy/Sell at Demand and Supply zone for profitable trades.
Demand and Supply Zones - When price breaks the zone, Demand zone will become Resistance and Supply zone will become Support.
Refer the chart for detailed Intraday Support and Resistance levels.
Happy Trading!!
#Nifty directions and levels for March 28th"Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 28th: The global market trend is moderately bullish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -8 point.
Nifty experienced a solid pullback in the last session, but the closing retraced a little bit. According to the wave structure, it could be in the 4th subwave. So, if the market opens neutrally, the 4th might consolidate a bit. After that, if it breaks the previous high, then we can consider that as a 5th subwave. It might reach a minimum of 22211 to 22262. If the 5th wave rejects there, then we can expect a correctional wave. On the other hand, if the market sustains around the 22262 level, then the 5th may extend further.
Nifty levels - Mar 28, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!
#Nifty directions and levels for March 27th.Good morning, friends! Here are the directions for March 27th: there is no significant difference between the last session. The global market trend is moderately bearish, supported by the Dow Jones, while our local market sentiment indicates a moderately bullish trend. It might open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as suggested by Giftnifty, showing a -40 point.
Nifty has consolidated despite opening with a long gap-down. Today also, Giftnifty indicates a gap-down start. So, if the gap-down sustains, we can expect a minimum of 61 to 78% Fibonacci correction. After that, if it finds support there, we can expect a minor 38% pullback wave. On the other hand, if it breaks or consolidates around the Fibonacci level of 78%, then the correction will likely continue.
Alternatively, if the gap-down doesn't sustain and if the initial market experiences a sharp pullback, it might enter a range market between the previous high.
26 Mar ’24 — Scary opening minutes and broken support at closeNifty Analysis - Stance Neutral ➡️
Recap from yesterday: “The support of 22051 will be crucial and N50 has to defend it if we wish to go bullish.”
4mts chart
No one would really believe it if we said Nifty50 had an opening low of 21947 i.e. 133 points below the last session close. Well, it was just a blip and we quickly regained the 222051 support/resistance level. From 09.19 to 14.31 Nifty was hovering around this zone with no particular intent to go up or down. In the last hour, Nifty made a quick fall of 50+ points went to 22000, and then closed there. The good thing is that we did not retest the opening lows again and the bad thing is that the momentum we had on the last working day is almost gone.
We drew an inverse Head & Shoulders pattern on the 22nd. If that holds true, we should be getting some assistance tomorrow or the 28th If N50 is unable to rally despite the IH&S pattern we will quickly change our priority to a small triple top that is forming and go bearish if 21913 support also fails. Tomorrow we wish to maintain our neutral stance.
63mts chart
Nifty levels - Mar 27, 2024Nifty support and resistance levels are valuable tools for making informed trading decisions, specifically when combined with the analysis of 5-minute timeframe candlesticks and VWAP. By closely monitoring these levels and observing the price movements within this timeframe, traders can enhance the accuracy of their entry and exit points. It is important to bear in mind that support and resistance levels are not fixed, and they can change over time as market conditions evolve.
The dashed lines on the chart indicate the reaction levels, serving as additional points of significance to consider. Furthermore, take note of the response at the levels of the High, Low, and Close values from the day prior.
We hope you find this information beneficial in your trading endeavors.
* If you found the idea appealing, kindly tap the Boost icon located at the bottom right. We encourage you to share your thoughts and comments regarding it.
Wishing you success in your trading activities!