NIFTY Analysis for tomorrow 24 Dec 24As we discussed, the NIFTY sideways structure market has been sideways the whole time today. Also, it opened at +160 and closed at the same point.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is in a consolidation phase. Big players are accumulating the market. I am expecting the market to be sideways in the upcoming 2-3 sessions.
Support levels: 23529, 23361
Resistance levels: 50 EMA, 23930, 200 EMA
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.8, which has increased from 0.7, shows put addition at the lower level. 23500 has good support points for having good PE writing. On higher levels, 24000 is a nice resistance point, as it has a good resistance point. It also considers 50 EMA and 200 EMA.
I am expecting
The market is to be sideways in the range of 23539 - 23930
Reason:
RSI ~ 40 shows a weak bullish structure. (Sideways)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.8 indicates bullish bias in the market.
price < VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Sideways
Plan of action:
Sell 23700 CE and Sell 23700 PE hold it in the range. Exit one leg if it breaks to one side.
Niftytradesetup
My Nifty outlook and strategy Here’s my trading strategy for the coming days:
#Nifty Support: 23,568.60 (closing basis)
I expect a bounce in Nifty towards the 24,400–24,500 range, which is around 750–800 points from the CMP.
At this level, many retail traders might initiate fresh long positions. However, I plan to book profits or exit at cost and avoid taking new positions here. My focus will be on collecting cash.
Why?
Because when retail traders go long, Nifty may move towards 24,700. After that, it’s likely to see another round of buying from them. But the very next day, the market might hit a high and then drop so sharply that exiting becomes difficult.
At this point, I’ll look for shorting opportunities or trade in options.
Once Nifty retraces back to 23,400 and bounces from there, I’ll create a list of long-term small-cap stocks to invest in. However, I’ll only invest if Nifty closes above 24,888 with good volume. If not, I’ll stay out.
If the market reverses from there, a fall towards 22,300–22,000 is possible. If this happens, I’ll create a new strategy focusing on micro-cap stocks.
Note: This entire strategy is based on technical analysis and past experience. While charts reflect most market behavior, any fundamental shift can invalidate this analysis. If the market doesn’t follow these levels, I’ll revise my strategy accordingly.
Nifty | Tuesday 24 Dec'24 | Trading Plan Nifty as mentioned in previous idea, is in C wave. Right now looks like have completed the w of C and in retracement. Two of the possible trade can be done as below:
1. Above the marked 23860, we can enter with target 1 of 23970 and target 2 of 24040 and further trailing with SL of 15 min intraday swing low.
2. Below the marked 23540, we can enter for short with target of 23350 and SL of 15 intraday swing high.
Disclaimer: I am not SEBI certified analyst and this not a buy/sell recommendation. It is only for educational and entertainment purposes.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 24 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 24 Dec 2024
Bullish-Above 23900
Invalid-Below 23850
T- 24118
Bearish-Below 23530
Invalid-Above 23580
T- 23230
NIFTY has closed with 0.7% gain today. It is a doji candle in daily TF and whole closing gain is contributed though gap up. 23900 and 23530 looks a range as of now. Breakout of this will trigger move either side. Best trade looks in short side as market is sell on rise. Nothing triggered as per trade setup today.
Coming to Tuesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 23900 then we will long for the target of 24118.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23530. T- 23230.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
BUY NIFTY 23700 CE 26TH DEC EXP @ 155 - 150 | NIFTY LONG TRADENIFTY 23700 CE 26TH DEC EXP
NIFTY OPTIONS BUYING TRADE
TIME FRAME RECOMMENDED TO TRACK TRADE: 5 MINS
Hi Traders,
Nifty is currently trading near a resistance level, and we anticipate further upside movement towards 23,820 and 23,860. We recommend buying the 23,700 CE (Call Option) with a 26th December expiry in the price range of 155 – 150, with an option to add more quantity at 125 –120.
The target levels are 270 and 320, with a stop-loss set at 100.
Regards,
OptionsDaddy Research Team
#Nifty directions and levels for December 23rd.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 23rd.
Market Overview:
The global market is showing a moderately bearish sentiment due to the solid pullback in the previous session (based on the Dow Jones). Meanwhile, our local market is displaying a bearish trend. Today, the market may open with a gap-up start, as the Gift Nifty indicates a 170-point positive sentiment.
In the previous session, the US market had a strong pullback, which might reflect in our market today. Gift Nifty is also pointing toward this possibility. So, how should we approach this?
If the gap-up sustains, we could interpret this as a sub-wave 4. Usually, the 4th wave is characterized by a three-wave structure, which we refer to as a consolidation wave. Therefore, we can expect some consolidation between the previous low and the 38% mark. This is the basic structure; let's look at it on the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty are currently showing the same structural sentiment.
Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market opens with a gap-up of less than 100 points and then declines initially, we can expect a slight further correction due to some sub-waves bending. However, if this occurs, the minor demand zone will act as strong support.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the gap-up opens with more than 150 points and sustains, then the pullback could continue to the 38% level, with some consolidation as we discussed. This pullback could be interpreted as a 4th wave.
Nifty Trading Strategy for 23rd December 2024.Nifty Trading Strategy
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 23,740
Sell Below: The low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 23,440
Targets:
Upside Targets: 23,825, 23,925, 24,020
Downside Targets: 23,320, 23,230, 23,100
Strategy Details:
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position above the high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 23,740, aiming for targets of 23,825, 23,925, and 24,020.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 23,440, aiming for targets of 23,320, 23,230, and 23,100.
Trailing Stop-Loss: Use a trailing stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital.
Book Profits: Regularly book profits at the specified resistance and support levels.
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 15-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty.
This strategy provides a structured approach for trading Nifty, ensuring clear buy and sell signals along with defined targets. I am not SEBI Registered.
Nifty Week AheadNSE:NIFTY Couldn't Sustain above 100 DSMA.
Sell on Rise Structure is Still Playing Well.
Aggressive Trader: Short at Current Levels With 100 DSMA as SL.
Conservative Trader: Short When it gives Pullback towards R1 or 100 DSMA.
Long-Term Investor: Can Add Near S1 and S2.
📌Thank you for exploring my idea! I hope you found it valuable.
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✍️COMMENT Below your views.
Meanwhile, check out my other stock ideas below until this trade is activated. I would love your feedback.
Disclaimer: This analysis is intended solely for informational and educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is advisable to consult a qualified financial advisor or conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 23 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 23 Dec 2024
Sell_1- From 23970
Invalid-Above 24020
T- 23700
Sell_2-Below 23530
Invalid-Above 23580
T- 23230
NIFTY has closed on a bold bearish note with 4.77% cut last week. Last weekend we discussed that index will be buy on dips till index is above 50 EMA in daily TF. On 17 Dec it closed below that. We will still maintain sell on rise approach till it is below 50 EMA and till it closes below previous day low in daily TF. If tomorrow's 10 o'clock range breaks in the upside then chance of rebound is there so keep an eye.
Coming to Monday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 23530 then we will short for the target of 23230.
In case 23970 is tested then we will short from there. T- 23700.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
Nifty Index Futures: Key Technical Insights for December 2024The Nifty Index Futures chart highlights significant market developments, signaling potential shifts in momentum. Here’s a concise analysis:
Key Highlights
Trendline Breakdown:
The long-standing upward channel has been breached, indicating bearish pressure.
Bearish Patterns:
A confirmed head-and-shoulders pattern with a neckline breakdown suggests further downside.
Emerging lower highs and lower lows confirm a bearish trend structure.
Critical Levels:
Resistance: 24,400 and 25,000.
Support: 23,625, 23,222, and 21,827.
Scenarios:
Bullish: A recovery above 24,400 could target 25,000.
Bearish: Sustained trading below 23,625 may lead to 23,222 or lower.
Trade Plan:
Short Trade: Consider shorting below 23,625 with a stop-loss at 24,000 and targets at 23,222 and 21,827.
#Nifty directions and levels for December 20th.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 20th.
Market Overview:
Both the global and local markets are maintaining a bearish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a slight gap-down start, as the Nifty is indicating a negative 80 points at 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty experienced a minor pullback after the long gap-down. Although the structure remains bearish, we can expect a continuation only if it breaks the previous day's low with solid movement. If this happens, we can anticipate a target of 78% in the minor swing.
On the other hand, if the market initially pulls back without breaking yesterday's low, or if it finds support at the immediate support level with gradual movements, then we can expect a pullback of 23% to 38%. This is the basic structure. Otherwise, we can follow the same sentiment that we discussed in the previous session, as nothing has changed.
Trading Strategy for Nifty for 20th December 2024Trading Strategy for Nifty (15-Minute Time Frame)
Key Levels:
Buy Above: The high of the 15-minute candle which closes above 24,010
Sell Below: The low of the 15-minute candle which closes below 23,868
Targets:
Upside Targets: 24,075, 24,125
Downside Targets: 23,825, 23,775
Strategy Details:
Buy Signal: Enter a buy position above the high of the 15-minute candle that closes above 24,010, aiming for targets of 24,075 and 24,125.
Sell Signal: Enter a sell position below the low of the 15-minute candle that closes below 23,868, aiming for targets of 23,825 and 23,775.
Trailing Stop-Loss: Use a trailing stop-loss to manage risk and protect your capital.
Book Profits: Regularly book profits at the specified resistance and support levels.
Additional Tips:
Monitoring: Continuously monitor the 15-minute chart for clear buy or sell signals.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to manage risk and protect your capital.
Market Conditions: Stay updated on market news and events that could impact Nifty.
Disclaimer:
I am not SEBI registered. This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only. Please consult with a certified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
19th Dec24 Strong Entry by the Bears, We Are Back At Sell ZoneNifty Stance Bearish ⬇
The opening hour on Friday really set the tone and I had published in tradingview minds that if we get a close below 24466, it's better to go short. Guess what, we closed below 24466, but the short trade did not really work out then.
Markets are rigged to the core, someone or some institution is really manipulating the markets, because nothing else can justify the 354pts ~ 1.45% down move followed by a 608pts ~ 2.52% upmove. Whoever played it, knew pretty well that it was SENSEX expiry that had to be targetted and it worked out as per their script.
How did I guess it was manipulation? Simple, look at the price action on Monday and Tuesday - there was no follow-through and the bull action was just for nothing. In fact the down move was equally powerful as well. We were back at the swing low on the 18th, Wednesday. Markets gave away 600pts over 3 days after rallying 600pts on 13th Dec. Today we fell another 247pts ~ 1.02% mainly because of spill-over effects from the US markets - that ended up tanking 3%.
On a week-to-week basis, we are down 2.36% ~ 578pts. Making money is getting more difficult now, especially with the manipulations that are driving up the ITM options prices. What is more alarming is the increased margin requirements on expiry day are really shooting up the prices and I have not figured out the exact quantity/lots that could be taken overnight without getting a margin call.
My stance is bearish and would like it if markets are closing near 23350 levels by 26th Dec.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 20 Dec 2024
Bullish-Above 24010
Invalid- Below 23960
T- 24220
Bearish-Below 23850
Invalid-Above 23900
T- 23650
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 1% cut today. It opened with a big gap down due to global cues and it sustained the gap down. 10 o'clock range was to be used but index traded between the same for the whole day. 24k was tested multiple times so if index sustains above 24k then chance of a gap filling can be there. Below 23850 plain vanilla trendy short can be planned.
Coming to Friday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes above 24010 then we will long for the target of 24220.
For selling we need a 15 Min candle close below 23850. T- 23650.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY prediction for tomorrow 20 Dec 24As we discussed yesterday, the market opened at -250 points and spent the whole day sideways in a tight range.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is at a crucial point that can provide good support. Also, the price is very far from the EMAs, which might retrace to the EMAs. The market might reverse from this point. Right now, the market is neutral.
Support levels: 23772, 23488, 23363
Resistance levels: 24339, 200 EMA, 24682
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.7, which has increased from 0.4, shows put addition at the lower level. 24000 has good support and resistance points. This is going to work as max pain. As it's the start of the week, OI won't play much of a role.
I am expecting
Case 1: Bullish if take support at 24950.
Case 2: Bearish if it breaks the level 24950 to the downside.
Reason:
RSI < 40 shows a good Bearish structure. (bearish)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.7 indicates a neutral market.
price < VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Neutral
Plan of action:
Sell 23950 CE and 23950 PE and adjust your position as per the price action at 23950.
NIFTY analysis for tomorrow 19 Dec 24As we discussed yesterday, the market was sideways and had huge volatility.
If we look at the chart now:
The market is looking bearish but also showing good bullish pull-ups. The market is near the support zone.
Support levels: 24127, 23970
Resistance levels: 24980, 24386, 24524, 24682
If we look at the OI data:
PCR = 0.4, which has decreased from 0.8, shows call addition at the higher level. The market has good PE writing at 24500 and 24400. Other levels, 24200, 24300, and 24300, will be showing good resistance at a higher level.
I am expecting
Case 1: Sideways in the range 24127 - 24350.
Case 2: Bearish if it breaks 24127 to the downside.
Reason:
RSI < 40 shows a good Bearish structure. (bearish)
Price < EMA(13, 50, 200), which indicates a good bearish structure. (Bearish)
PCR = 0.4 indicates a bearish market.
Price < VWAP shows a good bullish structure in the market.
Verdict: Bearish or Sideways
Plan of action:
In the range 24127 - 24350 Sideways. Go with an Iron condor.
Buy PUT if it breaks 24127 to the downside.
NIFTY50: INSTITUTIONAL LEVELS FOR 18/12/2024Overview
This trading system combines simplicity with powerful insights for accurate entries and exits. It is structured for active traders using the 5-minute timeframe who want to make clear, confident trading decisions in fast-moving markets.
Key Strategy Guidelines
Retest Entries : Aim to enter trades on retests rather than breakouts, offering better positioning.
Multiple Confirmations : Use more than one confirmation to validate each trade, helping avoid impulsive decisions.
ATM Options Focus : Stick to at-the-money (ATM) options or above for optimal liquidity and manageable risk.
System Explanation
This setup leverages volume, historical price action, and price ranges to pinpoint high-probability entry and exit points. This methodology is designed to reduce guesswork, allowing traders to manage trades with a consistent approach.
How It Works: Entry/Exit Signals
Blue Line : Signals potential long entry.
Red Line : Indicates potential short entry.
Tip : Align these signals with additional confirmations from your trading strategy for optimal performance.
Stop Loss and Take Profit Levels
Stop Loss:
Long Trades : Set your stop loss at the nearest red line below the entry point, or adjust based on whether the 5-minute candle crosses the red line.
Short Trades : Use the blue line above as the stop loss.
Take Profit:
Long Entries :Target the next red line above or exit if other indicators suggest a prudent exit.
Short Entries :Target the next blue line below following similar guidelines.
Timeframe Recommendation
This system is specifically optimized for the 5-minute timeframe, making it suitable for those trading shorter intervals with precision.
Risk Disclaimer
Trading involves high risk, and rapid price changes can lead to unexpected losses. Only trade with capital you can afford to lose, and carefully assess your financial situation and risk tolerance.
Join the Community Discussion
Engage with other traders to discuss strategies, share insights, and enhance your understanding of the markets. Let’s grow together as a community of traders.
Original Content
This trading system is the product of my own expertise and rigorous testing. It’s a unique approach developed through real market experience to offer a clear edge in trading.
NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Dec 2024NIFTY Intraday Trade Setup For 18 Dec 2024
Sell_1- From 24590
Invalid-Above 24640
T- 24400
Sell_2-Below 24300
Invalid-Above 24350
T- 24000
NIFTY has closed on a bearish note with 1.35% cut today. Yesterday we discussed that index will be bearish below 24570 and exact mentioned target of 24310 was met. Now index may continue bearish move. A good short below 24300 in case of flat opening. If at all it gaps up then 24590 will be intraday resistance as per half bat.
Coming to Wednesday's trade setup, if index opens flat and a 15 Min candle closes below 24300 then we will short for the target of 24k.
24590 will be pullback short level in case 24300 is safe. T- 24400.
In case of a big gap up/down, wait till 10 o'clock and mark the high and low of the trading range (5MIN). Trade on this range breakout.
==========
I am Not SEBI Registered
This is my personal analysis for my personal trading. Kindly consult your financial advisor before taking any actions based on this.
NIFTY OUTLOOK....Ready For All Time High Again ?NSE:NIFTY
Current Market Price 24700
Below chart was made on 21/11/2024 regarding BOTTOMING OUT of NSE:NIFTY from correction phase of more than 3000 points from All Time High (-11.47% from ATH) !
Before that on 20/09/2024 when NSE:NIFTY was continuously making Life Highs we stated that it will be TOPPED near 26200 levels, And from there we saw a decent and healthy correction of more than 10%....
================================================================
ALL UPDATED CHART OF NSE:NIFTY FROM TOP TO BOTTOM
CHART 1
CHART 2
================================================================
Beautiful Rally Captured both the sides in NSE:NIFTY !!💕💕
26200-------->23265+ (2935+ points)
23265-------->24850+(1585+ points)
================================================================
CURRENT SCENARIO of NSE:NIFTY
LTP 24700
Any dip till 24000 can be bought with a Weekly Closing Basis Stoploss of 23743
Targets🎯24905 / 25025 / 25111 / 25275 / 25490 / 25800++++
Will revisit the situation when all mentioned targets will be achieved !!
================================================================
Thanks !
Harm⭕nics4Life
05/12/2024
Disclaimer.
I am not sebi registered analyst.
My studies shared here are for educational purposes .. Do Consult Your Financial advisor Before Taking any Trade.
#Nifty directions and levels for December 17th.Good morning, friends! 🌞
Here are the market directions and levels for December 17th.
Market Overview:
The global market continues to show moderately bearish sentiment (based on the Dow Jones alone), while our local market is displaying a bullish sentiment. Today, the market may open with a neutral to slightly gap-down start, as the Gift Nifty is indicating a negative 40 points at 8:00 AM.
In the previous session, both Nifty and Bank Nifty saw a minor correction but did not break the 38% Fibonacci level. Therefore, until the support level is broken, the market will maintain its bullish bias. However, if the support is broken, the bullish momentum may turn neutral to bearish. This is the basic structure; let’s analyze this further with the chart.
Both Nifty and Bank Nifty currently share the same structural sentiment.
Nifty Current View:
The current view suggests that if the market initially takes a pullback, it could reach a minimum of 24,752. However, the rally will continue only if the market breaks this level with a solid candle. If it does, we can expect the next targets at 24,818 and 24,857. This is the basic structure.
Alternate View:
The alternate view suggests that if the market sustains the gap-down, the levels 24,559 and 24,531 will act as strong support. If the market finds support here, we can expect a bounce back of at least 38% to 78% in the minor swing.
Conversely, if this support level is broken, the market may fall further to 24,451 and 24,418.
(Note: If you plan to take a position in the bounce back, check for RSI divergence. If divergence occurs, you can enter; if it doesn’t, wait for a 38% Fibonacci breakout in the minor swing. Apply the Fibonacci levels from swing high (24,792) to the upcoming low. Because Range-bound entries can be challenging, and we cannot expect proper swings and in this premium)